CSS Button No Image Css3Menu.com

Baseball Prospectus home
  
  
Click here to log in Click here for forgotten password Click here to subscribe
Strength of Schedule Report

Adjusted Standings |Team Audit Standings |Playoff Odds Report | Playoff Odds History


Display grouped by:
Division League All MLB
Facebook Twitter email a friend digg it buzz del.icio.us  

Updated 5:02 am Pac, Sep 25 2017

Click a column header to sort by that column. Click again to reverse sort order. Mouse over a column header link to see the definition, or click the icon to view the stat's Glossary entry. For more stats of all types, see the Sortable Stats page.

Notes: Please see this 2014 Feature Focus describing Playoff Odds details. The win totals are arrived at via simulation and are much more accurate than the Depth Chart win totals, which are based on the Pythagenport model.
See interactive graphs version of Playoff Odds for this year or past years starting in 2014.

This page is currently grouped by division and sorted by Sim Loss ascending.

American League East

RnkTeam
Win

Loss

Expected
Win Pct

Sim
Win
Sorted Ascending
Sim
Loss

Div
Pct

WC
Pct

Playoff
Pct

Playoff
Pct (Adj)

WS Win
Pct

1 Day
Delta

7 Day
Delta
1
Boston
Red Sox
9164.52994.767.399.6%0.4%100.0%99.8%5.0%0.0%0.0%
2
New York
Yankees
8669.59490.471.60.4%99.6%100.0%59.2%8.5%0.0%0.0%
3
Tampa Bay
Rays
7680.51879.083.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%-0.4%-0.9%
4
Baltimore
Orioles
7582.45477.284.80.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%-0.5%
5
Toronto
Blue Jays
7383.45375.286.80.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

American League Central

RnkTeam
Win

Loss

Expected
Win Pct

Sim
Win
Sorted Ascending
Sim
Loss

Div
Pct

WC
Pct

Playoff
Pct

Playoff
Pct (Adj)

WS Win
Pct

1 Day
Delta

7 Day
Delta
1
Cleveland
Indians
9858.624102.060.0100.0%0.0%100.0%100.0%23.4%0.0%0.0%
2
Minnesota
Twins
8274.49784.877.20.0%99.0%99.0%40.0%1.4%2.6%26.0%
3
Kansas City
Royals
7679.46079.382.70.0%0.1%0.1%0.0%0.1%-0.5%-1.0%
4
Chicago
White Sox
6392.44165.996.10.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
5
Detroit
Tigers
6294.43864.697.40.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

American League West

RnkTeam
Win

Loss

Expected
Win Pct

Sim
Win
Sorted Ascending
Sim
Loss

Div
Pct

WC
Pct

Playoff
Pct

Playoff
Pct (Adj)

WS Win
Pct

1 Day
Delta

7 Day
Delta
1
Houston
Astros
9560.57998.763.3100.0%0.0%100.0%100.0%11.7%0.0%0.0%
2
Los Angeles
Angels
7778.48680.781.30.0%0.9%0.9%0.4%0.1%-0.5%-19.8%
3
Texas
Rangers
7679.48479.582.50.0%0.1%0.1%0.0%0.1%-1.2%-1.7%
4
Seattle
Mariners
7581.48677.884.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%-0.0%-2.2%
5
Oakland
Athletics
7283.48275.486.60.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

National League East

RnkTeam
Win

Loss

Expected
Win Pct

Sim
Win
Sorted Ascending
Sim
Loss

Div
Pct

WC
Pct

Playoff
Pct

Playoff
Pct (Adj)

WS Win
Pct

1 Day
Delta

7 Day
Delta
1
Washington
Nationals
9461.57998.363.7100.0%0.0%100.0%100.0%12.7%0.0%0.0%
2
Miami
Marlins
7382.48676.685.40.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
3
Atlanta
Braves
7084.46973.888.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
4
New York
Mets
6689.45069.592.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
5
Philadelphia
Phillies
6294.45064.897.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

National League Central

RnkTeam
Win

Loss

Expected
Win Pct

Sim
Win
Sorted Ascending
Sim
Loss

Div
Pct

WC
Pct

Playoff
Pct

Playoff
Pct (Adj)

WS Win
Pct

1 Day
Delta

7 Day
Delta
1
Chicago
Cubs
8768.56090.871.299.5%0.3%99.8%99.7%9.4%0.8%7.0%
2
Milwaukee
Brewers
8274.50385.077.00.1%13.1%13.2%6.2%0.3%-12.0%-4.3%
3
St. Louis
Cardinals
8174.53984.877.20.4%10.0%10.4%5.4%0.5%-12.1%5.8%
4
Pittsburgh
Pirates
7185.45373.588.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
5
Cincinnati
Reds
6690.45368.493.60.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

National League West

RnkTeam
Win

Loss

Expected
Win Pct

Sim
Win
Sorted Ascending
Sim
Loss

Div
Pct

WC
Pct

Playoff
Pct

Playoff
Pct (Adj)

WS Win
Pct

1 Day
Delta

7 Day
Delta
1
Los Angeles
Dodgers
9957.607102.759.3100.0%0.0%100.0%100.0%19.8%0.0%0.0%
2
Arizona
Diamondbacks
9066.56493.668.40.0%100.0%100.0%55.4%5.7%0.0%0.0%
3
Colorado
Rockies
8472.50186.975.10.0%76.5%76.5%34.1%1.4%23.3%-8.5%
4
San Diego
Padres
7086.43872.589.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
5
San Francisco
Giants
6195.42163.698.40.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%