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Overthinking It column archives.


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December 14, 2012

Premium Article Overthinking It: The Prospects Who Get Traded

by Ben Lindbergh

Teams know their own prospects best, so should it be a red flag if they're willing to trade a top one? History suggests it is so.

December 11, 2012

Overthinking It: The Royals, the Rays, and the Problem with Windows

by Ben Lindbergh

Was the Royals' strategy in their swap of Wil Myers and more prospects for James Shields and Wade Davis based on a broken windows theory?

December 7, 2012

Premium Article Overthinking It: Teams That Still Have Holes to Fill

by Ben Lindbergh

What work is still left to be done for some of baseball's playoff contenders?

November 29, 2012

Premium Article Overthinking It: How Will Josh Hamilton Age?

by Ben Lindbergh

The top free agent outfielder has a hitting style that should scare teams considering buying his mid-30s.

November 26, 2012

Premium Article Overthinking It: The Art of NPB Scouting

by Ben Lindbergh

Forecasting Japanese imports provides particular challenges, which teams will try to adjust for this offseason.

November 20, 2012

Premium Article Overthinking It: Why Justin Upton is Always About to Be Traded

by Ben Lindbergh

It's a lot of fun to talk about Justin Upton being traded, which might be why reporters talk about it so much, and it might be why Kevin Towers talks about it so much.

November 19, 2012

Premium Article Overthinking It: All Quiet on the Free Agent Front

by Ben Lindbergh

Despite many factors pointing toward increased spending, baseball's salaries haven't seemed much more inflated this winter.

November 14, 2012

Premium Article Overthinking It: The Moves Alex Anthopoulos Made Before the Blockbuster

by Ben Lindbergh

Deals like this week's blockbuster are rare for any team. What are the day-in, day-out moves that Alex Anthopoulus has tended to make, and is likely to continue to make, to finish building a contender?

November 13, 2012

Overthinking It: The 50-Run Receiver

by Ben Lindbergh

Is Jose Molina a stealth MVP candidate? Ben looks for photographic evidence.

November 8, 2012

Overthinking It: Why Nobody Gets Caught Stealing

by Ben Lindbergh

Catchers can't throw anyone out anymore. Why is that, and should we be worried?

November 6, 2012

Premium Article Overthinking It: This Offseason's Generic-Brand Bargains

by Ben Lindbergh

Smart GMs don't pay for the brand name, but for the product. These players might have baggage but they get the job done as well as their expensive counterparts.

November 2, 2012

Overthinking It: What Chipper Jones' Retirement Gifts Were For: A Short Story (Updated)

by Ben Lindbergh

In 2012, Chipper Jones received an assortment of strange gifts from each opponent he played on his last trip around the league. In 2031, he will finally figure out what to do with them.

October 26, 2012

Premium Article Overthinking It: Predicting the First Offseason of Qualifying Offers

by Ben Lindbergh

Teams will have more difficult decisions to make if they want free-agent compensation this year. Here's how it will likely go.

October 18, 2012

Premium Article Overthinking It: Baseball's Most Immovable Players

by Ben Lindbergh

According to reports, the Marlins may have interest in Alex Rodriguez. Where does he rank among baseball's most difficult players to deal?

October 11, 2012

Overthinking It: What Teams and Players Predicted About Themselves

by Ben Lindbergh

What every team predicted about itself before this season, and whether those predictions came true.

October 5, 2012

Premium Article Overthinking It: Baltimore's Best Bet to Beat Texas

by Ben Lindbergh

If the Orioles want to extend their surprise season beyond the wild-card game, they should make the most of what got them there.

October 2, 2012

Premium Article Overthinking It: The Tiebreak That Would Bring Baseball to its Knees

by Ben Lindbergh

Ever wondered what would happen if five teams tied for a division title? Don't expect any answers: the scary thing is, no one knows.

September 28, 2012

Overthinking It: Mourning Manny Acta

by Ben Lindbergh

Manny Acta has never done anything but lose. Is this the sort of thing that should get a manager fired?

September 27, 2012

Premium Article Overthinking It: The Injuries That Decided Divisions

by Ben Lindbergh

Health can play a big part in which teams win and which go home. In the AL East and AL Central, lost WARP can help explain the standings.

September 25, 2012

Premium Article Overthinking It: The 2012 All-Fringe-Prospect Team

by Ben Lindbergh

Which minor-league full-season statistical leaders were mostly mirage?

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