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He's probably very handsome. Engel Beltre
Texas Rangers [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Center Field
Bats L
Age 18
6' 1"
169 lbs.

Player Profile

Sections
Historical Stats | 2008 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2007 RSX 0R 145 20 3 3 5 13 12 44 6 3 2.7 .208 .310 .400 -.001 .172 .233 .299 .183 -31.5 18-CF -5 0.0
2007 RNG 0R 99 19 3 4 4 15 8 21 3 2 -0.9 .310 .388 .583 .373 .220 .265 .374 .220 -8.0 21-CF -4 0.3
2007 SPO 1A 41 3 0 0 0 1 2 10 2 1 -0.4 .211 .250 .211 -.432 .154 .175 .154 .000 -14.2 -0.4


EQA Distribution
Seven-Year WARP

2008 Forecast

 (projection generated 3/18/08 6:20 AM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 431 42 20 2 8 36 26 113 8 4 0.8 .231 .283 .356 -.212 .228 .283 .365 .229 -10.7 102-CF -4 1.2
75o 420 35 17 2 6 32 23 115 8 4 0.7 .212 .260 .317 -.315 .209 .260 .325 .206 -20.9 100-CF -4 0.3
60o 415 33 16 2 6 31 22 115 8 5 0.7 .205 .252 .303 -.352 .202 .252 .310 .196 -24.4 99-CF -4 0.0
50o 412 31 16 2 5 30 21 115 8 5 0.7 .201 .247 .294 -.375 .198 .247 .301 .190 -26.5 98-CF -4 -0.2
40o 405 28 14 2 5 27 20 116 8 5 0.6 .190 .235 .273 -.429 .188 .234 .280 .175 -31.4 97-CF -4 -0.7
25o 399 25 13 2 4 25 18 116 9 5 0.6 .183 .225 .258 -.470 .181 .225 .264 .163 -34.8 95-CF -4 -1.0
10o 385 20 11 1 3 21 16 117 9 5 0.5 .167 .206 .225 -.555 .165 .206 .231 .131 -41.5 92-CF -4 -1.7
Weighted Mean 421 30 15 2 5 29 21 120 9 5 0.6 .192 .236 .276 -.422 .190 .236 .283 .177 -31.4 100-CF -3 0.0

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

57%

67%

17%

21%

1.37

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2008 (age 18) 421 30 15 2 5 29 21 120 9 5 0.6 .192 .236 .276 -.422 .190 .236 .283 .177 -31.4 100-CF -3 0.0
2009 (age 19) 471 41 18 3 7 38 26 123 11 6 0.7 .207 .256 .313 -.331 .207 .260 .327 .202 -20.9 111-CF -2 0.7
2010 (age 20) 483 46 21 3 8 41 28 126 9 5 0.6 .215 .266 .333 -.283 .216 .270 .348 .213 -15.0 114-CF -2 0.9
2011 (age 21) 441 43 20 2 8 43 27 111 9 5 0.6 .225 .279 .348 -.233 .226 .283 .364 .225 -10.1 105-CF 0 1.4
2012 (age 22) 529 62 26 3 12 49 33 127 10 6 0.5 .235 .290 .379 -.167 .236 .295 .396 .239 -4.1 124-CF 0 1.5
2013 (age 23) 628 84 26 3 16 64 44 133 11 5 0.4 .243 .303 .384 -.133 .244 .308 .401 .246 -1.4 147-CF -3 1.4
2014 (age 24) 432 48 19 3 13 45 30 111 9 4 0.2 .233 .291 .398 -.142 .233 .296 .416 .246 -1.3 103-CF 0 1.3

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .164 .207 .216
vs RHP .199 .246 .302
Split -.034 -.039 -.085
LgAvg -.035 -.040 -.079

Valuation

Year OWARP DWARP Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2008 -1.7 1.7 0.0 $400,000 -30.9 0.0
2009 -0.8 1.5 0.7 $800,000 -18.6 0.5
2010 -0.5 1.4 0.9 $1,075,000 -12.9 0.4
2011 0.0 1.4 1.4 $1,750,000 -7.3 1.9
2012 0.3 1.2 1.5 $2,075,000 -1.7 4.6
2013 0.5 1.0 1.4 $2,100,000 0.0 3.4
2014 0.3 1.0 1.3 $2,200,000 0.5 1.9
Peak 16.6 $22,075,000 2.0 17.5


Stars & Scrubs Chart
Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2008 .206 .190 .163 .177
2009 .220 .193 .159 .202
2010 .228 .199 .186 .213
2011 .248 .221 .176 .225
2012 .261 .229 .201 .239
2013 .263 .231 .214 .246
2014 .260 .241 .210 .246


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2008 21% 0% 57%
2009 25% 14% 74%
2010 39% 18% 87%
2011 36% 23% 83%
2012 51% 41% 88%
2013 56% 51% 89%
2014 73% 58% 88%

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