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jemw06
15 comments | 6 total rating | 0.40 average rating
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Baseball Prospectus http://bbp.cx/i/67156
jemw06
(67156)
Comment rating: 0

Dickerson stuck with lesser talent in tier 3, several players he should go before in fantasy drafts in tier 2. The kid can hit for average and power, and he has shown that at every stop. Great get for any fantosquad this season.

Mar 13, 2015 9:42 AM on Top 30 Outfielders
 
jemw06
(67156)
Comment rating: 0

Wow, very quick response, thanks Nick. I know that he fell off towards the end of the season. I also agree that his ability to make adjustments will have a lot to do with his ultimate production. I think that his ceiling is quite a bit higher than Yoenis Cespedes', who had a HR/FB distance last year of a measly 276 feet. I don't see him as being a high average hitter necessarily, but a 5 grade hit tool suggests that he'll hit .270-.275 in his prime. It seems reasonable given his hard contact that he could maintain a high BABIP and hit for better average than that. His approach has improved each year, he's cut down on his K% and raised his BB% while moving to more difficult levels of the MiLB. He seems to have an ability to adjust. I appreciate your response, it's good to manage expectations, and I'll try, but he's a player I'm very excited about!

 
jemw06
(67156)
Comment rating: 0

Soler continues to get little love from the scouting world, this top 10 list is no different. 5 grade for the hit tool? Must be an old scouting report. Kind of disappointing that his epic ascent through the minors and into the majors, wrecking at every stop, didn't convince more of the haters. Some scouts view him as being a better hitter than Yasiel Puig, certainly plenty of risk there, but I think the upside you described is quite a bit lower than what his actual ceiling could be. No problem with him being 3rd, Bryant could be a beast and Russell is very exciting, but I think Soler could be a better contributor with the bat than either of them, and the numbers don't really disagree.

 
jemw06
(67156)
Comment rating: 0

Best of luck and congratulations! Trade Soler to the Red Sox?

Aug 28, 2014 11:31 AM on Pain Don't Hurt
 
jemw06
(67156)
Comment rating: 0

Jorge Soler is killing the dreams of pitchers all over AA and AAA this season...hard to imagine the Cubs keeping him down unless its a service time issue, and they're really not a club that should be concerned with such things given their market.

Jul 29, 2014 7:07 AM on 15th Edition
 
jemw06
(67156)
Comment rating: 0

I'm sure that I'm jumping the gun, but a now healthy Jorge Soler is a very interesting candidate for a late season call-up if he continues to rake. Lot's of ifs, but he's exciting.

Jul 09, 2014 6:54 AM on 13th Edition
 
jemw06
(67156)
Comment rating: 6

I'm assuming, which is a dangerous endeavor I know, that the lack of mention of the Red Sox in this article was simply because we need no explanation of how the trade went for them. They offloaded big contracts, made very good low cost veteran signings in the off-season and won the world series. That's been written about hundreds of times already. At this point, it actually looks like both teams could come out ahead in this deal. That trade supplemented, as well as the addition of HanRam made the Dodgers contenders. New ownership, willingness to pay for talent, and the arrival of Puig have turned that franchise around. The Red Sox, have since won the World Series, both teams have seen substantially positive changes in their fates since that trade. Well done both sides?

 
jemw06
(67156)
Comment rating: 0

Anyone interested in Krush Davis? The kid's older than your traditional prospect call-up, but he's always hit for power and he's playing in Miller Park. I doubt he produces a 28.9% HR/FB rate again, but if he lives above 20% he could hit 25-30 HRs and as a 4th OF he's mostly upside. That's a great call, really enjoyed reading this, thanks!

 
jemw06
(67156)
Comment rating: 0

Ryan, this was awesome to read, lots of good information on the baseball swing, looking forward to the Crush Davis look, thanks!

Mar 12, 2014 2:24 PM on The Science of Swinging
 
jemw06
(67156)
Comment rating: 0

Jose Fernandez is projected to be a top 5 K/9 among starting pitchers this season, he'll have no innings cap, yet he's tier 2 for K's according to your tiered rankings - with the exception of wins, get out your red pen and just make him dark red everywhere else. He mowed down 187 last season and got stronger as the season went on. He's going to strike out fewer batters than Waino? If he gets the innings, he'll punch out 200+, and there's nothing in his peripherals, his SwStr%, his contact rates, his secondary offerings or his velo that suggests he won't.

Feb 28, 2014 7:51 AM on Starting Pitchers
 
jemw06
(67156)
Comment rating: 0

I'm not suggesting that Middlebrooks is a good comp for Myers, more suggesting that Middlebrooks is an example of a guy who had a nice half a season in his first taste of the majors and then struggled mightily in his first full-season. I think Myers is the better player, and the minor league numbers agree, I won't argue that. Now the counter argument. Myers represented a .362 BABIP to go along with his .293 AVG last season in 335 PAs. He was hot in September, but that was buoyed by a .382 BABIP. If we're saying that a high BABIP is not something to rely on when projecting future performance then Myers numbers absolutely suggest more regression than Cespedes' numbers do. He may have been tired buddaley, but that's a convenient argument for poor performance in my mind. He looked terrible, was waiving at pitches, not even fouling them off. There will be an adjustment period, Cespedes has already had his, he'll bounce back. I think Myers gets worse before he gets better. He had a .143 OBP in the postseason to go along with a 35% K-rate. The longterm nod may go to Myers, but the article reads like we're talking this season, in which case, Cespedes is the guy in my mind. We'll know by September either way.

 
jemw06
(67156)
Comment rating: 0

Without writing an extraordinarily long response, I think you're flat out wrong. Myers could fall flat on his face like Middlebrooks did, high K% and low BB%. He looked like a child in the playoffs, waiving at pitches all over the place, he was about as easy an out as you can get. Pitchers have had the chance to look at tape, they'll adjust and I wouldn't be at all surprised if the kid hit .240 for the first half. Cespedes problems seemed to come from trying to hit HRs every time he got to the plate, if you notice, his splits towards the end of the season leading into the playoffs were much better. He's got quick hands, awesome raw power and superior athleticism. For this season, I'll take Cespedes every time.

 
jemw06
(67156)
Comment rating: 0

So Josh Donaldson won't be starting at 3B according to your projected batting order? Think you may have doubled up on Lowrie.

 
jemw06
(67156)
Comment rating: 0

Drew was offered a two year deal by the Sox today, to be a utility INF - bhalpern, why wouldn't they be considering taking advantage of a platoon that could give them a better chance to score runs? Xander's defense is not as good as Drew's at SS currently, and probably won't be, but he is adequate at SS and his bat has a great deal more upside, not to mention that the OBP will play right out of the gate. The Sox still like Middlebrooks, the power is real, if he can mitigate the swing and miss he could be a nice player. Ben Carsley, I think you're right, more RHP, simple and true expectation that he'd get more time at 3B in a platoon situation with Brooksy and Drew.

Feb 04, 2014 12:27 PM on Shortstops
 
jemw06
(67156)
Comment rating: 0

Per Xander Bogaerts - he's easily the best offensive player on the left-side of Boston's INF. Why would he lose at-bats if Drew were to sign with Boston? He's adequate defensively at both positions and he's better offensively than either his Lord K-ness or Stephy (Stef-ee) Drew. Seems like Boston would platoon Brooksy against LHP and Drew against RHP - Xander didn't have any platoon splits in the minors, so he can play when either Tweedle Dee or Tweedle Dum have to sit down for overall offensive sucktitude versus like-handed pitching.

Feb 03, 2014 9:15 AM on Shortstops