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Portrait of Aroldis Chapman

Aroldis Chapman PReds

Reds Player Cards | Reds Team Audit | Reds Depth Chart

2014 Rest-of-Season Projections (seasonal age 26)
IP ERA WHIP SO W L SV WARP
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Birth Date2-28-1988
Height6' 4"
Weight205 lbs
Age26 years, 5 months, 25 days
BatsL
ThrowsL
0.32010
0.32011
2.42012
1.22013
1.22014
+proj
WARP Summary

Standard

YEAR TEAM AGE G GS IP IP-SP IP-RP W L SV BS QS BQS PA H R ER HR TB BB UBB HBP SO ERA FIP FRA VORP WARP
2010 CIN 22 15 0 13.3 0.0 13.3 2 2 0 1 0 0 51 9 4 3 0 10 5 5 0 19 2.03 1.38 2.58 3.1 0.3
2011 CIN 23 54 0 50.0 0.0 50.0 4 1 1 2 0 0 207 24 21 20 2 34 41 41 2 71 3.60 3.25 4.42 2.9 0.3
2012 CIN 24 68 0 71.7 0.0 71.7 5 5 38 5 0 0 276 35 13 12 4 56 23 23 4 122 1.51 1.59 1.91 23.0 2.4
2013 CIN 25 68 0 63.7 0.0 63.7 4 5 38 5 0 0 258 37 18 18 7 62 29 29 3 112 2.54 2.44 2.78 11.7 1.2
2014 CIN 26 39 0 38.3 0.0 38.3 0 3 26 2 0 0 146 17 12 12 1 26 18 18 1 74 2.82 1.07 2.26 8.6 0.9
Career2440237.00.0237.015161031500938122686514188116116103982.472.072.7449.35.2

Advanced

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP FRA FRA+ TAv oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG oppTAv BABIP PPF PVORP PWARP VORP WARP
2006 Hol cub 15 15 54.0 0.00 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .301 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2007 Hol cub 23 12 81.3 0.00 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .294 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2008 Hol cub 16 16 74.0 0.00 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .264 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2009 Hol cub 22 20 118.3 0.00 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .332 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2010 CIN MLB 15 0 13.3 2.58 140 .178 .269 .328 .407 .269 .333 97 3.1 0.3 3.1 0.3
2010 LOU AAA 39 13 95.7 4.58 101 .241 .266 .337 .412 .256 .314 98 15.8 1.5 17.7 1.7
2011 CIN MLB 54 0 50.0 4.42 97 .211 .254 .324 .406 .265 .242 103 2.9 0.3 2.9 0.3
2011 CAR AA 5 2 7.3 3.51 137 .250 .268 .334 .424 .252 .308 116 2.2 0.2 2.2 0.2
2011 LOU AAA 4 1 5.7 2.14 148 .310 .262 .327 .405 .263 .500 91 3.3 0.3 3.3 0.3
2012 CIN MLB 68 0 71.7 1.91 156 .181 .253 .318 .416 .262 .252 101 23.0 2.4 23.0 2.4
2013 CIN MLB 68 0 63.7 2.78 133 .206 .254 .315 .397 .259 .280 103 11.8 1.3 11.7 1.2
2014 CIN MLB 39 0 38.3 2.26 140 .178 .243 .303 .383 .257 .308 93 8.6 0.9 8.6 0.9
2014 DYT A 2 2 2.0 1.53 165 .084 .248 .307 .372 .252 .000 94 1.1 0.1 1.1 0.1
2014 LOU AAA 2 1 1.0 6.93 69 .494 .266 .330 .380 .245 .875 113 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
Year Team Lg W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 WHIP ERA VORP WARP
2006 Hol cub 3 5 0 15 15 54.0 48 54 56 5 0% .301 8.0 9.0 0.8 9.3 1.89 4.33 0.0 0.0
2007 Hol cub 4 3 7 23 12 81.3 59 50 100 4 0% .294 6.5 5.5 0.4 11.1 1.34 2.77 0.0 0.0
2008 Hol cub 6 7 0 16 16 74.0 55 37 79 3 0% .264 6.7 4.5 0.4 9.6 1.24 3.89 0.0 0.0
2009 Hol cub 11 4 0 22 20 118.3 109 62 130 7 0% .332 8.3 4.7 0.5 9.9 1.45 4.03 0.0 0.0
2010 LOU AAA 9 6 8 39 13 95.7 77 52 125 7 47% .314 7.2 4.9 0.7 11.8 1.35 3.57 17.7 1.7
2010 CIN MLB 2 2 0 15 0 13.3 9 5 19 0 70% .333 6.1 3.4 0.0 12.8 1.05 2.02 3.1 0.3
2011 LOU AAA 0 1 0 4 1 5.7 9 2 9 0 44% .500 14.3 3.2 0.0 14.3 1.94 11.12 3.3 0.3
2011 CIN MLB 4 1 1 54 0 50.0 24 41 71 2 54% .242 4.3 7.4 0.4 12.8 1.30 3.60 2.9 0.3
2011 CAR AA 1 1 0 5 2 7.3 5 6 11 1 57% .308 6.1 7.4 1.2 13.5 1.50 6.14 2.2 0.2
2012 CIN MLB 5 5 38 68 0 71.7 35 23 122 4 37% .252 4.4 2.9 0.5 15.3 0.81 1.51 23.0 2.4
2013 CIN MLB 4 5 38 68 0 63.7 37 29 112 7 34% .280 5.2 4.1 1.0 15.8 1.04 2.54 11.7 1.2
2014 DYT A 0 0 0 2 2 2.0 0 1 3 0 0% .000 0.0 4.5 0.0 13.5 0.50 0.00 1.1 0.1
2014 CIN MLB 0 3 26 39 0 38.3 17 18 74 1 43% .308 4.0 4.2 0.2 17.4 0.91 2.82 8.6 0.9
2014 LOU AAA 0 1 0 2 1 1.0 7 2 2 0 12% .875 63.0 18.0 0.0 18.0 9.00 72.00 0.1 0.0

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT
2010 215 0.5116 0.4605 0.6768 0.6455 0.2667 0.7887 0.3929 0.3232
2011 877 0.4561 0.4333 0.6789 0.6075 0.2872 0.7737 0.5109 0.3211
2012 1203 0.4896 0.4755 0.6241 0.6553 0.3029 0.6788 0.5108 0.3759
2013 1098 0.4872 0.4663 0.6445 0.5944 0.3446 0.7264 0.5103 0.3555
2014 681 0.4831 0.4655 0.5804 0.6140 0.3267 0.6634 0.4348 0.4196
Career40740.48180.46150.63690.62120.31280.71530.49180.3631

Injury History

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2014-08-18 - DTD - - Left Shoulder Soreness -
2014-07-14 2014-07-20 DTD 6 2 Left Thigh Tightness Hamstring -
2014-03-21 2014-05-10 15-DL 50 34 - Face Surgery Fracture - Batted Ball 2014-03-20 -
2014-03-20 2014-03-20 On-Alr 0 0 - Head Concussion Batted Ball - -
2012-09-11 2012-09-22 DTD 11 9 Left Shoulder Fatigue - -
2012-06-20 2012-06-24 DTD 4 3 - Low Back Soreness - -
2011-10-31 2011-10-31 WIN 0 0 Left Shoulder Soreness - -
2011-05-16 2011-06-24 15-DL 39 36 Left Shoulder Inflammation -
2011-04-14 2011-04-18 DTD 4 3 Left Shoulder Inflammation -
2010-05-19 2010-05-28 Minors 9 0 Left Fingers Blister Middle Finger -
2010-03-24 2010-03-31 Camp 7 0 Low Back Spasms -

Compensation

Year Team Salary
2014 CIN $7,835,772
2013 CIN $4,708,333
2012 CIN $4,708,333
2011 CIN $3,708,333
2010 CIN $3,708,333
2010 CIN $3,708,333
YearsDescriptionSalary
4 yrPrevious$20,541,665
2011Current$7,835,772
5 yrPvs + Cur$28,377,437
5 yrTotal$28,377,437

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
3 y 34 dHendricks Sports1 year/$5M (2014), plus bonus

Details
  • 1 year/$5M (2014). Re-signed by Cincinnati 1/28/14 (avoided arbitration). Also receives deferred $3M bonus received upon becoming eligible for arbitration after 2013 season.
  • 6 years/$30.25M (2010-15). Signed by Cincinnati as a free agent from Cuba 1/11/10. $16.25M signing bonus (paid $1.5M up front, $1.5M each 11/1, 2010-13, $1.25M each 11/1 2014-20). 10:$1M, 11:$1M, 12:$2M, 13:$2M, 14:$3M, 15:$5M player option. If arbitration-eligible after 2012, $5M converted to bonus & Chapman is arbitration-eligible. If arbitration-eligible after 2013, $3M converted to bonus & Chapman becomes arbitration-eligible (met 10/2013). Award bonuses, including $25,000 for All-Star selection. Optioned to Triple-A 4/2/10.

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Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv
10 vs L (Multi) .119 .224 .139 .154
11 vs R (Multi) .169 .275 .292 .213
18 Split (Multi) -.049 -.050 -.153 -.059
19 LgAvg (Multi) -.026 -.032 -.063 -.030
30 vs L (2013) .137 .241 .137 .160
31 vs R (2013) .172 .276 .316 .219
38 Split (2013) -.035 -.035 -.179 -.059
39 LgAvg (2013) -.025 -.031 -.062 -.029

BP Annual Player Comments

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BP Articles

Aroldis Chapman is referenced in the following articles.

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BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 162: Aroldis Chapman and Player PreferencesBen Lindbergh2013-03-19
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This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Auction Values: Fifth Edition, March 18Mike Gianella2013-03-18
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This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessPre-Season Positional Rankings: Top 40 Fantasy RelieversPaul Singman2013-03-13
Pre-Season Positional Rankings: Top 80 Fantasy Starting Pitchers, Part Two: 41-80Jason Collette2013-03-08
Pre-Season Positional Rankings: Top 80 Fantasy Starting Pitchers, Part Two: 41-80Paul Sporer2013-03-08
The BP Wayback Machine: How Good is Aroldis Chapman?Clay Davenport2013-02-28
This article requires BP Premium accessSobsequy: Notable NL Minor-League Free Agent SigneesAdam Sobsey2013-02-27
The Lineup Card: 12 Least-Favorite Off-Season MovesBaseball Prospectus2013-02-27
Pitcher Profile: Aroldis ChapmanHarry Pavlidis2013-02-22
This article requires BP Premium accessIn A Pickle: All-Stars Are Not All StarsJason Wojciechowski2013-02-21
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Arbitration Showdown: Mock Hearing: Jim JohnsonNick J. Faleris2013-02-08
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This article requires BP Premium accessWestern Front: They Took Their TurnGeoff Young2013-02-04
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On the Beat: Rumblings from NashvilleJohn Perrotto2012-12-04
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This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessResident Fantasy Genius: Closing in on Ninth-Inning MenDerek Carty2012-11-30
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BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 90: The Cheapskate Approach to Aroldis Chapman/The Phillies and Framing/Ranking Baseball Figures By Historical ImportanceBen Lindbergh2012-11-28
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This article requires BP Premium accessRumor Roundup: Tuesday, November 27Daniel Rathman2012-11-27
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BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 81: The Angels, the Reds, and Two Conflicting Closer PhilosophiesSam Miller2012-11-13
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This article requires BP Premium accessOn the Beat: The All-Major League Baseball TeamJohn Perrotto2012-11-08
Pebble Hunting: Are GMs Smart or Not Smart?Sam Miller2012-11-07
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This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessResident Fantasy Genius: The 2012 Fantasy Fantasy AwardsDerek Carty2012-10-01
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Out of Left Field: The Slowest Pitches Thrown This YearMatthew Kory2012-09-18
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The Lineup Card: 11 Candidates for Best Comeback PlayerBaseball Prospectus2012-09-12
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Baseball ProGUESTus: Chin Music: 15 Stadium Songs That Missed Their MarkRiley Breckenridge2012-08-28
The Week in Quotes: August 20-26Jonah Birenbaum2012-08-27
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This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Beat: Examing the Increasing Strikeout TrendJason Collette2012-08-21
BP Unfiltered: The Archetypal Aroldis Chapman FactoidSam Miller2012-08-13
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Overthinking It: Measuring the Movement at This Year's DeadlineBen Lindbergh2012-08-07
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Punk Hits: The Goblins & Gauntlets Monster Manual, MLB Expansion Pack: Pitchers, Vol. 1Ian Miller2012-06-27
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Pebble Hunting: Bryce Harper's Toughest At-BatsSam Miller2012-06-04
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The Stats Go Marching In: All About VelocityMax Marchi2012-05-11
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This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Beat: The Transformation of Aroldis ChapmanJason Collette2012-04-17
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Transaction Analysis: More on Yoenis Cespedes and the A'sBen Lindbergh2012-02-14
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Between The Numbers: The Change in ChapmanJeremy Greenhouse2011-08-18
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Prospectus Hit List: Braving the StormJay Jaffe2011-05-18
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Transaction Analysis Blog: A's Acquire PurceyR.J. Anderson2011-04-18
What You Missed: 4/11-4/15Stephani Bee2011-04-15
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Prospects Will Break Your Heart: Spring Training PsychonightmareJason Parks2011-04-12
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Pre-Season Predictions: Staff Picks for 2011Baseball Prospectus2011-03-31
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Wezen-Ball: The 2011 Preview Magazines Are Here!Larry Granillo2011-02-02
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BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2013-09-04 13:00:00 (link to chat)In pornographic terms, would Aroldis Chapman be that weird anime tenticle porn?
(asstarr1 from Madison, WI)
I take it back. This is my favorite. (Jason Parks)
2013-09-17 13:00:00 (link to chat)Who had the better fastball according to Pitch F/X? Aroldis Chapman or Joel Zumaya?
(Ryan from Detroit)
not sure what you mean by better ... but Zumaya's heater had a higher average speed than Chapman's does by about 1 mph. (Harry Pavlidis)
2013-09-11 13:00:00 (link to chat)Who's fastball would you rather have? Aroldis Chapman or Joel Zumaya (at his hardest)
(Tim from NYC)
Chapman still for me. (Jason Cole)
2013-08-30 13:00:00 (link to chat)Pick a closer in the majors now that will still be a dominant pitcher in 2015 not named Kimbrel.
(Grasul from Minneapolis)
Mariano Rivera! But if you want one who'll still be active, Aroldis Chapman. (Ben Lindbergh)
2013-03-20 11:00:00 (link to chat)Who saves more games in 2013, Kenley Jansen or Aroldis Chapman?
(Hemmo from Amsterdam, the Netherlands)
Oooh, prop bet! I'm gonna go with Aroldis, just on the hunch that Dusty wins out and he's the closer all year. And even if Aroldis starts the season in the rotation, Kenley still has to beat out League for the job, so he's no sure thing either. Great challenge bet. (Cory Schwartz)
2013-03-19 13:00:00 (link to chat)I think Aroldis Chapman is more effective as a closer because he will affect twice as many games as he would as a starter. Then there is the injury risk of asking a guy who dials up every pitch at 97 mph plus to throw 300% more innings. Why am I wrong?
(Mark from Lexington)
I'm not sure you're wrong. I mean, I'd disagree. I think affecting games is the wrong way to look at it. As a starter Chapman would throw far more innings and face far more batters than he would as a reliever. This is why starters are worth so much more, because their impact is so much greater. As for the injury risk, there are some starters who throw really hard. I'm not sure throwing hard makes you more of an injury risk anyway. Pitchers who throw in the 80s and low 90s get hurt all the time too. (Matthew Kory)
2013-02-27 20:00:00 (link to chat)Could you see Aroldis Chapman turning into a legit top fantasy starter this year? If he struggles, is Cinci tied to Broxton at closer with his contract?
(zissou from naples)
He has the raw stuff, but I wouldn't bet on it happening just yet. I'm concerned that the high pitch counts are going to keep him from getting past the 6th inning and keep the WHIP up. My colleague Paul Sporer also brought up a good point on our podcast: without a refined tertiary pitch it's worth wondering what Chapman's going to do the 2nd time through the line-up. I think he'll be very good (Chapman, not Sporer). I just don't know if I'd bet on an ace. (Mike Gianella)
2013-02-15 12:00:00 (link to chat)Keeper Question: Kris Medlen or Aroldis Chapman?
(forlostcauses from Portland)
Medlen -- not a fan of taking Chapman out of the pen (Jason Collette)
2013-01-22 13:00:00 (link to chat)Thanks for the chat. Do you think the Aroldis Chapman experiment will work? He seemed to be too valuable closing out games. What are you thoughts on some sneaky good RP's like Tony Cingrani and J.J. Hoover in Cincinnati?
(Rockford from Flowmont)
A year ago I would've said no on Chapman starting because of his control woes. He seemed to improve on that aspect and if it sticks then I'd say he's got a chance. I haven't seen much of Cingranióthough he sounds like someone who could help nowóbut Hoover is a nice arm that got buried in Atlanta because others had higher ceilings. (R.J. Anderson)
2012-12-28 13:00:00 (link to chat)With Neftali Feliz going under the knife for TJS, what is his likelihood of continuing as a starter? It seems like he's destined for the 9th inning again, no?
(AJ from Phoenix)
Thanks for the question, AJ. It's hard to say what the future holds for Feliz, although he does seem better suited to the bullpen. I understand why teams want to maximize innings out of a guy like Feliz (or Aroldis Chapman in Cincinnati), but there is a real risk. Maybe letting a guy continue to excel in a role that he's already mastered isn't the worst idea. (Geoff Young)
2012-11-15 14:00:00 (link to chat)What would you do with Aroldis Chapman. The bird in the hand or the two in the bush?
(RMR from Chicago)
Two in the bush. A guy with his talent, who took such a step forward with control this year, deserves a shot to start, where he'd have way more value if successful. (Derek Carty)
2012-11-09 14:00:00 (link to chat)What is your take on Aroldis Chapman's conversion to starting in terms of health and effectiveness?
(RMR from Chicago)
I think that the adjustment began during the 2012 season, as Aroldis learned to trim back the aggression a tick in favor of better command. He wasn't hitting 105-mph with regularity, but he actually knew where the pitches were going, and his ability to trust his FB at 98-mph while mixing in the slider will be crucial to his success as a starter. He needs stamina and command, and his performance of 2012 was a good indicator for his development into a pitcher who can eat innings and potentially start a playoff game, a scary proposition for the National League.

On the jukebox: Thrice, "Cold Cash and Colder Hearts" (Doug Thorburn)
2012-09-14 14:00:00 (link to chat)Good choice going with Alice in Chains. Quick one: what would happen if a guy with Aroldis Chapman's speed would pick up a knucleball? BTW, there were only 7 picks before Pittsburgh's.
(Guillermo from Montevideo, Uruguay)
A pitcher with Chapman's profile has little use for a knuckler - batters are not fooled by the velocity of a knuckleball and they can read the pitch out of hand, so it becomes a trick for pitchers that lack quality primary offerings. But someone like Chapman can benefit more from using pitches that allow him to take advantage of effective velocity, timing, and break to keep hitters guessing. I think that he would benefit more from a classic change-up or a splitter than a knuckleball.


Layne Staley was a tragic loss for the music world, bringing an early end to a great band. Oh, and thanks for the correction on the pick number.

On the jukebox: Iron Maiden, "Flash of the Blade" (Doug Thorburn)
2012-09-10 13:00:00 (link to chat)Matt Dominguez has looked pretty darn good in his initial small sample with Houston (take that Aroldis Chapman). What one thing will either make or break him as a successful Major League bat?
(Ashitaka1110 from Houston, TX)
Recognition of off-speed stuff and realizing that just because he *can* hit everything doesn't mean that he should swing at everything. I don't think he's ever going to be a an above-average hitter, but if he can settle in at .260-.270 with 15-20 home runs and plus defense at third base, that's a very good player. (Bradley Ankrom)
2012-03-26 13:00:00 (link to chat)Number of games started by Aroldis Chapman in a Reds uniform this season? Ever?
(Johnny from San Diego)
A dozen this year. 120 with the Reds forever. (Sam Miller)
2012-02-07 13:00:00 (link to chat)How many starts will Aroldis Chapman get in the majors, and how will they go?
(J from Queen City)
I think they should just let him relieve and have done him no favors with role jerking around. (Kevin Goldstein)
2012-01-26 13:00:00 (link to chat)Most exciting fastball in baseball? How about most exciting pitch? Aroldis Chapman's fastball from the pen?
(Johnny from SD)
Watching Chapman throw a pen is a lot of fun, but watching guys like Matt Moore in the Future's Game was just as fun. When his power curve morphed into that cut/slider offering, thrown with extreme tilt in the upper 80s, I almost shit my pants with excitement. (Jason Parks)
2011-11-15 13:00:00 (link to chat)How do you feel about Tommy Hanson, Michael Pineda and Aroldis Chapman in 2012? I can only freeze seven players from my 2011 roster. Hanson's injuries worry me.
(dscala from Durham, NH)
What's the league setup and who else do you have? I think Pineda is a definite freeze, and Chapman is a guy to let go (unless it's a very deep league and your other options aren't that intriguing). Hanson is a keep unless you have some overwhelmingly good options, because if he's healthy, he's excellent, and he'll have had a lot of time to rest up. (Derek Carty)
2011-08-16 17:00:00 (link to chat)Is Aroldis Chapman's future in the 'pen for sure?
(jamin67038 from Wichita, KS)
He hasn't started a game at the major league level yet - rare to see a guy make that kind of change at his supposed age of 23. (Jason Collette)
2011-06-06 17:00:00 (link to chat)Why did no one know about the Cuban until now? And why is he eligible for the draft, instead of a free agent like Aroldis Chapman and Noel Arguelles?
(Brian from North Side)
Because he defected to the U.S., so he's a U.S. guy, and he's in the draft. See Escobar, Yunel. (Kevin Goldstein)
2011-03-17 13:00:00 (link to chat)Who do you think the first closer to lose his job will be?
(mef from Brooklyn, NY)
There's still some jobs that aren't totally decided yet, and most guys who have to wait this long to claim the gig usually have a pretty short leash. Among those who we know will start the year at closer, I've got to go with Fernando Rodney of the Angels, who's just not that good and has a few guys behind him, even with Scott Downs' injury. I particularly like Jordan Walden there.

Honorable mention goes to Francisco Cordero, who's declining and can't possibly fend off Aroldis Chapman all year. (Mike Petriello)
2011-02-14 13:00:00 (link to chat)World Series predictions? ROY/CY Young/MVP guesses?
(Sean from DC)
I am just dreadful at this. I'm always trying to be surprising and end up saying something stupid. WIth that in mind, let's go with Phillies vs. Tigers in the Series. I'll say Desmond Jennings and Aroldis Chapman for ROY, Pujols and Cabrera for MVP, and Halladay and Verlander for Cy. (Tommy Bennett)
2010-11-09 14:00:00 (link to chat)Chances Aroldis Chapman makes it as a starter? Can he stay healthy? His delivery is so fluid and easy-looking.
(Joe from Brooklyn)
I hope he goes back to that role certainly. (Kevin Goldstein)
2010-12-02 13:00:00 (link to chat)Bronson Arroyo, Johnny Cueto, Edinson Volquez, Homer Bailey, Travis Wood, Mike Leake, Matt Maloney, Sam LeCure, Aroldis Chapman. That's 9 guys for 5 rotation spots in Cincinnati. How can Jocketty best capitalize on that depth?
(RMR from Chicago)
A few of the brighter bulbs 'round these parts (where there isn't much call for cheddar, by the way)have made a few suggestions. IIRC, SG recommended they trade Volquez, while CK opted for shipping out Maloney, I think. Me, I'd find out what sort of a market there is for Mike Leake -- maybe he's already at his peak trade value. It's really, really hard to predict trades that actually get made, because you almost always look like you're way over- or under-valuing someone in retrospect. That being said, sitting on all that pitching is like sitting on a pot of gold, and Jocketty is sure to be a very popular man next week. (Ken Funck)
2010-08-20 15:30:00 (link to chat)Has Aroldis Chapman met, exceeded, or fallen below your expectations? Based on what you've seen and heard so far, what do you expect in the future?
(Mario66 from Toronto)
Met. Has better pure stuff than any lefty prospect in the game. (Kevin Goldstein)
2010-08-20 15:30:00 (link to chat)Any chance the Reds' AAA affiliate could beat the Pirates in a 7 game series? They're trotting out a lineup of Dave Sappelt, Chris Valaika, Yonder Alonso, Todd Frazier, Juan Francisco, Danny Dorn, and Devin Mesoraco, with Sam LeCure, Matt Maloney, Aaron Harang, and Aroldis Chapman among their pitchers.
(Joe from Cincy)
I was going to rip you and talk about how massive the different is between Triple-A and the big leagues is, but they might have a chance. I'll still favor the Pirates though. (Kevin Goldstein)
2010-08-26 13:00:00 (link to chat)Hi Marc, thanks for the chat. I'm trying to pick 5 keepers from this bunch: Hellickson, Heyward, Stanton, Aroldis Chapman, Phil Hughes, Pedro Alvarez, Jesus Montero, Neftali Feliz, Lincecum...Should I try to corner the young pitching market with Hughes, Hellickson, Chapman, Lincecum, Feliz or are the 2 20-year old OFs more valuable?
(cbelford from Chicago)
In real life, you can never have too much pitching. But in fantasy, you need to bet on the sure thing more often, because the reason you can never have too much pitching is due to the volatility of the performances and concerns over injuries. I am much more comfortable keeping the two 20 year old outfielders and Pedro Alvarez than by going all pitching. Heyward, Stanton, Alvarez, Feliz, Lincecum would be my five from your group. If you can make a trade by packaging some of the others together, I would explore it. (Marc Normandin)
2010-07-22 13:00:00 (link to chat)Should Yunieski Maya enter the Nationals pitching rotation as soon as governmentally possible?
(HalfStreet from Fairfax VA)
ASAGP. I like that. I think he can get to the majors faster than it will end up taking Aroldis Chapman, certainly. He's older and has more polish. (Tommy Bennett)
2010-06-10 13:00:00 (link to chat)Dynasty league question: Would you rather have Aroldis Chapman or Mike Leake over the next six years?
(Dennis from LA)
Chapman for upside. I think Leake is basically Tim Hudson. He's really good and really polished already, but how much better do you think a groundball guy without a true out pitch is going to get? If you want the safer pick, Leake is a great one, but he's up now because he's basically a finished product. (Marc Normandin)
2010-06-02 13:00:00 (link to chat)Thank you for answering my earlier question. Brennan Boesch: are you a believer? Also, how good do you think Aroldis Chapman will be?
(Dennis from LA)
I think Boesch is fine, but not nearly as good as he has been so far (perhaps obviously). If that sounds like hedging, it's because it is, but remember that Raburn is ready if Boesch stumbles. The last two years, though, Boesch seems to have found a good power stroke. As long has he can keep his batting average up, the lack of walks won't kill him. If not...look out. (Tommy Bennett)
2010-05-28 14:00:00 (link to chat)Thank you for the chat, Kevin. How do you like Aroldis Chapman so far, and what do you see him ultimately becoming? Do you like him more than Mike Leake?
(Dennis from LA)
Chapman's ceiling is certainly higher than Leake, but obviously there's some risk there. Very different guys. It's a savings bond vs. tech stock situation. (Kevin Goldstein)
2010-05-14 13:00:00 (link to chat)How long do you think the Reds can stay this hot and could they actually be buyers this season with talent like Yonder Alonso on the way?
(SprungOnSports from Long Island)
There's a lot of good young talent in Cincy, particularly in the rotation, where there's upside galore even if Aroldis Chapman doesn't show up, which he probably will. If Dusty Baker can stop with the self-destructive lineup assembly (.191/.263/.291 from the leadoff spot!) then I think they could be buyers, but I'm not sold on Alonso (.267/.388/.406 in Double-A, and apparently recently promoted to Triple-A) as being tremendously helpful at the moment. (Jay Jaffe)
2010-05-05 13:00:00 (link to chat)I only get four bench spots in my main league, and I've got Aroldis Chapman eting one of those spots. Do you see him making a contribution this year, or is he just going to be a September call up? As it stands right now I don't have any open bench spots for spot starts, or offensive replacements.
(JayT from San Francisco)
He'll be called up. He's already in Triple-A, so I think if he can keep the walks under control that he'll be called up sooner than later. I'm holding on to him in an NL-only, but if you're in a mixed, non-keeper and have someone who can help you just as much (and sooner) it may be worth it to get them. (Marc Normandin)
2010-03-26 13:00:00 (link to chat)Jay, who are your pet players this year? Guys you expect to put themselves on the map or take an underrated step forward?
(slim from Fairfield Cty)
You know, for some reason the team I always come back to for questions like this is the Reds. Not that I EXPECT their young guys to take a step forward so much as that I'm interested to see if they can. To see if pitchers like Johnny Cueto, Mike Leake or Aroldis Chapman can succeed in that ballpark, under Dusty. To see if Jay Bruce finally lives up to the hype, if Chris Dickerson can hold down a regular corner spot. I don't actually root for the Reds, but I've been intrigued by their collection of talent for years. (Jay Jaffe)


BP Roundtables

DateRoundtable NameComment
2010-04-05 09:30:00Season Opener Roundtable"Jake Green (LA): In 2015, who will be the best pitcher of the three? Tim Lincecum, Stephen Strasburg, or Aroldis Chapman?"

Good question. Today I'll go with Tiny Tim, since he's the proven quantity and I'm notoriously risk averse. Ask again in September, though, and you might well get a different answer. (Ken Funck)
2010-04-05 09:30:00Season Opener Roundtable"Jake Green (LA): In 2015, who will be the best pitcher of the three? Tim Lincecum, Stephen Strasburg, or Aroldis Chapman"

I really don't know how to answer these kinds of questions, to be honest. The analytical part of my brain kicks in and says that the margin of error on this sort of thing vastly swamps the difference between them in talent.

So if you're sending in these questions and I'm not picking them, please don't feel slighted. I just honestly don't have a good answer for you, and don't feel like giving you a bad answer just to say I did. (Colin Wyers)
 

PITCHf/x Pitcher Profile

A Collaboration between BrooksBaseball.net and Baseball Prospectus - Pitch classifications provided by Pitch Info LLC


Aroldis Chapman has thrown 4,312 pitches that have been tracked by the PITCHf/x system between 2009 and 2014, including pitches thrown in the MLB Regular Season, the MLB Postseason, The World Baseball Classic and Spring Training. In 2014, he has relied primarily on his Fourseam Fastball (101mph) and Slider (90mph), also mixing in a Change (89mph).