Biographical

Portrait of David Ortiz

David Ortiz 1BRed Sox

Red Sox Player Cards | Red Sox Team Audit | Red Sox Depth Chart

2013 Projections (seasonal age 37) - Rest of Season Projections
PA AVG HR R RBI SB TAv WARP
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Birth Date11-18-1975
Height6' 4"
Weight230 lbs
Age37 years, 6 months, 1 days
BatsL
ThrowsL
0.82009
3.02010
3.22011
3.32012
2.92013
+proj

Standard

YEAR TEAM AGE G PA AB R H 2B 3B HR TB BB SO HBP SF SH RBI SB CS AVG OBP SLG TAv VORP FRAA WARP
1997 MIN 21 15 51 49 10 16 3 0 1 22 2 19 0 0 0 6 0 0 .327 .353 .449 .256 0.3 0.2 0.0
1998 MIN 22 86 326 278 47 77 20 0 9 124 39 72 5 4 0 46 1 0 .277 .371 .446 .278 12.4 -1.9 1.0
1999 MIN 23 10 25 20 1 0 0 0 0 0 5 12 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000 .200 .000 .081 -5.3 -0.0 -0.5
2000 MIN 24 130 478 415 59 117 36 1 10 185 57 81 0 6 0 63 1 0 .282 .364 .446 .272 13.2 -0.3 1.2
2001 MIN 25 89 347 303 46 71 17 1 18 144 40 68 1 2 1 48 1 0 .234 .324 .475 .261 3.2 -0.3 0.3
2002 MIN 26 125 466 412 52 112 32 1 20 206 43 87 3 8 0 75 1 2 .272 .339 .500 .290 15.4 -0.1 1.5
2003 BOS 27 128 509 448 79 129 39 2 31 265 58 83 1 2 0 101 0 0 .288 .369 .592 .306 30.9 1.3 3.2
2004 BOS 28 150 669 582 94 175 47 3 41 351 75 133 4 8 0 139 0 0 .301 .380 .603 .313 42.4 -0.5 4.1
2005 BOS 29 159 713 601 119 180 40 1 47 363 102 124 1 9 0 148 1 0 .300 .397 .604 .329 49.5 -0.1 5.0
2006 BOS 30 151 686 558 115 160 29 2 54 355 119 117 4 5 0 137 1 0 .287 .413 .636 .341 62.8 0.6 6.2
2007 BOS 31 149 667 549 116 182 52 1 35 341 111 103 4 3 0 117 3 1 .332 .445 .621 .342 62.7 -0.4 6.1
2008 BOS 32 109 491 416 74 110 30 1 23 211 70 74 1 3 1 89 1 0 .264 .369 .507 .289 18.8 0.0 1.9
2009 BOS 33 150 627 541 77 129 35 1 28 250 74 134 5 7 0 99 0 2 .238 .332 .462 .268 7.5 0.4 0.8
2010 BOS 34 145 606 518 86 140 36 1 32 274 82 145 2 4 0 102 0 1 .270 .370 .529 .304 28.4 -0.1 3.0
2011 BOS 35 146 605 525 84 162 40 1 29 291 78 83 1 1 0 96 1 1 .309 .398 .554 .311 30.4 -0.1 3.2
2012 BOS 36 90 383 324 65 103 26 0 23 198 56 51 0 3 0 60 0 1 .318 .415 .611 .343 30.9 0.1 3.3
2013 BOS 37 24 103 94 16 34 9 0 7 64 8 12 0 1 0 29 0 0 .362 .408 .681 .350 9.3 0.0 1.0
Career1856775266331140189749116408364410191398326621355118.286.380.549.306412.7-1.241.3

Advanced

'opp' stats - quality of opponents faced - have been moved and are available only as OPP_QUAL in the Statistics reports now.
YEAR Team Lg G PA TAv oppAVG oppOBP oppSLG oppTAv BABIP BPF BRAA repLVL POS_ADJ FRAA BRR BVORP BWARP VORP WARP
1996 WIS A 129 548 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .382 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1997 MIN MLB 15 51 .256 .271 .335 .430 .000 .517 100 -0.2 1.4 -0.9 0.2 -0.5 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.0
1997 FTM A+ 0 262 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .382 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1997 NBR AA 0 283 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .416 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1997 SLC AAA 0 44 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .185 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1998 MIN MLB 86 326 .278 .269 .332 .429 .000 .338 100 6.3 8.9 -6.1 -1.9 0.2 12.4 1.0 12.4 1.0
1998 SLC AAA 0 40 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .269 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1999 MIN MLB 10 25 .081 .260 .337 .407 .000 .000 99 -5.2 0.7 -0.4 -0.0 -0.4 -5.3 -0.5 -5.3 -0.5
1999 SLC AAA 0 558 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .352 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2000 MIN MLB 130 478 .272 .272 .339 .436 .000 .324 93 7 13.6 -9.3 -0.3 0.0 13.2 1.2 13.2 1.2
2001 MIN MLB 89 347 .261 .270 .333 .432 .000 .242 100 0.4 9.5 -6.6 -0.3 0.0 3.2 0.3 3.2 0.3
2001 FTM A+ 1 4 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2001 NBR AA 9 41 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .321 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2002 MIN MLB 125 466 .290 .264 .325 .421 .000 .294 98 15.1 12.5 -8.3 -0.1 -4.1 15.4 1.5 15.4 1.5
2003 BOS MLB 128 509 .306 .267 .326 .422 .000 .292 105 25.6 13.9 -9.4 1.3 -0.3 30.9 3.2 30.9 3.2
2004 BOS MLB 150 669 .313 .269 .331 .430 .000 .322 106 39.3 18.3 -12.7 -0.5 -2.2 42.4 4.1 42.4 4.1
2005 BOS MLB 159 713 .329 .265 .325 .420 .000 .303 105 52.6 18.9 -13.1 -0.1 -8.9 49.5 5.0 49.5 5.0
2006 BOS MLB 151 686 .341 .269 .329 .425 .000 .270 99 62.1 18.9 -13.2 0.6 -5.1 62.8 6.2 62.8 6.2
2007 BOS MLB 149 667 .342 .269 .330 .414 .000 .355 103 60.9 19.2 -12.7 -0.4 -3.5 62.7 6.1 62.7 6.1
2008 BOS MLB 109 491 .289 .264 .324 .413 .000 .270 104 15.4 14.0 -9.1 0.0 -0.8 18.8 1.9 18.8 1.9
2008 PME AA 3 10 .221 .267 .303 .386 .000 .286 100 -0.4 0.3 -0.2 0.0 -0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2008 PAW AAA 3 12 .535 .272 .337 .432 .000 .000 97 3.8 0.3 -0.2 0.0 -0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2009 BOS MLB 150 627 .268 .264 .327 .423 .000 .262 106 5.3 18.1 -11.5 0.4 -3.7 7.5 0.8 7.5 0.8
2010 BOS MLB 145 606 .304 .256 .317 .405 .000 .313 104 27 17.2 -10.6 -0.1 -4.1 28.4 3.0 28.4 3.0
2011 BOS MLB 146 605 .311 .251 .311 .396 .000 .321 106 30.3 10.9 -10.3 -0.1 -5.1 30.4 3.2 30.4 3.2
2012 BOS MLB 90 383 .343 .253 .312 .406 .000 .316 105 31.2 6.9 -6.6 0.1 -3.4 30.9 3.3 30.9 3.3
2013 BOS MLB 24 103 .350 .266 .322 .430 .267 .355 104 9.2 2.8 -1.8 0.0 -0.9 9.3 1.0 9.3 1.0
2013 PAW AAA 6 18 .172 .267 .335 .381 .259 .273 93 -1.8 0.5 -0.3 0.0 0.0 -1.6 -0.2 -1.6 -0.2
CareerMLB7752.306.264.326.419.260.304103383.6209.8-142.7-1.2-42.5414.441.5414.441.5

Statistics For All Levels

Year Team Lg PA R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG ISO TAv VORP FRAA WARP
1996 WIS A 548 89 156 34 2 18 93 52 108 3 4 .322 .392 .511 .190 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
1997 FTM A+ 262 45 79 15 0 13 58 22 53 2 1 .331 .389 .556 .226 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
1997 NBR AA 283 40 83 22 2 14 56 21 78 2 6 .322 .382 .585 .264 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
1997 SLC AAA 44 5 9 1 0 4 10 2 11 0 1 .214 .250 .524 .310 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
1997 MIN MLB 51 10 16 3 0 1 6 2 19 0 0 .327 .353 .449 .122 .256 0.3 0.2 0.0
1998 SLC AAA 40 5 9 3 0 2 6 3 9 0 0 .243 .300 .486 .243 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
1998 MIN MLB 326 47 77 20 0 9 46 39 72 1 0 .277 .371 .446 .169 .278 12.4 -1.9 1.0
1999 SLC AAA 558 85 150 35 3 30 110 79 105 2 2 .315 .416 .590 .275 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
1999 MIN MLB 25 1 0 0 0 0 0 5 12 0 0 .000 .200 .000 .000 .081 -5.3 -0.0 -0.5
2000 MIN MLB 478 59 117 36 1 10 63 57 81 1 0 .282 .364 .446 .164 .272 13.2 -0.3 1.2
2001 FTM A+ 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 .000 .250 .000 .000 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
2001 NBR AA 41 3 9 4 0 0 1 3 9 0 0 .243 .300 .351 .108 .000 0.0 0.0 0.0
2001 MIN MLB 347 46 71 17 1 18 48 40 68 1 0 .234 .324 .475 .241 .261 3.2 -0.3 0.3
2002 MIN MLB 466 52 112 32 1 20 75 43 87 1 2 .272 .339 .500 .228 .290 15.4 -0.1 1.5
2003 BOS MLB 509 79 129 39 2 31 101 58 83 0 0 .288 .369 .592 .304 .306 30.9 1.3 3.2
2004 BOS MLB 669 94 175 47 3 41 139 75 133 0 0 .301 .380 .603 .302 .313 42.4 -0.5 4.1
2005 BOS MLB 713 119 180 40 1 47 148 102 124 1 0 .300 .397 .604 .304 .329 49.5 -0.1 5.0
2006 BOS MLB 686 115 160 29 2 54 137 119 117 1 0 .287 .413 .636 .349 .341 62.8 0.6 6.2
2007 BOS MLB 667 116 182 52 1 35 117 111 103 3 1 .332 .445 .621 .290 .342 62.7 -0.4 6.1
2008 PME AA 10 2 2 0 0 0 1 2 1 0 0 .250 .400 .250 .000 .221 0.0 0.0 0.0
2008 PAW AAA 12 4 3 0 0 3 5 3 2 0 0 .333 .500 1.333 1.000 .535 0.0 0.0 0.0
2008 BOS MLB 491 74 110 30 1 23 89 70 74 1 0 .264 .369 .507 .243 .289 18.8 0.0 1.9
2009 BOS MLB 627 77 129 35 1 28 99 74 134 0 2 .238 .332 .462 .224 .268 7.5 0.4 0.8
2010 BOS MLB 606 86 140 36 1 32 102 82 145 0 1 .270 .370 .529 .259 .304 28.4 -0.1 3.0
2011 BOS MLB 605 84 162 40 1 29 96 78 83 1 1 .309 .398 .554 .246 .311 30.4 -0.1 3.2
2012 BOS MLB 383 65 103 26 0 23 60 56 51 0 1 .318 .415 .611 .293 .343 30.9 0.1 3.3
2013 PAW AAA 18 3 4 0 0 1 4 0 6 0 0 .222 .222 .389 .167 .172 -1.6 0.0 -0.2
2013 BOS MLB 103 16 34 9 0 7 29 8 12 0 0 .362 .408 .681 .319 .350 9.3 0.0 1.0

Injury History beta

Date On Date Off Transaction Days Games Side Body Part Injury Severity Surgery Date Reaggravation
2013-05-03 2013-05-03 DTD 0 0 Left Abdomen Soreness - -
2013-03-22 2013-04-19 15-DL 28 27 Right Lower Leg Recovery From Inflammation Achilles Tendon - -
2013-02-15 2013-03-22 Camp 35 0 Right Lower Leg Inflammation Achilles - -
2012-08-25 2012-10-04 15-DL 40 0 Right Lower Leg Strain Achilles -
2012-07-17 2012-08-24 15-DL 38 0 Right Lower Leg Strain Achilles - -
2011-09-13 2011-09-15 DTD 2 2 - Low Back Spasms - -
2011-08-15 2011-08-24 DTD 9 9 Right Foot Inflammation Calcaneus Bursitis - -
2010-04-01 2010-04-02 Camp 1 0 Neck Stiffness -
2009-05-07 2009-05-08 DTD 1 1 Neck Stiffness -
2009-02-19 2009-02-22 Camp 3 0 Left Shoulder Soreness -
2008-06-01 2008-07-25 15-DL 54 45 Left Wrist Strain Partial Tear ECU Tendon Sheath -
2008-05-04 2008-05-05 DTD 1 1 Right Knee Tightness -
2008-04-26 2008-04-29 DTD 3 2 Knee Contusion -
2007-11-06 2007-11-06 Off 0 0 Right Knee Surgery Meniscus 2007-11-06
2007-09-29 2007-09-30 DTD 1 1 Right Knee Inflammation Injection -
2007-09-10 2007-09-10 DTD 0 0 Right Knee Soreness -
2007-08-08 2007-08-10 DTD 2 1 Left Shoulder Soreness -
2007-07-21 2007-07-25 DTD 4 4 Left Shoulder Strain -
2007-07-12 2007-07-12 DTD 0 0 Right Knee Cartilage Injury Meniscus -
2007-05-27 2007-05-30 DTD 3 3 Bilateral Thigh Soreness Hamstring -
2006-08-28 2006-09-05 DTD 8 8 General Medical Illness Irregular Heartbeat -
2006-04-28 2006-04-28 DTD 0 0 Right Elbow Contusion -
2004-09-02 2004-09-04 DTD 2 2 Right Shoulder Inflammation Bursitis -
2002-04-19 2002-05-13 15-DL 24 22 Left Knee Surgery Bone Chips 2002-04-26
2001-05-05 2001-07-20 15-DL 76 68 Right Wrist Surgery Fracture 2001-05-17
1998-05-10 1998-07-09 60-DL 60 52 Right Wrist Fracture Hamate - -

Compensation

Year Team Salary
2014 BOS $11,500,000
2013 BOS $14,500,000
2012 BOS $14,575,000
2011 BOS $12,500,000
2010 BOS $13,000,000
2009 BOS $13,000,000
2008 BOS $13,000,000
2007 BOS $13,000,000
2006 BOS $6,500,000
2005 BOS $5,250,000
2004 BOS $4,587,500
2003 BOS $1,250,000
2002 MIN $950,000
2001 MIN $260,000
2000 MIN $220,000
YearsDescriptionSalary
13 yrPrevious$98,092,500
2011Current$14,500,000
14 yrPvs + Cur$112,592,500
1 yrFuture$11,500,000
15 yrTotal$124,092,500

 

Service TimeAgentContract Status
14 y 48 dFernando Cuza2 years/$26M (2013-14)

Details
  • 2 years/$26M (2013-14). Re-signed with Boston as a free agent 11/2/12. $1M signing bonus. 13:$14M, 14:$11M. 2014 salary may increase to $13M or $15M based on 2013 playing time ($15M if he spends 20 days or fewer on the disabled list with pre-existing Achilles injury).
  • 1 year/$14.575M (2012). Accepted arbitration offer from Boston 12/7/11. Re-signed by Boston 2/13/12 (avoided arbitration, $16.5M-$12.65M). Boston made qualifying offer for 2013 (1 year/$13.3M) 11/2/12.
  • 4 years/$52M (2007-10), plus 2011 club option. Signed extension with Boston 4/06. $2M signing bonus. 07-10: $12.5M/year, 11:$12.5M club option, no buyout. Award bonuses: $50,000 for All-Star. Second-place finish in 2005 MVP increased 2007 option to $8.4M (with $1.4M buyout).
  • 2 years/$12.5M (2005-06), plus 2007 club option, $75,000 buyout. Signed extension with Boston 5/04. 05:$5.25M, 06:$6.5M, 07:$7.75M club option $0.75M buyout. $25,000 All-Star bonuses.
  • 1 year/$4.5875M (2004). Re-signed by Boston 1/04 (avoided arbitration).
  • 1 year/$1.25M (2003). Signed by Boston as a free agent 1/03.
  • 1 year/$0.95M (2002). Re-signed by Minnesota 2/02 (avoided arbitration, $1.395M-$0.75M). Non-tendered by Minnesota 12/02.
  • 1 year/$0.26M (2001). Award bonus: $25,000 for All-Star.
  • Acquired by Minnesota in trade from Seattle 9/96.
  • Signed by Seattle 1992 as an amateur free agent from the Dominican Republic.

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Platoon

SORT_FIELD PLATOON AVG OBP SLG TAv
10 vs L (Multi) .297 .368 .531 .306
11 vs R (Multi) .301 .409 .585 .332
18 Split (Multi) .004 .041 .054 .026
19 LgAvg (Multi) .028 .037 .068 .032
30 vs L (2012) .320 .377 .608 .333
31 vs R (2012) .317 .437 .613 .349
38 Split (2012) -.003 .060 .005 .016
39 LgAvg (2012) .030 .040 .071 .035

BP Annual Player Comments

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BP Articles

David Ortiz is referenced in the following articles.

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  Title Author Date
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Baseball ProGUESTus: A Beat Writer Goes to the BallparkAndy McCullough2013-05-09
This article requires BP Premium accessIn A Pickle: The Turn of the TwoJason Wojciechowski2013-05-09
The Lineup Card: 10 Things We've Learned So FarBaseball Prospectus2013-05-08
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: The Hot StartersDaniel Rathman2013-05-06
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Old Dog, Old TricksWill Woods2013-05-03
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Mailbag: Playing the Waiting GameBP Fantasy Team2013-05-03
Tater Trot Tracker: Trot Times for April 28Larry Granillo2013-04-29
Tater Trot Tracker: Trot Times for April 26Larry Granillo2013-04-27
Tater Trot Tracker: Trot Times for April 25Larry Granillo2013-04-26
This article requires BP Premium accessWhat You Need to Know: Red-Hot PotentialDaniel Rathman2013-04-25
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: Move Along, Nothing to See Here (Probably)Mike Gianella2013-04-25
Out of Left Field: Boston UncommonMatthew Kory2013-04-23
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: Springing Into ActionJason Collette2013-04-23
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Ending BradleyR.J. Anderson2013-04-22
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The Week In Quotes: April 15-21Pete Barrett2013-04-22
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Tater Trot Tracker: Trot Times for April 20Larry Granillo2013-04-21
Fantasy Mailbag: Matt-for-Matt?BP Fantasy Team2013-04-19
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The Call-Up: Jackie Bradley, Jr.Chris Mellen2013-04-01
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Daily Roundup: Around the League: April 1, 2013Clint Chisam2013-04-01
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This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Preview: These Questions Three: The Cautiously OptimisticPaul Sporer2013-03-27
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This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Freestyle: Expert-League Auction ComparisonJason Collette2013-03-27
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BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 75: The David Ortiz Decision and the Offseason Outlook for the Red SoxSam Miller2012-11-02
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This article requires BP Premium accessPainting the Black: Why Does Everybody Go Inside On Matt Holliday?R.J. Anderson2012-06-26
Tater Trot Tracker: Trot Times for June 20Larry Granillo2012-06-21
Tater Trot Tracker: Trot Times for June 19Larry Granillo2012-06-20
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Tampa Suffers Another Rotation MaladyR.J. Anderson2012-06-20
Tater Trot Tracker: Trot Times for June 13Larry Granillo2012-06-14
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Dodgers, Ethier Agree to ExtensionR.J. Anderson2012-06-12
Tater Trot Tracker: The Weekend's Trot TimesLarry Granillo2012-06-11
BP Unfiltered: Taking A Look At Our Preseason PredictionsBradley Ankrom2012-06-09
Tater Trot Tracker: Trot Times for June 3Larry Granillo2012-06-04
Value Picks: Second, Short, and Catcher for 6/4/12Josh Shepardson2012-06-04
This article requires BP Premium accessOut of Left Field: The Red Sox Roster CrunchMatthew Kory2012-06-04
Tater Trot Tracker: Trot Times for May 31Larry Granillo2012-06-01
The BP Wayback Machine: Taking a Step Back, Part OneKevin Goldstein2012-06-01
This article requires BP Premium accessOverthinking It: Adam Jones' Unusual BreakoutBen Lindbergh2012-06-01
Tater Trot Tracker: Trot Times for May 29Larry Granillo2012-05-30
Manufactured Runs: Who Gives a Shift?Colin Wyers2012-05-30
Tater Trot Tracker: Trot Times for May 21Larry Granillo2012-05-22
Tater Trot Tracker: Trot Times for May 20Larry Granillo2012-05-21
Tater Trot Tracker: Trot Times for May 19Larry Granillo2012-05-20
This article requires BP Premium accessOverthinking It: How Big Papi Got His Bat BackBen Lindbergh2012-05-18
What You Need to Know: Friday, May 18Daniel Rathman2012-05-18
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This article requires BP Premium accessFuture Shock: Finding PowerKevin Goldstein2012-05-16
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This article requires BP Premium accessOut of Left Field: On Hitting .400Matthew Kory2012-05-14
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessResident Fantasy Genius: Trades of GreyDerek Carty2012-05-10
Tater Trot Tracker: Trot Times for May 7Larry Granillo2012-05-08
Out of Left Field: Scouting the ScoutMatthew Kory2012-05-07
What You Need to Know: Monday, May 7Daniel Rathman2012-05-07
This article requires BP Premium accessOverthinking It: Spoiling the BunchBen Lindbergh2012-05-03
Tater Trot Tracker: Trot Times for April 30Larry Granillo2012-05-01
This article requires BP Premium accessPainting the Black: Peavy Does ItR.J. Anderson2012-05-01
Tater Trot Tracker: Trot Times for April 27Larry Granillo2012-04-28
Tater Trot Tracker: Trot Times for April 25Larry Granillo2012-04-26
Tater Trot Tracker: Trot Times for April 24Larry Granillo2012-04-25
Tater Trot Tracker: Trot Times for April 20Larry Granillo2012-04-21
Prospectus Hit and Run: Pudge RetiresJay Jaffe2012-04-20
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Game of the Week: Tampa Bay Rays at Boston Red Sox, April 14Adam Sobsey2012-04-17
Tater Trot Tracker: Trot Times for April 14Larry Granillo2012-04-15
Pebble Hunting: The PacersSam Miller2012-04-06
Painting the Black: 2012 Milestones WatchR.J. Anderson2012-04-03
Pre-Season Predictions: 20 Questions for 2012Baseball Prospectus2012-03-27
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Hit and Run: Rattling SABRs in the Desert, Part IIJay Jaffe2012-03-26
Ten Prospects on the Bubble, Part One: American LeagueBradley Ankrom2012-03-05
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Preview: AL Central 2012 Preseason Preview, Part TwoBen Lindbergh2012-02-29
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Preview: AL Central 2012 Preseason Preview, Part TwoSteven Goldman2012-02-29
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The Stats Go Marching In: The Art of Handling the Pitching StaffMax Marchi2012-02-24
This article requires BP Premium accessBizball: Inside the 2012 Salary Arbitration ClassMaury Brown2012-02-20
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Hit and Run: Inspecting the Spectrum, Part I: The Cold Corner, AgainJay Jaffe2012-02-15
The Lineup Card: 11 Times Small Sample Sizes Steered Us WrongBaseball Prospectus2012-02-07
This article requires BP Premium accessBizball: Salary Arbitration Picture PostcardsMaury Brown2012-02-07
This article requires BP Premium accessPainting the Black: Don't Forget: Miggy Can MashR.J. Anderson2012-01-31
This article requires BP Premium accessResident Fantasy Genius: From Mash to MushDerek Carty2012-01-30
This article requires BP Premium accessSobsequy: Ramirez and RameauAdam Sobsey2012-01-25
Overthinking It: The Player Popularity TestBen Lindbergh2012-01-24
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Hit and Run: Winter of Discontent?Jay Jaffe2012-01-24
This article requires BP Premium accessFantasy Beat: David Ortiz's Strikeout ImprovementJason Collette2012-01-20
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Baseball ProGUESTus: To Live and Die in Three Rivers Stadium, Or: The Face of Michael CiminoDavid Roth2011-12-30
Baseball ProGUESTus: To Live and Die in Three Rivers Stadium, Or: The Face of Michael CiminoDavid Raposa2011-12-30
This article requires BP Premium accessThe BP First Take: Tuesday, December 27Daniel Rathman2011-12-27
This article requires BP Premium accessResident Fantasy Genius: I Cannot Tell a LieDerek Carty2011-12-22
This article requires BP Premium accessFantasy Beat: Whose Batting Average Could Spike?Jason Collette2011-12-13
Prospectus Hit and Run: Braun Banned for PEDs [Version 9]Jay Jaffe2011-12-12
This article requires BP Premium accessThe Keeper Reaper: First, Third, and DH for 12/09/11Michael Street2011-12-09
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This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessResident Fantasy Genius: Fantasy Rumor Mill for 10/17/11Derek Carty2011-10-17
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Beat: Punting Home Runs, Winning RBIsJason Collette2011-10-14
This article requires BP Premium accessKiss'Em Goodbye: Boston Red SoxKevin Goldstein2011-09-29
This article requires BP Premium accessKiss'Em Goodbye: Boston Red SoxSteven Goldman2011-09-29
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One-Hoppers: The Team Entropy All-StarsJay Jaffe2011-09-29
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Tater Trot Tracker: Trot Times for September 13Larry Granillo2011-09-14
Tater Trot Tracker: Trot Times for September 7Larry Granillo2011-09-08
Tater Trot Tracker: Trot Times for August 31Larry Granillo2011-09-01
Tater Trot Tracker: Trot Times for August 27Larry Granillo2011-08-28
Tater Trot Tracker: Trot Times for August 26Larry Granillo2011-08-27
Tater Trot Tracker: Trot Times for August 25Larry Granillo2011-08-26
This article requires BP Premium accessCollateral Damage: Something Strasburg This Way ComesBen Lindbergh2011-08-26
This article requires BP Premium accessCollateral Damage: Something Strasburg This Way ComesCorey Dawkins2011-08-26
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This article requires BP Premium accessCollateral Damage: Pain in the NeckCorey Dawkins2011-08-19
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This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Hit and Run: Fast BreakersJay Jaffe2011-08-15
Tater Trot Tracker: Trot Times for August 12Larry Granillo2011-08-13
Tater Trot Tracker: Trot Times for August 8Larry Granillo2011-08-09
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessValue Picks: First, Third, and DH for 8/8/11Michael Street2011-08-08
Tater Trot Tracker: Trot Times for August 5Larry Granillo2011-08-06
Tater Trot Tracker: Trot Times for July 27Larry Granillo2011-07-28
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessResident Fantasy Genius: Mixed-League MayhemDerek Carty2011-07-14
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Beat: Tout Wars Mixed 1st Half RecapJason Collette2011-07-13
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Hit and Run: Heroes and VillainsJay Jaffe2011-07-11
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessResident Fantasy Genius: The Home Run Derby CurseDerek Carty2011-07-11
Clubhouse Confidential: Don't Fear the DerbyMarc Carig2011-07-06
The Week In Quotes: June 27-July 3Alex Carnevale2011-07-05
All-Star Selections: Staff Picks for 2011Baseball Prospectus2011-07-01
This article requires BP Premium accessOn the Beat: Perrotto's PicksJohn Perrotto2011-06-29
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The Week In Quotes: June 20-26Alex Carnevale2011-06-27
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Tater Trot Tracker: Trot Times for June 20Larry Granillo2011-06-21
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Tater Trot Tracker: Trot Times for June 12Larry Granillo2011-06-13
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Hit List: AL: Tense TimesJay Jaffe2011-06-13
The Week In Quotes: June 6-12Alex Carnevale2011-06-13
What You Missed: 6/6-6/10Stephani Bee2011-06-10
This article requires BP Premium accessPainting the Black: Big Papi on ParadeR.J. Anderson2011-06-09
Tater Trot Tracker: Trot Times for June 7 (abbreviated)Larry Granillo2011-06-08
What You Missed: 5/30-6/3Stephani Bee2011-06-03
Tater Trot Tracker: Trot Times for June 1Larry Granillo2011-06-02
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This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Beat: The Changing Landscape of BaseballJason Collette2011-06-01
This article requires BP Premium accessDivide and Conquer, AL East: Designated HitlessBen Kabak2011-06-01
Tater Trot Tracker: Trot Times for May 29Larry Granillo2011-05-30
Prospectus Hit List: AL: The Cream RisesTommy Bennett2011-05-30
This article requires BP Premium accessFantasy Beat: The DH ConundrumJason Collette2011-05-27
Tater Trot Tracker: Trot Times for May 25Larry Granillo2011-05-26
This article requires BP Premium accessOn the Beat: The Red Sox ReboundJohn Perrotto2011-05-25
This article requires BP Premium accessCollateral Damage: Of the Byrds and the BeanedCorey Dawkins2011-05-23
This article requires BP Premium accessCollateral Damage: Of the Byrds and the BeanedBen Lindbergh2011-05-23
Tater Trot Tracker: Trot Times for May 22Larry Granillo2011-05-23
Tater Trot Tracker: Trot Times for May 21Larry Granillo2011-05-22
Tater Trot Tracker: Trot Times for May 19Larry Granillo2011-05-20
Tater Trot Tracker: Trot Times for May 15Larry Granillo2011-05-16
The Week In Quotes: May 9-15Alex Carnevale2011-05-16
Tater Trot Tracker: Trot Times for May 11Larry Granillo2011-05-12
Tater Trot Tracker: Trot Times for May 10Larry Granillo2011-05-11
The BP Broadside: Who is Stronger, A-Rod or Spider-Man?Steven Goldman2011-05-11
Tater Trot Tracker: Trot Times for May 3Larry Granillo2011-05-04
Tater Trot Tracker: Trot Times for May 2Larry Granillo2011-05-03
This article requires BP Premium accessOn the Beat: Hello, Cleveland!John Perrotto2011-05-02
Tater Trot Tracker: Trot Times for April 21Larry Granillo2011-04-22
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessDon't Believe the Hype: Leaving on a Jed PlaneMarc Normandin2011-04-22
BP Unfiltered: The Paper Trail 4/17John Perrotto2011-04-17
Tater Trot Tracker: Trot Times for April 13Larry Granillo2011-04-14
BP Unfiltered: The Paper Trail for 4/14John Perrotto2011-04-14
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Beat: Value Picks in the BullpenMike Petriello2011-04-14
Tater Trot Tracker: Trot Times for April 11Larry Granillo2011-04-12
The Week In Quotes: April 4-10Alex Carnevale2011-04-11
The BP Broadside: (No) Comeback ImpossibleSteven Goldman2011-04-08
This article requires BP Premium accessDivide and Conquer, AL East: Pass the TatersBen Kabak2011-04-06
Tater Trot Tracker: Trot Times for April 2Larry Granillo2011-04-03
Tater Trot Tracker: Trot Times for April 1Larry Granillo2011-04-02
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Beat: Three Tips for Surviving AprilJason Collette2011-04-01
This article requires BP Premium accessDivide and Conquer, AL West: The Comeback KidsJoey Matschulat2011-03-31
Tater Trot Tracker: An Average Tater TrotLarry Granillo2011-03-29
Wezen-Ball: Fun With Tater TrotsLarry Granillo2011-03-28
This article requires BP Premium accessDivide and Conquer, NL West: Value Over Replacement FluffGeoff Young2011-03-22
Prospectus Hit and Run: Wake of the QuakeJay Jaffe2011-03-18
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Beat: Expert Mock Draft ResultsJason Collette2011-03-15
Team Injury Projection: Boston Red SoxMarc Normandin2011-03-07
Team Injury Projection: Boston Red SoxCorey Dawkins2011-03-07
This article requires BP Premium accessContractual Matters: AL East Payroll ProjectionsJeff Euston2011-03-02
The Week In Quotes: February 21-27Alex Carnevale2011-02-28
Wezen-Ball: Jim Edmonds' Final Trot Larry Granillo2011-02-20
This article requires BP Premium accessOverthinking It: Agents of FortuneBen Lindbergh2011-02-17
The BP Broadside: When is Baseball's MVP Its Least Valuable Player?Steven Goldman2011-02-10
Fantasy Beat: BP Scoresheet Early Draft PrepRob McQuown2011-02-07
BP Unfiltered: Vlad Joins The BirdsR.J. Anderson2011-02-05
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Beat: The Constant GardnerCraig Brown2011-02-02
Prospectus Q&A: Best of Q&A 2010David Laurila2010-12-31
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Prospectus Perspective: Werth and CrawfordChristina Kahrl2010-12-14
This article requires BP Premium accessOn the Beat: Gonzo about GonzalezJohn Perrotto2010-12-08
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Beat: Hot Spots: First Base, Third Base, and Designated HitterRob McQuown2010-12-06
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Analysis: Adrian Gonzalez and Shaun MarcumChristina Kahrl2010-12-06
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On the Beat: The Second Annual All-MLB TeamJohn Perrotto2010-11-12
This article requires BP Premium accessSo You Need: Outfielders and Designated HittersMarc Normandin2010-11-12
This article requires BP Premium accessGM for a Day: Boston Red SoxJay Jaffe2010-11-11
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Perspective: Five Deals That Must HappenChristina Kahrl2010-11-09
The Week In Quotes: November 1-7Alex Carnevale2010-11-08
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This article requires BP Premium accessChecking the Numbers: CrateringEric Seidman2010-10-25
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This article requires BP Premium accessKiss'Em Goodbye: Boston Red SoxKevin Goldstein2010-09-30
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Hit and Run: BeasterlyJay Jaffe2010-09-27
Prospectus Q&A: Ken Burns David Laurila2010-09-27
This article requires BP Premium accessOn the Beat: Septembers To Remember For Some LongshotsJohn Perrotto2010-09-27
One-Hoppers: Even More Fun with Opponent QualityBen Lindbergh2010-09-18
One-Hoppers: Three True Outcomes LeadersJay Jaffe2010-09-17
Checking the Numbers: CarGo on the RoadEric Seidman2010-09-17
This article requires BP Premium accessOn the Beat: Going Out with ClassJohn Perrotto2010-09-10
On the Beat: Falling Out of FirstJohn Perrotto2010-09-08
Ahead in the Count: The Clutch and The ShiftedMatt Swartz2010-08-27
This article requires BP Premium accessGive and Take: Jonathan PapelbonMarc Normandin2010-08-17
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This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Hit and Run: An Afternoon in the BronxJay Jaffe2010-08-10
The Week In Quotes: August 2-9Alex Carnevale2010-08-09
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Indefensible: What Do We Really Know About Defense? Colin Wyers2010-07-16
This article requires BP Premium accessAll-Star Game: McCann is The ManJohn Perrotto2010-07-14
All-Star Game: Observations from AnaheimChristina Kahrl2010-07-14
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One-Hoppers: Derby DeliberationsBen Lindbergh2010-07-08
BP Unfiltered: The Paper Trail of July 5John Perrotto2010-07-05
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Top 10 Week: MLB Radio BroadcastersScott McCauley2010-07-02
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Action: Disorderly ConductChristina Kahrl2010-06-30
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Overthinking It: The Way They Drew It UpBen Lindbergh2010-06-21
The Week In Quotes: June 14-20Alex Carnevale2010-06-21
Checking the Numbers: Where in the World is McLouth's TAv?Eric Seidman2010-06-16
This article requires BP Premium accessOn the Beat: Friday UpdateJohn Perrotto2010-06-11
This article requires BP Premium accessUnder The Knife: Monday UpdateWill Carroll2010-06-07
Prospectus Hit List: Nobody's PerfectJay Jaffe2010-06-04
BP Unfiltered: The Paper Trail of June 3John Perrotto2010-06-03
The Week In Quotes: The Week of May 17-23Alex Carnevale2010-05-24
BP Unfiltered: The Paper Trail of May 22John Perrotto2010-05-22
This article requires BP Premium accessTransaction Action: Crumbling and CrumbsChristina Kahrl2010-05-21
BP Unfiltered: The Paper Trail of May 21John Perrotto2010-05-21
This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Beat: Hot Spots: OutfieldRob McQuown2010-05-19
This article requires BP Premium accessOne-Hoppers: Not-So-Big PapiJay Jaffe2010-05-18
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The Week In Quotes: Week of May 10-16Alex Carnevale2010-05-17
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This article requires BP Premium accessBaseball Therapy: Why Are Games So Long?Russell A. Carleton2010-05-03
Joe's Blog: Carpenter + Ortiz = HowardJoe Sheehan2010-04-27
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One-Hoppers: Game Story: Fenway Resumption Mad[don]nessDavid Laurila2010-04-17
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Camp Battles: AL EastChristina Kahrl2010-02-16
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This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Today: Virtual Hall-Worthy SelectionsJoe Sheehan2009-12-30
Prospectus Hit and Run: Alomar, the Crime Dog, the Big Cat and Big MacJay Jaffe2009-12-21
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Prospectus Q&A: Ryan KalishDavid Laurila2009-11-12
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The Week In Quotes: September 14-20Alex Carnevale2009-09-21
Prospectus Today: Getting SeriousJoe Sheehan2009-09-09
The Week In Quotes: August 31-September 6Alex Carnevale2009-09-07
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This article requires BP Premium accessUnder The Knife: RepeatersWill Carroll2009-08-24
Prospectus Hit List: PatchworkJay Jaffe2009-08-21
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Under The Knife: Big ThingsWill Carroll2009-08-10
This article requires BP Premium accessProspectus Hit and Run: The Arms RaceJay Jaffe2009-08-06
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Prospectus Idol Entry: Swartz Interview TranscriptMatt Swartz2009-07-05
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Prospectus Hit List: Closing InJay Jaffe2009-06-26
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Prospectus Idol Entry: Kila Ka'aihueTim Kniker2009-06-14
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The Week In Quotes: June 1-7Alex Carnevale2009-06-08
Prospectus Hit List: The RisingJay Jaffe2009-06-05
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Prospectus Idol Entry: Grounding Home-run HittersBrittany Ghiroli2009-05-23
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This article requires BP Fantasy or Premium accessFantasy Beat: Power OutagesMarc Normandin2009-05-19
Prospectus Hit and Run: Rotation Freak ShowsJay Jaffe2009-05-19
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Prospectus Idol Entry: Byron Lescroart's Initial SubmissionByron Lescroart2009-05-17
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This article requires BP Premium accessThe LatinTalent Market: The BasicsKiley McDaniel2009-05-10
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6-4-3: Anonymous FridayGary Huckabay2003-01-31
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Prospectus Roundtable: Jeff Kent, Kevin Millwood, and Erik EstradaBaseball Prospectus2002-12-20
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Prospectus Feature: American League PredictionsBaseball Prospectus2002-03-31
The Daily Prospectus: Around the ALJoe Sheehan2001-05-07


BP Chats

DateQuestionAnswer
2011-11-30 13:00:00With DeJesus off the market, do you expect Boston will target Beltran? I thought Boston was supposed to be the team with their ducks in a row post-Theo and the Cubs were the team in disorder because of the protracted negotiations over compensation. Did Boston not want DeJesus, or is the dysfunction more pervasive and paralyzing than this Yankees fan originally dared hope?
(Nick Stone from New York, NY)
Hey Nick! I get the strong sense that the manager situation and the David Ortiz situation outrank the right field situation in terms of Boston's priorities. I suspect that if they sign Ortiz, Beltran will be too expensive, but if they don't, then he'll be in play. As for the comparison of which organization is more dysfunctional, it seems pretty clear that Theo's old one is moreso than his new one, and yes, that's probably good for Yankee fans in the short-term if nothing else. (Jay Jaffe)
2011-10-17 13:00:00I want to see Scot Boras' report on Fielder to see how he addresses the potential body-type aging risk. Any idea how he would address those concerns?
(Justin from Tinley Park)
David Ortiz and Frank Thomas aged fairly well. (Kevin Goldstein)
2011-06-14 13:00:00David Ortiz: for real or FO REEELS, YO!
(mattymatty2000 from Portland, OR)
Closer to the latter. More here. (Ben Lindbergh)
2011-05-26 13:00:00Have you find a quality tonic for the stomach ailments that result from the phrase "Kyle Farnsworth loosening up for the Rays?" Because I am keeping Tums in business this season.
(achaik from maine)
Only once have I felt a little unnerved by Farnsworth closing and that came during an at-bat against David Ortiz in Fenway Park. (R.J. Anderson)
2011-04-25 13:00:00I have Jay Bruce and Nelson Cruz, both just kind of disappointing so far. How much should i readjust what i'm expecting from them?
(Tony from Albuquerque)
We're not even out of April yet. Without injury, reassessing much of anything is premature, especially for players you expect to be great.

My go-to example for this now is David Ortiz in 2010. He had a 524 OPS in April of 2010, and finished at .270/.370/.529 with an 899 OPS. (Marc Normandin)
2011-01-05 13:00:00Hey Jay, thanks for the chat. What do you think about David Ortiz for the Hall? I'm guessing he'd come up pretty short, but I'm curious just the same.
(mattymatty2000 from Portland, OR)
Hey Matty! Regardless of the legend he created — and earned — in helping hte Red Sox win two World Series, Ortiz is going to wind up with a short career that was mostly at DH with PED connections. Those are three VERY tough obstacles to overcome individually, and together, I'd guess they're insurmountable. (Jay Jaffe)
2010-11-11 13:00:00Hey Matt, Today in the GM for a Day article on the Red Sox, Jay Jaffe said he would cut bait on David Ortiz and bring in someone else at a lesser cost (he mentioned Jim Thome, Jack Cust and Russell Branyon as possibilities). This struck me as thinking too hard. Sure Ortiz will be over paid, but he's also likely to be better than those guys, and in the end isn't this a perfect opportunity to flex that big payroll? What do you think?
(mattymatty2000 from Portland, OR)
I haven't gotten a chance to read it, but I'll probably hear him out later this afternoon. I certainly wouldn't let Ortiz go this year-- he's a great DH, and he's worth as much to the Red Sox as any team they'd trade him to. Maybe going forward, they might have some concerns before bringing him back in 2012 though. (Matt Swartz)
2010-05-05 13:00:00Two questions for you: 1) How long do the Sox wait for David Ortiz to start hitting, and 2) what do they do if he doesn't pick it up? I'd be shocked if they just cut him, but if he can't hit then he's just taking up a roster spot and they have to pay him anyway... If I haven't said it yet, thanks for the chat.
(mattymatty2000 from Portland, OR)
They have already waited too long, in my mind, and that's coming from someone who was very patient with him last year. They have other bats they can use, and they should use them, especially since the higher Lowell's stock is, the easier it will be to move him so Hermida can take over at DH. Honestly? I would DFA him and see if he clears waivers, and let him go to a no pressure Pawtucket for a bit. If it's something mental like last year, he can work it out there. If it's ability, then he shouldn't be playing anyways. (Marc Normandin)
2010-04-28 13:00:00Please release David Ortiz? Please release David Ortiz? Please release David Ortiz? How many chances does he get? Either take whatever it was that you used to take, and start producing or get off the pot.
(justin kolpak from CT)
I understand the sentiment and more than just a few Red Sox fans share it with you. Ortiz obviously had a similar slow start last year, and rebounded reasonably well, but there seem to be more red flags this time around. From what I’ve seen, he is swinging through, and fouling off, an awful lot of pitches that he used to absolutely punish. Not just a few, most of them, so the bat speed appears to be waning, waning, waning. Of course, you’re then left with: Who takes his place in the lineup? Mike Lowell might be a better DH option and not just against lefties, but he isn’t exactly in his prime either, and due to age and injury he runs like he has a piano on his back. Orlando Cepeda did a solid, piano-legs-with-a-decent-bat job as the club’s first-ever DH back in the day, and maybe that’s Lowell, without the good nickname? (David Laurila)
2010-03-18 14:00:00who looks the most out of shape so far this spring?
(yo ho ho from nP)
That's funny but in the teams I saw in Florida, nobody really stood out as being really out of shape. On the other end, I was impressed by David Ortiz. He looked like he was about 15-20 pounds lighter. (John Perrotto)
2009-12-29 15:00:00Over/under a .260/.350/.490 triple-slash for David Ortiz in 2010?
(I Got Ripped in 4 Weeks from I'm Crazy Ripped)
Under. Fewer walks and ISO. (Joe Sheehan)
2009-12-29 15:00:00David Ortiz has 78.4% of his games at DH (1128/1451). That has to be near the top.
(Nahman from New York)
I honestly thought he'd played more first base than that. OK, probably the winner. (Joe Sheehan)
2009-10-11 13:00:00If you missed it, Jed Lowrie hit a grand slam on the last day of the regular season, but doing so caused him obvious pain. He's spent basically this whole season and the offseason before it trying to get his wrist in order, and it's unclear to me that anything has improved. So what's the deal? What even is the specific problem at this point? Why does it refuse to go away? Is it some kind of fragility issue with Lowrie, or does it have more to do with how Boston has handled his rehabs/surgery? Most importantly, what are his chances to overcome this going forward? I know that's a lot of questions; I'd greatly appreciate it if you could provide the answer to ANY of them.
(OldBean from Boston)
Wrist injuries linger, it's as simple as that. You must have missed the whole drama with David Ortiz, Bean ...

Once a wrist injury does heal, which can take as much as 12-18 months, there's no real problem. (Again, note Ortiz.) I think Lowrie will be better by the start of spring training given the injury, but I'm going to couch that a bit because of the setbacks. (Will Carroll)
2009-09-29 13:00:00I can't find a site to let me view stats from two specific dates. I'm curious how Garrett Jones' production since his first game this season compare to the rest of MLB. He has to be top 10 in homers.
(Dorn from DC)
He is. He came up on July 1 and since then Derek Lee has hit 24, Ryan Howard, Prince Fielder, and Mark Reynolds have hit 23, and Jones has hit 21. What might surprise you is who is right behind him -- David Ortiz with 20. I wouldn't get too excited by Jones, though. This really seems like a Kevin Maas thing to me. (Steven Goldman)
2009-09-10 13:00:00Mark DeRosa has been playing with a "torn sheaf near his left writst" (St. Louis Post-Dispatch) since June 30. 1. What are the chances he will recover back to 100% of his previous level next April after surgery to correct it this fall? The article (http://www.stltoday.com/stltoday/sports/stories.nsf/cardinals/story/01FB7593764E867C8625762D000D4922?OpenDocument) just states he should be ready for spring training if he has the operation immediately, but that doesn't always mean he will be ever be a borderline all-star again. 2. Can you give us readers any tips on how to tell whether a player is in a slump or playing hurt.
(hotstatrat from Toronto)
Torn tendon sheath. David Ortiz looks pretty healthy, though he certainly didn't at the start of the season. There's question as to whether that was physical or psychological. As for (2), no, read a lot of beat writers who ask the player and see him every day is my best suggestion. (Will Carroll)
2009-07-30 14:00:00Did the David Ortiz news take you off guard, or is there an unwritten list in sportswriter circles of players that are fairly well known as steroid users even before they're outed?
(BL from Bozeman)
I wouldn't say there's an unwritten list but I think the longer that PEDs have been around the game the easy it has become to figure out who the likely culprits are/were. Everyone has a better understanding about the issue now and what the telltale signs are in a user. That being said, because of libel and slander laws, a journalist better be 100-percent sure he's right before he accuses someone of being a PED user. (John Perrotto)
2009-07-13 14:00:00Any idea what to expect from David Ortiz for the second half?
(mattymatty from Philly)
.275/.340/.510 (Joe Sheehan)
2009-06-24 13:00:00"Is it bad to wear the jersey of a living player? Lame?" ================== Does David Ortiz count as living?
(dianagramr from NYC)
Given the preponderance of vampire films and TV shows and zombie literature, I would argue that these days the dead are more popular than the living. Man, pop culture is in a sorry state. (Steven Goldman)
2009-06-15 13:00:00Thanks for taking the time, Will. When you see a dropoff in performance like Grady Sizemore earlier this year, or Geo Soto, or maybe a David Ortiz, is it safe to assume "something" is wrong physically?
(Stan from Des Plaines)
No, and absent evidence, it's just lazy. It's often right, but not always and even if it is, getting to it the lazy way might make you miss something. Process, not result. (Will Carroll)
2009-06-03 15:00:00OK .... so you love Katz's Deli .... but where is your favorite NYC BBQ? (Desperately in need of good BBQ) Speaking of BBQ ... does either David Ortiz or Travis Hafner have a fork in themselves ... cause they appear "done".
(dianagramr from NYC)
Right now I'm partial to the Smoke Joint on South Elliot Street in Fort Greene. RUB is also pretty good, and so is Hill Country, though rather pricey. Virgil's is surprisingly good for a Times Square restaurant, and I love meeting my out-of-town BP colleagues there once in awhile. Oh, and while Ortiz and Hafner may not be done yet, I think it's a safe bet that you can invite a few guests over for an upcoming feast. (Jay Jaffe)
2009-05-21 14:00:00Any chance the BoSox and Mets get in a bidding war over Nick Johnson, and the Nats end up with an honest to goodness potential starting pitcher?
(David from DC)
Where would the Sox play Johnson?

Had this conversation at lunch the other day...folks, David Ortiz is playing. He's a hero, and he's getting paid a jillion dollars until the Rapture. The Sox aren't trading for a replacement. (Joe Sheehan)
2009-05-14 13:00:00Will, we have heard for years that wrist injuries sap power for months after the player returns. Is this true, or another axiom that got repeated so much but is really false? Orlando Hudson is the man I'm wondering about. He has had no trouble this year.
(jtrichey from Indianapolis)
It's definitely true. KG talked about it in a recent article, referencing how developmentally, teams give guys coming back from wrist injuries a "mulligan." Hudson's healthy and playing above his normal level, but power? Eh, he has 3 HR, which isn't so many that randomness can't be the answer. It's much harder to tell on guys with normally low power than it is for the David Ortiz types. (Will Carroll)
2009-05-12 13:00:00Don't forget changing bat technologies. Bats are much lighter now, with whip-thin handles, and with much bigger sweet spots. The end result is batters swinging the bat harder and having more territory on the bat that could result in a hardhit ball. It's just too hard in this day and age to assume everyone's home run spike is attributable to PED's. Except David Ortiz. That guy totally juiced.
(shamah from NYC)
One thing I didn't get to mention in today's Waner article is that he used a 38- or 40-ounce bat, and after his career when asked about the biggest changes in the game since his career (he lived until 1965) he talked about the changes in bat weight, and how he regretted dragging that giant war club around when he might have been whipping the bat through the strike zone... Like I said, there are a lot of factors to account for as well as PEDs. (Steven Goldman)
2009-05-04 14:00:00Is David Ortiz done?
(PSIllini from Champaign, IL)
I don't know. Bat-only players have a long track record of falling off at his age, and the statistical indicators show a spike in walks, which is often a death knell. On the other hand, I don't know if he's still bothered by the wrist issue, and if he is, whether it will eventually go away.

To take a step back, this does show the problem of investing in bat-only players. If they don't hit, I mean really hit, they're a huge albatross. (Joe Sheehan)
2009-04-16 13:00:00Lightning round! David Ortiz: diminished bat speed or small sample size nonsense?
(Rob from Alaska)
I haven't decided yet. Too soon, as they say. One thing I would like to note here: When Hit f/x comes out, if it doesn't have the hitters bat speed, I'm going to be upset. (Marc Normandin)
2008-11-19 13:00:00What is your prognosis for David Ortiz? Do you think he'll be hampered by the wrist next year, possibly longer, or is probably not a concern?
(Rob from Brighton)
I think he'll be fine, with some degradation more on age than anything else. (Will Carroll)
2008-10-17 13:00:00Refresh my memory. The Evan Longoria injury was on the ulna, correct? Was it a ligament tear in David Ortiz's hand? Given that, is a second surgery in Ortiz's future and is it really going to affect Ortiz in the near future?
(Tim from Sonoma, CA)
I think ulna ... could have been radius. I forget, but it was arm, not anatomical wrist. (I remember writing distal ulna ... I think.)

Ortiz's was a tendon sheath in the wrist. No need for surgery unless there's more damage. (Will Carroll)
2008-08-28 13:00:00Ah, but the better question is, is it in the Yankees best interest to play Pudge as often as possible between now and the end of the year? According to Eddie B. over at Tiger Thoughts (who reverse engineered the Elias Rankings) Pudge is the top Type B catcher free agent and just a hair behind Ramon Hernandez for the last Type A spot. Since the Elias Rankings are based primarily on playing time and counting stats, it certainly gives the Yankees an incentive to try and sneak Pudge into that upgrade by giving him as much playing time as possible.
(that they die like sheeple from teh Doomokratic Republik)
Interesting point. I'm willing to bet the Yankees aren't thinking that far ahead, or they have and concluded that Pudge is so far gone it's just not likely to happen. Again, let's see if things change after this series, if the Yankees acknowledge that their playoff chances are so remote as to not be worth chasing... Nice work by Robinson Cano robbing David Ortiz on the shift. I bet that's exactly how it looked when an infielder made a play on Ernie Lombardi back in the 30s. (Steven Goldman)
2008-06-13 14:00:00As a Mets fan that is annually frustrated with having an aging, expensive roster with little on the horizon to replace what's there, I'm curios as to you thoughts on Teixiera next 5-6 years. I initially thought it was a no-brainer the Mets should go after him but now I'm wondering if he'd just fit the mold I described above that has me so frustrated. Is he headed for a Hafnerian decline phase or can it be more graceful than that?
(Steve from NJ)
Let's start with Hafner....isn't that one amazing? You're talking about a guy, who over the course of a 3 year span, was David Ortiz but he does fit the mold that Bill James talked about-players who's value have nothing to do with speed/athleticism and more to do with on-base and slugging usually decline more quickly. As for Tex, I'll sit on the fence there because I'm not sure he'll be good value for 17 million dollars a year. The problem with the Mets right now is that at first glance, you think they have a good line-up and they hit for power but they don't...and they don't. And that needs to be fixed, I just don't know that Tex is the answer by himself. (Jon "Boog" Sciambi)
2008-04-25 15:00:00Do you see John Smoltz and/or David Ortiz making it to the Hall of Fame?
(bam022 from Chicago)
Smoltz yes, and well he should. Even from a traditional stat standpoint, his 3000 Ks, 210 wins and 3.25 ERA are impressive numbers, particularly when one considers he missed an entire year due to Tommy John surgery and spent about 3.5 seasons as a closer. His JAWS numbers are excellent as well (122.8 /58.5/90.7).

Ortiz is a tougher case. He didn't have his first great year until Age 27, and he doesn't look like a guy who's built to shine in his late 30s. From a JAWS standpoint, he's at 49.6/45.7/47.7, pretty low because he's only got four years of even 6+ WARP under his belt. Now, if he helps the Sox win another World Championship or two before he retires, he may get a Puckett Exemption for his short, high-impact career, but I wouldn't want to bet on that. (Jay Jaffe)
2008-03-14 13:00:00How long before Billy Traber gets transmuted into Fuentes or Marte? You can't have a career pitching to Carlos Pena and David Ortiz in a 12 man staff, or you can, as long as your not Traber? Thanks!
(Tony from Brooklyn, NY)
It seems pretty likely he's going to make the Yankees, Tony, but how long he lasts I dunno, because if you look at his career platoon splits, he handles portsiders very well but every righty hitter who faces him is transformed into Vlad Guerrero. Traber would have to very literally be a one-out guy.

We've seen that teams can survive without a lefty spot reliever, though those teams weren't in a division with David Ortiz. I still don't think the Yankees should overpay for one of the cats you mention, but they wouldn't be a bad thing to have... (Steven Goldman)
2008-02-06 14:00:00Hello, Gary. What do you think the difference between Travis Hafner and David Ortiz will be this year?
(REkinnal from Stockholm)
About forty pounds.



I don't know. Travis Hafner's 2007 was darn puzzling, at least to me. If I recall correctly, my forecasting system had him as the player with the least expected variance, and he really just cratered.

I expect David Ortiz to have the better season, but it could certainly go the other way, and my intuition (which should be ignored by those smarter than I) is that Ortiz' decline, when it arrives, will be Vaughnesque.

Last question... (Gary Huckabay)
2008-02-19 13:00:00Do you think Miguel Cabrera's weight will affect his performance in Detroit in the near future?
(mbeu79 from Chicago)
No. Already hearing he's dropped weight and someone emailed me saying that he thought the veterans in Detroit would hold Cabrera more accountable for things like conditioning. What's the worst that happens, he becomes David Ortiz? (Will Carroll)
2008-01-22 19:00:00since it is David Ortiz day-What about Dallas MacPherson as a low budget singing? Can he pull a Carlos Pena/Travis Hafner/David Ortiz on the leauge this year?
(Mark T. from Boston)
Yes. When he's played, he's actually been better than Ortiz was at a similar age. Hafner had hardly been in the majors yet at his age. (2007 was McPherson's age 25 season.) He showed much better than Pena through a similar age, too.

One more and then it's time to fall over sideways in the traditional manner... (Jim Baker)
2008-01-10 13:00:00Joe, thanks for chatting. Are there any of today's players that you expect to be overrated by the HOF voters, like Rice is?
(collins from greenville nc)
Man, good question. Obviously the way in which, say, Derek Jeter is overrated will carry over. Jeter is a Hall of Famer, a first-ballot guy, so it doesn't matter much.

On the margins...you know, I have to tell you that I clicked on this question, and now I can't come up with an answer. I don't know that this era has many marginal Hall of Famers who are likely to be *overrated* based on reputation or too-simple stats, such as RBI or wins.

Great question. I wish I had a better answer. The only one I can think of is maybe David Ortiz. Garret Anderson, I suppose, if he has a bounceback. (Joe Sheehan)


BP Roundtables

DateRoundtable NameComment
2009-10-12 15:00:00Phillies/Rockies Playoffs RoundtableBatting David Ortiz a couple of spots ahead of J.D. Drew, and treating him as a two-way player, was delusional. That wasn't the only mistake, but it didn't help.

It's a three-game losing streak at the wrong time. The Angels outplayed the Sox, flat beat them, same as the Dodgers did the Cardinals for the most part. It happens. The mistake is overreaction to three games.

(Joe Sheehan)
2008-10-22 16:30:00World Series Game OnePoolshark8189 (St Pete) leads off by asking: "Curious, do you all have any feel on how popular this series will be with the nation? I know that interest goes up with a long series, but I was wondering if you all have a feel how the nation views this series. Thanks-Mark"

Mark, I think that's a great question, one I think I'd like to see how everyone here at BP feels about it, in part because I've heard some insiders say that Boston/LA was dreamy, while Philly/Tampa Bay is some sort of letdown. I'd suggest those people in the industry who feel that way must not like the core product all that much, because as Jay Jaffe put it earlier today, what's lovely about this matchup is that it's got two great teams with tremendous talent, players who deserve to be marquee players. If folks want to see Derek Jeter lose another step or David Ortiz fade with age, I'd suggest they're following the wrong sport, and that pro wrestling's always looking for new sets of eyes indifferent to actual talent involved. These two teams have played great baseball and present us with two good collections of great baseball players. How can you beat that? (Christina Kahrl)
 

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