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I also have Tate, and drafted him with my first round pick last year.
I'll likely be cutting him. Basing this season's decisions on last season's methods of obtaining players is illogical and hurts you in the long run.
The ONLY thing that matters is "how will this guy perform?" It doesn't matter how he got on your team.
Example. I have both Tate and Jacob deGrom on my roster. I drafted Tate with a first round pick. I picked up deGrom off waivers three years ago. If I was decided on which one to cut, is there any consideration remotely that I might cut deGrom because I didn't spend a first round pick on him? Nope. Completely irrelevant.
It won't be the last. He's not that big a fantasy asset. While in real life he may have a ceiling of a #3 SP, which is nothing to sneeze at, those pitchers usually aren't worth saving a dynasty roster spot for.
Thanks for the response Ben!
Don't write him off totally. You just never know with the guys that play in Asia. And if you're "paying for a pulse" then he could be worth a flyer. If he bombs, cut him.
Eh. Those numbers don't do it for me. I like the 30 steals. But only .270? 15 <span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=HR" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('HR'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">HR</span></a>? <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=50147">Danny Valencia</a></span> can put up those numbers.
Regarding Park, and the "He won’t have a role right away" statement.
He's the Twins best hitter in spring training right now, and has the inside track as the starting DH. Only way that changes is if <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=60293">Kennys Vargas</a></span> goes ballistic when he gets back from WBC.
You're right about his power numbers in Korea being a bit inflated, but his power absolutely plays in the U.S. The question is, will it come with <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/player_search.php?search_name=Chris+Carter">Chris Carter</a></span> K's, or not.
I'd bet probably it will. Park's able to hit 25-30 homers, but I'd bet his <span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=AVG" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('AVG'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">AVG</span></a> will be around .220-.230.
As always, this list is fantastic. I really appreciate the fact that you guys didn't ignore the existence of <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/player_search.php?search_name=Nick+Williams">Nick Williams</a></span> because he had a bad month (ahemm...MLB.com).
One suggestion though. While I love the humor, I'd appreciate more the ability to actually understand the ceiling/floor of some of these players.
-Lots and lots of Combo Meals
-The reason <a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/author/mauricio_rubio">Mauricio Rubio</a> spontaneously combusts one day
-Moon of My Life
-Ben and Craig won’t want to talk to Bret about him ever again
-A faster-than-normal oil change
-A ham-and-cheese sandwich with a delightful honey dijon spread
-A Trump press conference
-Looks too much like Eli Manning
I get what you're trying to say. "Lots and lots of combo meals" = high ceiling. But what kind of high ceiling? Are we thinking <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=45436">Matt Kemp</a></span> here, or <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=1480">Torii Hunter</a></span>? I'm just using this as an example because I have Brinson and know his comps, but some of the other ones leave me thinking "man, I wish I knew what the comp actually means, because "a faster-than normal oil change" can be good, but it doesn't give me any idea of how good or bad.
As a guy who owns Gallo in fantasy, seeing him looked over in favor of retreads is sickening.
But even from a real-life point of view. Honestly, Loney and Hamilton? Taking ABs away from Gallo? Insane.
I'm very fortunate to have both Machado and Seager in a 16 team, 25 man MLB roster, league.
Arcia has always been a better real life prospect. He's only hit over .300 one year, and doesn't have the pop, or basestealing acumen (yet) to get a pass if he can't have a high average. And that <span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=OBP" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('OBP'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">OBP</span></a> is a little concerning.
Woah, easy man. It didn't ruin anything for me. Just offering my two cents. And I get -3 for it so I guess those other guys showed me who's boss. :)
But seriously, I love these. No biggie.
Totally agree. I didn't even read the section. All the strike-throughs just said "walk away."
No love for Yan Solarte?
Meh. I don't seem to remember that he was being billed as such by most folks. Middle of the road seemed the average assessment.
I work for one of the NWL teams and this showcase is always interesting to me.
It comes only a couple weeks after their All-Star game, where the scouts get a look at the players with good statlines. The showcase ends up geared towards players that scouts need to see more of, and those groups don't often overlap.
A Northwoods Leaguer to keep an eye on is Daniel Amaral. His dad is <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=16687">Rich Amaral</a></span>. Daniel has great bat speed and plays a great CF with tons of range. He needs to be more disciplined, but I think its pretty obvious his summer coaching staff doesn't actually try to help the players make adjustments. Plus he just finished his freshman year, so he has time.
Love it! A good read.
As a Twins fan, it pains me to have to deal with Nolasco year after year. Everyone in the world, except <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=78149">Terry Ryan</a></span>, knew Nolasco wasn't worth the money they gave him.
Milone should get the job. He was the Twins best pitcher down the stretch last year and I've seen Nolasco pitch...oh man is he awful.
I really don't get the reason why Johnson wouldn't be the starting second baseman. These decisions drive me nuts. He's a better hitter and a much better runner. The fielding is suspect sure, but let the guy play. He's earned it.
I think its a bit silly to omit Turner. He's a Padre correct? Yes. Just because its about a 98% probability he will be traded doesn't mean he's not currently a prospect for the Padres.
The thing is that there are very few Brad Radkes. Radke was similar to Maddux and Moyer in his control. That's what made him good. You get "clones" with less control and you get Nick Blackburn.
While he may yet be a reliever, he's been dominant as a starter. There's no reason for the Sox to move him at this point.
A late comment, but I've never been high on him.
Awesome. You can bet Gardy didn't like that.
Add R.A. Dickey to the list of players run outta town. And Matt Garza.
Learn from Terry Ryan? Hahahahahahahaha! Good one. He's a good scout, but a horrible GM. He shows the appearance of wanting to play moneyball, but he never ends up with anyone decent. Its like he sees someone injured and signs them. "Yes, another injured one, this one will bounce back! Oh, dang, that's guys arm just fell off. Well, back to the drawing board."
The Twins overvalue defense, closers, and the ability to play more than one position, and undervalue the strikeout, home run, and any attitude that doesn't fit in their little box (why do you think Ortiz, Gomez, Lohse, Hardy, and Orlando Hudson weren't retained, and guys like Nick Punto always get 2nd and 3rd and 4th chances?)
And they just have a long extension to Glen Perkins, who is a great closer, but not elite, and its a waste of money to wrap up a closer that long.