<< PECOTA Home Player Search     
');// -->

Gregor Blanco
Atlanta Braves [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Center Field
Bats L
Age 24
5' 11"
170 lbs.

Player Profile

Sections
Historical Stats | 2008 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players | Player Comments

Projected Playing Time

Braves Depth Chart (updated: 04-24)
PosOrderNamePT%PA AVG R HR RBI SB OBP SLG VORP
RF 5 Gregor Blanco 5 34 .266 50 2 24 15 .356 .354 6.7
LF 7 Gregor Blanco 10 66 .266 50 2 24 15 .356 .354 6.7
CF 8 Gregor Blanco 25 161 .266 50 2 24 15 .356 .354 6.7
PH 9 Gregor Blanco 15 93 .266 50 2 24 15 .356 .354 6.7
4   2008 Total 55 354 .266 50 2 24 15 .356 .354 6.7

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2005 MIS 2A 486 64 11 12 6 37 73 124 28 12 -2.3 .252 .367 .384 .056 .221 .323 .346 .242 -6.9 108-CF -4 2.5
2006 MIS 2A 302 45 16 3 0 9 43 57 17 6 2.0 .287 .397 .375 .172 .270 .370 .378 .270 10.1 66-CF 3 2.7
2006 RIC 3A 327 43 12 1 0 19 52 53 14 9 0.9 .294 .408 .346 .106 .271 .384 .326 .260 6.8 64-CF -6 1.8
2007 RIC 3A 545 81 18 5 3 35 63 85 23 18 2.1 .282 .369 .362 .042 .262 .346 .345 .246 3.2 118-CF -6 2.9


EQA Distribution

Seven-Year WARP

2008 Forecast

(projection generated 3/18/08 6:50 AM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 574 109 26 6 6 39 75 99 32 10 3.1 .303 .397 .418 .091 .300 .394 .426 .290 32.6 135-CF -2 5.8
75o 538 89 22 6 4 37 67 96 27 9 2.8 .285 .377 .387 .002 .282 .374 .394 .274 19.2 126-CF -1 4.6
60o 510 76 19 5 4 35 61 93 23 8 2.5 .272 .363 .364 -.061 .270 .360 .372 .262 10.5 120-CF -1 3.7
50o 486 67 17 5 3 34 56 90 21 8 2.3 .261 .350 .345 -.115 .259 .348 .352 .251 3.8 115-CF -1 3.1
40o 469 60 15 4 3 32 53 88 19 7 2.2 .254 .342 .332 -.153 .252 .339 .339 .244 -0.5 111-CF -1 2.6
25o 436 50 12 4 2 30 47 84 15 6 2.0 .240 .326 .308 -.221 .238 .323 .315 .229 -7.6 103-CF -1 1.9
10o 392 38 9 3 1 28 40 78 11 5 1.7 .224 .306 .279 -.305 .222 .304 .285 .210 -14.6 94-CF 0 1.0
Weighted Mean 510 74 18 5 3 35 60 94 22 8 2.4 .266 .356 .354 -.092 .264 .353 .361 .256 9.8 120-CF 0 3.7

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

31%

50%

25%

16%

0.97

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2008 (age 24) 510 74 18 5 3 35 60 94 22 8 2.4 .266 .356 .354 -.092 .264 .353 .361 .256 9.8 120-CF 0 3.7
2009 (age 25) 516 76 19 5 3 37 59 88 22 8 2.1 .270 .357 .361 -.077 .264 .349 .362 .258 7.2 121-CF -1 2.8
2010 (age 26) 483 70 19 5 4 35 53 81 21 7 2.0 .275 .359 .374 -.053 .269 .351 .374 .262 9.1 114-CF 1 3.0
2011 (age 27) 498 71 19 4 4 36 55 82 22 7 1.6 .271 .354 .360 -.084 .265 .346 .361 .257 5.5 117-CF 0 2.4
2012 (age 28) 422 58 17 4 3 31 50 66 16 6 1.4 .276 .365 .371 -.046 .270 .356 .372 .263 7.0 100-CF -1 2.2
2013 (age 29) 470 69 18 4 4 38 55 73 18 6 1.3 .282 .370 .382 -.019 .276 .361 .382 .268 8.2 111-CF 0 2.3
2014 (age 30) 499 73 20 4 5 40 60 80 17 6 1.0 .270 .361 .369 -.059 .264 .353 .370 .261 4.6 118-CF -3 1.7

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .239 .324 .298
vs RHP .276 .375 .389
Split -.038 -.051 -.092
LgAvg -.035 -.040 -.079

Valuation

Year OWARP DWARP Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2008 1.2 2.4 3.7 $6,475,000 9.6 8.9
2009 1.2 1.7 2.8 $4,800,000 6.0 4.0
2010 1.3 1.7 3.0 $5,925,000 9.2 8.8
2011 0.9 1.4 2.4 $4,450,000 5.3 6.4
2012 1.0 1.2 2.2 $4,675,000 6.6 5.8
2013 1.0 1.2 2.3 $5,675,000 9.0 10.7
2014 0.7 1.0 1.7 $3,575,000 3.4 4.2
Peak 16.3 $24,775,000 45.7 44.5


Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2008 .274 .251 .229 .256
2009 .276 .258 .240 .258
2010 .280 .264 .242 .262
2011 .276 .257 .237 .257
2012 .282 .255 .240 .263
2013 .289 .272 .247 .268
2014 .283 .261 .221 .261


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2008 16% 0% 31%
2009 26% 10% 23%
2010 33% 14% 21%
2011 47% 25% 19%
2012 49% 30% 21%
2013 55% 42% 24%
2014 65% 50% 16%

Player Comments

Click on the year to report a comment problem (misspelling, premature cutoff, weird characters or rendering, etc.)

2007

Blanco walks a great deal, having taken the free pass in 14.8 percent of his plate appearances across two levels in 2006. That`s the one distinctive element to his otherwise water-bug skill set--he slaps and skitters, getting squashed on the bases more often than you`d like. Most players of this type don`t pan out, but his patience could be the difference-maker.

2006

This Venezuelan speedster was held captive in High-A in 2003 and 2004, but when finally promoted to Double-A, he had trouble making contact and showed even less punch. Those triples, a product of his speed, inflate a rather anemic slugging percentage. The increased walk rate is nice, suggesting that he at least understands his role as a table-setter. Scouts seem to like his glove; managers called him the best defensive outfielder in the Carolina League in 2004. In a world where free-swinging Ryan Howard wins Rookie of the Year and fellow non-selectives Willy Taveras and Jeff Francoeur finish second and third in the ROY voting, he`s worth keeping an eye on as a more disciplined alternative.

2005

Blanco sports a plus glove in center, but his utter lack of power raises concerns that he'll be able to get around on pitches at higher levels. He's posted solid walk rates, but he struggled for the second straight season at High-A Myrtle Beach, even accounting for tough park and league effects. Given his youth, he's still a prospect, especially if he maximizes his already solid on-base skills.


Baseball Prospectus Home  |  Terms of Service  |  Privacy Policy  |  Contact Us
Copyright © 1996-2008 Prospectus Entertainment Ventures, LLC.