Baseball Prospectus 2017

The 22nd edition of
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Jay Jaffe's The Cooperstown Casebook

Jay Jaffe shows us how to use his revolutionary JAWS ranking system to ensure the right players are recognized.
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Today's featured photo

Hosmer and the Royals look to make one last run, PECOTA be damned.

Looking Back on Tomorrow: Kansas City Royals

by David Brown

Projections? Where we're going, we don't need projections. > >

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Looking Back on Tomorrow: San Diego Padres

by Meg Rowley

What will we remember about a team built specifically not to be remembered? . . . more | 2 unread comments

Premium Article Flu-Like Symptoms: Extreme Makeover: American League Edition

by Rob Mains

You can't tell the players without a scorecard. Especially the Mariners. . . . more | 0 comments

Looking Back on Tomorrow: Los Angeles Dodgers

by Wilson Karaman

Vin Scully is retired, but the Dodgers have Clayton Kershaw, Corey Seager, and all kinds of PECOTA love. . . . more | 0 comments

Premium Article Transaction Analysis: Desperately Seeking Upside in Tampa Bay

by Bryan Grosnick

It's the same old story in Tampa Bay, as the Rays go shopping in the bargin bin. . . . more | 0 comments

Premium Article Notes from the Field: Draft Notes, March 30

by Wilson Karaman and Steve Givarz

Notes and video on potential day-one pick Keston Hiura, and others. . . . more | 0 comments

Short Relief: Machado's Sublimity, A Past-Life Scorecard, And A Dark Tale

by Zack Moser, Martin Alonso and Patrick Dubuque

Zack discuss a shortstop's majsty, Martin finds a scorecard link to his past, and Patrick gets depressing. . . . more | 0 comments

Updated Fantasy Article My Model Portfolio: The Defending Champion

by Scooter Hotz

The pressure is on, as Scooter reveals the squad that will try to deliver back-to-back titles. . . . more | 0 comments

Fantasy Article My Model Portfolio: All-In on the Astros Infield

by Mark Barry

Mark bets big on Jose Altuve and Carlos Correa to anchor his ideal fantasy squad for 2017. . . . more | 0 comments

Fantasy Article My Model Portfolio: Defending a Participation Trophy

by Bret Sayre

After finishing fourth in this exercise a year ago, Bret looks to Mookie Betts, Yulieski Gurriel, and Co. to fare better in 2017. . . . more | 1 unread comment

Fantasy Article Expert League Auction Recap: Tout Wars General Impressions

by Mike Gianella

Mike shares his thoughts on the recently completed Tout Wars expert auctions. . . . more | 1 unread comment

Wednesday, March 29

Looking Back on Tomorrow: Minnesota Twins

by Aaron Gleeman

Minnesota has a new front office and a friendly PECOTA projection, but are Buxton and Sano ready to be stars? . . . more | 1 unread comment

Circle Change: Daniel Murphy Raises the Ghost of an Idea

by Zach Crizer

Can whatever got into Daniel Murphy get into Ryan Zimmerman and, maybe some day, Eric Hosmer? . . . more | 2 unread comments

Looking Back on Tomorrow: San Francisco Giants

by Ashley Varela

Will the Giants' few offseason acquisitions be enough to net another title in 2017? . . . more | 0 comments

Looking Back on Tomorrow: Arizona Diamondbacks

by Ben Carsley

Mike Hazen and his band of ex-Red Sox will look to rescue the Diamondbacks' front office. . . . more | 0 comments

Premium Article Guarding The Lines: The Pompey Zone

by Jarrett Seidler

Not a prospect, but not a post-hype sleeper? We've found you a home. . . . more | 0 comments

Short Relief: Spring Dismissals, Veteran Expletives, and JaCobies Jones

by James Fegan, Nathan Bishop and Patrick Dubuque

James breaks out the crack analysis to break down your manager ejection fantasy draft, Nathan smirks along with Chase Utley, and Patrick creates an an identity crisis. . . . more | 1 unread comment

Rumor Roundup: Suspensions, Extensions, and Depth

by Emma Baccellieri

Jeurys Familia's suspension looms, Yadier Molina and the Cardinals talk extension, and the Dodgers' depth is tested early. . . . more | 0 comments

Fantasy Article My Model Portfolio: Man vs. Self

by Ben Carsley

Ben's ideal fantasy squad for the coming season, subject to the $260 constraint. . . . more | 0 comments

Fantasy Article My Model Portfolio: Give Me Your Tired

by Eric Roseberry

In building his ideal fantasy squad for 2017, Eric finds value in players who are on the wrong side of 30. . . . more | 1 unread comment

Tuesday, March 28

Looking Back on Tomorrow: Philadelphia Phillies

by Jarrett Seidler

Bad draft luck may have delayed the Phillies' rebuild, but they're close to putting things together. . . . more | 1 unread comment

Short Relief: A Friendly Warning, A Friendly Pitcher, and Some Friendly Advice

by Matt Ellis, Emma Baccellieri and Kate Preusser

Matt transcribes a sample inning of Jose Canseco's broadcast debut, Emma finds the ideal athlete social media presence, and Kate encourages some GMs to engage in shower thoughts. . . . more | 3 unread comments

Expert League Auction Recap: 2017 Tout Wars Mixed

by Bret Sayre

On Saturday, Bret and 14 experts threw down for four hours in New York City. This is the true story of what happened. . . . more | 6 unread comments

Expert League Auction Recap: Tout Wars National League

by Mike Gianella

Mike looks back on his buys and general thoughts on the recently completed experts league auction. . . . more | 5 unread comments

Fantasy Article My Model Portfolio: New York State of Mind

by Tim Finnegan

Tim anchors his pitching staff with a pair of Mets, and aims to find bang for the buck at every spot on his roster. . . . more | 2 unread comments

Fantasy Article My Model Portfolio: The Ricky Bobby Experiment

by George Bissell

The result of George's bottom-up style of roster building, identifying bargains first before diving into the pool of higher-priced players. . . . more | 5 unread comments

Monday, March 27

Short Relief: Talking (And Not Talking) Baseball

by Holly Wendt and Patrick Dubuque

A discussion of a forgotten set of 1989 baseball cards that contained audio recordings, and the their secrets. . . . more | 2 unread comments

Rumor Roundup: Blindsided, Bothered, and Bewildered

by Ashley Varela

Kolten Wong needs a starting role, Will Smith needs Tommy John surgery, and the Rays need a right-handed hitter. . . . more | 0 comments

Fantasy Article My Model Portfolio: Trying to Find a Balance

by Matt Collins

Matt builds his ideal fantasy squad for 2017, subject to the $260 constraint. . . . more | 1 unread comment

Fantasy Article My Model Portfolio: Not Cutting Corners

by Greg Wellemeyer

After saving at some other positions, Greg anchors his ideal squad with Joey Votto and Josh Donaldson at the infield corners. . . . more | 4 unread comments