Biographical

Portrait of Gio Gonzalez

Gio Gonzalez PNationals

Nationals Player Cards | Nationals Team Audit | Nationals Depth Chart

2014 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 28)
IP ERA WHIP SO W L SV WARP
165.7 3.45 1.24 163 13 6 0 2.3
Birth Date9-19-1985
Height6' 0"
Weight205 lbs
Age29 years, 1 months, 5 days
BatsR
ThrowsL
2.52010
2.62011
3.92012
2.92013
3.72014
+proj
WARP Summary

Standard

YEAR TEAM AGE G GS IP IP-SP IP-RP W L SV BS QS BQS PA H R ER HR TB BB UBB HBP SO ERA FIP FRA VORP WARP
2008 OAK 22 10 7 34.0 28.0 6.0 1 4 0 0 0 1 163 32 34 29 9 71 25 24 3 34 7.68 7.07 8.99 -7.1 -0.7
2009 OAK 23 20 17 98.7 89.0 9.7 6 7 0 0 6 0 455 113 68 63 14 185 56 54 1 109 5.75 4.51 4.99 14.5 1.5
2010 OAK 24 33 33 200.7 200.7 0.0 15 9 0 0 23 0 851 171 75 72 15 246 92 91 4 171 3.23 3.75 4.33 21.1 2.5
2011 OAK 25 32 32 202.0 202.0 0.0 16 12 0 0 19 1 864 175 81 70 17 255 91 90 8 197 3.12 3.68 3.94 24.3 2.6
2012 WAS 26 32 32 199.3 199.3 0.0 21 8 0 0 22 1 822 149 69 64 9 217 76 73 5 207 2.89 2.87 3.36 37.0 3.9
2013 WAS 27 32 32 195.7 195.7 0.0 11 8 0 0 21 0 819 169 79 73 17 266 76 75 2 192 3.36 3.38 3.50 29.8 2.9
2014 WAS 28 27 27 158.7 158.7 0.0 10 10 0 0 17 1 653 134 66 63 10 203 56 56 3 162 3.57 3.00 3.96 13.1 1.4
Career1861801089.01073.315.7805800108446279434724349114434724632610723.593.574.08132.714.1

Advanced

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G GS IP FRA FRA+ TAv oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG oppTAv BABIP PPF PVORP PWARP VORP WARP
2004 KAN A 8 8 40.7 0.00 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .297 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2004 BRI Rk 7 6 24.0 0.00 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .327 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2005 KAN A 11 10 57.7 3.00 122 .199 .253 .329 .365 .252 .273 78 13.1 1.3 13.1 1.3
2005 WNS A+ 13 13 73.3 0.00 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 -.509 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2006 REA AA 27 27 154.0 5.65 40 .275 .249 .313 .367 .256 .258 76 -8.9 -0.9 -9.3 -1.1
2007 BIR AA 27 27 150.0 3.86 105 .230 .264 .343 .403 .272 .297 89 17.2 1.7 17.2 1.7
2008 OAK MLB 10 7 34.0 8.99 2 .332 .269 .330 .421 .262 .250 96 -7.1 -0.7 -7.1 -0.7
2008 SAC AAA 23 22 123.0 5.05 104 .237 .281 .350 .445 .258 .293 105 18.9 1.8 18.9 1.8
2009 OAK MLB 20 17 98.7 4.99 97 .297 .265 .330 .425 .259 .360 101 14.5 1.5 14.5 1.5
2009 SAC AAA 12 12 61.0 4.21 95 .232 .278 .350 .434 .278 .259 86 8.0 0.8 8.0 0.8
2010 OAK MLB 33 33 200.7 4.33 104 .238 .257 .320 .401 .254 .274 101 21.7 2.3 21.1 2.5
2011 OAK MLB 32 32 202.0 3.94 107 .249 .260 .320 .412 .263 .287 95 24.4 2.6 24.3 2.6
2012 WAS MLB 32 32 199.3 3.36 123 .221 .245 .307 .391 .253 .267 101 39.0 4.1 37.0 3.9
2013 WAS MLB 32 32 195.7 3.50 116 .243 .247 .306 .380 .252 .286 103 30.7 3.3 29.8 2.9
2013 USA int 1 1 5.0 0.00 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .231 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2014 WAS MLB 27 27 158.7 3.96 99 .245 .237 .298 .364 .253 .294 98 14.4 1.6 13.1 1.4
2014 POT A+ 2 2 7.7 7.45 45 .318 .242 .302 .368 .250 .364 102 -0.8 -0.1 -0.8 -0.1

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
Year Team Lg W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9 WHIP ERA VORP WARP
2004 BRI Rk 1 2 0 7 6 24.0 17 8 36 0 0% .327 6.4 3.0 0.0 13.5 1.04 2.25 0.0 0.0
2004 KAN A 1 2 0 8 8 40.7 39 20 34 1 0% .297 8.6 4.4 0.2 7.5 1.45 3.76 0.0 0.0
2005 WNS A+ 8 3 0 13 13 73.3 61 25 79 5 0% -.509 7.5 3.1 0.6 9.7 1.17 3.56 0.0 0.0
2005 KAN A 5 3 0 11 10 57.7 36 22 84 3 51% .273 5.6 3.4 0.5 13.1 1.01 1.87 13.1 1.3
2006 REA AA 7 12 0 27 27 154.0 140 81 166 24 46% .258 8.2 4.7 1.4 9.7 1.44 4.68 -9.3 -1.1
2007 BIR AA 9 7 0 27 27 150.0 116 57 185 10 54% .297 7.0 3.4 0.6 11.1 1.15 3.18 17.2 1.7
2008 SAC AAA 8 7 0 23 22 123.0 106 61 128 12 42% .293 7.8 4.5 0.9 9.4 1.36 4.24 18.9 1.8
2008 OAK MLB 1 4 0 10 7 34.0 32 25 34 9 44% .250 8.5 6.6 2.4 9.0 1.68 7.68 -7.1 -0.7
2009 SAC AAA 4 1 0 12 12 61.0 42 34 71 5 45% .259 6.2 5.0 0.7 10.5 1.25 2.51 8.0 0.8
2009 OAK MLB 6 7 0 20 17 98.7 113 56 109 14 47% .360 10.3 5.1 1.3 9.9 1.71 5.75 14.5 1.5
2010 OAK MLB 15 9 0 33 33 200.7 171 92 171 15 51% .274 7.7 4.1 0.7 7.7 1.31 3.23 21.1 2.5
2011 OAK MLB 16 12 0 32 32 202.0 175 91 197 17 48% .287 7.8 4.1 0.8 8.8 1.32 3.12 24.3 2.6
2012 WAS MLB 21 8 0 32 32 199.3 149 76 207 9 50% .267 6.7 3.4 0.4 9.3 1.13 2.89 37.0 3.9
2013 WAS MLB 11 8 0 32 32 195.7 169 76 192 17 45% .286 7.8 3.5 0.8 8.8 1.25 3.36 29.8 2.9
2013 USA int 1 0 0 1 1 5.0 3 0 5 0 0% .231 5.4 0.0 0.0 9.0 0.60 0.00 0.0 0.0
2014 POT A+ 0 0 0 2 2 7.7 9 8 9 1 61% .364 10.6 9.4 1.2 10.6 2.22 10.57 -0.8 -0.1
2014 WAS MLB 10 10 0 27 27 158.7 134 56 162 10 47% .294 7.6 3.2 0.6 9.2 1.20 3.57 13.1 1.4

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT
2008 703 0.4580 0.3755 0.8144 0.5248 0.2493 0.8876 0.6842 0.1856
2009 1802 0.5117 0.4212 0.7655 0.5662 0.2693 0.8621 0.5527 0.2345
2010 3342 0.5012 0.4237 0.8023 0.5779 0.2687 0.8864 0.6205 0.1963
2011 3404 0.4880 0.4242 0.7699 0.5834 0.2719 0.8473 0.6118 0.2294
2012 3188 0.4821 0.4398 0.7817 0.6285 0.2641 0.8582 0.6124 0.2161
2013 3307 0.4802 0.4539 0.7901 0.6316 0.2897 0.8574 0.6546 0.2099
2014 2621 0.4868 0.4685 0.7695 0.6434 0.3026 0.8563 0.5946 0.2296
Career183670.4890.43630.78270.60350.27640.86240.61570.2164

Injury History

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2014-05-18 2014-06-18 15-DL 31 27 Left Shoulder Inflammation - -
2014-04-24 2014-04-29 DTD 5 4 Left Shoulder Soreness - -
2011-05-27 2011-05-27 DTD 0 0 Left Ankle Sprain Fielding -
2009-03-13 2009-04-02 Camp 20 0 Right Shoulder Stiffness -
2009-03-08 2009-03-12 Camp 4 0 General Medical Illness -

Compensation

Year Team Salary
2017 WAS $500,000
2016 WAS $12,100,000
2015 WAS $11,100,000
2014 WAS $8,600,000
2013 WAS $6,350,000
2012 WAS $3,350,000
2011 OAK $420,000
2010 OAK $405,000
YearsDescriptionSalary
4 yrPrevious$10,525,000
2011Current$8,600,000
5 yrPvs + Cur$19,125,000
3 yrFuture$23,700,000
8 yrTotal$42,825,000

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
4 y 162 dLevinsons ACES5 years/$42M (2012-16), options

Details
  • 5 years/$42M (2012-16), plus 2017-18 options. Signed extension with Washington 1/16/12. $0.5M signing bonus. 12:$3.25M, 13:$6.25M, 14:$8.5M, 15:$11M, 16:$12M, 17:$12M club option, $0.5M buyout. 18:$12M player option (guaranteed with 180 IP in 2017). At signing, largest-ever contract for first-time arbitration-eligible pitcher.
  • 1 year/$0.42M (2011). Re-signed by Oakland 3/11. Acquired by Washington in trade from Oakland 12/22/11.
  • 1 year/$0.405M (2010). Re-signed by Oakland 3/8/10.
  • 1 year/$0.405M (2009). Re-signed by Oakland 2/26/09.
  • 1 year (2008). Acquired in trade from Chicago White Sox 1/4/08. Contract purchased by Oakland 8/6/08.
  • Acquired by Chicago White Sox in trade from Philadelphia 12/06 (player to be named later in Freddy Garcia deal).
  • Acquired by Philadelphia in trade from Chicago White Sox 12/05 (player to be named later in Jim Thome deal).
  • Drafted by Chicago White Sox 2004 (1s-38) (Monsignor Pace HS, Miami). $0.85M signing bonus.

2014 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 3/11/2014 05:35 ET

PCT W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR BABIP WHIP ERA FRA VORP WARP
90o 13 8.6 0 31 31 213.2 158 72 207 16 .275 1.08 2.59 2.82 50.0 5.1
80o 12.7 9.1 0 31 31 207.0 161 74 201 16 .285 1.14 2.90 3.15 41.3 4.2
70o 12.5 9.5 0 31 31 202.5 163 75 196 17 .293 1.18 3.13 3.4 34.9 3.6
60o 12.3 9.9 0 31 31 198.8 165 76 193 17 .299 1.21 3.32 3.61 29.6 3.0
50o 12.1 10.2 0 31 31 195.3 167 77 190 17 .305 1.25 3.51 3.81 24.7 2.5
40o 11.9 10.5 0 31 31 191.9 169 77 186 17 .311 1.28 3.69 4.01 19.9 2.0
30o 11.6 10.9 0 31 31 188.2 170 78 183 17 .317 1.32 3.89 4.23 14.7 1.5
20o 11.4 11.3 0 31 31 184.0 172 79 179 17 .325 1.36 4.13 4.49 8.8 0.9
10o 11 11.9 0 31 31 178.2 174 80 173 18 .335 1.43 4.46 4.84 1.1 0.1
Weighted Mean12.110.203131195.41667619017.3041.243.493.825.02.5

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate MLB %
20% 43% 33% 15% 93%

Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2014 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP WHIP ERA FRA H/9 BB/9 K/9 HR/9 WARP
20152910902727164148601551747.3101.273.764.088.13.38.50.91.6
2016307701919115109481041347.3151.374.304.678.63.88.21.00.4
2017319802323136128511241547.3151.314.124.488.43.48.21.00.7
2018328802222129121491161447.3131.324.134.498.53.48.11.00.7
201933770181810610240961347.3161.344.294.678.63.48.11.10.3
20203466017171029738891247.3151.334.204.568.63.47.91.10.4
2021355501414807730701047.3151.344.334.718.73.47.91.10.2
202236440111164642553747.3191.404.514.909.03.57.51.00.0
202337440101059582250747.3151.354.384.778.83.37.61.10.1

Upside By Year

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 PEAK 5
52.969.627.214.426.923.7190.9

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 82)

Rank Score Name Year Run Average Trend
1 90 Jose Rijo 1993 2.66
2 89 Kevin Appier 1996 3.71
3 89 Anibal Sanchez 2012 4.37
4 89 Daniel Cabrera 2009 8.29
5 89 Tim Lincecum 2012 5.37
6 88 Daisuke Matsuzaka 2009 5.76
7 88 Rich Harden 2010 5.97
8 87 Gary Peters 1965 3.88
9 87 Jim Maloney 1968 4.35
10 87 Chad Billingsley 2013 3.00
11 87 Dean Chance 1969 3.97
12 87 Jon Lester 2012 5.08
13 86 Juan Guzman 1995 6.58
14 86 John Danks 2013 5.27
15 86 Adam Wainwright 2010 2.66
16 86 Matt Garza 2012 4.17
17 86 Brandon Morrow 2013 6.46
18 85 Justin Verlander 2011 2.62
19 85 Ricky Romero 2013 11.05
20 84 Tim Hudson 2004 3.91
21 84 Dustin McGowan 2010 0.00 DNP
22 84 Andy Messersmith 1974 2.86
23 84 Mark Gubicza 1991 6.09
24 84 Sean Marshall 2011 2.50
25 84 Erik Bedard 2007 3.26
26 83 Matt Morris 2003 3.97
27 83 Whitey Ford 1957 3.13
28 83 Jim O'Toole 1965 6.98
29 83 Noah Lowry 2009 0.00 DNP
30 83 Roger Clemens 1991 3.08
31 83 Steve Rogers 1978 2.63
32 83 Dontrelle Willis 2010 5.62
33 82 Robinson Tejeda 2010 4.13
34 82 John Lackey 2007 3.50
35 82 Dave Righetti 1987 4.36
36 82 J.R. Richard 1978 3.40
37 82 Ubaldo Jimenez 2012 5.91
38 82 Roy Halladay 2005 2.48
39 82 Bert Blyleven 1979 3.87
40 81 Frank Sullivan 1958 4.06
41 81 Johnny Antonelli 1958 3.76
42 81 Clay Buchholz 2013 1.91
43 81 Tom Sturdivant 1958 4.71
44 81 Orel Hershiser 1987 3.54
45 81 CC Sabathia 2009 3.76
46 81 John Smoltz 1995 3.55
47 81 Vida Blue 1978 3.03
48 81 Tom Gorzelanny 2011 4.29
49 81 Bartolo Colon 2001 4.25
50 81 Ewell Blackwell 1951 4.26
51 80 Bob Gibson 1964 3.32
52 80 Mike Pelfrey 2012 2.29
53 80 Josh Johnson 2012 3.95
54 80 Greg Maddux 1994 1.96
55 80 Matt Cain 2013 4.15
56 80 Carlos Zambrano 2009 4.15
57 80 Mike Boddicker 1986 5.15
58 80 Camilo Pascual 1962 3.49 DNP
59 80 Ian Kennedy 2013 5.36
60 79 Wilson Alvarez 1998 4.92
61 79 Brandon McCarthy 2012 3.57
62 79 Norm Charlton 1991 3.07
63 79 Zack Greinke 2012 3.56
64 79 Pat Jarvis 1969 4.68
65 79 Jon Matlack 1978 3.10
66 79 Ron Guidry 1979 3.16
67 79 Greg Harris 1992 4.73
68 79 Mike Garcia 1952 2.80
69 79 Curt Schilling 1995 4.03
70 79 Jon Garland 2008 5.31
71 79 Burt Hooton 1978 2.82
72 79 Paul Maholm 2010 5.78
73 79 Gavin Floyd 2011 4.51
74 79 Justin Masterson 2013 3.50
75 78 Edwin Jackson 2012 4.27
76 78 Joe Blanton 2009 4.10
77 78 Kelly Downs 1989 5.12
78 78 Jim Palmer 1974 3.93
79 78 Josh Beckett 2008 4.13
80 78 Cole Hamels 2012 3.34
81 78 Francisco Liriano 2012 5.57
82 78 Danny Darwin 1984 4.43
83 78 Jonathan Sanchez 2011 4.80
84 78 Bob Veale 1964 3.28
85 78 Jered Weaver 2011 2.48
86 78 Jason Jennings 2007 6.64
87 78 Andy Pettitte 2000 4.88
88 78 Rich Gossage 1980 2.64
89 78 Scott Garrelts 1990 4.50
90 78 Pedro Martinez 2000 1.82
91 78 Dallas Braden 2012 0.00 DNP
92 77 Edinson Volquez 2012 4.34
93 77 Tim Belcher 1990 4.47
94 77 Pat Hentgen 1997 3.95
95 77 Scott Feldman 2011 3.94
96 77 Ben McDonald 1996 4.23
97 77 Curt Simmons 1957 3.91
98 77 Sam McDowell 1971 3.73
99 77 Jerry Koosman 1971 3.59
100 77 Danny Jackson 1990 4.14

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv
10 vs L (Multi) .220 .280 .345 .227
11 vs R (Multi) .227 .310 .343 .243
18 Split (Multi) -.007 -.030 .002 -.016
19 LgAvg (Multi) -.026 -.032 -.063 -.030
30 vs L (2013) .204 .244 .323 .195
31 vs R (2013) .239 .321 .375 .253
38 Split (2013) -.035 -.077 -.052 -.058
39 LgAvg (2013) -.025 -.031 -.062 -.029

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2014 Due to publishing agreements, the 2014 player comments and team essays are only available in the Baseball Prospectus 2014 book (available in hardcopy, e-book, and Kindle).
2013 Gonzalez delivered his best campaign to date after coming over from the A's. He earned his second consecutive All-Star Game trip and placed third in the NL Cy Young vote. The southpaw has improved his walk and strikeout rates in each of his first three major-league seasons, and, paired with Strasburg, he gives the Nationals a formidable one-two punch atop the rotation. If the strides Gonzalez has taken to date are real, the five-year, $42 million extension he signed last January—at the time largest contract ever for a pitcher in his first year of arbitration eligibility—will prove to be one of the league’s great bargains.
2012 Gonzalez has plenty of warning signs, like his 2.70 ERA at the friendly O.co Coliseum (and concomitant exposure on the road) and his ERA climb in the second half. We won't even mention the rain-erased debacle start of seven runs in three innings against Texas. A lot of the blemishes will be erased by staying in a pitcher's park in a sissy league where they let pitchers "hit," and if Gonzalez shines in that situation fans will quickly forget how high a price Rizzo paid. A.J. Cole, Brad Peacock, Tom Milone, and Derek Norris? This is like paying retail price for jewelry at a mall. No matter how much Gonzalez looks like Ray Romano, do you really need him that badly? Is it clear that, straight up, Milone won't outperform him, even just in 2012? How about Peacock? Is it even 50-50 that Gonzalez will pitch better than both of them in 2012? And that's before considering Norris. Even if the deal were a net plus for the Nats (and it won't be), it was a move reminscent of an overmatched newbie in a fantasy league. Either Rizzo got rolled like a sucker in a David Mamet movie or he didn't stand up to ownership.
2011 Because he was involved in three trades for big leaguers before he reached the majors himself, it seems like Gonzalez has been around forever, yet his breakout performance came in his age-24 season. With his stuff, he needed only to throw fewer balls outside the strike zone to succeed. He established better command of his curveball while showcasing a much-improved changeup to go with what has always been a well-above-average fastball. Improved control made Gonzalez good, but he had to sacrifice some strikeouts to obtain it; coupling his newfound ability to place the ball where he wants it with his former talent for missing bats could make him an All-Star.
2010 Gonzalez has driven his employers to fits of frustration for years now, and his high strikeout rate combined with a high hits-allowed rate speaks to his puzzling combination of swing-and-miss stuff and baffling inconsistency. When he's on, he can be dominant with a low-90s fastball that can get up to 94 mph, a big breaking curveball, and the ability to throw strikes, but he rarely shows up with all three things going for him at once, which at times gets bad to the point where it looks like he couldn't get high-school hitters out. The scouting cliché is that at least he's shown that he can do it, so you have to see if you can get it from him more often. Gonzalez will likely get first crack at the final spot in the 2010 rotation.
2009 A lefty with a monster curve and enough velocity to be really dangerous, Gonzalez came to Oakland in the Swisher deal, and while he limited PCL hitters to a .233 average and struck out more than a batter per inning, his inconsistency was absolutely baffling. In late May, he struck out nine over six innings while allowing just one run; in his next start he got hammered for 10 runs without getting out of the fourth. Five days later he fired five shutout innings, but followed that by giving up seven runs and ten hits over his next five frames. It was like that all year for him, beccause when he's throwing his low-90s fastball for strikes he can dominate, and when he's not, it's a big ol' mess. The A's are hoping for more of the former as he enters the year with a clean shot at a rotation job.
2008 In a perfect case of not having to regret the one who got away, the White Sox reacquired Gonzalez, the prize surrendered to the Phillies in the Jim Thome trade, in the package for Chief Garcia. The timing was good; Gonzalez dominated Double-A in his second go-round, leading the Southern League in strikeouts. His out-pitch is a big bender, but he's got a little more velocity than most lefties and a changeup he's still mastering. Best of all, he doesn't have a problem going in on righties and winning that confrontation. Although he's not likely to win a job in camp, Gonzalez will be in the first rank of reinforcements when the Opening Day rotation starts getting smashed to flinders. There's concern that his ceiling isn't that high, but it's high enough and getting higher.
2007 Gio`s first taste of Double-A got rough, particularly in the middle of the season, when he over-compensated for control problems and started handing out homers like they were flags at a Fourth of July game. He`s still an excellent prospect; there aren`t many 20-year-old lefties who can strike out a batter an inning in Double-A. The main prospect acquired in the Jim Thome trade, he was returned to the White Sox in the Freddy Garcia trade.
2006 All else being equal, you`d probably rather have a 23-year-old pitching prospect than a guy who can`t buy a six pack yet. The former, by the fact of his survival alone, would have demonstrated an insusceptibility to injury in a way the latter hadn`t had the chance to yet. That`s the only caveat with Gonzalez, who looked like a man among boys at Kannapolis and Winston-Salem. His STUFF number was among the best in the minors, propelled by a curveball that instantly becomes the best in the Phillies system. He`s regarded as a self-confident guy, but don`t be surprised to hear some less-complimentary synonyms for self-confidence used if he runs into a road bump.
2005 Gio Gonzalez is neither an Hispanic-owned car dealership nor a Latin American product at all, but rather the White Sox's first-round supplemental pick in 2004 out of a Miami high school. His most noteworthy asset in the early going has been his ability to prevent home runs, but his groundball/flyball numbers were only about average, so it might have been a sample-size fluke. Gonzalez is considered to have more polish than your average 19-year-old, but he'll need to fill out and perhaps add a couple of ticks to his fastball.

BP Articles

Gio Gonzalez is referenced in the following articles.

BP Premium requires BP Premium access to view, BP Fantasy requires BP Premium or BP Fantasy access to view

  Title Author Date
Playoff Prospectus: World Series Preview: Giants vs. RoyalsSam Miller2014-10-21
BP Unfiltered: IBA Update: October 8Craig Goldstein2014-10-08
This article requires BP Premium accessPlayoff Prospectus: Vogelsong Stymies, Williams Perplexes: NLDS Game FourMike Gianella2014-10-08
BP Unfiltered: IBA Update: October 7Craig Goldstein2014-10-07
This article requires BP Premium accessPlayoff Prospectus: PECOTA Odds and Tuesday PreviewsDoug Thorburn2014-10-07
This article requires BP Premium accessPlayoff Prospectus: PECOTA Odds and Tuesday PreviewsSahadev Sharma2014-10-07
This article requires BP Premium accessPlayoff Prospectus: NLDS Preview: Nationals vs. GiantsDoug Thorburn2014-10-03
This article requires BP Premium accessPlayoff Prospectus: NLDS Preview: Nationals vs. GiantsMike Gianella2014-10-03
The Week in Quotes: September 22-29Nick Bacarella2014-09-30
The Week in Quotes: September 22-29Nick Wheatley-Schaller2014-09-30
The Week in Quotes: September 22-29Chris Mosch2014-09-30
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: September 26, 2014Daniel Rathman2014-09-26
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: Using FIP to Find ValueWilson Karaman2014-09-25
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: September 19, 2014Chris Mosch2014-09-19
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 26Wilson Karaman2014-09-19
Daily League Strategy: Picking on Young PitchersPaul Sporer2014-09-12
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: August 29, 2014Chris Mosch2014-08-29
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 23Wilson Karaman2014-08-29
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: August 22, 2014Chris Mosch2014-08-22
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: August 21, 2014Daniel Rathman2014-08-21
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTTO Scoresheet Podcast: Trade WindsIan Lefkowitz2014-08-07
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTTO Scoresheet Podcast: Trade WindsJared Weiss2014-08-07
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTTO Scoresheet Podcast: Trade WindsBen Murphy2014-08-07
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 19Wilson Karaman2014-08-01
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: August 1, 2014Daniel Rathman2014-08-01
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: July 31, 2014Chris Mosch2014-07-31
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessThe Buyer's Guide: Francisco LirianoJ.P. Breen2014-07-28
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: July 28, 2014Daniel Rathman2014-07-28
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: July 25, 2014Chris Mosch2014-07-25
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Sunday Morning DefendingDaniel Rathman2014-07-21
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Weekend Wrap-Up, 6/23Daniel Rathman2014-06-23
Painting the Black: Rebuilding a Right WayR.J. Anderson2014-05-27
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDeep Impact: Week SevenBen Carsley2014-05-21
This article requires BP Premium accessPebble Hunting: The Meaning of 3-0 Green LightsSam Miller2014-05-16
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Blue Jays BlastsDaniel Rathman2014-05-09
Daily League Strategy: May 2-4Paul Sporer2014-05-02
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessInterleague Report: Week FiveJeff Quinton2014-04-28
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessInterleague Report: Week FourJeff Quinton2014-04-21
Daily League Strategy: Bargain-Bin StartersPaul Sporer2014-04-18
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessInterleague Report: Week ThreeJeff Quinton2014-04-14
BP Unfiltered: This Week in Bunting to Beat the Shift, 4/11Ben Lindbergh2014-04-11
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: The New Class of Shift CandidateDaniel Rathman2014-04-08
Daily League Strategy: Underpriced StudsPaul Sporer2014-04-08
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week TwoWilson Karaman2014-04-04
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Revere Does Not Go DeepDaniel Rathman2014-04-02
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessThe Darkhorses: StrikeoutsBP Fantasy Staff2014-03-27
Tout Wars Recap: National LeagueMike Gianella2014-03-25
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This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDynasty League Positional Rankings: Top 175 Starting PitchersBret Sayre2014-02-27
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The BP Wayback Machine: Winter Meetings ReviewJoe Sheehan2013-12-10
The Lineup Card: Seven Trade Ideas for the Winter MeetingsBaseball Prospectus2013-12-05
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Bargains and Busts: National League PitchersMike Gianella2013-12-05
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This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: September 29, 2013Clint Chisam2013-09-29
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This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Weirdest BaseballDaniel Rathman2013-09-19
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BP Fantasy Podcast: Episode 55 is LivePaul Sporer2013-08-27
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This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: August 24, 2013Clint Chisam2013-08-24
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This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Price Wrong for the Red SoxAndrew Koo2013-07-25
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This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Mailbag: The Trade Market Heats UpBP Fantasy Staff2013-07-19
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This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: A Primer on Player ValuationMike Gianella2013-07-01
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This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week 13Paul Sporer2013-06-21
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This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: Time for a ChangeJason Collette2013-06-19
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The Stats Go Marching In: Measuring Catcher Framing in the Minor LeaguesMax Marchi2013-06-13
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The Week in Quotes: June 3-9Andrew Koo2013-06-10
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This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: June 9, 2013Clint Chisam2013-06-09
This article requires BP Premium accessBizball: Suspensions May Loom for Players Connected to Biogenesis ClinicMaury Brown2013-06-05
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This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: Dumping Targets, a Look BackMike Gianella2013-05-13
Fantasy Mailbag: The Stanton Waiting GameBP Fantasy Staff2013-05-10
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Pitcher Profile: A Pair of AstrosHarry Pavlidis2013-04-12
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This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week TwoPaul Sporer2013-04-05
Tater Trot Tracker: Trot Times for April 3Larry Granillo2013-04-04
Daily Roundup: Around the League: April 4, 2013Joe Hamrahi2013-04-04
Daily Roundup: Around the League: April 4, 2013Clint Chisam2013-04-04
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: #Weird ReturnsDaniel Rathman2013-04-04
BP Unfiltered: The Velocity Gainers and Losers of Spring 2013Harry Pavlidis2013-04-01
Pre-Season Predictions: Staff Picks for 2013Baseball Prospectus2013-03-29
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Tier Rankings: National League Starting PitchersPaul Sporer2013-03-28
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The Lineup Card: 11 Favorite Off-Season MovesBaseball Prospectus2013-02-20
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BP Unfiltered: Jhonny Peralta Makes Five ACES Clients Tied to East Coast BALCOMaury Brown2013-02-06
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This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Fallout: The Carter-for-Lowrie dealPaul Singman2013-02-05
The Week in Quotes: January 28-February 3Hudson Belinsky2013-02-04
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This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessThe Keeper Reaper: Starting Pitching for 1/31/13Paul Sporer2013-01-31
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This article requires BP Premium accessPebble Hunting: The Year in Pitchers Not Getting Focal DystoniaSam Miller2013-01-21
Raising Aces: Then and Now: GiologyDoug Thorburn2013-01-18
On the Beat: Final Free-Agent BlitzJohn Perrotto2013-01-17
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Bring Me the Bat ManR.J. Anderson2013-01-17
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This article requires BP Premium accessIn A Pickle: Managing ExpectationsJason Wojciechowski2012-11-15
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Internet Baseball Awards: National LeagueDave Pease2012-11-14
Pebble Hunting: The 10 Best Slides: A Slide ShowSam Miller2012-11-14
This article requires BP Premium accessPlayoff Prospectus: NLDS Game Five Preview: Cardinals at NationalsDaniel Rathman2012-10-12
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The Week in Quotes: October 1-7Andrew Koo2012-10-08
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This article requires BP Premium accessPlayoff Prospectus: NLDS Game One Recap: Nationals 3, Cardinals 2R.J. Anderson2012-10-08
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This article requires BP Premium accessRaising Aces: For Those About to Watch (We Salute You)Doug Thorburn2012-10-05
Regular-Season Awards: Handing out the HardwareBaseball Prospectus2012-10-03
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On the Beat: Trouble in Tiger TownJohn Perrotto2012-09-21
What You Need to Know: Friday, September 21Daniel Rathman2012-09-21
This article requires BP Premium accessOverthinking It: No Ace, No Problem?Ben Lindbergh2012-09-20
The Week in Quotes: September 10-16Hudson Belinsky2012-09-17
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The Week in Quotes: September 10-16Jonah Birenbaum2012-09-17
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What You Need to Know: Monday, September 17Daniel Rathman2012-09-17
What You Need to Know: Friday, September 14Daniel Rathman2012-09-14
This article requires BP Premium accessPunk Hits: What Billy Beane is Doing AgainIan Miller2012-09-12
What You Need to Know: Tuesday, September 11Daniel Rathman2012-09-11
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessWeekly Planner: Week 24Paul Sporer2012-09-07
On the Beat: Seeing the Forst for the TreesJohn Perrotto2012-09-06
What You Need to Know: Wednesday, September 5Daniel Rathman2012-09-05
This article requires BP Premium accessRaising Aces: Four of a Kind: Oakland's AcesDoug Thorburn2012-08-31
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What You Need to Know: Thursday, August 23Daniel Rathman2012-08-23
What You Need to Know: Tuesday, August 14Daniel Rathman2012-08-14
The Week in Quotes: August 6-12Jonah Birenbaum2012-08-13
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The Week in Quotes: August 6-12Hudson Belinsky2012-08-13
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What You Need to Know: Monday, August 13Daniel Rathman2012-08-13
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessWeekly Planner: Week 20Paul Sporer2012-08-10
Tater Trot Tracker: Trot Times for August 8Larry Granillo2012-08-09
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This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Nats Attempt to Plug Hole at Catcher, Acquire SuzukiR.J. Anderson2012-08-03
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What You Need to Know: Friday, July 27Daniel Rathman2012-07-27
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What You Need to Know: Tuesday, July 24Daniel Rathman2012-07-24
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BP Fantasy Podcast: Episode 13: He Is Really GreatJason Collette2012-07-20
Weekly Planner: Week 17Paul Sporer2012-07-20
What You Need to Know: Friday, July 20Daniel Rathman2012-07-20
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What the Contenders Need: AL CentralKevin Goldstein2012-07-02
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This article requires BP Premium accessOn the Beat: Picking the All-StarsJohn Perrotto2012-06-28
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What You Need to Know: Thursday, June 21Daniel Rathman2012-06-21
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The BP Wayback Machine: Taking a Step Back, Part ThreeKevin Goldstein2012-06-15
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Overthinking It: Gio Gonzalez and Max Scherzer are Striking Out EveryoneBen Lindbergh2012-05-23
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What You Need to Know: Thursday, April 12Daniel Rathman2012-04-12
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Inside The Park Blog: Davey's A & B BullpenBradford Doolittle2012-04-07
This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: NL East Prospect PreviewKevin Goldstein2012-04-04
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Transaction Analysis: Even More ExtensionsR.J. Anderson2012-04-02
The Lineup Card: 10 Headlines for 2012Baseball Prospectus2012-03-28
The Platoon Advantage: Chicago's BearCee Angi2012-03-28
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This article requires BP Premium accessWestern Front: No Country for Old PitchersGeoff Young2012-03-27
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The Lineup Card: 14 Choices for 2012 Breakout PlayersBaseball Prospectus2012-02-29
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Future Shock: Blue Jays Top 11 ProspectsKevin Goldstein2012-01-26
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The BP Wayback Machine: PECOTA Takes on Pitching Prospects and Left-Handed PitchersNate Silver2011-12-15
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Spinning Yarn: Why are Batters Hit by Pitches?Mike Fast2011-08-17
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This article requires BP Premium accessDivide and Conquer, AL West: First-Half HeroesJoey Matschulat2011-07-08
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BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2014-08-08 13:00:00 (link to chat)Gio Gonzalez a good buy low target?
(Anthony from Dallas)
I think so. I don't see something that's wrong with him long term. (Craig Goldstein)
2013-11-12 13:00:00 (link to chat)Shark & Castro - if & what can they bring in return to the Cubs?
(Mike from Chi-town)
Hate it when I click on a question before I realize just how complicated an answer would be.

With Castro, there are guys who are change-of-scenery candidates and there are guys who, with just a little twist of the knob, are instead cast as headaches. I think headache is almost always the right way to think of it. Not that players who have had issues with coaching or motivation are irredeemable, but problems tend to travel. I'd take Castro for six years and $48 million, but I wouldn't be dying to.

I like Samardzija a lot. I don't think there's a huge difference between him and where Gio Gonzalez was when Gio was traded. Service time was a big difference, though. I'd think a lower-100 prospect, an on-the-rise, and a Factor on the Farm for him. (Sam Miller)
2013-08-05 14:00:00 (link to chat)Rumored names that weren't suspended. Were we talking about All-star level players or more replacement level players?
(Slough from Seattle)
I'm not going there. There were names talked of, notably Gio Gonzalez and at one point Robinson Cano, but those were unfounded. (Maury Brown About Biogenesis and Business)
2013-08-05 14:00:00 (link to chat)There is speculation in the Detroit media that the Tigers won't take Peralta back, despite the obvious boost he gives them at shortstop, because of "image" concerns. I think that, if they don't play him and lose at any point, their image is tarnished forever. The Giants got to the WS because of a huge contribution from Melky. What do you think?
(Tigerdog from Orange county CA)
Well, they did trade for Iglalasis.

Tigerdog, hijacking your question to run this. It's official:


Major League Baseball issued the following discipline today for violations of the Joint Drug Prevention and Treatment Program in relation to the Biogenesis investigation. Players receiving 50-game suspensions without pay for their violations of the Program are:

Philadelphia Phillies pitcher Antonio Bastardo;
San Diego Padres shortstop Everth Cabrera;
New York Yankees catcher Francisco Cervelli;
Texas Rangers outfielder Nelson Cruz;
• Padres pitcher Fautino De Los Santos, who is currently on the roster of the Double-A San Antonio Missions of the Texas League;
Houston Astros pitcher Sergio Escalona, who is currently of the roster of the Double-A Corpus Christi Hooks of the Texas League;
• Yankees outfielder Fernando Martinez, who is currently on the roster of the Triple-A Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders of the International League;
Seattle Mariners catcher Jesus Montero, who is currently on the roster of the Triple-A Tacoma Rainiers of the Pacific Coast League;
• Free agent pitcher Jordan Norberto;
Detroit Tigers shortstop Jhonny Peralta;
New York Mets outfielder Cesar Puello, who is currently on the roster of the Double-A Binghamton Mets of the Eastern League; and
• Mets infielder/outfielder Jordany Valdespin, who is currently on the roster of the Triple-A Las Vegas 51s of the Pacific Coast League.

Norberto’s suspension will be effective immediately once he signs with another Major League organization. All other suspensions are effective immediately. None of the players will appeal their discipline.
Toronto Blue Jays outfielder Melky Cabrera, Oakland Athletics pitcher Bartolo Colon and Padres catcher Yasmani Grandal, all of whom already have served 50-game suspensions as a result of their violations of the Joint Drug Prevention and Treatment Program stemming from their connections to Biogenesis, will not receive additional discipline.
Major League Baseball’s investigation found no violations of the Joint Drug Prevention and Treatment Program by either Washington Nationals pitcher Gio Gonzalez or Baltimore Orioles infielder Danny Valencia.

STATEMENT FROM THE TIGERS:
The Detroit Tigers today issued the following statement regarding the suspension of Jhonny Peralta:

"We recognize the suspension of Jhonny Peralta for violating Major League Baseball's Joint Drug Prevention and Treatment Program as a measure taken in the best interest of the game. The Detroit Tigers continue to fully support Major League Baseball's policy and its efforts to eliminate performance enhancing drugs from our game. Per the protocol outline by Major League Baseball's collective bargaining agreement, the Tigers' organization will provide no further comment on Peralta’s suspension."

STATEMENT FROM PERALTA:
“In spring of 2012, I made a terrible mistake that I deeply regret. I apologize to everyone that I have hurt as a result of my mistake, including my teammates, the Tigers’ organization, the great fans in Detroit, Major League Baseball, and my family. I take full responsibility for my actions, have no excuses for my lapse in judgment and I accept my suspension.
I love the fans, my teammates and this organization and my greatest punishment is knowing that I have let so many good people down. I promise to do everything possible to try and earn back the respect that I have lost.” (Maury Brown About Biogenesis and Business)
2013-06-20 13:00:00 (link to chat)Erasmo have the ability to be a top 40 SP once he's up?
(Tony from Work)
At his BEST, sure. But I wouldn't bet on that right away. Gio Gonzalez is 40th on ESPN's player rater right now. (Paul Sporer)
2013-05-15 13:00:00 (link to chat)According to PitchFX, Gio Gonzalez averaged 94.08 mph on his 4 seamer and 93.37 on his 2 seamer in 2012. This year he's down to 93.45 and 92.81, respectively. Last start was more of the same. 2012 was his highest average velocity and his best year. Is the dip cause for concern? Maybe a sign that he just had an exceptional year last year?
(Charlie from Bethesda, MD)
Velocity decline question number 1 of n. Gio is 27 or so now, and the fact his velocity increased the last few years, up until this one, is more interesting. Every pitcher loses his speed at some point. 27 seems to be pretty good for the first sign of decline, lots of guys start losing velocity after high school (Tim Lincecum pops into mind). So, I think you're "exceptional year" answer is the best fit and I certainly wouldn't be concerned. (Harry Pavlidis)
2013-04-23 13:00:00 (link to chat)What do you make of the early season performances by Matt Cain, Gio Gonzalez, and Dan Haren?
(Garcia from Ft. Worth)
Haren worries me the most of the three because some of it had already been documented heading into the season. Maybe it's just confirmation bias that I didn't expect him to be good and I expected the others to, but even with what seems to be a small return of his velocity, I'm concerned because of recent body of work. (Zachary Levine)
2013-03-20 11:00:00 (link to chat)I have been going back and forth in determining who I should keep as my third keeper to go along with Trout and Stanton. My options are- Cargo,Hanley,Darvish,Kinsler,Bumgarner,Longoria,Cespedes or Gio Gonzalez? I know Cargo is probably the obvious choice but I really dont think I should go in with keeping three outfielders.. although I'm seriously thinking I just may. Any helpful advice or suggestions?
(Thor from Chi-town)
Keep CarGo. Keeper lists are not the time/place to worry about balance, just keep your best players. Certainly it's tough to drop Hanley, Kinsler and Longoria under these circumstances, but just try to draft them back! (Cory Schwartz)
2013-02-26 14:00:00 (link to chat)Why is PECOTA so down on Gio Gonzalez? It doesn't seem to give him credit for any improvements in his underlying numbers last year or his move to the NL?
(JR from New Hampshire)
It's difficult to pinpoint PECOTA's exact concerns, JR, but someone like Colin Wyers might be able to offer a better explanation. From a quick glance at his projections, it seems that PECOTA just isn't buying the breakout (though it does still like him as a 2.3 WARP contributor), which came on the heels of two rather similar seasons. If Gio can prove PECOTA wrong and sustain the improved control, I think you'll see a much rosier projection for 2014. (Daniel Rathman)
2012-08-17 13:00:00 (link to chat)If the Astros were to deal Bud Norris in the off-season, what kind of return might they realistically get? Less than for Gio Gonzalez and Mat Latos, but he's also young, controllable, affordable and has good stuff.
(Ashitaka1110 from Houston, TX)
I don't know. In the past three years, he has thrown 465 innings, 2.3 Ks/BB, 1.2 HR/9, 9 Ks/9. In the three seasons before Garza was traded, he had thrown 595 innings, 2.3 Ks/BB, 1.1 HRs/9. And Norris is the same age Garza was. So will teams look at Norris and see that comparison? Or will they see lack of durability, an ERA+ that would make Barry Zito shake his head, and stagnation? I'd guess a little more of the latter, unfortunately for Houston. (Sam Miller)
2012-06-21 13:00:00 (link to chat)Can you explain to me why Gio Gonzalez has an 18.5 VORP on the Nats audit page? I get why Strasburg is considered the team's "top offensive performer by VORP - he is hitting .350/.381/.650. But Gio's at .095/.091/.143 in 27 PAs. This can't just be a relative to other pitchers thing - Jordan Zimmerman is hitting .318/.348/.500 in 25 PAs and his VORP is only 10.4. What gives?
(Charlie from Bethesda, MD)
I can't. I've never checked the audit page. Sorry about that. The only stats I care about are Martin Kove's measurements. (Jason Parks)
2012-03-15 12:00:00 (link to chat)What frontline starter that changed teams this year do you think will most impress his new team? Most depress them?
(Mark Fidrych from The Nest)
Impress: Pineda. I think we're ignoring that he entered last season with 25 starts above A-ball and fared well in the majors.

Depress: I still worry about what the Rangers know (or don't know) regarding C.J. Wilson. If Trevor Cahill or Gio Gonzalez count I could see their teams being a little disappointed too. Oh, and Jonathan Sanchez. But I don't think anyone actually thinks of him as a frontline starter. (R.J. Anderson)
2012-01-30 13:00:00 (link to chat)I was in Politics and Prose this weekend (ok I was in the pizza joint down the block) and was wondering if you guys would be making it down there again soon. Also, do you see the Nats rotation of Stephen Strasburg, Jordan Zimmermann and Gio Gonzalez being one of the top in the league in the next few years?
(Charlie from Bethesda, MD)
We will definitely be there in March, and I know many of us are looking forward to it. As for the Nats' top three, it's an impressive bunch and I'd like to think they will be (or are) among the top in the league right now, but with pitchers it's always good to hedge your bets a little. (Steven Goldman)
2011-12-20 13:00:00 (link to chat)I understand that the Nats are talking to the A's about a potential 4-for-1 deal for Gio Gonzalez. What would be a fair package for the Nats to pay? What kind of package would be too much for them to pay? Do you think Gio would be enough for the Nats to contend this year? +1/2St.
(HalfStreet from Fairfax VA)
It's always hard to do the math on these in 30 seconds, so I may say something stupid. But PECOTA has Gio producing 3.7 WARP in 2012, so if we think he can hold that he'll be a 15-WARP player over the next four years, and be paid something like $25 million total. So, super valuable. Maybe Norris+Cole+Desmond or Storen? I don't know, that might be light, but it's a guess.

It's possible Gio gets the Nats there in 2012, but 25 games is a ton of games to make up. Really, their window is 2013-2016, unless they also sign Fielder this winter. I think they'll wait a year, consolidate a bit, bump payroll way up and be the next offseason's Marlins. (Sam Miller)
2011-12-20 13:00:00 (link to chat)Is there any way for the Nationals to acquire Gio Gonzalez without dealing Jordan Zimmerman or Anthony Rendon?
(Mikell from Chicago)
They can't trade Rendon, at least not yet. (Sam Miller)
2011-12-20 13:00:00 (link to chat)Word is out that Roy Oswalt will now settle for a one-year contract, instead of the 3-year deal he originally sought. If you are right about the Nats' window of contention really starting in 2013, might Oswalt for a year and an option be better than spending the farm on Gio Gonzalez?
(HalfStreet from Fairfax VA)
Speed round, then? Speed round.

A lot of teams have more incentive to sign Oswalt to that deal than the Nationals do right now, so a lot of teams would probably pay him more. The Nationals should just relax and be patient, I guess. Or get Fielder and Oswalt now and then trade for Gio, because who knows, maybe we'll all die by 2013 anyway. (Sam Miller)
2011-05-26 13:00:00 (link to chat)Do you think Gio Gonzalez has turned a corner and become an elite SP?
(Bruce from toronto)
I don't feel comfortable saying he is elite just yet, but above average? Yes. (R.J. Anderson)
2011-05-04 19:00:00 (link to chat)This year and Long term, who do you like most of the A's young starters?
(Bryan from LA)
In both cases, Gio Gonzalez with Cahill right behind him. BIG fan. (Jason Collette (note time))
2011-03-09 13:00:00 (link to chat)Rank these guys 2011 fantasy season's: Marcum, Jonathan Sanchez, Gio Gonzalez, Ricky Romero?
(Tony from Albuquerque)
How did Marcum get in that list? I think he's the best of them, but he's the soft-throwing righty and the other three are wild southpaws. Gonzalez, Sanchez, Romero afterwards. (Jeremy Greenhouse)
2011-02-14 13:00:00 (link to chat)How do you see Gio Gonzalez playing out this year?
(Tony from Albuquerque)
I've always been pretty optimistic about him. It's been about gaining maturity, and I think he has a chance to put it all together this year. FWIW, PECOTA agrees with me. (Tommy Bennett)
2010-09-21 13:00:00 (link to chat)Gio Gonzalez's ERA if he were pitching in Baltimore?
(Daniel from Oakland)
I wrote this article earlier in the year about Gio Gonzalez and Charlie Morton, to say that in a lot of ways they were very, very similar, and context was the key to both of their seasons to that point. Morton went on the DL the next day though so it was scrapped, but I should revisit that this winter, yeah?

Gonzalez is a solid pitcher, but he has benefited big time from that park and the D in Oakland. I would say 4.30 maybe, in Baltimore? He's better than that, but maybe Baltimore isn't. (Marc Normandin)
2010-07-29 16:30:00 (link to chat)I don't have any illusions that the A's are anything but pretenders this season. But with Trevor Cahill and Gio Gonzalez taking steps forward and assuming a healthy Brett Anderson, what do the A's need to do this offseason to have a shot at the playoffs in 2011?
(Dave from Chicago)
The A's probably aren't going to be big spenders, so for them, it's really a matter of adding value. Getting someone like Ben Sheets clearly didn't work, but smart risks are obviously something the A's need to be good at to succeed. They have a lot of young talent, so most of their success is going to hinge on those players improving. (Matt Swartz)
2010-03-08 13:00:00 (link to chat)How do you think the A's should round out their rotation between Trevor Cahill, Gio Gonzalez, Vin Mazzaro, and Clay Mortensen (long shot, I know)?
(Dave from Chicago)
I don't pretend to know more than the A's about their own pitchers. Obviously Sheets will mix in there. I think the interesting thing will be how they apportion the innings. Do they put some of those starters in the pen? Do they set up a Sacramento shuttle? There's a certain number of innings that you want from your starters - let's say its 972 (6 innings per for 162 games). How do you get the BEST outcomes in the most number of those innings? (Will Carroll)
2010-01-28 14:00:00 (link to chat)Is this a make or break year for Gio Gonzalez?
(dwiest12 from NoVA)
Given that, with the Sheets signing, the odds that he'll be spending a good chunk of the early going in Sacramento just became that much greater, I certainly don't think so. (Christina Kahrl)
2009-05-18 14:00:00 (link to chat)What's holding Gio Gonzalez back? I know Keith Law has never been a big fan, but everyone else seemed to be pretty high on him. What's the deal?
(Dave from Chicago)
I think the problem with Gonzalez is sort of an issue you might compare to the dilemma with tweener outfielders, where you know he's too good to just be the next situational lefty, but he's also not someone gifted with the kind of put-away pitches in his assortment that makes it easy to say you want to give him a rotation slot and watch him take a few hammerings at the hands of big-league lineups. A lefty with a plus curve and sporadically interesting velocity on his heat is a lefty who needs to get consistent with that fastball before he's going to stick as a starter. If it takes a few years to see if he can, that's OK, but if he can't, I'd expect the breaking stuff and his relatively smooth mechanics to get him a money-making career in relief work deep into his 30s. (Christina Kahrl)
2008-09-12 13:00:00 (link to chat)I know Gio Gonzalez is only 22, but shouldn't we see something from him?? He hasn't looked very good.
(Drew W from NoVa)
Bumpy starts to a career--especially on a team with some pretty significant defensive issues--should come as a surprise. I don't think he's going to be the new Dana Allison. (Christina Kahrl)
2008-07-29 16:00:00 (link to chat)After apparently coming into his own, Gio Gonzalez just took another step back recently with yet another poor AAA performance. Gio Gonzalez = Oliver Perez? Hard-throwing erratic lefties who can either be lights out out any given day or chalk up a 2/3 of an inning 7 runs line just as easily.
(dtrainmets from NYC)
Not the worst comparison on the surface, but Gonzalez has that cosmic bender and I've never heard attitude issues. Perez was a terror when he was in Indy, not disruptive, but just didn't care. (Will Carroll)
2008-07-07 13:00:00 (link to chat)In your Ten Pack today, you noted that Gio Gonzalez has either been very good or very bad in his outings. This raises an interesting question. Most baseball statistics measure central tendency; why haven't sabermetricians incorporated some measure of variance into their thinking about baseball players?
(Dan D. from Medford, MA)
This is an excellent question, and one I am totally not qualified to answer -- I'm hoping one of the many people that ARE qualified to do so will see it. (Kevin Goldstein)
2008-05-05 12:30:00 (link to chat)Bryan: James Simmons is ahead of Gio Gonzalez? Based on your comment about de los Santos, does this mean the A's got next to nothing for Swisher?
(oira61 from San Francisco)
Uh oh, I feel like what I wrote got contorted a bit. I certainly didn't mean to imply ... that. My comment about de los Santos was that he shouldn't be clumped below Brett Anderson because of a bad month. Simmons and Gio are probably on equal timetables to help the Majors. I know KG saw and heard great reports concerning Gio in Spring Training, so I'm not closing any doors. I think they got good value for Swisher, it's just going to take some time. (Bryan Smith)
2008-03-19 13:00:00 (link to chat)Which pitcher will be brought up from AAA first Kershaw, Price, Gio Gonzalez, or Cueto (if he spends anytime in the minors at all)?
(Brandon from Boston)
I'd guess Cueto will make the team and that Kershaw will be up in June or so. Gonzalez seems more the type that will come up in case of injury and Price is, I think, a September guy. (Will Carroll)
2008-03-17 12:00:00 (link to chat)Hey Mike, here's a question that appears to be growing more and more relevant: of the following up-and-coming SPs, can you rank them in terms of value they will provide to a fantasy team THIS YEAR assuming they all get spots in the rotation? The SPs are Manny Parra, Edinson Volquez, Johnny Cueto, Ian Kennedy, Gio Gonzalez and Jonathan Sanchez. This should be relevant to most fantasy players looking to make a great WW pickup early in the season.
(The Grinch from Whoville)
I guess you were one of the millions to go see see Horton hears a Who huh?

Parra is making the Brewers make a tough decision but may not make the club at first. Volquez has a lot to prove. Cueto and Kennedy are arms that the Reds and yanks absolutely love and right now they are my top two of this list. I can't see Gio not being a member of the rotation this year at some point but when is up to a few factors and Sanchez like parra is nice sleeper with high upside. Solid list of names. (Mike Siano)
2008-03-17 12:00:00 (link to chat)Trying to find a last-round pitcher to add to my bench. Should I go safe (Scott Baker), daring (Gio Gonzalez) or somewhere in between (VandenHurk, Duchscherer)?
(euqubud from Seattle, WA)
dont mind baker or gio but baker first due to safety. he is after all the twins "ace". (Mike Siano)
2008-03-07 13:00:00 (link to chat)Who do you think comes up first, Gio Gonzalez or Johnny Cueto, and which do you think has the better chance of having success for this year?
(Momar from USA)
Gonzalez, I think, just because the A's rotation is a little more unsettled, and he's more or less considered a medium-risk, medium-reward guy who should be ready relatively soon. Gonzalez is a good example of a prospect you might grab late in a fantasy draft with an eye toward actually getting something out of him in the second half of 2008. (Nate Silver)
2008-01-17 14:00:00 (link to chat)Great work as always Christina...Something that hasn't really been discussed with all the A's trades is: Can an org. really sift throgh all the prospects given the fact that most prospects need some time at the MLB level to settle in? IOW, the first slumps that CarGo or Gio experience isn't it easier to just bring up Cunningham or Eveland or whatever rather than let the "first" guys play through the rough.
(hrwest from Marina Del Rey)
That's always the challenge, though, from an organizational management perspective--how do you create the circumstances for success for any one and all of your players? CarGo has the virtue of being one of the team's very few options in center; I suspect if somebody's going to bounce around, it'll be one of the pitchers. OTOH, I wouldn't necessarily put Eveland behind Gio Gonzalez--the hefty lefty's as ready as he'll ever be, while I'd like to see Gonzalez spend some time in Sacto showing that last season's gains in Double-A have stuck. (Christina Kahrl)
2008-01-09 13:00:00 (link to chat)Kevin, how about an Oakland A's top 11 Redux Redux following the Swisher trade? Where would Gio Gonzalez rank? Does this deal change your opinion as to his potential to make a big league impact over the next 2 to 3 years?
(Dan from CT)
Ok! How about a Redux for every American League team that has made moves to effect their rankings? You'll see that tommorow! 2008 and I'm ahead of the game! (Kevin Goldstein)
2008-01-09 13:00:00 (link to chat)Do the A's give Gio Gonzalez a shot at a rotation spot in ST, or will they want to look at him at AAA for the first half before bringing him up?
(Dan from CT)
They're rebuilding, they're not in a hurry, so no need to rush him. He's Triple-A bound. (Kevin Goldstein)


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PITCHf/x Pitcher Profile

A Collaboration between BrooksBaseball.net and Baseball Prospectus - Pitch classifications provided by Pitch Info LLC


Gio Gonzalez has thrown 18,821 pitches that have been tracked by the PITCHf/x system between 2008 and 2014, including pitches thrown in the MLB Regular Season, the MLB Postseason, The World Baseball Classic and Spring Training. In 2014, he has relied primarily on his Fourseam Fastball (93mph) and Sinker (92mph), also mixing in a Change (84mph) and Curve (78mph).