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Week ending on Thursday, November 8 2012.


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Thursday, November 8

Premium Article Manufactured Runs: What the Recent Trend Toward Inexperienced Managers Means

by Colin Wyers

The Rockies and Marlins recently hired managers without any prior major-league managerial experience, and they're not the only teams to do it. Colin explains it all.

Prospect Debate: Who is the Cubs' Top Prospect?

by BP Prospect Staff

Albert Almora earned the top spot on the Cubs' Top 10, but not before the prospect team discussed some other options.

Overthinking It: Why Nobody Gets Caught Stealing

by Ben Lindbergh

Catchers can't throw anyone out anymore. Why is that, and should we be worried?

Premium Article On the Beat: The All-Major League Baseball Team

by John Perrotto

Sure, there's an All-Star team--two of them, even--but those don't compare to the OTB All-MLB team.

Premium Article In A Pickle: The Two Towers

by Jason Wojciechowski

Does a change of cities change a General Manager's tendencies?

Premium Article Rumor Roundup: Thursday, November 8

by Daniel Rathman

Yasmani Grandal is nailed with a suspension, and the Indians and Diamondbacks could be opening shop soon.

Prospect Profile: Gary Brown

by Hudson Belinsky

Is Brown still San Francisco's center fielder of the future? Only if his hit tool plays, which many aren't convinced of.

Premium Article Minor League Update: Games of November 7

by Jason Martinez

Notes on prospects in the Arizona Fall League, Dominican Winter League, and Venezuelan Winter League.

BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 79: Are Teams Becoming More Willing to Trade Their Young Players?

by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

Ben and Sam discuss whether recent events and rumors portend more young players on the move, and why.

Wednesday, November 7

Premium Article Prospects Will Break Your Heart: Chicago Cubs Top 10 Prospects

by Jason Parks

The Cubs' high-ceiling bats will get the most attention, but their system goes deep with high-ceiling arms, too.

Pebble Hunting: Are GMs Smart or Not Smart?

by Sam Miller

You can't predict baseball, no matter how high-ranking you are.

The Lineup Card: 13 Offseason Needs

Baseball Prospectus

What are some teams' areas of weakness that need filled this winter?

Premium Article Sobsequy: Let Me Qualify That

by Adam Sobsey

What can we conclude from the free agents who did and didn't receive qualifying offers in the first season under the new CBA?

Premium Article Rumor Roundup: Wednesday, November 7

by Daniel Rathman

A retired pitcher considers a comeback, the Rockies come closer to naming a manager, and the Dodgers are interested in every starter.

Premium Article Collateral Damage: 2012 Year-End Injury Summary: AL West

by Corey Dawkins and Stephani Bee

The Rangers and Athletics struggle to keep their teams healthy, while the Mariners pulled off a surprisingly clean season.

Premium Article Transaction Analysis: Rays Go Longish on a Reliever

by R.J. Anderson

The Rays re-up Joel Peralta, the Mariners pick up Scott Cousins

BP Unfiltered: Jason Bay and Evaluating This Offseason's Deals

by Sam Miller

The math of free-agent analysis is simple enough, but gets overwhelmed by the reality.

Premium Article Minor League Update: Games of November 6

by Jason Martinez

Notes on 8 minor leaguers playing in the Arizona Fall League and Dominican Winter League.

BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 78: Quantifying Coaches/Why Some Fielders Look Better Than They Are/How Do We Know What Pitchers Should Weigh?

by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

Ben and Sam answer listener emails about the importance of coaches, defensive stats, and how we know whether pitchers should gain or lose weight, with guest appearances by Colin Wyers and Doug Thorburn.

Tuesday, November 6

Out of Left Field: Can We Make Adrian Beltre the MVP?

by Matthew Kory

For reasons unclear, Matthew wants the Rangers' third baseman to be the AL MVP. Can he make a case?

Baseball ProGUESTus: Marathon Men: When the '58 Giants and Dodgers Played Nine in a Row

by Jeff Polman

Today's Giants-Dodgers rivalry leaves something to be desired. Maybe all it needs is nine consecutive head-to-head matchups.

Premium Article Western Front: Three Days in the Desert, Part 1

by Geoff Young

The AFL is in full swing, and Geoff is on site reporting from the SABR AFL Conference.

Premium Article Punk Hits: The Year Punk Broke (Into the Majors)

by Ian Miller

Ian interviews Scott Radinsky, whose one-of-a-kind resume includes time as a punk-rock frontman, big-league pitcher and Indians pitching coach.

BP Unfiltered: Prospect Ranking Regrets and the Importance of Instinct in Scouting

by Chris Mellen

Some scouting mistakes as as memorable and valuable as scouting successes.

Wezen-Ball: Athletic Supporters

by Larry Granillo

The 1968 presidential election featured a surprisingly large number of athletic endorsements amid one hard to believe aphorism.

Premium Article Minor League Update: Games of November 5

by Jason Martinez

Notes on eight players who had notable performances in Monday's AFL and DWL action.

BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 77: The Teams in the Winter Spending Sweet Spot

by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

Ben and Sam discuss which teams might benefit most from adding a few wins this winter.

Premium Article Rumor Roundup: Tuesday, November 6

by Daniel Rathman

Joakim Soria might be willing to set up in the Bronx, and the Reds are still mulling whether to use Aroldis Chapman out of the bullpen.

Premium Article Overthinking It: This Offseason's Generic-Brand Bargains

by Ben Lindbergh

Smart GMs don't pay for the brand name, but for the product. These players might have baggage but they get the job done as well as their expensive counterparts.

Monday, November 5

Premium Article Prospects Will Break Your Heart: Houston Astros Top 10 Prospects

by Jason Parks

The big-league club couldn't be worse, but Houston has stocked its system with an impressively deep pool of potential regulars.

Rumor Roundup: Monday, November 5

by Daniel Rathman

In this new series, Dan will take you through some of the hottest rumors on the Hot Stove and analyze their implications.

Premium Article Baseball Therapy: In Praise of the Modern Bullpen

by Russell A. Carleton

Sure, there might be better ways to construct bullpens than the way teams do it now, but change might not be as easy as you think.

Premium Article Bizball: Sizing Up a Seven-Year, $175 Million Deal for Josh Hamilton

by Maury Brown

Will Josh Hamilton find the contract he's looking for this winter? And should be?

Premium Article Transaction Analysis: C-Notes By the Layers for Big Papi

by R.J. Anderson

The Red Sox re-sign Ortiz, the Brewers snatch up a buzzed-about reliever, Iwakuma gets a raise and the Indians trade for Aviles.

Resident Fantasy Genius: Q&A with Brian Kenny

by Derek Carty

"Clubhouse Confidential" is set to launch for its second season tonight, and Derek has the inside scoop from the show's host.

Premium Article Pebble Hunting: Balls That Look Like Strikes

by Sam Miller

As Jared Hughes and others have shown, not all who wander are wild.

Premium Article Painting the Black: The 50 Best Free Agents

by R.J. Anderson

The names baseball will be obsessing over for the next three months.

The Week in Quotes: October 29-November 4

by Hudson Belinsky, Jonah Birenbaum, Andrew Koo and Matthew Rocco

Running through the notable quotes of the week that was.

Premium Article Minor League Update: Games of November 2-4

by Jason Martinez

Updates on 12 players from the Arizona Fall League, including the Rising Stars game, and the Dominican/Venezuelan Leagues.

BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 76: The Free Agents the Internet Can't Agree On

by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

Ben and Sam discuss the discrepancies between lists of the top free agents this offseason.

Saturday, November 3

Transaction Analysis: What We Would Have Said About the Dan Haren Deal That Didn't Happen

by Colin Wyers

The Angels didn't trade Dan Haren to the Cubs for Carlos Marmol on Friday night. But if they had, this would have been our reaction.

Friday, November 2

Scouting the Draft: Baseball Prospectus Travels to Jupiter

by Dan Evans, Nick J. Faleris, Joe Hamrahi and Jason Parks

There was so much talent at the World Wood Bat Association World Championships that BP needed four scouts to take it all in.

Premium Article Head Games: David Wright, R.A. Dickey, and What Smart Fans Really Want

by Will Woods

Should Sandy Alderson trade or extend two of the Mets' most valuable assets?

Premium Article Pebble Hunting: Why Darren Oliver Might Really Retire This Time

by Sam Miller

Just when Darren Oliver is out, he pulls himself back in. And he keeps getting better.

Premium Article Raising Aces: The Good Old Days: Randy Johnson

by Doug Thorburn

Randy Johnson was one of the most dominant pitchers of his or any era, but his peak wouldn't have been possible without continual mechanical tinkering.

Premium Article Prospect Push: Notes from the Arizona Fall League

by Jason Churchill

Halfway through the Arizona Fall League, it's time to check in on some of the most talked-about players.

BP Unfiltered: Selectively Sampled Players Say: Beware of Weights This Winter

by Ben Lindbergh

Are some players about to overdo it in the weight room over the winter?

Premium Article Minor League Update: Games of November 1

by Jason Martinez

Notes on 12 prospects playing in either the Arizona Fall League or the Venezuelan Winter League.

BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 75: The David Ortiz Decision and the Offseason Outlook for the Red Sox

by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

Ben and Sam welcome Matthew Kory to the podcast to discuss the David Ortiz contract negotiations and the outlook for the Red Sox this winter.

Overthinking It: What Chipper Jones' Retirement Gifts Were For: A Short Story (Updated)

by Ben Lindbergh

In 2012, Chipper Jones received an assortment of strange gifts from each opponent he played on his last trip around the league. In 2031, he will finally figure out what to do with them.

The BP Wayback Machine: Changing the Game?

by Joe Sheehan

Adapting the rules governing free agency might seem like sound policy, but it comes with considerable risk.

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