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2013 Projections (seasonal age 32) - Rest of Season Projections
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| YEAR | TEAM | AGE | G | PA | AB | R | H | 2B | 3B | HR | TB | BB | SO | HBP | SF | SH | RBI | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | TAv | VORP | FRAA | WARP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2007 | CIN | 26 | 90 | 337 | 298 | 52 | 87 | 17 | 2 | 19 | 165 | 33 | 65 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 47 | 3 | 3 | .292 | .368 | .554 | .304 | 28.7 | -1.2 | 2.7 |
| 2008 | TEX | 27 | 156 | 704 | 624 | 98 | 190 | 35 | 5 | 32 | 331 | 64 | 126 | 7 | 9 | 0 | 130 | 9 | 1 | .304 | .371 | .530 | .300 | 50.1 | -10.8 | 3.9 |
| 2009 | TEX | 28 | 89 | 365 | 336 | 43 | 90 | 19 | 2 | 10 | 143 | 24 | 79 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 54 | 8 | 3 | .268 | .315 | .426 | .258 | 11.7 | -2.1 | 1.0 |
| 2010 | TEX | 29 | 133 | 571 | 518 | 95 | 186 | 40 | 3 | 32 | 328 | 43 | 95 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 100 | 8 | 1 | .359 | .411 | .633 | .352 | 72.1 | 2.2 | 7.8 |
| 2011 | TEX | 30 | 121 | 538 | 487 | 80 | 145 | 31 | 5 | 25 | 261 | 39 | 93 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 94 | 8 | 1 | .298 | .346 | .536 | .304 | 34.0 | 3.4 | 4.0 |
| 2012 | TEX | 31 | 148 | 636 | 562 | 103 | 160 | 31 | 2 | 43 | 324 | 60 | 162 | 5 | 9 | 0 | 128 | 7 | 4 | .285 | .354 | .577 | .307 | 42.8 | -1.5 | 4.4 |
| 2013 | ANA | 32 | 42 | 182 | 167 | 17 | 35 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 58 | 9 | 48 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 0 | .210 | .258 | .347 | .230 | -0.2 | -1.5 | -0.2 |
| Career | 779 | 3333 | 2992 | 488 | 893 | 179 | 20 | 166 | 1610 | 272 | 668 | 27 | 41 | 1 | 565 | 44 | 13 | .298 | .358 | .538 | .303 | 239.1 | -11.5 | 23.6 | ||
Advanced
'opp' stats - quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.| YEAR | Team | Lg | G | PA | TAv | oppAVG | oppOBP | oppSLG | oppTAv | BABIP | BPF | BRAA | repLVL | POS_ADJ | FRAA | BRR | BVORP | BWARP | VORP | WARP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1999 | HUD | A- | 0 | 74 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .241 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
| 1999 | PRI | Rk | 0 | 249 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .393 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
| 2000 | CSC | A | 0 | 420 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .342 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
| 2001 | CSC | A | 4 | 13 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .429 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
| 2001 | ORL | AA | 23 | 95 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .239 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
| 2002 | BAK | A+ | 56 | 235 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .350 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
| 2006 | HUD | A- | 15 | 55 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .333 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
| 2007 | CIN | MLB | 90 | 337 | .304 | .268 | .328 | .420 | .000 | .315 | 101 | 16.3 | 9.5 | 0.3 | -1.2 | 0.8 | 28.7 | 2.7 | 28.7 | 2.7 |
| 2007 | LOU | AAA | 11 | 45 | .366 | .253 | .336 | .385 | .000 | .370 | 107 | 5.3 | 1.3 | -0.1 | -0.2 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2008 | TEX | MLB | 156 | 704 | .300 | .263 | .325 | .411 | .000 | .333 | 108 | 30.6 | 20.1 | -1.7 | -10.8 | 0.4 | 50.1 | 3.9 | 50.1 | 3.9 |
| 2009 | TEX | MLB | 89 | 365 | .258 | .261 | .322 | .417 | .000 | .319 | 101 | -0.6 | 10.6 | -1.1 | -2.1 | 2.0 | 11.7 | 1.0 | 11.7 | 1.0 |
| 2009 | FRI | AA | 1 | 5 | .248 | .289 | .387 | .414 | .000 | .333 | 93 | -0.1 | 0.1 | -0.1 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2009 | OKL | AAA | 7 | 32 | .217 | .264 | .326 | .389 | .000 | .238 | 89 | -1.5 | 0.9 | -0.3 | -0.3 | -0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2010 | TEX | MLB | 133 | 571 | .352 | .256 | .316 | .400 | .000 | .390 | 104 | 53.3 | 16.2 | -3.2 | 2.2 | 0.9 | 72.1 | 7.8 | 72.1 | 7.8 |
| 2011 | TEX | MLB | 121 | 538 | .304 | .257 | .315 | .402 | .000 | .317 | 108 | 23.3 | 9.7 | -2.7 | 3.4 | -2.0 | 34.0 | 4.0 | 34.0 | 4.0 |
| 2011 | FRI | AA | 2 | 8 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .200 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
| 2011 | ROU | AAA | 3 | 13 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .000 | .167 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
| 2012 | TEX | MLB | 148 | 636 | .307 | .256 | .315 | .411 | .000 | .320 | 109 | 29.1 | 11.5 | -1.4 | -1.5 | 1.8 | 42.8 | 4.4 | 42.8 | 4.4 |
| 2013 | ANA | MLB | 42 | 182 | .230 | .250 | .310 | .398 | .260 | .256 | 93 | -5.4 | 5.0 | -2 | -1.5 | 0.7 | -0.2 | -0.2 | -0.2 | -0.2 |
| Career | MLB | 3333 | .304 | .259 | .319 | .409 | .260 | .331 | 104 | 151.2 | 88.5 | -11.9 | -14.1 | 4.5 | 243.9 | 23.8 | 243.9 | 23.8 | ||
Statistics For All Levels
| Year | Team | Lg | PA | R | H | 2B | 3B | HR | RBI | BB | SO | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | ISO | TAv | VORP | FRAA | WARP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1999 | PRI | Rk | 249 | 49 | 82 | 20 | 4 | 10 | 48 | 13 | 43 | 17 | 3 | .347 | .382 | .593 | .246 | .000 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 1999 | HUD | A- | 74 | 7 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 14 | 1 | 1 | .194 | .216 | .236 | .042 | .000 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2000 | CSC | A | 420 | 62 | 118 | 23 | 3 | 13 | 61 | 27 | 71 | 14 | 6 | .302 | .350 | .476 | .174 | .000 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2001 | CSC | A | 13 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | .364 | .462 | .727 | .364 | .000 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2001 | ORL | AA | 95 | 5 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 2 | 0 | .180 | .223 | .236 | .056 | .000 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2002 | BAK | A+ | 235 | 32 | 64 | 14 | 1 | 9 | 44 | 20 | 46 | 10 | 1 | .303 | .362 | .507 | .204 | .000 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2006 | HUD | A- | 55 | 7 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 0 | 1 | .260 | .327 | .360 | .100 | .000 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2007 | CIN | MLB | 337 | 52 | 87 | 17 | 2 | 19 | 47 | 33 | 65 | 3 | 3 | .292 | .368 | .554 | .262 | .304 | 28.7 | -1.2 | 2.7 |
| 2007 | LOU | AAA | 45 | 9 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 0 | .350 | .422 | .675 | .325 | .366 | 0.0 | -0.2 | 0.0 |
| 2008 | TEX | MLB | 704 | 98 | 190 | 35 | 5 | 32 | 130 | 64 | 126 | 9 | 1 | .304 | .371 | .530 | .226 | .300 | 50.1 | -10.8 | 3.9 |
| 2009 | TEX | MLB | 365 | 43 | 90 | 19 | 2 | 10 | 54 | 24 | 79 | 8 | 3 | .268 | .315 | .426 | .158 | .258 | 11.7 | -2.1 | 1.0 |
| 2009 | FRI | AA | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | .250 | .400 | .250 | .000 | .248 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2009 | OKL | AAA | 32 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | .179 | .281 | .321 | .143 | .217 | 0.0 | -0.3 | 0.0 |
| 2010 | TEX | MLB | 571 | 95 | 186 | 40 | 3 | 32 | 100 | 43 | 95 | 8 | 1 | .359 | .411 | .633 | .274 | .352 | 72.1 | 2.2 | 7.8 |
| 2011 | TEX | MLB | 538 | 80 | 145 | 31 | 5 | 25 | 94 | 39 | 93 | 8 | 1 | .298 | .346 | .536 | .238 | .304 | 34.0 | 3.4 | 4.0 |
| 2011 | FRI | AA | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .286 | .375 | .714 | .429 | .000 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2011 | ROU | AAA | 13 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | .182 | .308 | .545 | .364 | .000 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2012 | TEX | MLB | 636 | 103 | 160 | 31 | 2 | 43 | 128 | 60 | 162 | 7 | 4 | .285 | .354 | .577 | .292 | .307 | 42.8 | -1.5 | 4.4 |
| 2013 | ANA | MLB | 182 | 17 | 35 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 9 | 48 | 1 | 0 | .210 | .258 | .347 | .138 | .230 | -0.2 | -1.5 | -0.2 |
Injury History beta
| Date On | Date Off | Transaction | Days | Games | Side | Body Part | Injury | Severity | Surgery Date | Reaggravation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013-05-14 | 2013-05-14 | DTD | 0 | 0 | - | General Medical | Illness | - | - | |
| 2013-03-06 | 2013-03-09 | Camp | 3 | 0 | Right | Thigh | Tightness | Quadriceps | - | - |
| 2013-03-03 | 2013-03-05 | Camp | 2 | 0 | Left | Shoulder | Weakness | - | - | |
| 2012-09-19 | 2012-09-24 | DTD | 5 | 0 | - | General Medical | Illness | Sinus | - | - |
| 2012-09-13 | 2012-09-14 | DTD | 1 | 0 | Left | Knee | Soreness | - | - | |
| 2012-07-06 | 2012-07-06 | DTD | 0 | 0 | - | Low Back | Soreness | - | - | |
| 2012-06-15 | 2012-06-19 | DTD | 4 | 0 | - | General Medical | Illness | Intestinal and Had To Be Hospitalized | - | - |
| 2012-05-28 | 2012-05-29 | DTD | 1 | 0 | - | General Medical | Illness | - | - | |
| 2012-05-25 | 2012-05-25 | DTD | 0 | 0 | - | General Medical | Illness | - | - | |
| 2012-04-30 | 2012-05-04 | DTD | 4 | 0 | - | Low Back | Stiffness | - | - | |
| 2012-04-03 | 2012-04-03 | On-Alr | 0 | 0 | - | Head | Migraine | - | - | |
| 2012-03-31 | 2012-04-04 | Camp | 4 | 0 | Left | Groin | Tightness | - | - | |
| 2012-03-14 | 2012-03-14 | Camp | 0 | 0 | Right | Foot | Contusion | Heel | - | - |
| 2011-11-11 | 2011-11-11 | Off | 0 | 0 | Left | Surgery | Sports Hernia | 2011-11-11 | - | |
| 2011-04-13 | 2011-05-22 | 15-DL | 39 | 35 | Right | Upper Arm | Fracture | Humerus | - | |
| 2011-01-10 | 2011-01-10 | Off | 0 | 0 | General Medical | Respiratory | Pneumonia | - | ||
| 2010-09-05 | 2010-10-01 | DTD | 26 | 24 | Left | Trunk | Fracture | Ribs Running Into Structure | - | |
| 2010-09-01 | 2010-09-03 | DTD | 2 | 1 | Right | Knee | Inflammation | Patellar Tendinitis | - | |
| 2010-08-02 | 2010-08-03 | DTD | 1 | 0 | Right | Knee | Inflammation | Patellar Tendinitis | - | |
| 2010-07-31 | 2010-08-01 | DTD | 1 | 1 | Right | Knee | Inflammation | Patellar Tendinitis | - | |
| 2010-07-16 | 2010-07-16 | DTD | 0 | 0 | Right | Knee | Soreness | - | ||
| 2010-06-23 | 2010-06-24 | DTD | 1 | 1 | Thigh | Soreness | Hamstring | - | ||
| 2010-06-05 | 2010-06-05 | DTD | 0 | 0 | Knee | Soreness | - | |||
| 2010-03-16 | 2010-03-17 | Camp | 1 | 0 | Left | Hand | Contusion | HBP | - | |
| 2010-02-24 | 2010-03-08 | Camp | 12 | 0 | Left | Shoulder | Contusion | Diving for Ball | - | |
| 2009-09-27 | 2009-10-04 | DTD | 7 | 7 | Low Back | Neurological Injury | - | |||
| 2009-09-03 | 2009-09-25 | DTD | 22 | 19 | Low Back | Neurological Injury | - | |||
| 2009-06-01 | 2009-07-06 | 15-DL | 35 | 30 | Surgery | Sports Hernia | 2009-06-09 | |||
| 2009-05-21 | 2009-05-22 | DTD | 1 | 1 | Right | Groin | Soreness | - | ||
| 2009-05-18 | 2009-05-20 | DTD | 2 | 1 | Right | Groin | Strain | Mild | - | |
| 2009-04-27 | 2009-05-12 | 15-DL | 15 | 13 | Left | Trunk | Strain | Ribs | - | |
| 2009-04-22 | 2009-04-22 | DTD | 0 | 0 | Trunk | Contusion | Ribs | - | ||
| 2009-03-02 | 2009-03-04 | Camp | 2 | 0 | Left | Lower Leg | Strain | Achilles | - | |
| 2008-09-11 | 2008-09-11 | DTD | 0 | 0 | Right | Foot | Contusion | - | ||
| 2008-08-30 | 2008-08-30 | DTD | 0 | 0 | Face | Dental | Pain | - | ||
| 2008-08-27 | 2008-08-28 | DTD | 1 | 1 | Face | Dental | Abscessed Tooth | - | ||
| 2008-08-01 | 2008-08-01 | DTD | 0 | 0 | Head | Dizziness | - | |||
| 2008-06-26 | 2008-06-26 | DTD | 0 | 0 | Left | Hand | Contusion | HBP | - | |
| 2008-06-25 | 2008-06-26 | DTD | 1 | 1 | Left | Knee | Inflammation | - | ||
| 2008-06-08 | 2008-06-10 | DTD | 2 | 1 | General Medical | Illness | Virus | - | ||
| 2007-09-13 | 2007-10-01 | DTD | 18 | 17 | Right | Thigh | Strain | Hamstring | - | |
| 2007-09-06 | 2007-09-07 | DTD | 1 | 0 | - | Thigh | Soreness | Hamstring | - | |
| 2007-07-08 | 2007-08-12 | 15-DL | 35 | 29 | Right | Wrist | Sprain | - | ||
| 2007-05-19 | 2007-06-05 | 15-DL | 17 | 16 | - | General Medical | Illness | GI - Gasteroenteritis | - | |
| 2007-04-07 | 2007-04-09 | DTD | 2 | 2 | - | General Medical | Respiratory | Flu | - | |
| 2007-04-03 | 2007-04-06 | DTD | 3 | 2 | - | General Medical | Respiratory | Flu | - | |
| 2007-03-20 | 2007-03-21 | Camp | 1 | 0 | - | Lower Leg | Inflammation | Shin Splints | - | |
| 2002-07-12 | 2002-09-08 | Minors | 58 | 0 | Left | Elbow | Surgery | - | - | |
| 2002-07-12 | 2002-07-12 | Minors | 0 | 0 | Left | Shoulder | Surgery | - | - | |
| 2002-05-07 | 2002-05-16 | Minors | 9 | 0 | - | Trunk | Strain | Rib Cage | - | - |
| 2002-04-19 | 2002-04-29 | Minors | 10 | 0 | - | Low Back | Soreness | - | - | |
| 2002-04-02 | 2002-04-10 | Minors | 8 | 0 | - | Low Back | Soreness | - | - | |
| 2001-07-22 | 2001-09-08 | Minors | 48 | 0 | Left | Thigh | Strain | Quadriceps | - | - |
| 2001-05-22 | 2001-06-20 | Minors | 29 | 0 | - | Low Back | Strain | - | - | |
| 2000-08-09 | 2000-09-08 | Minors | 30 | 0 | Right | Knee | Surgery | Meniscus Lateral | - | - |
Compensation
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BP Articles
Josh Hamilton is referenced in the following articles.
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BP Chats
| Date | Question | Answer |
|---|---|---|
| 2012-02-09 13:00:00 | How does PECOTA handle guys like Colby Rasmus or Milton Bradley (or, on the positive side of the ledger, Josh Hamilton) whose obvious off-the-field issues clearly affect their performances? Does the search for comparables include a search for comparable behavior problems? (Bill from New Mexico) | That isn't something we can quantify a lot of the time. In the case of someone like Hamilton, it may play into some things we CAN quantify, like his playing time. (Colin Wyers) |
| 2012-02-09 13:00:00 | If you were the GM of the Rangers, would you even entertain a long term offer for Josh Hamilton? (Robyn from Sweden) | Entertain? Yes. It depends on the years and the money.
In general, my sense is that long term deals don't account for enough downside risk, and Hamilton's downside risk is greater than otherwise similar ballplayers. Absent the risk of a serious relapse, he seems far more brittle than the typical player. But if he's willing to sign a deal that takes into account those things, then yeah, I'd sign him. I don't know if he's willing to, though, nor do I know if another team is willing to offer him a deal better than that. (Colin Wyers) |
| 2012-01-26 13:00:00 | With Texas possibly offering Josh Hamilton an extension, wouldn't they be better off spending that money on Matt Cain, Cole Hamels or Zack Grienke? Assuming Mike Young and Hamilton are out of the 2013 picture, they can still fill an OF spot with Victorino, DYoung, or Melky. Of course, #TheLegend can probably play RF better than anyone on the roster. (Joe Random from In line at Shake Shack) | I wouldn't offer Hamilton an extension. I would let him walk and use those resources elsewhere. (Jason Parks) |
| 2012-01-09 13:00:00 | When you get your actual vote, will you stick with the extremely strict standard you have now in JAWS (must be above average)? It seems to me that the standard has been set and going to something like the 25th percentile (or something logically calculated to maintain the average rather than increase it) seems most fair to potential honorees and best for the fans of the era.
Also: for the inconsistency file -- Josh Hamilton kicking drugs is a wonderful success story and he is christened a role model; Tim Raines kicking drugs is a discredit to the man. (Alan from Oakland) | As I said before, there are non-WARP related components of a player's case to consider, such as postseason and awards, and even the shape of the slash-score (ahead on peak but not career is an argument I can make, for example), so I am not as strict as some like to believe.
As for the 25th percentile, or any other, I don't see why it makes sense to set an arbitrary line. The median works horribly - you want we should start making cases on behalf of Chet Lemon? - and the mean is a concept that makes intuitive sense. How far below the mean one is willing to go should depend on the strength of the other facets of a player's case. As for Hamilton versus Raines, I'd wager there's a race-based double standard going on there, aided by the fact that Hamilton is outspoken about the role of faith in his recovery. Maybe Raines needs to lean more heavily on Jesus. Wait, that's a terrible idea... (Jay Jaffe's Hall of Fame Special) |
| 2012-01-30 13:00:00 | Looking into your crystal ball, what free agents at the end of the year will the Dodgers go hard for since they will have new owners who will want to make a statement? Other than the obvious Cole Hamels (CharlieWerner from York, PA) | Really tough to say--there's some pitching in the class, but not a ton of position player excitement to be had. Josh Hamilton? Howie Kendrick? (Steven Goldman) |
| 2011-05-09 13:00:00 | Does it matter to scouts if a player comes from a loving single parent household versus a loving duel parent household? (Marissa from Las Vegas) | As long as they are loving, absolutely not. You certainly pay attention to a kid's background, but it's a complex thing. Plenty of good players (AND good kids) from bad backgrounds, and plenty of players who came from what seemed like great backgrounds who went on to have troubles like Josh Hamilton. (Kevin Goldstein) |
| 2011-04-13 13:00:00 | What's your take on the Josh Hamilton injury? Is he wrong for calling out Dave Anderson? Hamilton's obviously injury-prone and the Rangers have succeeded without him before. Yet, how big of a blow is the injury to their chances this year? Thanks for the chat. (Steve A from Detroit) | Recorded a segment on BP podcast about this last night. Unfortunate injury, but that's what you get with Hamilton. He plays balls to the wall and his body pays the price for his aggressive play. I think his comments about Anderson were unfortunate as well. I'm a huge fan of Hamilton the baseball player, but I've never been a fan of Hamilton the human. (Jason Parks) |
| 2011-04-13 13:00:00 | If Josh Hamilton was black, would sports writers be calling for his release? (Bob from Seattle) | Well, without getting too deep into this subject, I will say that on the podcast I mentioned that if Hamilton's last name was Hernandez, and if he wasn't the poster child for the great redemption tale, the media would probably be examining his comments about his coach with a sharper focus. Perhaps I'm wrong, but the guy gets a pass more than most players, and his fairy tale is a major variable in that equation. (Jason Parks) |
| 2011-04-13 13:00:00 | Next time I see Josh Hamilton at our local Pizza Inn buffet, should I recommend that he grab pizza slices with a) a hands first sliding motion, b) a feet first sliding motion with a fork in the cleats, or c) have his kids get his pizza for him? (jhardman from Apex, NC) | D) Tell him that the pizza tonight is straight-up Biblical. Old Testament shit, Josh. (Jason Parks) |
| 2011-04-12 13:00:00 | Thanks for answering my earlier questions. From a fantasy baseball perspective (in a league that counts OBP and SLG), would you rather have Nelson Cruz or Josh Hamilton over the next three years? Over the last couple years, Cruz had 515 plate appearances in 2009 and 445 in 2010, Hamilton had 365 in 2009 and 571 in 2010. Cruz would be cheaper to purchase in the auction, but would only qualify at LF and RF while Hamilton qualifies in CF. Thanks again! (Dennis from LA) | I really like Cruz's bat, and while neither player has been the picture of health, I think Hamilton is less likely to stay in the lineup. What's more, Hamilton's days of qualifying in center might be numbered. Put your next draft on Cruz control. (Ben Lindbergh) |
| 2010-09-29 13:00:00 | I must be missing something here ...if Josh Hamilton hurts himself every year running into outfield walls, particulary in center, why not make him a DH or put him in left?
The guy's too valuable. I know he likes to play Pete Reiser in the outfield but his career and talent will be wasted if he keeps this up.
(john from ct) | A center fielder who hits like Josh Hamilton is quite a competitive advantage, even more so than a left fielder or DH who hits like Josh Hamilton would be, so I understand the temptation to leave him out there as long as he can handle the position. You're right, though--there comes a point at which the time he misses as a result of his style of play makes that positional advantage a wash. I don't know if he's there yet. (Ben Lindbergh) |
| 2010-09-13 13:00:00 | Please fill in the blank.
This is the best NL Rookie Class since ________ (blank).
Thanks!
Bobby
(Bobby from New York) | Are we going strictly by league? Because the 2007 class had Ryan Braun, Troy Tulowitzki, Dustin Pedroia and Josh Hamilton among hitters, Tim Lincecum and Joakim Soria among pitchers. 2006 had Hanley Ramirez, Ryan Zimmerman, Andre Ethier, Prince Fielder, Ian Kinsler, Francisco Liriano, Justin Verlander, Jered Weaver, Josh Johnson, Matt Cain, Cole Hamels, Jonathan Papelbon (who used to not suck), Jonathan Broxton (ditto)...
There's a lot to be excited about with this year's rookie class (Posey, Heyward, Santana, Stanton) but I'm in no rush to appoint them the best class of the past five years until I see much more. (Jay Jaffe) |
| 2010-08-26 13:00:00 | Hi Marc,
How bout this Josh Hamilton. How do you predict him going forward? Projection systems did not like him this year - is he a 1st round pick next year?
What about Arod? Slow descent continues? (makewayhomer from Brookline) | I wasn't sure how his injuries would affect Hamilton this year so I was a bit cautious with my ranking of him at first, then I moved him into the four-star category with an "Assuming he's healthy" asterisk on him. Well, he's been healthy, and he's been ridiculous. I think don't think we'll see another 2010 out of him--his BABIP has been at or above .400 for much of the year, which is high even given his swing and home park. But you shouldn't worry about a stop in production in the future either.
And yes on Alex Rodriguez. I thought his PECOTA forecast was a little too optimistic this year, and it turns out there may have been something to that thinking. (Marc Normandin) |
| 2010-08-04 13:00:00 | Taking the over or under on 0.5 MVPs for Robinson Cano in the next 5 years? (Donnie from Out of his element) | I'm going to take the under. He's been great this year, but it's pretty clear he won't get it given the big years by Josh Hamilton and Miguel Cabrera. I would think there will always be a bulky first baseman to overpower him. (Steven Goldman) |
| 2010-07-01 14:00:00 | Is there a player in baseball with better all around tools than Josh Hamilton? Its pretty awesome watching him when he's healthy and in the zone...Justin Upton? (ramjam36 from Fort Worth, TX) | Both good candidates. Hamilton is nothing short of ridiculous. The fact that he's this good after almost throwing his career, hell, his life away, shows just what at amazing athlete he is. (Kevin Goldstein) |
| 2010-03-17 14:00:00 | Ron Washington tests positive for Cocaine last year. Ramifications? Does it affect how he interacts w/Josh Hamilton? (lemppi from Ankeny, IA) | I couldn't say one way or another about Hamilton, and I don't know what the ramifications might be. Well, this all happened last year, and he went to rehab. Washington isn't dysfunctional as a manager, so while this was something to get a handle on, I'd rather see him still taken seriously than stigmatized and flat-out fired. As a social issue, dealing with issues of addiction actively, instead of sweeping them under the rug... it seems like a step in the right direction as far as policy. (Christina Kahrl) |
| 2010-03-08 13:00:00 | Do you expect Josh Hamilton and Rich Harden to stay healthy for the Rangers? Along with Vlad Guerrero this seems like a risky club Jon Daniels has put together. (SprungOnSports from Long Island) | The Rangers THR is already up, where there's a lot more discussion of those players. I think the Rangers did accept some risk with those players, but I think they understand that and have "Plan B" in place for each of them. They're not lacking for depth. (Will Carroll) |
| 2010-03-04 13:00:00 | Can you help me choose a one keepers from this list: Jason Bay $12, Josh Hamilton $6, Rafael Soriano $4, Julio Borbon $4. Thanks. (hhbliss from san francisco ) | How did you get all of those guys at those prices? $12 is a steal for Bay. Hamilton's price is also awesome, but if he doesn't bounce back you'll regret not taking Bay. (Marc Normandin) |
| 2010-01-21 13:00:00 | Is Josh Hamilton a good target in keeper leagues as a buy low, or have we seen the end of his brief period in the first round? (Gregor from Bangor) | I would bump him out of the first, not necessarily because he's falling back in talent or production, but because I think there may be enough talent at the front end to bump him. He was sort of a questionable first round guy anyways, I felt he was an early second last year. (Marc Normandin) |
| 2009-10-02 14:00:00 | I always thought Josh Hamilton for 50K was a pretty bad deal...that's in retrospect. obviously in the moment nobody really thought it'd turn out this way. (jklein from Tinley Park, Il) | Another case where the player is five lengths behind the legend. Hamilton has had two good halves in three years and couldn't stay on the field in two of them. (Joe Sheehan) |
| 2009-09-10 13:00:00 | Nats fans were really pleased to see Nyjer Morgan respond to the trade from the Pirates. Do you expect a full recovery from his broken hand and similar numbers (albeit not .350avg over the whole year) with the Nats next season? (Kdub34 from Washington) | He'll recover from the hand, but then he'll go back to being Nyjer Morgan. He's a great guy to interview or have in the clubhouse because of his positive outlook and genuine happiness to be where he is, but on a good team he's a fourth OF. If you have a guy like JD Drew or Josh Hamilton (or Manny Ramirez, for defensive reasons) then Morgan's not a bad fit. (Will Carroll) |
| 2009-09-10 13:00:00 | Will, I'm puzzled by Josh Hamilton this year. Do you think he is just one of those guys that's always going to be dinged up and have a DL stint or two a season? (Liam426 from Smithson, OH) | We don't know. He could be. We have 2008 and 2009 to go on, with absolutely no good comp for him. 2010 will be the decider, but health is all that he lacks. (Will Carroll) |
| 2009-09-08 13:00:00 | Do you think Josh Hamilton comes back and comes back strong this season, or can us redrafters just pitch him to the wind? (Jim Clancy from Exhibition Stadium) | I think he can. I wouldn't use a keeper pick on him or anything, but I think he can rebound. He's shown power at times and contact at times, but neither at the same time in 2009. (Marc Normandin) |
| 2009-08-11 13:00:00 | You tweeted about Josh Hamilton's night of binging and how it didn't violate something, maybe a drug policy or something... I didn't quite understand, what did you think he may have been in violation of? (mwball75 from Cincinnati, OH) | He's in an aftercare program, which is basically enhanced testing plus some other conditions agreed to between Hamilton and the Rangers. Alcohol is not a banned substance, so while he may have negotiated consequences with the team, it does not affect his standing with MLB. A cocaine positive would trigger a significant penalty on top of a 50-game suspension. (Will Carroll) |
| 2009-08-05 13:00:00 | taking a clue from your previous response and limiting my question to one name- Josh Hamilton. What's with him? How can one guy injure himself so often? What happened to Roy Hobbs? (john from ct) | The injury thing happens to a lot of players, which is sad. Eric Davis is the worst one that comes to mind for me, given his talent level.
I'm sure Hamilton can bounce back, but those struggles during his rehab stints are pretty ugly. Give him some time to recover fully. (Marc Normandin) |
| 2009-06-15 13:00:00 | Hey Will,
Its ironic that Edinson Volquez and Josh Hamilton both had All-Star season last year and are both on the DL at the same time this season. Which player comes back stronger this season and whom would you select for "your team" for the rest of their career? (BK from Terry's Turf Club) | I'll always pick the hitter (and I have Hamilton on my historically bad Tout team). Did you really think I'd take a pitcher off a Dusty-managed team? (Will Carroll) |
| 2009-04-08 15:00:00 | That was an unexpected and interesting effort. It makes me wonder about Josh Hamilton, for instance - what were the reports, if any, on his makeup going into the draft? Did the D-Rays have any idea what they were getting into? More generally, I suppose, is how often does the experience of professional baseball affect a young kid's makeup? (Stephanie from DC) | Hamilton is a totally unique case. Makeup was seen as good coming out, but at the same time, there were significant concerns about a very sheltered upbringing, which probably played a role in his first exposure to the real world. (Kevin Goldstein) |
| 2009-03-03 13:00:00 | There are a few players who differ drastically on BP vs. other rankings. Can you please explain this in general (eg, are steals weighted more on BP?) and specifically address the following players:
Josh Hamilton, Carlos Lee, Vic Martinez, Furcal, Votto...
thanks! (Eric from LA) | Well, I like balanced players (I feel like I'm starting to sound like a broken record with that today). I don't care much for players who excel in one single category if they can't help you out elsewhere; it's not that I avoid them entirely, but I prefer letting other people overvalue them. I don't weight SB more than other categories; I would say I may be guilty of giving power a bit more credit than the others, solely because I think it helps with RBI, and if a guy has a high OBP and is on a good team, I give him a bit more of a boost because of his R, especially if he can also swing the bat a bit.
I do use steals as a tiebreaker often it seems, for when players are similar otherwise. (Marc Normandin) |
| 2008-09-08 13:00:00 | Dan Uggla. Josh Hamilton. Who's the next Rule V stud? (Dan H from Manhattan) | Too early. We need to know who's protected before we can make any bold predictions there. (Derek Jacques) |
| 2008-08-27 13:00:00 | Although it wasn't due to injury, couldn't Wily Mo Pena be used as an example for how missing years of development lowers someone's ceiling? That major league contract killed his development. (birkem3 from Dayton, OH) | I'd have to counter with Josh Hamilton and say we need a much bigger sample size. Seriously, the idea of testing this is really exciting. (Will Carroll) |
| 2008-08-13 14:00:00 | Kevin, you had this to say about Josh Hamilton in your Rangers FS-Top11: "To go into a rant about how Hamilton is inexplicably treated like a hero in some circles, including receiving a key to the city of Raleigh this month, and how this is a representation of everything wrong with this country's value system, would likely require another 1,000 words and only tick off my editors and some of my readers–-we'll see if this sentence floats through as is and serves its purpose." Would you care to elaborate with a few sentences instead of 1000 words? Thanks. (svengurl from plano) | You just want to get me in trouble here, don't you. Look, Josh should be admired for his recovery. At the same time, the lavish praise he receives, for simply being WHERE HE SHOULD BE kind of offends me. Pick some other player, a guy who simply did what he should have done and stayed clean and got there and give him a key to the city. That never happens, and I just don't get why the guy who dug himself a huge hold and got out of it deserves more praise than the guy who avoided the hole in the first place. I now eagerly await the slew of emails calling me various things and telling me I know nothing of addiction or whatever. (Kevin Goldstein) |
| 2008-08-13 14:00:00 | I take your Josh Hamilton point, but I think the division lies along the line of those who think addiction is a disease that is outside of the addict's control. Yes, Hamilton put himself in that position; but his disease made it immeasurably harder for him to dig himself out of it. That he did is commendable, and he should be held up as an example to other recovering addicts out there. (shamah from NYC) | I agree on you're last two points completely, but you have to admit that the praise he's getting is far more than that. Whomever, so kind of normal player on that team who had no problems -- I don't know, German Duran or something is a far better role model, no? (Kevin Goldstein) |
| 2008-06-24 13:00:00 | I maintain to my buddies that what we've seen the last two years from Josh Hamilton (not just the drugs, but never playing above A-ball and very little playing time the prior few years) and Rick Ankiel (conversion to hitter) are probably the two most amazing stories I've seen in my baseball-fan lifetime (I'm 33). Where would you put them in the history of the game? (Clint from Chicago) | I think you're absolutely right - this came up in the last chat some - when F. Scott Fitzgerald said there are no second acts in American lives he was full of it. The problem, Scott, is that there are no second acts if you can't get your head out of the bottle. Well, he was right in the sense that most people don't get their heads out of the bottle. They don't get their heads out of whatever problem has crippled them. Hamilton and Ankiel did, and that's always something admirable in any field. It's the same reason that I admire Casey Stengel so much - because he had spent 25 years being dismissed as a kook and an idiot and yet he kept coming back. There are many more Hack Wilsons in the history of the game than there are Hamiltons. Ankiel's problems were different, not substance related, but there are only so many Ankiel/Lefty O'Doul (Johnny Cooney?) -type stories to go around. (Steven Goldman) |
| 2008-06-24 13:00:00 | Josh Hamilton > Eddie Milner. See, I'm learning. (Marc Normandin from The Desk He Can't Escape) | Another '80s contributor heard from... Getting back to the whole Hamilton thing, you of course know that baseball had a big drug problem in the 1980s. There's an interesting dichotomy between the players that got help on their own without getting caught first, the players that got help after getting caught, and then the players who got caught, didn't get help, and got dead. You can't oversimplify dealing with addiction. (Steven Goldman) |
| 2008-06-20 13:30:00 | I hear scouts say the ball sounds different when it comes off Josh Hamilton's bat, kinda Babe and Ted like. How good is this "kid"? He seems to actually be getting better. (john from ct) | He's 27. He hasn't had reps, so he could get a bit better, but I suspect we're seeing Hamilton's peak. And that thing about how the ball sounds different? I'm sure they believe it, but were they saying that in 2006? (Joe Sheehan) |
| 2008-06-17 15:00:00 | Are you coming around at all on the job I've been doing as Rangers g.m.? (Jon Daniels from Arlington, Texas) | Lots of Rangers questions today... Jon, like most GMs you've got your high and low points. I gave you high praise for the haul you got at the deadline last year (http://www.nysun.com/sports/texas-holds-a-fire-sale-to-salvage-future/59557/), and both Josh Hamilton and Milton Bradley can hit. But that pitching staff is a fright -- both the rotation and bullpen -- even without the Bad Knight of Aruba, and I certainly wonder if Edinson Volquez could have helped your team more than Hamilton. (Jay Jaffe) |
| 2008-05-28 13:00:00 | Care to entertain why Josh Hamilton's "story" is a feel-good story? Seriously, we shouldn't flaunt a former full-fledged drug addict. (jlarsen from DRays Bay) | Because he didn't have to come back. He could have just remained an addict and squandered all his abilities on his disease. Anyone who gets their life under control is alright with me. Would you have him wear a scarlet A for Addict on his chest for the rest of his life? Redemption, I think, is something that we should always "flaunt." Look at the healing power of baseball. And just to give you a sense of HOW unusual it is, since I've been thinking about the 1980s, a lot of ballplayers from that period who had drug problems ended up dead - Rod Scurry, Alan Wiggins, Eric Show, Steve Howe - Hamilton's story had a pretty big alternative ending, and it wasn't pretty. (Steven Goldman) |
| 2008-05-05 12:30:00 | Were you one of the seven million of us to see Iron Man this weekend? It was awesome! If not, what have you seen lately? (Steve M from Terre Haute) | I didn't see "Iron Man" this weekend, but I have plans to later in the week, and I'm already excited. When the critics and my friends agree a movie is fantastic ... well, I usually hate it. But here's to hoping this one bucks the trend. And kudos to Robert Downey Jr. for a Josh Hamilton-like return from drug problems. The last movie I saw in theatres was "Forgetting Sarah Marshall", which was, probably worth the matinee price but nothing special. The Apatow brand is certainly making chick flicks more accessible to males, though, I'll say that. (Bryan Smith) |
| 2008-05-05 12:30:00 | Are "busted prospects" the next Moneyball-type steals? Brandon Phillips, Josh Hamilton, etc. (Hank from Colorado) | Ha, good question. If anything, I think these guys teach organizations that it's never a good thing to quit on a guy with fantastic talent. Now the Rays had no choice with Hamilton, who was truly just a prescient pick by the Reds. But with Phillips, I think the Indians quit on him a little early. It was easy to do given that he was running his mouth, but I think you wait it out. (Bryan Smith) |
| 2008-03-18 17:00:00 | There are very few questions about Josh Hamilton's ability and production. However, every Rangers fan finds himself posing this query; can the man stay healthy and out of trouble? (Or from Dallas) | Out of trouble? Yes. Healthy? A much less definite yes. (Jim Baker) |
| 2008-03-17 12:00:00 | I know ST numbers don't mean much but Josh Hamilton has been on fire, what do you expect out of him this year? (Taylor from Toronto) | If Hamilton is my 3rd OF I sleep better at night. Guys have had bad years in Texas before and I'm rooting for him but not sure what will happen after last year being storybook until getting hurt. If he makes it to 450 AB's he could put up some solid numbers but a lot going against him mentally and physically. (Mike Siano) |
| 2008-03-17 12:00:00 | Do you see a bounceback year for me? Would you rather have me or Josh Hamilton in a dynasty league? (Vernon Wells from Toronto) | I'd rather avoid both to be honest but gun to my head I take Hamilton I guess which isn't saying a bunch. (Mike Siano) |
| 2008-03-03 13:00:00 | Josh Hamilton hits ___ HRs this year, which is ___ more than Geovanny Soto. (Matt from Saint Paul) | 24; 4 (Kevin Goldstein) |
| 2008-02-29 13:00:00 | I know that way back when, Hamilton was throwing 95 mph. Is his outfield arm still 80 on the scouting scale? (Or from Dallas) | A throwing question right off the bat, excellent.
In the essay "Expanding the Cannon" that you'll find in BP2K8 you'll see that among center fielders Josh Hamilton ranked 5th at +3.9 runs saved with his arm. That metric is composed of four components: hit advancement, throwing out runners stretching, fly ball advancement, and "other". Hamilton did well in both hit advancement and fly ball advancement (by virtue of just 4 of 35 runners advancing) although in 145 stretch opportunities he didn't nab anyone. Of course he did all of this in just 62 adjusted games. In the essay I also describe the rate statistic scaled to 550 opportunities and there he ended up at +8.9 behind a few other guys with limited playing time (for example Jason Lane and Jacque Jones who had 29 and 72 adjusted games in center respectively. Among centerfielders who played more Ichiro Suzuki came out on top at +6.0 in 149 adjusted games with Andruw Jones and Bill Hall next in line. By all accounts he does have a fine arm but of course in a smaller sample like this I would take these results with a grain of salt. It'll be interesting to see what he does with even more playing time in Texas in 2008. (Dan Fox) |
| 2008-01-29 16:00:00 | What are you expecting from Josh Hamilton this year? (ericmilburn from San Francisco) | Nothing. I don't think it would be fair to expect anything from a guy who, not three years ago, was snorting cocaine while living in a roach-infested hellhole. I am in awe of how Hamilton has turned his life around, but the cocaine demons never, ever leave once you've invited them to the party. Just look at Darrell Porter, or at least look at his tombstone. Cocaine is a hell of a drug.
And on that depressing note, I must leave you all. Take care, and prepare to fear the powder blues! (Rany Jazayerli) |
| 2008-02-19 13:00:00 | What are the odds of Josh Hamilton staying healthy all year and getting 550 or 600 at-bats for the Newberg Report faithful down here in Texas? (James from Lubbock, Texas) | It's very hard to project his health for so many reasons. I'd say he'd be better off in a platoon for a year to kind of build up to it. (Will Carroll) |
| 2008-01-22 19:00:00 | Bill James' 2008 Handbook projections seem to have Jay Bruce "penciled in" in CF for the Reds his year. Not only that, but those projections are huge. The question is, was the move of Josh Hamilton made with the idea that it'll be much easier to return Ryan Freel to his super-sub role at midseason than it would've been to try to shoehorn Bruce in, or is management serious about giving him the job as long as he doesn't have a disappointing camp? The Braves arguably gave up a considerable amount (in Joey Devine) to buy Jordan Schafer a little more time at a higher level - would Bruce not benefit from at least a couple more months' development at a higher level? (clvclv from Marion, NC) | I'm a big fan of getting superior talent to the major leagues at an early age, especially in the case of position players (not so much with pitchers). What is Bruce going to do in Triple A in 2008 that he didn't already do? If he's going to sit on the bench most of the time, then, yes, send him back. I think he can play in the bigs now, albeit at a reduced rate for a year or so. (Jim Baker) |
| 2008-01-23 13:00:00 | What's PECOTA's take on the players Cincy and Texas swapped? (Josh Hamilton is one; can't recall the pitcher's name who came to Cincy.) Thanks! (jromero from Seattle) | Well, PECOTA's quite optimistic on Hamilton, but that's one of those cases where PECOTA can't really tell you much of anything. There's no precedent to go on and barely even a decent sample size's worth of data, and he gets a good projection because what data we do have on him is good. Still, though, I think that was a fairly dubious trade by the Reds. (Nate Silver) |
| 2008-01-09 13:00:00 | Will Jay Bruce go north in Centerfield this spring? (NMUWildcat027 from Lapeer, MI) | That's why they traded Josh Hamilton. (Kevin Goldstein) |
BP Roundtables
| Date | Roundtable Name | Comment |
|---|---|---|
| 2009-10-28 17:00:00 | 2009 WS Game One | Chase Utley just channeled Josh Hamilton. Wow, how far did that fly? (Will Carroll) |
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