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Week ending on Wednesday, February 20 2013.


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Wednesday, February 20

Premium Article Pebble Hunting: Fixing the Holes, American League

by Sam Miller

Each AL team had a weakest position last season. Those positions aren't so weak anymore.

The Socratic Approach to PECOTA: And Why We Don't Hate Bryce Harper

by Ben Lindbergh and Colin Wyers

Asking questions about PECOTA's projections, and explaining what the system thinks is in store for Bryce Harper.

The Lineup Card: 11 Favorite Off-Season Moves

Baseball Prospectus

With most teams finished with their winter shopping, which moves did the BP staff like the most this offseason?

Premium Article Punk Hits: Baseball Players Are Too Damned Good For Their Own Good

by Ian Miller

Or maybe for our own good.

Premium Article Rumor Roundup: Fishing for Carp

by Daniel Rathman

The Mariners face a Thursday deadline to move Mike Carp, and the Biogenesis saga won't go away.

Premium Article Transaction Analysis: Snakes Get Legs

by R.J. Anderson

The Diamondbacks trade for Tony Campana, the Marlins sign Casey Kotchman, and Jack Cust lands in Tampa Bay.

Fantasy Article Pre-Season Positional Rankings: Top 15 Fantasy Shortstops

by Paul Singman

The elite players at this position are tantalizing, but each of them carries significant risk.

BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 144: 2013 Season Preview Series: Philadelphia Phillies

by Ben Lindbergh, Sam Miller and Pete Barrett

Ben and Sam preview the Phillies' season with Paul Sporer, and Pete talks to CSNPhilly.com Phillies Insider Jim Salisbury (at 19:27).

Fantasy Article Five to Watch: Impact Arms With Unclear Roles

by Paul Sporer

A pair of triple-digit hurlers top this group of pitchers, whose upside is high, but whose specific jobs are up in the air.

Tuesday, February 19

Premium Article Prospects Will Break Your Heart: Texas Rangers Top 10 Prospects

by Jason Parks

Immense upside and considerable risk give the Rangers one of the best, albeit one of the most boom-or-bust, systems in the game.

Premium Article Rumor Roundup: Tuesday, February 19

by Daniel Rathman

Adam Wainwright seems flexible about an extension, and the Brewers are running out of options at first base.

Premium Article Painting the Black: The Pirates Gamble on Marte

by R.J. Anderson

Will putting Starling Marte at the top of Pittsburgh's order pay off?

Premium Article Collateral Damage: Pop Goes the Knee Joint

by Corey Dawkins and Stephani Bee

There are a variety of reasons why ACL injuries like Mat Gamel's can recur.

Premium Article Out of Left Field: The 10,786 Miles Not Technically Traveled By Sandy Rosario

by Matthew Kory

Life on the 40 shouldn't be so rough.

Premium Article Skewed Left: A Meeting of the Mariner DHs

by Zachary Levine

Several DHs enter. All of them leave.

Baseball ProGUESTus: Paul Richards, Maker of Major-League Managers

by Jonathan Bernstein

Remembering a man whose career may have spawned those of many subsequent skippers.

Premium Article Western Front: San Diego High School Baseball at the Turn of the Millennium

by Geoff Young

San Diego has a rich baseball tradition, and many big-league stars have roots in Southern California.

BP Fantasy Podcast: Episode 33: Get Well Soon, Jason

by Paul Sporer, Mike Gianella and Bret Sayre

Shortstops, get your shortstops here!

BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 143: 2013 Season Preview Series: Atlanta Braves

by Ben Lindbergh, Sam Miller and Pete Barrett

Ben and Sam preview the Braves' season with Zachary Levine, and Pete talks to Atlanta Journal-Constitution sports columnist Mark Bradley (at 16:42).

Fantasy Article Fantasy Beat: Budget Allocation in Expert Auctions

by Jason Collette

By popular demand, Jason examines how the experts chose to spend their money in last year's auctions, and the results they attained.

Wezen-Ball: Century City

by Larry Granillo

The 2004 series "Century City" once tackled the legal issues of a mechanically-enhanced ballplayer.

Monday, February 18

Premium Article Overthinking It: Why There Probably Are No Next Orioles

by Ben Lindbergh

We all missed on last year's Orioles and A's, so we're determined to see the next similar surprise team coming. But are we sure that one will?

Baseball Therapy: What Really Predicts Pitcher Injuries?

by Russell A. Carleton

Russell searches for a fact-based alternative to the Verducci Effect.

Baseball Prospectus News: The New Reality for BP Fantasy

by Joe Hamrahi

BP rolls out its expanded and enhanced fantasy coverage for 2013.

Premium Article Painting the Black: Martin Maldonado and Learning to Love Defense-First Catchers

by R.J. Anderson

Sure, some catchers can't hit. But are we learning to look on the bright side?

Premium Article Rumor Roundup: Monday, February 18

by Daniel Rathman

Ryan Madson could return to throwing soon, and the Athletics are leaving no stone unturned in their search for a first baseman.

The Week in Quotes: February 11-17

by Pete Barrett, Hudson Belinsky, Jonah Birenbaum and Andrew Koo

Running through the notable quotes of the week that was.

Fantasy Article Fantasy Auction Values: First Edition, February 18

by Mike Gianella

Mike unveils his complete guide to Rotisserie-style auctions for a variety of leagues, to be updated throughout February and March.

BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 142: 2013 Season Preview Series: Washington Nationals

by Ben Lindbergh and Pete Barrett

Ben and Sam preview the Nationals' season with Paul Sporer and Daniel Rathman, and Pete talks to Adam Kilgore, who covers the Nationals for the Washington Post (at 19:51).

Fantasy Article Pre-Season Positional Rankings: Top 15 Fantasy Second Basemen

by Josh Shepardson

The keystone features a terrific trio, but questions cloud the dozen players that follow.

Sunday, February 17

Tater Trot Tracker: A Birthday Treat: Michael Jordan's Tater Trot

by Larry Granillo

In honor of his 50th birthday, enjoy the first ever tater trot of baseball legend Michael Jordan.

Friday, February 15

Premium Article Prospects Will Break Your Heart: Baltimore Orioles Top 10 Prospects

by Jason Parks

The system isn't deep, but it has flash.

Baseball Prospectus News: Introducing the 2013 Playoff Odds Report

by Colin Wyers

Now with new features, including each team's odds of advancing to the Division Series and winning the World Series.

Premium Article Arbitration Showdown: Mock Hearing: Sergio Romo

by Nick J. Faleris, Bradford Doolittle and Ben Lindbergh

How many saves does it take to make closer money?

Premium Article Pebble Hunting: What it Means to Have the Worst Farm System in Baseball

by Sam Miller

Hint: it's not cause for optimism.

Premium Article Arbitration Showdown: Mock Hearing: Dexter Fowler

by Maury Brown, Matthew Kory and Ben Lindbergh

Will Fowler's career year persuade our panel to side with his salary figure, or will Coors kill his case?

Premium Article Skewed Left: How Can the Pirates Make the Most of McCutchen?

by Zachary Levine

Are the Pirates on the path to wasting their most valuable asset?

Pitcher Profile: Milwaukee's Rotation Brew

by Harry Pavlidis

A look at what the Brewers' rotation options offer from a stuff (and beer) perspective.

Premium Article Rumor Roundup: Friday, February 15

by Daniel Rathman

The Cubs are zeroing in on their starting rotation, and Kyle Lohse might come off the market soon.

Premium Article Transaction Analysis: New Homes for Tampa Infielders

by R.J. Anderson

The Royals get Elliot Johnson, the Rockies get Reid Brignac, Shawn Kelley goes to New York, Kameron Loe heads to Seattle, and Rafael Perez might be a starter.

Fantasy Article Fantasy Freestyle: Mike Trout and Regression Obsession

by Mike Gianella

No matter how hard you try to discredit Trout, he stacks up as an elite fantasy option in 2013.

BP Fantasy Podcast: Updated NFBC ADP data

by Jason Collette

The latest report is out

Fantasy Article Five to Watch: American League Hitters

by Bret Sayre

Leonys Martin leads off a list that includes three outfielders, a third baseman, and a shortstop.

BP Announcements: Scoresheet Draft Aid 2013

by Rob McQuown

Baseball Prospectus brings back the popular Scoresheet Baseball Draft Aid, remaining Scoresheet-friendly in 2013. In time for public league drafts!

BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 141: 2013 Season Preview Series: Houston Astros

by Ben Lindbergh, Sam Miller and Pete Barrett

Ben and Sam preview the Astros' season with Jason Collette, and Pete talks to MLB.com correspondent Richard Justice (at 16:54).

Thursday, February 14

On the Beat: A Flaw to Declaw Detroit?

by John Perrotto

The Tigers are gearing up for another championship run, but they're not taking anything for granted.

Premium Article Painting the Black: Where the Dodgers Skimped

by R.J. Anderson

In the wake of the Dodgers' recent record spending, we might ask why Luis Cruz is still around.

Premium Article In A Pickle: Not All Stars Are All-Stars

by Jason Wojciechowski

The most underappreciated players ever, by one worthwhile measure.

Premium Article Rumor Roundup: Thursday, February 14

by Daniel Rathman

Justin Verlander isn't the only pitcher who wants to stay in Detroit long-term, and Scott Rolen is running out of options.

Premium Article Prospect Profile: Domonic Brown

by Hudson Belinsky

After a mediocre showing last summer, Brown could face a make-or-break campaign this year.

Wezen-Ball: You Can't Help But Love It

by Larry Granillo

Celebrating a photo that can't help but make you love baseball.

Fantasy Article Pre-Season Positional Rankings: Top 15 Fantasy First Basemen

by Paul Singman

Albert Pujols rests atop the first-base list, in which Paul forecasts rebounds for Adrian Gonzalez and Eric Hosmer.

BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 140: 2013 Series Preview: Seattle Mariners

by Ben Lindbergh, Sam Miller and Pete Barrett

Ben and Sam preview the Mariners' season, and Pete talks to Seattle Times Mariners writer Geoff Baker (at 18:53).

The BP Wayback Machine: Beating Eric Gagne

by Gary Huckabay

Performing a postmortem on a high-profile arbitration case from the past.

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