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2013 Projections (seasonal age 30) - Rest of Season Projections
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| YEAR | TEAM | AGE | G | PA | AB | R | H | 2B | 3B | HR | TB | BB | SO | HBP | SF | SH | RBI | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | TAv | VORP | FRAA | WARP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2007 | HOU | 24 | 108 | 484 | 456 | 57 | 147 | 30 | 9 | 17 | 246 | 26 | 95 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 69 | 11 | 5 | .322 | .360 | .539 | .295 | 31.4 | 8.5 | 3.8 |
| 2008 | HOU | 25 | 157 | 642 | 595 | 78 | 160 | 34 | 4 | 25 | 277 | 40 | 124 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 83 | 11 | 10 | .269 | .318 | .466 | .262 | 16.4 | 10.0 | 2.8 |
| 2009 | HOU | 26 | 159 | 647 | 585 | 76 | 165 | 26 | 5 | 25 | 276 | 58 | 109 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 72 | 14 | 11 | .282 | .346 | .472 | .265 | 22.2 | 6.8 | 2.9 |
| 2010 | HOU | 27 | 156 | 658 | 614 | 93 | 173 | 29 | 3 | 25 | 283 | 41 | 105 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 91 | 18 | 9 | .282 | .325 | .461 | .280 | 27.9 | 9.5 | 4.0 |
| 2011 | HOU | 28 | 100 | 432 | 399 | 49 | 123 | 26 | 3 | 11 | 188 | 30 | 86 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 62 | 7 | 1 | .308 | .356 | .471 | .297 | 24.7 | -1.0 | 2.5 |
| 2011 | PHI | 28 | 54 | 236 | 207 | 35 | 67 | 12 | 2 | 11 | 116 | 26 | 38 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 35 | 1 | 1 | .324 | .394 | .560 | .342 | 26.0 | -3.4 | 2.4 |
| 2012 | PHI | 29 | 101 | 440 | 398 | 59 | 108 | 15 | 2 | 17 | 178 | 37 | 85 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 59 | 4 | 2 | .271 | .336 | .447 | .281 | 14.9 | -8.5 | 0.7 |
| 2012 | SFN | 29 | 59 | 248 | 219 | 28 | 48 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 84 | 19 | 60 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 45 | 1 | 0 | .219 | .287 | .384 | .260 | 2.2 | -0.2 | 0.2 |
| 2013 | SFN | 30 | 47 | 200 | 186 | 27 | 52 | 12 | 2 | 7 | 89 | 13 | 37 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 8 | 0 | .280 | .325 | .478 | .284 | 7.5 | 4.9 | 1.3 |
| Career | 941 | 3987 | 3659 | 502 | 1043 | 195 | 32 | 145 | 1737 | 290 | 739 | 14 | 23 | 1 | 539 | 75 | 39 | .285 | .338 | .475 | .281 | 173.2 | 26.6 | 20.6 | ||
Advanced
'opp' stats - quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.| YEAR | Team | Lg | G | PA | TAv | oppAVG | oppOBP | oppSLG | oppTAv | BABIP | BPF | BRAA | repLVL | POS_ADJ | FRAA | BRR | BVORP | BWARP | VORP | WARP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2004 | TCV | A- | 51 | 225 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .317 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
| 2005 | LEX | A | 80 | 341 | .356 | .268 | .344 | .411 | .000 | .344 | 106 | 34.4 | 8.3 | -0.9 | -0.9 | 3.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2005 | SLM | A+ | 41 | 171 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .370 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
| 2006 | CCH | AA | 136 | 592 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .310 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
| 2007 | HOU | MLB | 108 | 484 | .295 | .270 | .332 | .428 | .000 | .377 | 103 | 18.9 | 13.7 | 0.5 | 8.5 | 1.1 | 31.4 | 3.8 | 31.4 | 3.8 |
| 2007 | ROU | AAA | 25 | 106 | .317 | .277 | .343 | .437 | .000 | .364 | 96 | 6.7 | 3.0 | -0.1 | 1.2 | -0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2008 | HOU | MLB | 157 | 642 | .262 | .261 | .325 | .412 | .000 | .301 | 103 | 1.2 | 17.9 | -6.9 | 10.0 | -1.1 | 16.4 | 2.8 | 16.4 | 2.8 |
| 2009 | HOU | MLB | 159 | 647 | .265 | .258 | .320 | .409 | .000 | .308 | 101 | 3.8 | 17.9 | -6.9 | 6.8 | 3.6 | 22.2 | 2.9 | 22.2 | 2.9 |
| 2010 | HOU | MLB | 156 | 658 | .280 | .258 | .319 | .403 | .000 | .304 | 100 | 13.3 | 18.4 | -6.7 | 9.5 | 3.7 | 27.9 | 4.0 | 27.9 | 4.0 |
| 2011 | HOU | MLB | 100 | 432 | .297 | .257 | .314 | .399 | .000 | .368 | 103 | 15.7 | 7.4 | -4.3 | -1.0 | 1.4 | 24.7 | 2.5 | 24.7 | 2.5 |
| 2011 | PHI | MLB | 54 | 236 | .342 | .255 | .314 | .396 | .000 | .348 | 98 | 19.1 | 4.0 | -2.3 | -3.4 | 0.2 | 26.0 | 2.4 | 26.0 | 2.4 |
| 2012 | PHI | MLB | 101 | 440 | .281 | .252 | .310 | .397 | .000 | .305 | 95 | 9.1 | 7.6 | -4.4 | -8.5 | -0.3 | 14.9 | 0.7 | 14.9 | 0.7 |
| 2012 | SFN | MLB | 59 | 248 | .260 | .258 | .315 | .408 | .000 | .261 | 95 | 0.1 | 4.2 | -2.5 | -0.2 | -0.0 | 2.2 | 0.2 | 2.2 | 0.2 |
| 2013 | SFN | MLB | 47 | 200 | .284 | .246 | .307 | .380 | .248 | .315 | 98 | 4.8 | 5.5 | -2 | 4.9 | -0.9 | 7.5 | 1.3 | 7.5 | 1.3 |
| Career | MLB | 3987 | .280 | .258 | .319 | .406 | .256 | .321 | 101 | 82.5 | 103.5 | -35.6 | 26.1 | 7.8 | 170.5 | 20.2 | 170.5 | 20.2 | ||
Statistics For All Levels
| Year | Team | Lg | PA | R | H | 2B | 3B | HR | RBI | BB | SO | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | ISO | TAv | VORP | FRAA | WARP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2004 | TCV | A- | 225 | 36 | 59 | 18 | 1 | 8 | 37 | 23 | 30 | 3 | 5 | .296 | .372 | .518 | .221 | .000 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2005 | LEX | A | 341 | 59 | 102 | 14 | 3 | 25 | 60 | 38 | 53 | 8 | 3 | .338 | .413 | .652 | .315 | .356 | 0.0 | -0.9 | 0.0 |
| 2005 | SLM | A+ | 171 | 24 | 46 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 30 | 18 | 37 | 1 | 2 | .305 | .379 | .490 | .185 | .000 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2006 | CCH | AA | 592 | 97 | 148 | 31 | 8 | 28 | 95 | 60 | 109 | 17 | 4 | .283 | .359 | .533 | .250 | .000 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2007 | ROU | AAA | 106 | 17 | 31 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 2 | 0 | .326 | .390 | .558 | .232 | .317 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 0.0 |
| 2007 | HOU | MLB | 484 | 57 | 147 | 30 | 9 | 17 | 69 | 26 | 95 | 11 | 5 | .322 | .360 | .539 | .217 | .295 | 31.4 | 8.5 | 3.8 |
| 2008 | HOU | MLB | 642 | 78 | 160 | 34 | 4 | 25 | 83 | 40 | 124 | 11 | 10 | .269 | .318 | .466 | .197 | .262 | 16.4 | 10.0 | 2.8 |
| 2009 | HOU | MLB | 647 | 76 | 165 | 26 | 5 | 25 | 72 | 58 | 109 | 14 | 11 | .282 | .346 | .472 | .190 | .265 | 22.2 | 6.8 | 2.9 |
| 2010 | HOU | MLB | 658 | 93 | 173 | 29 | 3 | 25 | 91 | 41 | 105 | 18 | 9 | .282 | .325 | .461 | .179 | .280 | 27.9 | 9.5 | 4.0 |
| 2011 | PHI | MLB | 236 | 35 | 67 | 12 | 2 | 11 | 35 | 26 | 38 | 1 | 1 | .324 | .394 | .560 | .237 | .342 | 26.0 | -3.4 | 2.4 |
| 2011 | HOU | MLB | 432 | 49 | 123 | 26 | 3 | 11 | 62 | 30 | 86 | 7 | 1 | .308 | .356 | .471 | .163 | .297 | 24.7 | -1.0 | 2.5 |
| 2012 | SFN | MLB | 248 | 28 | 48 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 45 | 19 | 60 | 1 | 0 | .219 | .287 | .384 | .164 | .260 | 2.2 | -0.2 | 0.2 |
| 2012 | PHI | MLB | 440 | 59 | 108 | 15 | 2 | 17 | 59 | 37 | 85 | 4 | 2 | .271 | .336 | .447 | .176 | .281 | 14.9 | -8.5 | 0.7 |
| 2013 | SFN | MLB | 200 | 27 | 52 | 12 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 13 | 37 | 8 | 0 | .280 | .325 | .478 | .199 | .284 | 7.5 | 4.9 | 1.3 |
Injury History beta
| Date On | Date Off | Transaction | Days | Games | Side | Body Part | Injury | Severity | Surgery Date | Reaggravation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012-04-23 | 2012-04-24 | DTD | 1 | 0 | Left | Shoulder | Contusion | Rotator Cuff | - | - |
| 2011-10-11 | 2011-10-11 | Off | 0 | 0 | - | Surgery | Sports Hernia | 2011-10-11 | - | |
| 2011-09-21 | 2011-09-24 | DTD | 3 | 2 | Left | Knee | Strain | Patellar Tendon | - | - |
| 2011-06-18 | 2011-06-24 | DTD | 6 | 5 | Left | Elbow | Sprain | Hyperextension | - | - |
| 2011-06-12 | 2011-06-13 | DTD | 1 | 1 | - | Low Back | Tightness | - | ||
| 2011-06-10 | 2011-06-10 | DTD | 0 | 0 | - | Low Back | Tightness | - | ||
| 2011-03-24 | 2011-03-25 | Camp | 1 | 0 | Right | Lower Leg | Laceration | Sliding | - | |
| 2010-09-22 | 2010-09-23 | DTD | 1 | 1 | Right | Hip | Soreness | Hip Flexor | - | |
| 2009-03-18 | 2009-03-22 | Camp | 4 | 0 | Left | Lower Leg | Strain | Calf | - | |
| 2008-02-19 | 2008-03-03 | Camp | 13 | 0 | Bilateral | Knee | Laceration | Falling Through a Door | - | |
| 2007-09-20 | 2007-09-21 | DTD | 1 | 1 | Upper Back | Cramps | - | |||
| 2007-07-23 | 2007-08-21 | 15-DL | 29 | 27 | Right | Wrist | Fracture | Chip and Ligament Sprain | - | |
| 2007-06-09 | 2007-06-11 | DTD | 2 | 2 | Hip | Soreness | - | |||
| 2005-06-14 | 2005-07-02 | Minors | 18 | 0 | Thigh | Strain | Quadriceps | - |
Compensation
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BP Articles
Hunter Pence is referenced in the following articles.
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BP Chats
| Date | Question | Answer |
|---|---|---|
| 2011-07-21 16:00:00 | Hunter Pence is heading to Philly, isn't he? (Nate from Pittsburgh) | As a final parting gift from Ed Wade before he loses his job? I'm doubtful. (Jason Collette) |
| 2011-07-13 12:30:00 | I was just thinking about some of the players on the trade market and imagining up deals in my head. What would you think about the Yankees trading Brett Gardner and a Grade B prospect to the Astros for Hunter Pence. Would that make sense for both teams? (Bob from New York) | Gardner is younger, cheaper, and roughly as good as Pence, so I certainly wouldn't want to see the Yankees do that. Then again, I've been known to become violent at the mere thought of anyone displacing Brett Gardner in either A) the outfield or B) my heart. (Ben Lindbergh) |
| 2011-01-18 13:00:00 | Hey Marc, Are you giving Shin-Soo Choo any love in this year's draft? (Swat Slugger from USA) | I don't see why not! He was good for me last year in a mixed league, minus the whole injury thing. He's very useful, as he excels at nothing but does everything very well. Like a better version of Hunter Pence. (Marc Normandin) |
| 2010-10-20 13:00:00 | When you take over for the day can you trade Hunter Pence somewhere? Sure, he might be our best remaining hitter but the way he runs creeps me out and he takes rolls of toilet paper home with him from the clubhouse. They might be related problems
(Astros GM from Houston, DUH) | I'm sure that's something I'll talk about, but I don't see him bringing much back. Pence seems to have found his level at his 2009-2010 level of production, which isn't great for a right fielder; he's arb-eligible, so he's going to get pricey; and he has a pretty fair home-park bias. Maybe someone will overrate him and offer you something real for him, but otherwise, any trade will probably just wash out. The problem with Pence is not his personal habits, but that if he's your lineup's big bat, you're kind of screwed. (Steven Goldman) |
| 2010-09-15 14:00:00 | What are you drinking? What are you wearing? Most importantly, does Ichiro have the best RF arm of active players, cause Greg Golson made one heck of a throw to end the Rays/Yanks game last night. (dianagramr from NYC) | Drinking lots of water and wearing very tight under armor as I recover from the surgery I had on Monday. Greg Golson is a former Phillies nothing prospect who was shipped to Texas for fellow nothing prospect John Mayberry, Jr. When my father and I heard Golson's name mentioned on Quick Pitch this morning we instantly double-took (double-taked?) and stared in disbelief. Ichiro! still has a tremendous arm. Francouer, for all his faults, has a strong arm, too. I don't know who has the best, but I do know that Corey Hart and Hunter Pence have the strangest throws. (Eric Seidman) |
| 2010-09-15 14:00:00 | I'm a big Hunter Pence fan. His line has been extremely consistent these last 3 years and I was wondering if there's any chance a big breakout year is in his future. Or is he destined to hit 280 with 25 hrs and 80 rbi's every year? (Brian Morgan from Chicago, ill.) | Pence has been consistent in the power and slugging department each of the last three seasons (SLG in the .460-.470 range) and his OBP seems secure in the .325-.330 range as I consider his 2009 walk rate to be more fluky than indicative. His RBI numbers may improve from a fantasy standpoint if players like Brett Wallace and Chris Johnson can be effective, but Pence sure seems like a lock for a .280/.330/.470 line with 25 HR, 80 RBI, and 15 SB. (Eric Seidman) |
| 2010-05-24 14:00:00 | Your opinion of the following proposed trade: Astros Roy Oswalt and Hunter Pence to the Rangers for Ian Kinsler. (CTM from Houston, TX) | This would be ghastly, especially for the Rangers. Pence may not really stick as much more than a filler in a corner in the better league, and the Rangers already have that on their bench in the form of David Murphy. Putting him in center seems a stretch, so he doesn't fix that problem. And then how do you replace Kinsler, bump Michael Young to the keystone and put Chris Davis at third? Arias and Blanco aren't viable everyday players. And all of this to get Oswalt, an older, shorter right-hander with health issues, coming to the DH league? As Eric Seidman argued this morning, I think any deal for Oswalt's only going to yield pennies on the dollar, given his contract. He's worth more to the Astros as an Astro than as something to dangle and then wangle with. (Christina Kahrl) |
| 2010-05-11 16:30:00 | So, I have Chone Figgins, Hunter Pence, Aaron Hill, and Edwin Jackson on my fantasy team. My question: shouldn't I expect big bounce backs from everyone here or did I just select duds? (Nasi Goreng from SE Asia) | Chone Figgins-- His K-rate has shot up this year. The BABIP drop is small enough and it looks likely to fix itself, but the K-rate is just so high that he's not going to be effective when he's striking out like a power hitter. Even BABIP Superstars need to be make contact to keep their job-- you don't commit $45MM to Fred Lewis. Maybe a new hitting coach helps?
Aaron Hill-- His BABIP is .210 because he's not hitting line dirves-- it seems related to him swinging at too many pitches out of the strike zone. Before he hit 32 HR, pitchers would challenge him more. Now he needs to be more patient. Hunter Pence-- he isn't swinging any more often than he used to, but he can't seem to tell a ball from a strike anymore. Worse, he's actually making contact with those bad pitches and isn't hitting them hard. Edwin Jackson is an average pitcher. He's not as good his 2009 or as bad as his early 2010. (Matt Swartz) |
| 2010-05-05 13:00:00 | I have Travis Snider, Adam Jones, Colby Rasmus, Nate McLouth and Hunter Pence in a 10-team mixed league - how good/worthless do you expect that outfield to be by the end of the season? (ravenight from Boston) | I think Pence, McLouth and Jones are definite candidates to improve on their poor starts. Colby Rasmus has been doing a better job with the strike zone this year and seems to have a better understanding of pitches he can do something with, so I think he's finally going to have that breakout year we've been waiting for. Snider I'm hopeful for, but if you make me pick one he's probably the one I think the development will be slowest for. (Marc Normandin) |
| 2010-04-21 14:00:00 | What do you make of Hunter Pence's early struggles? (ccweinmann from Seattle) | That he has 49 plate appearances. I'd say he isn't seeing the ball well, but he never closes his eyes so I don't see how that would be possible. (Eric Seidman) |
| 2009-11-17 14:00:00 | Any word on what position Todd Frazier will ultimately play? Also, are Klaw's concerns about his arm bar swing shared by others or can he be a #5/6 hitter in a decent lineup despite an unorthodox approach (a la Hunter Pence perhaps)? (Mario66 from Toronto) | I think he might finally have found a home at second. I like your Pence analogy in the sense that it's more than a bit funky, but I think he's proven it works for him. (Kevin Goldstein) |
| 2009-10-09 13:30:00 | How do scouts typically measure bat speed? Can they just tell or do they look for a hitter's ability to hit mid-90s heat on the inside or up in the zone? (Dillon from Pasadena) | There's not some kind of timed measurement, but you are looking for barrel velocity as well as kind of a pop-time thing where you want to see how quick the bat flies into the hitting zone from the time one starts their swing. You're looking for warning signs like bat wrap, or hitches and triggers, but you also have to accept the fact that sometimes things just work for a guy. Julio Franco had an INSANE bat wrap, but you had no reason to fix it. Hunter Pence has a big ol' hitch, but it works, Gary Sheffield's waggle trigger -- you'd never teach it, but you'd never ask him to change it. (Kevin Goldstein) |
| 2008-08-22 13:00:00 | Can you give some sort of explanation as to what the heck happened to Hunter Pence this season? (abernethyj from Chapel Hill, NC) | It's pretty simple: last year he had a .378 BABIP when he should have been closer to .314, based on his 19.4% line drive rate. This year, his liner rate is just 14%, and he's much closer to expectations with a .295 BABIP.
Pence hit for a ridiculous average on pitches high and outside last season, and he's doing it again this season, but he's weak in all of the other corners. He chases plenty of pitches in each area of the zone regardless of those shortcomings though, and just hasn't (unsurprisingly) had the same luck on balls in play he did in 2007. (Marc Normandin) |
| 2008-03-19 13:00:00 | How much should the fact that Hunter Pence and Ryan Zimmerman are recovering from wrist injuries (which sap power for a year) effect us drafting them? (Lucas from NYC) | Somewhat. Neither is really a big power guy. I think Zimmerman's power drop will be disguised by the new park. Both are more line drive guys who will see a few more K's, few less homers. (Will Carroll) |
| 2008-03-14 13:00:00 | Long-term, Hunter Pence or Chris Young (Diamondback OF, not Padre P)?
(Shore from Jersey) | Thought I had picked this one off. Young being slightly younger, faster, Pence having been a bit over his head last year, I tend to go with the Arizona guy. (Steven Goldman) |
| 2008-03-18 17:00:00 | Colby Rasmus was sent down. Do you think he could start off strong like Hunter Pence or Ryan Braun last year in the PCL. Also what's your thoughts on Jurrijens strong spring and the Braves. (mike from Utica,NY) | I don't get this move at all. If Rasmus rates the way everyone says he does, don't you make room for him sooner rather than later? According to the depth charts, Skip Schumaker is going to get some time in the outfield now. Realizing he's just a placeholder, why not get Rasmus in there now? The Cardinals are not destined for great things this year, so it's a perfect time to get a rookie into it from the start. Failing that, I think it will end up as Mike foretells, with Rasmus coming along a little later. I'm not saying we're going to see a Pence/Braun-type debut, but it will be good news for St. Louis when he comes. (Jim Baker) |
| 2008-01-15 14:30:00 | It seems as though Hunter Pence was playing a bit over his head from both a stathead and scouting perspective in '07. How do you see him faring in '08? (ericmilburn from San Francisco) | I don't think he'll be hitting .322 again, but I'm all for a centerfielder hitting .290/.340/.490. In leagues where outfield positions are individual, he's one to grab. (Marc Normandin) |
BP Roundtables
| Date | Roundtable Name | Comment |
|---|---|---|
| 2008-10-22 16:30:00 | World Series Game One | 04 Cats? Hunter Pence on that team? (Kevin Goldstein) |
PITCHf/x Hitter Profile
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