Biographical

Portrait of Bruce Chen

Bruce Chen PRoyals

Royals Player Cards | Royals Team Audit | Royals Depth Chart

2014 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 37)
IP ERA WHIP SO W L SV WARP
111.0 4.44 1.36 76 8 6 0 0.3
Birth Date6-19-1977
Height6' 2"
Weight215 lbs
Age37 years, 4 months, 3 days
BatsL
ThrowsL
2.32010
1.62011
2.32012
1.32013
0.42014
+proj
WARP Summary

Standard

YEAR TEAM AGE G GS IP IP-SP IP-RP W L SV BS QS BQS PA H R ER HR TB BB UBB HBP SO ERA FIP FRA VORP WARP
1998 ATL 21 4 4 20.3 20.3 0.0 2 0 0 0 2 0 91 23 9 9 3 38 9 8 1 17 3.98 4.79 4.65 2.0 0.2
1999 ATL 22 16 7 51.0 40.0 11.0 2 2 0 0 3 0 214 38 32 31 11 75 27 24 2 45 5.47 5.82 7.43 -6.9 -0.7
2000 ATL 23 22 0 39.7 0.0 39.7 4 0 0 0 0 0 176 35 15 11 4 60 19 17 1 32 2.50 4.27 4.58 4.5 0.4
2000 PHI 23 15 15 94.3 94.3 0.0 3 4 0 0 6 1 383 81 39 38 14 139 27 25 1 80 3.63 4.18 5.09 9.3 0.8
2001 NYN 24 11 11 59.7 59.7 0.0 3 2 0 0 5 3 253 56 37 31 10 102 28 28 0 47 4.68 5.02 5.99 -3.6 -0.4
2001 PHI 24 16 16 86.3 86.3 0.0 4 5 0 0 4 1 381 90 53 48 19 182 31 27 1 79 5.00 5.15 5.04 4.1 0.4
2002 CIN 25 39 1 39.7 4.0 35.7 0 2 0 3 0 0 178 37 24 19 7 70 20 18 1 37 4.31 4.89 5.18 1.5 0.1
2002 MON 25 15 5 37.3 19.0 18.3 2 3 0 1 0 0 179 47 29 29 9 82 23 20 1 43 6.99 5.64 5.80 3.8 0.4
2002 NYN 25 1 0 0.7 0.0 0.7 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 2.88 3.74 0.1 0.0
2003 BOS 26 5 2 12.3 9.0 3.3 0 1 0 0 0 0 50 12 8 7 4 25 2 2 0 12 5.11 5.85 6.36 0.3 0.0
2003 HOU 26 11 0 12.0 0.0 12.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 60 14 8 8 2 26 8 7 2 8 6.00 6.31 5.76 -0.5 -0.1
2004 BAL 27 8 7 47.7 44.7 3.0 2 1 0 0 3 1 196 39 19 16 7 69 16 16 0 32 3.02 4.73 4.63 7.1 0.7
2005 BAL 28 34 32 197.3 192.3 5.0 13 10 0 1 21 1 832 187 94 84 33 322 63 63 9 133 3.83 4.97 5.02 20.2 2.0
2006 BAL 29 40 12 98.7 58.3 40.3 0 7 0 0 1 0 453 137 81 76 28 243 35 32 0 70 6.93 6.52 7.10 -1.9 -0.2
2007 TEX 30 5 0 10.0 0.0 10.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 46 11 11 8 3 24 6 5 0 7 7.20 7.61 10.61 -4.2 -0.4
2009 KCA 32 17 9 62.3 48.0 14.3 1 6 0 0 3 1 279 74 42 40 12 126 25 22 4 45 5.78 5.60 6.10 2.2 0.2
2010 KCA 33 33 23 140.3 131.0 9.3 12 7 1 0 8 1 608 136 68 65 17 219 57 53 3 98 4.17 4.51 4.27 22.1 2.3
2011 KCA 34 25 25 155.0 155.0 0.0 12 8 0 0 14 1 654 152 71 65 18 239 50 48 7 97 3.77 4.42 4.88 14.2 1.6
2012 KCA 35 34 34 191.7 191.7 0.0 11 14 0 0 15 1 827 215 114 108 33 371 47 44 8 140 5.07 4.68 4.65 19.3 2.3
2013 KCA 36 34 15 121.0 87.3 33.7 9 4 0 3 9 0 498 107 46 44 13 172 36 32 3 78 3.27 4.15 4.20 11.8 1.3
2014 KCA 37 13 7 48.3 34.7 13.7 2 4 0 0 1 0 223 69 40 40 7 105 16 15 1 36 7.45 4.61 4.91 1.3 0.1
Career3982251525.71275.7250.082801895116584156184077725426905455064511364.584.905.16106.611.1

Advanced

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP FRA FRA+ TAv oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG oppTAv BABIP PPF PVORP PWARP VORP WARP
1995 DNV Rk 14 13 70.3 0.00 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1996 EUG A- 11 8 35.7 0.00 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1997 MCN A 28 28 146.3 0.00 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .289 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1998 ATL MLB 4 4 20.3 4.65 94 .286 .248 .314 .387 .249 .328 95 1.9 0.2 2.0 0.2
1998 GRN AA 24 23 139.3 0.00 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1998 GWN AAA 4 4 24.0 0.00 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1999 ATL MLB 16 7 51.0 7.43 43 .246 .266 .343 .415 .257 .209 95 -6.4 -0.6 -6.9 -0.7
1999 GWN AAA 14 14 78.0 0.00 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2000 ATL MLB 22 0 39.7 4.58 103 .260 .261 .332 .423 .255 .258 93 4.2 0.4 4.5 0.4
2000 PHI MLB 15 15 94.3 5.09 98 .225 .268 .335 .438 .259 .257 99 9.9 0.9 9.3 0.8
2000 GWN AAA 1 1 6.0 0.00 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2001 NYN MLB 11 11 59.7 5.99 61 .287 .258 .323 .418 .259 .274 91 -3.4 -0.3 -3.6 -0.4
2001 PHI MLB 16 16 86.3 5.04 87 .293 .258 .323 .419 .257 .283 94 4.3 0.4 4.1 0.4
2001 REA AA 1 1 6.0 0.00 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2001 SWB AAA 3 3 18.7 0.00 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2002 CIN MLB 39 1 39.7 5.18 92 .278 .255 .326 .410 .259 .265 106 1.7 0.2 1.5 0.1
2002 MON MLB 15 5 37.3 5.80 73 .315 .256 .325 .410 .255 .369 102 1.1 0.1 3.8 0.4
2002 NYN MLB 1 0 0.7 3.74 107 .241 .260 .316 .358 .236 .333 89 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0
2003 BOS MLB 5 2 12.3 6.36 75 .276 .273 .349 .451 .277 .250 104 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.0
2003 HOU MLB 11 0 12.0 5.76 80 .322 .273 .336 .441 .266 .300 104 -0.3 -0.0 -0.5 -0.1
2003 PAW AAA 16 15 85.0 0.00 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .278 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2004 BAL MLB 8 7 47.7 4.63 111 .233 .265 .331 .428 .257 .227 104 7.1 0.7 7.1 0.7
2004 OTT AAA 22 17 95.0 0.00 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .297 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2004 SYR AAA 3 3 10.3 0.00 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .351 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2005 BAL MLB 34 32 197.3 5.02 96 .259 .268 .332 .428 .265 .259 102 19.0 1.9 20.2 2.0
2006 BAL MLB 40 12 98.7 7.10 68 .308 .274 .342 .444 .264 .341 109 -3.1 -0.3 -1.9 -0.2
2006 PAN wor 1 1 5.1 0.00 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .267 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2007 TEX MLB 5 0 10.0 10.61 -13 .318 .265 .334 .421 .266 .267 102 -4.2 -0.4 -4.2 -0.4
2007 OKL AAA 4 4 16.0 6.30 74 .256 .291 .355 .456 .265 .286 102 0.6 0.1 0.6 0.1
2009 KCA MLB 17 9 62.3 6.10 79 .294 .267 .334 .418 .260 .321 105 0.5 0.1 2.2 0.2
2009 OMA AAA 14 13 82.0 4.67 87 .231 .274 .343 .414 .278 .224 89 4.7 0.5 4.7 0.5
2010 KCA MLB 33 23 140.3 4.27 114 .258 .260 .326 .406 .259 .275 111 21.8 2.3 22.1 2.3
2010 OMA AAA 3 3 20.7 3.02 136 .177 .273 .338 .405 .255 .255 95 6.0 0.6 6.0 0.6
2011 KCA MLB 25 25 155.0 4.88 99 .257 .255 .317 .393 .256 .278 108 13.8 1.5 14.2 1.6
2011 NWA AA 1 1 2.0 4.19 98 .461 .279 .343 .419 .273 .556 85 0.4 0.0 0.4 0.0
2011 OMA AAA 2 2 9.0 7.17 67 .304 .280 .343 .449 .267 .296 102 -0.3 -0.0 -0.3 -0.0
2012 KCA MLB 34 34 191.7 4.65 97 .283 .259 .319 .416 .262 .304 102 19.9 2.1 19.3 2.3
2013 KCA MLB 34 15 121.0 4.20 102 .251 .258 .322 .406 .269 .255 100 10.9 1.2 11.8 1.3
2014 KCA MLB 13 7 48.3 4.91 84 .319 .252 .315 .389 .260 .380 102 1.3 0.1 1.3 0.1
2014 NWA AA 1 1 3.0 4.81 97 .456 .268 .329 .398 .267 .545 107 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.0
2014 OMA AAA 3 3 12.3 4.56 106 .317 .280 .346 .438 .271 .500 98 2.5 0.3 2.5 0.3

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
Year Team Lg W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 WHIP ERA VORP WARP
1995 DNV Rk 4 4 0 14 13 70.3 78 19 56 3 0% .000 10.0 2.4 0.4 7.2 1.38 3.97 0.0 0.0
1996 EUG A- 4 1 0 11 8 35.7 23 14 55 1 0% .000 5.8 3.5 0.3 13.9 1.04 2.27 0.0 0.0
1997 MCN A 12 7 0 28 28 146.3 120 44 182 19 0% .289 7.4 2.7 1.2 11.2 1.12 3.51 0.0 0.0
1998 ATL MLB 2 0 0 4 4 20.3 23 9 17 3 34% .328 10.2 4.0 1.3 7.5 1.57 3.98 2.0 0.2
1998 GWN AAA 2 1 0 4 4 24.0 17 19 29 1 0% .000 6.4 7.1 0.4 10.9 1.50 1.88 0.0 0.0
1998 GRN AA 13 7 0 24 23 139.3 106 48 164 12 0% .000 6.8 3.1 0.8 10.6 1.11 3.30 0.0 0.0
1999 ATL MLB 2 2 0 16 7 51.0 38 27 45 11 29% .209 6.7 4.8 1.9 7.9 1.27 5.47 -6.9 -0.7
1999 GWN AAA 6 3 0 14 14 78.0 73 26 90 10 0% .000 8.4 3.0 1.2 10.4 1.27 3.81 0.0 0.0
2000 PHI MLB 3 4 0 15 15 94.3 81 27 80 14 35% .257 7.7 2.6 1.3 7.6 1.14 3.63 9.3 0.8
2000 ATL MLB 4 0 0 22 0 39.7 35 19 32 4 40% .258 7.9 4.3 0.9 7.3 1.36 2.50 4.5 0.4
2000 GWN AAA 1 0 0 1 1 6.0 5 1 6 0 0% .000 7.5 1.5 0.0 9.0 1.00 0.00 0.0 0.0
2001 NYN MLB 3 2 0 11 11 59.7 56 28 47 10 38% .274 8.4 4.2 1.5 7.1 1.41 4.68 -3.6 -0.4
2001 PHI MLB 4 5 0 16 16 86.3 90 31 79 19 32% .283 9.4 3.2 2.0 8.2 1.40 5.00 4.1 0.4
2001 SWB AAA 1 0 0 3 3 18.7 14 5 14 2 0% .000 6.7 2.4 1.0 6.7 1.02 3.85 0.0 0.0
2001 REA AA 1 0 0 1 1 6.0 3 0 7 0 0% .000 4.5 0.0 0.0 10.5 0.50 0.00 0.0 0.0
2002 CIN MLB 0 2 0 39 1 39.7 37 20 37 7 39% .265 8.4 4.5 1.6 8.4 1.44 4.31 1.5 0.1
2002 MON MLB 2 3 0 15 5 37.3 47 23 43 9 38% .369 11.3 5.5 2.2 10.4 1.88 6.99 3.8 0.4
2002 NYN MLB 0 0 0 1 0 0.7 1 0 0 0 50% .333 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.50 0.00 0.1 0.0
2003 BOS MLB 0 1 0 5 2 12.3 12 2 12 4 44% .250 8.8 1.5 2.9 8.8 1.14 5.11 0.3 0.0
2003 HOU MLB 0 0 0 11 0 12.0 14 8 8 2 67% .300 10.5 6.0 1.5 6.0 1.83 6.00 -0.5 -0.1
2003 PAW AAA 5 5 1 16 15 85.0 80 15 73 12 0% .278 8.5 1.6 1.3 7.7 1.12 4.24 0.0 0.0
2004 BAL MLB 2 1 0 8 7 47.7 39 16 32 7 39% .227 7.4 3.0 1.3 6.0 1.15 3.02 7.1 0.7
2004 OTT AAA 4 3 0 22 17 95.0 85 30 108 12 0% .297 8.1 2.8 1.1 10.2 1.21 3.22 0.0 0.0
2004 SYR AAA 0 1 0 3 3 10.3 17 5 8 4 0% .351 14.9 4.4 3.5 7.0 2.14 8.74 0.0 0.0
2005 BAL MLB 13 10 0 34 32 197.3 187 63 133 33 39% .259 8.5 2.9 1.5 6.1 1.27 3.83 20.2 2.0
2006 BAL MLB 0 7 0 40 12 98.7 137 35 70 28 34% .341 12.5 3.2 2.6 6.4 1.74 6.93 -1.9 -0.2
2006 PAN wor 0 0 0 1 1 5.1 4 1 3 0 0% .267 7.1 1.8 0.0 5.3 0.98 3.53 0.0 0.0
2007 TEX MLB 0 0 0 5 0 10.0 11 6 7 3 33% .267 9.9 5.4 2.7 6.3 1.70 7.20 -4.2 -0.4
2007 OKL AAA 1 1 0 4 4 16.0 17 3 12 3 46% .286 9.6 1.7 1.7 6.8 1.25 5.62 0.6 0.1
2009 OMA AAA 4 2 0 14 13 82.0 57 23 69 8 37% .224 6.3 2.5 0.9 7.6 0.98 3.40 4.7 0.5
2009 KCA MLB 1 6 0 17 9 62.3 74 25 45 12 32% .321 10.7 3.6 1.7 6.5 1.59 5.78 2.2 0.2
2010 OMA AAA 0 1 0 3 3 20.7 13 5 20 0 45% .255 5.7 2.2 0.0 8.7 0.87 1.30 6.0 0.6
2010 KCA MLB 12 7 1 33 23 140.3 136 57 98 17 35% .275 8.7 3.7 1.1 6.3 1.38 4.17 22.1 2.3
2011 OMA AAA 0 0 0 2 2 9.0 11 1 8 3 37% .296 11.0 1.0 3.0 8.0 1.33 6.00 -0.3 -0.0
2011 KCA MLB 12 8 0 25 25 155.0 152 50 97 18 37% .278 8.8 2.9 1.0 5.6 1.30 3.77 14.2 1.6
2011 NWA AA 0 1 0 1 1 2.0 5 0 2 0 22% .556 22.5 0.0 0.0 9.0 2.50 18.00 0.4 0.0
2012 KCA MLB 11 14 0 34 34 191.7 215 47 140 33 34% .304 10.1 2.2 1.5 6.6 1.37 5.07 19.3 2.3
2013 KCA MLB 9 4 0 34 15 121.0 107 36 78 13 29% .255 8.0 2.7 1.0 5.8 1.18 3.27 11.8 1.3
2014 NWA AA 0 0 0 1 1 3.0 8 0 3 2 54% .545 24.0 0.0 6.0 9.0 2.67 6.00 0.3 0.0
2014 KCA MLB 2 4 0 13 7 48.3 69 16 36 7 34% .380 12.8 3.0 1.3 6.7 1.76 7.45 1.3 0.1
2014 OMA AAA 0 1 0 3 3 12.3 21 3 13 1 32% .500 15.3 2.2 0.7 9.5 1.95 8.76 2.5 0.3

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT
2009 1067 0.5192 0.4527 0.8571 0.6191 0.2729 0.8863 0.7857 0.1429
2010 2397 0.5586 0.4558 0.8434 0.6042 0.2675 0.8826 0.7314 0.1566
2011 2517 0.5292 0.4621 0.8469 0.6261 0.2776 0.8993 0.7143 0.1505
2012 3182 0.5380 0.4937 0.8428 0.6513 0.3102 0.8879 0.7325 0.1572
2013 1946 0.5735 0.4758 0.8465 0.6183 0.2831 0.8797 0.7489 0.1535
2014 864 0.5405 0.4826 0.8561 0.6488 0.2872 0.9043 0.7281 0.1439
Career119730.54450.47210.84660.62820.28540.88890.73550.1528

Injury History

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2014-04-25 2014-06-24 60-DL 60 55 - Low Back Cartilage Injury Disc Injury and Had Epidural Injection - -
2011-05-06 2011-06-24 15-DL 49 44 Left Shoulder Strain Latissimus Dorsi -
2009-09-18 2009-10-05 60-DL 17 16 Left Abdomen Strain Oblique -
2008-01-01 2008-01-01 FA 0 0 Left Elbow Surgery Tommy John Surgery -
2005-06-26 2005-07-04 DTD 8 7 Left Sprain Big Toe -

Compensation

Year Team Salary
2015 KCA $1,000,000
2014 KCA $3,250,000
2013 KCA $4,500,000
2012 KCA $4,500,000
2011 KCA $2,000,000
2006 BAL $3,800,000
2005 BAL $550,000
2003 HOU $700,000
2002 NYN $300,000
2001 PHI $300,000
2000 ATL $207,500
YearsDescriptionSalary
9 yrPrevious$16,857,500
2011Current$3,250,000
10 yrPvs + Cur$20,107,500
1 yrFuture$1,000,000
11 yrTotal$21,107,500

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
10 y 171 dScott Boras1 year/$4.25M (2014), 2015 option

Details
  • 1 year/$4.25M (2014), plus 2015 option. Re-signed by Kansas City as a free agent 1/30/14. 14:$3.25M, 15:$5.5M mutual option ($1M buyout). Performance bonuses: $0.125M for each start from 16 to 25. DFA by Kansas City 8/29/14. Released 9/5/14.
  • 2 years/$9M (2012-13). Re-signed by Kansas City as a free agent 11/23/11. 12:$4.5M, 13:$4.5M. May earn additional $1M annually in performance bonuses. May earn additional $0.5M annually in roster bonuses.
  • 1 year/$2M (2011). Re-signed by Kansas City as a free agent 1/15/11. Performance bonuses to $1.5M.
  • 1 year (2010). Re-signed by Kansas City as a free agent 12/11/09 (minor-league contract). Contract purchased by Kansas City 4/23/10.
  • 1 year/$0.6M (2009). Signed by Kansas City as a free agent 2/28/09 (minor-league contract, $0.6M in majors). Contract purchased by Kansas City 6/27/09.
  • 1 year (2007). Signed by Texas as a free agent 2/07 (minor-league contract). DFA by Texas 4/07. Contract purchased by Texas 4/07.
  • 1 year/$3.8M (2006). Re-signed by Baltimore 1/06 (avoided arbitration). Performance bonuses: $0.2M each for 200 IP, 33 starts.
  • 1 year/$0.55M (2005). Re-signed by Baltimore 12/04 (avoided arbitration).
  • 1 year (2004). Signed by Toronto as a free agent 12/03 (minor-league contract). Acquired by Baltimore in trade from Toronto 5/04. Contract purchased by Baltimore 8/04.
  • 1 year/$0.7M (2003). Re-signed by Cincinnati 1/03 (lost arbitration, $0.83M-$0.7M). DFA by Cincinnati 3/03. Released by Cincinnati 3/03. Signed by Houston as a free agent 3/03 (minor-league contract). Contract purchased by Houston 3/03. Claimed by Boston off waivers from Houston 5/03.
  • 1 year (2002). Acquired by Montreal in trade from NY Mets 4/02. Acquired by Cincinnati in trade from Montreal 7/02.
  • 1 year/$0.3M (2001). Acquired by NY Mets in trade from Philadelphia 7/01.
  • 1 year/$0.2075M (2000). Acquired by Philadelphia in trade from Atlanta 7/00.
  • Signed by Atlanta 1993 as an amateur free agent from Panama.

2014 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 3/11/2014 05:35 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA FRA VORP WARP
90o 8.1 7.2 0 23 23 149.2 134 40 100 17 .257 1.16 3.50 3.8 20.3 2.1
80o 7.9 7.7 0 23 23 142.8 136 40 96 18 .268 1.23 3.84 4.17 14.4 1.5
70o 7.7 8 0 23 23 138.4 137 41 93 18 .276 1.28 4.09 4.45 10.1 1.0
60o 7.5 8.3 0 23 23 134.6 138 41 90 18 .283 1.33 4.31 4.69 6.6 0.7
50o 7.3 8.5 0 23 23 131.1 138 41 88 18 .289 1.37 4.52 4.91 3.4 0.3
40o 7.1 8.8 0 23 23 127.7 139 41 86 18 .295 1.41 4.72 5.14 0.1 0.0
30o 7 9.1 0 23 23 124.0 140 41 83 18 .302 1.46 4.95 5.38 -3.2 -0.3
20o 6.7 9.5 0 23 23 119.8 140 42 80 18 .310 1.52 5.22 5.67 -7.1 -0.7
10o 6.4 10 0 23 23 114.2 141 42 77 18 .321 1.60 5.59 6.08 -12.4 -1.3
Weighted Mean7.38.502323131.0138418818.2881.364.504.893.70.4

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate MLB %
7% 33% 13% 16% 69%

Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2014 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP WHIP ERA FRA H/9 BB/9 K/9 HR/9 WARP
20153891102828173193621092435.2971.475.055.4910.03.25.71.2-0.7
2016397100242414316350872035.3001.495.185.6310.33.15.51.3-0.8
2017408100252514816549872135.2921.444.925.3510.03.05.31.3-0.4
201841580191911012837661635.3031.505.295.7510.53.05.41.3-0.7
20194246015158810130481335.2981.495.255.7010.43.14.91.3-0.5
2020433501212708225381135.3011.545.405.8710.63.24.91.4-0.5
2021443501111657723351035.3021.555.475.9510.73.24.91.4-0.6
202245340101062732233935.3001.545.445.9110.73.24.81.3-0.5
202346340101058692130935.3011.555.616.0910.73.34.71.4-0.6

Upside By Year

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 PEAK 5
16.626.524.813.74.70.686.3

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 82)

Rank Score Name Year Run Average Trend
1 90 Esteban Loaiza 2009 0.00 DNP
2 90 Kevin Millwood 2012 4.81
3 89 Jason Schmidt 2010 0.00 DNP
4 88 Luis Tiant 1978 3.39
5 88 Tom Seaver 1982 6.06
6 88 Bert Blyleven 1988 5.56
7 87 Bartolo Colon 2010 0.00 DNP
8 87 Mike Hampton 2010 0.00
9 86 Phil Niekro 1976 3.86
10 86 Brett Tomko 2010 0.00 DNP
11 86 Jim Bibby 1982 0.00 DNP
12 86 Mike Cuellar 1974 3.54
13 86 Ted Lilly 2013 5.87
14 86 Jack Morris 1992 4.26
15 85 Joe Dobson 1954 6.75
16 85 Dennis Martinez 1991 2.84
17 85 Don Sutton 1982 3.46
18 85 Mark Langston 1998 6.20
19 85 Whitey Ford 1966 4.07
20 84 Jimmy Key 1998 4.42
21 84 Brian Moehler 2009 5.82
22 84 Chan Ho Park 2010 5.51
23 84 Doyle Alexander 1988 4.79
24 84 Dizzy Trout 1952 4.28
25 84 Orlando Hernandez 2003 0.00 DNP
26 84 Bryn Smith 1993 8.80
27 83 David Wells 2000 4.51
28 83 Gaylord Perry 1976 3.34
29 83 Livan Hernandez 2012 6.42
30 83 Ken Johnson 1970 9.00
31 83 Early Wynn 1957 4.76
32 83 Bruce Hurst 1995 0.00 DNP
33 83 Sam Jones 1963 9.82
34 83 Paul Byrd 2008 4.80
35 82 Jim Kaat 1976 3.76
36 82 Virgil Trucks 1954 2.96
37 82 Jerry Koosman 1980 4.40
38 82 Woody Williams 2004 4.41
39 82 Mike Scott 1992 0.00 DNP
40 82 Al Leiter 2003 4.13
41 82 Ed Whitson 1992 0.00 DNP
42 82 Darren Oliver 2008 3.00
43 82 Vic Raschi 1956 0.00 DNP
44 81 Sal Maglie 1954 3.53
45 81 Ramon Ortiz 2010 6.60
46 81 Tom Candiotti 1995 4.40
47 81 Rudy May 1982 3.65
48 81 Rick Reuschel 1986 4.42
49 81 Charlie Leibrandt 1994 0.00 DNP
50 81 Carl Pavano 2013 0.00 DNP
51 81 Marty Pattin 1980 4.04
52 80 Hal Brown 1962 4.97 DNP
53 80 Orel Hershiser 1996 5.02
54 80 Sonny Siebert 1974 4.44
55 80 David Cone 2000 7.20
56 80 Aaron Sele 2007 6.04
57 80 Tim Wakefield 2004 5.78
58 80 Bret Saberhagen 2001 6.60
59 80 Fred Norman 1980 4.59
60 80 Chuck Finley 2000 4.42
61 80 John Burkett 2002 4.84
62 80 Dave Stewart 1994 6.01
63 80 Jim Perry 1973 4.26
64 80 Ellis Kinder 1952 3.04
65 80 Steve Trachsel 2008 9.30
66 80 Jon Lieber 2007 5.08
67 80 Jeff Suppan 2012 5.58
68 80 John Tudor 1991 0.00 DNP
69 80 Mike Bielecki 1997 5.02
70 79 Mark Hendrickson 2011 5.73
71 79 Jim Lonborg 1979 12.27
72 79 Elmer Dessens 2008 22.50
73 79 Pedro Martinez 2009 3.63
74 79 Willie Ramsdell 1953 0.00 DNP
75 79 Art Fowler 1960 0.00 DNP
76 79 Rick Sutcliffe 1993 6.07
77 79 Earl Wilson 1972 0.00 DNP
78 78 Kenshin Kawakami 2012 0.00 DNP
79 78 Walt Masterson 1957 0.00 DNP
80 78 Dick Donovan 1965 5.96
81 78 Bob Feller 1956 5.28
82 78 Joe Nuxhall 1966 4.92
83 78 Steve Carlton 1982 3.47
84 78 Connie Johnson 1960 0.00 DNP
85 78 Ed Lopat 1955 4.58
86 78 Joe Hesketh 1996 0.00 DNP
87 78 Charlie Hough 1985 3.67
88 78 Bob Tewksbury 1998 4.98
89 78 Dave Burba 2004 4.68
90 77 Ron Guidry 1988 4.50
91 77 Doug Davis 2013 0.00 DNP
92 77 Warren Spahn 1958 3.30
93 77 Kevin Tapani 2001 4.97
94 77 Russ Ortiz 2011 0.00 DNP
95 77 Jim Bunning 1969 4.11
96 77 Bill Hands 1977 0.00 DNP
97 77 Hank Aguirre 1968 2.02
98 77 Ron Reed 1980 4.45
99 77 Curt Simmons 1966 4.55
100 76 Bobby Shantz 1963 3.18

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv
10 vs L (Multi) .278 .336 .438 .272
11 vs R (Multi) .250 .304 .421 .263
18 Split (Multi) .028 .033 .017 .009
19 LgAvg (Multi) -.026 -.032 -.063 -.030
30 vs L (2013) .261 .317 .438 .266
31 vs R (2013) .224 .283 .351 .236
38 Split (2013) .037 .035 .087 .030
39 LgAvg (2013) -.025 -.031 -.062 -.029

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2014 Due to publishing agreements, the 2014 player comments and team essays are only available in the Baseball Prospectus 2014 book (available in hardcopy, e-book, and Kindle).
2013 Chen went fishing for a multi-year deal during the last couple of offseasons. A solid 2011, when he outpaced his peripherals, earned him a two-year deal from Moore. It wasnít surprising he stumbled. A fly-ball pitcher for his entire career, his line-drive rate saw an increase for four consecutive years and his home-run rate traversed back into red-flag territory. He pitched around the plate and kept his walk rate down, but hitters had little difficulty making contact. His previous success was thanks to the deception of varying his arm slot, but last year that deception wasnít worth much. The Royals would love to trade him, but there's little market for a 36-year-old lefty who doesnít miss bats and is owed $4.5 million in his one remaining year.
2012 A marginal major league starter when signed by the Royals midway through 2010, Chen began experimenting with changing his arm slot. Normally, he throws with a delivery that comes over the top, but he began dropping to a three-quarters slot on occasion. The results are intriguing: heís throwing fewer strikes overall, but has been enticing hitters to chase out of the strike zone with greater frequency. More confounding is that while his ground-ball rate remains around 35 percent, he has been keeping the ball in the yard since joining the Royals, with a 1.05 HR/9. His ERA may be shiny, but his peripherals indicate heís living dangerously, allowing too many base runners to continue his modest run of success.
2011 Chen somehow posted a 4.17 ERA despite pitching in front of one of the most porous defenses in the land, and did so with peripherals that indicate that his ERA should have been closer to five. Chen throws a multitude of pitches, but none of them is better than average, and most of them are fringe-average and unable to induce whiffs. The key to his season was not allowing home runs at his normal rate, but there is nothing to suggest anything but a transient flirtation with effectiveness: he remains a severe fly-ball pitcher who doesn't consistently induce pop-ups, and in light of his iffy control and inability to miss bats, it's clear that the homers will be back before long.
2010 Bruce Chen delivered sub-replacement, back-end rotation filler most clubs have in abundance, but seems in short supply here; rather than hop to his 12th organization, he re-upped with the Royals on a minor-league contract.
2007 Absence certainly did not make the heart grow fonder for Chen, who chafed under Mazzone as a Brave prospect years ago and fell apart on him upon their reacquaintance this year. Chen didn`t really pitch much differently last year than in the past; he`s been getting away with nothing but finesse for two years, and last year it caught up with him. Proof that not everybody has a career year in their walk year, Chen lost his starting job in May and didn`t do anything in relief to merit getting it back.
2006 Where the Mazzone signing might get really interesting is with Chen. He clashed with? Mazzone when he first came up with the Braves, primarily (according to reports) because he wasn`t open to being as aggressive as Leo`s first-pitch-strike philosophy dictated. Chen spent the next six years butting heads with pretty much every pitching coach he met, so that`s hardly a knock on Leo. Chen has finally become the pitcher Leo would have made him: he rarely throws the same speed twice in a row, works away-away-away, and throws strikes a lot more often than he did as a young Brave. He`s now been with Baltimore longer than any organization since leaving the Braves, so perhaps he`s finally ready to settle in.
2005 I've pitched in
Baltimore, Boston, Pawtucket, Atlanta
New York, Houston, Reading, Philadelphia
Syracuse, Richmond, Montreal, Ottawa
Scranton Wilkes-Barre and in Cincinnati
I've pitched everywhere, man, I've pitched everywhere...

And that's just since 2000.

Hank Snow Memorial Award Finalists, since 2000:
Bruce Chen, 14 home teams and eight major league organizations
Hansel Izquierdo and Leo Estrella, 13 teams and seven organizations
Rudy Seanez, Al Reyes, Jimmy Osting, and Curtis Pride, 12 teams and seven organizations
Aaron Myette and Craig House, 12 teams and five organizations
2003 Having worn the colors of four NL East teams in less than 21 months, the next logical stop for Chen was Florida. Instead, he hung a right out of Montreal and landed in Cincinnati last June. Chen showed some improvement after arriving, but still hasnít approached the promise he flashed as a Bravesí farmhand. Thereís a reason that a player with his raw talent is traded so often, and it usually has more to do with attitude than ability. Chen will be fighting for a spot in the rotation when camp opens. With Don Gullett in his corner, this might be his last best chance for success.
2002 Taking a chance on Chen was one of the smartest moves the Mets have made in years. Ditching Dennis Cook and Turk Wendell in the process was just gravy. Itís certainly questionable, however, whether the Mets can turn Bruce Chen into the pitcher they think he should be. Itís hard to tell whether the whispers about Chenís work habits have validity or are just plain old impatience. Rumors persist that he'll be traded to the Padres.
2001 While a good development process is certainly key to building a franchise, highway robbery helps. Bruce Chen made the Phillies look good by being one of the best starters in the league over the last two months of the season. He was miraculously spared the worst of Franconaís arm mangling. Heís already very good, will get better, and should end talk of the Phillies needing an ace.
2000 Not that Odalis Perez isnít a good pitcher, but itís silly the way teams let a handful of innings in the spring derail the careers of their top prospects. Chenís lousy March cost him the Bravesí #5 starter job, although he returned in May. He needs only to work on keeping the ball--particularly his curve--in the park to be another great Bravesí starter.
1999 The Bravesí other prospects, great as they are, are just pretenders to the throne. Chen is the Prince. When those around him discuss his success, one aspect towers over all: mound presence. He throws hard, has excellent command of four pitches, but what distinguishes him is that he sets up hitters with uncanny ease for a 21-year-old. The Neagle trade was made with him in mind. Chen certainly looks ready, he has an opportunity waiting for him, and he has the best crew in baseball to help him develop. He may be the best pitching prospect in the game.
1998 Another darling of the south, Chen is the jewel of the system right now, a hard-throwing lefthander with command, power and a record of success. Obviously, the Braves donít need to rush him. Moving up one level at a time would give him a cameo in Atlanta in September of 2000. Watch him carefully.

BP Articles

Bruce Chen is referenced in the following articles.

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BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2014-04-24 13:00:00 (link to chat)You think Danny Duffy will take over Bruce Chen's spot in the rotation soon? If so is he an immediate add?
(Mike from Boston)
I think he can, yes. And then he'd be an add in a lot of formats, but not necessarily a must-add in 10 or 12-team mixers (Paul Sporer)
2013-12-03 13:00:00 (link to chat)Which deal do you like better -- the Giants' 2-year/$23 million deal for Tim Hudson or the A's 2-year/$22 million deal for Scott Kazmir? Sub-question, is getting Kazmir at this price better than whatever cost it would have taken to sign Bartolo Colon?
(Greg from San Francisco)
I prefer the Hudson deal. I just trust him more. Kazmir has a great story and I have fond memories of his golden days, but his injury history concerns me more than Hudson's broken ankle does. Plus, I'm not sold that Kazmir is as good as his second-half numbers suggest, or that we should put a ton of emphasis on themóafter all, Bruce Chen had a lower OPS-against than Kazmir did, and nobody wants to give him a two-year deal. I view him as more of a no. 4 type, which is fine. I just prefer Hudson's relative safeness.

It depends on what Colon wants. If the money was comparable then I might prefer Colon. But if he wanted 3/45 or something out there like that, well ... (R.J. Anderson)
2013-03-15 13:00:00 (link to chat)Bruce Chen is weird. He was much better in 2011 than 2012 on the tangible surface, but some of his metrics point to an improvement. 5% increase in IFFB%, SIERA went down, K% up, BB% down...his pitch F/X values are all down save his change up. He's known for his pastiche of arm slots as well. How does all of this gel? Which is the genuine Chen?
(Tyler Drenon from TheDoubleday.com)
It's a fine line for guys like Chen. He's going to hang around like a Doug Davis or something, effective enough often enough to keep getting work. (Harry Pavlidis)
2013-02-27 20:00:00 (link to chat)Who are some players that are undervalued by Rotiserie Rankings that may be steals in a Points league draft?
(Sean T. from Bethesda)
For hitters, you're looking for boring vanilla guys that contribute stats across the board. Think Hunter Pence: seemingly vanilla players that contribute something across the board. For pitchers, innings munchers matter a lot. Bruce Chen isn't worth much in a Roto format but because he just keeps churning out innings he provides more value in a points format. (Mike Gianella)
2012-04-13 13:00:00 (link to chat)Chances that both AL wild cards come out of the East? How long before KC has a legit shot in the Central?
(cooldude from Mpls)
I think it's certainly possible, the Red Sox slow start notwithstanding. Even so, I wouldn't count the second place team in the AL West, either the Angels or the Rangers, out of the running at all. Both teams have a good deal of talent and depth.

As for the Royals, I'd guess that 2014 is realistic. Right now, I simply don't see the starting pitching they need to compete; at best maybe Bruce Chen and Luke Hochevar (who took a step forward in the second half last year) are league average - where is the rest of that help going to come from? They'll need to sign outside free agents or make trades in order to fortify their starting five. (Jay Jaffe)
2011-05-23 13:00:00 (link to chat)How dare you, sir, to refer to the Royals rotation as a "cast of clowns". Speaking for clowns everywhere I am offended.
(kcboomer from kc)
I'll ask Matt Klaassen to MSPaint me a photo of Bruce Chen in clown garb, tout de suite. (Mike Fast)
2011-03-09 13:00:00 (link to chat)Jeremy, welcome aboard, and thanks a ton for stepping up and doing your first BP chat on such short notice. Here in Mesa, it's Matt Garza vs. Bruce Chen, an interesting pair of decisions as far as acquisition vs. retention. What are you thoughts on this odd couple?
(Christina Kahrl from HoHoKam Stadium)
I watched Bruce Chen at a Yankee game last year, and I did not understand why he was pitching in the Major Leagues. (Jeremy Greenhouse)
2010-10-05 19:23:33 (link to chat)Where does the Phillies "Big Three" rank in terms of the best top 3 pitchers in one rotation in the last two decades or so?
(Ryan from Springfield, PA)
Towards the top, but slightly behind the 2005 Orioles C-Squared-L trio of Daniel Cabrera, Bruce Chen, and Rodrigo Lopez. (Roundtable Administrator)
2004-05-03 13:00:00 (link to chat)Bruce Chen just got traded to the O's for a PBTNL. The O's are the 10th organization he's played for. PECOTA still thinks he has some value, despite his prodigious ability to serve up taters. Is he AAA filler at this point, or is there still a chance he'll succeed?
(DK from NYC)
Home run rate is huge when evaluating young pitchers. Lots of guys can put together reasonably good K/BB numbers in the minor leagues simply by challenging hitters; it seems that HR rate is a truer test of how likely that strategy is to hold up in the big leagues. I'd be surprised if Chen puts together much of a career. (Nate Silver)


BP Roundtables

DateRoundtable NameComment
2010-10-06 10:00:002010 Playoffs Day OneRyan (Springfield, PA): Where does the Phillies "Big Three" rank in terms of the best top 3 pitchers in one rotation in the last two decades or so?

Towards the top, but slightly behind the 2005 Orioles C-Squared-L trio of Daniel Cabrera, Bruce Chen, and Rodrigo Lopez.
(Eric Seidman)
 

PITCHf/x Pitcher Profile

A Collaboration between BrooksBaseball.net and Baseball Prospectus - Pitch classifications provided by Pitch Info LLC


Bruce Chen has thrown 12,657 pitches that have been tracked by the PITCHf/x system between 2007 and 2014, including pitches thrown in the MLB Regular Season and Spring Training. In 2014, he has relied primarily on his Sinker (85mph) and Cutter (82mph), also mixing in a Change (76mph) and Curve (73mph). He also rarely throws a Fourseam Fastball (86mph).