<< PECOTA Home Player Search     

Bryan Anderson
St. Louis Cardinals [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Catcher
Bats L
Age 22
6' 1"
200 lbs.

Player Profile

Sections
Historical Stats | 2009 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players | Player Comments

Projected Playing Time

Cardinals Depth Chart (updated: 08-09)
PosOrderNamePT%PA AVG R HR RBI SB OBP SLG VORP
C 7 Bryan Anderson 5 11 .246 1 0 1 0 .308 .353 0.0
1   2009 Total 5 11 .246 1 0 1 0 .308 .353 0.0

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2006 QUD A 431 50 29 3 3 51 42 66 2 6 -3.8 .302 .377 .417 -.228 .239 .298 .340 .223 -14.0 89-C -10 -1.2
2007 SFD AA 431 51 15 1 6 53 32 77 0 1 0.0 .298 .350 .388 -.243 .250 .295 .328 .219 -16.0 99-C -9 -1.0
2008 SFD AA 86 12 5 0 2 14 4 12 0 0 -0.3 .388 .412 .525 .003 .309 .329 .432 .263 3.0 16-C 3 0.8
2008 MEM AAA 275 27 13 2 2 27 32 46 2 0 -4.3 .281 .367 .379 -.174 .249 .327 .336 .240 -4.2 66-C 0 0.6


EQA Distribution

Seven-Year WARP

2009 Forecast

(projection generated 3/7/09 11:29 PM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 506 66 29 2 11 51 48 96 4 2 -1.2 .284 .353 .430 .055 .286 .355 .452 .278 26.7 119-C -1 4.3
75o 474 54 25 2 9 45 42 91 4 2 -1.1 .268 .335 .397 -.035 .270 .337 .418 .262 15.1 112-C 0 3.2
60o 445 44 22 2 7 40 38 87 3 2 -1.0 .254 .320 .370 -.110 .256 .322 .389 .248 6.3 105-C 0 2.3
50o 435 42 21 2 6 38 36 86 3 1 -1.0 .250 .315 .361 -.133 .252 .317 .380 .243 3.8 103-C 0 2.1
40o 424 39 19 2 6 36 35 84 3 1 -0.9 .245 .309 .351 -.162 .247 .311 .369 .238 0.9 101-C 1 1.8
25o 397 32 17 1 5 32 31 80 3 1 -0.9 .234 .296 .328 -.224 .236 .298 .345 .225 -5.0 95-C 1 1.2
10o 360 25 14 1 3 26 27 74 3 1 -0.8 .219 .279 .298 -.306 .221 .281 .313 .206 -11.4 87-C 1 0.5
Weighted Mean 456 46 22 2 7 41 39 89 3 2 -1.0 .254 .320 .370 -.125 .257 .322 .389 .247 9.1 108-C 1 2.3

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

38%

69%

17%

16%

1.10

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2009 (age 22) 456 46 22 2 7 41 39 89 3 2 -1.0 .254 .320 .370 -.125 .257 .322 .389 .247 9.1 108-C 1 2.3
2010 (age 23) 454 49 23 2 8 46 42 86 3 1 -0.9 .263 .334 .385 -.075 .261 .331 .400 .257 10.7 108-C 0 2.5
2011 (age 24) 363 35 18 1 7 35 32 66 3 1 -0.7 .258 .326 .382 -.097 .257 .324 .396 .253 7.1 87-C 0 1.9
2012 (age 25) 388 40 20 1 8 39 37 71 3 1 -0.6 .260 .332 .393 -.069 .258 .329 .408 .259 8.7 93-C -1 2.0
2013 (age 26) 393 41 19 1 8 42 36 72 3 1 -0.4 .267 .336 .403 -.044 .266 .333 .418 .263 9.0 94-C -4 1.9
2014 (age 27) 382 35 17 1 7 37 37 74 2 1 -0.4 .243 .317 .362 -.150 .242 .314 .375 .243 2.4 91-C -2 1.4
2015 (age 28) 372 36 16 1 7 37 38 70 3 1 -0.3 .249 .326 .371 -.117 .247 .324 .385 .250 3.6 89-C 0 1.4

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .228 .291 .319
vs RHP .264 .334 .404
Split -.036 -.043 -.085
LgAvg -.035 -.040 -.079

Valuation

Year BRAA FRAA Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2009 4.7 1.0 2.3 $2,900,000 7.5 9.9
2010 9.7 0.0 2.5 $3,600,000 9.0 12.1
2011 6.1 0.0 1.9 $2,825,000 5.8 10.0
2012 8.9 -1.0 2.0 $3,400,000 7.4 12.3
2013 10.8 -4.0 1.9 $3,550,000 7.8 13.1
2014 2.3 -2.0 1.4 $2,300,000 1.5 8.3
2015 5.0 0.0 1.4 $2,700,000 3.4 10.2
Peak 12.0 $13,150,000 39.0 66.0


Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2009 .262 .243 .225 .247
2010 .275 .255 .240 .257
2011 .272 .250 .228 .253
2012 .278 .256 .231 .259
2013 .290 .260 .235 .263
2014 .274 .238 .215 .243
2015 .290 .250 .214 .250


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2009 16% 0% 38%
2010 20% 5% 54%
2011 28% 13% 48%
2012 42% 22% 54%
2013 49% 31% 50%
2014 49% 30% 42%
2015 63% 40% 43%

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

53

Rank Hitter Year Score Trend Rank Hitter Year Score Trend
1 Scott Hatteberg 1992 44 11 Dan Peltier 1991 34
2 Francisco Melendez 1986 40 12 Angelo Cuevas 1988 34
3 Doug McConathy 1993 39 13 Donnie Scott 1984 34
4 Andy Dziadkowiec 1990 38 14 Jerry Willard 1982 33
5 Geno Petralli 1982 37 15 Steve Padia 1985 33
6 Brian Luderer 2001 36 16 Daniel Stryffeler 1985 33
7 Brian McCann 2006 36 17 Marty Pevey 1985 33
8 Adam Brown 1989 36 18 Javier Valentin 1998 33
9 Jeff Reed 1985 35 19 Tommy Gregg 1986 33
10 Edwards Guzman 1999 35 20 Jason Kubel 2004 33

Player Comments

Click on the year to report a comment problem (misspelling, premature cutoff, weird characters or rendering, etc.)

2008

In something of a surprise, the Cardinals had Anderson skip High-A and move straight to the Texas League, where he hit for average and little else. Holding your own as a 20-year-old catcher in the Texas League is notable, but the excitement over Anderson is based largely on his ability to slap line drives, and his contact rate is low for hitter of that type. He hasn't shown power, and he has catcher's speed and average defensive skills. The end result is likely to be a Paul Lo Duca/A.J. Pierzynski-type of player in the majors.

2007

At 19, Anderson was among the younger set in the Midwest League last year, but he didn`t play like a na?f. Doors can open pretty fast for left-handed hitting catchers, even ones who are still developing their defensive games, as Anderson is. He began the season with an invite to the big league training camp, so he`s a pretty big blip on the Cardinals radar.


Baseball Prospectus Home  |  Terms of Service  |  Privacy Policy  |  Contact Us
Copyright © 1996-2009 Prospectus Entertainment Ventures, LLC.