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Unfortunately the recording quality was very low, I was getting my internet fixed during the interview so I had to tether using my cell phone's internet connection.
The most impressive thing about that season is that the average team won 86 games
I think the biggest issue is that they have so many guys expected to regress negatively but nobody who really had a down year and has room to bounce back.
Going by 2013 WARP-Projected 2014 WARP:
McCutchen: -2 Wins
Alvarez: -2.1 Wins
Marte: -0.9 Wins
Martin: -1.1 Wins
Walker: -0.6 Wins
Mercer: +0.4 Wins
Liriano: -0.7 Wins
Melancon: -0.7 Wins
So -7.7 Wins from those guys regressing, then another -1.6 for losing Burnett, and you're at -9.3. They won 94 games last year, but only 88 games by Pythagorean record, so if you subtract the 9 wins from that they are at 79 wins, close to PECOTA's 78.
Yea, he's my older brother.