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Brandon Morrow PBlue JaysBlue Jays Player Cards | Blue Jays Team Audit | Blue Jays Depth Chart |
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2013 Projections (seasonal age 28) - Rest of Season Projections
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| YEAR | TEAM | AGE | G | GS | IP | IP-SP | IP-RP | W | L | SV | BS | QS | BQS | PA | H | R | ER | HR | TB | BB | UBB | HBP | SO | ERA | FIP | FRA | VORP | WARP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2007 | SEA | 22 | 60 | 0 | 63.3 | 0.0 | 63.3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 289 | 56 | 29 | 29 | 3 | 80 | 50 | 45 | 1 | 66 | 4.12 | 4.26 | 4.24 | 8.1 | 0.8 |
| 2008 | SEA | 23 | 45 | 5 | 64.7 | 28.0 | 36.7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 265 | 40 | 26 | 24 | 10 | 76 | 34 | 33 | 0 | 75 | 3.34 | 4.43 | 4.65 | 4.4 | 0.4 |
| 2009 | SEA | 24 | 26 | 10 | 69.7 | 51.3 | 18.3 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 313 | 66 | 38 | 34 | 10 | 107 | 44 | 43 | 0 | 63 | 4.39 | 5.10 | 5.07 | 5.1 | 0.6 |
| 2010 | TOR | 25 | 26 | 26 | 146.3 | 146.3 | 0.0 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 629 | 136 | 76 | 73 | 11 | 213 | 66 | 66 | 9 | 178 | 4.49 | 3.13 | 3.95 | 29.0 | 3.0 |
| 2011 | TOR | 26 | 30 | 30 | 179.3 | 179.3 | 0.0 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 777 | 162 | 103 | 94 | 21 | 267 | 69 | 68 | 12 | 203 | 4.72 | 3.67 | 4.03 | 29.0 | 3.1 |
| 2012 | TOR | 27 | 21 | 21 | 124.7 | 124.7 | 0.0 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 504 | 98 | 45 | 41 | 12 | 162 | 41 | 41 | 2 | 108 | 2.96 | 3.60 | 4.14 | 19.5 | 2.1 |
| 2013 | TOR | 28 | 7 | 7 | 40.3 | 40.3 | 0.0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 178 | 42 | 24 | 21 | 6 | 75 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 34 | 4.69 | 4.68 | 4.66 | 4.9 | 0.5 |
| Career | 215 | 99 | 688.3 | 570.0 | 118.3 | 40 | 39 | 16 | 8 | 53 | 0 | 2955 | 600 | 341 | 316 | 73 | 980 | 321 | 312 | 25 | 727 | 4.13 | 3.87 | 4.25 | 100.1 | 10.4 | ||
Advanced
'opp' stats - quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.| YEAR | Team | Lg | G | GS | IP | FRA | FRA+ | TAv | oppAVG | oppOBP | oppSLG | oppTAv | BABIP | PPF | PVORP | PWARP | VORP | WARP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2006 | SBR | A+ | 1 | 1 | 3.0 | 0.00 | 0 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .000 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 2006 | MRN | Rk | 7 | 4 | 13.2 | 4.72 | 104 | .274 | .278 | .364 | .399 | .282 | .323 | 102 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2007 | SEA | MLB | 60 | 0 | 63.3 | 4.24 | 110 | .260 | .278 | .348 | .442 | .273 | .314 | 96 | 8.1 | 0.8 | 8.1 | 0.8 |
| 2007 | LAR | Wnt | 7 | 7 | 36.3 | 0.00 | 0 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .283 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 2008 | SEA | MLB | 45 | 5 | 64.7 | 4.65 | 94 | .222 | .268 | .337 | .426 | .267 | .205 | 93 | 4.6 | 0.5 | 4.4 | 0.4 |
| 2008 | WTN | AA | 6 | 0 | 7.3 | 3.60 | 118 | .206 | .278 | .357 | .428 | .273 | .188 | 94 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2008 | TAC | AAA | 6 | 5 | 23.3 | 4.54 | 98 | .225 | .279 | .353 | .459 | .277 | .254 | 92 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2009 | SEA | MLB | 26 | 10 | 69.7 | 5.07 | 89 | .276 | .274 | .345 | .446 | .275 | .286 | 95 | 5.0 | 0.5 | 5.1 | 0.6 |
| 2009 | TAC | AAA | 10 | 10 | 55.0 | 3.89 | 118 | .240 | .281 | .349 | .432 | .271 | .284 | 103 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2010 | TOR | MLB | 26 | 26 | 146.3 | 3.95 | 116 | .259 | .269 | .342 | .431 | .276 | .342 | 106 | 27.7 | 2.9 | 29.0 | 3.0 |
| 2011 | TOR | MLB | 30 | 30 | 179.3 | 4.03 | 114 | .262 | .271 | .336 | .431 | .276 | .299 | 105 | 29.2 | 3.1 | 29.0 | 3.1 |
| 2011 | DUN | A+ | 3 | 3 | 9.3 | 2.64 | 142 | .229 | .261 | .332 | .386 | .267 | .294 | 100 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2012 | TOR | MLB | 21 | 21 | 124.7 | 4.14 | 110 | .229 | .257 | .322 | .419 | .269 | .252 | 104 | 19.5 | 2.1 | 19.5 | 2.1 |
| 2012 | DUN | A+ | 2 | 2 | 6.0 | 3.00 | 140 | .246 | .265 | .330 | .378 | .251 | .471 | 111 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2012 | NHP | AA | 3 | 3 | 14.3 | 4.73 | 93 | .000 | .269 | .340 | .401 | .260 | .216 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 2013 | TOR | MLB | 7 | 7 | 40.3 | 4.66 | 102 | .282 | .273 | .337 | .443 | .280 | .300 | 107 | 4.9 | 0.5 | 4.9 | 0.5 |
| Career | MLB | 99 | 688.3 | 4.27 | 108 | .255 | .269 | .337 | .432 | .274 | .291 | 83 | 79.5 | 8.3 | 80.7 | 8.3 | ||
Statistics For All Levels
| Year | Team | Lg | W | L | SV | G | GS | IP | H | BB | SO | HR | GB% | BABIP | H/9 | BB/9 | HR/9 | K/9 | WHIP | ERA | VORP | WARP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2006 | SBR | A+ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3.0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0% | .000 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 12.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2006 | MRN | Rk | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 13.2 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 0 | 58% | .323 | 6.8 | 6.1 | 0.0 | 8.9 | 1.44 | 2.73 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2007 | SEA | MLB | 3 | 4 | 0 | 60 | 0 | 63.3 | 56 | 50 | 66 | 3 | 36% | .314 | 8.0 | 7.1 | 0.4 | 9.4 | 1.67 | 4.12 | 8.1 | 0.8 |
| 2007 | LAR | Wnt | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 36.3 | 34 | 8 | 31 | 4 | 0% | .283 | 8.4 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 7.7 | 1.16 | 2.73 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2008 | SEA | MLB | 3 | 4 | 10 | 45 | 5 | 64.7 | 40 | 34 | 75 | 10 | 34% | .205 | 5.6 | 4.7 | 1.4 | 10.4 | 1.14 | 3.34 | 4.4 | 0.4 |
| 2008 | WTN | AA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 7.3 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 56% | .188 | 3.7 | 7.4 | 0.0 | 9.9 | 1.23 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2008 | TAC | AAA | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 23.3 | 17 | 11 | 26 | 2 | 39% | .254 | 6.6 | 4.2 | 0.8 | 10.0 | 1.20 | 5.02 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2009 | SEA | MLB | 2 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 10 | 69.7 | 66 | 44 | 63 | 10 | 36% | .286 | 8.5 | 5.7 | 1.3 | 8.1 | 1.58 | 4.39 | 5.1 | 0.6 |
| 2009 | TAC | AAA | 5 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 10 | 55.0 | 50 | 23 | 40 | 2 | 41% | .284 | 8.2 | 3.8 | 0.3 | 6.5 | 1.33 | 3.60 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2010 | TOR | MLB | 10 | 7 | 0 | 26 | 26 | 146.3 | 136 | 66 | 178 | 11 | 40% | .342 | 8.4 | 4.1 | 0.7 | 10.9 | 1.38 | 4.49 | 29.0 | 3.0 |
| 2011 | TOR | MLB | 11 | 11 | 0 | 30 | 30 | 179.3 | 162 | 69 | 203 | 21 | 37% | .299 | 8.1 | 3.5 | 1.1 | 10.2 | 1.29 | 4.72 | 29.0 | 3.1 |
| 2011 | DUN | A+ | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 9.3 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 0 | 47% | .294 | 12.5 | 5.8 | 0.0 | 10.6 | 2.04 | 7.71 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2012 | TOR | MLB | 10 | 7 | 0 | 21 | 21 | 124.7 | 98 | 41 | 108 | 12 | 42% | .252 | 7.1 | 3.0 | 0.9 | 7.8 | 1.11 | 2.96 | 19.5 | 2.1 |
| 2012 | DUN | A+ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6.0 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 47% | .471 | 12.0 | 4.5 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 1.83 | 1.50 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2012 | NHP | AA | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 14.3 | 10 | 3 | 12 | 2 | 38% | .216 | 6.3 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 7.5 | 0.91 | 2.51 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2013 | TOR | MLB | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 40.3 | 42 | 17 | 34 | 6 | 37% | .300 | 9.4 | 3.8 | 1.3 | 7.6 | 1.46 | 4.69 | 4.9 | 0.5 |
Injury History beta
| Date On | Date Off | Transaction | Days | Games | Side | Body Part | Injury | Severity | Surgery Date | Reaggravation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012-06-12 | 2012-08-25 | 60-DL | 74 | 0 | Left | Abdomen | Strain | Oblique | - | - |
| 2012-05-27 | 2012-05-27 | DTD | 0 | 0 | Right | Lower Leg | Contusion | Batted Ball Shin | - | - |
| 2011-03-22 | 2011-04-20 | 15-DL | 29 | 17 | Right | Forearm | Recovery From Inflammation | - | ||
| 2011-03-19 | 2011-03-22 | Camp | 3 | 0 | Right | Forearm | Inflammation | - | ||
| 2011-03-13 | 2011-03-13 | Camp | 0 | 0 | Right | Shoulder | Contusion | Batted Ball | - | |
| 2010-03-15 | 2010-04-03 | Camp | 19 | 0 | Right | Shoulder | Soreness | - | ||
| 2009-08-30 | 2009-09-06 | Minors | 7 | 0 | Right | Forearm | Tightness | - | ||
| 2009-04-24 | 2009-05-09 | 15-DL | 15 | 14 | Right | Shoulder | Inflammation | Biceps Tendinitis | - | |
| 2009-02-25 | 2009-03-01 | Camp | 4 | 0 | Right | Forearm | Soreness | - | ||
| 2008-06-18 | 2008-06-25 | DTD | 7 | 6 | Low Back | Spasms | - | |||
| 2008-06-05 | 2008-06-10 | DTD | 5 | 4 | Right | Shoulder | Soreness | - | ||
| 2008-03-11 | 2008-03-27 | Camp | 16 | 0 | Right | Shoulder | Soreness | - |
Compensation
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BP Articles
Brandon Morrow is referenced in the following articles.
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BP Chats
| Date | Question | Answer |
|---|---|---|
| 2012-02-02 15:00:00 | Cory, the list of 12 is up (http://fantasy411.mlblogs.com/ for those not in the know... shame on you!)and perennial underperformer Brandon Morrow is up there. What's your opinion on guys that consistently underperform their xFIP? Is Ricky Nolasco an anonomly or is there some skill defecit we're missing? (mattseward from Cardiff, UK) | This is a good area where "scouting" and observation can complement stats and analytics. My guess is that guys like this struggle with runners on base, so even though they have good pure stuff (as shown in the K/BB rates), they're more susceptible to big innings. This is certainly true of Nolasco... take out his four worst starts last year and he has what, a 3.25 ERA? On the other hand, you have guys like Matt Cain who consistently outperform their xFIP, xERA, whatever... so after 5-6 years of that we must conclude there is some skill at work there that guys like Nolasco and Morrow haven't developed yet. (Cory Schwartz) |
| 2012-01-24 13:00:00 | Breakout fantasy player and breakout fantasy pitcher of the year? Who you got? (yankeesbg13 from Indianapolis) | That’s a tough question. I don’t know how to narrow it down to the best of each at this point of the off-season, but here are two that I like:
Jason Heyward has what it takes to propel himself to that next level, to throw himself in with the Jay Bruces and Hunter Pences. I see Brandon Morrow finally putting it all together this year and propelling himself into the next tier of pitchers with guys like Shields, Kennedy, and Latos. (Derek Carty) |
| 2011-12-20 13:00:00 | 2011 was gonna be the year Brandow Morrow finally arrives.Will 2012 be the year now ? (Spirou from Somewhere near the Big O) | One interesting thing about this chat is I have access to the super-secret PECOTA projections that I'm probably not allowed to share. But I might share some. In answer to your question, PECOTA says: No.
I don't think he'll strike out any more batters than he did in 2011. I don't think he'll walk any fewer batters than he did in 2011. I do think he'll allow fewer runs than he did in 2011, and then he'll probably get hurt. Brandon Morrow is the new frustration. (Sam Miller) |
| 2011-09-02 14:00:00 | Not a prospect question but Brandon Morrow is infuriating. One start he's dominant. The next he is pummeled. Do you think he eventually gains consistency or is this the best we get? (Jay from Madison) | I could see him gaining MORE consistency, but I bet he always drives you just a little bit crazy. (Kevin Goldstein) |
| 2011-06-02 13:00:00 | Should I keep the faith with Brandon Morrow? Sure the K's are nice, but that 5.11 ERA -- not so much. (Ken from Washington, DC) | Definitely. He's always had great stuff and this year the control has been there more than in years past. His 5.11 looks incredibly unlucky when you compare it to his 2.95 SIERA. Hang tight, things will get better. (Derek Carty) |
| 2011-05-18 13:00:00 | Hey John, in my 6x6 roto league, my starting pitchers are Haren, Hanson, Hudson, Colby Lewis, Scott Baker, Morrow, Matusz, Ogando, and Drabek. I could use an additional bat and was offered Eric Hosmer for Brandon Morrow, you think I should take it? (SnakeDoctor18 from NY) | Indeed, I'd make that trade. I like Morrow but Hosmer is in a class above him. Go make that trade right now before the other guy read this. (John Perrotto) |
| 2011-05-18 13:00:00 | Hey John, you think guys like Brandon Morrow, Kyle Drabek, and Alexi Ogando should be held onto or sold for 2011? (SnakeDoctor18 from NY) | Of the three, I'd be most apt to hold onto Drabek but I'd be willing to give up any of the three if I felt I was getting a really good deal. (John Perrotto) |
| 2010-12-20 13:00:00 | How bullish are you on Brandon Morrow? (Martin K from Brooklyn) | So bullish. In fact, I have a raging clue. That's how bullish. (Eric Seidman) |
| 2010-12-20 13:00:00 | Do you think Brandon Morrow can pull a Jonathan Sanchez on us in 2011 ? (Spirou from Montreal) | I think Brandon Morrow is a better pitcher than Jonathan Sanchez. I think Brandon Morrow will have a better 2011 than Jonathan Sanchez. I like Sanchez. Ipso facto, I really like Morrow. (Eric Seidman) |
| 2010-09-21 13:00:00 | Brandon Morrow's 2011 ERA? (Hi/Lo from Waterloo) | 3.65 (Marc Normandin) |
| 2010-08-09 13:00:00 | Brandon Morrow pitched the game of life yesterday. Longoria said he'd never seen a pitcher dominate hitters the way he did. Think Morrow's finally beginning to reach his potential? (john from ct) | It was one start against a team that gets no-hit or nearly no-hit every few weeks, so let's not get crazy. Morrow has looked this good before, and then he goes out, locates nothing and lasts 2 2/3. There's always been tremendous natural talent, and it's fair to say the Mariners did everything wrong with him short of booking him on "Big Brother", so it's possible this is a breakthrough. I want to see more.
Note: I may just be trying to keep myself from getting too hyped. Morrow is someone I've been waiting on forever. (Joe Sheehan) |
| 2010-02-18 14:00:00 | Did Jack Z. get a diamond-in-the-rough when he landed Johermyn Chavez in the Brandon Morrow trade? (MarinerDan from SF) | Potentially. He got a guy who COULD take a step forward, and sometimes, that's all you can get and there's nothing wrong with it. (Kevin Goldstein) |
| 2010-01-19 15:30:00 | Brandon Morrow or Trevor Cahill? Long term who do you like? (Hawkeye from ND) | That's a really tough question, because you have Cahill's low K-rate versus Morrow's high walk rate. I'd like to think that with the latter, the Jays might leave him alone long enough for him to get the problem nailed down to a point that it's livable. Cahill really needs to imrpove his command past where it was last year to be a long-term success. (Steven Goldman) |
| 2009-12-29 15:00:00 | Brandon Morrow an SP in Toronto? What kind of season do you expect? (Hawkeye from Grafton, ND) | The Jays seem to be able to make almost anyone a league-average starter. Imagine what they can do with talent like this. Morrow is better than anyone they got for Halladay, just a great trade for the Jays. (Joe Sheehan) |
| 2009-10-02 14:00:00 | Thanks for the chat Joe
I like the Seattle management team. What should they do in the off-season and is Brandon Morrow a possible 2 in the rotation? (Hawkeye from Grafton, ND) | They have to keep the focus on the long term, because despite the success this season, I don't think the talent base is there for a big 2010 season. The emphasis on defense is something to retain, and whether that means bringing back Chavez or finding someone like him, a plan that continues to try and max out the run prevention in order to help pitchers along seems like it can win up there. Oh, and for the love of god, don't re-sign Griffey.
I like Morrow a lot; he's been jerked around even more than Chamberlain has, but maybe that ends up saving wear on his arm. He'll be the #1 if they trade Hernandez. (Joe Sheehan) |
| 2008-11-12 14:00:00 | Brandon Morrow projection, 2009? (bloodwedding from BK) | I might be kind of screwed here, because I have a big (and to use another fave scouting term) bias-on-view issue with him. The last game I wanted him pitch was a start against the Yankees in September and he was just absolutely dominant. If he pitches like that, he's massive. (Kevin Goldstein) |
| 2008-05-27 13:00:00 | What do you envision for Brandon Morrow if he enters the rotation? PECOTA's got nuthin on him as a starter (3rd time's from a Charm?) | As a general rule of thumb, you can take a guy's projection as a reliever and add 25% to his ERA to account for his transition to the starting rotation. That would put Morrow at a 4.70 ERA, which feels about right to me. I'd also note that guys like Morrow that have command problems seem to have a particularly strong penalty if they move from the bullpen to the rotation. (Nate Silver) |
| 2008-03-11 12:00:00 | In a keeper league that counts holds, who do you like better? Morrow or Meloan? (Dan from Denver) | Brandon Morrow, who should improve his command after being rushed last year. And that park is the Petco of the AL. Take the experience and the marginally better-run team. (Joe Sheehan) |
BP Roundtables
| Date | Roundtable Name | Comment |
|---|---|---|
| 2009-06-09 14:30:00 | 2009 Draft Coverage | Will (Boston): How does Drew Storen compare to Brandon Morrow? On a pure stuff level, Storen is nowhere close to Morrow, not even in the ballpark. (Kevin Goldstein) |
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