Biographical

Portrait of Tyler Colvin

Tyler Colvin RFGiants

Giants Player Cards | Giants Team Audit | Giants Depth Chart

2014 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 28)
PA AVG HR R RBI SB TAv WARP
250 .230 8 26 31 3 .249 0.3
Birth Date9-5-1985
Height6' 3"
Weight210 lbs
Age29 years, 1 months, 17 days
BatsL
ThrowsL
1.92010
-0.72011
1.32012
-0.52013
0.42014
+proj
WARP Summary

Standard

YEAR TEAM AGE G PA AB R H 2B 3B HR TB BB SO HBP SF SH RBI SB CS AVG OBP SLG TAv VORP FRAA WARP
2009 CHN 23 6 20 17 1 3 0 0 0 3 2 5 0 1 0 2 0 0 .176 .250 .176 .187 -0.8 0.6 -0.0
2010 CHN 24 135 394 358 60 91 18 5 20 179 30 100 3 2 1 56 6 1 .254 .316 .500 .284 18.4 -0.6 1.9
2011 CHN 25 80 222 206 17 31 8 3 6 63 14 58 0 1 1 20 0 0 .150 .204 .306 .186 -8.3 1.8 -0.7
2012 COL 26 136 452 420 62 122 27 10 18 223 21 117 2 1 2 72 7 3 .290 .327 .531 .267 10.0 2.7 1.3
2013 COL 27 27 78 75 8 12 0 0 3 21 3 27 0 0 0 10 0 0 .160 .192 .280 .170 -4.7 0.1 -0.5
2014 SFN 28 57 149 139 16 31 10 3 2 53 8 45 1 1 0 18 1 0 .223 .268 .381 .239 3.2 -2.2 0.1
Career4411315121516429063214954278352664178144.239.287.446.24817.82.52.1

Advanced

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G PA TAv oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG oppTAv BABIP BPF BRAA repLVL POS_ADJ FRAA BRR BVORP BWARP VORP WARP
2006 BOI A- 64 288 .298 .255 .330 .373 .272 .302 110 11.2 8.0 -1.3 2.1 0.4 20.1 2.4 20.1 2.4
2007 DAY A+ 63 262 .313 .262 .327 .382 .255 .356 100 15.8 8.1 0.6 6.4 1.5 24.3 3.0 24.3 3.0
2007 TEN AA 62 257 .263 .257 .330 .397 .262 .341 102 0.9 8.1 -0.4 3.0 1.0 10.1 1.3 10.1 1.3
2008 TEN AA 137 602 .250 .260 .339 .392 .251 .288 112 -6.7 17.8 -2.2 5.2 4.9 14.3 1.9 14.3 1.9
2009 CHN MLB 6 20 .187 .274 .352 .442 .286 .231 99 -1.6 0.6 0.1 0.6 0.3 -0.8 -0.0 -0.8 -0.0
2009 DAY A+ 32 129 .243 .247 .325 .348 .249 .321 101 -2.4 3.7 -1.7 -0.0 2.1 1.6 0.2 1.6 0.2
2009 TEN AA 84 330 .296 .255 .331 .384 .265 .325 94 13.9 10.2 -3.4 -3.2 -0.1 18.4 1.6 18.4 1.6
2010 CHN MLB 135 394 .284 .257 .323 .403 .267 .296 98 9.8 10.9 -2.6 -0.6 1.2 18.4 1.9 18.4 1.9
2011 CHN MLB 80 222 .186 .256 .319 .400 .264 .175 100 -16.3 6.0 -1.6 1.8 1.2 -8.3 -0.7 -8.3 -0.7
2011 IOW AAA 50 212 .235 .288 .354 .456 .271 .312 103 -6.3 6.6 -1.6 0.1 -0.5 -0.3 -0.0 -0.3 -0.0
2012 COL MLB 136 452 .267 .253 .315 .403 .261 .364 118 3.2 12.2 -3.1 2.7 1.2 10.0 1.3 10.0 1.3
2013 COL MLB 27 78 .170 .258 .311 .400 .258 .200 115 -6.8 2.1 -0.1 0.1 0.6 -4.7 -0.5 -4.7 -0.5
2013 CSP AAA 67 272 .279 .278 .348 .433 .271 .340 115 5.6 7.7 -1.4 -3.2 0.2 11.3 0.8 11.3 0.8
2014 SFN MLB 57 149 .239 .257 .318 .386 .263 .312 98 -2.9 3.8 -0.7 -2.2 1.7 3.2 0.1 3.2 0.1
2014 FRE AAA 50 176 .205 .279 .348 .442 .267 .294 97 -11.1 5.3 -1.8 1.8 1.4 -6.2 -0.4 -6.2 -0.4

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
Year Team Lg PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG ISO TAv VORP FRAA WARP
2006 BOI A- 288 50 71 12 6 11 53 17 55 12 5 .268 .317 .483 .215 .298 20.1 2.1 2.4
2007 TEN AA 257 34 72 11 2 9 31 5 54 7 1 .291 .312 .462 .170 .263 10.1 3.0 1.3
2007 DAY A+ 262 38 75 24 3 7 50 10 47 10 4 .306 .341 .514 .208 .313 24.3 6.4 3.0
2008 TEN AA 602 68 138 27 11 14 80 44 101 7 4 .256 .314 .424 .169 .250 14.3 5.2 1.9
2009 DAY A+ 129 18 28 5 2 1 10 13 27 3 1 .250 .333 .357 .107 .243 1.6 -0.0 0.2
2009 TEN AA 330 51 92 13 7 14 50 16 57 5 1 .300 .332 .524 .225 .296 18.4 -3.2 1.6
2009 CHN MLB 20 1 3 0 0 0 2 2 5 0 0 .176 .250 .176 .000 .187 -0.8 0.6 -0.0
2010 CHN MLB 394 60 91 18 5 20 56 30 100 6 1 .254 .316 .500 .246 .284 18.4 -0.6 1.9
2011 CHN MLB 222 17 31 8 3 6 20 14 58 0 0 .150 .204 .306 .155 .186 -8.3 1.8 -0.7
2011 IOW AAA 212 32 52 12 6 7 32 5 55 1 1 .256 .270 .478 .222 .235 -0.3 0.1 -0.0
2012 COL MLB 452 62 122 27 10 18 72 21 117 7 3 .290 .327 .531 .240 .267 10.0 2.7 1.3
2013 CSP AAA 272 47 63 8 6 9 32 36 62 6 3 .275 .377 .480 .205 .279 11.3 -3.2 0.8
2013 COL MLB 78 8 12 0 0 3 10 3 27 0 0 .160 .192 .280 .120 .170 -4.7 0.1 -0.5
2014 FRE AAA 176 21 37 9 2 2 18 11 43 1 0 .227 .278 .344 .117 .205 -6.2 1.8 -0.4
2014 SFN MLB 149 16 31 10 3 2 18 8 45 1 0 .223 .268 .381 .158 .239 3.2 -2.2 0.1

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT
2009 79 0.4177 0.5696 0.7556 0.6970 0.4783 0.9130 0.5909 0.2444
2010 1429 0.4486 0.5140 0.7180 0.6786 0.3794 0.8529 0.5217 0.2820
2011 810 0.4667 0.5407 0.7603 0.7143 0.3889 0.8667 0.5893 0.2397
2012 1684 0.4555 0.5113 0.7241 0.6649 0.3806 0.8000 0.6132 0.2759
2013 316 0.4620 0.4873 0.7338 0.6575 0.3412 0.7917 0.6379 0.2662
2014 564 0.4574 0.4787 0.6963 0.6589 0.3268 0.8118 0.5000 0.3037
Career48820.45540.51260.72620.67650.37440.82920.57060.2738

Injury History

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2012-09-29 2012-09-30 DTD 1 1 Left Elbow Soreness - -
2010-09-20 2010-10-04 15-DL 14 13 Left Chest Collapsed Lung Pneumothorax From Bat Laceration -
2010-09-13 2010-09-13 DTD 0 0 Left Elbow Contusion HBP -
2009-05-10 2009-05-19 Minors 9 0 Head Concussion Moderate -
2008-10-26 2008-10-26 WIN 0 0 Left Elbow Surgery Tommy John Surgery 2008-10-26
2008-02-24 2008-02-27 Camp 3 0 Left Elbow Tightness -
2007-03-04 2007-03-13 Camp 9 0 Right Thigh Strain Quadriceps -

Compensation

Year Team Salary
2014 SFN $
2013 COL $
2012 COL $481,000
2011 CHN $440,000
2010 CHN $401,000
YearsDescriptionSalary
3 yrPrevious$1,322,000
3 yrTotal$1,322,000

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
3 y 1 dRelativity Baseball1 year (2014)

Details
  • 1 year (2014). Signed by San Francisco 2/22/14 (minor-league contract). Salary of $1M in majors. May opt out of contracts 3/31/14 or 6/1/14 if not on 25-man roster. Contract selected by San Francisco 5/10/14. DFA by San Francisco 8/1/14. Sent outright to Triple-A 8/7/14. Refused assignment 10/4/14.
  • 1 year/$2.275M (2013). Re-signed by Colorado 1/18/13 (avoided arbitration). Elected free agency 10/13.
  • 1 year/$0.481M (2012). Signed by Colorado 3/3/12.
  • 1 year/$0.44M (2011). Re-signed by Chicago Cubs 3/11. Acquired by Colorado in trade from Chicago Cubs 12/8/11.
  • 1 year/$0.401M (2010). Re-signed 2/10.
  • 1 year (2009). Contract purchased 9/21/09.
  • Drafted 2006 (1-13). $1.475M signing bonus.

2014 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 3/11/2014 05:35 ET

PCT PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG TAv VORP FRAA WARP
90o 511 64 126 24 7 20 68 37 125 6 3 .269 .323 .479 .287 25.4 RF -1, CF 0 2.7
80o 490 59 116 22 7 18 63 34 122 6 2 .256 .308 .455 .274 18.0 RF -1, CF 0 1.9
70o 475 55 107 20 6 17 59 32 121 5 2 .246 .297 .437 .264 13.1 RF -1, CF 0 1.3
60o 462 52 102 19 6 16 56 30 119 5 2 .238 .288 .423 .256 9.1 RF -1, CF 0 0.9
50o 450 49 95 18 5 15 53 28 117 5 2 .231 .279 .409 .248 5.5 RF 0, CF 0 0.5
40o 438 47 90 17 5 14 50 27 115 5 2 .223 .270 .395 .241 2.2 RF 0, CF 0 0.2
30o 425 44 85 16 5 13 47 25 114 4 2 .215 .261 .381 .233 -1.3 RF 0, CF 0 -0.2
20o 410 41 78 15 4 12 44 23 111 4 2 .205 .250 .364 .223 -5.0 RF 0, CF 0 -0.6
10o 389 37 70 13 4 11 40 21 108 4 1 .192 .235 .341 .210 -9.7 RF 0, CF 0 -1.1
Weighted Mean455519818615542911852.234.283.415.2527.1RF 0, CF 00.7

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate MLB %
2% 40% 10% 18% 84%

Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2014 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB AVG OBP SLG TAv WARP VORP BRR POS_ADJ REP_ADJ RAA FRAA
201529250275311372816652.228.278.390.2410.33.20.6-0.814.9-11.5-0.4
2016303664175154124326973.220.276.390.2420.33.70.8-1.314.9-10.8-0.6
201731612671212661971411785.215.268.384.235-0.2-0.71.3-2.314.9-14.6-1.0
201832623671232461869401824.212.264.369.229-0.7-5.01.3-2.514.9-18.7-1.0
2019333363563114103723942.203.258.358.224-0.8-7.00.7-1.514.9-21.2-0.5
202034614651202351766411632.213.266.362.228-0.7-5.81.3-2.814.9-19.2-1.0
202135629661222451766421691.210.264.355.225-0.9-7.31.5-3.114.9-20.7-1.0
202236622641172251664401700.205.257.346.219-1.3-10.81.6-3.214.9-24.2-1.0
202337624651222251665411600.213.265.353.224-1.0-8.01.7-3.414.9-21.2-1.0

Upside By Year

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 PEAK 5
30.817.115.411.911.8987.1

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 73)

Rank Score Name Year TAv Trend
1 86 Laynce Nix 2009 .268
2 81 Scott Thorman 2010 .000 DNP
3 81 Ryan Church 2007 .283
4 81 Alex Escobar 2007 .000 DNP
5 80 Scott Hairston 2008 .295
6 80 Bill Hall 2008 .242
7 80 Will Venable 2011 .277
8 77 Jeff Baker 2009 .269
9 77 Ryan Shealy 2008 .316
10 77 Rick Ankiel 2008 .291
11 77 Chris Johnson 2013 .283
12 77 Brian Anderson 2010 .000 DNP
13 76 Clete Thomas 2012 .153
14 76 Roger Bernadina 2012 .284
15 75 Andruw Jones 2005 .311
16 75 Ryan Langerhans 2008 .278
17 75 Brent Lillibridge 2012 .213
18 75 Jim Edmonds 1998 .302
19 75 Brandon Moss 2012 .335
20 75 Chris Shelton 2008 .222
21 75 John Mayberry 2012 .257
22 75 Andy Van Slyke 1989 .254
23 75 Xavier Paul 2013 .268
24 75 Jorge Piedra 2007 .000 DNP
25 74 Brad Hawpe 2007 .295
26 74 Fred Lewis 2009 .275
27 74 Casper Wells 2013 .139
28 74 Joe Borchard 2007 .217
29 74 Ryan Spilborghs 2008 .295
30 74 Luis Terrero 2008 .000 DNP
31 73 Franklin Gutierrez 2011 .199
32 73 Michael Cuddyer 2007 .281
33 73 Brandon Wood 2013 .000 DNP
34 73 George Hendrick 1978 .290
35 73 Jimmie Hall 1966 .253
36 73 Xavier Nady 2007 .266
37 73 Travis Ishikawa 2012 .249
38 73 Jayson Nix 2011 .203
39 73 Brett Carroll 2011 -.027
40 73 Wilson Betemit 2010 .298
41 73 David Murphy 2010 .280
42 73 Rusty Ryal 2011 .000 DNP
43 73 Mack Jones 1967 .290
44 72 Ryan Ludwick 2007 .279
45 72 Curtis Granderson 2009 .267
46 72 Matt Carson 2010 .223
47 72 Cody Ross 2009 .268
48 72 Preston Wilson 2003 .271
49 72 Jeremy Hermida 2012 .253
50 72 Ben Francisco 2010 .268
51 72 Donnie Murphy 2011 .196
52 72 Nate Schierholtz 2012 .273
53 71 Delwyn Young 2010 .257
54 71 Josh Fields 2011 .000 DNP
55 71 Ron Gant 1993 .303
56 71 Shane Spencer 2000 .264
57 71 Deron Johnson 1967 .242
58 71 Raul Mondesi 1999 .282
59 71 Gus Bell 1957 .270
60 71 Tommie Agee 1971 .293
61 71 Freddie Bynum 2008 .159
62 71 Victor Diaz 2010 .000 DNP
63 71 Gabe Gross 2008 .262
64 71 Jarrod Saltalamacchia 2013 .288
65 71 Jose Cruz Jr. 2002 .265
66 71 Geoff Jenkins 2003 .299
67 71 Seth Smith 2011 .281
68 71 Brandon Boggs 2011 .236
69 71 Ivan Calderon 1990 .265
70 71 Michael Restovich 2007 .122
71 71 Hee-Seop Choi 2007 .000 DNP
72 71 Michael McKenry 2013 .223
73 71 Justin Ruggiano 2010 .000 DNP
74 71 Matt LaPorta 2013 .000 DNP
75 70 George Foster 1977 .336
76 70 Khalil Greene 2008 .226
77 70 Travis Buck 2012 .215
78 70 Kendrys Morales 2011 .000 DNP
79 70 Andy Marte 2012 .000 DNP
80 70 Willie Horton 1971 .304
81 70 Brendan Harris 2009 .244
82 70 John-Ford Griffin 2008 .000 DNP
83 70 Ryan Klesko 1999 .310
84 70 David Freese 2011 .280
85 70 Todd Linden 2008 .000 DNP
86 70 Felix Pie 2013 .167
87 70 Jason Pridie 2012 .365
88 70 Ellis Burks 1993 .284
89 70 Leon Wagner 1962 .293
90 70 Carlos Beltran 2005 .273
91 70 John Bowker 2012 .000 DNP
92 70 Greg Vaughn 1994 .272
93 70 Sean Rodriguez 2013 .272
94 70 Andre Dawson 1983 .310
95 70 Roger Repoz 1969 .227
96 70 Larry Sheets 1988 .242
97 70 Ray Lankford 1995 .294
98 70 Mike Marshall 1988 .280
99 70 Johnny Callison 1967 .283
100 70 Rocco Baldelli 2010 .190

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv
10 vs L (Multi) .208 .233 .322 .183
11 vs R (Multi) .255 .302 .499 .262
18 Split (Multi) .048 .070 .176 .079
19 LgAvg (Multi) .027 .038 .071 .034
30 vs L (2013) .150 .150 .150 .108
31 vs R (2013) .171 .237 .429 .221
38 Split (2013) .021 .087 .279 .113
39 LgAvg (2013) .026 .037 .071 .034

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2014 Due to publishing agreements, the 2014 player comments and team essays are only available in the Baseball Prospectus 2014 book (available in hardcopy, e-book, and Kindle).
2013 The good news is that Colvin, acquired from the Cubs in December 2011 for fellow disappointment Ian Stewart, hit more line drives and returned to his rookie level of offensive production. The bad news is that his plate discipline has gone from bad to worse. Once pitchers figure out that they don't have to throw Colvin strikes, he'll scuffle again. In fact, it may have started to happen. Last season, his ISO dropped from .321 in the first half to .176 in the second. Small samples or not, those are troubling trends. Primarily a right fielder, Colvin also saw action in center field and at first base last year.
2012 Colvin's isolated power in 2010 was higher than all but 11 of the qualifying batters in the major leagues. He lost a lot of that tremendous power in 2011, but the problem was deeper—he lost some of the gains he'd made in plate discipline, and he wasn't centering up the ball at all, leading to a lot of weakly hit balls and thus easy outs. Colvin didn't even regroup as hoped in Triple-A. Still, a fly-ball hitter who plays half his games at Coors Field always has a chance. He'll be in the mix for at-bats at all three outfield spots as well as first base.
2011 Is Colvin baseball's answer to the fish taco? In his way, he's an interesting collection of unlikely elements that make for a surprising treat in concert. He's too athletic to be a mere slug, providing good speed on the bases and a fly-ball stroke that limits GIDPs, the arm for right if not the range for center, and less patience than you'd like but more than he used to have. Whether he's an interesting oddity or a burgeoning star will depend on his ability to keep delivering homers at a steep clip; his home run/fly ball rate was up in the same stratosphere as guys named Pujols, Konerko, and Papi. If he can do that and play a great right field, he'll deserve an everyday gig, even while exacerbating the team's OBP problem. The near tragedy of his being speared by the barrel of Welington Castillo's shattered maple bat shouldn't be an issue for him in camp.
2010 Colvin’s second pass through the Southern League was a mixed bag. Half-full thinkers will see the increased slugging percentage and note that the former first-round pick finally developed the home run power his size and swing have long suggested, while the half-empty set will retort that Colvin’s move from center to right may have upped the offensive ante beyond what he can be expected to produce. Colvin’s walk rate and power production remain inversely proportional, and the product of that unique formula is more likely to be a bench player than a starting corner outfielder.
2009 A toolsy maybe, Colvin made big strides in the second half when he learned to start ripping the pitches he could hit instead of waiting for a walk to just happen. Pitch identification is an issue, but at some point it's going to boil down to what he can do opposed to trying to make him do what he can't. Poor instincts might keep him out of center, and while he has the arm for right, he'll need to hit a lot better than his slugging over .500 after the Southern League's all-star break, as promising as that was in his age-23 season. In short, he's still shy of a finished product, and will need to build on a good second half to deliver as something more than just an extra outfielder.
2008 At this stage of his development, Colvin has a couple of significant holes in his swing; any time your strikeout-to-walk ratio looks like Tom Brady's touchdown-to-interception ratio, that's bad news. While the power and speed tools are there, they're not off the charts. Colvin's upside is a .280/.320/.500-type of hitter; that's valuable in center field, but less so in an outfield corner, so his defensive progress is the key. Although our translations suggest Colvin took quite well to center last year, the scouting reports were mixed.
2007 The Cubs` first-round pick in 2006 had a lackluster pro debut, but the predictive power of a player`s first exposure to wooden bats is exceptionally low. He`s more toolsy and less polished than your typical collegiate first-rounder; then again, most scouts thought he was more of a third-round pick than a first. He`s seen as above average in the traditional five tools, but his plate discipline last year was dismal.

BP Articles

Tyler Colvin is referenced in the following articles.

BP Premium requires BP Premium access to view, BP Fantasy requires BP Premium or BP Fantasy access to view

  Title Author Date
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: The Reasonable Overpay of Kurt SuzukiR.J. Anderson2014-08-05
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: July 28, 2014Daniel Rathman2014-07-28
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessInterleague Report: Week 16Jeff Quinton2014-07-14
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Odrisamer Despaigne's DebutDaniel Rathman2014-06-24
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: A Deeper Look at FAAB in Deeper LeaguesMike Gianella2014-06-18
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessInterleague Report: Week 12Jeff Quinton2014-06-16
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Scherzer's First GemChris Mosch2014-06-13
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessInterleague Report: Week 11Jeff Quinton2014-06-09
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTTO Scoresheet Podcast: Scoresheet Player Trend Watch: May Supplemental DraftBen Murphy2014-05-29
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTTO Scoresheet Podcast: Scoresheet Player Trend Watch: May Supplemental DraftIan Lefkowitz2014-05-29
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTTO Scoresheet Podcast: Scoresheet Player Trend Watch: May Supplemental DraftJared Weiss2014-05-29
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessThe Top 101 Fantasy Prospects of 2014: Part Two: 51-101Bret Sayre2014-03-04
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: The Mark of the ReynoldsR.J. Anderson2014-01-21
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: The Mark of the ReynoldsBen Carsley2014-01-21
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: Mixed-League Hitter ValuationMike Gianella2013-12-10
This article requires BP Premium accessPebble Hunting: Rereading Nate Silver: 5. The Colorado EffectSam Miller2013-11-12
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFree Agent Watch: Looking Ahead to 2014Bret Sayre2013-09-26
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: September 5, 2013Clint Chisam2013-09-05
The BP Wayback Machine: Development DisastersKevin Goldstein2013-07-26
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: July 12, 2013Clint Chisam2013-07-12
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: July 4, 2013Clint Chisam2013-07-04
BP Fantasy Podcast: Episode 48: Identity ThievesJason Collette2013-06-13
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFree Agent Watch: Week 11Bret Sayre2013-06-13
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFree Agent Watch: Week 11Mike Gianella2013-06-13
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: June 12, 2013Clint Chisam2013-06-12
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: June 9, 2013Clint Chisam2013-06-09
This article requires BP Premium accessSkewed Left: The Real Future YankeesZachary Levine2013-05-28
Fantasy Beat: My Razzball Expert League TeamPaul Singman2013-03-30
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Auction Values: Sixth Edition, March 26Mike Gianella2013-03-26
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Tier Rankings: National League OutfieldersMike Gianella2013-03-25
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Tier Rankings: First BasemenJosh Shepardson2013-03-20
Rumor Roundup: Cold at the CornersWill Woods2013-03-08
This article requires BP Premium accessBizball: A Detailed Look at the Salary Arbitration Class of 2013Maury Brown2013-02-25
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: Getting the Platoon AdvantageBret Sayre2013-02-21
Punk Hits: Top Team Cookbooks, Part 1Ian Miller2013-01-29
This article requires BP Premium accessIn A Pickle: Average LoveJason Wojciechowski2013-01-25
This article requires BP Premium accessBaseball Therapy: Defining Change in Player Performance from Year to YearRussell A. Carleton2012-11-19
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessResident Fantasy Genius: Where to Find Last-Minute Steals, HomersDerek Carty2012-09-17
Tater Trot Tracker: Trot Times for September 11Larry Granillo2012-09-12
Tater Trot Tracker: Trot Times for September 2Larry Granillo2012-09-03
This article requires BP Premium accessOverthinking It: From Prospect to Project to ProminenceBen Lindbergh2012-08-31
Tater Trot Tracker: Trot Times for August 27Larry Granillo2012-08-28
Tater Trot Tracker: Trot Times for August 21Larry Granillo2012-08-22
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessValue Picks: First, Third, and DH for 7/31/12Michael Street2012-07-31
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessValue Picks: Outfield for 7/27/12Paul Singman2012-07-27
This article requires BP Premium accessPebble Hunting: 30 Teams, 30 Home Run CallsSam Miller2012-07-23
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessValue Picks: First, Third, and DH for 7/10/12Michael Street2012-07-10
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessValue Picks: First, Third, and DH for 7/3/12Michael Street2012-07-03
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessValue Picks: First, Third, and DH for 6/26/12Michael Street2012-06-26
Tater Trot Tracker: Trot Times for June 12Larry Granillo2012-06-13
This article requires BP Premium accessPunk Hits: Pitching In the Age of ComebacksIan Miller2012-06-13
Tater Trot Tracker: The Weekend's Trot TimesLarry Granillo2012-06-11
Tater Trot Tracker: Trot Times for May 12Larry Granillo2012-05-13
This article requires BP Premium accessOn the Beat: The Prince and the Pauper NumbersJohn Perrotto2012-05-03
Tater Trot Tracker: Trot Times for May 1Larry Granillo2012-05-02
Tater Trot Tracker: Trot Times for April 14Larry Granillo2012-04-15
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Cuddyer to ColoradoR.J. Anderson2011-12-16
Transaction Analysis: Wrapping Up the Winter Meetings UPDATED TWICER.J. Anderson2011-12-09
Transaction Analysis: Wrapping Up the Winter Meetings UPDATED TWICEBen Lindbergh2011-12-09
Transaction Analysis: Wrapping Up the Winter Meetings UPDATED TWICEKevin Goldstein2011-12-09
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Changes of SceneryR.J. Anderson2011-12-01
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Hit and Run: Beltran's Next StopJay Jaffe2011-11-10
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessThe Keeper Reaper: Outfielders for 10/18/11Rob McQuown2011-10-18
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Cubs State of the UnionKevin Goldstein2011-10-12
This article requires BP Premium accessKiss'Em Goodbye: San Diego PadresJay Jaffe2011-09-19
This article requires BP Premium accessKiss'Em Goodbye: San Diego PadresESPN Insider2011-09-19
This article requires BP Premium accessKiss'Em Goodbye: San Diego PadresKevin Goldstein2011-09-19
This article requires BP Premium accessKiss'Em Goodbye: Chicago CubsKevin Goldstein2011-09-12
This article requires BP Premium accessKiss'Em Goodbye: Chicago CubsBen Lindbergh2011-09-12
This article requires BP Premium accessKiss'Em Goodbye: Chicago CubsESPN Insider2011-09-12
Tater Trot Tracker: Trot Times for August 28Larry Granillo2011-08-29
This article requires BP Premium accessOn the Beat: Taking Central StageJohn Perrotto2011-08-10
Wezen-Ball: The Biggest Dangers in BaseballLarry Granillo2011-08-08
Tater Trot Tracker: Trot Times for August 5Larry Granillo2011-08-06
Tater Trot Tracker: Trot Times for August 2Larry Granillo2011-08-03
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessResident Fantasy Genius: Deadline Movers and ShakersDerek Carty2011-08-01
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Beat: Tout Wars Mixed 1st Half RecapJason Collette2011-07-13
Painting the Black: Mid-season Heroes and Goats, Part 1R.J. Anderson2011-07-12
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Beat: The Movie Title GameJason Collette2011-06-17
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: The DL Giveth, and the DL Taketh AwayBen Lindbergh2011-06-07
Transaction Analysis Blog: Cubs Demote Colvin, MateoR.J. Anderson2011-05-17
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Focus: The NL's Rookie OutageMarc Normandin2011-04-11
This article requires BP Premium accessOverthinking It: Non-Starter StartersBen Lindbergh2011-03-29
Prospectus Hit and Run: Are the Cubs a Sleeper Team?Jay Jaffe2011-03-25
This article requires BP Premium accessTeam Injury Projection: Chicago CubsCorey Dawkins2011-03-18
This article requires BP Premium accessTeam Injury Projection: Chicago CubsMarc Normandin2011-03-18
This article requires BP Premium accessDivide and Conquer, NL Central: Defensive DoldrumsLarry Granillo2011-03-18
BP Unfiltered: Day Three in AZ, Cubs vs. SoxChristina Kahrl2011-03-11
Purpose Pitches: Day Two at HoHoKamChristina Kahrl2011-03-11
Divide and Conquer, NL Central: Wait Till This Year?Larry Granillo2011-03-04
On the Beat: Can Bautista Repeat?John Perrotto2011-03-02
Fantasy Focus: Right Fielder RankingsMarc Normandin2011-02-24
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Focus: Left Fielder RankingsMarc Normandin2011-02-22
Fantasy Beat: BP Scoresheet Early Draft PrepRob McQuown2011-02-07
Prospectus Perspective: An Honest Exchange?Christina Kahrl2011-01-10
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Monday Ten-PackKevin Goldstein2010-12-27
Winter Meetings: First-Base BopperyChristina Kahrl2010-12-08
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Chicago Cubs Top 11 ProspectsKevin Goldstein2010-12-03
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Perspective: A Dirty Half-DozenChristina Kahrl2010-12-02
This article requires BP Premium accessOn the Beat: The NL Winter AgendaJohn Perrotto2010-11-16
This article requires BP Premium accessOn the Beat: Scioscia's Tree is Branching OutJohn Perrotto2010-11-09
This article requires BP Premium accessGM for a Day: Chicago CubsBen Lindbergh2010-10-20
This article requires BP Premium accessOn the Beat: Eyeing The Glass SlipperJohn Perrotto2010-09-29
This article requires BP Premium accessUnder The Knife: Explaining The Life of a MedheadWill Carroll2010-09-24
Prospectus Hit List: NL: Getting SortedJay Jaffe2010-09-23
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Action: Phillies, Nationals, CubsChristina Kahrl2010-09-22
This article requires BP Premium accessUnder The Knife: A Strain is a TearWill Carroll2010-09-21
This article requires BP Premium accessUnder The Knife: Concussion Problem WorsensWill Carroll2010-09-20
This article requires BP Premium accessKiss'Em Goodbye: Chicago CubsKevin Goldstein2010-09-13
This article requires BP Premium accessKiss'Em Goodbye: Chicago CubsJohn Perrotto2010-09-13
This article requires BP Premium accessKiss'Em Goodbye: Chicago CubsESPN Insider2010-09-13
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Beat: Hot Spots: OutfieldRob McQuown2010-09-08
This article requires BP Premium accessContractual Matters: Diminished Skills and Fragile EgosJeff Euston2010-09-06
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Perspective: A Wrigley Rebuild?Christina Kahrl2010-08-31
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Beat: Hot Spots: OutfieldRob McQuown2010-08-11
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Hit List: SwaptacularJay Jaffe2010-08-05
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Beat: Hot Spots: OutfieldRob McQuown2010-08-04
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Deadline Day Outcomes in the NLChristina Kahrl2010-08-01
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Deadline Day Outcomes in the NLKevin Goldstein2010-08-01
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Hit List: Coming or GoingJay Jaffe2010-07-29
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Beat: Hot Spots: OutfieldRob McQuown2010-07-28
This article requires BP Premium accessOn the Beat: Padres are Riding The WaveJohn Perrotto2010-07-26
Changing Speeds: Cold FusionKen Funck2010-07-22
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Beat: Hot Spots: OutfieldRob McQuown2010-07-21
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Hit and Run: The 2010 Replacement-level Killers Jay Jaffe2010-07-20
This article requires BP Premium accessOn the Beat: A Second Second City Revival?John Perrotto2010-07-16
This article requires BP Premium accessMid-season Prescriptions: NL CentralMarc Normandin2010-07-15
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Beat: Hot Spots: OutfieldRob McQuown2010-07-14
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Beat: Hot Spots: OutfieldRob McQuown2010-07-07
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Beat: Hot Spots: OutfieldRob McQuown2010-06-30
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Beat: Hot Spots: OutfieldRob McQuown2010-06-23
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Beat: Hot Spots: OutfieldRob McQuown2010-06-16
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Beat: Hot Spots: OutfieldRob McQuown2010-06-09
This article requires BP Premium accessOn the Beat: Monday UpdateJohn Perrotto2010-06-07
This article requires BP Premium accessAhead in the Count: Production and the DraftMatt Swartz2010-06-07
On the Beat: Wednesday UpdateJohn Perrotto2010-06-02
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Beat: Hot Spots: OutfieldRob McQuown2010-06-02
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Action: NL Central UpdateChristina Kahrl2010-06-01
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Beat: Hot Spots: OutfieldRob McQuown2010-05-26
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Beat: Hot Spots: OutfieldRob McQuown2010-05-19
The Week in Quotes: Week of May 10-16Alex Carnevale2010-05-17
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Beat: Hot Spots: OutfieldRob McQuown2010-05-12
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: A Tale of Three ShortstopsChristina Kahrl2010-05-07
This article requires BP Premium accessOn the Beat: Wednesday UpdateJohn Perrotto2010-05-05
Game Story: Diamondbacks at Cubs, Game OneChristina Kahrl2010-04-30
Game Story: Nationals at CubsChristina Kahrl2010-04-29
This article requires BP Premium accessProblem Positions: The Never-ending ChurnChristina Kahrl2010-04-14
This article requires BP Premium accessOn the Beat: Wednesday UpdateJohn Perrotto2010-04-07
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Action: Turn of the Screw, NLChristina Kahrl2010-04-04
This article requires BP Premium accessUnder The Knife: Camp CasualtiesWill Carroll2010-04-02
BP Unfiltered: UPDATED NL Projected Opening Day RostersJohn Perrotto2010-04-01
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Action: Any Frandsen of Yours Is...Christina Kahrl2010-03-28
Fantasy Beat: Depth Chart/PFM UpdateClay Davenport2010-03-17
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Beat: Hot Spots: OutfieldRob McQuown2010-03-17
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Action: Winding Down the NLChristina Kahrl2009-10-01
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Monday Ten PackKevin Goldstein2009-08-03
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Development DisastersKevin Goldstein2009-07-21
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: NL Draft WrapKevin Goldstein2009-06-21
Future Shock: First-Round RecapKevin Goldstein2009-06-10
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Cubs Top 11 ProspectsKevin Goldstein2008-11-11
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: NL Central NotebookKevin Goldstein2008-05-15
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: State of the Systems, NL CentralKevin Goldstein2008-03-25
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: NL Central NRI ReviewChristina Kahrl2008-03-02
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Cubs Top 11 ProspectsKevin Goldstein2008-01-16
This article requires BP Premium accessEvery Given Sunday: Time FliesJohn Perrotto2008-01-13
Future Shock: Positional DifferencesKevin Goldstein2007-07-29
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: State of the Systems, NL CentralKevin Goldstein2007-04-25
Prospectus Q&A: Tim WilkenDavid Laurila2007-04-15
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: High-A PreviewKevin Goldstein2007-04-08
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: March 13-18, 2007Christina Kahrl2007-03-19


BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2013-02-27 20:00:00 (link to chat)What players to you see suffering a big regression. What players do you think surprise this year?
(Jason from Philadelphia )
Torii Hunter seems like an obvious regression candidate. The BABIP was extreme and the power and speed are dwindling as he moves into his later 30s. Chris Davis is kind of a one-trick pony and if the power slips even a little his value takes a serious hit. I don't see another 30+ bombs for Davis this year. As far as surprises go, I think Ike Davis shakes off the rust of his Valley Fever and becomes a serious 40 home run threat. Tyler Colvin is a player I really like to find a way into playing time and hit 20 home runs (assuming, of course, he gets to play). (Mike Gianella)
2011-12-20 13:00:00 (link to chat)Tyler Colvin in Denver or Ian Stewart in Chicago, who has a better 2012?
(Chuck Norris' Right Fist from Choose or Die)
Ugh. Uuuuugh. Stewart. (Sam Miller)
2011-03-17 13:00:00 (link to chat)Thoughts on Tyler Colvin? He is a very controversial player amongst Cub fans.
(Matt from Chicago)
I think he can be a useful piece, but I wouldn't overexpose him as an every day player. He's never going to have a high OBP, he's always going to strike out a lot, but power is power, especially from the left side. If I'm the Cubs, I carry him as a 4th outfielder (remember, Soriano, Byrd, and Fukudome are all 32 or older) and bench bat, and then also carry a 5th guy who's righty and can play defense, like a Reed Johnson type. (Mike Petriello)
2011-01-03 14:00:00 (link to chat)Happy New Year KG. I know there's no love for Tyler Colvin as a future star, but 2nd division starter seems a bit low too. Is there any wiggle room there?
(strupp from Madison)
Not for me. No clue how he's a first-division starter at 1B or a corner OF. (Kevin Goldstein)
2010-10-07 13:00:00 (link to chat)Do scouts around the league view Tyler Colvin as a viable , everyday player or more of a 4th OF?
(Matt from Chicago)
At the beginning of the year, strictly a fourth outfield. Now, opinion is more evenly split. (John Perrotto)
2010-09-15 14:00:00 (link to chat)Any chance that Tyler Colvin can get his OBP in the .330-.340 range? I like the pop but he seems hopeless against decent breaking stuff.
(Matt from Chicago)
His minor league walk rates were never that high, and I don't usually see players develop patience at the major league level. I'd say .330 would be his 80th percentile in a perfect world, but that we're looking at a .280/.315/.460 hitter worth keeping around pre-arbitration, but not after that. (Eric Seidman)
2010-08-24 14:30:00 (link to chat)After mining the relevant data, is there anything that tells you that Tyler Colvin can settle in as a .280/.340/.840 type if player? His K rate can't stay this high, can it?
(Matt from Chicago)
I relayed this question to resident Cubs fan and data miner Colin Wyers. I'll let his answer stand on its own: "Colvin exists to punish me for every time I've laughed at Jeff Francoeur." (Ben Lindbergh)
2010-08-02 13:30:00 (link to chat)What are your thoughts on Tyler Colvin? His power has been impressive, but he seems a little out of place leading off. Have you talked with KG recently about what his ceiling might be given this year's performance? He seems like more of a 5-hitter than a leadoff guy to me....Thanks!
(mschroeder14 from wi)
That's kind of my hope, with DeWitt added to the team, is that they slot him up front and move Colvin lower down again. But let's face it, as much of an interesting tools guy with potentially high upside as he might have, I find it hard to believe that Colvin is going to get homers on 18 percent of his fly balls forever. Cut that down several pegs, and you've got a guy a lot like a young Jacque Jones (with a better arm). Playable in a corner for several seasons, up until he gets expensive. (Christina Kahrl)
2010-04-27 13:00:00 (link to chat)Has anything youve seen from Tyler Colvin, thus far, changed your statistical outlook on him for this season or for his career, going forward?
(Matt from Chicago)
Not especially. It is hard to seem him continuing to hit .375 with isolated power of .519 on balls in play, even if he's played for a full-time platoon advantage. He's still within his first 100 PA, and major league pitchers often seem to go through an extended "show me you can this" phase before developing a more detailed book. If he can through May with numbers like this I'll start to believe there's a real component to the changes. (Clay Davenport)
2010-04-08 14:00:00 (link to chat)the chicago media is gaga over Tyler Colvin, mostly because he's not Milton Bradley. What is his upside? What do you think about his prospects?
(spf from ill.)
Remember back in the day when Todd Hollandsworth got hot and that certain subsection of Cubs folks (you know the type) got all worked up and wanted him to play more and then when he did, it wasn't so good? It's like that. Colvin is going to have a big league career, but he'll have for more time as a bench outfielder than a starter. (Kevin Goldstein)
2009-09-17 14:00:00 (link to chat)What can we read into Tyler Colvin's ridiculous August (.379/.425/.689) and good season (.300/.334/.524)? Still MLB starter potential? 4th OF/bench bat?
(Mark from Sacramento)
Stock is certainly back up, but I have problems seeing him as a every day guy in a corner. (Kevin Goldstein)
2009-02-16 14:00:00 (link to chat)What's the biggest 1st round blunder you've seen a team make in the past few years Tyler Colvin seems like a good candidate. And don't give up on the Jonas brothers just yet, Alec Baldwin joined the group and...never mind they just kicked him out.
(carl from airport)
uh, Matt Bush?

Back in the day, I had a theory that Hanson would, like 20 years after mmm-bop release some kind of sprawling masterpiece, because they were actually musicians -- That might be true about the Jonas brothers as well. They play instruments, they're living a life that could lead to some strangeness down the road. I wouldn't be shocked. (Kevin Goldstein)
2008-09-24 14:00:00 (link to chat)How do you view Tyler Colvin after the subpar 2008 season?
(Navin from Pasadena, CA)
He's another tough one because he did have a real good second half and showed an improved approach. I wasn't a huge fan even coming into the year because he's fringy in center and doesn't have the power for a corner -- bad combo. (Kevin Goldstein)


BP Roundtables

DateRoundtable NameComment
2009-06-09 14:30:002009 Draft CoverageCubs take Brett Jackson from Cal, who seemed to be in the mix for every team in the 20s. He's either a star or the next Tyler Colvin. That's really the range here as a risk/upside college guy. (Kevin Goldstein)
2009-06-09 14:30:002009 Draft CoverageThis reminds me what the Cubs did a few years ago when they drafted Tyler Colvin with the intention of spending money on Jeff Samardzija later in the draft. We hear the Pirates will be busy in the Dominican and in later rounds, but it's certainly weird to see Sanchez' name in the top five. Not more than a couple days ago, Kevin and I agreed that Jason Castro was a better prospect one year ago. And we know what we all thought about that Castro pick then. (Bryan Smith)
 

PITCHf/x Hitter Profile

A Collaboration between BrooksBaseball.net and Baseball Prospectus - Pitch classifications provided by Pitch Info LLC