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Week ending on Saturday, March 30 2013.


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Saturday, March 30

BP Unfiltered: The Phillies and Scouts Without Stats

by Ben Lindbergh

Can the Phillies succeed through scouting alone?

Rumor Roundup: Setting the Stage

by Daniel Rathman

The Astros have a new plan for their minor-league starters, and the regular season is set to kick off with a showdown in Texas.

Friday, March 29

Pre-Season Predictions: Staff Picks for 2013

Baseball Prospectus

Pegging BP's favorites in both leagues, both in the standings and for the major awards.

Prospects Will Break Your Heart: 2013 Organizational Rankings

by Jason Parks

The Cardinals have the best farm system in baseball. Who's next?

Prospectus Preview: These Questions Three: The Bottom of the Barrel

by Russell A. Carleton and Ian Miller

The final installment of a five-part series on the pressing questions confronting each team in 2013.

Pebble Hunting: The Most Interesting Major Leaguer You Probably Haven't Heard Of

by Sam Miller

The story of a pitcher who was secretly amazing last season.

Raising Aces: Against the Grain

by Doug Thorburn

Eight starters who combine top-flight results with suspect mechanics.

32 Predictions Contest: 2013 Edition

by Sky Kalkman

Put your predictive powers to the test.

Transaction Analysis: Five Years For Wainwright

by R.J. Anderson

The Cardinals extend Adam Wainwright, the Blue Jays extend J.A. Happ, and the Yankees let Juan Rivera go.

Perfect Game Presents: 2013 Rookie of the Year Candidates

by George Bissell

Top prospects ready to make their mark in 2013

Fantasy Freestyle: NL Tout Wars Auction Review

by Mike Gianella

Mike looks back on the team he bought in last week's Tout Wars auction, and explains how he will gauge his success.

Fantasy Starting Pitcher Planner: Week One

by Paul Sporer

A favorable early schedule for the Athletics lands Jarrod Parker and Brett Anderson among the must-starts this week.

BP Fantasy Podcast: Episode 38

by Jason Collette, Paul Sporer, Paul Singman and Mike Gianella

Paul Sporer couldn't go to ToutWars, but he sits down to chat with Jason, Mike, and Paul Singman about their teams, strategies, and drinks of choice at Foley's.

BP Unfiltered: Spring Stats Without the Small Samples

by Ben Lindbergh

Notable statistical standouts from the past eight combined seasons of spring training.

BP Unfiltered: Cats! Predicting! Baseball!

by Jason Wojciechowski

What if you let cats predict the season?

Minor League Update: Games of Thursday, March 28

by Zach Mortimer

Jonathan Singleton's 50-game suspension will hold him back a bit, but he's still the top first-base prospect in the minors.

Fantasy Mailbag: Much Ado About Pitching

by BP Fantasy Staff

The fantasy team tackles a variety of questions, many of which focus on pitching-staff construction.

BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 170: Jason Parks on Podcasting, Prospect Ranking, and Player Development

by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

Ben and Sam talk to Jason Parks about the forthcoming Fringe Average Podcast and BP prospect book, the ranking process, and how player development differs between teams.

The BP Wayback Machine: Opening Day Goodbyes

by Jim Baker

When Opening Day is an ending, not a beginning.

Thursday, March 28

Premium Article Prospects Will Break Your Heart: Washington Nationals Top 10 Prospects

by Jason Parks

The Nationals don't have the healthiest Top 10, but there's plenty of upside.

Premium Article Overthinking It: What it Would Mean for the Marlins if Placido Polanco Bats Fourth

by Ben Lindbergh

The Marlins find a new way to be an embarrassment.

Premium Article Prospectus Preview: These Questions Three: The Maybe-Next-Years

by Bradford Doolittle and Harry Pavlidis

The fourth installment of a five-part series on the pressing questions confronting each team in 2013.

Premium Article On the Beat: Great Expectations

by John Perrotto

The Dodgers expect to compete for the World Series, Zack Greinke discusses sabermetrics, the Yankees get Vernon Wells, Kyle Lohse gets a job, and the Cardinals have a rash of bad luck.

Premium Article Skewed Left: The Future Cost of Present Improvement

by Zachary Levine

The future price that each team that improved over the offseason paid.

Premium Article Notes from the Field: Four Prospects with Work to Do

by Chris Mellen

Chris reports on a quartet of prospect works in progress he scouted during his recent trip to Florida.

Premium Article In A Pickle: More Unknown Facts About More Unknown Players

by Jason Wojciechowski

We continue our tour of the nation's 40-man rosters.

Premium Article Rumor Roundup: Strong Side, Weak Side

by Daniel Rathman

The Blue Jays have a superstar roster, but the decision to carry 13 pitchers leaves their bench extremely thin. The Royals will also consider starting Eric Hosmer in right field.

Fantasy Article Fantasy Tiered Rankings: National League Starting Pitchers

by Paul Sporer

The 2011 Cy Young Award winner leads an exceptionally deep crop of senior-circuit starters.

Fantasy Article Fantasy Freestyle: Twenty Endgame Targets in Various Formats

by Bret Sayre

Bret reveals some of his favorite players to target late in drafts, as the pickings get slim.

BP Unfiltered: Jim Leyland, Joaquin Benoit, and Bouncing Back

by Ben Lindbergh

Are the stats missing something the Tigers' skipper sees?

BP Unfiltered: Stats and Scouts

by R.J. Anderson

No arguments. Just two pieces worth your time.

Premium Article Minor League Update: Games of Wednesday, March 27

by Zach Mortimer

Evan Gattis makes his way to the majors.

BP Announcements: Introducing: Dissecting the Draft

by Nick J. Faleris

Kicking off a new series of articles covering the 2013 MLB Draft.

Fantasy Article Fantasy Tiered Rankings: Relief Pitchers

by Paul Singman

Craig Kimbrel stands alone at the top, with Jonathan Papelbon and Aroldis Chapman nipping at his heels.

BP Announcements: PECOTA Percentiles Are Here

by Colin Wyers

Announcing the arrival of the 2013 PECOTA percentiles.

BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 169: The Retirement of Tim McCarver/Is Clubhouse Chemistry Less Important Than it Used to Be?

by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

Ben and Sam talk about Tim McCarver's impending retirement and share their thoughts on broadcasting, then discuss whether changes in players' routines have reduced the importance of clubhouse chemistry.

Wednesday, March 27

Premium Article Notes from the Field: Spring Training Scouting Reports

by Zach Mortimer

Notes from Florida on prospects from six organizations.

Premium Article Prospectus Preview: These Questions Three: The Cautiously Optimistic

by Matthew Kory and Paul Sporer

The third installment of a five-part series on the pressing questions confronting each team in 2013.

The Lineup Card: 8 Spring Training Stats We Don't Put Much Stock In

Baseball Prospectus

Spring training is a timy for gaudy numbers, but there are some that seem especially unrealistic to the BP staff.

Premium Article Baseball Therapy: The Lessons of Lohse

by Russell A. Carleton

Does the hard time Kyle Lohse had finding a job suggest that we should change the draft pick compensation system?

Baseball Prospectus News: MLB Depth Charts Team Pages Now at Baseball Prospectus

by Jason Martinez

MLBDC Moves to Baseball Prospectus.

Premium Article Western Front: The Reluctant Optimism of Spring

by Geoff Young

No teams are out of the running in spring training, and gaudy stats provide optimism for what the season may bring.

Premium Article Rumor Roundup: Second Chances

by Daniel Rathman

Devin Mesoraco will keep the backup catcher job in Cincinnati, and recent injuries could keep the Padres' infield situation fluid for much of April.

Wezen-Ball: Connie Mack, the Wise-Cracking Catcher

by Larry Granillo

A century old story shines some light on Connie Mack's greatest secret.

Fantasy Article Fantasy Freestyle: Use Your Disabled List

by Josh Shepardson

Although fantasy owners typically fill every position, they often leave their disabled-list spots vacant, so Josh profiles six players worth stashing.

Premium Article Minor League Update: Games of Tuesday, March 26

by Zach Mortimer

Aaron Hicks has secured the Opening Day center-field job in Minnesota with an outstanding spring.

Fantasy Article Fantasy Freestyle: Expert-League Auction Comparison

by Jason Collette

With Tout Wars now in the books, Jason looks at the similarities and differences between that auction, CBS, and LABR.

BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 168: Projections for the Yankees and Blue Jays/If the Amateur Draft Were an Auction/Lifetime Contracts for Generational Talents

by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

Ben and Sam answer listener emails about PECOTA's projections for the Yankees and Blue Jays, how the amateur draft and free agency would work in an auction format, and whether teams should offer players like Bryce Harper and Stephen Strasburg $100 million lifetime contracts after drafting them.

Tuesday, March 26

Premium Article Transaction Analysis: Kyle Lohse's Long, Strange Trip Leads to Milwaukee

by Ben Lindbergh

The offseason saga of a free agent starter ends with his signing by the Brewers.

Premium Article Prospectus Preview: These Questions Three: The Legit Contenders

by Sam Miller and Adam Sobsey

The second installment of a five-part series on the pressing questions confronting each team in 2013.

Premium Article Overthinking It: Five Make-or-Break Contract Years

by Ben Lindbergh

A closer look at the impending free agents who have the most riding on a return to form or a return to health in 2013.

Premium Article Skewed Left: Things for Fans of Bad Teams to Root for in 2013

by Zachary Levine

What fans of the Astros, Twins, Marlins, and Rockies should be hoping happens this season.

Premium Article Painting the Black: Ian Kennedy's Secret

by R.J. Anderson

How does Ian Kennedy get so many whiffs with so little zip?

Baseball ProGUESTus: Why Turning 30 is So Much Better if You Don't Play Baseball

by Brian MacPherson

And why we find it so difficult to remember how quickly the end can come for professional athletes.

Premium Article Rumor Roundup: Platoon Havens

by Daniel Rathman

Potential roster moves could leave the Athletics and Orioles juggling multiple platoon options.

Premium Article Out of Left Field: Wrongs of Spring

by Matthew Kory

Spring training does not bring out the best in everybody, as Matt found.

Fantasy Article Fantasy Tiered Rankings: American League Starting Pitchers

by Paul Sporer

The past three Cy Young Award winners make up the top tier, while the Angels land three-fifths of their rotation in the one-star level.

BP Unfiltered: Is "Late Break" Real?

by Alan M. Nathan

An expert on the physics of baseball tackles a common question.

Wezen-Ball: Li'l Pete's Big Hit

by Larry Granillo

When you're dealing with Pete Rose in the mid-1980s, anything is worth preserving.

Premium Article Minor League Update: Games of Monday, March 25

by Zach Mortimer

Other arms in the Mariners system got more press entering the spring, but Brandon Maurer has come away with a rotation job.

Fantasy Article Fantasy Auction Values: Sixth Edition, March 26

by Mike Gianella

Mike adjusts his bid limits based on the latest injury news and the players' Tout Wars price tags.

BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 167: Yasiel Puig's Explosive Spring

by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

Ben and Sam discuss Yasiel Puig's spring hot streak, how perceptions of him have changed since his signing, and what the Dodgers will do with him now.

BP Announcements: Free Days

by Ben Lindbergh

Everything at BP is free from Friday through Monday

Monday, March 25

Prospectus Preview: These Questions Three: The Favorites

by R.J. Anderson and Nick J. Faleris

The first of a five-part series on the pressing questions confronting each team in 2013.

Premium Article Baseball Therapy: Could the All-Bullpen Approach Actually Work?

by Russell A. Carleton

Considering all the pros and cons of a revolutionary way to structure a roster.

Premium Article Bizball: MLB, the Boogieman, and the Biogenesis Lawsuit

by Maury Brown

Maury questions the league's decision to press charges stemming from the Biogenesis scandal.

Premium Article Transaction Analysis: Yankees Trade for Vernon Wells

by R.J. Anderson and Sam Miller

The Angels dump Wells, the Astros add Cedeno, and the Pirates pick up a new shortstop.

Premium Article Rumor Roundup: Center of the Fold

by Daniel Rathman

The Red Sox could put Jackie Bradley on the Opening Day roster, Shelby Miller appears to have the fifth rotation spot locked down, and the O's could deal Luis Ayala.

The Week in Quotes: March 18-24

by Pete Barrett, Hudson Belinsky, Jonah Birenbaum and Andrew Koo

Running through the notable quotes of the week that was.

Fantasy Article Fantasy Tiered Rankings: American League Outfielders

by Mike Gianella

Mike Trout stands alone at the top, and two White Sox appear in the group of value picks.

Wezen-Ball: News of the Weird

by Larry Granillo

A quick look at two off-the-wall stories from recent days.

BP Unfiltered: My Tout Wars Team

by Jason Collette

I did not get everyone I wanted, but am still pleased with my results.

Premium Article Minor League Update: Games of March 22-24

by Zach Mortimer

Two Braves earn Prospect of the Day recognition, alongside Aaron Hicks, who has been named the Twins' Opening Day center fielder.

BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 166: Is the Internet Too Optimistic About the Astros?

by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

Ben and Sam discuss whether the supposed split between scouts and statheads about the outlook for the Astros actually exists.

Fantasy Article Fantasy Tiered Rankings: National League Outfielders

by Mike Gianella

A three-man top tier stands a cut above the rest, but there are five-category contributors as low as tier three.

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