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Overthinking It column archives.


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August 29, 2012

Premium Article Overthinking It: What Stephen Strasburg's Season Could Have Looked Like

by Ben Lindbergh

If the Nationals had handled their ace's innings limit a little more like the Braves massaged Kris Medlen's, they might not be facing a Strasless October.

August 28, 2012

Premium Article Overthinking It: What the New Skippers Have Done

by Ben Lindbergh

It's hard to draw conclusions about manager abilities, but Ben looks at how each of five managers hired before the season have performed this year.

August 24, 2012

Premium Article Overthinking It: The A's, the Rays, and Two Different Ways to Ball on a Budget

by Ben Lindbergh

Oakland's success this year is all the more surprising considering they have departed from the small-market blueprint perfected by Tampa Bay.

Premium Article Overthinking It: Finding Life After 30

by Ben Lindbergh

Five older players on contending teams have defied the aging curve by having unexpected success this year. How have they done it, and can it continue?

August 16, 2012

Premium Article Overthinking It: Running, But Running Out of Time, in the NL East

by Ben Lindbergh

The National League East could come down to baserunning. The Nationals have the edge in the standings, but the Braves' baserunners have kept it close.

August 14, 2012

Premium Article Overthinking It: Anthony Gose is Not Ready Right Now

by Ben Lindbergh

Blue Jays blue-chip prospect Anthony Gose has been bad in the big leagues, but has he been so bad that we should start to doubt his skills?

August 13, 2012

Premium Article Overthinking It: The Adam Jones Extension Revisited

by Ben Lindbergh

When the Orioles extended Adam Jones, he was hitting like a player possessed. Now that he's back to being the old Adam Jones, have the deal's detractors been proven right?

August 10, 2012

Overthinking It: What Happens When Starters Get Sick

by Ben Lindbergh

Sometimes starters get sick, and they start a game anyway. After that, things often get ugly. We should celebrate their sacrifice.

August 9, 2012

Premium Article Overthinking It: Defending to the Crown

by Ben Lindbergh

This year's Pirates haven't crumbled like last year's Pirates, and the reasons why start with team defense.

August 7, 2012

Overthinking It: Measuring the Movement at This Year's Deadline

by Ben Lindbergh

Using PECOTA to figure out how much each of this year's moves affected the playoff odds.

August 2, 2012

Premium Article Overthinking It: Have Glove, Will Learn to Hit

by Ben Lindbergh

Not all glovemen are destined to stay hopelessly inept at the plate. Ben looks at defensive stars who have added offense to their games this year.

July 26, 2012

Premium Article Overthinking It: Upgrading From Nothing

by Ben Lindbergh

The easiest way for contending teams to get better is to start with where they've been worst. Here is where they've been worst.

July 19, 2012

Premium Article Overthinking It: Did Boston Trade Youkilis Too Soon?

by Ben Lindbergh

The Red Sox moved quickly to get Kevin Youkilis out of their lineup and out of their clubhouse this summer. With Youkilis hitting well once more, the decision looks like it might have been a mistake.

July 17, 2012

Premium Article Overthinking It: PECOTA's First-Half Hits and Misses

by Ben Lindbergh

Forty notable projection successes and failures from the first half, in haiku form.

July 13, 2012

Premium Article Overthinking It: The Rapid Aging of A-Rod

by Ben Lindbergh

Alex Rodriguez had an extraordinary prime, but he's aging much more like an average player, and that's not good news for the Yankees.

July 10, 2012

Premium Article Overthinking It: The Brief Wondrous Life of a One-Year Deal

by Ben Lindbergh

One-year contracts are perfect fodder for analysis after just half of a season.

July 6, 2012

Overthinking It: A Prospect Named Shaq, a Streak of 16 Strikeouts, and the Pain of Playing Baseball

by Ben Lindbergh

A 2012 draftee has struck out in his first 16 at-bats as a professional. What does that say about him? And more importantly, what does it say about baseball?

July 5, 2012

Premium Article Overthinking It: Second-Half Risers and Fallers

by Ben Lindbergh

With 81 games in the books, Ben looks at which players are most likely to outperform, or underperform, their first-half results.

July 3, 2012

Premium Article Overthinking It: Does Arbitration Drive Players Away?

by Ben Lindbergh

Is a team that takes a player to arbitration really running the risk of driving him toward another team down the road?

June 29, 2012

Premium Article Overthinking It: Why Some Pitchers Don't Get Injured

by Ben Lindbergh

'Pitchers are going to get hurt,' says one team executive, but a select few pitchers defy the rule.

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