Biographical

Portrait of Homer Bailey

Homer Bailey PReds

Reds Player Cards | Reds Team Audit | Reds Depth Chart

2013 Projections (seasonal age 27) - Rest of Season Projections
IP ERA WHIP SO W L SV WARP
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Birth Date5-3-1986
Height6' 3"
Weight200 lbs
Age27 years, 0 months, 20 days
BatsR
ThrowsR
0.62009
2.02010
0.92011
3.02012
3.02013
+proj

Standard

YEAR TEAM AGE G GS IP IP-SP IP-RP W L SV BS QS BQS PA H R ER HR TB BB UBB HBP SO ERA FIP FRA VORP WARP
2007 CIN 21 9 9 45.3 45.3 0.0 4 2 0 0 1 1 205 43 32 29 3 66 28 27 3 28 5.76 4.85 4.93 5.3 0.4
2008 CIN 22 8 8 36.3 36.3 0.0 0 6 0 0 2 0 180 59 36 32 8 92 17 16 0 18 7.93 6.38 6.05 0.2 -0.1
2009 CIN 23 20 20 113.3 113.3 0.0 8 5 0 0 10 0 496 115 61 57 12 171 52 51 3 86 4.53 4.37 5.01 7.2 0.6
2010 CIN 24 19 19 109.0 109.0 0.0 4 3 0 0 8 0 465 109 55 54 11 174 40 34 3 100 4.46 3.77 3.91 21.3 2.0
2011 CIN 25 22 22 132.0 132.0 0.0 9 7 0 0 13 0 561 136 68 65 18 214 33 31 5 106 4.43 4.02 4.88 10.0 0.9
2012 CIN 26 33 33 208.0 208.0 0.0 13 10 0 0 21 1 874 206 97 85 26 331 52 49 8 168 3.68 4.01 4.11 27.6 3.0
2013 CIN 27 9 9 58.3 58.3 0.0 2 3 0 0 6 0 235 50 20 20 4 76 15 15 1 55 3.09 2.79 3.42 14.0 1.5
Career120120702.3702.30.04036006123016718369342821124237223235614.384.114.4785.58.4

Advanced

'opp' stats - quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP FRA FRA+ TAv oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG oppTAv BABIP PPF PVORP PWARP VORP WARP
2005 DYT A 28 21 103.7 0.00 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 -.431 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2006 SAR A+ 13 13 70.2 4.59 105 .193 .261 .337 .386 .260 .243 101 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2006 CHT AA 13 13 68.1 0.00 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .290 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2007 CIN MLB 9 9 45.3 4.93 98 .264 .279 .349 .448 .272 .280 101 4.8 0.5 5.3 0.4
2007 SAR A+ 2 2 8.0 6.81 80 .395 .269 .338 .400 .262 .433 104 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2007 LOU AAA 12 12 67.3 4.55 103 .216 .267 .334 .402 .258 .246 105 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2008 CIN MLB 8 8 36.3 6.05 75 .341 .269 .341 .451 .272 .372 104 0.3 0.0 0.2 -0.1
2008 LOU AAA 19 19 111.3 4.81 102 .252 .266 .338 .418 .259 .326 102 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2009 CIN MLB 20 20 113.3 5.01 90 .265 .273 .347 .439 .273 .300 101 8.0 0.8 7.2 0.6
2009 LOU AAA 14 14 89.7 4.45 108 .240 .268 .335 .399 .259 .301 105 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2010 CIN MLB 19 19 109.0 3.91 113 .255 .267 .338 .427 .273 .315 102 18.1 1.9 21.3 2.0
2010 DYT A 1 1 4.0 2.75 137 .221 .260 .348 .435 .279 .364 94 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2010 LOU AAA 4 3 19.0 3.66 117 .176 .269 .342 .407 .256 .283 98 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2011 CIN MLB 22 22 132.0 4.88 92 .254 .265 .328 .414 .266 .296 108 6.4 0.7 10.0 0.9
2011 LOU AAA 6 6 30.0 4.10 105 .219 .265 .334 .399 .248 .326 97 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2012 CIN MLB 33 33 208.0 4.11 110 .254 .265 .331 .427 .273 .290 106 27.4 2.9 27.6 3.0
2013 CIN MLB 9 9 58.3 3.42 119 .227 .257 .318 .397 .257 .287 102 11.4 1.2 14.0 1.5
CareerMLB120702.34.6298.260.267.335.427.270.3017349.05.157.95.4

Statistics For All Levels

Year Team Lg W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 WHIP ERA VORP WARP
2005 DYT A 8 4 0 28 21 103.7 89 62 125 5 0% -.431 7.7 5.4 0.4 10.8 1.46 4.43 0.0 0.0
2006 CHT AA 7 1 0 13 13 68.1 50 28 77 1 0% .290 6.6 3.7 0.1 10.2 1.15 1.59 0.0 0.0
2006 SAR A+ 3 5 0 13 13 70.2 49 22 79 6 45% .243 6.3 2.8 0.8 10.1 1.01 3.33 0.0 0.0
2007 CIN MLB 4 2 0 9 9 45.3 43 28 28 3 47% .280 8.5 5.6 0.6 5.6 1.57 5.76 5.3 0.4
2007 LOU AAA 6 3 0 12 12 67.3 49 32 59 4 47% .246 6.6 4.3 0.5 7.9 1.20 3.08 0.0 0.0
2007 SAR A+ 0 1 0 2 2 8.0 15 5 7 2 19% .433 16.9 5.6 2.2 7.9 2.50 10.12 0.0 0.0
2008 CIN MLB 0 6 0 8 8 36.3 59 17 18 8 46% .372 14.6 4.2 2.0 4.5 2.09 7.93 0.2 -0.1
2008 LOU AAA 4 7 0 19 19 111.3 118 46 96 10 46% .326 9.5 3.7 0.8 7.8 1.47 4.77 0.0 0.0
2009 CIN MLB 8 5 0 20 20 113.3 115 52 86 12 43% .300 9.1 4.1 1.0 6.8 1.47 4.53 7.2 0.6
2009 LOU AAA 8 5 0 14 14 89.7 87 27 82 10 46% .301 8.7 2.7 1.0 8.2 1.27 2.71 0.0 0.0
2010 CIN MLB 4 3 0 19 19 109.0 109 40 100 11 44% .315 9.0 3.3 0.9 8.3 1.37 4.46 21.3 2.0
2010 DYT A 0 1 0 1 1 4.0 4 1 5 0 36% .364 9.0 2.2 0.0 11.2 1.25 6.75 0.0 0.0
2010 LOU AAA 2 0 0 4 3 19.0 15 5 15 0 45% .283 7.1 2.4 0.0 7.1 1.05 2.37 0.0 0.0
2011 LOU AAA 2 1 0 6 6 30.0 34 6 22 1 39% .326 10.2 1.8 0.3 6.6 1.33 3.00 0.0 0.0
2011 CIN MLB 9 7 0 22 22 132.0 136 33 106 18 41% .296 9.3 2.2 1.2 7.2 1.28 4.43 10.0 0.9
2012 CIN MLB 13 10 0 33 33 208.0 206 52 168 26 46% .290 8.9 2.2 1.1 7.3 1.24 3.68 27.6 3.0
2013 CIN MLB 2 3 0 9 9 58.3 50 15 55 4 51% .287 7.7 2.3 0.6 8.5 1.11 3.09 14.0 1.5

Injury History beta

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2011-05-27 2011-06-26 15-DL 30 27 Right Shoulder Sprain Posterior Capsule While Hitting -
2011-03-24 2011-05-05 15-DL 42 30 Right Shoulder Impingement -
2010-09-20 2010-09-20 DTD 0 0 General Medical Dizziness -
2010-05-24 2010-08-15 15-DL 83 73 Right Shoulder Inflammation -
2009-08-13 2009-08-18 DTD 5 4 Right Foot Contusion -
2008-08-24 2008-09-03 Minors 10 0 Right Knee Sprain MCL -
2007-07-18 2007-08-30 Minors 43 0 Right Groin Strain Moderate -
2007-05-13 2007-05-22 Minors 9 0 Groin Strain -

Compensation

Year Team Salary
2014 CIN $
2013 CIN $5,350,000
2012 CIN $2,425,000
2011 CIN $441,000
2010 CIN $418,000
YearsDescriptionSalary
3 yrPrevious$3,284,000
2011Current$5,350,000
4 yrPvs + Cur$8,634,000
4 yrTotal$8,634,000

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
4 y 17 dHendricks Sports1 year/$5.35M (2013)

Details
  • 1 year/$5.35M (2013). Re-signed by Cincinnati 2/16/13 (avoided arbitration, $5.8M-$4.75M).
  • 1 year/$2.425M (2012). Re-signed by Cincinnati 1/17/12 (avoided arbitration). May earn additional $75,000 in performance bonuses.
  • 1 year/$0.441M (2011). Re-signed by Cincinnati 3/11.
  • 1 year/$0.418M (2010). Re-signed by Cincinnati 3/10.
  • 1 year/$0.4005M (2009). Re-signed by Cincinnati 3/2/09.
  • 1 year (2008). Re-signed by Cincinnati 2/29/08.
  • 1 year (2007). Contract purchased by Cincinnati 6/8/07.
  • Drafted by Cincinnati 2004 (1-7) (LaGrange HS, Texas). $2.3M signing bonus.

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Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv
10 vs L (Multi) .253 .314 .395 .250
11 vs R (Multi) .265 .311 .428 .260
18 Split (Multi) -.012 .004 -.033 -.009
19 LgAvg (Multi) .011 .025 .022 .017
30 vs L (2012) .245 .307 .375 .241
31 vs R (2012) .265 .305 .442 .264
38 Split (2012) -.020 .002 -.068 -.023
39 LgAvg (2012) .009 .024 .021 .017

BP Annual Player Comments

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BP Articles

Homer Bailey is referenced in the following articles.

BP Premium requires BP Premium access to view, BP Fantasy requires BP Premium or BP Fantasy access to view

  Title Author Date
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: The No-Name O'sDaniel Rathman2013-05-22
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: May 20th, 2013Clint Chisam2013-05-20
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Going the Wrong RayDaniel Rathman2013-05-17
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: May 15th, 2013Clint Chisam2013-05-15
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: Dumping Targets, a Look BackMike Gianella2013-05-13
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week SevenPaul Sporer2013-05-10
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: May 8th, 2013Clint Chisam2013-05-08
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Mailbag: Playing the Waiting GameBP Fantasy Team2013-05-03
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Hooray for HanleywoodDaniel Rathman2013-05-01
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: April 27, 2013Clint Chisam2013-04-27
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Muscle and BraunDaniel Rathman2013-04-26
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: Springing Into ActionJason Collette2013-04-23
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: April 22, 2013Clint Chisam2013-04-22
Fantasy Mailbag: Matt-for-Matt?BP Fantasy Team2013-04-19
This article requires BP Premium accessOn the Beat: Choo-sing to Look on the Sunny SideJohn Perrotto2013-04-18
This article requires BP Premium accessThe Call-Up: Tony CingraniBret Sayre2013-04-17
This article requires BP Premium accessThe Call-Up: Tony CingraniMark Anderson2013-04-17
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: April 17, 2013Clint Chisam2013-04-17
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week ThreePaul Sporer2013-04-12
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: April 11, 2013Clint Chisam2013-04-11
Daily Roundup: Around the League: April 6, 2013Joe Hamrahi2013-04-06
Daily Roundup: Around the League: April 6, 2013Clint Chisam2013-04-06
BP Unfiltered: The Velocity Gainers and Losers of Spring 2013Harry Pavlidis2013-04-01
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Tier Rankings: National League Starting PitchersPaul Sporer2013-03-28
Prospectus Preview: These Questions Three: The FavoritesNick J. Faleris2013-03-25
Prospectus Preview: These Questions Three: The FavoritesR.J. Anderson2013-03-25
This article requires BP Premium accessProspects Will Break Your Heart: Cincinnati Reds Top 10 ProspectsJason Parks2013-03-22
Pre-Season Positional Rankings: Top 80 Fantasy Starting Pitchers, Part Two: 41-80Jason Collette2013-03-08
Pre-Season Positional Rankings: Top 80 Fantasy Starting Pitchers, Part Two: 41-80Paul Sporer2013-03-08
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Beat: Budget Allocations and Pitching-Staff OutcomesJason Collette2013-02-26
This article requires BP Premium accessBizball: A Detailed Look at the Salary Arbitration Class of 2013Maury Brown2013-02-25
This article requires BP Premium accessArbitration Showdown: Mock Hearing: Homer BaileyBen Lindbergh2013-02-12
This article requires BP Premium accessArbitration Showdown: Mock Hearing: Homer BaileyIan Miller2013-02-12
This article requires BP Premium accessArbitration Showdown: Mock Hearing: Homer BaileyDoug Thorburn2013-02-12
This article requires BP Premium accessArbitration Showdown: Mock Hearing: Max ScherzerBen Lindbergh2013-02-07
This article requires BP Premium accessArbitration Showdown: Mock Hearing: Max ScherzerMaury Brown2013-02-07
This article requires BP Premium accessArbitration Showdown: Mock Hearing: Max ScherzerLarry Granillo2013-02-07
This article requires BP Premium accessWestern Front: They Took Their TurnGeoff Young2013-02-04
This article requires BP Premium accessRumor Roundup: Tuesday, January 22Daniel Rathman2013-01-22
This article requires BP Premium accessPebble Hunting: Hottest Rumors From Baseball's Winter Meetings in Nashville!Sam Miller2012-12-07
This article requires BP Premium accessRumor Roundup: Tuesday, November 27Daniel Rathman2012-11-27
This article requires BP Premium accessRumor Roundup: Tuesday, November 6Daniel Rathman2012-11-06
Playoff Prospectus: World Series (and Postseason) RecapSam Miller2012-10-29
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessResident Fantasy Genius: The Ones We Got RightDerek Carty2012-10-22
Playoff Prospectus: How the ALCS Squads Were BuiltR.J. Anderson2012-10-16
This article requires BP Premium accessPlayoff Prospectus: NLCS Game Two Preview: Cardinals at GiantsDaniel Rathman2012-10-15
This article requires BP Premium accessPlayoff Prospectus: NLDS Game Three Recap: Giants 2, Reds 1Sam Miller2012-10-10
This article requires BP Premium accessPlayoff Prospectus: NLDS Game Four Preview: Giants at RedsDaniel Rathman2012-10-10
This article requires BP Premium accessPlayoff Prospectus: NLDS Game Three Preview: Giants at RedsDaniel Rathman2012-10-09
This article requires BP Premium accessPlayoff Prospectus: Giants-Reds Division Series PreviewSam Miller2012-10-06
This article requires BP Premium accessOn the Beat: Planning a Play-In StrategyJohn Perrotto2012-10-04
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessValue Picks: Starting Pitching ReviewPaul Sporer2012-10-02
On the Beat: Trouble in Tiger TownJohn Perrotto2012-09-21
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessValue Picks: Starting Pitching for 9/20/12Paul Sporer2012-09-20
This article requires BP Premium accessOverthinking It: The Surprisingly Hard-to-Hit Pitches of 2012Ben Lindbergh2012-09-19
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessResident Fantasy Genius: Using ISO to Legitimize High/Low BABIPs?Derek Carty2012-09-10
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessWeekly Planner: Week 21Paul Sporer2012-08-17
BP Fantasy Podcast: Episode 14: The Next YoukilisJason Collette2012-07-28
BP Fantasy Podcast: Episode 14: The Next YoukilisPaul Sporer2012-07-28
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessWeekly Planner: Week 18Paul Sporer2012-07-27
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessWeekly Planner: Week 15Paul Sporer2012-07-13
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessValue Picks: Starting Pitching for 7/6/12Paul Sporer2012-07-06
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessWeekly Planner: Week 14Paul Sporer2012-06-29
This article requires BP Premium accessOverthinking It: The Cincinnati Reds and the Benefits of Being HomegrownBen Lindbergh2012-06-19
Future Shock Blog: Draft Day Dream CrushingKevin Goldstein2012-06-04
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessWeekly Planner: Week 10Paul Sporer2012-06-01
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessValue Picks: Starting Pitchers for 5/31/12Paul Sporer2012-05-31
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessWeekly Planner: Week SevenPaul Sporer2012-05-11
What You Need to Know: Tuesday, May 8Daniel Rathman2012-05-08
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Beat: Humber's Change in ProcessJason Collette2012-04-23
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Tater Trot Tracker: Trot Times for April 9Larry Granillo2012-04-10
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Beat: 9 Small Sample-Based Bold PredictionsJason Collette2012-04-10
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Hit and Run: Loose Threads: Central DivisionJay Jaffe2012-04-02
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Beat: BP Preseason Fantasy Baseball AwardsBaseball Prospectus2012-03-30
Fantasy Beat: Tout Wars and LABR AL DraftsJason Collette2012-03-27
Prospectus Hit and Run: Rattling SABRs in the Desert, Part IJay Jaffe2012-03-23
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The Lineup Card: 10 Favorite Off-Season MovesBaseball Prospectus2012-03-21
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessPreseason Value Picks: Starting Pitchers for 3/15/12Mike Petriello2012-03-15
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The BP Wayback Machine: PECOTA Takes on Pitching Prospects and Left-Handed PitchersNate Silver2011-12-15
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This article requires BP Premium accessCollateral Damage: The Season in Injuries: NL CentralCorey Dawkins2011-11-11
This article requires BP Premium accessKiss'Em Goodbye: Cincinnati RedsSteven Goldman2011-09-20
This article requires BP Premium accessKiss'Em Goodbye: Cincinnati RedsESPN Insider2011-09-20
This article requires BP Premium accessKiss'Em Goodbye: Cincinnati RedsKevin Goldstein2011-09-20
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessValue Picks: Starting Pitchers for 9/15/11Mike Petriello2011-09-15
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessValue Picks: Starting Pitchers for 8/8/11Mike Petriello2011-09-08
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessValue Picks: Starting Pitchers for 9/1/11Mike Petriello2011-09-01
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessResident Fantasy Genius: The One-Category Pitching BandDerek Carty2011-07-25
This article requires BP Premium accessOn the Beat: Red Hot or Dead Red?John Perrotto2011-07-20
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessValue Picks: Starting Pitchers for 7/15/11Bill Baer2011-07-15
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessValue Picks: Starting Pitchers for 7/8/11Bill Baer2011-07-08
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessValue Picks: Starting PitchersBill Baer2011-06-24
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessValue Picks: Starting PitchersBill Baer2011-06-17
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock Blog: Minor League Update: Games of June 16Kevin Goldstein2011-06-17
This article requires BP Premium accessCollateral Damage: A Scalpel Full of PoseyCorey Dawkins2011-05-27
This article requires BP Premium accessCollateral Damage: A Scalpel Full of PoseyBen Lindbergh2011-05-27
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDon't Believe the Hype: The Unlikely HeroesMarc Normandin2011-05-13
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Beat: Weekly Planner #7Craig Brown2011-05-13
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Beat: Value Picks in the RotationBill Baer2011-05-13
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Hit List: Beasts of the EastTommy Bennett2011-05-10
Transaction Analysis Blog: Reds Get Bailey and Cueto BackR.J. Anderson2011-05-09
This article requires BP Premium accessCollateral Damage: The Usual SuspectsMarc Normandin2011-05-06
This article requires BP Premium accessCollateral Damage: The Usual SuspectsCorey Dawkins2011-05-06
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Beat: Value Picks in the RotationBill Baer2011-05-06
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Beat: Weekly Planner #6Craig Brown2011-05-06
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Hit and Run: Bad-Start Starter Six-PackJay Jaffe2011-04-29
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This article requires BP Premium accessCollateral Damage: Disabled on Opening DayMarc Normandin2011-03-30
This article requires BP Premium accessCollateral Damage: Disabled on Opening DayCorey Dawkins2011-03-30
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This article requires BP Premium accessTeam Injury Projection: Cincinnati RedsCorey Dawkins2011-03-22
This article requires BP Premium accessTeam Injury Projection: Cincinnati RedsMarc Normandin2011-03-22
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Focus: Pre-season Fantasy PredictionsBaseball Prospectus2011-03-17
This article requires BP Premium accessOn the Beat: Reds Plot a RepeatJohn Perrotto2011-03-14
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Hit and Run: Rotation Rumble in the NLJay Jaffe2011-03-02
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Focus: NL Starting Pitcher RankingsMarc Normandin2011-02-28
This article requires BP Premium accessPurpose Pitches: Adaptation and ReactionChristina Kahrl2011-02-25
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This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Beat: Hot Spots: Relief PitchersMike Petriello2011-01-27
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One-Hoppers: Front Six LDS RostersChristina Kahrl2010-10-06
This article requires BP Premium accessPlayoff Prospectus: NLDS Preview : Phillies vs. RedsChristina Kahrl2010-10-05
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BP Podcast: Episode 18: I'm Stopping The Podcast!Kevin Goldstein2010-09-22
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This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Beat: Weekly Planner #25Craig Brown2010-09-17
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Perspective: Race to the Top Marc Normandin2010-09-09
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Beat: Hot Spots: Starting PitchersBill Baer2010-09-03
This article requires BP Premium accessOn the Beat: No Worse for the WearJohn Perrotto2010-09-03
This article requires BP Premium accessOn the Beat: Manny Being Manny with a SAP ButtonJohn Perrotto2010-09-01
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Beat: Hot Spots: Starting PitchersBill Baer2010-08-27
This article requires BP Premium accessPlayoff Odds Update: Twins Continue Their RiseJohn Perrotto2010-08-23
This article requires BP Premium accessOn the Beat: Retooling on the FlyJohn Perrotto2010-08-23
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Beat: Hot Spots: Starting PitchersBill Baer2010-08-20
This article requires BP Premium accessOn the Beat: Going GreenJohn Perrotto2010-08-20
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Hit List: Hit It and Twit ItJay Jaffe2010-08-19
This article requires BP Premium accessOn the Beat: Fish Future is BrightJohn Perrotto2010-08-18
This article requires BP Premium accessUnder The Knife: 997Will Carroll2010-08-16
This article requires BP Premium accessUnder The Knife: Put Me In, CoachWill Carroll2010-08-11
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Perspective: Reds Prepare for Final ExamsJohn Perrotto2010-08-09
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock Blog: Minor League Update: Games of August 5Kevin Goldstein2010-08-06
This article requires BP Premium accessUnder The Knife: No Two Injuries are AlikeWill Carroll2010-08-02
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This article requires BP Premium accessUnder The Knife: The No Fun League?Will Carroll2010-07-27
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This article requires BP Premium accessUnder The Knife: Hitting PauseWill Carroll2010-07-12
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Action: Dealing and DecapitatingChristina Kahrl2010-07-02
This article requires BP Premium accessUnder The Knife: Monday UpdateWill Carroll2010-06-14
Under The Knife: Wednesday UpdateWill Carroll2010-06-09
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This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Hit and Run: Seeing RedJay Jaffe2010-06-02
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BP Unfiltered: The Paper Trail of May 24John Perrotto2010-05-24
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Expanded Horizons: The Unlikely First-Place Teams Tommy Bennett2010-05-18
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BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2011-01-18 13:00:00Your thoughts on Homer Bailey? For the second year in a row he's come up big at the end of the season. Is he ready to carry the improvement through an entire season?
(johnklein from Northeast)
He was another player I expected to break out in 2010, but the Reds had roughly 13 capable starting pitchers, and Bailey got squeezed out often. I think he's much better than his 2010 ERA indicates, and I'm willing to bet on that if I get the chance to acquire him for my own teams. (Marc Normandin)
2010-12-02 13:00:00Bronson Arroyo, Johnny Cueto, Edinson Volquez, Homer Bailey, Travis Wood, Mike Leake, Matt Maloney, Sam LeCure, Aroldis Chapman. That's 9 guys for 5 rotation spots in Cincinnati. How can Jocketty best capitalize on that depth?
(RMR from Chicago)
A few of the brighter bulbs 'round these parts (where there isn't much call for cheddar, by the way)have made a few suggestions. IIRC, SG recommended they trade Volquez, while CK opted for shipping out Maloney, I think. Me, I'd find out what sort of a market there is for Mike Leake -- maybe he's already at his peak trade value. It's really, really hard to predict trades that actually get made, because you almost always look like you're way over- or under-valuing someone in retrospect. That being said, sitting on all that pitching is like sitting on a pot of gold, and Jocketty is sure to be a very popular man next week. (Ken Funck)
2010-08-17 14:45:00Let's pretend the Reds make the playoffs. How do you line up the rotation? Cueto & Arroyo seem like the only locks at this point.
(Rick from Chicago)
Hmm, that's a tough one. Cueto is your Game 1 starter, followed by Arroyo. After that, I would probably roll the dice with Volquez and try to use those three as a three-man rotation. Assuming Leake has an innings limit, he will likely be close to maxed out come playoff-time, and I'm not trusting Homer Bailey or Travis Wood with a playoff game. (Eric Seidman)
2010-08-17 14:45:00Given Jordan Lyles's success this year, do you think he figures into the Houston rotation next year?
(Lyles from Houston)
Well, if Brian Moehler has figured into their rotations recently, I don't see why not. Let him pitch in spring training, and take it from there. Maybe he isn't in the rotation at the onset of the season but he could be there by the summer. The Astros finally seem to understand what they need to do, and keeping someone that could develop more at the major league level, in the minors, is not progressive or helpful to the organization. Then again, he should be close to ready -- we don't want another Homer Bailey situation. (Eric Seidman)
2010-05-05 13:00:00Hey Marc ... this may be more of a Goldstein question, but the demotion of Alex Gordon got me thinking. Which current AAA player has had his career screwed up the most by his organization (more than his own performance)?
(dianagramr from NYC)
Homer Bailey, possibly? He was never ready for the big leagues any of the times he was called up, but that didn't stop the Reds from using him to plug holes over and over again. Anyone else have any ideas? (Marc Normandin)
2010-02-18 14:00:00Post-hype prospect showdown. Better year in 2010: Homer Bailey or Cameron Maybin?
(holgado from pelham, ny)
Bailey. (Kevin Goldstein)
2010-02-05 13:00:00Hi Marc, do you have a strong gut feeling about any of these guys?: Buchholz, Brett Anderson, Dice-K, Scott Baker, Matusz, Wade Davis, Ricky Romero, Justin Masterson, Homer Bailey. Let's assume Tommy Hanson was gone several rounds ago. Please help or my entire pitching staff will be sleepers!
(robertcfox from DC)
Brett Anderson and Clay Buchholz would be the two I suggest to you. Buchholz showed some positive growth in 2009 that I'm excited to see in 2010, and Brett Anderson is a future beast. (Marc Normandin)
2010-02-09 13:00:00What are your expectations of Homer Bailey this season? Will he build on hsi success from late 2009?
(Brandon from Charleston, WV)
I expect him to build on his nice late-season showing (though one has to allow for the fact that it was September) and become a competent major league starting pitcher with occasional stretches which remind us why he was so highly touted.

And probably a trip to the DL unless the Reds can fake Dusty Baker into boarding a flight for Uzbekistan or Antarctica. (Jay Jaffe)
2009-11-19 13:00:00Thoughts on Homer Bailey turning a corner at the end of the year?
(Scott from Greenville, SC)
It was against a really weak group of opponents. He's been mishandled, and if left alone, you're looking at an erratic league-average starter. (Joe Sheehan)
2009-10-23 16:00:00Is there any hope for Samardizja as a starter or are the Cubs best served by using him as a two-pitch short reliever? I know his peripherals have been poor despite a powerful arm( upper 90's).
(Matt from Chicago)
Things looked much better last season, when he threw mid-90s heat, induced 45% grounders and had a high strikeout rate. This year, the grounders and flyballs were virtually equivalent and the strikeout rate dropped precipitously. You have to give him a chance to fail, though. The Cubs should not simply make him a reliever if he has the chops to potentially start. Just like with Homer Bailey, a few outings are not enough to base a decision on someone's future. Let Samardzija feel like he's a starter, in the rotation at the outset of the season, and if he cannot cut the muster, reevaluate the decision (not automatically change it), but when you draft guys like him it's in the hope that he becomes the next big SP, not the next 7th inning righty. (Eric Seidman)
2009-09-02 13:00:00Thoughts on Homer Bailey? Seems to be finding something of late.
(jromero from seattle)
The generic response with Bailey has always been that he needed a change of scenery. I always felt he needed a longer leash in the big leagues. You cannot bring someone up for 3 starts and then get rid of him if he struggles. Anything can happen in brief spurts. It might not be that hes finding something of late as much as that he actually has some job security. (Eric Seidman)
2009-07-09 13:00:00Hi John, what is your take on Homer Bailey? Has he finally figured things out or is this just an illusion?
(sbryk7 from Brooklyn, NY)
You know, he's a tough guy to figure. I'd like to think he's figured things out but my instincts tell me he's one of those guys who, for whatever reason, won't really turn the corner until he changes organizations. Again, no solid reason why I feel that way, just gut instinct. (John Perrotto)
2009-05-07 14:00:00Do you believe Homer Bailey has turned a corner and is a premiere pitching prospect again?
(Rob from Dallas)
I believe he has turned a corner. Premiere? I"m not so sure, but I think he's got a career in front of him at least. (Kevin Goldstein)
2009-05-04 14:00:00Bigger ceiling: Clay Buchholz or Homer Bailey?
(Rob from Dallas)
Buchholz.

Man, I should do all my chats like this. (Joe Sheehan)
2009-04-08 15:00:00Party like it is 2006/2007... which will finally turn the prospect corner this year? Homer Bailey, Edwin Jackson, or neither?
(Greg from Toledo, Ohio)
I'd bet both before I bet neither, but I already put some big chips on Jackson as part of the Tigers Top 11 prospect, so go with that. (Kevin Goldstein)
2009-01-26 14:00:00What happened to Homer Bailey?
(Scott from Greenville, SC)
If you figure that out, the general, publicly listed phone number for the Reds is 513-765-7000. To Ian from Detroit: I can't answer your question for obvious reasons, but thanks for the laugh and I hope things work out for you. (Kevin Goldstein)
2008-12-15 13:00:00How would you help Homer Bailey's mechanics? Do you agree they are terrible?
(deberly from Cincinnati)
They're not good, but I've never thought his mechanics were a big issue. I'm coming more and more to the idea that mechanics are an issue for youth pitchers, maybe college, because by the time they get to the pros, they're pretty much locked in besides small tweaks. Maybe you can "Roy Halladay" someone, but that's really it. Bailey's coachability and desire have been the issues I've always heard about, all the way back to HS. I think you could change his ball release and get him to pronate. Bailey's one of the guys I look forward to being able to talk to in Cincinnati. How many questions about pronation do you think he's heard from the press? :) (Will Carroll)
2008-12-04 13:30:00Why are the Twins so willing to unload Delmon Young after only one season? Follow-up: what's the trade value for him--someone like Homer Bailey, or more like Matt Cain (or Matt Garza)?
(Scott from Detroit)
Argh. Got a call and lost my answer to this...his value is between them, but if the Twins trade for a pitcher, Smith should be fired. Sand to the beach, and all that. (Joe Sheehan)
2008-10-15 13:00:00With quality young talent like Jay Bruce, Johnny Cueto, Edinson Volquez, Joey Votto, and others, do you think the Reds are close to contending?
(smitty25039 from Charleston)
If you haven't already, check out Kevin Goldstein's article on which teams might be the "next Rays" in the NL. http://baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=8203
The Reds are close, but as Goldstein says, the outlook is "semi-bright, but not perfect." One big problem is the outfield corners; they've got nobody now without Dunn, and it doesn't look like minor league center fielder Drew Stubbs is quite ready to make enough impact with the bat to move Jay Bruce to a corner. According to Goldstein, Cincinnati is also pretty weak in pitching prospects beyond the group that already hit the majors this season, and the 2008 results from Homer Bailey were discouraging. Still, Cueto and Volquez are a fantastic young duo, and I'm pretty high on Ramon Ramirez, too, who pitched well in September and has a nasty changeup. Not in 2009, but by 2010 they could be fighting for a division title if that starting trio continues to develop. (Caleb Peiffer)
2008-10-09 14:00:00Speaking of TNSTAAPP, does the same ring true for Homer Bailey? Any significant thoughts about his development or is it similar to your comments on Buchholz & Hughes...thanks.
(lrgreen from NYC)
From the people I've talked to who are closer to the situation, Bailey appears to have some serious makeup issues that weren't necessarily foreseen at the time he was considered such hot stuff. Confidence and even cockiness aren't necessarily detriments in a ballplayer, but uncoachability - the word that gets tossed around a lot in conjunction with his name - is.

I have a hunch he gets traded by Opening Day next year. A change of scenery is probably in his best interest. (Jay Jaffe)
2008-10-09 14:00:00Homer Bailey for JJ Hardy - reasonable deal?
(kingofstyle from NY)
Me, I wouldn't take Bailey for a J.J. Hardy rookie card, let alone Hardy himself, at least right now. Hardy's been worth about 14 WARP3 the past two years, and while the Brewers have a prospect in Alicedes Escobar, if they're going to trade their starting SS for pitching, they've got to get back somebody who's much more developed, a surer bet. (Jay Jaffe)
2008-10-09 14:00:00Homer Bailey is worthless right now... I'd look at whatever the Indians gave for Anthony Reyes. Maybe Bailey fetches a little more but not much.
(Yanick from Brooklyn)
Very good point. The Tribe gave up an oldish minor-league reliever named Luis Perdomo - live arm, but only in Double A at age 24. Christina Kahrl hit this well here: http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=7866#SLN (Jay Jaffe)
2008-06-23 12:00:00Hey I have bought the last 3 annuals- cant I get a question answered? Now that they have had some major league experience how would you rate the following highy touted pitchers= Andrew Miller, Phil Hughes, Joba Chamberlain, Tim Lincecum, Homer Bailey and Clayton Kershaw. If Detroit had a do-over would they still select Miller over Kershaw?
(bpfan from nyc)
Of course you can get a question answered. I'd rank them like this: Chamberlain, Lincecum, Kershaw, Hughes, Miller, Bailey. Though I'm sure they wouldn't say so, I think the Tigers would rather have taken Kershaw with the way it's all turned out. (John Perrotto)
2008-05-30 13:00:00Help, I'm going crazy flipping back and forth between Mario Kart wii and GT5prologue. But I digress, on to baseball... Homer Bailey = a) green apple b) almost ripe plum c) over ripe peach d) rotten tomato e)headed for the compost bin ..anxiously waiting Disgaea 3....
(Goldeye99 from Wpg)
Realistic racing, ptth. I'm all about Mario Kart and F-Zero, none of this realistic stuff :-)

I think the Reds are just being cautious with Bailey this time, since they rushed him up last time. I'll say he's ready, but the Reds are waiting for the right opening. They have been good about putting kids onto the roster this year, so look for him to come up sooner than later.

Also, Disgaea 3 is a must buy. I can't wait for the DS version of the original to come out too, so I can now replay it with multiplayer :-) (Marc Normandin)
2008-05-29 13:00:00There is a good deal of talk by Cincy media (Hal McCoy, John Fay, Marty) that Homer Bailey has a bad attitude. And while he might, I think the bigger problem is that he does't want to deal with these crusty old men who are doing their job considerably less effectively than they should. Any insight?
(Ryan from Cincinnati, OH)
I can't really top yours. (Joe Sheehan)
2008-04-29 14:00:00Nope, not related to Goldeneye, but rather the Winnipeg Goldeyes (independent minor league baseball team). Since I'm here again, how about Homer Bailey? Call up soon? or did Baker go sour on him in spring training? I've had Bailey stashed in my fantasy keeper league for way too long.
(Goldeye99 from Wpg)
I keep hearing he's coming up soon, but then he doesn't show. At least he's finally pitching like he knows what's up in Triple-A, so maybe he won't get rocked in the show this time. (Marc Normandin)
2008-01-14 13:00:00Here we go again, you hating Homer Bailey again. There is no way Itrade Bailey for Joe Blanton and Homer Bailey has a world of an ability.
(Rick from Ohio)
Yes, we do. Bailey has a world of TALENT, not a world of ability. He unquestionably has talent, but he also unquestionably has not funneled that talent into results. For a Reds team that has a weak bullpen, Dusty as manager, and thinks (rightly) that they can contend in their division, Blanton is the better fit. (Will Carroll)
2008-02-04 13:00:00Please rank in order of highest ceiling: Lincecum Buckholz Gallardo Chamberlain Bailey Fr. Morales
(anthonyjoseph from Chicago)
Questions like that are too subjective for me to answer with much conviction, but given the number of plus pitches in his repertoire, I’d go with Buchholz. That said, I think the most likely to reach his ceiling, and maintain it, might be Gallardo.

Of that group, does anyone else find it interesting that Lincecum has the only run-of-the-mill first name? Or that he was born the year the Replacements released their album “Let It Be” -- one year before they released “Tim”?

Meanwhile, yes, I know that Homer Bailey’s name is actually David. I also know that Homer Smoot, who was among the NL leaders in home runs in 1902, was nicknamed “Doc.” Given that some people have expressed health concerns regarding one or more pitchers on this list, perhaps that’s ironic? (David Laurila)
2008-02-04 13:00:00Outside of his height, why is Homer Bailey more highly regarded than Johhny Cueto. Cueto is striking out as many, walking fewer, and has thrown many more innings in a single season than Bailey. Obviously I'm happy to have both, but I can't help but think Bailey is still going to be trying to figure it out when Cueto is the Reds #3 starter.
(TheRedsMan from Chicago)
Is it just height, or is it weight also? When it comes to pitchers, some would argue that size matters.

It wouldn’t surprise me if Cueto is Cinci’s number 3 starter this year. That said, it wouldn’t shock me if Bailey is the number 2. Is it out of the question that the two could combine for 30 wins this season? Not in my opinion. (David Laurila)
2008-02-04 13:00:00Garza or Homer Bailey, '08 and longterm?
(Mike from NJ)
Boy, that's a tough one because I like both. Forced to choose, I'll take Garza. I think the Rays were wise in acquiring him. (David Laurila)


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