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March 8, 2012

Reintroducing PECOTA: House of Cards

by Colin Wyers

The PECOTA cards are here, including 10-year projections and percentiles.

February 8, 2012

Reintroducing PECOTA: The Weighting is the Hardest Part

by Colin Wyers

The 2012 PECOTA projections are here, and Colin Wyers explains why looking further into the past makes PECOTA more accurate in predicting the future.

February 7, 2011

Reintroducing PECOTA: They're Here!

by Colin Wyers

The big day is finally here: the "Deadly Accurate" projections have arrived, now laced with some new-flavor WARP.

October 1, 2010

Reintroducing PECOTA: The Seven Percent Solution

by Colin Wyers

How good are the PECOTA percentiles?

September 30, 2010

Reintroducing PECOTA: Aches and Pains

by Colin Wyers

Teaching PECOTA about injuries.

September 29, 2010

Reintroducing PECOTA: The Hits Just Keep On Coming

by Ben Lindbergh and Colin Wyers

PECOTA's strange history with Ichiro Suzuki suggests some areas for improvement.

September 28, 2010

Reintroducing PECOTA: Whatever Happened to the Man of Tomorrow?

by Colin Wyers

Examining the accuracy of PECOTA's past, and talking about its future.

September 27, 2010

Reintroducing PECOTA: What A Long, Strange Trip It Has Been

by Dave Pease

To set up PECOTA week, here's a look back at how the sausage was made.


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