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I think someone forgot to update Odor's paragraph after bumping him from 4 to 6!
I kept waiting for his name to pop up as I read through this. For me he's always been the gold-standard of Rule 5 draftees. I've always felt that every year the Rule 5 was just a search for the next Victorino
I was surprised to see <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=68557">Kevin Gausman</a></span> in the two star tier. Do you think he has the chance to jump up into the three star tier by the end of the year? What's holding him back?
Great article, now I want a team to try this in June just to see what happens.
Would be interesting to see what guys like this could look like in 4 years. Maybe take a look at the 2012 draft (I think this is when the bonus pool restriction became a thing) and see where those guys who slid and went to college are now.
In the case that a pitcher is more likely to go back to a zone he wasn't successful in, wouldn't it make sense that it's just him sticking to the scouting report? If the scouts say the hitter is vulnerable low and away, and the pitcher just happens to miss or catch too much of the plate, he would still want to attack that zone rather than target an area where the batter might be better at getting to pitchers. Process over outcome, right?
Looks like those two passed ball GIFs are exactly the same
Although I guess if they were intentionally walking the runner it wouldn't matter because they wouldn't have to worry about the batter putting the ball in play, duh.
Wouldn't putting the third baseman behind the catcher allow to the runner to get an enormous lead and just steal home? I assume that the SS would have to hold him on third to prevent this, and if that's the case, that creates a huge hole on the left side.
I get that he's not a "super" shortstop prospect, but I think <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=70635">Corey Seager</a></span> at least deserves to be mentioned at some point. May not be as sexy as some of these options, but definitely seems like he could hang with these guys in the Majors some day
I think Hayward would be more of a "bounce back" candidate than a "breakout". He already broke out years ago
Great stuff as always. The first thing I thought of when reading the intro was HPB being controlled more by the batter, after watching <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=16632">Chase Utley</a></span> get hit a ridiculous number of times year after year. Didn't think it would be by that big of a gap though.
Also probably helps that they have Cardinals' Devil Magic on their side
I may be missing something, but why is Prince Fielder ranked as Average? Looking at the charts, it seems as though someone like Napoli would produce way more, but is ranked down in Poor.
Napoli's looks similar to Moss' but Moss will help more in HRs so I can see why Napoli would be in the lower class. In he case of Fielder though, not sure why he's there.
Here goes Puig, single handedly ruining the Dodgers again
As a Phillies fan I didn't like the signing either, but I do see some hope in Byrd's splits. He's always been able to hit lefties, so if this is the year that Amaro finally decides to platoon Ruf and Howard, could this be a signing to just replace Ruf's RH bat in the outfield?