Biographical

Portrait of Andrew Miller

Andrew Miller POrioles

Orioles Player Cards | Orioles Team Audit | Orioles Depth Chart

2014 Rest-of-Season Projections (seasonal age 29)
IP ERA WHIP SO W L SV WARP
0.3 4.08 1.44 0 0 0 0 0.0
Birth Date5-21-1985
Height6' 7"
Weight210 lbs
Age29 years, 5 months, 4 days
BatsL
ThrowsL
-0.62010
0.32011
0.62012
0.22013
1.72014
+proj
WARP Summary

Standard

YEAR TEAM AGE G GS IP IP-SP IP-RP W L SV BS QS BQS PA H R ER HR TB BB UBB HBP SO ERA FIP FRA VORP WARP
2006 DET 21 8 0 10.3 0.0 10.3 0 1 0 0 0 0 51 8 9 7 0 12 10 10 2 6 6.10 5.51 5.52 0.8 0.1
2007 DET 22 13 13 64.0 64.0 0.0 5 5 0 0 4 0 309 73 43 40 8 112 39 39 7 56 5.62 5.34 5.36 4.5 0.4
2008 FLO 23 29 20 107.3 100.7 6.7 6 10 0 1 6 0 492 120 78 70 7 176 56 52 4 89 5.87 3.97 4.47 5.3 0.3
2009 FLO 24 20 14 80.0 74.3 5.7 3 5 0 0 5 1 366 85 52 43 7 134 43 42 2 59 4.84 4.41 4.93 2.4 0.2
2010 FLO 25 9 7 32.7 27.7 5.0 1 5 0 0 0 0 171 51 34 31 6 80 26 24 1 28 8.54 6.26 6.07 -4.9 -0.6
2011 BOS 26 17 12 65.0 58.3 6.7 6 3 0 0 3 0 310 77 43 40 8 117 41 41 3 50 5.54 5.15 5.46 3.2 0.3
2012 BOS 27 53 0 40.3 0.0 40.3 3 2 0 2 0 0 169 28 15 15 3 42 20 19 2 51 3.35 3.12 3.45 5.7 0.6
2013 BOS 28 37 0 30.7 0.0 30.7 1 2 0 2 0 0 135 25 12 9 3 34 17 17 2 48 2.64 3.08 4.02 1.6 0.2
2014 BAL 29 23 0 20.0 0.0 20.0 2 0 1 1 0 0 72 8 3 3 1 13 4 4 1 34 1.35 1.16 2.10 4.9 0.5
2014 BOS 29 50 0 42.3 0.0 42.3 3 5 0 0 0 0 170 25 13 11 2 36 13 11 4 69 2.34 1.72 2.11 10.4 1.2
Career25966492.7325.0167.7303816181224550030226945756269259284904.914.134.5433.83.3

Advanced

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP FRA FRA+ TAv oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG oppTAv BABIP PPF PVORP PWARP VORP WARP
2006 DET MLB 8 0 10.3 5.52 98 .263 .272 .333 .404 .254 .242 109 0.8 0.1 0.8 0.1
2006 LAK A+ 3 0 5.1 1.73 158 .101 .260 .335 .391 .257 .250 93 1.9 0.2 1.9 0.2
2007 DET MLB 13 13 64.0 5.36 94 .290 .269 .335 .422 .262 .327 103 5.1 0.5 4.5 0.4
2007 LAK A+ 7 7 41.3 4.51 106 .239 .249 .332 .361 .252 .313 100 4.2 0.4 4.2 0.4
2007 ERI AA 4 4 30.7 4.13 116 .179 .251 .324 .378 .245 .247 107 4.7 0.5 4.7 0.5
2007 TOL AAA 2 2 6.0 4.16 38 .048 .266 .333 .398 .252 .200 37 1.0 0.1 1.0 0.1
2008 FLO MLB 29 20 107.3 4.47 99 .288 .256 .324 .404 .259 .336 95 9.5 1.0 5.3 0.3
2008 JUP A+ 4 2 12.7 3.52 121 .194 .229 .312 .324 .235 .257 98 2.4 0.2 2.4 0.2
2008 CAR AA 1 1 5.7 4.39 114 .170 .260 .329 .390 .250 .167 109 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.1
2008 MRL Rk 1 1 1.0 8.39 24 .419 .281 .355 .394 .280 .400 101 -0.2 -0.0 -0.2 -0.0
2009 FLO MLB 20 14 80.0 4.93 92 .281 .256 .325 .412 .260 .306 100 4.6 0.5 2.4 0.2
2009 JUP A+ 1 1 4.0 1.07 172 .189 .246 .322 .342 .257 .300 89 1.9 0.2 1.9 0.2
2009 JAX AA 1 1 6.0 3.01 121 .248 .247 .315 .336 .242 .294 86 0.9 0.1 1.4 0.1
2009 NWO AAA 3 3 11.7 4.38 87 .270 .236 .308 .343 .261 .321 83 1.4 0.1 1.2 0.1
2009 MRL Rk 2 2 7.0 2.20 149 .289 .260 .344 .342 .254 .444 92 2.4 0.2 2.4 0.2
2009 MSS Wnt 5 5 15.3 0.00 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .293 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2010 FLO MLB 9 7 32.7 6.07 51 .386 .266 .330 .414 .272 .409 93 -3.4 -0.4 -4.9 -0.6
2010 JUP A+ 3 3 15.7 3.97 100 .243 .258 .345 .371 .273 .250 90 0.9 0.1 0.9 0.1
2010 JAX AA 18 18 85.3 5.66 64 .310 .260 .330 .380 .258 .338 92 -5.5 -0.6 -6.2 -0.7
2011 BOS MLB 17 12 65.0 5.46 88 .307 .257 .321 .409 .262 .332 109 3.6 0.4 3.2 0.3
2011 PAW AAA 13 12 65.7 4.02 111 .211 .257 .327 .395 .255 .235 93 6.8 0.6 6.8 0.6
2012 BOS MLB 53 0 40.3 3.45 124 .232 .251 .324 .419 .266 .269 102 5.7 0.6 5.7 0.6
2012 GRN A 2 1 2.0 1.55 173 .250 .234 .308 .339 .237 .500 117 1.2 0.1 1.2 0.1
2012 PAW AAA 10 0 11.0 4.72 92 .244 .262 .332 .388 .255 .214 99 0.6 0.1 0.6 0.1
2013 BOS MLB 37 0 30.7 4.02 108 .257 .257 .319 .412 .267 .338 101 1.6 0.2 1.6 0.2
2014 BAL MLB 23 0 20.0 2.10 150 .154 .250 .309 .387 .260 .219 101 4.9 0.5 4.9 0.5
2014 BOS MLB 50 0 42.3 2.11 151 .201 .256 .316 .393 .263 .280 104 10.4 1.2 10.4 1.2

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
Year Team Lg W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 WHIP ERA VORP WARP
2006 DET MLB 0 1 0 8 0 10.3 8 10 6 0 70% .242 7.0 8.7 0.0 5.2 1.74 6.10 0.8 0.1
2006 LAK A+ 0 0 0 3 0 5.1 2 1 9 0 88% .250 3.5 1.8 0.0 15.9 0.59 0.00 1.9 0.2
2007 LAK A+ 1 4 0 7 7 41.3 43 15 28 1 65% .313 9.4 3.3 0.2 6.1 1.40 3.49 4.2 0.4
2007 ERI AA 2 0 0 4 4 30.7 22 5 24 2 76% .247 6.4 1.5 0.6 7.0 0.88 0.59 4.7 0.5
2007 TOL AAA 0 0 0 2 2 6.0 6 5 9 0 60% .200 9.0 7.5 0.0 13.5 1.83 9.00 1.0 0.1
2007 DET MLB 5 5 0 13 13 64.0 73 39 56 8 51% .327 10.3 5.5 1.1 7.9 1.75 5.62 4.5 0.4
2008 CAR AA 0 0 0 1 1 5.7 2 4 6 0 92% .167 3.2 6.3 0.0 9.5 1.05 3.16 0.4 0.1
2008 FLO MLB 6 10 0 29 20 107.3 120 56 89 7 48% .336 10.1 4.7 0.6 7.5 1.64 5.87 5.3 0.3
2008 JUP A+ 1 0 0 4 2 12.7 10 1 11 1 58% .257 7.1 0.7 0.7 7.8 0.87 0.71 2.4 0.2
2008 MRL Rk 0 1 0 1 1 1.0 2 1 0 0 60% .400 18.0 9.0 0.0 0.0 3.00 18.00 -0.2 -0.0
2009 FLO MLB 3 5 0 20 14 80.0 85 43 59 7 50% .306 9.6 4.8 0.8 6.6 1.60 4.84 2.4 0.2
2009 JAX AA 0 0 0 1 1 6.0 5 2 5 0 41% .294 7.5 3.0 0.0 7.5 1.17 1.50 1.4 0.1
2009 MSS Wnt 0 1 0 5 5 15.3 13 11 13 1 0% .293 7.6 6.5 0.6 7.6 1.57 5.29 0.0 0.0
2009 JUP A+ 0 0 0 1 1 4.0 3 1 5 0 70% .300 6.8 2.2 0.0 11.2 1.00 2.25 1.9 0.2
2009 NWO AAA 1 2 0 3 3 11.7 9 13 16 0 64% .321 6.9 10.0 0.0 12.3 1.88 7.69 1.2 0.1
2009 MRL Rk 0 0 0 2 2 7.0 8 4 10 0 61% .444 10.3 5.1 0.0 12.9 1.71 2.57 2.4 0.2
2010 FLO MLB 1 5 0 9 7 32.7 51 26 28 6 42% .409 14.1 7.2 1.7 7.7 2.36 8.54 -4.9 -0.6
2010 JAX AA 1 8 0 18 18 85.3 98 61 66 6 49% .338 10.3 6.4 0.6 7.0 1.86 6.01 -6.2 -0.7
2010 JUP A+ 1 1 0 3 3 15.7 8 15 23 0 47% .250 4.6 8.6 0.0 13.2 1.46 1.72 0.9 0.1
2011 PAW AAA 3 3 0 13 12 65.7 42 35 61 2 51% .235 5.8 4.8 0.3 8.4 1.17 2.47 6.8 0.6
2011 BOS MLB 6 3 0 17 12 65.0 77 41 50 8 49% .332 10.7 5.7 1.1 6.9 1.82 5.54 3.2 0.3
2012 BOS MLB 3 2 0 53 0 40.3 28 20 51 3 43% .269 6.2 4.5 0.7 11.4 1.19 3.35 5.7 0.6
2012 GRN A 0 0 0 2 1 2.0 2 0 3 0 75% .500 9.0 0.0 0.0 13.5 1.00 0.00 1.2 0.1
2012 PAW AAA 0 0 1 10 0 11.0 4 14 23 1 53% .214 3.3 11.5 0.8 18.8 1.64 5.73 0.6 0.1
2013 BOS MLB 1 2 0 37 0 30.7 25 17 48 3 57% .338 7.3 5.0 0.9 14.1 1.37 2.64 1.6 0.2
2014 BAL MLB 2 0 1 23 0 20.0 8 4 34 1 36% .219 3.6 1.8 0.5 15.3 0.60 1.35 4.9 0.5
2014 BOS MLB 3 5 0 50 0 42.3 25 13 69 2 55% .280 5.3 2.8 0.4 14.7 0.90 2.34 10.4 1.2

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT
2008 1809 0.5428 0.4256 0.8169 0.5906 0.2297 0.8828 0.6158 0.1805
2009 1377 0.5105 0.4067 0.8232 0.5917 0.2136 0.8750 0.6736 0.1750
2010 644 0.5047 0.4075 0.8435 0.5846 0.2257 0.9211 0.6389 0.1527
2011 1224 0.5237 0.4363 0.8277 0.5959 0.2607 0.8953 0.6579 0.1723
2012 683 0.5344 0.3968 0.7601 0.5370 0.2358 0.8112 0.6267 0.2399
2013 554 0.5379 0.4350 0.6929 0.5638 0.2852 0.7976 0.4521 0.3071
2014 983 0.5280 0.4323 0.6541 0.5434 0.3082 0.7908 0.3846 0.3412
Career72740.52690.42110.78550.57770.24690.86120.59320.2126

Injury History

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2013-07-07 2013-10-31 60-DL 116 73 Left Foot Surgery Lis-franc Ligament 2013-07-15 -
2012-03-26 2012-05-06 15-DL 41 26 Left Thigh Recovery From Strain Hamstring - -
2012-03-21 2012-03-26 Camp 5 0 Left Thigh Strain Hamstring - -
2012-03-05 2012-03-16 Camp 11 0 Left Elbow Inflammation Triceps - -
2010-04-08 2010-04-30 Minors 22 0 Right Ankle Sprain -
2009-07-30 2009-09-11 Minors 43 0 Right Ankle Sprain High Ankle -
2009-04-21 2009-05-16 15-DL 25 23 Right Abdomen Strain Oblique -
2008-08-20 2008-08-20 On-Alr 0 0 Left Fingers Blister -
2008-07-14 2008-09-01 15-DL 49 42 Right Knee Inflammation Patellar Tendinitis -
2007-08-04 2007-08-23 15-DL 19 18 Left Thigh Strain Hamstring -

Compensation

Year Team Salary
2014 BOS $1,903,125
2013 BOS $1,475,000
2012 BOS $1,040,000
2010 FLO $1,790,219
2009 FLO $2,462,500
2008 FLO $1,325,000
YearsDescriptionSalary
6 yrPrevious$8,092,719
2011Current$1,903,125
7 yrPvs + Cur$9,995,844
7 yrTotal$9,995,844

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
5 y 62 dDarek Braunecker1 year/$1,903,125 (2014)

Details
  • 1 year/$1,903,125 (2014). Re-signed by Boston 2/15/14 (avoided arbitration). Acquired by Baltimore in trade from Boston 7/31/14.
  • 1 year/$1.475M (2013). Re-signed by Boston 1/18/13 (avoided arbitration).
  • 1 year/$1.04M (2012). Re-signed by Boston 12/6/11 (avoided arbitration). Performance bonuses: $50,000 each for 20, 25 starts.
  • 1 year (2011), plus 2012 club option. Re-signed by Boston as a free agent 12/16/10 (minor-league contract). 11: split contract ($1.3M in majors), 12: club option. Roster, performance bonuses. Miller may opt out if not on Major League roster by specified date, $3M option for 2012 guaranteed if Boston designates Miller for assignment and another club claims him off waivers. Contract purchased by Boston 6/19/11. Boston declined 2012 option 10/31/11.
  • 1 year/$1,790,219 (2010). Renewed by Florida 3/2/10. Acquired by Boston in trade from Florida 11/12/10. Non-tendered by Boston 12/2/10.
  • 4 years/$5.4M (2006-09). Signed Major League contract with Detroit 8/06. $3.55M signing bonus. On Major League roster: 08:$1.325M, 09:$1.575M. Escalators may bring total package to $7.5M, depending on when Miller makes 25-man roster. Contract guarantees September call-up in 2006. Miller may opt out of contract early & go to arbitration. Acquired by Florida in trade from Detroit 12/4/07.
  • Drafted by Detroit 2006 (1-6) (North Carolina).

2014 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 3/11/2014 05:35 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA FRA VORP WARP
90o 0 0 0 0 0 54.8 43 28 52 4 .266 1.29 3.41 3.7 0.0 0.0
80o 0 0 0 0 0 49.2 41 27 47 4 .279 1.38 3.83 4.16 0.0 0.0
70o 0 0 0 0 0 45.3 40 26 43 3 .289 1.45 4.13 4.49 0.0 0.0
60o 0 0 0 0 0 42.0 38 25 40 3 .298 1.51 4.40 4.79 0.0 0.0
50o 0 0 0 0 0 39.0 37 24 37 3 .306 1.57 4.66 5.06 0.0 0.0
40o 0 0 0 0 0 36.1 36 23 34 3 .314 1.63 4.92 5.35 0.0 0.0
30o 0 0 0 0 0 33.0 34 22 31 3 .322 1.70 5.20 5.65 0.0 0.0
20o 0 0 0 0 0 29.5 32 21 28 3 .332 1.78 5.54 6.02 0.0 0.0
10o 0 0 0 0 0 24.9 28 19 24 2 .346 1.89 6.02 6.54 0.0 0.0
Weighted Mean0000038.43624373.3041.564.625.030.00.0

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate MLB %
11% 32% 14% 17% 61%

Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2014 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP WHIP ERA FRA H/9 BB/9 K/9 HR/9 WARP
20153021046049442849450.3011.484.394.788.15.29.10.70.1
20163121039042392640450.2991.564.785.198.45.68.60.9-0.1
20173221039042392540450.3041.544.574.978.45.48.60.9-0.0
20183321035037352236350.3041.534.494.888.45.38.70.70.0
20193421033035332033350.3041.534.524.918.65.28.60.80.0
20203511030032301831350.3051.504.514.908.45.18.70.80.0
20213611028030281728350.3061.524.534.938.55.28.50.90.0
20223710027028271627250.3061.524.514.908.65.18.60.60.0
20233810026028271626250.3061.544.494.888.75.18.40.60.0

Upside By Year

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 PEAK 5
10.71.50.32.31.20.816

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 78)

Rank Score Name Year Run Average Trend
1 86 Jon Leicester 2008 0.00 DNP
2 86 Brian Burres 2010 5.45
3 85 J.A. Happ 2012 4.85
4 85 Dustin Nippert 2010 4.45
5 85 Garrett Olson 2013 0.00 DNP
6 84 Kason Gabbard 2011 0.00 DNP
7 83 Rich Hill 2009 8.12
8 83 Brandon Claussen 2008 0.00 DNP
9 83 Wil Ledezma 2010 7.32
10 82 Juan Gutierrez 2013 4.72
11 81 Brandon Backe 2007 4.08
12 81 Manny Parra 2012 5.98
13 80 Edgar Gonzalez 2012 5.04
14 80 Mitch Talbot 2013 0.00 DNP
15 80 Joel Hanrahan 2011 2.23
16 80 Kevin Gregg 2007 3.64
17 80 Clay Hensley 2009 0.00 DNP
18 80 Dennis Sarfate 2010 0.00 DNP
19 79 David Purcey 2011 5.61
20 79 Matt Riley 2009 0.00 DNP
21 79 Robinson Tejeda 2011 6.14
22 79 Vinnie Chulk 2008 5.12
23 79 Armando Galarraga 2011 7.38
24 79 Sean Henn 2010 0.00 DNP
25 79 Mitchell Boggs 2013 8.87
26 79 Chris Narveson 2011 4.56
27 79 Mike Wood 2009 0.00 DNP
28 79 J.P. Howell 2012 3.04
29 79 Yunesky Maya 2011 5.23
30 79 Dave Williams 2008 0.00 DNP
31 79 Blake Hawksworth 2012 0.00 DNP
32 78 Chris Resop 2012 4.28
33 78 Seth McClung 2010 0.00 DNP
34 78 Tom Wilhelmsen 2013 4.27
35 78 Dan Meyer 2011 0.00 DNP
36 78 Cha Seung Baek 2009 0.00 DNP
37 78 Tom Gorzelanny 2012 3.38
38 78 Dan Wheeler 2007 5.79
39 78 Dontrelle Willis 2011 5.00
40 78 Dewon Brazelton 2009 0.00 DNP
41 78 Ryan Rowland-Smith 2012 0.00 DNP
42 78 Matt Belisle 2009 5.81
43 78 Jeff Niemann 2012 4.03
44 78 Jason Berken 2013 0.00 DNP
45 78 Craig Stammen 2013 3.31
46 77 Jon Rauch 2008 4.52
47 77 Gustavo Chacin 2010 5.17
48 77 Tyler Yates 2007 6.00
49 77 Sam LeCure 2013 2.66
50 77 Garrett Mock 2012 0.00 DNP
51 77 Tom Gordon 1997 4.19
52 77 Brian Bass 2011 0.00 DNP
53 76 Edinson Volquez 2013 6.02
54 76 Jim Maloney 1969 3.22
55 76 Kurt Birkins 2010 0.00 DNP
56 76 Marco Estrada 2013 3.94
57 76 Philip Humber 2012 6.53
58 76 Fernando Rodriguez 2013 0.00 DNP
59 76 Casey Fossum 2007 8.41
60 76 Jorge De La Rosa 2010 4.51
61 76 Jack Harshman 1957 4.64
62 76 Bruce Berenyi 1984 5.04
63 76 Felipe Paulino 2013 0.00 DNP
64 76 Lenny DiNardo 2009 11.81
65 76 Jack Sanford 1958 4.93
66 76 Bartolo Colon 2002 3.28
67 76 Andy Messersmith 1975 2.57 DNP
68 76 Wandy Rodriguez 2008 4.26
69 76 Chan Ho Park 2002 5.87
70 76 Jon Adkins 2007 0.00
71 76 Francisco Liriano 2013 3.02
72 76 Steve Busby 1979 4.29
73 76 Jose Capellan 2010 0.00 DNP
74 75 Brian Slocum 2010 0.00 DNP
75 75 Micah Owings 2012 3.72
76 75 Chris Young 2008 4.05
77 75 Ray Culp 1971 4.01
78 75 Joaquin Benoit 2007 3.07
79 75 Jose Guzman 1992 4.14
80 75 Cliff Lee 2008 2.74
81 75 Jim Gott 1989 0.00
82 75 Bob Gibson 1965 3.31
83 75 Jonathan Sanchez 2012 8.35
84 75 Billy Traber 2009 14.73
85 75 Chuck Finley 1992 4.36
86 75 Josh Rupe 2012 0.00 DNP
87 75 Runelvys Hernandez 2007 0.00 DNP
88 75 Chris Capuano 2008 0.00 DNP
89 75 Greg Aquino 2007 5.79
90 75 Justin Germano 2012 6.72
91 75 Glen Perkins 2012 3.20
92 75 Colby Lewis 2009 0.00 DNP
93 75 Joe Gibbon 1964 4.12
94 75 Tim Redding 2007 3.75
95 75 Charlie Morton 2013 3.96
96 75 Kelvim Escobar 2005 3.17
97 75 Jim Lonborg 1971 4.62
98 75 Matt Guerrier 2008 5.42
99 75 Melido Perez 1995 5.97
100 75 Jack Billingham 1972 3.43

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv
10 vs L (Multi) .246 .321 .343 .254
11 vs R (Multi) .246 .369 .375 .284
18 Split (Multi) .000 -.048 -.032 -.030
19 LgAvg (Multi) -.026 -.032 -.063 -.030
30 vs L (2013) .281 .339 .386 .281
31 vs R (2013) .155 .319 .207 .230
38 Split (2013) .126 .019 .179 .051
39 LgAvg (2013) -.025 -.031 -.062 -.029

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2014 Due to publishing agreements, the 2014 player comments and team essays are only available in the Baseball Prospectus 2014 book (available in hardcopy, e-book, and Kindle).
2013 A former sixth-overall pick, Miller found extended big-league success for the first time last season in an inning-or-less, LOOGY-type role. The New And Improved Miller came from two things: an increased velocity (his average fastball hit almost 96 mph) and ditching his curveball for an effective slider. With the new repertoire, Miller struck out over 30 percent of the hitters he faced while dropping his walk rate to a career low. Two years after essentially being cut by the Marlins, Miller looks to have more of a career in front of him than college teammate Bard, who at the time was putting up a 1.93 ERA in 74 2/3 innings for an 88-win Boston team. How strange is baseball?
2012 Miller didn't damage the Red Sox in the way you would think, despite stats that suggest the opposite. Yes, he had an ERA of 5.54 that wouldn't have looked good even 10 years ago when offenses dominated, but the Red Sox went 9-3 in his starts, thanks to over eight runs of support per game. In a word, both the Sox and Miller were lucky. Despite a stretch in the minors and his first few appearances in the majors that suggested, hey, Miller does know where the strike zone is, he eventually turned back into a 6-foot-7, Andrew Miller-shaped pumpkin.
2011 Along with Cameron Maybin, Miller was a key part of the Miguel Cabrera/Dontrelle Willis dump deal with the Tigers, and the pair succeeded so well as Marlins that Ben & Jerry's should name a teal-colored flavor after them: "Blue-Chip Disappointment." Nobody questions Miller's stuff, because lefties with plus velocity get taken seriously; the problem is the unending litany of setbacks, an accumulation of little hurts, and the too-frequent disassociation with strikes that finally drove the Marlins beyond despair, all the way to disgust. Dealt to the Red Sox after the season for lefty Dustin Richardson, Miller will become a project for new pitching coach Curt Young, free of the expectations that come with being a high draft pick and a major trade acquisition.
2010 More than ever, waiting for Miller to capitalize on the talents that made him the sixth overall pick in the 2006 draft seems like an exercise in futility. He often struggled, and despite a couple of minor-league stints (one on rehab after an oblique strain), Miller again failed to establish himself. After the season he went to the AFL to work on improving his mechanics, which is a bit like going to Antarctica to work on raising your body temperature. Heading into his age-25 season, he's still young enough to sort himself out, and he deserves some understanding based on the way he was rushed through the minors, but the '06 draft is starting to look pretty distant, and if Miller doesn't come through soon, expectations need to be adjusted from "untapped talent" to "another journeyman looking to catch lightning in a bottle." That day isn't here yet, but it's bearing down on Miller like one of his runaway fastballs.
2009 It's easy to get frustrated with Miller when you rate his lows against his highs, but try to remember that he's still just a kid learning on the job. He's trying to learn a third pitch to complement his fastball/slider combo, and there are going to be struggles as long as he's working on that. April was a terrible month, but in May and June he shined, with 7.2 K/9, 3.6 BB/9, just 0.3 HR/9 and a 3.36 ERA over 61 2/3 innings. Tendonitis in a knee interrupted this breakthrough, and Miller would subsequently appear in just nine more games as a reliever. With just two pitches at his disposal, he may be a better option from the pen in the short term, but he has too much potential as a starter for the Fish to give up on his rotation possibilities.
2008 As good a job as the Tigers have done of picking players in the draft in recent years, their handling of them has been suspect. Maybin, completely unready, was rushed to cover a problem in left field. Similarly, Miller was bounced around the system like a pi?ata, going from the draft to the Florida State League to the majors in 2006 and then pitching at four different levels in 2007. It's not that he was ineffective in the minors; it's just that you can't really develop much other than your flying habits when you change teams as often as Miller did last year. Miller still has all the tools that made him arguably the top pitcher in the 2006 draft class and just needs a full season in one place-it's called "Triple-A"-to work on his mechanics, command, and secondary pitches. Given that development times, the Marlins could have the Josh Beckett of their next championship team here.
2007 Miller is a six-foot-six-inch lefty who can hit the upper-90s on radar guns. Detroit offered above-slot money in order to get him signed, and he was retiring big league hitters by Labor Day. He leverages his height extremely well, throwing in on batters` hands so effectively he generated a 22:3 groundball-to-flyball ratio in his time with the Tigers. Nevertheless, he isn`t quite a finished product; his walk rate was relatively high at North Carolina (4.1 per nine innings), something that carried over into his major league trial, and he lacks an effective third pitch. The upside here is along the lines of a left-handed Carlos Zambrano. Last year`s bullpen stint notwithstanding, the next time Miller pitches in the major leagues it will be as a starter. The Tigers are unlikely to press him to compete for a job in spring training, but the stretch run could be another story.

BP Articles

Andrew Miller is referenced in the following articles.

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  Title Author Date
This article requires BP Premium accessRaising Aces: Stuffing the Ballot, Reliever EditionDoug Thorburn2014-10-14
Pitching Backward: The Not-So-Sudden Breakout of October's Best Lefty RelieverJeff Long2014-10-10
This article requires BP Premium accessPlayoff Prospectus: ALCS Series Preview: Royals vs. OriolesSam Miller2014-10-10
The Week in Quotes: September 30-October 5Chris Mosch2014-10-06
The Week in Quotes: September 30-October 5Nick Bacarella2014-10-06
The Week in Quotes: September 30-October 5Nick Wheatley-Schaller2014-10-06
This article requires BP Premium accessPlayoff Prospectus: Quartet of Consequence: The Four Plays That Keyed An ALDS SweepR.J. Anderson2014-10-06
BP Unfiltered: IBA Update: October 3Craig Goldstein2014-10-03
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BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2014-10-14 18:00:00 (link to chat)Who should Tiger fans be rooting for out these last 4 teams? Perhaps the Royals, since that would ensure years more employment for Dayton Moore and Ned Yost?
(John from Cincinnati)
The Orioles have Quintin Berry (non-rostered) and Delmon Young, but a championship may fatten the Andrew Miller price tag. For the ERoyals, I think Moore and Yost are hanging around regardless, and if they win then we can say the AL Central's lifespan has seen dynasties by the Indians, Twins and Tigers but championships from the Royals and White Sox. What a world. Inherently Tigers fans cannot wish well on the Giants nor the Cardinals for pseudo-clutch reasons. But Jhonny Peralta deserves to be happy, so if that's what happens then good for him. After all that's how Gerald Laird got his ring. (Matt Sussman)
2014-10-09 15:00:00 (link to chat)Hi Jordan, Any chance a team will try to sign Andrew Miller and convert him back into a starter?
(ACJ from Illinois)
Odds are very, very slim. He's excelling in his current role. (Jordan Gorosh)
2014-08-19 14:00:00 (link to chat)Eduardo Rodriguez is looking like an absolute steal in the Andrew Miller trade. Is his upside higher than Henry Owens or Brian Johnson?
(Mike from Virginia)
I was a big fan of ERod last season. I saw 90-94; working both sides of the plate. SL flashed plus, CH average. I think they play 55, 50 at the highest level. I had him ranked #3 in the system behind Bundy and Harvey. But I really enjoyed Henry Owens. Owens fastball worked the same and the CH was much better. ERod's SL could be better than Owens' CB. Pick your poison. (CJ Wittmann)
2014-07-28 19:00:00 (link to chat)You're Dave Dombroski. What do you do this trade deadline, what do you do in August, what do you do in the offseason?
(Francis from Boston)
Hooray, I'm Dave Dombrowski! Finally I look good in striped polos. Well I'm running out of prospects as well as Prospect Erector Sets, so a lefty reliever is all I can afford this year. Andrew Miller coming back to Detroit for that purpose would be super cool, but I would NOT give up what was traded for Miller the last time. In the offseason I begrudgingly let Max Scherzer get his money somewhere and ask really nicely if Justin Verlander wants to spend his money on a right fielder. (Matt Sussman)
2011-06-17 13:00:00 (link to chat)Is there still hope for Andrew Miller to develop into a good major-league starter? I'm thinking that the ace projections there when he was drafted are now a thing of the past. At what point has the ship sailed on a pitching prospect of his caliber? It's not like there have been major injury issues.
(Brendan from Providence )
Yes. Not sure how crazy to get with the expectations, but if Miller found his command, he could still end up being a good major league quality starter. Some pitchers just take a long time to figure it out. Better late than never, assuming what is happening at the present is legit. (Jason Parks)
2011-01-18 13:00:00 (link to chat)Is there a reasonable possibility that Andrew Miller and Daniel Bard could become the Red Sox version of the memorable Cincinnati "Nasty Boys".
(dawson950 from cape cod)
I love Bard, but no. Dibble was one hell of a pitcher until his arm fell off, and Charlton/Myers were pretty great in their Cincy years as well. (Marc Normandin)
2010-09-15 14:00:00 (link to chat)Good morning hombre- I'm a big Marlins fan. What would you do in the offseason to put this team into the playoffs? I miss the glory days of 2003 and watching them play this year has been killer. I'm dying for another shot at a ring. Any thoughts to help appease my pain?
(Angel Batista from Miami, Florida)
I'm bullish on the Marlins, Detective Batista. Anibal Sanchez has taken a big step forward. Clay Hensley and Leo Nunez have been great out of the bullpen. Josh Johnson and Ricky Nolasco are great. They'll have a healthy Coghlan back. There is a lot to like. Starting Wes Helms more than once a year isn't really that wise, and it's time to give up on the Andrew Miller experiment, but there is no reason they couldn't go 87-75 next season and try to sneak into a playoff spot. (Eric Seidman)
2010-06-07 18:30:00 (link to chat)Todd Van Poppel was one player who tried to manipulate his way away from a team, saying he just wouldn't sign with the Braves. The Braves took Chipper Jones instead and have sent Van Poppel a bouquet of flowers every day since then. Pete Incaviglia made all kinds of demands of the Expos so he wouldn't have to sign there. They traded him, provoking a rules change.
(Steven Goldman from Langley, New Jersey)
Andrew Miller also tried, and the Tigers called his bluff. I'm ticked as Gary Brown to the Giants makes great sense, and I love this pick. 3.9 to first from the right side? SOLD. (Kevin Goldstein)
2009-07-01 14:00:00 (link to chat)How likely is it Jonathan Sanchez is the new Oliver Perez?
(beta461 from SF)
Matters do seem to be making that sort of turn, don't they? Even so, we might say the same about Andrew Miller after consecutive bad outings. (Christina Kahrl)
2009-05-28 14:00:00 (link to chat)Is Andrew Miller going to emerge as an ace someday, or has that ship sailed?
(Chad from Miami)
Come sail away, come sail away, come sail away with meeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeee (Kevin Goldstein)
2009-04-20 13:00:00 (link to chat)Hi Joe. Who is most likely to have success this year and long term?: Yovani Gallardo, Clayton Kershaw and Andrew Miller.
(sbryk7 from NYC)
Kershaw's in a different, better class than the other two, in both cases. (Joe Sheehan)
2009-04-16 13:00:00 (link to chat)I drafted Andrew Miller on the cheap as my last starter. What do you expect out of him? I didn't have him active last night, but plan to for his next start against the Pirates.
(Mr. Jangles from High Plains)
I think he still needs a third pitch to compliment his fastball and slider. He was pretty good in spots last year, except for that stretch at the beginning and after his injury. I have faith in him coming around though. (Marc Normandin)
2009-04-08 15:00:00 (link to chat)Do you still follow Andrew Miller? What kind of season can we expect out of him? Thanks!
(Tony from Brooklyn, NY)
I'm not optimistic on it being anything more than mediocre. (Kevin Goldstein)


BP Roundtables

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PITCHf/x Pitcher Profile

A Collaboration between BrooksBaseball.net and Baseball Prospectus - Pitch classifications provided by Pitch Info LLC


Andrew Miller has thrown 7,998 pitches that have been tracked by the PITCHf/x system between 2007 and 2014, including pitches thrown in the MLB Regular Season, the MLB Postseason and Fall/Winter Ball. In 2014, he has relied primarily on his Fourseam Fastball (95mph) and Slider (85mph). He also rarely throws a Change (91mph).