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Ahead in the Count column archives.

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April 27, 2011

Ahead in the Count: Expanded Playoffs, Expanded Salaries

by Matt Swartz

Team owners should think twice before approving an expanded playoff structure, since it might be only the players who'll profit.

March 14, 2011

Premium Article Ahead in the Count: Battle for the Beltway

by Matt Swartz

In the Nationals' and Orioles' battle for the local fan base, the team that blinks first may stand to gain the most.

January 27, 2011

Ahead in the Count: Testing SIERA

by Matt Swartz

Did SIERA beat xFIP in 2010?

January 17, 2011

Premium Article Ahead in the Count: Situational Pitching

by Matt Swartz

Are pitchers able to apply certain skills when a game calls for it?

December 31, 2010

Premium Article Ahead in the Count: What Home Teams Do Better

by Matt Swartz

Home teams are winning their games at an increased rate over the last few years, but is it a trend that's likely to continue?

December 20, 2010

Premium Article Ahead in the Count: A Pitch for Joe Blanton

by Matt Swartz

Is the Phillies' right-hander an undervalued commodity?

December 16, 2010

Ahead in the Count: Home Runs, Fly Balls, and Popups

by Matt Swartz

Using DIPS Theory to understand a pitcher's skills.

December 15, 2010

Premium Article Ahead in the Count: Ground-ballers: Better than You Think

by Matt Swartz

Ground-ball pitchers have several skills that traditional statistics do not account for.

December 3, 2010

Premium Article Ahead in the Count: Home Sweet Home Advantage

by Matt Swartz

Why are home teams winning more now than in previous eras?

December 1, 2010

Ahead in the Count: So How Good are MVPs Really?

by Matt Swartz

Examining past MVP and Cy Young winners and the differences between their winning seasons and non-winning seasons.

November 11, 2010

Premium Article Ahead in the Count: Are the Adjusted Standings Underselling Your Team?

by Matt Swartz

Taking a look at what goes into some teams outplaying or underplaying their expected records.

October 1, 2010

Premium Article Ahead in the Count: Pitch Data and Walks

by Matt Swartz

Is having pitch data available helpful in determining a pitcher's walk rates?

September 24, 2010

Premium Article Ahead in the Count: Predicting Strikeouts with Whiff and Swing Rates

by Matt Swartz

Pitch data shows that the amount of swinging strikes is not predictive of strikeout rates.

September 17, 2010

Premium Article Ahead in the Count: High BABIPs and True Skill Level

by Matt Swartz

Look at which direction some hitters with high batting averages on balls in play are likely headed in 2011.

September 10, 2010

Premium Article Ahead in the Count: The Biggest ERA-SIERA Divides of 2010

by Matt Swartz

A look at some pitchers who have had good luck this season and some who haven't.

September 3, 2010

Premium Article Ahead in the Count: Sabermetric Teams and Sabermetric Scouting

by Matt Swartz

Does PECOTA overrate teams that rely heavily on statistical analysis and underrate those who don't?

August 27, 2010

Ahead in the Count: The Clutch and The Shifted

by Matt Swartz

Do hitters who face a shift actually have an advantage?

August 17, 2010

Premium Article Ahead in the Count: Only Two Games Worse

by Matt Swartz and Eric Seidman

The Phillies, despite a plethora of injuries, are just two games off their pennant-winning pace of last season.

August 6, 2010

Premium Article Ahead in the Count: The 2010 Trade Deadline

by Matt Swartz

Our resident economist looks at who benefited from their late-July deals and who might have made a mistake by standing pat.

July 30, 2010

Premium Article Ahead in the Count: The Poor Return on Dan Haren

by Matt Swartz

The quartet the Snakes received for their ace leads to a few questions about player valuation.

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