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tearecrules
157 comments | -49 total rating | -0.31 average rating
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Baseball Prospectus http://bbp.cx/i/85435
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: 0

It's a shame that Trout was drafted so low. Otherwise someone would be a great bit of baseball trivia, but when there are 24 people ahead of him you just can't get that Sam Bowie-type answer. It's too unwieldy to list off the an entire MLB roster of "Not <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=59432">Mike Trout</a></span>" people.

 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: 4

I follow the NFL and CFB pretty closely. When it comes to the goat rope around Tebow, the Kulturkampf is a big part of it. But Tebow was also really good in a high profile system which was basically tailored to him. He was coming up at a time when the Wildcat and other collegiate-style option offenses had a brief renaissance. Between the culture warriors and the people who want to see a bit more variety in the NFL created a perfect storm of hype around Tebow. Josh McDaniel didn't help by blowing a first round pick on him and Tebow lucked into an 8-8 season as a rookie. Realistically Tebow was a poor man's Cam Newton. He's a big strong dude who is much faster than you'd think for his size. Unlike Newton though Tebow couldn't make NFL throws. "Poor Man's Cam Newton" would be a useful piece for some NFL teams, afterall the Texans paid money for Brock Osweiler and a McNown is going to start an NFL game sometime this year. But no team which could use Tebow in a suitable role would want him because the circus that would come with him; an immediate "QB controversy", oppressed conservatives whining about how Tebow being the back-up means the team hates Jesus and babies. And now the Mets are looking to make something of him; couldn't happen to a nicer team. I hope they do everything they can to expedite his arrival in the Major Leagues.

May 19, 2017 5:19 AM on The Circus Came To Town
 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: 0

Commercial breaks are the elephant in the room for "length of game". It's not like there is something special in the game itself that makes NYY-BOS games run 45 minutes longer than a game featuring a similar box score. Anything that Manfred et al do mucking about the rules is nibbling at the edges. I'll believe they're serious about the issue of "The game takes too long to play" when they have a come to Jesus discussion with the Networks, RSNs, and ESPN about clawing back some of the time spent between innings.

 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: 9

I would put some of the blame for what you're describing on the decline in the baseball media. That the owners and the players are out for themselves is a given. Any benefit to the fans is a by-product of the self-interest of the owner and players looking out for their best interests. The only group which nominally looked out for those young and poor fans were the press. However city papers have either consolidated or closed. Those that survived are doing so with fewer reporters, and those reporters are covering more. National outlets like ESPN, FS1, etc rely on the league for their product. Into the gap stepped a diffuse group of bloggers who individually lack the eyeballs to be influential in that way, and a league-run media arm that provides the video content, team-sanctioned clips, etc. The owners are going to run roughshod over the players and fans because they're the ones who ultimately control the product. At least short of an apocalypse in fan interest similar to the demise of boxing or horse-racing.

 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: 1

We don't recognize the game's most significant moments while they're happening. Back then I thought, "Well, there will be other plays."

 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: 2

In defense of the BP alum his model gave the red team a very decent chance of winning. It was every other model being used by every other prognosticator who thought the blue team had it so locked up they only drama was by how much it would win.

 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: 0

I find it difficult to believe that "traditional stat bound arbiter" is some immutable condition which the league and the player's union have no ability to control. That the arbitration process hews to such precedent and doesn't cotton rewarding players or teams making arguments based on more advanced stats seems like something neither side is actually interested in changing. Being able to show that Pitcher A is actually less valuable than his save totals indicate would be just as valuable to the team as Betances go at bringing "Holds" into the arbitration lexicon.

Feb 20, 2017 9:22 AM on Arbitration Clash
 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: 0

Yup. It's that time every half inning that drags out the game. Watching on TV it's not necessairly clear, but when you're at the game there's a good 15-30 seconds each half inning where it's clear the players and umpires are in position, but the action doesn't start because they're waiting for the broadcast to come out of commercial. That happens, what, 16 times a game?

 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: 0

Extra baseball is exciting; both teams get their chance and it doesn't end until a complete extra part of the game has been played. If they must change the extra innings rules in some effort to shorten the time commitment I'd recommend going to a home-run derby after 3 extra innings. Treat it like a shootout in hockey or soccer.

 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: 2

This would be a great way to find just how much power the <span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=LOOGY" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('LOOGY'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">LOOGY</span></a> Looby has within the MLBPA.

 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: 5

I think the elephant in the room for "pace of play" or "length of game" in any of the US professional sports leagues is television (NFL, I'm looking right at you). I'm sorry, but pitch clocks, pitching change time limits, etc are nibbling around the edges. If MLB wants the game to go faster they need to deal with their broadcasters larding up the screen time (ESPN, I'm looking right at you now).

 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: 3

Here, have a +1, Being technically correct is the best kind of correct.

 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: 1

Undoubtedly it's a huge amount of work for the prospect team. It's, what, write-ups on 15ish players for 32 teams, 480ish players? And a significant minority of those players will never reach the majors, and even more won't make more than a minor contribution. It's an incredible undertaking and I see how the last few teams wind up becoming a blur. But the "Prospect Top 10" is a major feature; if you're a fan of that team this might be the article that gets you to pay for access (It's a reason I've done so in the past). How does that Twins fan who just found BP and drops $12 for a membership feel when the reporting of their team becomes a venue for some writer to make in-jokes about themselves? If the Fantasy Outlook for 2/3rd of the prospects you're writing about (position players who are going to be replacement-level players and 4/5th starters) is so gloomy and basically interchangeable with 200 other prospects maybe it's not a value-added part of the feature and it needs to be relooked.

 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: 0

Since you can't comment or give -1 without a paying membership you are paying extra so the non-paying folks get the comments filtered out.

 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: 0

I'm not seeing how "<span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/player_search.php?search_name=Billy+Hamilton">Billy Hamilton</a></span> going 1st to 3rd on an infield hit" does not make baseball more interesting. On 3-0 if you want to take a huge lead go ahead. It's only a ball if it's unsuccessful. Being out at second by 6 feet on a 1-3-6 doesn't put the batter on first. I remembered where I saw it first suggested, <span class="bookdef"><a href="http://www.amazon.com/exec/obidos/ASIN/0743227220/baseballpro07-20/ref=nosim/" target="blank">The New Bill James Historical Baseball Abstract</a></span>.

 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: 0

I was thinking of football when mentioning variance. At the NFL level gimmicks don't work as well because the difference in skill level between teams is minimal; the read-option craze petered out because NFL defenders can move laterally too fast and hit too hard so the advantage just isn't worth the beating read-option QBs take. The skill level between the best and worst MLB teams is relatively thin they still have to deal with the same rules about roster use. The use of an "opener" can force the opposing manager into making a move they might not want to make at a time they don't want to make it, or sacrificing an opportunity. It's not a good idea for the Cubs, Dodgers, etc, but the Padres? Of course a counter-point is that even the tanking-phase Astros didn't use anything as gimmicky as this so it might be something considered too obviously damaging to winning.

 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: 2

Isn't some of the problem Mr. Carleton identified offset by forcing the other team to account for the different handedness of the opener from the "starter"? Do they start the guy who mashes lefties but should never see a righty, or bat him lower in the order hoping the opener is gone before he bats? Or do they wait until the opener has left the game and bring him in then but lose the now-starting pinch-hitter for a possibly lower-leverage at bat in the second inning? Yes, the team using an opener is using a pitcher in lower-leverage innings, but they're planning to do it. The opposing team also has to account for that in their planning and either punt on an at-bat early in the game or burn on of their players as well. Of course I also believe teams likely to struggle should usually go with a more high variance strategy. My employment isn't tied to a team looking competitive even if it isn't so it's easy for me to want that.

 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: 2

I'd love doing away with the ceremony of throwing 4 meaningless pitches for an intentional walk. I'd also like to see pick-off attempts redone. I can't remember where I'd first seen it suggested but I liked the idea of making any unsuccessful pick-off attempt after the second on the same baserunner an automatic ball.

 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: -1

Actually I like when Ms. Rowley takes to her Twitter to respond to comments on her BP articles. That is a true profile in courage right there...

Feb 04, 2017 4:02 AM on Here We Are Again
 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: -1

You get a scarlet A for adultery. He'd have to go with a scarlet D.

Feb 03, 2017 11:21 AM on Here We Are Again
 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: 1

Honestly, had he actually been charged and found guilty he does a couple days in jail, and spends a year on probation. First time offender, no visible injuries. Even with the domestic violence modifiers it's class 1 misdemeanor. The criminal justice system just doesn't treat first time offenders who don't do serious bodily harm harshly (and even if they do it still might not bring down the hammer).

Feb 03, 2017 10:21 AM on Here We Are Again
 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: -2

He admitted to poking her in the shoulder with his finger. It's assault. Had she been a cooperative witness and wanted to press charges he'd have been found guilty (more likely pled out to some lesser charge). Had he been found guilty the maximum punishment he'd have faced for a first time offender was 5 days in jail.

Feb 03, 2017 10:14 AM on Here We Are Again
 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: -1

Ms. Rowley, what is your preferred COA for the league to do about players accused and/or convicted of a crime of domestic violence? It seems to me that a regime involving intervention, treatment, and a commissioner having an ability to impose any punishment isn't sufficient for you. What would Commissioner Rowley do about domestic violence in baseball?

Feb 03, 2017 4:35 AM on Here We Are Again
 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: 1

The study also covered a 40 year period. Coast-to-coast travel for millionaires flying on a billionaire's dollar is probably a different experience in the last 10 years covered than in the first 10 years. I'd be curious if some of the recent improvement from WC teams is due to improved travel planning. If keeping guys on schedule gets/prevents some additional points and results in an extra win on the East Coast it would be a huge deal for a 16 game season.

Feb 01, 2017 12:56 PM on Blame it on the Plane
 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: 5

Mr. Goldstein I thought it was a great answer and I appreciate you taking the time to respond. I know speaking for me I'd enjoy reading the occasional "What I missed"-type relook at players.

 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: 3

This is something that's been studied in the NFL as well. West Coast teams have like a .270 winning percentage when visiting East Coast. The theory is that it's not necessarily the travel that is the problem, but the start time. Teams West coast teams playing the early game (1pm start time) do awful (close to a .200 winning percentage) but the late game or Sunday or Monday night they're much closer to the normal road team winning percentage. The early games just move everything about the day so players are waking up earlier than they would in their home time zone, warm-ups earlier, etc. The later games let them maintain a schedule more in line with their normal time zone. Since MLB games are usually starting later in the day, the players would still have the opportunity to "sleep in" and get a normal night's rest, etc.

Feb 01, 2017 8:23 AM on Blame it on the Plane
 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: 0

I'm curious what sort of AAR, if any, is done when wiffing on a prospect evaluation; for good or ill. I get someone like Profar where injures derailed development, but on someone like Appel what happened?

 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: 3

At least Ramirez is top 5. Going into 2014 they had <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/player_search.php?search_name=Jose+Altuve">Jose Altuve</a></span> as the 6th best talent in the Astros organization. He was a year removed from a 3.9 <span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=WARP" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('WARP'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">WARP</span></a> season. Sure, he was behind a couple guys named Springer and Correa, but also <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=70348">Mark Appel</a></span>, <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=66991">Mike Foltynewicz</a></span>, and Jarred Cossart. Every once in a while there is just a misunderestimation.

 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: 0

Obergrueppenfuerher Smith needed someone to help teach Thomas to play baseball.

Jan 25, 2017 3:57 PM on Second Base
 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: 0

"The nice thing about the <a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/column/tale_of_the_tape/">Tale of the Tape</a> is that unlike in the presidential election, the winner actually wins." You wrote this like two weeks ago: http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=30940

 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: 2

And they totally didn't; my kingdom for a delete button.

 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: 1

The <span class="teamdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/team_audit.php?team=CLE" target="blank">Cleveland Indians</a></span> scored the most runs in the WS, ergo they are the WS champions.

 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: 2

FWIW I'd say "no"; caveat emptor and all. As an example from a different fantasy sport, years ago in the NFL there was Ben Tate who was a back-up running back with the Houston Texans; very good in their scheme and a fine handcuff to their starting RB. Even as the lesser of a RBBC he was a useful play as a late round pick-up or flex. There was also Brandon Tate of the Bengals. A WR deep in the <a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/fantasy/dc/">depth chart</a> who was not even useful as a bye-week fill in. On transaction and FA lists they're both "B. Tate". A good 75% of Brandon Tate's fantasy transactions probably consist of owners who were surprised Ben Tate was available followed very quickly by disappointment they grabbed the wrong "Tate".

 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: 2

Here's the entry on Daal from the 2000 Annual: "He’s been one of the best left-handed pitchers in the league." I know you guys are probably on the younger side, and not everyone spent 7 years in Phoenix around the turn of the millennium, but it really shouldn't be surprising that Daal was one of the better LHP in the history of the D'Backs.

 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: 0

Per The Internet the contractual requires of the Royals hinge on the toxicology report. If intoxication is a factor in his death the unearned part of his contract is voided. Per Ken Rosenthal's sources the Royals may pay his estate Ventura's estate some portion of his remaining contract regardless of the tox report. http://sports.yahoo.com/news/the-20-million-question-did-alcohol-play-a-factor-in-yordano-venturas-death-201137111.html

Jan 24, 2017 4:04 PM on Best of the Rest
 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: 1

I think the ultimate arbiter of Mr. Lincecum's future would be whether he's received interest from the Sugar Land Skeeters. If they can't rejuvenate his career nothing will.

 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: 0

Don't be so hard on yourself Ms. Rowly.

 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: 2

How would a game of telephone between only two people get to "purple monkey dishwasher"?

 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: 0

Mr. Palmateer, I was just remarking on the "won't see someone voting for INSERT RANDOM 10 YEAR VET HERE". I don't believe that such votes would be gimmicks; it's what they're voting for and for whatever reason. And, honestly, if it gives some guy an extra chance so be it. As an example 5 years ago <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=3">Brad Ausmus</a></span> might have had a career <span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=WARP" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('WARP'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">WARP</span></a> of, what, 10 (seriously, read some of the comments on him from the annuals)? PitchFX and framing are developed and suddenly he has nearly 40. He was never going to be a HOFer, but maybe he survives to a second ballot.

Jan 18, 2017 4:04 PM on Cooperstown Changes
 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: 0

I'm a Big Hall guy and would be happy seeing more folks make it in. I know you're trying to give the issues Chass raised some merit, but if you're going to take the limit off the votes that can be cast you shouldn't then shift the limit to how many get in. Were I addressing Chass' concerns I would go with your suggestion of splitting the event. Like spending two days at Cooperstown is a bad deal for a baseball fan.

Jan 18, 2017 3:57 PM on Cooperstown Changes
 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: 0

If given no limit to the number of votes they can cast some voter will decide to mark down everyone on the ballot. Remember, the HOF voters are writers for their day job. Filling out a loaded ballot gives them something to write about, it gives their friends something to write about, it gives the people who cover their friends something to write about. For example, Murray Chass' empty ballot had fueled multiple stories for himself and other outlets. I bet it would take one iteration of a limitless ballot before a voter fills it all in to write about how it demonstrates the HOF is now cheapened as an honor.

Jan 18, 2017 10:19 AM on Cooperstown Changes
 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: 3

"Remove the 10-player voting restriction but limit the number of player’s eligible to be formally inducted in a single year to five" This will create a logjam very similar to the NFL where a bunch of deserving candidates are left by the wayside because the filtering process has limits to the number who can advance. Heck, it might even be worse because the idea of a "Shadow HOFer" where some number of electees are just waiting for a down year to actually be inducted is just... not good.

Jan 18, 2017 6:45 AM on Cooperstown Changes
 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: 1

It's not like they're having to compete with the NFL now. So they have that going for them at least.

Jan 17, 2017 6:26 AM on Flashback Friars
 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: -8

"Ranking Cardinals prospects is a fool's errand," doesn't leave a whole lot of wiggle room when referring to a guy who was never in the Cardinal's system. Just admit the examples provided didn't actually meet up with the idea y'all were going for. Don't twist yourself into knots trying to defend a brain cramp.

 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: 1

Maybe it's easier to develop a catcher who can work with pitchers, frame well, etc than it is to develop a hitter who can play behind the plate consistently? Growing up SS was the black hole of offense, but with up-the-middle defenders also being offensive contributors, and improvements in defensive alignments being able to possibly mask SS and 2B defensive issues catcher is probably the only position where someone who is a defensive liability can't be protected.

 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: -2

Gawd. It's the worst typo since John Podesta's IT guy said a phishing email is legitimate.

Jan 12, 2017 7:50 AM on Grinding On Grounders
 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: 0

It goes downward month-to-month except July into July, and the greatest drop is from May into June. I wouldn't think that indicates weather is impacting it.

Jan 11, 2017 11:25 AM on Grinding On Grounders
 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: 0

Sciocia's shortstop for much of that period has a combined <span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=FRAA" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('FRAA'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">FRAA</span></a> of -40. And the third basemen weren't much better. So does this mean <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=32318">Erick Aybar</a></span> was just really really bad, but he was very resistant to The Grind so he didn't suffer a drop-off from fatigure during the year? Also, you have "John Gibbobs" in there. If you need the typo at least add a "o" so it's childishly funny.

Jan 11, 2017 6:45 AM on Grinding On Grounders
 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: 0

You really should have combined the old school and the new and just commented "Pass."

 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: 0

I must be missing something here because I'm not seeing how Gonzalez doesn't "deserve" to share a list with those two. Baez is clearly the best player of the three, but Gonzalez is a better hitter (.245 <span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=TAv" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('TAv'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">TAv</span></a> vs .215), fielder (higher career <span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=FRAA" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('FRAA'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">FRAA</span></a> and a higher annual FRAA), and is a year younger. So not getting the dig at him.

Jan 05, 2017 1:31 PM on The McEwing Score
 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: -3

I actually just spent $5 to remark on this. Do you have any idea what the "Golden Rule" is? Because it isn't strict equality or fairness. Mr. Dubuque is at least less wrong but if that's your takaway from it you're so off-base as to be in the stands, if not out of the stadium.

Jan 04, 2017 1:07 PM on Unfair Ball
 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: 1

There are at least 3 women who are Army Rangers, and at least one woman is preparing to assume command as the first female commander of an infantry company. I think the delicate flowers can handle baseball players.

 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: -1

I was offering a possible reason why girls haven't been greater participants in the LLWS. For, what, 40% of its history girls were prohibited from playing LL baseball and I'm sure that attitude didn't change in 1974 when the rules were changed. A Little League coach in 2016 who was that sexist, openly or not, would probably not make it to the WS tourney level. But a similarly biased coach from 1974 until, what, the 2000s probably would.

 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: 0

So what legal jujitsu is the NCAA engaging in to avoid losing a lawsuit under Title IX for not offering women's baseball teams or scholarships for women to play on their men's teams? Are they getting away with considering softball to be the equivalent to baseball because were I a university lawyer I'm not sure I'd like to try and make the case that two sports which use wholly different equipment and playing surfaces are the same sport for the purposes of Title IX.

 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: -1

Give "Stolen Bases" by Jennifer Ring a read. It's the only book I've read which addresses a "why" for the gender split in baseball and softball. I'm also not a very voracious baseball history reader so it's possible there are plenty of others out there. This is just the one I know of.

 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: 2

"Why do you think there have been so few girls at the Little League World Series?" Because, even in the tween age group, the best boys who play baseball for a region or nation are better than the best girls? Because the girls who'd be able to are shunted off to softball too soon? Because LL coaches are so sexist most refuse to entertain rostering a girl even if she would be the best player for that spot and would help them win a championship? Some combination of the three?

 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: 7

I'll go ahead and bet the first woman to play in the MLB won't be from the US. I'll further bet she'll come from a country which doesn't have a deep history of baseball and so teams would be more willing to go with a player who can play regardless of their gender. Some 15-16 year old girl will dominate will dominate the Deustches Baseball Verband to the point she gets the attention of some independent league team who is willing to take the chance for publicity sake, she then handles herself well and gets MLB scouting attention. There's over 3.5 billion women, one of them, somewhere, can probably handle the MLB.

 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: 0

Continuing the speculation, a home run late swings the game from 2-1 to 2-3 and leaves Hamels on the losing end...

 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: 0

But then you'd have all the riders getting stung by bees and then using that as the justification to cover up their doping. "I got stung by a bee, you saw it, that's why my blood tested as having the adrenaline levels of a race horse five days later!" Maybe someone should be getting a sample from <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=57396">Jason Heyward</a></span>... swarm of bees in the outfield... so suspicious.

 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: 0

I wino we'd it down to a pitcher because I was responding to another commenter who suggested it. Is a rotation with Keuchel/McHugh and the Astros projected line-up really that much worse than Baumgartner and Cueto and the Giants? Honestly, I don't actually care that much, it was just something I thought was kind of weird that one of the teams projected to be one of the better teams in the AL was not predicted by almost 40 experts to win.

 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: 0

But then 5 staffers have the Rangers winning the WS (seriously, the Rangers are the BP staff's second most likely WS winner?) and only 2 with the Dodgers? It looks to me a lot more like they're buying into a whole lot of hype on a very good Cubs team. And apparently that Cubs domination extends to the rest of the NL. Out of, what, 38 writers 29 of them are picking a NL team for the WS? It looks like every NL team, except the D-Backs and marlins, predicted by a staffer to make the playoffs also wins the WS, but quite a few AL teams thought to be playoff bound (Houston, KC, Detroit, the White Sox, Rays, Yankees, and Mariners) are not. I'd love to see the writers pick who their AL and NL champions would have been because there is an awful lot of faith being put in Arrieta, Baumgartner, Kershaw, and Harvey that is not being put into Keuchel, Sale, or Archer. I'd love to see the AL and NL champs for each writer form their predicted slate of teams.

 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: 2

I find it interesting that no one picked the Astros to win the WS. In the staff predictions they make the playoffs more than everyone but the Cubs (all but two staffers have them as the division or WC), and it's not like they're a "lock" because the AL West is a pit of despair.

 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: 0

With <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=60676">Jon Singleton</a></span> being sent down I wonder if anyone will be asking <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=50098">Bud Norris</a></span> or <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=952">Mark Mulder</a></span> about his contract.

 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: 2

Ms. Rowley, I'd guess House Fossoway for Dickey; "A Taste of Glory".

 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: 0

I'd imagine a family that has made somewhere around $60,000,000 could arrange some sort of tutoring of an acceptable quality for their child.

 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: 0

This actually got brought up in some water cooler talk in my office and no one was casting the team or the player in a bad light. They're both taking wholly rational and explainable courses of action to their respective situations. LaRoche turning down 8 figures is mind-blowing, but it's more money than I will likely make in my lifetime; he's earned it 3 times over already.

 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: 0

Astros fans looks at back-to-back Strasburg and Harper picks and shake their heads in shame.

Mar 17, 2016 5:56 AM on Washington Nationals
 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: 0

I imagine Big Papi handing off the Matrix of DHing like Optimus' demise in the original animated Transformers movie. And a single tear is shed.

Mar 15, 2016 11:26 AM on American League Rookies
 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: -2

I had no idea it was a birth defect; doesn't change my initial reaction to the picture of "Holy crap, they took his official photo with a black eye."

 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: 9

This made me rethink a thought I had when <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=47493">Dexter Fowler</a></span> resigned with the Cubs. There was that great video of him walking out onto the field and all his teammates cheering his return. But something unremarked upon was at least one, and probably a couple, of those players got on the cell to their friends, family, whoever to tell them they were probably not going to make the team out of spring training. I don't follow the Cubs so I have no idea who was pushed down by Fowler resigning, but someone clapping in that video had his chance at the major leagues knee-capped.

Mar 14, 2016 4:11 AM on Not Fade Away
 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: 1

Oh man, hadn't thought about a Clive Cussler book in years. Cussler went (even further) off the rails once a Dirk Pit Expanded Universe came into creation. Awesome article.

 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: 5

I feel like that Amaro quote is attempting to be "I'm not left-handed," but he saved that reveal until after the Dread Pirate Roberts knocked him out and ran off after the Princess.

 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: 0

Reyes has been put on of non-punitive "administrative leave" and is being paid. The current MLB DV policy allows the league to put a player in such a status pending the resolution of any criminal case or other investigation. Basically, it allows them to get a suspected player off the field while not incurring the full wrath of the MLBPA because it isn't punishment so the players still are paid (and accrue service time?). Although, at least in the excerpt I'd seen released, the admin leave was limited to 7 days. Not sure if there's some difference for penalties during the season and off-season.

Mar 07, 2016 4:51 AM on The Chapman Precedent
 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: 1

That was beautifully written.

 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: -11

You're not the only one. I was wondering why they allowed him to take a picture the day he got into a fist fight with someone.

 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: 0

Mr. Pavlidis, you can read the same accounts of the incident I have. Chapman and his girlfriend have two versions of the events that night and each has a witness supporting their respective version. The only thing they agree on is there was an argument and the police were called. You might not agree with it, but it is not an absurd or dishonest statement of the events of that night as-known.

Mar 03, 2016 8:03 AM on The Chapman Precedent
 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: 3

If that is her point then I believe that Ms. Rowley is trying to have her cake and eat it too; to complain that Chapman's alleged crime is being overlooked by the other issues surrounding it while also being able to complain if his punishment was delayed until a "better" case is resolved at some unknown point in the future. As another commenter said, there is no chance MLB could delay handing out Chapman's punishment pending the resolution of Reyes' case, and Puig's case makes Chapman's look like a slam-dunk.

Mar 03, 2016 7:39 AM on The Chapman Precedent
 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: 2

The minimum sentence for someone convicted of domestic violence (which covers everything from assault to murder) in Florida is 5 days in prison and a year on probation with mandatory counseling. Even if there had been video, or any recording, supporting Chapman's girlfriend's version of events, his suspension by the MLB was always going to be harsher than what he'd have received for the actual battery. So many people always seemed surprised to find out our justice system doesn't treat first time offenders as harshly as they expected; at least for anything short of a several felonies.

Mar 03, 2016 3:55 AM on The Chapman Precedent
 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: -2

I'd imagine some the reasons for Chapman's case coming before Reyes' is that's closed and that it was something the League, Player, and Union could all come to an agreement on which lets the commissioner get a precedent set for future cases. And of course the player being willing to accept the punishment is important for the Commissioner. Rob Manfred has seen The Ginger Banhammer get overturned quite a few times on appeal. Manfred doesn't want that, it weakens his office and his ability to be seen as protecting the MLB brand. Finally, the precedent set is a player can lose almost 1/5th of the season for an argument with his significant other which results in the police being called. That doesn't strike me as an insignificant punishment.

Mar 02, 2016 10:13 AM on The Chapman Precedent
 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: 3

Oh God, not just that, but he's standing there having to look at <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=46980">Elvis Andrus</a></span> and his $100m contract.

Feb 29, 2016 10:47 AM on Ian the Texan
 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: 0

Agree. I think it's doubly unintuitive since it's the same graphic used the in fantasy analysis for TA and those do mean that the player's situation/projection/whatever should be an improvement.

Feb 29, 2016 9:42 AM on Starting Pitchers
 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: 2

I know professional baseball players have to be able to put the past behind them to succeed, and $8m (before taxes at least) would make me feel a lot better, but there has to be some moments when he's alone in his room that he laments declining that contract from the Nationals.

Feb 29, 2016 9:39 AM on Ian the Texan
 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: 1

The Super Bowl was about 3 weeks ago. Cam Newton's post-loss press conference is the most recent example of a player having a very bad, no good, awful day and giving a press conference that showed it. That your media peers blew it way out of proportion, and that a whole lot of people are attributing some awful things to Newton as a result of him being a sore loser (his words!) doesn't change the fact it's a really good example for discussing post-sporting-event-interview don'ts. I think you're setting up an inherently unfair situation where the Yankees, or any organization, is danged if they do and danged if they don't. I asked upthread if the comparison is "problematic" because it compares Wilson and Newton, and if it would be less or more problematic if it compared Manning and Newton. Also, unless you have some insider info about the training session that hasn't been made public on ESPN, CBS, FOX, etc you really have no idea about the training beyond the fact it referred to Newton and Wilson. Maybe it was properly caveated, maybe it wasn't, maybe it featured a video that owuld put the 49er's one from 2005 to shame. Finally, I would disagree that <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=1589">Derek Jeter</a></span> is the Yankee they need to involve when discussing media relations. They have <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/player_search.php?search_name=Alex+Rodriguez">Alex Rodriguez</a></span> at Spring Training. Were I a new Yankee I'd find it much more enlightening to get some what-not-to-dos from Donny Don't.

Feb 26, 2016 12:52 PM on The Self-Expression Trap
 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: -3

I didn't think you were. What I was trying to say though was some of the complaining about the pitcher reaction might be people knowing, maybe consciously or not, that the pitcher is the one who can escalate the confrontation within the confines of the game.

Feb 26, 2016 11:34 AM on The Self-Expression Trap
 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: -2

A "problematic" part, to me at least, with the pitcher-batter bat flip reactions is that escalation from the pitcher is something we'd consider "assault with a deadly weapon" if it happened anywhere but 60' from home plate. I worry MLB will eventually follow the NFL's example in doing everything it can to punish players who celebrate their accomplishments in an unapproved way.

Feb 26, 2016 10:51 AM on The Self-Expression Trap
 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: -3

Neither, it's mostly people who hate even unintentional puns like "Marlins are floundering". Turns out there are some BPers who really, really hate puns.

Feb 26, 2016 10:20 AM on The Self-Expression Trap
 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: -1

Any team, and a NYC team in particular, who does not spend time training their players in how to handle the press is being negligent in their duty to their employees and their brand. If the Yankees' media relations training was comparing and contrasting Wilson and Newton with some sort of commentary on them as people or their racial or ethnic backgrounds, then shame on the Yankees and I hope the league comes down on them hard. But every single report I can find on this is simply talking about it being a thing the Yankees did. In my opinion the people who were being "problematic" in relation to Newton were the media and twitter vultures. He'd just lost the most important game of his career, played poorly in process (excusable given he was playing a historically great defense), and, apparently, Broncos players cheering and taunting could be heard within the room the where Newton was being interviewed. He's sitting there having to field questions about "how he's feeling". I'd be pretty surly too. He didn't handle it well but it wasn't a "Playoffs!", "They are who we thought they were!," or "We're talking about practice!"-level breakdown.

Feb 26, 2016 10:10 AM on The Self-Expression Trap
 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: 0

I hadn't thought of the implication for it on big vs small market teams and that's a really good point. The more I think about it the more I like it and agree that a possible remedy would be teams keep some portion of the lost draft pick's bonus pool. At least if there has to be free agent compensation.

Feb 26, 2016 9:56 AM on The Status QO
 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: 0

I saw it on Ken Rosenthal (I think) on Fox, but it was originally on Close' agency's twitter feed.

 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: 0

Gotcha. FWIW I think I like your option 3 the best. I'm not sure that avoiding "punishing" a class of player is something that needs to be done, or even can be. Some class of player is going to be "punished" regardless. Maybe "very good players but not the best" is a class that shouldn't be (and I'd agree). IRT a point you made in a response to an earlier comment is it a case of teams vastly over-estimating the value of late first round picks and their associated slot money vs what a player like Fowler could deliver? Don't get me wrong, I'm glad to see the Rangers and Angels pass on an opportunity to improve their team this year for a lotto ticket that might pay off in 5.

Feb 26, 2016 8:26 AM on The Status QO
 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: 0

How much of that history though are players whose production does not justify being a full-time starter in the first place?

 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: 2

Flower is getting less than he'd have gotten from accepting the QO, but it is an $8m with $9m option for next year and a 5m buyout so he'll get at least $13m this season with the option to reenter FA or take the $9m. I see his agent is <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/player_search.php?search_name=Casey+Close">Casey Close</a></span>. I question Close's statement that this is the most irresponsible behavior he's ever seen in his agent career. He was the agent for <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=103732">Brady Aiken</a></span> after all.

 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: 0

Isn't this the first season with the QO where players accepted it instead of getting contracts from other teams or resigning for a multi-year deal? That might lead to teams reevaluating who they offer a QO to. I know the rumor in the Astros case is they didn't anticipate <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=46522">Colby Rasmus</a></span> taking the QO (since no one did before) and him doing so changed their plan for the offseason. Teams might give you what you want (only the best players being offered the QO) without MLB needing to change the CBA because they players changed the league's assumptions about what players are willing to take a one-year payout.

Feb 26, 2016 7:27 AM on The Status QO
 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: -7

Imagine my surprise when I found myself nodding along in agreement with this article. I also appreciated not being forcibly included in your use of a pronoun. But, Ms. Rowley, you're going to need to show a lot more evidence that teams are doing things that are "problematic" because of their "racialized" nature. For example how is the Yankees comparing and contrasting <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=65925">Russell Wilson</a></span> and Cam Newton's post super bowl loss press conferences as part of media training racialized or problematic? Newtown was awful in that press conference, and it was an event some of those players probably watched and many of them heard discussed. Would it have been more or less problematic if it had been comparing Newton and Manning from 2013? I can be convinced the Marlins facial hair policy possibly is, but I'd bet it's far more likely the Marlins are a floundering organization which is just trying to do something, anything, to improve. I'm struggling to attribute that to racial animus and not some old man yelling at clouds. Describing <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/player_search.php?search_name=Daniel+Murphy">Daniel Murphy</a></span>'s opinion on homosexuality as "thoughtless or hateful" is not being fair. "Thoughtless and ignorant"? Sure. "Thoughtless and unpopular"? Probably. "Hateful" is very unfairly imputing a motive and emotion to Murphy that, to my knowledge, he has not expressed. Heck, his opinion would have been almost progressive within your parent's life. Also, is being gay a fact of <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/player_search.php?search_name=Billy+Bean">Billy Bean</a></span>'s biography or biology? If it's the former then it can be a choice as he could simply write it different. To be fair Ms. Rowley, most of reality doesn't conform to the progressive mainstream's understanding.

 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: 0

I was thinking Alvarez for the Astros with Evan gattis laid up from his hernia. Then I remembered <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=50609">Marwin Gonzalez</a></span> was like their 2nd most used first baseman last year, <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=70886">Preston Tucker</a></span> is going to get work at first in Spring Training, and right now it looks like everyone in Houston who is playing first is just a placeholder for AJ Reed.

Feb 25, 2016 6:44 AM on Finding Fits
 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: 11

So that's his online dating profile weight?

 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: 0

Because they "know" what the pitcher is almost always going to try and do in those situations? If that is what Mr. Molyneux is saying it makes sense to me. Whether he's right or not I don't know.

 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: 0

What's working against the Phils or Braves is they have to play each other a bunch. One of them will probably lose the season series and that will give them a leg down in the competition to beat the Mets' record.

 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: 0

Okay, makes sense now Mr. Carleton; thanks. I'd think some sort of wearable technology would be invaluable in this.

 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: 0

Whoops. Apologies.

Feb 23, 2016 8:24 AM on Outfielders
 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: 1

I assumed it's the difference between what his original projected <span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=WARP" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('WARP'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">WARP</span></a> was, and what it is with the new projections for increased playing time at the 90% percentile.

 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: 0

You didn't exactly caveat <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/player_search.php?search_name=Nelson+Cruz">Nelson Cruz</a></span> the same way you did the others on this list; you identify the others as currently being drafted too early. Cruz you seem to be saying just don't draft him at all because he could turn into a pumpkin. <span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=PECOTA" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('PECOTA'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">PECOTA</span></a> doesn't seem to think he's all that risky (4% collapse) and your coworker has him as the 32nd OF in dynasty. I would imagine he'd be higher in redraft.

Feb 23, 2016 6:16 AM on Outfielders
 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: 2

As an Astros fan it does bring me great joy, or at least a feeling there is undoubtedly a German word for, that these analysis are not using my team.

 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: 1

“Oh, he’ll be good for another couple of batters…” I'm disappointed this didn't link to a gif of <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=74122">Grady Little</a></span>. Brilliant analysis and a great read. I'm not sure what you mean by the "technology to be rational" though. I'd think a huge problem with implementing such a strategy would be the perfectly rational greed and self-interest of the players involved. The pitchers who make the big bucks are the starting pitchers, and a big part of why they get 10 figures is their win totals. A pitcher who is only good for 80-ish pitchers will probably not get out of the 4th inning almost as often as not. If he's not getting through then he's not even qualifying for the win, assuming the team is even in a position to win. I remember the Red Sox going with a closer-by-committee and that was a dozen years ago. I think teams are more willing to jettison an under-performing closer or give a new player a chance based on performance, but I don't think the role of Capital C Closer has gone away. I'd expect the resistance of starting pitchers to be a couple orders of magnitude greater to a change like this than relievers. But I'm probably wrong.

 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: -3

I'm not tracking why <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=65992">George Springer</a></span> has a NL rank. The Astros moved to the AL back in 2013. I get that all the rest of the players with multiple league rankings shifted leagues during of after the season or may move since Dexter Flowler is unsigned.

Feb 19, 2016 5:23 AM on Episode 76: Outfielders
 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: 0

Between Jeff Buckley, Leonard Cohen, and Shrek I've listened to that song a lot more than I'd care to admit. I never got the David and Bathsheba reference. David, Deliliah, the first-person declaration of faith; yup. Not Bathsheba. It's clearly there, never clicked.

 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: 2

Best part of him being the Marlins highest paid player is he never played an inning for them. Heck, given he had a ton of cash deferred if you told me the Marlins were still cutting him a check I'd believe it until proven otherwise. I remember him pitching for the Astros in 2009, didn't realize he had another couple games with the D'Backs.

 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: 3

I actually just wanted to reintroduce Hampton citing the school system of Denver as the reason he signed there. Because $90 million dollars back in the early 2000s couldn't pay to send your kids to a good school. There's a whole new generation of baseball fans who have no idea that happened.

 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: 1

Actually had the chance to look at the <a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/fantasy/dc/">depth charts</a> and for the White Sox and Rangers it's more an issue with the <a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/fantasy/dc/">depth chart</a>. They're both starting players barely above replacement level, but their 2nd and 3rd catchers are projected to be almost as bad and it takes the position on the team as a whole into the negatives. The NL teams truly are pits of despair. But man, I don't remember a position across the majors really looking this bad. Going team-by-team there is a whole lot of red in that catcher projection.

 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: -7

You missed the comment at 12:12 where I included Minnesota sharing a border with Michigan on the Superior Sea. So, yeah, I'm stilling claiming geography as the other comfort I turn to in my downvoted woman-free space.

 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: -8

That's just the sort of comment I'd expect from my child. I'm so proud!

 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: -5

Apparently I have sports and geography.

 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: -18

I can't wait until I get to pick a fight with my kid's geography teacher when he correctly answers "What US States border Michigan" with Minnesota, Wisconsin, Illinois, Indiana, and Ohio. Freaking Common Core.

 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: -15

Ontario is across the Detroit River. Illinois is across Lake Michigan. As I said, it's phrase that's trying to be too cute and it doesn't work. If there was ferry service between Michigan and Chicago it might have worked, maybe, but there is no terra firma connection between the two states.

 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: -17

I don't do any other impressions, but I do some chin puppetry. Based on the contributions under her name I believe that Ms. Rowley is the worst writer on the site. She, apparently, does little with the stats she has access to, and her intersectionality-related topics are simply done better by writers on other sites. When she blind-squirrels her way into an interesting topic she butchers it (she spent a page berating <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=18675">Dusty Baker</a></span> for three statements in an extended interview, two of which were unobjectionable and in-line with her point). If BP wants to expand beyond the stats and into culture, fine, awesome. Ms. Rolwey is not the writer they should want though because she's just not very good. The sooner she moves on to Deadspin, Jezebel, or Slate XX the better for BP. Maybe you can put in a good word for her on <span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=SB" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('SB'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">SB</span></a> Nation?

 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: -19

Nice stealth edit of an incorrect statement. Still wrong though, the only states Avila could move over to from Michigan are Ohio, Indiana, or Wisconsin. Although Ontario would be an option, but you said state not province. This is one of those sentences where an editor really needed to step in and say "you're trying to be too clever, just say 'he signed with the White Sox'". Also, if you go to the player card for the pitcher <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/player_search.php?search_name=Chris+Young">Chris Young</a></span> his 2016 BP annual comment is posted. I thought there was a publisher's agreement that current annual comments weren't going to be visible.

 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: 12

I'd really like it if a player just said "They backed up a truck load of money to my house, the beeping was so loud it woke the baby. I just accepted the contract to silence the beeping," instead of attributing their choice to a team's base-running. Although, to be fair, it's better than when <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/player_search.php?search_name=Mike+Hampton">Mike Hampton</a></span> cited Denver area schools as why he signed with the Rockies.

 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: -36

In what way is Detroit "across town" to Chicago? Chicago isn't even the closest AL Central city with Cleveland just across Lake Erie. If I'm looking at the right it seems that 25% of ML teams are projected to be running out sub-replacement level catchers. And it seems a lot of that is being driven by the new catching stats. Is this league wide pit of despair at one position a new thing or does it go back some years? I ask because if the new catching stats can drive so much of a catcher's value, maybe a relook to the replacement level of catcher is in order. Finally, I'd have thought someone dedicated to intersectionalist writing would know better than to use a triggering phrase like "chink in the armor". Sure, no people of clearly Chinese ancestry were being discussed, but if there is one consistent theme in much popular intersectionalist writing it is that if anyone could possibly take offense to a phrase or word, it should be avoided and failure to avoid it means the writer is racist, sexist, both, and/or guilty of some other thoughtcrime.

 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: 0

JD and <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=19593">Bill Brown</a></span> were a good duo for the Astros. I was living overseas until recently so I only got about half a season of the new Astros broadcast team, but they weren't terrible.

 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: -12

The earlier piece from Mr. Watt, and then his next one getting into an actual example of what he was talking about were interesting. This is some word salad me-too writing. I really hope Ms. Rowley has some serious sabrmetric chops that just get buried behind the scenes, because the sooner she gets hired to try and help a team win the sooner this feature stops. I guess I can hope some Gawker propery or XOJane decides to expand their sports coverage.

Feb 11, 2016 7:38 AM on Politics in The Show
 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: 0

Not just that but, as mentioned above, he got passed by a few lower-drafted players. McCullers is 3 years younger, cheaper, a lower pick, and is now likely the #2 or 3 starting pitcher on a team projected to compete for the postseason. If the struggles in the minors and being passed by other prospects wasn't enough motivation for him to change I'm not seeing how getting rocked at the ML level will be just the thing he needs.

 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: 0

I'm wondering if the search for identifying such traits would lead to a catcher-defense like relook at some players. For example, BP's own assessments of <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=3">Brad Ausmus</a></span>' value as a ballplayer were pretty dismissive when he was active. Now, suddenly, he is one of the better catchers in history because the thing baseball folks said he was good at is something that can be measured.

Feb 08, 2016 9:31 AM on You've Got Males
 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: -1

The military services devote entire regulations, manuals, and professional instruction to identifying, developing, implementing and reinforcing the leadership traits you mention. You probably cannot read a biography from a military leader who does not mention, in a mentor, peer, subordinate, or himself, the traits you're discussing. Sun Tzu even mentions these traits. The implication that an organization or the individuals in that organization cannot recognize or reward emotional intelligence that can help them win games is ridiculous.

Feb 08, 2016 6:22 AM on You've Got Males
 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: 0

Isn't <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/player_search.php?search_name=Jose+Reyes">Jose Reyes</a></span> also facing a probable suspension for beating the tar out his wife? I'd imagine "possibly missing 50 games" is a factor that would cause some fluctuation in his fantasy baseball draft status.

Feb 08, 2016 6:09 AM on Shortstop
 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: 0

I find myself curious if a player has been on the BP "Top 10 under 25" list as a Major Leaguer longer than <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/player_search.php?search_name=Jose+Altuve">Jose Altuve</a></span>. He's been on that list since 2011 for the Astros and the entire time he's been in the Majors.

 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: 7

I think the Astros realized early-on their back-up plan to Aiken refusing to isgn was getting the 2nd pick in the next draft as well as a $17m bonus pool. Close and Aiken didn't realize just how much the changes in the draft rules shifted leverage to the Astros and how little it really mattered to them in the long run losing out on Aiken, Nix, and Marshall.

 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: 1

As a long time Astros fan I'd have to say the real "rivalry" as far as a team you want to see beaten was the Mets. Phillies to a lesser extent. The Sox just didn't have the familiarity you'd have with another National League team. What is the point of a rival you only see every couple years for a few games at a time?

 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: -8

I'm assuming Ms. Rowley is paid by the word because that 5th paragraph is begging for a chart to illustrate her point. And, again, a possibly interesting story gets butchered by its writer. Ms. Rowley should probably talk with the intern writing the headline because the article is about teams which meet infrequently, not "worst rivalries".

 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: 0

Gomez missed time with the strained intercostal muscle and I think "<span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=65992">George Springer</a></span> missing time for injury" is a bet worth taking. Tucker played better than I think expected, but Rasmus looks to be the better defender and LHB.

Jan 25, 2016 2:49 AM on Colby Qualifies
 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: 0

Al Davis from the early 90s on would have been a great example. Fortunately someone destroyed Al's phylactery years ago (I have nothing against Al Davis personally, just lichs in general). The heirs, after Hue Jackson's failed power play, have possibly turned the Raiders around. I could see them getting to the playoffs very shortly and they are no longer the worst franchise in the Bay Area or AFC West. That's real progress.

 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: 0

<span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/player_search.php?search_name=Jose+Reyes">Jose Reyes</a></span> apparently beat up his wife while on vacation.

Jan 25, 2016 2:26 AM on What's Chapmaning
 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: -2

Agreed. Torre, Bench, and Tenance have no seasons after 88. Carter and Fisk only have a couple of very late career seasons. Simmons has 38 games in 1988. This is something which probably required far more comment on by Ms. Rowley than she deigned to provide. <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=18234">Carlton Fisk</a></span> gained almost 5 wins with the adjustment. Since he gained like 30 runs from framing in his age 40-45 seasons I don't think it would be shocking for him to gain enough value to pass Piazza, and possibly Bench, if all the info for their careers were available.

 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: 2

I prefer living in the universe where the Royals don't win the world series because <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=46630">Tony Sipp</a></span> cleanly fields a comebacker.

 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: 0

Wouldn't "...raisi(ng) those negative <span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=WARP" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('WARP'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">WARP</span></a>..." mean he would have a positive WARP if he was less athletic?

Jan 05, 2016 4:12 AM on Marlins For the Ed-Win
 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: -11

I've been reading BP for a little over 15 years and "<a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/column/playes_prefer_presentation/">Players Prefer Presentation</a>" has to be the most consistently uninteresting naval-gazing I can recall reading here. So I have to ask, what does Ms. Rowley actually bring to the table at BP? Her only non-PPP article is a TA that's a bunch of word salad for a fairly simple transaction. She's not tackling any new ground (baseball players are fallible people!), she's not bringing some interesting view to the well-trod ground she's on (Deadspin and Sports on Earth having better writers for the human element), and it's not been discussed that PPP is simply the price we have to pay because she's a great researcher, statistician, or makes a great cup of coffee. I love BP, to whom do I need to send a check so they can afford writers better than VOX cast-offs?

 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: 3

I'm not sure why I should feel uncomfortable that no one was arrested after an argument between two adults in an intimate relationship when credible witnesses to the incident have conflicting and incompatible versions of what happened. That one of the participants fired his gun after-he-fact at no one and near no one and in the confines of his own garage is a distraction (and not illegal, but very ill-advised). What the heck are police expected to do when Victim A says they were assaulted, but lack any physical proof of such assault, Alleged Assailant B says they didn't do it, Witness C supports A and Witness D supports B?

Dec 29, 2015 9:21 AM on What's Chapmaning
 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: 2

What is the logic behind the Rangers being cast as last? I know it's a rough and very early guess, but have they really fallen that far behind the rest of the non-Houston AL West? And it's not like Houston should be considered that much of a lock either. They're counting on a couple 2nd year players to continue improving (granted, very good players in <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=100502">Carlos Correa</a></span> and Lance McCullers Jr.) and that <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=60448">Dallas Keuchel</a></span> doesn't regress too much from a brilliant career year. Houston has been the most active team in the AL West, but the Rangers, Astros, and Angels all finished within 3 games of one another. Not seeing how it can be assumed the A's and Mariners leapfrog two of those teams when they're all returning similar squads from the previous year.

 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: 1

Speaking of other pro sports owners, is there a MLB equivalent to someone like a Jerry Jones or Dan Snyder? Owners who are deeply committed to winning, are willing to spend the money to do so, but are just really, really awful at it?

 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: -3

Those would have been much better "Profit above all" examples for the Angels. But Ms. Rowley didn't choose to go with them and instead scribbled something about ticket prices. I'm sure there is actually a real interesting article to be written about the motivations of the owners when it comes to why certain player deals do and don't get made. Unfortunately that is not the article that was published today.

 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: 0

Arte Moreno has spent a ton of money trying to improve the Angels. Not sure how he gets lumped into the "The Profit Seeker" category just because the Angels have pricy tickets. "The Tanking" doesn't even really make sense as a category. It's a strategy and the owners behind it would fall into one of the other categories. Jim Crane probably falls more into the "Profit Seeker" anyway given how leveraged his purchase of the Astros was, combined with their ruined TV contract when he bought them.

 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: 1

<span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=18675">Dusty Baker</a></span> is not in a position of authority as regards the investigation into Ardolis Chapman's domestic violence accusation. There is no need for him to have a reasoned, unbiased assessment of the case against Chapman because he is not, and will not, be involved in the process of investigating, or punishing, the player. Baker's stance, as stated in this Q&A is, figuratively "We don't know what happened," "You shouldn't hit women," and "I'm glad MLB has a policy on domestic violence". The first is demonstrably true as this is an, honest-to-God "She said, he said" case where no evidence contradicts either party's story, and the second two are exactly what you want him to say.

Dec 09, 2015 1:48 PM on Uh-Oh: On Dusty Baker
 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: 0

I'm really struggling to identify how comments from a manager of a team not involved in the aborted trade, and who has nothing to do with how MLB investigates players accused of domestic violence, implies anything about said policy or investigation. I'm guessing the first draft of this titled "Old man doesn't immediately condemn person he had prior cordial relationship with based on initial reporting of wrong-doing" was just not that hard-hitting. And probably too long. THis will have some bearing in a couple months when Rob Manfred comes out and says "In accordance with our new policy of handing out punishments for accusations of domestic violence, and after consulting with Duty Baker, we fully reinstate Mr. Chapman and offer our sincere apologies for doubting him." Also, the actual facts, as-known, about the accusations against Chapman aren't exactly conducive to Ms. Rowley's concerns. The people not fully believing the alleged victim in this are the police and the prosecutor. And they are not fully believing her because she and her brother (a witness to the fight) refused to cooperate, she lacked any visible signs of the injury she said Chapman inflicted upon her, and a third witness (Chapman's driver) disputes the girlfriend and brother's events. The worst thing it is known Chapman did was fire a handgun at the cinderblock wall of his garage (which is, apparently, not illegal in Davies, FL).

Dec 09, 2015 12:23 PM on Uh-Oh: On Dusty Baker
 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: 4

I don't envy MLB in this. There is no way they can craft a policy that will satisfy its critics in every case. Eventually they will have a Ray Rice where they will hand out a punishment and have a video or pictures leaked after-the-fact which make their punishment seem lax or a Greg Hardy where, through a carrot or stick, the victim stops cooperating.

 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: -7

I have read up on it and how the justice system treats famous people is no where near as preferential as you seem to think it is.

 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: -3

Supporting due process and taking a victim's story seriously are not mutually exclusive concepts. Ms. Rowley seems to think they are.

 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: 0

The discussion of "innocent until proven guilty" is not about doubting the honesty of wives and girlfriends but about acknowleding that people accused of crimes in this country have a right to not be railroaded by their government. The willingness, no eagerness, of people who claim to be intelligent and emphatic, to cast aside a fundamental right of due process is bizarre. I fear that baseball, or any sport, has no hope of actually implementing a policy that will satisfy you Ms. Rowley. There will eventually come a case where the punishment the commissioner can hand down will pale when compared to the crime committed, but the player will not be punished by the legal system because of that stupid "burden of proof".

 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: 3

Isn't some of Rasmus' choice here driven by the presence of a lot of high-quality free agent outfielders? On the BP Top 50 FA list half of the players rated higher than Rasmus are OFs.

Nov 13, 2015 7:52 AM on Colby Qualifies
 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: 0

Correa booting that ground ball was easily the worst moment of my baseball-fan life. Luckily I'm a Houstonian and watch football so Oilers-Bills still has a strangle-hold on "Worst Fandom Moment".

 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: 0

I swear that bullpen comment yesterday was a joke I just wasn't getting.

 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: 2

I was surprised <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=70348">Mark Appel</a></span> isn't listed here. Seems everything I read about him is that he had been disappointing or struggling.

Oct 05, 2015 3:22 AM on October 5, 2015
 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: 0

Have the Astros really over-achieved this year or are they a victim of the same thought process that led the punditry to under-estimate the Rangers? Looking at their roster at the start of the season, a rotation with two above average pitchers in <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=60448">Dallas Keuchel</a></span> and Colin McHugh, and the rookie corps they had waiting in the wings it really shouldn't have surprised anyone they were competitive, or that they would compete for the post-season.

Sep 28, 2015 5:35 PM on What is the Wild Card?
 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: 0

Isn't the bigger issue for <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=70607">Alex Bregman</a></span> remaining at SS that <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=100502">Carlos Correa</a></span> plays the same position in the same organization? I know when Bregman was drafted Luhnow doesnplayed the issue with Bregman and Correa both being MLB-qualifty SS, but at some point one of them has to move.

Sep 10, 2015 7:50 AM on September 10, 2015
 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: 0

Was surprised not to see <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=70348">Mark Appel</a></span> listed here.

 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: 0

Did the Yankees pull off some uber trade and I missed it? I don't think the Astros are facing Félix Hernández this afternoon.

Aug 26, 2015 4:06 AM on August 26, 2015
 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: 2

I think it's more an ex post facto rationalization than anything that means something substantive. "(D)oesn't compete..." is something no one was saying prior to him being drafted. And "...never has" really doesn't jive with his performance at Stanford. His professional results don't match with what was expected based on his college time, and his status as the 1:1 pick is what's kept him on prospect lists, but if he'd been drafted later with his actual stuff he'd be someone scouts and baseball reporters would talk about how he'd be dominant if he could ever get it together, instead of wondering why it's taken him so long.

Aug 05, 2015 9:46 AM on August 5, 2015
 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: 13

Why would you redact "tickle" and "rainbow"?

Aug 05, 2015 3:28 AM on August 5, 2015
 
tearecrules
(85435)
Comment rating: 1

My suspiscion (hope?) with <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=70348">Mark Appel</a></span> and his inconsistency is that the Astros are having him work on something that is not appearing in game right now. I think their work with <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/player_search.php?search_name=Lance+McCullers">Lance McCullers</a></span>' change up which BP taked about earlier this summer, is what gives me that bit of hope.