Biographical

Portrait of Jesus Guzman

Jesus Guzman 1BAstros

Astros Player Cards | Astros Team Audit | Astros Depth Chart

2014 Projections (Preseason PECOTA - seasonal age 30)
PA AVG HR R RBI SB TAv WARP
299 .260 8 33 35 4 .269 0.9
Birth Date6-14-1984
Height6' 1"
Weight200 lbs
Age30 years, 4 months, 8 days
BatsR
ThrowsR
2010
2.32011
1.52012
-0.12013
-0.22014
+proj
WARP Summary

Standard

YEAR TEAM AGE G PA AB R H 2B 3B HR TB BB SO HBP SF SH RBI SB CS AVG OBP SLG TAv VORP FRAA WARP
2009 SFN 25 12 20 20 0 5 0 0 0 5 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 .250 .250 .250 .151 -3.0 0.1 -0.3
2011 SDN 27 76 271 247 33 77 22 2 5 118 22 43 1 1 0 44 9 2 .312 .369 .478 .320 19.7 1.7 2.3
2012 SDN 28 120 321 287 32 71 18 2 9 120 29 71 2 2 1 48 3 3 .247 .319 .418 .275 11.7 2.3 1.5
2013 SDN 29 126 318 288 33 65 17 0 9 109 27 79 2 0 1 35 3 0 .226 .297 .378 .240 0.7 -1.2 -0.1
2014 HOU 30 69 184 165 10 31 4 0 2 41 19 52 0 0 0 9 3 0 .188 .272 .248 .203 -8.1 -1.7 -1.1
Career403111410071082496142539397248532136185.247.316.390.26220.91.22.3

Advanced

'opp' stats - Quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
YEAR Team Lg G PA TAv oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG oppTAv BABIP BPF BRAA repLVL POS_ADJ FRAA BRR BVORP BWARP VORP WARP
2004 SBR A+ 114 512 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .392 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2005 SAN AA 119 514 .242 .275 .339 .428 .260 .305 101 -7.1 10.8 1.4 -20.8 0.7 6.8 -1.4 6.8 -1.4
2006 SAN AA 115 471 .298 .271 .348 .425 .272 .287 89 13.2 9.5 -0.4 -2.2 2.2 23.9 2.3 23.9 2.3
2007 HDS A+ 130 585 .287 .275 .349 .428 .271 .316 115 17.9 18.0 -2.7 -9.7 -0.5 31.7 2.1 31.7 2.1
2008 MID AA 80 376 .357 .268 .344 .406 .279 .404 90 40.5 11.2 0.6 -5.5 -0.3 52.1 4.7 52.1 4.7
2008 SAC AAA 15 65 .253 .277 .349 .441 .259 .267 103 -0.4 1.8 0.1 -1.3 -0.9 -0.2 -0.1 -0.2 -0.1
2008 ATH Rk 5 17 .545 .268 .368 .396 .283 .462 105 5 0.5 0.1 -0.2 0.2 5.5 0.5 5.5 0.5
2009 SFN MLB 12 20 .151 .263 .329 .416 .262 .294 88 -2.3 0.6 -0.2 0.1 -0.6 -3.0 -0.3 -3.0 -0.3
2009 FRE AAA 115 500 .304 .273 .343 .423 .272 .363 97 23.4 14.4 -9.2 2.2 -1.5 25.7 2.7 25.7 2.7
2010 FRE AAA 125 492 .301 .284 .354 .438 .273 .345 99 22.7 15.1 -2.1 -6.5 -0.8 32.8 2.5 32.1 2.4
2011 SDN MLB 76 271 .320 .254 .315 .396 .260 .360 89 16 7.3 -4.2 1.7 2.2 19.7 2.3 19.7 2.3
2011 TUC AAA 63 286 .306 .295 .362 .470 .270 .374 109 15.5 8.9 -0.4 -1.4 -3.2 19.3 1.7 19.3 1.7
2011 CAR Wnt 44 188 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .322 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2012 SDN MLB 120 321 .275 .255 .316 .401 .260 .297 94 4.9 8.8 -2.5 2.3 0.9 11.7 1.5 11.7 1.5
2012 LEO Wnt 29 118 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .346 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2013 SDN MLB 126 318 .240 .250 .311 .387 .253 .280 98 -6 8.4 -3.1 -1.2 -2.5 0.7 -0.1 0.7 -0.1
2014 HOU MLB 69 184 .203 .246 .307 .378 .257 .261 100 -9.8 4.7 -2.5 -1.7 -1.0 -8.1 -1.1 -8.1 -1.1
2014 OKL AAA 4 17 .578 .267 .334 .410 .262 .667 84 6.1 0.5 -0.3 -0.1 -1.8 4.5 0.4 4.5 0.4

Statistics For All Levels

Minor league stats are currently shownClick to hide.
Year Team Lg PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG ISO TAv VORP FRAA WARP
2004 SBR A+ 512 80 137 35 3 6 71 57 105 10 9 .310 .394 .443 .133 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
2005 SAN AA 514 61 117 18 8 9 53 45 101 6 11 .258 .324 .393 .135 .242 6.8 -20.8 -1.4
2006 SAN AA 471 57 105 18 3 9 55 46 74 7 3 .257 .332 .382 .125 .298 23.9 -2.2 2.3
2007 HDS A+ 585 102 156 38 5 25 112 50 85 3 3 .301 .368 .539 .237 .287 31.7 -9.7 2.1
2008 MID AA 376 57 124 21 2 14 76 33 56 5 2 .364 .419 .560 .196 .357 52.1 -5.5 4.7
2008 ATH Rk 17 2 7 3 0 1 3 0 1 1 0 .467 .529 .867 .400 .545 5.5 -0.2 0.5
2008 SAC AAA 65 5 14 2 0 2 9 4 13 0 2 .237 .281 .373 .136 .253 -0.2 -1.3 -0.1
2009 FRE AAA 500 75 145 26 5 16 71 37 82 0 2 .321 .380 .507 .186 .304 25.7 2.2 2.7
2009 SFN MLB 20 0 5 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 .250 .250 .250 .000 .151 -3.0 0.1 -0.3
2010 FRE AAA 492 66 143 28 1 18 72 38 68 6 4 .321 .376 .510 .189 .301 32.1 -6.5 2.4
2011 TUC AAA 286 40 81 22 1 8 57 34 42 4 4 .332 .423 .529 .197 .306 19.3 -1.4 1.7
2011 SDN MLB 271 33 77 22 2 5 44 22 43 9 2 .312 .369 .478 .166 .320 19.7 1.7 2.3
2011 CAR Wnt 188 17 41 5 1 2 16 35 29 11 4 .270 .410 .355 .086 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
2012 SDN MLB 321 32 71 18 2 9 48 29 71 3 3 .247 .319 .418 .171 .275 11.7 2.3 1.5
2012 LEO Wnt 118 14 30 4 0 3 12 11 23 1 1 .291 .368 .417 .126 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
2013 SDN MLB 318 33 65 17 0 9 35 27 79 3 0 .226 .297 .378 .153 .240 0.7 -1.2 -0.1
2014 OKL AAA 17 3 8 3 0 0 5 3 2 0 0 .615 .647 .846 .231 .578 4.5 -0.1 0.4
2014 HOU MLB 184 10 31 4 0 2 9 19 52 3 0 .188 .272 .248 .061 .203 -8.1 -1.7 -1.1

Plate Discipline

YEAR PITCHES ZONE_RT SWING_RT CONTACT_RT Z_SWING_RT O_SWING_RT Z_CONTACT_RT O_CONTACT_RT SW_STRK_RT
2009 76 0.5263 0.5263 0.9000 0.6250 0.4167 0.9200 0.8667 0.1000
2011 1021 0.5152 0.4514 0.8022 0.6331 0.2566 0.8649 0.6378 0.1957
2012 1284 0.5031 0.4361 0.7536 0.6130 0.2571 0.8308 0.5671 0.2464
2013 1288 0.4876 0.4425 0.7404 0.6385 0.2561 0.8130 0.5680 0.2596
2014 758 0.5264 0.3997 0.7657 0.5739 0.2061 0.8341 0.5541 0.2343
Career44270.50580.43680.76560.61860.25070.83560.58660.234

Injury History

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2014-08-02 2014-08-19 15-DL 17 15 - Back Spasms -
2014-07-14 2014-07-22 DTD 8 3 - Back Soreness -
2012-04-23 2012-04-25 DTD 2 1 - Face Dental Two Teeth Pulled - -
2011-09-19 2011-09-25 DTD 6 5 - Neck Stiffness - -
2011-08-13 2011-08-15 DTD 2 2 Left Elbow Soreness - -

Compensation

Year Team Salary
2014 HOU $1,300,000
2013 SDN $503,200
2012 SDN $486,600
YearsDescriptionSalary
2 yrPrevious$989,800
2011Current$1,300,000
3 yrPvs + Cur$2,289,800
3 yrTotal$2,289,800

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
2 y 151 dOctagon1 year/$1.3M (2014)

Details
  • 1 year/$1.3M (2014). Signed by Houston 1/17/14 (avoided arbitration). Sent outright to Triple-A by Houston 10/9/14 (refused assignment).
  • 1 year/$0.5032M (2013). Re-signed by San Diego 3/9/13. Acquired by Houston in trade from San Diego 12/18/13.
  • 1 year/$0.4866M (2012). Re-signed by San Diego 3/8/12.
  • 1 year (2011). Signed by San Diego as a free agent for 2011 (minor-league contract). Contract purchased by San Diego 6/16/11.
  • 1 year (2010). DFA by San Francisco 1/21/10. Re-signed by San Francisco for 2010 (minor-league contract).
  • 1 year (2009). Signed by San Francisco as a free agent 11/20/08 (minor-league contract). Contract purchased by San Francisco 5/21/09.
  • Signed by Seattle 2000 as an amateur free agent from Venezuela.

2014 Preseason Forecast

Last Update: 3/11/2014 05:35 ET

PCT PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG TAv VORP FRAA WARP
90o 309 39 81 18 1 9 38 30 62 4 2 .298 .371 .482 .304 19.4 LF 0 2.2
80o 289 35 72 16 1 8 35 27 59 4 2 .284 .355 .459 .291 14.6 LF 0 1.6
70o 274 33 66 15 1 7 32 24 57 4 2 .274 .343 .442 .282 11.4 LF 0 1.3
60o 262 30 62 14 1 7 30 23 56 3 2 .265 .334 .428 .274 8.9 LF 0 1.0
50o 250 28 57 13 1 6 28 21 54 3 1 .257 .325 .414 .266 6.7 LF 0 0.8
40o 238 26 54 12 1 6 26 20 52 3 1 .249 .316 .401 .259 4.7 LF 0 0.5
30o 226 24 49 11 1 5 24 18 50 3 1 .241 .306 .387 .251 2.7 LF 0 0.3
20o 211 22 45 10 1 5 21 16 48 2 1 .231 .294 .371 .241 0.7 LF 0 0.1
10o 191 19 38 8 1 4 19 14 44 2 1 .218 .279 .349 .228 -1.8 LF 0 -0.2
Weighted Mean2542959131728225431.260.328.419.2697.5LF 00.8

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate MLB %
1% 29% 4% 10% 69%

Long-Term Forecast (Beyond the 2014 Projections)

Playing time estimates are based on performance, not Depth Charts.
Year Age PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB AVG OBP SLG TAv WARP VORP BRR POS_ADJ REP_ADJ RAA FRAA
201531250295411162722573.240.313.379.2540.43.1-0.2-2.57.6-1.80.4
201632362417918183830833.243.312.380.2540.97.2-0.3-3.814.9-3.60.6
201733608681272821362521425.232.304.362.2460.1-0.4-0.5-6.514.9-8.41.0
201834620681302721361521433.232.303.354.242-0.2-2.8-0.5-6.814.9-10.41.0
201935636691343021161531472.235.306.354.242-0.2-3.2-0.5-7.114.9-10.51.0
202036639681372921160521461.236.304.347.241-0.4-4.3-0.3-7.314.9-11.61.0
202137606651302821057501350.237.306.350.242-0.2-2.9-0.1-7.114.9-10.71.0
202238635651302621056501490.225.292.327.229-1.1-11.0-0.1-7.714.9-18.21.0
20233963464126262854491490.221.287.316.224-1.4-14.2-0.1-7.814.9-21.21.0

Upside By Year

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 PEAK 5
1.14.52.41.10.80.19.7

Comparable Players (Similarity Index 76)

Rank Score Name Year TAv Trend
1 86 Garrett Jones 2011 .274
2 84 Jake Fox 2013 .000 DNP
3 84 Steve Pearce 2013 .301
4 83 Andy Phillips 2007 .256
5 83 Robb Quinlan 2007 .228
6 82 Ryan Shealy 2010 .030
7 82 Chris Duncan 2011 .000 DNP
8 82 Ryan Garko 2011 .000 DNP
9 81 Alex Escobar 2009 .000 DNP
10 81 Lyle Overbay 2007 .244
11 81 Terrmel Sledge 2007 .241
12 80 Michael Morse 2012 .273
13 80 Ben Broussard 2007 .259
14 79 Micah Hoffpauir 2010 .153
15 78 Mike Jacobs 2011 .000 DNP
16 78 John Rodriguez 2008 .000 DNP
17 78 Fred Lewis 2011 .242
18 78 George Kottaras 2013 .265
19 77 Casey McGehee 2013 .000 DNP
20 77 Will Venable 2013 .281
21 77 Matt Diaz 2008 .209
22 77 Scott Hairston 2010 .263
23 77 Ryan Spilborghs 2010 .278
24 77 Jayson Nix 2013 .237
25 76 Ben Francisco 2012 .242
26 76 Jorge Cantu 2012 .000 DNP
27 76 Ryan Church 2009 .259
28 76 Jeff Baker 2011 .248
29 76 Wily Mo Pena 2012 .000 DNP
30 76 Delwyn Young 2012 .000 DNP
31 76 Chad Tracy 2010 .229
32 76 Paul McAnulty 2011 .000 DNP
33 76 Marcus Thames 2007 .257
34 76 Rafael Palmeiro 1995 .319
35 75 Will Clark 1994 .316
36 75 Bob Watson 1976 .329
37 75 Jack Hannahan 2010 .000 DNP
38 75 Juan Miranda 2013 .000 DNP
39 75 Josh Phelps 2008 .239
40 75 Chris Shelton 2010 .000 DNP
41 75 David Murphy 2012 .307
42 75 Glenn Davis 1991 .292
43 75 Ryan Raburn 2011 .257
44 75 Ryan Langerhans 2010 .275
45 75 Kent Hrbek 1990 .295
46 75 Scott Thorman 2012 .000 DNP
47 74 Benny Ayala 1981 .315
48 74 Greg Dobbs 2009 .250
49 74 Kevin Youkilis 2009 .316
50 74 Jason Botts 2011 .000 DNP
51 74 Don Mincher 1968 .268
52 74 Nick Stavinoha 2012 .000 DNP
53 74 Don Baylor 1979 .322
54 74 Chris Dickerson 2012 .347
55 74 Stan Musial 1951 .362
56 74 Ryan Klesko 2001 .313
57 74 Jason Giambi 2001 .381
58 73 Tino Martinez 1998 .292
59 73 Daniel Nava 2013 .309
60 73 Eric Patterson 2013 .000 DNP
61 73 Ted Kluszewski 1955 .323
62 73 Ken Harrelson 1972 .000 DNP
63 73 Adam Rosales 2013 .230
64 73 Todd Linden 2010 .000 DNP
65 73 Seth Smith 2013 .265
66 73 Craig Monroe 2007 .217
67 73 Olmedo Saenz 2001 .247
68 73 Luke Scott 2008 .278
69 73 Xavier Nady 2009 .225
70 73 Don Pavletich 1969 .271
71 73 Kendrys Morales 2013 .290
72 73 Ron Blomberg 1979 .000 DNP
73 73 Norm Siebern 1964 .298
74 72 Oscar Gamble 1980 .340
75 72 Hector Luna 2010 .190
76 72 Joe Mather 2013 .000 DNP
77 72 David Freese 2013 .252
78 72 Jeff Larish 2013 .000 DNP
79 72 Keith Hernandez 1984 .317
80 72 Jay Gibbons 2007 .215
81 72 Orlando Cepeda 1968 .281
82 72 Jack Clark 1986 .288
83 72 Dee Brown 2008 .000 DNP
84 72 Hank Blalock 2011 .000 DNP
85 72 Eric Hinske 2008 .263
86 72 Michael Aubrey 2012 .000 DNP
87 72 Mitch Maier 2012 .214
88 72 Bobby Scales 2008 .000 DNP
89 72 Brian Stavisky 2011 .000 DNP
90 72 Boog Powell 1972 .301
91 72 Vic Wertz 1955 .278
92 72 Adam LaRoche 2010 .281
93 72 Lou Montanez 2012 .000 DNP
94 72 Brad Nelson 2013 .000 DNP
95 72 Larry Bigbie 2008 .000 DNP
96 72 Robby Hammock 2007 .208
97 71 Mike Sweeney 2004 .284
98 71 Billy Williams 1968 .303
99 71 John Baker 2011 .173
100 71 Brendan Harris 2011 .000 DNP

Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv
10 vs L (Multi) .270 .343 .437 .281
11 vs R (Multi) .220 .286 .373 .244
18 Split (Multi) -.049 -.057 -.064 -.037
19 LgAvg (Multi) -.013 -.023 -.037 -.020
30 vs L (2013) .245 .309 .381 .244
31 vs R (2013) .208 .285 .376 .236
38 Split (2013) -.037 -.024 -.005 -.008
39 LgAvg (2013) -.011 -.021 -.036 -.019

BP Annual Player Comments

YearComment
2014 Due to publishing agreements, the 2014 player comments and team essays are only available in the Baseball Prospectus 2014 book (available in hardcopy, e-book, and Kindle).
2013 Guzman, a minor-league veteran given the opportunity to play in 2011, unsurprisingly saw his production drop in the encore but still proved useful. An indifferent defender, he has line-drive power that plays especially well against left-handers, against whom his career OPS is 200 points higher than against righties. Guzman has been immune to Petco Park, having hit better at home than on the road since joining the Padres. A capable fourth outfielder who can play the infield in a pinch, he should continue to produce at or near last season's levels for the next few years.
2012 The Padres inked Guzman, who had been in the Giants system, to a minor-league deal in November 2010. He proceeded to destroy the PCL for 2 1/2 months before being recalled to a Padres team in desperate need of offense. Guzman's success, which depends more on his ability to hit line drives than on lofting the ball into trade winds that don't exist in San Diego, continued in the big leagues and he ended up being the club's most productive hitter. He even hit .346/.412/.551 at Petco Park. Guzman's FRAA suggests that he plays acceptable defense. Of course, FRAA doesn't have to watch him "field" a position; he is a liability anywhere.
2011 At the plate, Guzmanís two seasons at Triple-A Fresno were nearly identical across the board and generally in sync with his career minor-league numbers, which suggests that he is what he is. In the field, the Giants have moved Guzman around according to projected need (to first base in 2009, to third and left field last year), which suggests that they donít know what he is. As a contact hitter with power who has played everywhere but catcher and center field, Guzman is an intriguing bench option, but if and when his batting average dips below .300, he may no longer seem quite so interesting, and itís telling that the Giants have yet to give him a meaningful major-league opportunity.
2010 An A's reject who's slowly worked his way down the defensive spectrum from shortstop towards first base, the Venezuelan Guzman remains what he's been, an aggressive contact hitter with some pop, which really doesn't play that well at first base, but certainly as well as some. If Garko was red-flavored $3 Chuck, Guzman's flavor was purple, and weak proof for witnesses's benefit that Brian Sabean's picky when it comes to his ripple.
2009 Jesus Guzman is an offense-oriented second/third-base type who won the Texas League batting crown and had a huge winter in Venezuela, but the A's had no room to protect him; the Giants signed him in December.
2005 Those stats don't look so great in the hitter-hugging Cal Leagueóif you don't look at the birth date. At 20, this is a promising line, and Guzman's extra-base power makes him one to watch. Still, just being young and hitting OK for a level doesn't a future star make. See: Luis Rivas, others.

BP Articles

Jesus Guzman is referenced in the following articles.

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  Title Author Date
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessThe Stash List: Seventh EditionBret Sayre2014-05-29
This article requires BP Premium accessPebble Hunting: Martin Perez Turns Two, 12 TimesSam Miller2014-04-28
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDeep Impact: Week ThreeBen Carsley2014-04-23
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessThe Stash List: Week OneBret Sayre2014-04-01
Pebble Hunting: The Simulated Seasons Where the Astros Make the PlayoffsSam Miller2014-03-21
TTO Scoresheet Podcast: Episode 10: Late-Round DraftingBen Murphy2014-03-21
TTO Scoresheet Podcast: Episode 10: Late-Round DraftingIan Lefkowitz2014-03-21
TTO Scoresheet Podcast: Episode 10: Late-Round DraftingJared Weiss2014-03-21
This article requires BP Premium accessRumor Roundup: Filling First BaseDaniel Rathman2014-03-19
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTTO Scoresheet Podcast: OutfieldersBen Murphy2014-02-21
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTTO Scoresheet Podcast: OutfieldersIan Lefkowitz2014-02-21
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessTTO Scoresheet Podcast: OutfieldersJared Weiss2014-02-21
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessMock Auction Analysis: AL- and NL-Only Mike Gianella2014-02-20
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessGet to Know: First Base ProspectsCraig Goldstein2014-01-24
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Tier Rankings: First BasemenMike Gianella2014-01-21
This article requires BP Premium accessRumor Roundup: Abreu, Baker, and the Astros' First Base BattleDaniel Rathman2014-01-09
Transaction Analysis: The 13-Team TAR.J. Anderson2013-12-19
Transaction Analysis: The 13-Team TAEthan Purser2013-12-19
Transaction Analysis: The 13-Team TABen Lindbergh2013-12-19
Transaction Analysis: The 13-Team TABP Fantasy Staff2013-12-19
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: August 29, 2013Clint Chisam2013-08-29
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: July 26, 2013Clint Chisam2013-07-26
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: July 23, 2013Clint Chisam2013-07-23
The Week in Quotes: July 1-7Chris Mosch2013-07-08
The Week in Quotes: July 1-7Andrew Koo2013-07-08
The Week in Quotes: July 1-7Satchel Price2013-07-08
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: July 7, 2013Clint Chisam2013-07-07
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: July 3, 2013Clint Chisam2013-07-03
This article requires BP Premium accessDaily Roundup: Around the League: May 12th, 2013Clint Chisam2013-05-12
BP Unfiltered: Spring Stats Without the Small SamplesBen Lindbergh2013-03-29


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PITCHf/x Hitter Profile

A Collaboration between BrooksBaseball.net and Baseball Prospectus - Pitch classifications provided by Pitch Info LLC