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Week ending on Tuesday, October 2 2012.


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Tuesday, October 2

Head Games: The Other Thing R.A. Dickey Does Well

by Will Woods

R.A. Dickey will make his final start of the season tonight. You know how good he's been at retiring batters, but you might not know about something else he excels at.

Baseball Therapy: WARP for People Who Didn't Like Math Class

by Russell A. Carleton

A handy guide to understanding what WARP means without many numbers.

Premium Article Overthinking It: The Tiebreak That Would Bring Baseball to its Knees

by Ben Lindbergh

Ever wondered what would happen if five teams tied for a division title? Don't expect any answers: the scary thing is, no one knows.

Premium Article Bizball: Do the Dodgers Really Have a "Secret Deal" to Avoid Revenue-Sharing?

by Maury Brown

A look at whether the Dodgers' new regional sports network will help them avoid revenue-sharing duties.

Premium Article Fall Instructional League Report: Rays/Twins

by Chris Mellen

Recent BP addition Chris Mellen files from the Instructional Leagues, where he covers other people's recent additions.

Baseball ProGUESTus: The Ever-Changing Mechanics of Carl Crawford

by Chad Moriyama

What can a closer look at Carl Crawford's shifting approach at the plate tell us about his likelihood of success in Los Angeles?

Premium Article Transaction Analysis: Nishioka Unsinks His Cost

by R.J. Anderson

The Twins get some salary relief, and Steve Pearce is on the move again.

Fantasy Article Value Picks: Starting Pitching Review

by Paul Sporer

Paul closes out VP's season with his starting pitcher review.

Premium Article Collateral Damage Daily: Tuesday, October 2

by Corey Dawkins

Dustin Pedroia is out with a fractured ring finger.

Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: Tuesday, October 2

by Matthew Kory

With a funny line about Jason Bay!

Tater Trot Tracker: Trot Times for October 1

by Larry Granillo

The tater trots for October 1: Miguel Cabrera closes the refrigerator door...

BP Unfiltered: The Third-Best ERA in History

by Sam Miller

Meet Rob Murphy, the man on the all-time ERA leaderboard.

BP Unfiltered: Putting the V in MVP

by Colin Wyers

What does valuable mean?

What You Need to Know: Tuesday, October 2

by Daniel Rathman

Mike Trout and Miguel Cabrera don't have anything to play for the rest of this season, but they have two more games to state their case for MVP.

BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 54: Jeff Luhnow's Season-Ending Interview Idea/Why Players and Executives Disagree About the AL MVP

by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

Ben and Sam discuss Jeff Luhnow's plan to interview his players at the end of each season, then talk about why players and front-office executives are backing different candidates for AL MVP.

Monday, October 1

Premium Article Monday Morning Ten Pack: October 1

by BP Prospect Staff

Prospects have a long way to climb to reach the majors. After their 2012 efforts, these guys need to keep climbing.

Premium Article Pebble Hunting: The Uplifting, Inspirational Yankees

by Sam Miller

When you're cheering at full volume, it's easy to see October baseball as good vs. evil, but there's plenty of humanity on both sides.

Premium Article Baseball Therapy: When Do Players Stop Developing?

by Russell A. Carleton

How old does a player have to be before we should stop expecting him to improve?

Fantasy Article Resident Fantasy Genius: The 2012 Fantasy Fantasy Awards

by Derek Carty

The fantasy team votes on the year's bests, worsts, and mosts.

The Week in Quotes: September 24-30

by Hudson Belinsky, Jonah Birenbaum, Andrew Koo and Matthew Rocco

Running through the notable quotes of the week that was.

Premium Article Collateral Damage Daily: Monday, October 1

by Corey Dawkins

Jayson Nix is likely out for the division series, but Mark Teixeira is set to return.

Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: Monday, October 1

by Matthew Kory

No team's playoff odds are between 5 percent and 95 percent. We're almost there, folks.

BP Unfiltered: Edwin Starr and the NL MVP Race

by Sam Miller

The best MVP arguments taken from soul music lyrics of the 60s, 70s and early 80s.

BP Announcements: Current and Historical Umpire Stats Now Available

by Bradley Ankrom

Current and historical umpire statistics are now available in the sortable statistics.

BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 53: Is the Second Wild Card Working?/Explaining Mainstream Screeds Against Advanced Stats

by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

Ben and Sam discuss whether the second wild card has made the stretch run more exciting, then talk about why papers publish columns that criticize advanced stats without making an effort to understand them.

What You Need to Know: Monday, October 1

by Daniel Rathman

Both Yoenis Cespedes and the A's have surpassed all expectations for 2012.

Fantasy Article Value Picks: Relievers Review

by Dan Mennella

Dan takes a look back at his best and worst bullpen calls this season.

Sunday, September 30

Tater Trot Tracker: Michael Morse's Totally Bizarre Grand Slam Trot

by Larry Granillo

A very bizarre thing happened in St. Louis on Saturday.

Saturday, September 29

Tater Trot Tracker: Trot Times for Sept. 28: Bobby Abreu, All Alone

by Larry Granillo

The trot times for Sept. 28, when Bobby Abreu has the slowest non-injury related trot recorded.

Friday, September 28

Overthinking It: Mourning Manny Acta

by Ben Lindbergh

Manny Acta has never done anything but lose. Is this the sort of thing that should get a manager fired?

Raising Aces: Four of a Kind: Diagnosing Disappointment

by Doug Thorburn

Can mechanical changes help explain what went wrong with Dan Haren, Tommy Hanson, Jon Lester, and Ricky Romero this season?

Pebble Hunting: The Increasingly Optimistic Outlook for Pitching Prospects

by Sam Miller

There was a very good reason that Baseball Prospectus championed the idea that There's No Such Thing As A Pitching Prospect. But is that an outdated idea?

Prospects Will Break Your Heart: Fall Instructional League Report: Part 2

by Jason Parks

Jason has some scouting notes on Miguel Almonte, Taylor Jungmann, and Bubba Starling.

Baseball Therapy: A Sabermetric Case for Miguel Cabrera's MVP Candidacy

by Russell A. Carleton

The best way to win a debate is to make the argument for the other side better than your opponent does. To support Mike Trout's MVP case, Russell tries taking the opposite stance.

Transaction Analysis: Astros Try Bo

by R.J. Anderson

The Astros have their next manager, the Pirates have their old GM, and Adam Greenberg has another chance.

Value Picks: Outfielders Review

by Paul Singman

Paul recaps his best and worst VP picks for the 2012 fantasy season.

Collateral Damage Daily: Friday, September 28

by Corey Dawkins

Andrew McCutchen's sore knee could keep him out a couple days.

The Prospectus Hit List: Friday, September 28

by Matthew Kory

The Diamondbacks' playoff odds hit zero, and exactly half the league is now out of it.

BP Unfiltered: Tim Lincecum and the Worst Regular Seasons By Playoff Starters

by Ben Lindbergh

If Oliver Perez can start in the postseason, surely Tim Lincecum can too.

BP Unfiltered: The Week of Setting Strikeout Records

by Ben Lindbergh

The strikeout rate is still rising, and strikeout records are dropping like flies.

BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 52: Oakland's All-Rookie Rotation/Baseball's Ever-Rising Strikeout Rate

by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

Ben and Sam discuss whether the A's all-rookie rotation bodes well for their future, then talk about whether the average strikeout rate has risen too high.

What You Need to Know: Friday, September 28

by Daniel Rathman

The Rays find themselves in an extremely familiar position at this point in the season.

The BP Wayback Machine: Oops, They Did it Again?

by Christina Kahrl

A closer look at some of the most improbable pennant race comebacks and collapses in baseball history.

Thursday, September 27

On the Beat: McClatchy Comes Out

by John Perrotto

Former Pirates owner Kevin McClatchy recently revealed he was gay, a difficult step in the professional sports environment.

Premium Article Overthinking It: The Injuries That Decided Divisions

by Ben Lindbergh

Health can play a big part in which teams win and which go home. In the AL East and AL Central, lost WARP can help explain the standings.

Baseball Prospectus News: Announcing the PITCHf/x Matchup Analysis Tool

by Dan Brooks

A new way to visualize and analyze every batter-pitcher matchup from the PITCHf/x era.

Premium Article In A Pickle: Free to Be We

by Jason Wojciechowski

A forgettable book raises a timeless question.

Premium Article Prospect Profile: Kaleb Cowart

by Hudson Belinsky

While he's not yet tested at the upper levels, the Angels might have something in third baseman Kaleb Cowart.

Fantasy Article Resident Fantasy Genius: Revisiting the Foreign Imports

by Derek Carty

Earlier this year, Derek wrote about what to expect from the most-hyped foreign players. Did the players comply?

Premium Article Collateral Damage Daily: Thursday, September 27

by Corey Dawkins

An MRI reveals that Randy Wolf has a torn UCL.

Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: Thursday, September 27

by Matthew Kory

The Angels (18.3 percent playoff odds) and Dodgers (3.4 percent) are still hanging in it.

BP Unfiltered: Jeff Ballard Award

by Geoff Young

Who are the most effective pitchers who can't strike out batters?

Wezen-Ball: The Race for the Triple Crown, Pt. 2

by Larry Granillo

With only a week to go, Miguel Cabrera's Triple Crown challenge is getting tighter.

BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 51: What the Rockies Knew About Ubaldo/The Eternal Torii Hunter/Declining Dan Haren

by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

Ben and Sam discuss the decline of Ubaldo Jimenez and whether the Rockies saw it coming when they sent him to Cleveland, then talk about the Angels' off-season plans for Torii Hunter and Dan Haren.

Wednesday, September 26

What You Need to Know: Wednesday, September 26

by Daniel Rathman

Tim Lincecum takes a big step backward in his quest to regain Bruce Bochy's trust before October.

Premium Article The Platoon Advantage: Is 12 Enough for Ichiro?

by Michael Bates

Ichiro Suzuki's major-league career has been great, but, because of where he was born, it will be short. Will it be enough for Hall of Fame voters?

Premium Article Punk Hits: A Not Altogether Helpful Primer to the World Baseball Classic

by Ian Miller

In which Ian tries to answer a question that seems like it should be simple but is not: What is the World Baseball Classic?

Premium Article Prospects Will Break Your Heart: Fall Instructional League Notes, Part I

by Jason Parks

Do the fall instructional leagues make Arizona feel less hot?

The Lineup Card: Nine Awards that Should Be Given Out

Baseball Prospectus

It's almost awards season, but the BP staff has some extra hardware that should be handed out.

Premium Article Pebble Hunting: A Closer Look at Relievers and Leverage

by Sam Miller

Which relievers were added to or removed from the managerial circle of trust between April and September?

Premium Article Sobsequy: The Orthodoxy of Winning

by Adam Sobsey

When it comes to fandom, can it really be true that it's not whether you win or lose but how you play the game?

Premium Article Collateral Damage Daily: Wednesday, September 26

by Corey Dawkins

Brett Gardner returns after missing most of the season.

Premium Article The Prospectus Hit List: Wednesday, September 26

by Matthew Kory

With hot and unexpected offseason rumors about the Astros.

BP Unfiltered: A Modest Point About the AL MVP Race

by Colin Wyers

One question that seems to have gone unasked.

Wezen-Ball: Cliff Mapes and Questionable Umpiring

by Larry Granillo

New York outfielder Cliff Mapes had his own theory about a call he didn't agree with on this date in 1949.

BP Daily Podcast: Effectively Wild Episode 50: Travis Snider Tells All/Should the Giants Bring Melky Back in October?

by Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller

Ben and Sam discuss what we can learn from Travis Snider's revelations about his relationships with his former manager and hitting coach, then talk about whether they would bring Melky Cabrera back for the NLCS.

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