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Overthinking It column archives.


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November 14, 2012

Premium Article Overthinking It: The Moves Alex Anthopoulos Made Before the Blockbuster

by Ben Lindbergh

Deals like this week's blockbuster are rare for any team. What are the day-in, day-out moves that Alex Anthopoulus has tended to make, and is likely to continue to make, to finish building a contender?

November 13, 2012

Overthinking It: The 50-Run Receiver

by Ben Lindbergh

Is Jose Molina a stealth MVP candidate? Ben looks for photographic evidence.

November 8, 2012

Overthinking It: Why Nobody Gets Caught Stealing

by Ben Lindbergh

Catchers can't throw anyone out anymore. Why is that, and should we be worried?

November 6, 2012

Premium Article Overthinking It: This Offseason's Generic-Brand Bargains

by Ben Lindbergh

Smart GMs don't pay for the brand name, but for the product. These players might have baggage but they get the job done as well as their expensive counterparts.

November 2, 2012

Overthinking It: What Chipper Jones' Retirement Gifts Were For: A Short Story (Updated)

by Ben Lindbergh

In 2012, Chipper Jones received an assortment of strange gifts from each opponent he played on his last trip around the league. In 2031, he will finally figure out what to do with them.

October 26, 2012

Premium Article Overthinking It: Predicting the First Offseason of Qualifying Offers

by Ben Lindbergh

Teams will have more difficult decisions to make if they want free-agent compensation this year. Here's how it will likely go.

October 18, 2012

Premium Article Overthinking It: Baseball's Most Immovable Players

by Ben Lindbergh

According to reports, the Marlins may have interest in Alex Rodriguez. Where does he rank among baseball's most difficult players to deal?

October 11, 2012

Overthinking It: What Teams and Players Predicted About Themselves

by Ben Lindbergh

What every team predicted about itself before this season, and whether those predictions came true.

October 5, 2012

Premium Article Overthinking It: Baltimore's Best Bet to Beat Texas

by Ben Lindbergh

If the Orioles want to extend their surprise season beyond the wild-card game, they should make the most of what got them there.

October 2, 2012

Premium Article Overthinking It: The Tiebreak That Would Bring Baseball to its Knees

by Ben Lindbergh

Ever wondered what would happen if five teams tied for a division title? Don't expect any answers: the scary thing is, no one knows.

September 28, 2012

Overthinking It: Mourning Manny Acta

by Ben Lindbergh

Manny Acta has never done anything but lose. Is this the sort of thing that should get a manager fired?

September 27, 2012

Premium Article Overthinking It: The Injuries That Decided Divisions

by Ben Lindbergh

Health can play a big part in which teams win and which go home. In the AL East and AL Central, lost WARP can help explain the standings.

September 25, 2012

Premium Article Overthinking It: The 2012 All-Fringe-Prospect Team

by Ben Lindbergh

Which minor-league full-season statistical leaders were mostly mirage?

September 20, 2012

Premium Article Overthinking It: No Ace, No Problem?

by Ben Lindbergh

Is there anything to the notion that teams need an ace to compete in October, or is it just another in a long line of flawed theories about post-season success?

September 19, 2012

Premium Article Overthinking It: The Surprisingly Hard-to-Hit Pitches of 2012

by Ben Lindbergh

Having a great pitch doesn't make you a great pitcher, as the PITCHf/x leaderboards show.

September 13, 2012

Premium Article Overthinking It: Chicken Soup for the Pirates Fan's Soul

by Ben Lindbergh

The Pirates are in the midst of a late-season swoon much like their freefall from last season, but Pittsburgh fans still have at least nine reasons to smile.

September 12, 2012

Overthinking It: All I Really Need to Know About Baseball, I Learned from Bill Veeck

by Ben Lindbergh

Perhaps the best book written about baseball in 2012 was written in 1962.

September 8, 2012

Premium Article Overthinking It: The Mechanical Flaw Fixers

by Ben Lindbergh

Your team's struggling star just made a mechanical tweak. Is a rebound just around the corner?

September 7, 2012

Premium Article Overthinking It: Feasting on the East

by Ben Lindbergh

The Orioles' success story isn't totally separate from the tragic seasons of the Blue Jays and Red Sox.

August 31, 2012

Premium Article Overthinking It: From Prospect to Project to Prominence

by Ben Lindbergh

Ten players who took the long route from top prospect to major-league contributor this year.

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