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CraigB
35 comments | 32 total rating | 0.91 average rating
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Baseball Prospectus http://bbp.cx/i/74009
CraigB
(74009)
Comment rating: 2

The big question is, what kind of help could they have bought for Ramirez and McGuire other than getting a year of salary relief by dealing Liriano for Hutchison? They could not have made a big splash with that combo, but surely they could have landed a rental starter and then had Liriano come down with a lingering hangnail problem or some such. A secondary question is what, if anything, they could have gotten for Jaso, or by adding Jaso to Ramirez and McGuire? You'd think that Cleveland might have had some interest in that package, since Jaso adds a useful platoon bat who could probably handle LF in the Jake, McGuire adds to their catching depth, and Ramirez is something worth having around. Liriano was the one pitcher who was most hurt by the increased focus on the integrity of the definition of the bottom of the strike zone, he just was unhittable last year when he was getting called strikes on sliders below the zone. And you could see hi frustration this year when he wasn't getting those calls. A big point for Toronto is that their catcher is Russ Martin, who is absolutely the best at framing that pitch. But this in turn argues that the Pirates shouldn't have had to pay this price to the Jays.

 
CraigB
(74009)
Comment rating: 1

<span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=102432">Austin Meadows</a></span> has been on fire since May 11th. Presumably, this corresponds to his regaining full use of his damaged eye. At the close of play May 11th, he was hitting .171/.250/.195. Since then, at Altoona, .357/.401/.746 with a 24 game hitting streak.

 
CraigB
(74009)
Comment rating: 0

Taillon in mid-June pushing Nicasio or Locke to the pen, Glasnow a little later replacing the other.

 
CraigB
(74009)
Comment rating: 0

I hope Keon makes it. He really seemed to be making progress at Altoona and Indy. And he just looks like he is having fun. <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=66018">Bryce Harper</a></span> and the Nats, take note.

 
CraigB
(74009)
Comment rating: 0

I really, really hope that Michalczewski makes it to the majors soon just so we can hear Hawk Harrelson try to pronounce his name. :)

Feb 03, 2016 11:07 AM on Next Year's Risers
 
CraigB
(74009)
Comment rating: 0

Also, shouldn't you be ranking <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/player_search.php?search_name=Josh+Bell">Josh Bell</a></span> as a 1B now? He'll probably make his debut there in early June unless <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=46195">John Jaso</a></span> succeeds beyond his family's wildest dreams.

 
CraigB
(74009)
Comment rating: 0

And as suggested in the article, last knee is opposite to where he wants the ball.

Dec 30, 2015 9:58 AM on Stealing Signs
 
CraigB
(74009)
Comment rating: 0

Looks to me like touching the chest protector is FB and not touching it is CB. Last knee touched is where he wants it, fingers probably give high or low, or maybe just decoys.

Dec 30, 2015 9:58 AM on Stealing Signs
 
CraigB
(74009)
Comment rating: 1

And what, pray tell, is RE24? I have looked all through the glossary to no avail.

 
CraigB
(74009)
Comment rating: 13

How about this - a three-tiered QO system. Offer the guy $21 million to get a first / second rounder (using the current protected picks demarcation), $14 million for a second / third, or $7 million for a third / fourth. Good relievers would get the $7 million offer (and most good teams would likely be OK with forfeiting a 3rd round pick for bullpen help), guys like Rasmus and Anderson would get the $14 million offer, and the true studs would get the top offer. There would be more compensation picks change hands, benefiting the teams that can't afford to keep players, but there would be fewer guys that had the albatross first rounder attached to them.

 
CraigB
(74009)
Comment rating: 4

Not quite. Professional sports differ from other professions in that the participating companies within the industry are selling the competition itself as a product. The rules that they create to regulate their operations need to have some way to ensure that every fan base has hope of seeing their team succeed. Allowing teams with higher revenue streams to just cherry pick FA's from other franchises without compensation is diametrically opposite to that hope. I have zero sympathy for <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=1490">Kyle Lohse</a></span> - he was an aging pitcher coming off a career year, and passed on the QO. He gambled and lost. People do that in Vegas every day. He has the right to make that gamble, and is entitled to no sympathy when it doesn't work out for him.

 
CraigB
(74009)
Comment rating: 0

Frazier. Very comparable to <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=59664">Brock Holt</a></span>, who also came through the Pirates' system. Utility guys who can grind <span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=AB" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('AB'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">AB</span></a>'s from the LH side can have long careers.

 
CraigB
(74009)
Comment rating: 0

Now I understand the <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=51910">Chris Coghlan</a></span> at 2B thing a little more.

 
CraigB
(74009)
Comment rating: 0

Hilarious to see Scherzer getting 2nd billing to <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/player_search.php?search_name=Jonathan+Sanchez">Jonathan Sanchez</a></span>. But the real lesson to be learned is how tough it is on both the men and the coaches to turn prospects into major league players.

 
CraigB
(74009)
Comment rating: 0

Meadows is pretty unlikely to stay in CF since Marte and Polanco are both better there than he is.

 
CraigB
(74009)
Comment rating: 3

You mean your scout friend wouldn't have liked Bo Gentry?

Aug 05, 2015 11:20 AM on Summer Showcase Scouting
 
CraigB
(74009)
Comment rating: 0

Stephen Brault, Altoona, 6 <span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=IP" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('IP'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">IP</span></a>, 2 <span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=H" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('H'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">H</span></a>, 0 R, 1 <span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=BB" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('BB'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">BB</span></a>, 9 K, 2/2, 2 <span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=RBI" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('RBI'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">RBI</span></a>. Now on a string of 3 starts, 17 IP, 19 K, 3 BB, 2 <span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=ER" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('ER'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">ER</span></a>.

 
CraigB
(74009)
Comment rating: 0

How about the middle IF duo of <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=100663">Max Moroff</a></span> and <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=101618">Adam Frazier</a></span> currently both hitting well over .300 with <span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=OBP" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('OBP'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">OBP</span></a>'s around .400?

Jul 23, 2015 7:34 PM on Double-A Risers
 
CraigB
(74009)
Comment rating: 1

I suspect it will be the Marlins, not the Dodgers, giving Reed a few starts.

Jul 17, 2015 1:23 PM on A Thin Reed
 
CraigB
(74009)
Comment rating: 0

The Bucs are 35-13 in their last 48 games. They are 21-8 (.724) against the tail-enders. That makes them 14-5 (.737) against the good teams they played. I don't see your point there.

 
CraigB
(74009)
Comment rating: 0

Weird. The Dodgers have been on top of these lists for a while, and last night's win runs their record against .500+ teams to 5-15. The Pirates go 2-0 on the road, extending their winning streak to 8 games, and drop two spots from Wednesday's list. They get passed by the Rays, who went 2-0, and the A's who went 1-1 and are currently 29-40. Math is a curious thing.

Jun 19, 2015 5:14 AM on June 19, 2015
 
CraigB
(74009)
Comment rating: 4

There is one possible issue for the individual hackers. If they stole scouting reports, and if those reports contained medical records which the Cardinals did not also legally have, then the hackers are in violation of the HIPPA act and that's a criminal offense under Federal law.

 
CraigB
(74009)
Comment rating: 0

Garcia has drastically cut his K rate this year, at the expense of over the fence power until the last week. But his average is way up because of the better contact rate. He may be worth a deeper analysis.

Jun 04, 2015 2:55 PM on Games of June 3, 2015
 
CraigB
(74009)
Comment rating: -1

Usually this move is simply ownership telling the GM, "You told us this was a roster that can win. Win or take a hike.". It has happened before, but I can't remember a specific instance.

May 18, 2015 11:40 AM on Marlins Do Odd Thing
 
CraigB
(74009)
Comment rating: 1

Keith Law loves boom or bust guys, most of the rest of the prospect evaluators expect to see at least some production on the field before assigning them (and their organizations) lofty rankings. But when an organization has had a poor system for years, it becomes necessary to go for the boom or bust guys to accelerate the rebuilding process. Probably 5% of BP's top 10's by organization will never even see the inside of a major league dugout. So when an organization has a lot of promising young guys in short season ball and Low-A, like the Braves do, it is really not prudent to expect more than a few of them to actually reach their ceiling.

 
CraigB
(74009)
Comment rating: 0

Mazara is in the Rangers' system, so he is going to be playing in a fine HR park, too. If you think he will hit 25 in a neutral environment, he'll probably at least be in the low 30's in Arlington.

 
CraigB
(74009)
Comment rating: 0

Glasnow's last 10 starts feature an ERA under 1, with 11+ K/9 and 3.4 BB/9. Why do you need two more?

 
CraigB
(74009)
Comment rating: 0

Ike Davis should see his platoonism spike dramatically now.

 
CraigB
(74009)
Comment rating: 0

Where have you gone, Rocktember and Rocktober?

 
CraigB
(74009)
Comment rating: 0

You should also take a look at Jameson Taillon's orbital delivery, where he shows the ball to the hitter as his arm goes all the way around his head, then whiffs him anyway.

Aug 23, 2013 8:12 AM on The RP-Funk All-Stars
 
CraigB
(74009)
Comment rating: 1

In order to be completely fair to Huntingdon, you need to factor in the contributions of the Yankees (Burnett) and Astros (Rodriguez) to the salaries of the acquired players. But his evaluation is still going to be bad because of the early trades of Bautista and Bay.

 
CraigB
(74009)
Comment rating: 1

Why aren't the AHLF standings calculated as (current wins) + AHLF * (games remaining)? This seems more realistic than simply assuming that sufficient regression to AHLF will occur to make a team's final win total equal 162 * AHLF.

Jul 06, 2013 4:46 AM on Adjusted Standings 2012
 
CraigB
(74009)
Comment rating: 1

When a team is tied for the 2nd best record in all of baseball and has a composite record of 13-5 against teams that are either leading their divisions or ahead tied with them in the overall standings, you'd think that a believable ranking methodology would have them higher than 14th. Just sayin' that

May 30, 2013 11:24 AM on Thursday, May 30
 
CraigB
(74009)
Comment rating: 0

I'm not sure why you give so little love to the Cards. And I'm a Pirates' fan.

May 13, 2013 8:09 AM on Monday, May 13
 
CraigB
(74009)
Comment rating: 0

You 'd think that 7 innings of one-hit ball would earn a mention in this column. Oh yeah, he recorded career K#2000 too.