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You're right, he's been a little better lately. He's still not striking many guys out, and in that stretch he has a 4.7 percent HR/FB rate. I'm nervous starting him going to those homer friendly parks this week. Maybe a consider in an NL-only or really deep league, but I'm skeptical in shallower formats.
In my defense, he's still facing two teams that struggle against lefties, it just has absolutely nothing to do with Straily.
Whoops. Thanks for the heads up, for some reason I've convinced myself he's a lefty. My bad.
For your sake, I hope to get it!
Well there's the first of probably many dominoes to fall. Thanks. It sounds like <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=102639">Chad Kuhl</a></span> might get those starts, and I do not have nearly as much confidence in him.
Peacock is striking out the world, but he's also walking around 5.5 batters per nine. The Braves and Jays are below average against righties, but the combination of Peacock's short starts (still averages under five innings per start) and all the walks makes me a little nervous to give the green light with him.
I still get surprised every time I pull up Cahill's player page. He's been so good this year. I'd "Consider" him, as the Indians are a little better against righties and the Phillies, well, are the Phillies. If he's right immediately off the DL, that could be a good matchip for him.
I just have visions of homers flying out of Dodger Stadium dancing in my head. I think in my original draft they were both "Considers", so I don't think they're too far apart. I totally get the lean toward Kennedy, especially if you're in need of more strikeouts.
Yeah, I couldn't find anything definitive on the M's. If Moore gets the start, I would certainly consider him. The A's have had a sneaky good offensive team (11th by wRC+), but Moore has been a rock this season at Triple-A. I'd like to see what he can do in the rotation.
Newcomb is so much fun, but you're totally right. It would be really hard to feel comfortable starting him against those lineups.
If he gets two this week, I'm starting him, especially with some pretty strong matchups.
It looks like <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=58533">Martin Perez</a></span> is going on the DL (which is lucky for me to avoid that trap) and <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=45534">Cole Hamels</a></span> will take his place. I'm usually skeptical leaning on a starter just off the DL, but I'd still "Consider" him this week.
Also, the Mets have named Gsellman as the guy that is getting two. The matchups aren't bad, but I'm still sitting unless it's an emergency.
I haven't seen that yet for Bauer, but I'd have him as a "high consider", if that's a thing. He's been better lately when he leans on his curve, but there's always the risk of a walk-induced blowup.
I do not envy that spot, but wish you the best of luck. I don't think that's a crazy hope, either.
That's definitely fair. Both opponents hit lefties pretty well, so it's not a slam dunk, but I just really like what Montgomery has been doing with incrementally limiting the walks/hits as the season has progressed. He has the 4th best swinging strike rate in the AL, and while I don't love him against the Astros, I am really liking him in general, if that makes sense.
With all of the injuries and guys coming back, I'm not really sure what the Astros' rotation is going to look like this week. I'm not sure Martes will get two starts this week. The matchups are good, but I'm still scared of all the walks.
We wrote him up for his call up a couple weeks ago: http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=32016&utm_content=bufferfb8ef&utm_medium=social&utm_source=twitter.com&utm_campaign=buffer
The auto-startiest of all auto starts.
That's interesting. I'm not really sure how to do that, but I'd be curious about the results.
I think he's really interesting. <a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/author/george_bissell">George Bissell</a> has been flying that flag for awhile now. This last stint in the bullpen has his swinging strike rate way up and he's just giving up much less contact in general. There's an awful lot to like. I'm optimistic.
Man, I wish I knew what to make of Tanaka. Some of his peripherals are still good. But oh... the homers.
Sounds like <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=70473">Joe Musgrove</a></span> will get the two for the Astros this week. I like Musgrove and think he's eventually going to be really good, but I might stay away this week, or at the very least, start him against the Rangers and sit him against the Red Sox.
I do like Wolters a little bit. He's just not accruing the plate appearances like some of the other guys, so it's hard to count on him for HR/RBI/runs. Also, there's a question of what his role will look like when Murphy gets back. He's interesting, for sure, though.
I have him stashed in some deeper leagues myself. I'll especially like him if he can DH some and avoid the wear and tear. It's just hard to know what we're working with until we get a better sense of how he's moving around and how rusty he will be for the rest of the season.
The White Sox just put Covey on the DL, so he won't get two starts. It looks like it's possible Quintana could get two, but that might depend on what happens with the weather in Chicago this weekend. He hasn't been his command/control self, but I'm still starting Quintana without too much hesitation.
Glad to help! Do-do, d’ do-do
That rotation is looking a little chaotic right now. I read they were thinking about giving Phelps a start, which would push Urena back to Monday since they only have five games this week.
If he does get those two starts, I'd strongly consider sliding him into the lineup, it would be two pretty strong matchups in good parks.
It's frustrating, for sure. Especially because he's so good when he's out there.
It looks like the Dodgers are still doing their six man rotation thing with Hill, Kershaw, Ryu, Wood, Urias, and McCarthy. If that holds, Hill would throw Tuesday and then Monday, so he'd get two starts the following week.
I'm starting Hill if I have him, knowing that he's susceptible to the blister-related short outing.
Man, it really looks that way. It's Kershaw and then six other dudes in some order. It's the Dodgers though, so injuries will probably sort everything out naturally. I just don't like the idea of not having your best guy throw every 5 days.
The rainout yesterday looks like it shuffled the O's rotation, giving <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=37512">Ubaldo Jimenez</a></span> two starts over Miley. I guess I'd "consider" him, but wouldn't feel good about it.
I like that he doesn't give up many walks, which is nice, and I've seen him look solid in a couple starts. But he's under 5 k/9 and has a 6.71DRA. The <span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=ERA" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('ERA'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">ERA</span></a> is good, so I might try to flip him to someone who is a bigger believer. As usual it depends who is on the waiver wire, but I wouldn't hesitate to jump at a better starter. I'm intrigued, but Coors. It's brutal.
Good looking out. He was penciled in the last time I looked, but it appears as though Mike Pefrey is now in his place. I'm not super interested.
Now it looks like Kennedy is going on the DL, with <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/player_search.php?search_name=Miguel+Almonte">Miguel Almonte</a></span> potentially coming up. He sits 94 mph and gets decent whiffs on his curve, but has just walked too many guys to be relied on. Sounds familiar.
I'd consider him against Toronto, sure. He reminds me a bit of <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=100574">Jose Berrios</a></span> in a sense that he is really good at Triple-A, and then gets the call and walks almost everyone. If he can somehow managed to limit the walks, he's a sneaky good play.
I like Eickhoff a decent amount. I think the Phillies have a weird 5 game week next week, so it didn't appear that he would get two starts until the week of 5/15.
If he does, I would keep him in the "Consider" category as I like him against the Mariners, but think the Nats are a pretty tough matchup.
It looks like the Mystery Rangers Starter has been revealed as <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=69887">Nick Martinez</a></span>. The matchups are pretty good, so I could see using him in a pinch, but I wouldn't feel great about it.
I hadn't seen that yet. You're right, it looks like Kershaw is getting two next week, one at San Diego. Giddyup.
I kind of like <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=100718">Alex Wood</a></span>, but I don't know if he stays in the rotation when <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=36959">Rich Hill</a></span> comes back. As for Montgomery, I think he's fine, but he's probably a #4 or so starter, which is useful, but I'm probably not moving mountains to get him.
I've made fun of the Padres' pitching staff a lot, but I'm starting to believe in Cahill. He's been good before, too, so it's not like this is completely out of nowhere. I don't know if any of their starters can keep this up, but they're definitely more interesting than I gave them credit for early.
<a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/author/george_bissell">George Bissell</a> alerted me to it, I guess that's what Servais calls him. I couldn't agree more. It's incredible.
Yeah, it looks like they shuffled some things around to get two for Walker. I like him more than, say Zach Godley, but wouldn't start him with confidence until he's a bit more consistent.
It has always been about health for McCarthy, right? I'm buying this start. His velocity is up and it looks like he's finally getting his command back post-TJ surgery. I like him.
So it looks like the Mets have officially shuffled their schedule around and Syndergaard is slated to pitch Sunday(!) after the injury scare.
Harvey is getting two starts in his place. I'd "Consider" him this week. I'm a little concerned that the velocity is ticking down and he's just not getting as many strikeouts as vintage Harvey.
Yeah i agree with you that Gsellman is probably your best bet. Some of those guys are interesting, but they're more of the streaming variety.
Man, I kinda forgot I wrote that. Brutal.
I like Gsellman and think his last start was encouraging, even though it came against the Phillies. I know our prospect guys are really high on him too. As always, it depends who is on the wire, but I think you could definitely do worse than Gsellman.
Yep, I think that's a safe assumption. Bummer.
Gotcha, ok that would make a little more sense. Yeah, those numbers are interesting at least, but I'm not sure what's different just yet. I'm probably staying away, but reserve the right to be pleasantly surprised when I'm wrong.
Do they have a makeup game on Thursday? I can't seem to find how he'd have two starts. I think home for <span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=TB" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('TB'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">TB</span></a> and @NYY would be tougher matchups for him, though. He's been a surprise, but I'm not sold that he's a different guy. I'd look elsewhere if possible.
I'd probably go Shoemaker, Skaggs, Hahn and then sit Graveman and Bartolo (unless your league has points for sexiness).
I like Graveman, but relying on him is assuming everything goes according to plan with his DL return.
Feels like the perfect description there.
It looks like they're tossing Ramirez in there so Shoemaker wouldn't start again until Wednesday 4/26. That'd line him up for 2 starts next week, though.
For Hahn, it will depend on what they do with Graveman. I heard he's coming back, which would push Hahn by a day. If Hahn makes those starts, I'd have him in the same category. I'm definitely intrigued so far.
Somehow I missed (or mentally blocked, perhaps) that <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=59986">Jarred Cosart</a></span> (ARI, MIA) also has two starts this week. I would not be overly excited to pencil him into the lineup, however.
Hahn definitely has me intrigued at least, hopefully he can stay healthy so we can get a better picture. From that list, Karns would probably be the first I'd let go.
It doesn't look like they've made any decisions as to who is starting on Sunday, but the Rangers at home followed by at Kansas City would put him in the "Consider" category should Skaggs get both of those starts.
Yeah, I saw that right after this was filed. Not great. Looks like he's still listed for two starts, but they also initially said no MRI, so who knows. It's hard to count on him right now.
Also looks like the Cubs shuffled things around as well, moving <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=52691">Jake Arrieta</a></span> to Sunday. This would give <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=45548">Jon Lester</a></span> two starts, and I'd keep him in the Auto-Start category.
Death, taxes, and <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=36959">Rich Hill</a></span>'s blisters. It sounds like the Dodgers are leaning toward <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=100718">Alex Wood</a></span> making the start on Monday, but no commitments beyond that. <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=70826">Ross Stripling</a></span> could be in play too.
I'm not sure either one is a great option against the Cubs on Monday. Arizona on Sunday is a bit better, but I'm not sure I'd take the risk.
Yep, good call. We'll start Week 3 next week and get back onto that schedule.
No joke, I think I had it each way at one point in time. I *think* Astro lineup or Astros' lineup would be correct, but I don't know for sure.
I wonder if they would move him off of the Saturday start as well in that instance. Either way, I'd like him against the Reds and like him less against the patient Cubs. He's going to walk a lot of guys, at least initially, but he'll get his fair share of K's as well.
His 2015 was so crazy good that I don't think it will be replicable moving forward. He could definitely be better than his 2016 numbers, but I think that's more of the ballpark that we're living in now: maybe mid 3.00's <span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=ERA" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('ERA'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">ERA</span></a>, 1.2ish <span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=WHIP" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('WHIP'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">WHIP</span></a>.
Agree 100%. #freeconforto
I'm glad you asked this. I'd be lying if I said I wasn't concerned. It's possible he got a lot of his power from the mane, and it would be a shame for him to be at less than full strength for his debut. #freefraziersmop
Without question. What a time to be alive.
Maybe unexpected, but hey, we tackle the hard hitting issues down here.
Man, I am nowhere near smart enough to have caught that. I guess that does make it a little bit better.