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July 6, 2012

Overthinking It: A Prospect Named Shaq, a Streak of 16 Strikeouts, and the Pain of Playing Baseball

by Ben Lindbergh

A 2012 draftee has struck out in his first 16 at-bats as a professional. What does that say about him? And more importantly, what does it say about baseball?

July 5, 2012

Premium Article Overthinking It: Second-Half Risers and Fallers

by Ben Lindbergh

With 81 games in the books, Ben looks at which players are most likely to outperform, or underperform, their first-half results.

July 3, 2012

Premium Article Overthinking It: Does Arbitration Drive Players Away?

by Ben Lindbergh

Is a team that takes a player to arbitration really running the risk of driving him toward another team down the road?

June 29, 2012

Premium Article Overthinking It: Why Some Pitchers Don't Get Injured

by Ben Lindbergh

'Pitchers are going to get hurt,' says one team executive, but a select few pitchers defy the rule.

June 25, 2012

Premium Article Overthinking It: What Does Everyone Have Against Homers?

by Ben Lindbergh

Why anyone who thinks the Yankees' reliance on the home run is a problem should stop worrying and learn to love the three-run bomb.

June 21, 2012

Premium Article Overthinking It: Melky Cabrera and the Mythical Age-27 Effect

by Ben Lindbergh

Melky Cabrera is having a breakout season, and he is 27 years old. Those are just two unrelated facts about Melky Cabrera.

June 19, 2012

Premium Article Overthinking It: The Cincinnati Reds and the Benefits of Being Homegrown

by Ben Lindbergh

The Reds have the lowest payroll of any first-place team, in large part because they haven't had to reach outside the organization for talent. Can they keep it up?

June 13, 2012

Premium Article Overthinking It: Who Is the Best Umpire?

by Ben Lindbergh

The difference between the best umpire and the worst is seven correct calls per game. Ben looks for the one who gets those seven right.

June 12, 2012

Premium Article Overthinking It: Ten Reasons the Astros Aren't Historically Terrible

by Ben Lindbergh

The Astros aren't exactly a success, but they certainly aren't a failure. We bet you didn't see that coming.

June 7, 2012

Premium Article Overthinking It: Slow and Steady Wins Some Races

by Ben Lindbergh

Drops in fastball velocity usually lead to spikes in ERA, but a handful of pitchers have made slower fastballs work for them this year.

June 5, 2012

Overthinking It: Derek Lowe Goes Back in Time

by Ben Lindbergh

After a league switch, Derek Lowe took a retro approach to pitching. So far, it's working.

June 1, 2012

Overthinking It: Bryce Harper's Brain is a Neural Net Processor

by Ben Lindbergh

How and why pitchers have dealt with Bryce Harper and Mike Trout in dramatically different ways, and how Harper has already adjusted.

Premium Article Overthinking It: Adam Jones' Unusual Breakout

by Ben Lindbergh

Adam Jones' power spike hasn't come with any newfound patience. Does this mean the Orioles will regret extending him by six years?

May 29, 2012

Premium Article Overthinking It: Jonny Venters and What a High BABIP Looks Like

by Ben Lindbergh

Every bloop, bleeder, and swinging bunt that has contributed toward the Braves setup man's .458 BABIP in 2012.

May 25, 2012

Premium Article Overthinking It: A Tribe's Hard Quest

by Ben Lindbergh

Last year's Indians surprised everyone with a first-place start, then collapsed. This year's Indians have also surprised everyone with a first-place start. What's next?

May 23, 2012

Overthinking It: Gio Gonzalez and Max Scherzer are Striking Out Everyone

by Ben Lindbergh

Two starting pitchers are putting up elite strikeout rates this year, without adding new pitches or heaps of velocity. This is how.

May 18, 2012

Premium Article Overthinking It: How Big Papi Got His Bat Back

by Ben Lindbergh

After looking like he was on his last legs in 2009 and again in 2010, David Ortiz has returned to near-peak form. How did he do it?

May 16, 2012

Premium Article Overthinking It: Brett Lawrie Was Framed

by Ben Lindbergh

Brett Lawrie was right to be upset about the two strikes that got him ejected on Tuesday, but framer extraordinaire Jose Molina had as much to do with the calls as umpire Bill Miller.

May 14, 2012

Premium Article Overthinking It: The Rangers' Secret Weapon

by Ben Lindbergh

He's no Josh Hamilton, but Rangers outfielder Craig Gentry might be better than you think he is.

May 11, 2012

Overthinking It: A Fond Farewell to the Fake to Third

by Ben Lindbergh

A proposed rule change could eliminate the fake-to-third, throw-to-first pickoff attempt as soon as next season, which makes this a good time to answer the age-old question: Does it ever work?

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