John Bowker

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Historical Stats | 2008 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players

Projected Playing Time
Giants Depth Chart (updated: 04-24)

Pos Order Name PT% PA AVG R HR RBI SB OBP SLG VORP

RF 3 John Bowker 15 106 .251 19 4 24 1 .304 .398 -0.6

PH 9 John Bowker 15 90 .251 19 4 24 1 .304 .398 -0.6

2 2008 Total 30 196 .251 19 4 24 1 .304 .398 -0.6

Historical Stats

																		-- Equivalents --
Year	Tm	Lg	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
2005	SJO	1C	513	66	27	1	13	67	36	108	3	7	-0.6	.267	.319	.414	-.048	.207	.250	.306	.190	-48.0	85-LF -4	-0.6
2006	SJO	1C	511	61	32	6	7	66	37	100	6	3	-0.6	.284	.337	.424	.109	.233	.279	.359	.221	-26.3	61-RF -3	0.8
2006	FRE	3A	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.0	.500	.500	.500	.672	.500	.500	.500	.357	0.8		0.1
2007	NRW	2A	587	79	35	6	22	90	41	103	3	7	0.1	.307	.363	.523	.377	.287	.335	.505	.280	26.9	85-RF 5	4.6

EQA Distribution

Seven-Year WARP

2008 Forecast

(projection generated 3/18/08 7:11 AM)

																-- Equivalents --
Percentile	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
90^o	548	63	33	3	16	73	40	107	4	3	-0.2	.281	.337	.456	.023	.279	.337	.471	.273	15.7	129-RF -1	3.9
75^o	531	55	30	3	14	68	37	107	4	3	-0.2	.266	.321	.428	-.053	.265	.322	.442	.259	5.7	125-RF -2	3.0
60^o	518	49	29	3	13	63	35	107	4	3	-0.2	.256	.310	.407	-.110	.254	.310	.421	.248	-1.4	122-RF -2	2.3
50^o	512	47	28	2	12	62	34	107	4	3	-0.2	.251	.305	.398	-.134	.250	.305	.412	.243	-4.3	121-RF -2	2.0
40^o	507	45	27	2	11	60	33	107	4	2	-0.2	.247	.300	.390	-.156	.246	.300	.403	.239	-6.9	119-RF -2	1.7
25^o	492	40	26	2	10	56	31	107	3	2	-0.2	.236	.287	.368	-.217	.234	.288	.380	.226	-13.8	116-RF -3	1.1
10^o	475	34	24	2	8	51	28	107	3	2	-0.2	.224	.274	.344	-.280	.222	.274	.355	.212	-20.4	112-RF -3	0.4
Weighted Mean	557	53	30	3	13	68	37	117	4	3	-0.2	.251	.304	.398	-.135	.250	.305	.411	.242	-1.8	131-RF -2	2.0

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate	Improve Rate	Collapse Rate	Attrition Rate	Beta
16%	41%	25%	15%	0.84

Seven-Year Forecast

																-- Equivalents --
Year	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
2008 (age 24)	557	53	30	3	13	68	37	117	4	3	-0.2	.251	.304	.398	-.135	.250	.305	.411	.242	-1.8	131-RF -2	2.0
2009 (age 25)	565	55	31	3	14	71	37	115	4	3	-0.2	.253	.305	.404	-.124	.248	.301	.410	.244	-2.7	133-RF -2	1.7
2010 (age 26)	470	43	24	2	13	57	32	98	3	2	-0.2	.254	.308	.407	-.115	.248	.304	.413	.246	-1.2	111-RF -2	1.5
2011 (age 27)	517	51	30	2	14	66	37	107	4	2	-0.1	.259	.316	.418	-.081	.253	.312	.424	.253	1.1	122-RF -2	1.3
2012 (age 28)	443	43	26	2	13	59	31	93	4	2	-0.1	.265	.318	.440	-.044	.259	.314	.446	.260	2.7	105-RF -2	1.2
2013 (age 29)	511	46	26	2	13	68	38	110	3	2	-0.1	.237	.298	.387	-.171	.231	.294	.393	.236	-2.8	120-RF -5	0.6
2014 (age 30)	499	49	29	2	13	65	36	99	3	3	-0.1	.263	.318	.426	-.065	.257	.314	.432	.255	1.2	118-RF -7	0.8

Platoon

Platoon	AVG	OBP	SLG
vs LHP	.228	.280	.354
vs RHP	.259	.316	.431
Split	-.032	-.035	-.077
LgAvg	-.035	-.040	-.079

Valuation

Year	OWARP	DWARP	Tot WARP	MORP	SuperVORP	Upside
2008	0.7	1.4	2.0	$2,325,000	-7.0	0.7
2009	0.7	1.1	1.7	$2,050,000	-7.1	0.7
2010	0.6	0.9	1.5	$1,825,000	-4.1	1.3
2011	0.6	0.7	1.3	$1,725,000	-0.8	0.5
2012	0.7	0.5	1.2	$1,800,000	0.9	3.3
2013	0.2	0.4	0.6	$875,000	-4.6	0.0
2014	0.4	0.4	0.8	$1,250,000	-1.0	0.4
Peak			8.4	$7,075,000	0.9	6.4

Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis

Seven-Year Performance

Year	75%	50%	25%	Weighted Mean
2008	.259	.243	.226	.242
2009	.267	.251	.226	.244
2010	.272	.249	.225	.246
2011	.275	.254	.235	.253
2012	.272	.263	.236	.260
2013	.276	.240	.218	.236
2014	.280	.264	.218	.255

Seven-Year Attrition

Year	Attrition Rate	Drop Rate	Breakout
2008	15%	0%	16%
2009	27%	11%	17%
2010	41%	21%	22%
2011	59%	44%	20%
2012	66%	51%	21%
2013	78%	61%	18%
2014	77%	68%	15%

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