Biographical

Portrait of Erick Aybar

Erick Aybar SSAngels

Angels Player Cards | Angels Team Audit | Angels Depth Chart

2014 Rest-of-Season Projections (seasonal age 30)
PA AVG HR R RBI SB TAv WARP
3 .278 0 0 0 0 .259 0.0
Birth Date1-14-1984
Height5' 10"
Weight180 lbs
Age30 years, 9 months, 11 days
BatsB
ThrowsR
1.22010
3.92011
2.82012
1.12013
2.32014
+proj
WARP Summary

Standard

YEAR TEAM AGE G PA AB R H 2B 3B HR TB BB SO HBP SF SH RBI SB CS AVG OBP SLG TAv VORP FRAA WARP
2006 ANA 22 34 40 40 5 10 1 1 0 13 0 8 0 0 0 2 1 0 .250 .250 .325 .184 -2.3 0.0 -0.2
2007 ANA 23 79 211 194 18 46 5 1 1 56 10 32 2 2 3 19 4 4 .237 .279 .289 .193 -7.3 2.0 -0.5
2008 ANA 24 98 375 346 53 96 18 5 3 133 14 45 5 1 9 39 7 2 .277 .314 .384 .240 11.7 5.5 1.7
2009 ANA 25 137 556 504 70 157 23 9 5 213 30 54 5 5 12 58 14 7 .312 .353 .423 .264 30.6 -6.2 2.5
2010 ANA 26 138 589 534 69 135 18 4 5 176 35 81 7 2 11 29 22 8 .253 .306 .330 .235 13.8 -2.5 1.2
2011 ANA 27 143 605 556 71 155 33 8 10 234 31 68 6 3 9 59 30 6 .279 .322 .421 .271 33.4 3.3 3.9
2012 ANA 28 141 554 517 67 150 31 5 8 215 22 61 5 2 7 45 20 4 .290 .324 .416 .277 31.9 -5.4 2.8
2013 ANA 29 138 589 550 68 149 33 5 6 210 23 59 3 5 8 54 12 7 .271 .301 .382 .250 20.6 -10.5 1.1
2014 ANA 30 156 641 589 77 164 30 4 7 223 36 62 5 8 3 68 16 9 .278 .321 .379 .269 32.6 -11.8 2.3
Career10644160383049810621924245147320147038286237312647.277.318.385.255165.0-25.514.8

Advanced

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G PA TAv oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG oppTAv BABIP BPF BRAA repLVL POS_ADJ FRAA BRR BVORP BWARP VORP WARP
2002 PRO Rk 67 308 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .373 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2003 CDR A 125 535 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .333 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2004 RCU A+ 136 627 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .348 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2005 ARK AA 134 590 .251 .268 .337 .408 .252 .319 114 -4.1 12.5 5.7 -3.4 3.4 18.4 1.5 18.4 1.5
2006 ANA MLB 34 40 .184 .258 .324 .400 .249 .312 100 -3.4 1.2 0.4 0.0 0.1 -2.3 -0.2 -2.3 -0.2
2006 SLC AAA 81 368 .244 .270 .343 .412 .263 .302 113 -6 10.0 4.6 -1.3 1.5 12.1 1.1 12.1 1.1
2007 ANA MLB 79 211 .193 .271 .335 .421 .263 .276 101 -15.7 6.3 0.1 2.0 -0.1 -7.3 -0.5 -7.3 -0.5
2007 RCU A+ 2 6 .394 .264 .347 .438 .274 .500 98 0.9 0.2 0.1 -0.3 0.7 1.5 0.1 1.5 0.1
2007 SLC AAA 3 12 .208 .294 .361 .486 .271 .400 129 -0.7 0.4 0.1 -0.3 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.0
2008 ANA MLB 98 375 .240 .268 .334 .420 .263 .311 103 -8.1 10.8 4.9 5.5 2.4 11.7 1.7 11.7 1.7
2008 RCU A+ 3 10 .319 .268 .308 .400 .253 .400 97 0.7 0.3 0.1 -0.4 0.5 1.5 0.1 1.5 0.1
2009 ANA MLB 137 556 .264 .261 .329 .415 .257 .338 103 2.4 16.0 7.3 -6.2 1.3 30.6 2.5 30.6 2.5
2010 ANA MLB 138 589 .235 .256 .320 .405 .256 .289 101 -15 16.2 7.4 -2.5 5.7 13.8 1.2 13.8 1.2
2011 ANA MLB 143 605 .271 .256 .316 .399 .259 .301 97 6.5 16.3 7.5 3.3 4.4 33.4 3.9 33.4 3.9
2011 SLC AAA 1 4 .168 .284 .373 .421 .269 .333 110 -0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 -0.2 -0.6 -0.1 -0.6 -0.1
2012 ANA MLB 141 554 .277 .256 .317 .409 .262 .316 95 9.4 15.1 6.9 -5.4 1.4 31.9 2.8 31.9 2.8
2012 LIC Wnt 14 65 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .296 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2013 ANA MLB 138 589 .250 .253 .314 .398 .264 .292 97 -5.7 15.5 7.1 -10.5 4.0 20.6 1.1 20.6 1.1
2013 SLC AAA 1 5 .484 .287 .345 .450 .269 .250 114 1.2 0.1 0.1 -0.1 -0.5 0.9 0.1 0.9 0.1
2013 DOM int 5 19 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .312 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2014 ANA MLB 156 641 .269 .252 .313 .388 .262 .297 96 5.7 16.6 7.6 -11.8 5.5 32.6 2.3 32.6 2.3

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
Year Team Lg PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG ISO TAv VORP FRAA WARP
2002 PRO Rk 308 64 89 15 6 4 29 21 43 15 10 .326 .394 .469 .143 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
2003 CDR A 535 83 153 30 10 6 57 17 54 32 9 .308 .344 .446 .137 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
2004 RCU A+ 627 102 189 25 11 14 65 26 66 51 36 .330 .367 .485 .155 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
2005 ARK AA 590 101 162 29 10 9 54 29 51 49 23 .303 .352 .445 .142 .251 18.4 -3.4 1.5
2006 SLC AAA 368 63 96 20 3 6 45 21 36 32 18 .283 .330 .413 .130 .244 12.1 -1.3 1.1
2006 ANA MLB 40 5 10 1 1 0 2 0 8 1 0 .250 .250 .325 .075 .184 -2.3 0.0 -0.2
2007 SLC AAA 12 2 4 0 0 0 2 0 2 2 1 .333 .333 .333 .000 .208 0.3 -0.3 0.0
2007 RCU A+ 6 3 2 0 0 0 0 1 1 3 1 .400 .500 .400 .000 .394 1.5 -0.3 0.1
2007 ANA MLB 211 18 46 5 1 1 19 10 32 4 4 .237 .279 .289 .052 .193 -7.3 2.0 -0.5
2008 RCU A+ 10 2 4 1 0 0 3 0 0 2 0 .400 .400 .500 .100 .319 1.5 -0.4 0.1
2008 ANA MLB 375 53 96 18 5 3 39 14 45 7 2 .277 .314 .384 .107 .240 11.7 5.5 1.7
2009 ANA MLB 556 70 157 23 9 5 58 30 54 14 7 .312 .353 .423 .111 .264 30.6 -6.2 2.5
2010 ANA MLB 589 69 135 18 4 5 29 35 81 22 8 .253 .306 .330 .077 .235 13.8 -2.5 1.2
2011 ANA MLB 605 71 155 33 8 10 59 31 68 30 6 .279 .322 .421 .142 .271 33.4 3.3 3.9
2011 SLC AAA 4 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 .250 .250 .250 .000 .168 -0.6 0.0 -0.1
2012 LIC Wnt 65 7 17 2 1 1 6 4 5 1 1 .283 .328 .400 .117 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
2012 ANA MLB 554 67 150 31 5 8 45 22 61 20 4 .290 .324 .416 .126 .277 31.9 -5.4 2.8
2013 DOM int 19 6 5 0 0 0 1 0 2 1 0 .278 .278 .278 .000 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
2013 SLC AAA 5 1 2 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 0 .400 .400 1.200 .800 .484 0.9 -0.1 0.1
2013 ANA MLB 589 68 149 33 5 6 54 23 59 12 7 .271 .301 .382 .111 .250 20.6 -10.5 1.1
2014 ANA MLB 641 77 164 30 4 7 68 36 62 16 9 .278 .321 .379 .100 .269 32.6 -11.8 2.3

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT
2008 1172 0.5461 0.5158 0.8690 0.6500 0.3515 0.9111 0.7754 0.1260
2009 1931 0.5329 0.4995 0.8910 0.6025 0.3803 0.9323 0.8163 0.1038
2010 1942 0.5381 0.4884 0.8713 0.5981 0.3601 0.9216 0.7740 0.1224
2011 2074 0.5135 0.5224 0.8717 0.6460 0.3915 0.9273 0.7747 0.1210
2012 1809 0.5196 0.5264 0.8977 0.6617 0.3751 0.9502 0.7975 0.0949
2013 2038 0.5005 0.4963 0.8793 0.6088 0.3831 0.9452 0.7744 0.1167
2014 2118 0.5028 0.5038 0.8809 0.6638 0.3409 0.9420 0.7604 0.1144
Career130840.520.50690.88050.63210.36980.93410.78160.1138

Injury History

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2014-07-19 2014-07-21 DTD 2 2 Right Groin Strain -
2014-06-16 2014-06-16 DTD 0 0 Left Hip Soreness -
2013-08-14 2013-08-15 DTD 1 1 - Lower Leg Cramp Calf - -
2013-05-21 2013-05-21 DTD 0 0 Right Knee Soreness - -
2013-05-10 2013-05-14 DTD 4 4 Right Thigh Strain Hamstring - -
2013-04-10 2013-04-30 15-DL 20 18 Left Foot Contusion Heel - -
2012-10-01 2012-10-04 DTD 3 3 Right Thigh Strain Quadriceps - -
2012-07-22 2012-08-06 15-DL 15 14 Right Fracture Hairline Fracture Big Toe Foul Ball - -
2012-05-23 2012-05-23 DTD 0 0 Right Knee Contusion HBP - -
2012-03-28 2012-03-29 Camp 1 0 - Fingers Laceration Fingernail - -
2011-07-06 2011-07-06 DTD 0 0 Right Thigh Tightness Quadriceps - -
2011-04-03 2011-04-19 15-DL 16 13 Left Abdomen Strain Oblique -
2010-10-05 2010-10-05 Off 0 0 Left Knee Surgery Meniscus 2010-10-05
2010-09-16 2010-09-27 DTD 11 10 Left Sports Hernia -
2010-06-15 2010-06-25 DTD 10 8 Left Knee Cartilage Injury Meniscus -
2010-03-10 2010-03-21 Camp 11 0 Right Forearm Soreness -
2010-01-14 2010-01-14 WIN 0 0 Lower Leg Spasms -
2009-10-01 2009-10-03 DTD 2 2 Right Hand Contusion -
2009-07-17 2009-07-17 DTD 0 0 General Medical Illness Dizziness -
2009-05-03 2009-05-05 DTD 2 1 Contusion -
2008-08-28 2008-09-16 DTD 19 17 Left Thigh Strain Hamstring -
2008-08-26 2008-08-27 DTD 1 1 Neck Stiffness -
2008-05-21 2008-06-17 15-DL 27 24 Right Fingers Dislocation Little Finger -
2008-05-09 2008-05-09 DTD 0 0 Left Fingers Contusion Little Finger -
2007-08-20 2007-09-05 15-DL 16 15 Left Thigh Strain Hamstring -
2007-07-02 2007-08-06 15-DL 35 28 Right Wrist Surgery Hamate 2007-07-05
2007-03-28 2007-04-02 Camp 5 0 Left Ankle Sprain -

Compensation

Year Team Salary
2016 ANA $8,750,000
2015 ANA $8,750,000
2014 ANA $8,750,000
2013 ANA $8,750,000
2012 ANA $5,075,000
2011 ANA $3,000,000
2010 ANA $2,050,000
2009 ANA $460,000
2008 ANA $415,000
2007 ANA $382,500
YearsDescriptionSalary
7 yrPrevious$20,132,500
2011Current$8,750,000
8 yrPvs + Cur$28,882,500
2 yrFuture$17,500,000
10 yrTotal$46,382,500

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
7 y 86 dSFX1 year/$5.075M (2012), extension

Details
  • 4 years/$35M (2013-16). Signed extension with LA Angels 4/19/12. $1M signing bonus. 13:$8.5M, 14:$8.5M, 15:$8.5M, 16:$8.5M. Award bonuses: $50,000 for All-Star. $75,000 each for Gold Glove, Silver Slugger, LCS MVP. $0.1M for WS MVP. $0.15M for MVP ($75,000 for 2nd or 3rd in vote. $50,000 for 4th or 5th in vote).
  • 1 year/$5.075M (2012). Re-signed by LA Angels 1/17/12 (avoided arbitration).
  • 1 year/$3M (2011). Re-signed by LA Angels 1/18/11 (avoided arbitration). Award bonus: $75,000 for Gold Glove.
  • 1 year/$2.05M (2010). Re-signed by LA Angels 2/18/10 (avoided arbitration, $2.75M-$1.8M). Performance bonuses: $50,000 each for 575, 625 PAs.
  • 1 year/$0.46M (2009). Re-signed 3/1/09.
  • 1 year/$0.415M (2008). Re-signed 3/2/08.
  • 1 year/$0.3825M (2007). Re-signed 3/07.
  • 1 year (2006). Contract purchased 11/05. Re-signed 2/06.
  • Signed 2002 as an amateur free agent from the Dominican Republic. $0.1M signing bonus.

2014 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 3/11/2014 05:35 ET

PCT PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG TAv VORP FRAA WARP
90o 662 82 184 34 7 7 58 39 74 25 8 .305 .347 .424 .283 41.2 SS -6 3.8
80o 647 78 175 33 7 7 55 36 73 24 8 .295 .335 .408 .274 34.4 SS -6 3.1
70o 637 76 167 31 6 7 53 35 73 23 7 .287 .327 .397 .267 29.6 SS -6 2.6
60o 628 73 162 30 6 7 51 34 73 22 7 .280 .320 .388 .261 25.7 SS -6 2.1
50o 619 71 156 29 6 6 49 33 73 21 7 .274 .313 .379 .256 22.1 SS -6 1.8
40o 610 69 151 28 6 6 48 31 72 20 7 .268 .307 .371 .250 18.6 SS -6 1.4
30o 601 67 145 27 6 6 46 30 72 20 6 .261 .299 .362 .244 15.0 SS -6 1.0
20o 591 65 139 26 5 6 44 29 72 19 6 .254 .291 .351 .238 10.8 SS -6 0.6
10o 576 61 129 24 5 5 42 27 71 17 6 .243 .280 .336 .228 5.3 SS -6 0.0
Weighted Mean620721562966503373217.275.314.381.25622.6SS -61.8

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate MLB %
9% 50% 5% 15% 99%

Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2014 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB AVG OBP SLG TAv WARP VORP BRR POS_ADJ REP_ADJ RAA FRAA
20153144943110214338215314.262.300.351.2380.59.11.55.514.9-12.8-4.2
20163262062148285655358118.261.309.359.2420.913.61.87.414.9-10.5-5.8
20173363461147274553328117.253.297.340.2340.38.81.77.414.9-15.2-5.9
20183447343107194236246511.246.290.320.226-0.40.90.95.414.9-20.3-4.4
201935354348215332919517.252.298.338.2340.13.80.53.912.0-12.6-3.3
20203662358139265450339211.243.289.327.228-0.33.30.66.714.9-19.0-5.8
2021376025613226434634929.239.288.317.225-0.51.10.46.314.9-20.6-5.6
2022386245613426434731997.234.279.308.218-1.0-3.50.46.414.9-25.2-5.8
20233963358140254348331056.241.286.314.219-1.0-2.90.36.314.9-24.5-5.9

Upside By Year

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 PEAK 5
53.936.54622.89.812.2169

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 78)

Rank Score Name Year TAv Trend
1 92 Rafael Furcal 2008 .347
2 91 Alexei Ramirez 2012 .229
3 88 Edgar Renteria 2007 .287
4 88 Barry Larkin 1994 .271
5 87 Jack Wilson 2008 .229
6 87 Jason Bartlett 2010 .246
7 85 Cristian Guzman 2008 .284
8 85 Omar Infante 2012 .256
9 84 Jimmy Rollins 2009 .251
10 84 Yuniesky Betancourt 2012 .230
11 84 Alan Trammell 1988 .316
12 83 Michael Young 2007 .273
13 83 J.J. Hardy 2013 .268
14 82 Yunel Escobar 2013 .264
15 82 Cal Ripken Jr. 1991 .347
16 82 Roberto Alomar 1998 .267
17 81 Nomar Garciaparra 2004 .289
18 81 Felipe Lopez 2010 .254
19 80 Brendan Ryan 2012 .228
20 80 Aaron Hill 2012 .296
21 80 Ryan Theriot 2010 .244
22 80 George Kell 1953 .296
23 80 Brandon Phillips 2011 .285
24 80 Rod Carew 1976 .318
25 80 Bill Madlock 1981 .330
26 79 Miguel Tejada 2004 .300
27 79 Jose Vidro 2005 .261
28 79 Carney Lansford 1987 .289
29 79 Shane Victorino 2011 .315
30 79 John Valentin 1997 .289
31 78 Ronny Cedeno 2013 .228
32 78 Harvey Kuenn 1961 .253
33 78 Jose Reyes 2013 .283
34 78 Coco Crisp 2010 .281
35 78 Ichiro Suzuki 2004 .303
36 78 Chone Figgins 2008 .246
37 77 Derek Jeter 2004 .278
38 77 Mark Ellis 2007 .280
39 77 Buddy Bell 1982 .297
40 77 Craig Biggio 1996 .285
41 77 Jeff Cirillo 2000 .263
42 77 Steve Sax 1990 .237
43 77 Freddy Sanchez 2008 .241
44 77 Orlando Hudson 2008 .278
45 77 Endy Chavez 2008 .230
46 77 Akinori Iwamura 2009 .263
47 76 Lou Whitaker 1987 .274
48 76 Floyd Robinson 1966 .270
49 76 Stephen Drew 2013 .282
50 76 Pete Rose 1971 .305
51 76 Felix Mantilla 1965 .276
52 76 Tony Gwynn 1990 .274
53 76 Bip Roberts 1994 .271
54 76 Bobby Crosby 2010 .220
55 76 Marcus Giles 2008 .000 DNP
56 75 Shannon Stewart 2004 .283
57 75 Mike Greenwell 1994 .263
58 75 Chuck Knoblauch 1999 .289
59 75 Dale Mitchell 1952 .310
60 75 Alex Cintron 2009 .079
61 75 Garrett Atkins 2010 .197
62 75 Kenny Lofton 1997 .293
63 75 Rich Aurilia 2002 .251
64 75 Michael Bourn 2013 .251
65 75 Randy Ready 1990 .248
66 75 Brooks Robinson 1967 .283
67 75 Bobby Avila 1954 .315
68 74 Kevin Mench 2008 .247
69 74 Skip Schumaker 2010 .254
70 74 Reed Johnson 2007 .225
71 74 David DeJesus 2010 .279
72 74 Angel Pagan 2012 .289
73 74 Curt Flood 1968 .289
74 74 Thurman Munson 1977 .292
75 74 Alvin Dark 1952 .299
76 74 Kevin Seitzer 1992 .263
77 73 Terry Puhl 1987 .219
78 73 Chris Sabo 1992 .259
79 73 Chris Burke 2010 .000 DNP
80 73 Cesar Izturis 2010 .197
81 73 Brian Roberts 2008 .288
82 73 Joe Crede 2008 .261
83 73 Jim Fregosi 1972 .273
84 73 Willie Bloomquist 2008 .266
85 73 Paul Lo Duca 2002 .261
86 73 Vernon Wells 2009 .247
87 73 Franklin Gutierrez 2013 .289
88 73 Frank Catalanotto 2004 .248
89 73 Don Mattingly 1991 .258
90 73 Bill Doran 1988 .257
91 73 Lew Ford 2007 .246
92 73 Nellie Fox 1958 .267
93 73 Gene Woodling 1953 .324
94 72 Len Dykstra 1993 .313
95 72 Matty Alou 1969 .296
96 72 Marquis Grissom 1997 .247
97 72 Mickey Rivers 1979 .268
98 72 Paul Molitor 1987 .338
99 72 D'Angelo Jimenez 2008 .000 DNP
100 72 Ryne Sandberg 1990 .317

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv
10 vs L (Multi) .287 .314 .422 .270
11 vs R (Multi) .272 .310 .381 .257
18 Split (Multi) -.015 -.003 -.042 -.013
19 LgAvg (Multi) -.007 .000 .004 .002
30 vs L (2013) .288 .300 .423 .261
31 vs R (2013) .264 .302 .364 .246
38 Split (2013) -.025 .002 -.059 -.015
39 LgAvg (2013) -.008 -.001 .005 .003

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2014 Due to publishing agreements, the 2014 player comments and team essays are only available in the Baseball Prospectus 2014 book (available in hardcopy, e-book, and Kindle).
2013 The Angels extended Aybar for four years on April 19, when he was hitting .190/.227/.262. Looked like a pretty slick extend-low moment for the Angels, but Aybar made them sweat a bit, as one month later he was hitting .197/.221/.250. Those six weeks polluted his seasonal line, but he ended up bettering the career-high TAv he put up in 2011. Aybar relies on a high BABIP to provide value, but he’s not nearly so volatile as many similar players: He has enough power to homer without changing his approach, and enough speed to beat out 30 infield hits each year. FRAA knocks his glove work, but the Angels dispute that assessment more vigorously than most.
2012 In last year's book, we patted ourselves on the back for foreseeing Aybar's steep decline from 2009. We weren't as prescient about 2011, when Aybar was one of the American League's best hitting shortstops, setting career highs in home runs, stolen bases, OPS+ and WARP. Advanced metrics don't love him as much as the trust-my-eyes crowd—the 3-6-2 double play he turned on July 30, in particular, is worth looking up in MLB.com's archives—but even the numbers make him a 4-win player if he keeps besting his PECOTA projections.
2011 In last year’s book, we predicted an offensive decline for Aybar, and the Dominican obliged by suffering his worst season at the plate since 2007, complete with BABIP correction. As a roughly average defensive shortstop, Aybar might be a bit stretched as an everyday player, even given the woeful state of league-wide offense at that position these days; only the Orioles and Brewers settled for less lumber from their regular shortstops this season. That said, Aybar isn’t as bad as his 2010 line would indicate, but will be hard-pressed to recreate his 2009. The smart money would bet on his making like a baseball version of Goldilocks and settling on the middle ground in his final pre-arbitration season.
2010 Aybar's sudden evolution from offensive liability into modest asset may have owed something to freedom from nagging injuries and uncertainty regarding his starting status, but luck played a part as well. His BABIP rose from .311 in 2008 to .338 last year despite a line-drive rate that didn't budge from a sub-league average 15.4 percent, and ground-ball, fly-ball, and pop-up rates moving in the wrong directions for an expected increase—these aren’t hard-won infield singles he’s benefiting from. Yes, Aybar's unintentional walk rate increased, but only to a still-weak 5.2 percent, and his isolated power rose just four points. While there's still growth possible as he enters his age-26 season, don't be surprised to find Aybar's performance leveling off when the hits that dropped in last year don't do so again in 2010.
2009 Aybar is a better player than he showed in 2008, but he was hampered by a dislocated pinky and later a hamstring strain, and with so many young middle infielders on the roster, he's going to have to hit better to keep his grip on an everyday job. In another organization, he'd have a better grip on a full-time gig; this however, is not that organization. Aybar remains a good but impatient hitter with surprising pop for his size. On defense, he's as capable of provoking frustration, if not insanity, as any player in the biz, making a SportsCenter-worthy play one inning and booting a routine grounder the next.
2008 Aybar has steadily lost 25 points off his average at each level, so there's a limit as to how valuable he will be as an everyday player. His speed and glove make him a very good extra infielder, but he'd be better off getting 500 plate appearances in Triple-A than 150 in the AL this year. The trade of Orlando Cabrera puts him in a battle with Maicer Izturis for the starting shortstop job, a battle that will come down to how many singles Aybar hits in March. These are the professionals, folks.
2007 Burgeoning with Web-Gemmy goodness, Aybar has all the tools to be a great defensive shortstop and relishes showing off his ability--that`s not a sin, is it? For better and worse, his key offensive skill is aggressiveness. He`s not a slapper at the plate, making strong contact with some amount of power. On the bases, his big caught-stealing totals are a reflection of a player and an organization testing his limits; unless he spits the bit, he should end up stealing fewer at a better clip at the major league level. As promising as Aybar is, he still needs to show improvement at the plate before he starts making Stoneman wonder about dealing Orlando Cabrera before the latter`s contract ends after 2008.
2006 A prototypical Angels player ? a free swinger with a low strikeout rate who rarely walks. He`s got good speed but lacks the technique and sense of timing that distinguish the merely quick from the elite base stealers. This has been a career-long problem and it`s not getting better. Aybar`s speed serves a more productive use, however; it allows him to leg out doubles and triples, thus giving him a shot of `power` that his bat itself does not provide. Aybar has yet to record a sub-.300 batting average as a pro, so the upside here is that of a Jose Reyes who can hit just enough to mitigate his lack of selectivity (unlike Jose Reyes). Aybar`s stock is slipping as Brandon Wood`s skyrockets; a starting job in the majors might require a trade.
2005 Had a superficially exciting year, showing greater home run power along with his usual speed and ability to hit .300. Taken in the context of the hitter-friendly Cal League, the numbers lose some of their luster, especially with Aybar's extreme resistance to walking factored in. He will have to keep hitting well over .300 as he heads up the ladder to stay interesting. With his ability to make contact, Aybar has the tools to have an impact, but this is not the organization to teach him how to work the count. Youth is in his favor.

BP Articles

Erick Aybar is referenced in the following articles.

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  Title Author Date
This article requires BP Premium accessPlayoff Prospectus: PECOTA Odds and Game 3 PreviewsSam Miller2014-10-05
This article requires BP Premium accessPlayoff Prospectus: PECOTA Odds and Game 3 PreviewsR.J. Anderson2014-10-05
This article requires BP Premium accessPlayoff Prospectus: Baseball Nirvana Game PreviewsJeff Quinton2014-10-03
This article requires BP Premium accessPlayoff Prospectus: Baseball Nirvana Game PreviewsDoug Thorburn2014-10-03
This article requires BP Premium accessPlayoff Prospectus: Baseball Nirvana Game PreviewsSahadev Sharma2014-10-03
This article requires BP Premium accessPlayoff Prospectus: Baseball Nirvana Game PreviewsMike Gianella2014-10-03
This article requires BP Premium accessPlayoff Prospectus: Baseball Nirvana Game PreviewsJ.P. Breen2014-10-03
This article requires BP Premium accessPlayoff Prospectus: ALDS Preview: Angels vs. RoyalsSam Miller2014-10-02
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: September 18, 2014Daniel Rathman2014-09-18
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: September 10, 2014Daniel Rathman2014-09-10
Daily League Strategy: The Shoe FitsPaul Sporer2014-09-05
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessThey Hold No Quarter: ShortstopsBP Fantasy Staff2014-09-03
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: September 2, 2014Chris Mosch2014-09-02
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: August 29, 2014Chris Mosch2014-08-29
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: August 21, 2014Daniel Rathman2014-08-21
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: July 30, 2014Chris Mosch2014-07-30
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BP Fantasy Podcast: Episode 18: The Boys Are Back In TownJason Collette2012-09-04
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What You Need to Know: Friday, August 24Daniel Rathman2012-08-24
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BP Unfiltered: Erick Aybar Takes an Extra BaseR.J. Anderson2012-07-09
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What the Contenders Need: AL WestJason Wojciechowski2012-06-28
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Tater Trot Tracker: Trot Times for September 19Larry Granillo2011-09-20
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This article requires BP Premium accessDivide and Conquer, AL West: The Battle AheadJoey Matschulat2011-08-19
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Schrodinger's Bat: Spring TrainingDan Fox2007-03-13
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This article requires BP Premium accessLies, Damned Lies: PECOTA Takes on Shortstop ProspectsNate Silver2007-03-01
Future Shock: Top 100 ProspectsKevin Goldstein2007-02-21
This article requires BP Premium accessCaribbean Series: Round Robin PreviewDerek Jacques2007-02-02
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim Top Ten ProspectsKevin Goldstein2007-01-24
This article requires BP Premium accessSchrodinger's Bat: It's a Marathon, Not a SprintDan Fox2007-01-11
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Today: Two Fortysomething Ex-YankeesJoe Sheehan2007-01-10
This article requires BP Premium accessDominican Winter League Report: 11/03/06Carlos J. Lugo2006-11-03
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: September 29-October 16, 2006Christina Kahrl2006-10-17
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: September 11-14, 2006Christina Kahrl2006-09-15
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Short-Term Impact, ALKevin Goldstein2006-09-14
Prospectus Hit List: Week of August 2ndJay Jaffe2006-08-02
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction of the Day: Bobby Abreu to the YankeesChristina Kahrl2006-07-31
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: July 17-21, 2006Christina Kahrl2006-07-22
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: June 22-26Christina Kahrl2006-06-28
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: June 8-12, 2006Christina Kahrl2006-06-13
Prospectus Hit List: Week of May 21Jay Jaffe2006-05-23
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Monday Morning Ten Pack, 5/15/06Kevin Goldstein2006-05-15
Transaction Analysis: March 14-16Christina Kahrl2006-03-17
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Matchups: The Best of the NewestJim Baker2006-01-13
Prospectus Notebook: DET, LAA, SDBaseball Prospectus2005-09-16


BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2014-05-07 17:00:00 (link to chat)Hi Mike, two questions. First, how many AB's do you give players before moving on in fantasy? Also, time to dump Everth? He or Aybar ROS? Thanks!
(Higdldini from NY, NY)
It depends on the format obviously, but if you're talking about a standard mixed probably anywhere from 150-250 depending on what the FA pool looks like. A lot of this discussion revolves around what your replacement will look like. So if you're in a 15-team mixed and you're annoyed at Everth Cabrera and Brandon Crawford is your best option, you just might want to sit tight. But in a 10-team mixed, you might have plenty of options that make sense.

I'd stick with Cabrera over Erick Aybar. Aybar offers some power upside over Cabrera, but he doesn't run the way he used to and I'd rather have Cabrera's 40-45 SB potential. (Mike Gianella)
2014-01-10 13:00:00 (link to chat)Thoughts on Starlin Castro going forward? Further growth or is basically Erick Aybar?
(DS from LA)
I still think Castro can be a fine player and I hope he'll get back to what made him successful in the first place. Something went wrong last year, whether it was what he was trying to do or what the organization wanted him to do, but in the end, he has to be himself and play ball. He's incredibly gifted as a ball player. (Mark Anderson)
2013-05-29 18:30:00 (link to chat)What are your thoughts on Aybar? I picked up Peralta as a replacement when he went down and he's been sooo much better.
(dandaman from Sea Cliff)
Hi dandaman.

Erick Aybar is a solid fantasy player because of the steals but he suffered a hamstring injury earlier this year and hasn't been running since he returned. He is doing absolutely nothing else, so while a bounce back is likely you can feel free to keep Jhonny Peralta and dump Aybar in a mixed format. (Mike Gianella)
2013-04-16 20:00:00 (link to chat)Is there ever a situation where you would rather have an empty lineup spot over a poor player for a short period of time in a roto league? My example is that Erick Aybar is on the DL for another 10 days, and the best options on the waiver wire are Cozart and Brandon Crawford. Would the negligible gain in runs and RBI be enough to off-set the hit to BA? Thanks!
(Scott from OC)
Rarely ever, and if Cozart is available, that doesn't apply. Grab him over running an empty spot out there. (Bret Sayre)
2013-03-20 11:00:00 (link to chat)NOT A QUESTION: BTW regarding the bunts for base hits ESPN ran an article about this in 2011 with some current players. Before looking at the article I guessed Erik Aybar and lo and behold he was number two behind Juan Pierre http://espn.go.com/blog/sweetspot/post/_/id/16500/baseballs-bunting-fiends
(lipitorkid from OC, CA)
Good one, thanks! BTW, whether Erick Aybar or Howard Kendrick, I love whomever is hitting in the #2 spot in the Angels lineup this year, for fantasy purposes. Aybar had a big 2nd half last year, and Kendrick is having a HUGE spring -- even by his usual standards, even considering the caveats with spring numbers -- so either or both could take a big step forward this year. (Cory Schwartz)
2012-03-23 12:00:00 (link to chat)I am in Love with Erick Aybar. Will reach for him in the 12th. His numbers warrant a reach at SS. What do you think?
(gls from OKC)
It's guy love between two guys and Aybar is worth it. (Jason Collette)
2011-08-17 13:00:00 (link to chat)Best clubhouse story you couldn't tell until today?
(ssimon from Pelham, NY)
I don't really have any good clubhouse stories, partly because the Angels' clubhouse is quite dull and partly because I'm not around the clubhouse more than a couple times a homestand. So I'm going to reprint the greatest clubhouse story ever, from Matt McCarthy's book "Odd Man Out," about his year with the Angels' short-season team. (The book may or may not be true, for what it's worth.)

"An Angels employee briefly interrupted the revelry to bring us fifth leftover hot dogs from the concession stand's Weenie Wednesday promotion.

"I took my hot dog over to my locker and began to undress. That was when things got interesting. When I turned around, I saw the dark, naked bodies of two young Dominicans hovering around the hot dogs. Erick Aybar and Alberto Callaspo ... were inseparable and spoke no English -- the most one of them had ever said to me was "Why-ya-ya-ya-ya-yeah!" after I'd pitched a scoreless inning the week before.

"Gradually, more of my teammates turned to watch as Aybar's and Callaspo's naked bodies circled the food. We all knew they were up to something no good. Two naked heterosexual teenagers don't stand that close together for that long next to a box of hot dogs without something happening.

"Suddenly, Callaspo took one of the hot dogs out of its bun and deep-throated it. Then he took the bun and put it around Aybar's flaccid (etc etc) and poured ketchup on it. Jaws dropped -- Aybar was a willing participant. Then Callaspo bent over and pretended to eat the Dominican (etc etc etc) hot dog. When he did that, we all screamed, "Nooooo!"

"Getting the reaction he'd desired, Callaspo turned to a few of us and said, "I no gay. You gay" and burst into a fit of laughter. Callaspo slapped Aybar on the ass and the two laughed all the way to the shower." (Sam Miller)
2011-05-05 13:00:00 (link to chat)Hi Steven, With all the buzz about the Mets trading/not trading Reyes, what are the chances that they trade him mid-season and then make a bonafide attempt to sign him in winter? Couldn't that be the best plan to contend from 2012 on? Could you see the Angels parting with Trout for Reyes?
(mattstupp from NYC)
That's the million-dollar question, mattstupp. Given the team's financial problems, that kind of circular deal seems unlikely, plus it would possibly cost them a draft choice if they're not protected. With the Angels having Maicer Izturis and Erick Aybar, I don't see them prioritizing Reyes, nor trading the best or second-best prospect in baseball for a free agent to be. (Steven Goldman)
2010-01-26 14:00:00 (link to chat)Thanks for the answer: would that be someone like Sandoval? How or why does that complicate things for you?
(Fred from Jerry Park)
I think Sandoval is a good example. He was basically off my radar screen until he came close to his big league debut. Erick Aybar is another guy I think could be good despite my worries about him. (Tommy Bennett)
2009-10-23 16:00:00 (link to chat)How would you compare these three middle infielders, Maicer Izturis, Erick Aybar and Yunel Escobar? They all had similar years offensively, but I don't know much about their defense or the chance of stardom.
(Wendy from Madrid)
Yunel has the potential to hit 27-32 home runs in a season whereas the other two seem more likely to fall in that .355/.435 range, which is nothing to scoff at, but Yunel certainly has a better chance at becoming an all-star and big bopper than the other two. Defensively, Aybar does a lot right with the glove but makes some mental mistakes that one would hope will gradually cease to occur. I'd order them Escobar, Aybar, Izturis. (Eric Seidman)
2009-10-02 14:00:00 (link to chat)Are we any closer to getting your picks for surprise stars from each of the playoff teams?
(Frank Costanza from Queens)
It's like asking me eight questions at once. Not easy. Brett Gardner. Billy Wagner. Aubrey Huff. Erick Aybar. Chan Ho Park. Colby Rasmus. Hong-Chih Kuo. Dexter Fowler. (Joe Sheehan)
2008-11-07 13:00:00 (link to chat)The Reds need a young shortstop, what you do think it would take to get Erick Aybar from the Angels?
(smitty25039 from Charleston)
I don't think much of Aybar. I'd rather see them play Keppinger for a year and see if Valaika can hold on as a shortstop. The consensus is that he can't, but look around the majors and consider the players holding down everyday jobs. I think he'd be average in that pool. (Joe Sheehan)
2008-10-07 13:00:00 (link to chat)If I'm not batting for Erick Aybar close and late, why am I on the post-season roster at all?
(Brandon Wood from 3rd fairway)
For the taunting, haunting feeling of what could have been. (Marc Normandin)
2008-08-15 15:00:00 (link to chat)Can you explain to me why the Angels have handled Brandon Wood the way they have? Calling him up to sit on the bench? Are you at all impressed by his recent lack of Ks?
(Gray from Chicago)
I think part of the problem is identifying what Wood is--there was a point when people could reasonable see the new Troy Glaus or something, when we might instead have the new Kelly Gruber or, if he stays at short, Jose Hernandez. That's a much different proposition, especially on a team that these days is far more easily impressed by the slappy aggression and basepaths violence of an Erick Aybar. A long swing is a terrible thing to have on the bench, though, since it's almost certain to go stale; if Wood's going to be up, he needs to play, and if avoiding strikeouts for some short stretch is the only way for him to get Mickey Hatcher's imprimatur, so be it. (Christina Kahrl)
2008-07-22 13:00:00 (link to chat)Ben Revere is fun to watch here in Beloit, but is his game going to translate to the upper levels?
(jlebeck66 from WI)
I really think it is. That guy can just plain hit, and if you've seen him (I see you are in Wisconsin, so I hope you have), you know that he's just not some tiny slap hitter, he drives the ball and gets leverage in a way that kind of reminds me of Erick Aybar. (Kevin Goldstein)
2008-07-07 13:00:00 (link to chat)More impressive about Ben Revere...hitting over .400 or that he is 2nd in the midwest league in SLG? Think he can maintain excellent 2B and 3B power as he advances?
(Norville Barnes from Muncie, IN)
I do. He's really interesting to watch because he's so small, but on a power level, he kind of reminds me of Erick Aybar where the bat is so fast that he can drive them into the gaps and you're really surprised to see the ball hit so hard -- he's legit. (Kevin Goldstein)
2008-02-05 13:00:00 (link to chat)Ah, I see the Worldwide Leader in Sports has box scores. I completely missed those before. Quick perusal shows no Pie though. Is he out? Struggling mightily?
(Brian Gallagher from Evanston, Illinois)
First on Pie: he was on the Dominican Winter League playoff roster, but was seldom in evidence; he's not on the Caribbean Series, by choice or lack of invitation, it's not clear. I don't know why he got buried, but it happened prior to Hector de la Cruz taking over as manager (which happened in the middle of the Dominican League finals). Another guy who was in a similar situation was Anderson Hernandez, who's been pressed into service by Erick Aybar's absence, and has been sterling. (Derek Jacques)


BP Roundtables

DateRoundtable NameComment
2009-10-16 13:00:00NLCS Game Two/ALCS Game OneErick Aybar's listed 5'10" seems a bit generous. (Steven Goldman)
 

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