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Wes Bankston
Tampa Bay Rays [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
First Base
Bats R
Age 24
6' 4"
215 lbs.

Player Profile

Sections
Historical Stats | 2008 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players | Player Comments

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2005 VIS 1C 78 15 4 1 3 23 15 17 0 2 0.5 .387 .513 .629 .644 .231 .359 .400 .258 0.7 15-1B 3 0.4
2005 MNT 2A 337 42 17 2 12 47 30 64 3 3 0.8 .292 .362 .482 .195 .251 .312 .423 .251 -0.7 66-1B -2 1.3
2006 MNT 2A 183 20 7 1 4 19 12 37 4 1 -1.2 .263 .322 .389 .046 .249 .301 .391 .241 1.2 29-3B -6 0.0
2006 DUR 3A 207 22 13 0 5 29 10 40 0 1 -0.7 .297 .333 .441 .092 .282 .322 .431 .257 2.8 46-1B -10 0.0
2007 DUR 3A 426 46 23 1 15 59 25 88 2 0 -1.4 .238 .282 .418 -.090 .224 .265 .408 .232 -15.7 77-1B -10 -0.3


EQA Distribution

Seven-Year WARP

2008 Forecast

(projection generated 3/18/08 6:04 AM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 505 62 28 2 20 74 35 105 4 2 -0.4 .269 .322 .470 .031 .272 .327 .493 .281 15.6 119-1B -5 2.7
75o 471 50 24 1 16 63 32 102 4 2 -0.3 .251 .303 .427 -.070 .254 .308 .449 .262 2.7 111-1B -5 1.6
60o 452 44 22 1 14 57 30 100 4 2 -0.3 .241 .293 .405 -.124 .244 .298 .425 .252 -3.4 107-1B -5 1.0
50o 441 41 21 1 13 54 28 99 3 2 -0.3 .236 .288 .393 -.153 .239 .292 .412 .246 -6.5 105-1B -5 0.8
40o 432 38 20 1 12 52 28 98 3 2 -0.3 .231 .283 .382 -.178 .234 .287 .401 .241 -9.0 103-1B -5 0.5
25o 413 33 19 1 10 46 26 96 3 2 -0.3 .222 .273 .361 -.228 .225 .278 .379 .230 -13.7 98-1B -5 0.1
10o 373 25 15 1 7 36 22 91 3 2 -0.2 .205 .255 .321 -.322 .208 .259 .337 .209 -21.1 89-1B -4 -0.7
Weighted Mean 471 46 23 1 15 60 31 105 4 2 -0.3 .239 .291 .400 -.135 .242 .296 .420 .249 -5.6 111-1B -5 1.2

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

29%

56%

19%

7%

0.82

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2008 (age 24) 471 46 23 1 15 60 31 105 4 2 -0.3 .239 .291 .400 -.135 .242 .296 .420 .249 -5.6 111-1B -5 1.2
2009 (age 25) 463 44 22 1 14 59 31 100 3 1 -0.3 .238 .292 .395 -.141 .245 .302 .423 .248 -4.5 110-1B -7 0.8
2010 (age 26) 406 39 20 1 13 51 29 86 3 1 -0.3 .241 .299 .407 -.110 .248 .309 .436 .255 -1.2 97-1B -5 1.1
2011 (age 27) 440 47 22 1 17 59 31 93 4 2 -0.2 .250 .306 .434 -.056 .257 .316 .465 .265 2.8 104-1B -6 1.2
2012 (age 28) 491 55 26 1 18 67 37 101 5 2 -0.2 .252 .312 .437 -.042 .259 .322 .468 .269 3.2 116-1B -8 1.2
2013 (age 29) 490 52 22 1 16 69 36 105 6 2 -0.2 .244 .303 .409 -.099 .251 .313 .438 .257 0.0 116-1B -8 0.8
2014 (age 30) 489 50 25 1 14 63 36 97 4 2 -0.2 .245 .302 .403 -.107 .252 .312 .432 .255 -0.5 115-1B -12 0.7

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .254 .310 .425
vs RHP .234 .284 .385
Split +.020 +.026 +.040
LgAvg +.020 +.024 +.038

Valuation

Year OWARP DWARP Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2008 0.9 0.3 1.2 $1,300,000 -8.1 1.4
2009 0.8 0.1 0.8 $925,000 -9.0 0.7
2010 0.9 0.2 1.1 $1,250,000 -3.8 2.4
2011 1.1 0.2 1.2 $1,700,000 0.8 3.7
2012 1.0 0.1 1.2 $1,825,000 1.4 5.1
2013 0.7 0.1 0.8 $1,125,000 -1.3 2.1
2014 0.5 0.2 0.7 $1,050,000 -2.4 0.4
Peak 6.3 $4,675,000 1.4 15.5


Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2008 .262 .246 .230 .249
2009 .257 .243 .222 .248
2010 .273 .239 .220 .255
2011 .277 .256 .233 .265
2012 .272 .257 .234 .269
2013 .272 .248 .222 .257
2014 .275 .247 .210 .255


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2008 7% 0% 29%
2009 23% 6% 27%
2010 39% 20% 37%
2011 47% 35% 41%
2012 59% 47% 38%
2013 68% 53% 33%
2014 70% 63% 32%

Player Comments

Click on the year to report a comment problem (misspelling, premature cutoff, weird characters or rendering, etc.)

2007

Going into 2006, the Devil Rays were in desperate need of a first baseman, as has been the case since Fred McGriff was traded to the Cubs in 2001. The Rays` primary post-Crime Dog first basemen have ranged from inadequate to mediocre:

YEAR	FIRST BASEMAN	RATES		VORP
2001 Steve Cox .257/.323/.427 2.0
2002 Steve Cox .254/.330/.396 3.2
2003 Travis Lee .275/.347/.459 20.7
2004 Tino Martinez .262/.362/.461 22.8
2005 Travis Lee .272/.331/.426 8.2
2006 Travis Lee .223/.312/.364 -11.4
2007* Ty Wigginton .269/.335/.466 16.6

*projected starter with PECOTA forecast
Bankston was the closest thing the Devil Rays had to a projectable young first baseman heading into last year, but rather than recognize that and get him moving towards the major leagues, the Rays took the one-time outfielder and moved him to third base, a move which (A) necessitated a return to Double-A to open the season, (B) seems to have negatively affected his hitting, and (C) left the position a festering wound. While the Rays had other candidates for third base such as B.J. Upton, they had no other candidate for first. It was the kind of move that deserves backslapping all round, an office party, and maybe bonuses. Bankston is almost certainly not a future All-Star. His offensive skills have regressed as he`s climbed the ladder (check out the incredible shrinking walk rate) and he`s failed to keep himself in great shape. Still, he and Joel Guzman currently represent the organization`s best chance of breaking the club`s reliance on stop-gaps at the cool corner--stopgaps such as Ty Wigginton.

2006

Although the minimum prerequisites for first base are not particularly intense--Wanted: Burly slugger. Need not be too mobile. Apply within--the Rays have had a hard time locating anyone who fits that description. Since Fred McGriff hit an aggregate .294/.383/.496 during the Devil Rays` first four years, the team`s first base production has been wholly inadequate. Bankston should change that. He has good power and is randy for the strike zone. More athletic than your typical first baseman, he was moved from the outfield only because of the organization`s surplus there. Bankston missed six weeks with a knee injury, and a wrist injury dented his 2003 numbers. Assuming he stays healthy, he`ll be pressuring Travis Lee from the get-go.

2005

Given all of the outfielders in the system (Baldelli and Crawford are both young, plus prospects like Young, Gathright, Dukes, and Pridie), somebody needed to get shifted to another position. Bankston is that guy, spending a second year at Charleston and moving to first base. He can flat-out hit, and he's been doing it with persistent tendonitis in his wrist. Off-season surgery will hopefully correct that problem once and for all.


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