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jfranco77
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jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Also, is the <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=68564">Jon Gray</a></span> omission intentional?

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Strasburg is terrifying. If he's your 1, how high up the 4* tier does your 2 need to be for you to feel comfortable?

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

I was at that game. What a way to end it!

Feb 23, 2017 11:34 AM on Not to Be GliBB
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

Thoughts on the Rays' plan to move <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/player_search.php?search_name=Brad+Miller">Brad Miller</a></span> to 2B? If they had a competent 1B (sorry LoMo) it might help their offense, but at what cost to their defense?

Feb 23, 2017 9:09 AM on A Single Ray of Hope
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Puig, Pederson, Ethier, Toles, Gutierrez. Which one of these guys plays CF vs. lefties? I don't think they want Guti in center, so does Joc get a shot at everyday playing time?

Feb 22, 2017 8:40 AM on The Old Blue and Gold
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 2

The one (relative) constant through all the years, Ray, has been expected winning percentage. America has rolled by like an army of steamrollers. It's been erased like a blackboard, rebuilt, and erased again. But expected winning percentage has marked the time.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 3

You haven't met him yet, you haven't had the chance Cause he's been kicking ass as the ambassador to France

Feb 17, 2017 8:27 AM on Miami Rollercoaster
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

Let's say you started with Bret's draft picks from mixed LABR. Round 1/2 is Miggy/Seager, Round 3 is Cueto, instead of Hamilton in round 4 you take ... let's say <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/player_search.php?search_name=Gary+Sanchez">Gary Sanchez</a></span>, and then Hanley on the way back. Closers seem to be the problem, but if you spent some time on it, I bet you could try to build around 5 consecutive rounds of Eaton/Benintendi/Buxton/Inciarte/Kiermayer or something like that.

Feb 16, 2017 8:40 AM on Outfielders, Part II
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

This is such a fun article, and I'm sure it was painful to write, but it is appreciated.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Cueto and Hamels aren't big K/9 guys, though they do make up for that a bit in volume. I worry that most of your back-end SPs are lower K guys, and Chapman can only strike out so many. I really like your balance on offense.

Feb 14, 2017 1:27 PM on 2017 LABR Mixed
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

I'm interested in guys like Ethier, Kim, <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=48892">Seth Smith</a></span>, and Dietrich who kill righties and don't play against lefties. Those 450 good PAs, undiluted by crappy vL ABs, can be really useful in deep leagues.

Feb 14, 2017 11:30 AM on Outfielders
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

I really, really wish that <a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/author/sam_miller">Sam Miller</a> had been writing for BP when a pitcher got 9 balks called against him in a spring training game.

Feb 13, 2017 11:30 AM on The Year of the Balk
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 3

I thought this was one of the most enjoyable lists to read. Both informative and funny. Overall, I enjoyed the series this year. I'll give you 2 more irrelevants for our friend <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=108055">Alex Kirilloff</a></span>. He was home schooled, but played baseball at Plum HS anyway. Also, Plum is a suburb of Pittsburgh. So is Cranberry. But they are nowhere near each other. Figure that one out.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

The Indians did use <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=1583">Jason Giambi</a></span> very well in that bench/leadership role for a while.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 7

If there was no chance of this filtering up to the high minors, or even the majors (heaven forfend), would this be a terrible idea? Do you really want your 18 year old complex league players playing a 19 inning game? Don't most of those games just end in a tie when the managers agree to end the game anyway?

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Will <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/player_search.php?search_name=Ned+Yost">Ned Yost</a></span> still be around in 2019? I know he's got the ring but after a couple of likely down seasons, is he going to be the scapegoat?

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

Bret - do you think Ramirez steals a lot less than his 2016 total of 22 bases? Or that 22 is a non-impactful total? I'd buy either argument. I really like Ramirez, but 3B is deep and Ramirez' numbers might not be fundamentally different than <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=59112">Ender Inciarte</a></span>, who's going like 80 picks later.

Feb 03, 2017 9:35 AM on Third Base
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 8

This is both a well-crafted answer and also a good question. I suppose the answer for a lot of people would be "actually go through the legal system, be found guilty, do the time, come back and be contrite about it." But, of course, the legal system has a really tough time dealing with these kinds of issues. Sometimes the victim doesn't press charges or isn't cooperative enough, or the police just can't find enough evidence. Sometimes the accused just really didn't do anything. Because of this, once a player is accused, the "stink" will always follow them around, even though no legal action was taken. To some fans, seeing a player accused is enough to turn them off. No one can tell you someone else how to think, so no one can say that's unfair. There might actually be perverse incentives where it's better for the player to suffer some legal action and "serve their time" than just have something hanging over their head forever. Of course, the reverse is also true. Some fans would never stop seeing that "stink" but others would forgive a player if no charges were pressed. There just aren't any easy answers.

Feb 03, 2017 8:05 AM on Here We Are Again
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Some of these are missing where they were drafted/signed out of. I know that's something most people don't care about, but I like learning things like <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=108966">Matt Manning</a></span> and <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=105420">Derek Hill</a></span> going to different schools in the same district in CA.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

I see <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=100736">Matt Duffy</a></span> under the 3-year rankings, but not here. So is he also a zero star?

Feb 01, 2017 3:15 PM on Third Base
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

He's only 24. Last year was his first year after 2 years off. I vaguely remember him being rumored as a serious trade chip in discussions for superstar players last year. I would think he has a lot of value. (I immediately thought of <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=103893">Brent Honeywell</a></span> as the minor leaguer in question)

Feb 01, 2017 12:20 PM on Wants and Needs
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

Has there ever been a greater disparity in pitch framing abilities between starter and backup than what the Giants just created?

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

Man, rough day for <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/player_search.php?search_name=Jose+Ramirez">Jose Ramirez</a></span>. Goes from being a good fantasy player in one article to ranking behind <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=107172">Triston McKenzie</a></span> on the U25 list. Is Ramirez' glove that bad at 3B? Steamer has him at 287/345/421 which is maybe a bit optimistic if you don't buy 2016, but even 275/330/410 with a good glove seems better than a guy who's likely a 50 starter and finished at Low-A.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

I'm trying to look at the Mets' top 10 and figure out if the Rumble Ponies will have a better rotation than the Padres.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Most AL teams seem settled at 2B, for better (Altuve) or worse (Castro). That leaves the A's and the Royals as interesting places to scrounge for leftovers. It also leaves the Rays as an interesting place to scrounge, I guess. <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=59421">Nick Franklin</a></span> and <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=58058">Tim Beckham</a></span>, anyone?

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

OK, I thought maybe my eye test had failed me, because I watched Collins "play" CF a couple times last year and he did not look good. DRS has him at -4 runs in 207 innings last year. That's not good. UZR isn't quite as bad, giving him -11.4 for UZR/150. Oh, and Fangraphs lists him at 5-foot-11, 205 pounds, which is great if you're <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=17826">Kirby Puckett</a></span>, but otherwise less ideal for a CF.

Jan 26, 2017 12:16 PM on Need You To Need Me
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

<span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=45522">Zach Duke</a></span>, Cuban by choice, not by birth ;)

Jan 26, 2017 12:10 PM on Whack-A-Mole Artists
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

I think Hansen is probably the most likely player to inherit playing time as a result of <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=102282">Jung-Ho Kang</a></span>'s multiple "not a great dude" infractions, should anything come of them.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

It seems that if the toxicology reports come back clean, the Royals pay and are reimbursed by their insurance. If he was drinking, he gets nothing and the Royals pay nothing. So I think either way the Royals get clear of his salary. :(

Jan 24, 2017 10:45 AM on Best of the Rest
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

I have to wonder if the Royals have enough cash to grab Hammel, given their unfortunate need for another SP on short notice.

Jan 24, 2017 9:06 AM on Best of the Rest
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

How much of that $5.3 mil will the Brewers save by NOT letting <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=70620">Corey Knebel</a></span> accumulate saves?

Jan 24, 2017 8:15 AM on Reliever Roundup
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

If not, I mean, Sonoma isn't that far away...

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 3

I agree. That was totally bogus!

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

So, the Cardinals theoretically need to find places for <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=34706">Aledmys Diaz</a></span>, <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=40963">Jhonny Peralta</a></span>, <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/player_search.php?search_name=Matt+Carpenter">Matt Carpenter</a></span>, <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=70262">Kolten Wong</a></span>, <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=66729">Jedd Gyorko</a></span>, and Adams. I think Adams is a pretty big risk to find himself on the bench (in favor of Carpenter, I suppose).

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

I don't think 8 players getting in will be a constant problem. Removing the restriction of 10 would really only help to clear out the logjam of deserving (or not, depending on your POV) players that we have RIGHT now. I don't think 20 years from now, you're going to see someone voting for <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/player_search.php?search_name=Matt+Carpenter">Matt Carpenter</a></span> (sorry, Matt) just because they have an unlimited number of votes.

Jan 18, 2017 7:25 AM on Cooperstown Changes
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

What are the odds he keeps the adjusted swing in 2017? He seems like he's always tinkering.

Jan 17, 2017 3:15 PM on Hanley Ramirez
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 4

In Spanish, "tuna" is a type of fruit. In English most people call it a prickly pear, and comes from a cactus. Hence the cactus logo. (The spanish word for tuna, like the fish, is atun. Naturally)

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Ramos, Lucroy and Beef are all in the AL now, and Schwarber lost his eligibility. Man the NL is bleak. Maybe <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=57712">Matt Wieters</a></span> will sign with an NL team and save us from the darkness.

Jan 13, 2017 12:33 PM on National League Catchers
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Contreras had an "extreme" ground ball rate at 54%. <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/player_search.php?search_name=Gary+Sanchez">Gary Sanchez</a></span>' was 49%. I guess that's more "Van Halen with Gary Cherone" than extreme, but possibly noteworthy.

Jan 12, 2017 3:21 PM on The Top 50 Catchers
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 2

<span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=57712">Matt Wieters</a></span> can even win contests he doesn't compete in.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

Interesting that Hurdle is on the "bad" list, given that the Pirates have been trying to follow the Golden State Warriors model of giving their players more rest.

Jan 11, 2017 9:18 AM on Grinding On Grounders
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 2

The Rays used Karns as a 4 or 5 inning starter, shielding him from the 3rd time through the order. The Mariners weren't as willing to do that and it went badly. I don't know if the Royals would do something so unconventional, but they might have the bullpen depth to try.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

Love these. But isn't Susac the starter in MIL? I think I'd be jumping for joy to get him that late. Is <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=69158">Jett Bandy</a></span> going to be getting more PT than Susac? Oh god, it's January 10th and I'm worrying about the Brewers catchers. Hurry back, baseball!

Jan 10, 2017 7:42 AM on Catchers
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Hard to say without context, but I assume those prices are for a fairly deep league. It all depends if you start 1 catcher or two. Given my choice, I'd keep all 3 of the guys you listed and toss back Giancarlo, but if that's not an option, I like Lucroy most of all, and give Braun a very slight edge over Cano, since 2B is deep and you already have one.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Schwarber is not going to be C-eligible in a lot of leagues. So the question is, do you draft him relatively early thinking he'll get it by mid-May? Or is it maybe going to be July or never that he gets 5 games behind the plate?

Jan 09, 2017 8:12 AM on Catchers
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 3

So the real market inefficiency is finding relievers who can warm up fast?

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

<span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=59432">Mike Trout</a></span> batted 2nd in 33 games, and 3rd in 124 more. In the games he batted 2nd, he hit a ridiculous 360/500/614 ... OK that's only "good" for Mike Trout, not ridiculous. He scored 27 runs but only drove in 19. Despite hitting .360 with 6 HRs, he only drove in 13 teammates in 33 games. <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=68520">Kris Bryant</a></span> batted 2nd in 83 games, and 3rd in 62 more. Batting 2nd: 83 games, 305/401/551, 19 <span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=HR" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('HR'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">HR</span></a>, 45 <span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=RBI" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('RBI'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">RBI</span></a> Batting 3rd: 62 games, 276/364/565, 18 HR, 50 RBI If teams are going to continue to hit their best hitters 2nd, we might see those players take a hit on their RBI totals.

Dec 20, 2016 10:22 AM on The Landscape: Runs/RBI
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Before you get too excited about the Mets, remember they're returning the dynamic duo of Cabrera/Walker at <span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=MI" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('MI'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">MI</span></a>, still have Jose <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/player_search.php?search_name=David+Flores">David Flores</a></span> at 3B, and still don't really have a centerfielder.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 3

And your watch also has a calendar, which you can use to verify that yes, it really has been 3 years since the Rockies gave <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=47921">Boone Logan</a></span> (aka <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=47296">Mike Dunn</a></span> 1.0) a 3-year, $16.5 contract, which netted them 106 innings of 101 <span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=ERA" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('ERA'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">ERA</span></a>+. Which means... something

Dec 16, 2016 9:06 AM on Colorado Chronometer
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

I think you might find some unexpected places to spend on M&A. I didn't think all MLB teams "owned" their minor league teams in the way that the Braves do. There's also local TV companies that can be acquired, stadium parking lots that can be pretty profitable, and other creative things to buy. If you own your TV station, maybe the money they "pay" for the broadcast isn't counted towards your revenue in quite the same way, for revenue-sharing purposes.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: -1

I know it's just because <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=16969">Jerry DiPoto</a></span> trades with *everyone* but I think it's interesting in an abstract way that he's traded a lot with a lot of teams that also have terrible pitching prospects (LAA, AZ, BAL, MIA)

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

I just assumed you meant that nobody was giving 80s :)

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

So what is it that <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=70306">Sonny Gray</a></span> does that allows him to outpitch his <span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=FIP" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('FIP'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">FIP</span></a>? And, more importantly, can <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=104805">Grant Holmes</a></span> do that too? They seem like they might be similar.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Was that a bunt to break up the first no hitter ever by a woman? In the 8th inning? Fictional twitter is now a smoking hole in the ground.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Strange that the market for <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/player_search.php?search_name=Jose+Bautista">Jose Bautista</a></span> is cratering, the Yankees have already filled their DH spot, the Jays have signed a bunch of 1B/DH types, and the Indians were thinking about going after <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=31564">Edwin Encarnacion</a></span> but are now close on Napoli. What's going to happen to Joey Bats? Does this help push EE to the Red Sox to live out his days as a perfect Papi replacement?

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: -1

Ya know, ultimately they figured out where <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=28343">Babe Ruth</a></span> belonged, but it took a very long time, and then they traded him when they did. Maybe there's just something deep in the Boston psyche that makes them keep chasing these guys.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

I think some teams would consider using it for a right-handed hitter. Look at a team like the Mariners who are maybe going to try to platoon Vogelbach and Valencia, <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=48892">Seth Smith</a></span> and Haniger, and Gamel and someone else (<span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=99880">Richie Shaffer</a></span>?). Start trying to platoon at 3 or 4 spots and you run out of hitter spots pretty quickly.

Dec 02, 2016 9:26 AM on The 26th Man
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Man, the Hamilton references are non-stop. We're all helpless!

Dec 01, 2016 8:40 AM on Cespedes Fallout
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

Sanchez is a righty... there are a lot more whiffs low and away than low and in. Minor quibble, I know... but if anything scares Yankee fans about Sanchez, it's a 68% whiff rate on that far bottom right corner.

Nov 29, 2016 11:03 AM on The Gary Sanchez Era
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: -1

Three thoughts 1. I really like "The Big Question" and the other article intros so far. 2. I knew what that <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/player_search.php?search_name=Luis+Castillo">Luis Castillo</a></span> link was going to be. This poor prospect isn't even the one who did it, and he has to live that down forever. 3. That Luis Castillo write-up sounds more like Nate Eovaldi to me, but I guess you say Kelly and I say Eovaldi, let's call the whole thing off.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

You know, if Hank and Hal could come up with the rights to Hamilton, they might be onto something.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 2

Do you think the reduction in extra bases taken is related to outfield positioning? I'm not sure how, but if managers are getting their outfielders in better position for everything else, maybe they're also in position to cut down extra bases?

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

I love these articles. And of course <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=23349">Tom Herr</a></span>'s 2-RBI sac fly is a record... nobody ever drove in 3, did they? Apparently Tommy Herr is tied with <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=30219">Johnny Vander Meer</a></span> having the most unbreakable record in sports!

Nov 08, 2016 11:02 AM on The Fun Facts of 1984
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

Seconded. This was amazing.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 4

I bring in a starter in a high leverage situation and everyone hates me. If only I had Kershaw instead of Ubaldo!

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 2

If not for the Kershaw stealing the limelight, the headlines might be about <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=18675">Dusty Baker</a></span> pulling a pitcher too quickly. #ycpb

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 2

I don't care if it was a corporate gimmick. What in our lives isn't a corporate gimmick these days? I thought it was cool and I'm sad to see it go.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

If the Reds didn't play in the Great American SmallPark, a team of light-hitting, speedy Swiss Army knives (see also <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/player_search.php?search_name=Jose+Peraza">Jose Peraza</a></span>, <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=69012">Dilson Herrera</a></span>) might make more sense. Can they move the fences back 100 feet?

Oct 10, 2016 5:48 AM on Prospect-Dom and Blips
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

So I was thinking about the D-Backs. Root for franchise icon <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/player_search.php?search_name=Randy+Johnson">Randy Johnson</a></span>? Nope - working as a photographer and not associated with a team. <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=323">Curt Schilling</a></span>? Disgraced former businessman. <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/player_search.php?search_name=Matt+Williams">Matt Williams</a></span>? Recently fired former manager. <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=285">Jay Bell</a></span>? Just fired by the Reds of all teams. <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/player_search.php?search_name=Luis+Gonzalez">Luis Gonzalez</a></span>? Apparently not associated with a team right now. <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=300">Mark Grace</a></span>? Ditto, but I guess if you enjoyed him as a D-Backs broadcaster, you could root for the Cubs in his honor? I'd say they could root for the Nats to wish <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=56753">Max Scherzer</a></span> well, but the Nats are the team that fired Matt Williams. On the other hand, he deserved it. Man, it's tough to be a D-Backs fan.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
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But technically the 1B can stand anywhere he wants... he just has to do so wearing a mitt. At least that's how I read it.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
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Are we sure? Bumgarner is a pretty good hitter. Who would the Giants use as a PH? <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=69580">Kelby Tomlinson</a></span>? <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=31340">Gregor Blanco</a></span>?

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Really enjoying these recaps.

Oct 03, 2016 6:14 AM on The Interim
 
jfranco77
(64578)
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Hey, I drafted <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=60626">Shelby Miller</a></span> and traded for <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=42750">James Shields</a></span> in my NL only league too! Which is how you end up with a bottom half pitching staff despite having <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=49786">Clayton Kershaw</a></span>.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
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No, he doesn't, because his position makes him a public figure. Generic McDonalds Employee #34452 has the right to take off his polo shirt. Ronald McDonald does not. (Nor does the CEO of McDonalds, ol whathisname who everyone knows so well)

 
jfranco77
(64578)
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The hero of the Nats' clinching win wasn't <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=70485">Joe Ross</a></span>, but <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=101728">Reynaldo Lopez</a></span>, who threw 5.1 scoreless innings in relief of Ross on Saturday night

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 3

If you run your "baseball prospectus 2011" sim one million times, do any of them end up with Sarge in Houston, the Professor in Chicago and Sam at ESPN? #RIPSam

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 2

I, for one, really want to see a 6-foot-8 Canadian named <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=103838">Brock Dykxhoorn</a></span> succeed.

Sep 23, 2016 8:06 AM on September 22, 2016
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Imagine if you won your league because of an astute <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=45396">Billy Butler</a></span> pickup. You could go around saying "the Butler did it" forever. Think of the bragging rights!

Sep 21, 2016 9:01 AM on Week 25
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 2

Also, can we talk about the complete disappointment that is <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=46496">Josh Outman</a></span>?

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Cervelli has zero home runs. ZERO. In 91 games. Though he has somehow stolen 5 bases. And your well-reasoned argument is that I should at least consider keeping him for $3 in my 15-team, 2 catcher mixed league. Catchers, man.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

C'mon... no JJ Hoover? He SUCKS!

 
jfranco77
(64578)
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What kind of data do we have on college players? Would it be interesting to see a similar study on them? Let's say college players have seen an increase in pitchers over... I don't know, 94 MPH... that is a similar order of magnitude for major leaguers and 100 MPH?

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 5

Bumgarner seems very low to me. Already a postseason legend, and well built for 10 years of compiling. What a fun exercise to do!

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 2

No one would surrender to the Dread Pirate Westley.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 2

I mean, probably not, but the subtitle for the article includes "<span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=60219">Brian Dozier</a></span> is channeling June 1998 <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=271">Sammy Sosa</a></span>" so it might not be just you.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 2

Ah, Monty Farriss. I had so many of his cards and yet I had completely forgotten he existed.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 2

Curveballs. Changeups. Palmballs. Slop. All the stuff that the 29-year old journeyman AAA pitchers have that the 22-year old fireballers at AA don't.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

I think it's likely the Phillies were trying to score some "good guy" points by allowing Chooch to go to a contender and chase a ring.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
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Also, raise your hand if you can name the Dodgers' shortstop who hit 22 bombs in 1930 without checking baseball-reference. Thanks, whatifsports!

Aug 23, 2016 9:56 AM on Homer Story
 
jfranco77
(64578)
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<span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/player_search.php?search_name=Chris+Young">Chris Young</a></span> is a pretty good defensive outfielder. It's pretty amazing that he's coming out for defense. The Red Sox are kind of scary good sometimes.

Aug 23, 2016 9:55 AM on Homer Story
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 2

Yup, I agree with this. Players can't really "tank" and try to lose. Maybe managers can tank a little, but not that much. GMs can and do tank all the time. If the players are just bad, it doesn't matter how hard they try. So in this case you're trying to push the "tank" burden back down the hierarchy, which is really hard to do.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

How many future MLBers would you guess are in a short-season series? My guess would have been 0 to 1. Looks like that's about right. Impressive work grinding out all those 20s.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
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And then they got swept by the Marlins this weekend.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
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"The one constant through all the years, Ray, has been baseball. America has rolled by like an army of steamrollers. It's been erased like a blackboard, rebuilt, and erased again. But baseball has marked the time. This field, this game, is a part of our past, Ray. It reminds us of all that once was good, and that could be again." Great article.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 2

Pour one out for KG, who always loved Gary Brown

 
jfranco77
(64578)
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Cool idea. You don't think the Twins would take a couple prospects to reunite with Liriano? Maybe Liriano/McGuire/Ramirez for <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=100292">Tyler Duffey</a></span>?

 
jfranco77
(64578)
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Consecutive games with a <span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=HR" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('HR'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">HR</span></a> - 8 Most grand slams in a season - 6 As someone who grew up with the Yankees of the 80s, these records are both very high up the list of memorable numbers for me.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

How many high leverage situations does that 13th pitcher really pitch? Why don't more teams have a Kieschnik or Owings or Ankiel? The guy doesn't need to be anything better than replacement level as a pitcher, and he needs to be able to hit just a little bit. You should be able to figure out by the 6th inning whether you need him to soak up innings in a blowout or come in as a PH.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 4

I swear I did not know <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/player_search.php?search_name=Francisco+Mejia">Francisco Mejia</a></span> had a 45-game hit streak. WOW!

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

If Searage couldn't fix Liriano, maybe reuniting with <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=45447">Russell Martin</a></span> will. Alternatively, getting out of the NL should help Liriano. He needs a new league where the hitters haven't realized he never throws strikes. He did a great job last year with a very low zone rate, but couldn't keep it up

 
jfranco77
(64578)
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Betances Osuna Watson Dyson Kintsler I think that's how I go

Aug 02, 2016 5:34 PM on Week 18
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 4

Reds: We have lots of infielders and not enough outfielders Mets: We have lots of outfielders and not enough infielders Together: A match made in heaven! Wait, what just happened? I can only assume the Mets will finally suck it up and let Conforto play 1B. But this being the Mets, you never really know.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

This is brilliant. Of course, unless MLB exists solely to provide things for Meg to write great articles about, they should probably NOT have 12 minuted delays on non-reviewable plays.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
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Well luckily he can depend on <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/player_search.php?search_name=Dave+Stewart">Dave Stewart</a></span>'s excellent decision making capabilities to get him into the best situation.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
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Don't forget the Yankees also have Severino in the minors for... reasons.

Jul 21, 2016 1:30 PM on Pitchers
 
jfranco77
(64578)
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Jameson Taillon Who Cannot Catch A Break (his name was legally changed) took a liner off the dome on Tuesday. He stayed in the game (probably not smart) but is now going through the concussion protocol. You might see Kuhl or Glasnow get his next start.

Jul 21, 2016 9:30 AM on 16th Edition, 2016
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

The Mets played Granderson in CF last night... it did not go well. In a perfect world maybe they call up the Yankees and offer one of their corners for one of the Yankees' CFs (Gardner or Ellsbury) but there are a lot of flaws in that plan.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

What about the opposite? Of course a lefty isn't throwing you off... dude is throwing with a different hand so you know he's not the same guy. Unless you're <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=1342">Manny Ramirez</a></span> and literally don't do anything except see ball hit ball. What about 2 different righties? Maybe Thornburg followed by Jeffress is more confusing?

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

What are the A's doing with <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=50147">Danny Valencia</a></span>? He's good! They should trade him or something, instead of sitting him.

Jul 19, 2016 8:06 AM on Week 16
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

Dammit I loved Better Off Ted and now I'm worried I'm weird like Craij.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

See Bill James' research into Drysdale vs. Papps. Consistency isn't always a virtue.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

It's hard to spend 200% of the average when the average keeps going up. To some extent, revenue sharing has helped some of the mid-market teams. (So has competent management). With the exception of the Rays and the A's, you see most of the MLB teams capable of running a $120m payroll if they're trying to win. And even those the Rays and A's aren't in the $15mil range like they were in the recent past. Which has 2 effects - math (it's hard to spend 200% of 140mil) and talent (even the Pirates, Rays, Twins and Brewers can afford to lock up their players if they want to.) Last year was a bit of an exception with Heyward, Price and Grienke, but owners and GMs have gotten a little smarter and no longer want to pay $200m for a 32-year old free agent who somehow didn't get locked up before free agency. Look at the Dodgers - to get to the $270m or whatever they're running these days, they had to pay $50m worth of players to sit on the DL.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Chip and a chair = A left arm that can throw 88 with a good change

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 2

That woman didn't just get a foul ball in her beer and garlic fries...it look like she tried to CATCH the ball with her beer and fries. Like, on purpose. WHY!?!?!

Jul 11, 2016 8:15 AM on And Then It Got Weird
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Chaos is *a* chemistry. Maybe calmness and everyone getting along isn't the ideal clubhouse arrangement. For me, I'd like to know if there's any benefit when a catcher and pitcher both speak the same language. Mostly because I'm curious. Also, do hitters really hit better if they come up as the first batter after they made a great catch in the field?

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

While the trade market doesn't have a lot of GOOD starting pitching, it does have a lot of mediocre starting pitching. Which is great for the Tigers, who need a lot of mediocre starting pitching.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 2

This is really interesting, and well done. A great idea. But the fundamental question is this: does your plan involve <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=59985">Hunter Cervenka</a></span>? If so, then I suspect it's not a great plan.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Maybe Park will turn it around for the Twins, but for now they have managed to get the wrong Japanese guy in the middle of the boom (Nishioka) and the wrong Korean guy too (Park).

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

I love this. I've got an old Al Toon that can surely handle LF.

Jun 29, 2016 12:33 PM on Dollhouses and Sandboxes
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

If you didn't say Robles was the best OF prospect in the minors, who would you say? Benintendi? Margot? Brinson? Dahl? Judge? Meadows? A lot of candidates but no clear front-runner that I can see.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Interesting that his heat map seems to bely the "if it's high, let it fly, if it's low, let it go" mantra. At least sort of.

Jun 28, 2016 7:09 AM on Steven Wright
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Is Urias still getting sent down after that @MIL spot?

Jun 27, 2016 6:37 AM on Week 13
 
jfranco77
(64578)
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I don't think this problem is unique to MLB. Loads of companies look for technical skills first (which can be learned) and ignore what might be "better" skills (which can't be). This is partly because technical skills are easier to identify, test for, search google for, etc. It's not necessarily an easy problem to solve.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

What is <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=58880">Dee Gordon</a></span>'s ownership rate like these days? Wondering if he'll get low enough to make this list before he returns. He's on the wire in my 12-team mixer but none of my other leagues. He's eligible to return 7/28 but might spend a few games rehabbing before coming back.

Jun 23, 2016 9:24 AM on 12th Edition, 2016
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Also, Story is hitting .800/.900/3.500 in Yankee Stadium (approximately)

Jun 22, 2016 2:00 PM on Duvall You Believe?
 
jfranco77
(64578)
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There's a widely known theory that hitters have a "Coors hangover" because breaking balls break differently on the road. After seeing relatively flat breaking balls for 10 days in Colorado, they can't hit the normal ones in LA or Milwaukee or San Diego. I should point out that Lemahieu might not be in the minors with a .250/.299/.355 line paired with gold glove defense, which he has.

Jun 21, 2016 5:14 AM on DJ LeMahieu
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Three HRs allowed in a game? Hey, I can do that too, said <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=68694">Jameson Taillon</a></span> last night! How quickly things change.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

I don't know how he's doing it either, but those 6 starts were @BAL, @OAK, TOR, @TOR, @BAL and vs DET. Sure, some of those offenses have been scuffling, but he's somehow done it against some (theoretically) good lineups.

Jun 13, 2016 11:05 AM on CC Sabathia
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

<span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=56957">Tony Watson</a></span> looks like bad HR/FB luck but his <span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=BB" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('BB'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">BB</span></a>% is up a lot, his velo is down 0.8 (which might be nothing) and his <span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=GB%25" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('GB%'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">GB%</span></a> is way down. His <span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=BABIP" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('BABIP'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">BABIP</span></a> is actually really good - he's only allowed 13 hits inside the field of play in his 24 innings - so things might get worse before they get better. Possible that throwing 155 games in the last 2 seasons wasn't good for his arm.

Jun 07, 2016 9:26 AM on Week 10
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: -1

I really and truly wish <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/player_search.php?search_name=Nick+Williams">Nick Williams</a></span>' line since May 16 was .299/.536/.507 ... but I suspect that's a typo.

Jun 06, 2016 11:49 AM on Games of June 3-5
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 5

Only a single season, but don't forget the immortal <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=29478">Sammy Strang</a></span>, who hit .094/.385/.094 in 80 PAs in 1908. 23 walks. 5 hits. 5 Ks.

Jun 02, 2016 6:44 AM on Walsh Revolution
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

From Wednesday's WYNTK... Mookie was over 20. http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=29376

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Thanks for the writeup. I know you can never have too many pitchers, but they locked up Strasburg, have Scherzer forever, have a nice young <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=70485">Joe Ross</a></span>, have some dude named Giolito, plus a resurgent Roark and a reasonable $12mil option for Gio next year. If ever there was a team who could at least break in a guy like Lopez through the bullpen...

May 31, 2016 10:31 AM on Games of May 27-30
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

What do we make of <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=101728">Reynaldo Lopez</a></span>? It seemed like he was backsliding a lot this year, but he's now at 56 Ks and 20 BBs in 47.2 innings, as a 22-year old at Double-A.

May 31, 2016 9:39 AM on Games of May 27-30
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

I've seen outfielders in the 19s and I think I've seen a 20 once or twice.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

I think this is somehow related to the rise and fall of amateur draft picks signed to "major league" deals right out of college (or even high school). I'm just not smart enough to figure out how.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

<span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=50102">Jeff Locke</a></span> @MIA, LAA ... probably falls into the "if you're not using him for those matchups, why do you have him?" bucket.

May 27, 2016 7:57 AM on Week Nine
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 2

No way Harper's bomb was 431 feet. 431 meters, maybe :)

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

That's what I was thinking too. Maybe DD thinks the opt-out is worth $10mil, and he thinks Price thinks it's worth $15mil.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 2

This is a great article. PNC Park is my "home" park now, and my daughter's too. I can't imagine anything ever replacing it. It's also unfathomable to me that they're already tearing down stadiums that were "new" when I was mostly grown up. I can't be that old, can I?

May 27, 2016 7:24 AM on Let Ballparks Get Old
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

I believe <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=102507">Carlos Asuaje</a></span> is a client of BP contributor and awesome guy <a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/author/josh_kusnick">Joshua Kusnick</a> .. if you need any more reason to root for him.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

I'm a little surprised about the 3-1 counts, but not at all surprised about the 3-0 counts. I would guess the "expanded" strike zone that umpires give pitchers on 3-0 counts would include all the area that good framers get/bad framers miss.

May 24, 2016 9:01 AM on Framing the At-Bat
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Why yes, Grandal *does* make me want to throw my computer into the sea. He is near the top of the batted ball/hard hit rate leaderboards, but the results... suck. I'm trying to keep the faith, but it's hard.

May 23, 2016 7:43 PM on Catchers
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Who have those sliders and curves been from? Maybe he's just mashing them because he's been seeing bad ones.

May 23, 2016 7:33 PM on Nick Castellanos
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

It won't work, but the way the Twins are cycling through outfielders, might we see Adam Brett Walker on the big club soon? Would be more entertaining than <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=56057">Darin Mastroianni</a></span>, anyway.

May 23, 2016 7:31 PM on Games of May 20-22
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

If it was me, I'd probably tell Jeanmar, "so long, and thanks for all the fish"

May 18, 2016 12:22 PM on Week Seven
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

Buchter (whose nickname should be "autocorrect") got a save last night with Rodney unavailable.

May 13, 2016 6:34 AM on Week Six
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Are the video links broken for anyone else? :(

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

This is great. I especially love the Braves guy (the still picture for the last slider). Stepping way in the bucket and pounding it into the ground. On a pitch right down the middle. So Kershaw but also so Braves. I also like the Padres guy where you can see the 4 on his jersey (I think it's Jay) ... flinching out of the way a bit on a fastball down the middle.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

That <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=59592">Tucker Barnhart</a></span> pickup looks pretty smart now that <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=56104">Devin Mesoraco</a></span>'s shoulder was consumed by the tire fire that is the Reds' major league team.

May 03, 2016 7:41 AM on Week Five
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

I really liked the Garth Brooks tie-in, though I might be in the minority there.

May 03, 2016 5:51 AM on Patrick Corbin
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

I really want to like <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=58533">Martin Perez</a></span>. I was amazed when he struck out the side in the first inning last night. Know how many Ks he finished with for his 6 innings of work? 3.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

Well, yeah, it's the Reds, so we can probably guess what happened :)

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Big ups for the Hamilton reference! As a suggestion, if you're going to talk about a game, please include the final score. I know Yo tied the Mets/Reds game at 3, but then what happened?

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

I was reading an article the other day about Groome and just how dumb the suspension was http://www.yardbarker.com/all_sports/articles/timing_of_jason_groomes_suspension_raises_questions/s1_8637_20780812

Apr 27, 2016 6:41 AM on Tiered Draft Rankings
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Wow. Somewhere in the scouting handbook, that shot is listed as the example of 90 power. Yes, 90.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

So Paulsen has mostly been playing outfield, allowing the Rockies to get him and Reynolds in the same lineup sometimes. Because, you know, defense is overrated. One other note - <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=58450">Jordy Mercer</a></span> is probably pretty safe at SS. I heard the Pirates broadcasters saying the other day that Hurdle is unlikely to play Kang at SS much this year because he'll still be recovering (or something like that).

Apr 26, 2016 6:50 AM on Week Four
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 3

Great write-up on Robles. Sounds very McCutchen-like in a lot of ways.

Apr 25, 2016 1:29 PM on April 25, 2016
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

So <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=45529">Gio Gonzalez</a></span> started on Friday.... but he could have pitched Thursday on short rest. He's better than Belisle. And Papelbon was in the bullpen and presumably available. So what does "in" really mean? If it means "actively pitching" than a tired Kershaw whose game is over doesn't factor into the discussion, does it? The possibilities are endless :)

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Not denying that Maeda's 8th pitch to Story was great, but given where pitches 4, 6 and 7 ended up, maybe his command wasn't as great as we thought?

Apr 25, 2016 8:52 AM on FernandoMaedaia?
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Well.... this is true, BUT... -start at 50 -add 1 point for each out (so you're already at 69) -add 1 point for each K (so you're already at 88) Yes, they'll lose points for hits and walks and runs, but starting from at least 88, it's hard to post a really bad score.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

A timely article, given that <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=58921">Tanner Roark</a></span> (of all people) went out and struck out 15 this weekend.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
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Why hasn't AZ just signed <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=45394">Michael Bourn</a></span> already? They've been kicking the tires for what seems like a month now. I guess they're still holding out hope for Owings.

Apr 21, 2016 11:49 AM on The Socratic Problem
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

Ok, I'll bite. Other than Franco, which current Phillie(s) would outhit JPC? Howard? Doobie?

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 2

Whoa... welcome to BP <a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/author/jessica_quiroli">Jessica Quiroli</a> ... I've enjoyed reading your work elsewhere!

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

“Instead of puns, we cured poverty and disease” So I can live 500 years but there's no puns? Not sure it's a good trade-off TBH.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

So, you gotta get them early because the first inning is when your optimized lineup starts at the top, and those are the only hitters who have a chance against him? Anybody can hit <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=58921">Tanner Roark</a></span> but only your top 3 can hit Kershaw. I think it's interesting that the curve for the "regular" pitchers slopes up more quickly in the 3rd inning, likely suggesting the regular pitchers are less efficient in innings 1-2 and are back to the top of the order in the 3rd inning. Whereas the aces are doing better and not facing the top of the order again until the 4th.

Apr 19, 2016 4:40 AM on Gotta Get 'em Early?
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Interesting note about Venditte and his troubles with switch hitters. Poor guy ... the Yankees have 3 regular switch hitters in their lineup (Teix, Beltran, Headley), even if calling Headley a "hitter" is a bit generous these days.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 2

So you would say, based on his declining velo scaring people away... that the price is right?

Apr 18, 2016 6:37 AM on David Price
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Segura looks like your breakout so far!

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 2

1966 Indians Game 1, beat WSA who finished 71-88 Games 2-4 and 7, beat BOS who finished 72-90 Games 5-6, beat NYY who finished 70-89 Games 8-9, beat KCA who finished 74-86

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Definitely intrigued by <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=50095">Blake Wood</a></span> - will keep him on my radar. Thoughts on <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=58857">Mike Montgomery</a></span> in the AL? I'm assuming the sharks have all scooped up Tony Zych and Monty isn't likely to be in the saves mix but he looks comfortable in the bullpen. His velo is up a lot with the move to the 'pen (90.9 last year, 93.4 this year)

Apr 14, 2016 9:14 AM on Week Two
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

This is a cool idea but it's really hard to judge without knowing the league parameters. (I'd imagine this is what makes the Bat Signal so fun* for you guys) Correa for Betts/Odor... don't really like it in a 10-teamer where the team getting Odor already has ... let's say Kipnis.. but love it in a 20-teamer) *not fun

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

Pretty amazed by some of the guys that were available considering the depth of the league. I think some teams have too many prospects. Jepsen was probably one of the top-10 most likely setup guys to get saves coming into the season. Koehler is going to have tons of starts against ATL/PHI and even the Mets' suddenly horrific offense. Oh and <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=56519">Nate Jones</a></span> are also guys that would have been good spec plays coming into the season. All 4 of these guys were owned in my 15-team league with 10-man reserves. I really like this idea and I'm glad you wrote it.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Really good article. Will you be doing the flip side too? (Ground ball guys with good infields and fly ball guys with bad outfields?)

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 4

I'm doing well, thanks ;)

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

I love this. Thank you for doing it, and thank you for the gratuitous Nikki and Paolo reference.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
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Let's always remember that day when the Phillies were ahead of the Cardinals.

Apr 11, 2016 8:11 AM on Friday, April 8
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 2

<span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=54103">Cory Luebke</a></span> looked surprisingly good out of the bullpen last night. Between Luebke, Melancon, Watson, Caminero and the possibly fixed <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=51190">Neftali Feliz</a></span>, the Pirates might be happy if they can consistently get 85 good pitches out of Nicasio.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 2

The 4th starter on the 2006 Marlins, who posted a 4.68 <span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=ERA" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('ERA'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">ERA</span></a> in 140 innings? <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=40375">Ricky Nolasco</a></span>.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Outstanding point.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

It's definitely interesting. Of course, once they take a guy in round 11 and a guy in round 12, there's nothing much to stop the Yankees from taking the next highest guy in round 13, even if they don't intend to sign him. It only takes a few teams deciding to block them.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

I like <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=67083">Robbie Ray</a></span> just fine, but for a guy who got immolated by <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=1490">Kyle Lohse</a></span> last year, you're pretty brave with the $1 pitchers!

Mar 29, 2016 9:05 AM on Follow Your Heart
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

We should have seen it coming. Forget Niese. Forget Vogelsong. This is the guy with a good fastball, a bad walk rate, and a need for more grounders. This is the <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=28669">Ray Searage</a></span> starter kit, borrowed directly from AJ Burnett.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Am I reading your table right that both Goldy and Cutch sold for less than your bid limit?

Mar 29, 2016 6:51 AM on Distributing Dollars
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

Yes, that would be awesome!!

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

I always enjoy these articles. I do think we're going to see a LOT of Quintana/Ventura/Corbin on the mixed versions.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

This is a good article. But no <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=45430">Aaron Hill</a></span>?

Mar 25, 2016 5:37 AM on Endgame Targets
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

It isn't really Jaso vs. Morse for the 1B job - I expect them to be in a fairly strict platoon if Jaso is healthy.

Mar 23, 2016 11:43 AM on National League Central
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Is Daulton Jefferies Gregg's kid? That would be a hell of a coincidence if he wasn't.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 2

For the Giants, I assume this means <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=31476">Matt Cain</a></span> is healthy enough/ready enough to start the season in the rotation? For as long as Cain and <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=638">Jake Peavy</a></span> are healthy, is <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=59332">Chris Heston</a></span> just going to be the long man in the bullpen?

Mar 22, 2016 6:51 AM on National League West
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 2

This is so great. There are 3 teams that never win less than 60 games. The Mets (OK), the Indians (OK), and the Mariners? Wait, what? Also, when the Mets win 123 games, it is almost as noteworthy that the horrendous Braves, in the same division as a 123-win juggernaught, win 77 games.

Mar 22, 2016 5:56 AM on Sim City 1000000
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 3

Agreed on the need for some <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=69188">Travis Shaw</a></span> love. Between 3B/OF he has a chance for some good playing time. Nothing noteworthy on the Yankees' 5th starter spot - the scintillating face-off between <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=1117">CC Sabathia</a></span> and <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=49832">Ivan Nova</a></span>?

Mar 21, 2016 10:12 AM on American League East
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 4

Good stuff. I like this kind of coverage.

Mar 21, 2016 8:14 AM on American League Central
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Doesn't <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=18675">Dusty Baker</a></span> also have a reputation for letting players run? This could be a fun season on the bases in DC* *And given their clubhouse, perhaps absolutely nowhere else

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

This is awesome. Perfect timing too... I'm at pick 262 in my NFBC draft and all the guys are blurring together. <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/player_search.php?search_name=Jose+Reyes">Jose Reyes</a></span> at 240, and <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=70406">Trevor Story</a></span> unranked. What are you projecting the Rockies to do at SS this year?

Mar 17, 2016 5:24 AM on The Top 300
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

If he wasn't like their 3rd best hitter, sure. But I think this gambit requires good bats from your farm team, and the Angels, well....

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

I like <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=59145">Marcell Ozuna</a></span> just fine, but is it fair to say that Bonds might be the 5th best hitter in this organization, after Stanton, Yelich, Gordon and Ozuna? And how far down that list is 54 year old <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=17864">Don Mattingly</a></span>?

Mar 16, 2016 1:27 PM on Miami Marlins
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Is it just me or does it seem like the Jays have been very tight-lipped about what's going on with Sanchez/Osuna/Storen?

Mar 16, 2016 9:00 AM on AL Post-Hype Sleepers
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

This didn't come out as cool as I hoped but I made a word cloud of all these words: http://worditout.com/word-cloud/1521661 Was hoping to see "utility" or "replacement" as giant words.

Mar 16, 2016 6:18 AM on Free Willie
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Vogelbach. Just needs a chance.

Mar 15, 2016 6:24 PM on American League Rookies
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 5

The Pirates, already having one of the most ridiculously athletic outfields in a generation (Cutch, Marte who is a better CF than Cutch playing LF, and Polanco who is no Luzinski himself) would have broken baseball if they had Trout too.

Mar 15, 2016 9:36 AM on Should Have Taken Trout
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 3

I would like the Rays to be in Seattle since they get the least sun. I'd also like the Reds to be in Colorado since Colorado means "colored red"

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

Kudos to you for getting through 75 of these. Though I have to say, I think I'd take Rivera over <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/player_search.php?search_name=Jim+Johnson">Jim Johnson</a></span>.

Mar 10, 2016 6:39 AM on Top 75 Relief Pitchers
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Also, <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=68372">Sam Dyson</a></span> from TEX and <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/player_search.php?search_name=Mychal+Givens">Mychal Givens</a></span> from BAL

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

It's amazing to think that Simmons could be +20 runs on defense, and their left side of the infield could combine for 0 runs saved.

Mar 09, 2016 9:56 AM on Los Angeles Angels
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

<span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=52231">Mark Melancon</a></span> is a free agent at the end of the year and the Pirates are disinclined to pay 8 figures for a closer. <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=56957">Tony Watson</a></span> is under team control for 2017, but not 2018. After 2017 who knows, but Watson is worth investing in to get 1 great MR year and then a strong chance of 1 good closer year.

Mar 09, 2016 9:52 AM on Top 40 Relief Pitchers
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

So did Billy Eppler just wake up and realize that his LF situation is a disaster? Or is this all the money he is allowed to spend?

Mar 09, 2016 9:05 AM on Sorry, Missed Jackson
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Do you think there's a risk of the league becoming stagnant, irrelevant or unrealistic if the same owners keep dumping saves (and expensive pitchers in general)? I know people in their "home" leagues always try crazy stuff, but I kind of miss the days when owners tried *different* crazy stuff in these leagues.

Mar 09, 2016 9:00 AM on National League LABR
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Robles looks like a really interesting target for those who just can't get excited about <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=67085">Addison Reed</a></span>. (If you *can* get excited about Addison Reed, that's a different issue) I love Siegrist's ratios, but that bullpen is crowded now with Oh and Broxton in the mix.

Mar 08, 2016 8:44 AM on Relief Pitchers
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

I have so many thoughts. The Rockies played <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=66638">Corey Dickerson</a></span> in center field, in AT&T park? Wow. Then later the Rockies played <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=50674">Rafael Ynoa</a></span>, nominally an infielder, in left field at Chase Field? Sometimes the bear eats you, and you damn well deserve it. That <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=50138">Domonic Brown</a></span> play really does sum up the Dom Brown Experience (tm).

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 3

I mean, I'd guess that the AL teams most likely to be bad are the A's, Angels and Orioles. The Angels don't have any pitchers anybody wants, except <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=60655">Garrett Richards</a></span>. The Orioles don't have any pitchers anybody wants, either. The Indians might finally have to break down and trade one of their arms for someone who can hit. The Rays like to trade people. Maybe one of those. (I think the Rays are trying to sign Odorizzi long-term, so if that doesn't work, maybe it's him)

Mar 07, 2016 12:01 PM on Oakland Athletics
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

If you can remember the difference between <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=70607">Alex Bregman</a></span>, <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=104938">Alex Verdugo</a></span> and <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=71129">Alex Blandino</a></span>, you are a hardcore fan.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

Really enjoyed this. Very well written.

Mar 02, 2016 10:00 AM on Chicago White Sox
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Maybe Weeks was brought in to play Ghost of Baseball Future to <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=102355">Yasmany Tomas</a></span>? Similar swings and plate discipline and infielding abilities?

Mar 01, 2016 6:59 AM on Will I Am
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Randy may have a point about Pedro going to the Brewers. He could platoon with <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/player_search.php?search_name=Chris+Carter">Chris Carter</a></span>. If he actually hits they can trade him.

Feb 25, 2016 7:55 PM on Finding Fits
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Which is greater? Odds all Phillies hit 90th percentile and all Mets/Nats hit 50th percentile? Odds all Phillies hit 80th percentile and all Mets/Nats hit 40th percentile? Does it matter?

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

I get what you're saying about Cespedes. But the NL East is filled with Braves and Phillies pitchers, and the non-Fernandez Marlins pitchers aren't great either. Is it possible he's just a guy that is best suited for the NL?

Feb 23, 2016 6:35 AM on Outfielders
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: -1

Marte is 23 (5+ BWar for 3 straight years) and Polanco is 22 (2.6 Bwar last year). I'd still prefer the Red Sox trio but Cole/Marte/Polanco is still very good.

Feb 22, 2016 11:26 AM on Boston Red Sox
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

Great bat-first SS. Great hitter with a smooth glove in center. Switch hitting catcher. Add in a tall projectable mid-rotation lefty in <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/player_search.php?search_name=Henry+Owens">Henry Owens</a></span>.,. Maybe someone who isn't a Yankee fan can finish this thought while I go cry

Feb 22, 2016 8:38 AM on Boston Red Sox
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

In previous years there was an e-book you could buy that included all the players who fell into this particular crack. Not sure if that's planned for this year.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

Teams that are bad are generally incentivized to be worse. Shedding veteran contracts, playing for next year, outright tanking, etc. This makes a 60-win projection more likely to be right, or at least in the right direction. Teams that are good are generally incentivized to be better. Trading for veterans, calling up good rookies sooner, etc. This makes an 85-win projection more likely to be right, or at least in the right direction. Part of the reason the Royals crushed their <span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=PECOTA" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('PECOTA'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">PECOTA</span></a> last year was because they traded for Cueto and Zobrist. PECOTA is particularly bad at projecting 70-79 win teams because they won't know which direction they want to go until the season starts.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

My vote is Betts, Cain, Springer in some order.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

Hey look, it's <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/player_search.php?search_name=Chris+Davis">Chris Davis</a></span>! Our long national nightmare is over!

Feb 15, 2016 7:00 PM on Outfield
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 2

Maybe a bit harsh, but I really like the analogy and the way it was constructed.

Feb 12, 2016 8:44 AM on That's a Lot of Goggles
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

There's probably a legitimate warning in here about not having all your non starting CF outfielders be slow. Ackley, Gutierrez, <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=48892">Seth Smith</a></span>, <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/player_search.php?search_name=Nelson+Cruz">Nelson Cruz</a></span>, Trumbo, LoMo.... yeah. But where was <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/player_search.php?search_name=James+Jones">James Jones</a></span> during all this? Was he just not on the roster at the time?

Feb 12, 2016 7:19 AM on Worst Runner Up
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Yeah, this is a great article for deep leaguers or just crazy fans. Can we hope the Rockies invite <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=69615">Raimel Tapia</a></span> to camp? At least that would be interesting.

Feb 11, 2016 10:38 AM on National League
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

I mean, given this mess, is there any way Villar doesn't go $8-$10 in NL only leagues? Whether it's smart or not is a fair question, but it's going to happen.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

Who were the 2Bs playing SS? Were they <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=70633">Addison Russell</a></span> or <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=70387">Javier Baez</a></span>? If so you might have the classic "good enough to play SS, but we have one of those, so moved to 2B, but then moving back to SS when our SS needs a day off" problem.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

Low <span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=OBP" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('OBP'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">OBP</span></a>, lots of power, questionable glove... Desmond does seem pretty Soxy.

Feb 09, 2016 9:21 AM on Shortstops
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

I really like Turner as well, but the Nats infield is crowded, and Dusty LOOOOOOOOVES veterans. Does <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=58917">Danny Espinosa</a></span> qualify as a veteran worthy of loving? If not, then Turner could be a steal since Dusty also loves stolen bases.

Feb 08, 2016 8:09 AM on Shortstop
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

I believe you're referring to dynasty rankings, maybe?

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

I think Abreu was just a very polished hitter with a lot more experience than a guy like Puig or Tomas. He had 3100 PAs in Cuba, starting with 277 of them when he was 16. Somehow even Alexei had 2300 PAs in Cuba. Compare that to Tomas (950) or Puig (about 600) and I think just plain old reps may have had something to do with it. (Of course I don't know how that explains Puig's immediate success. Pure talent I guess?)

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

I mean, if I got stuck at auction and there were no other options, maybe. But I certainly wouldn't keep him at that price or make paying that price part of my primary strategy.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 2

Is this *a* golden age? Sure. Is this *the* golden age? Not sure I'm taking Correa/Bogaerts/Lindor/Seager/Russell over ARod/Nomar/Jeter/Tejada/Vizquel.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Keep in mind the Brewers have <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/player_search.php?search_name=Chris+Carter">Chris Carter</a></span> at 1B now, so when he goes into one of his 2-for-30 with 24 strikeout slumps, they would have places to play another guy from the Hill/Middlebrooks/Cecchini malaise Hmm... I'm not sure this is actually helping.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

That was really shocking to me as well. Then again ADP data seems to support it (big 4, then frazier/seager/carpenter, then beltre/franco, then 15ish picks to duffy and longoria, then another 15ish picks to Moustakas.

Feb 02, 2016 10:14 AM on Third Base
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 5

Chris Chelios is right in my hockey reference wheelhouse too, so don't feel bad. Also, #RIPKG

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 10

You fell victim to one of the classic blunders - The most famous of which is "never get involved in a land war in Asia" - but only slightly less well-known is this: "Never get involved in a protracted legal battle with Peter Angelos!"

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 2

In general, BP seems a lot higher on Segura than some other folks who reviewed this trade. Particularly his defense. Perhaps noteworthy for fantasy, AZ RH park factors for singles is 99, and MIL is only 92. ARI RH is also 114 for doubles (MIL 101) and 139 for triples (MIL 115). MIL is a much better <span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=HR" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('HR'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">HR</span></a> park than ARI, but of course, Segura isn't hitting all that many in any park.

Feb 01, 2016 11:41 AM on Segura-phobia
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Not at all. I love Cutch but I'm a little down on him this year.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 3

Apparently <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/player_search.php?search_name=Dave+Stewart">Dave Stewart</a></span> really, really wanted to hang onto that first round pick. No, not the 13th overall pick that they already lost for signing Greinke. No, not <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=104930">Touki Toussaint</a></span>. No, not <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=107168">Dansby Swanson</a></span>. No, not <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=68746">Aaron Blair</a></span> either. The 39th overall pick in the upcoming draft. That one.

Feb 01, 2016 10:10 AM on The Take-Out Signing
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

I still remember going to see my favorite player play in PNC Park in 2004. It was the only time he came to town at the peak of his powers. That player? Ichiro. The next time the Mariners came to town in 2013, he was already gone. You never know when a franchise is going to randomly come up with a transcendent player, but you probably want to avoid going a decade without having them visit a park just in case they do.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
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One thing to note about Baez - I don't think Iowa is one of the more power-friendly parks in the PCL. It's not like he was playing half his games in Vegas.

Jan 26, 2016 7:41 AM on Second Basemen
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 2

Turns out Who is also OF-eligible

Jan 21, 2016 11:54 AM on Top 50 First Basemen
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

You don't count KBO stats in your league? :)

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Teixeira is an interesting case. Lately it seems managers treat him like a lefty, despite having platoon splits for his career saying that he's better against lefties. In 2014, he hit 220/333/358 against lefties and 215/305/413 against righties. In 2015 he hit 223/373/413 against lefties and 269/349/609 against righties. Small sample size, to be sure, but his power vL seems to be fading even though his eye has remained good.

Jan 20, 2016 9:07 AM on First Base
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

Well, MLB does have a wider disparity in terms of team finances, which gives teams like the A's and Pirates a reason to try harder that might be missing in the NFL. Also, the incentive to win also seems like it could be higher in MLB - more TV revenue is national than local, so success means more to MLB teams. Not that NFL teams are totally complacent, but they may not be forced into a really tight corner and forced to come out swinging with a good chance of making a big difference for themselves.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 3

Also worth pointing out that signing arguably the best free agent hitter in this year's class costs the Tigers... a 3rd round pick.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
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Interesting move by the Dodgers if they can get Schafer to be a useful enough pitcher to be their 25th man. Gives them a lot of roster flexibility.

Jan 15, 2016 11:49 AM on Yay or Nay-Berry
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

The fence change is in right center. So not as much impact for a lefty. http://m.mlb.com/news/article/159184524/marlins-park-fences-to-be-moved-in-soon

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

Catcher the first time the Pirates made the playoffs in 21 years? Check. Catcher the first time the Jays made the playoffs in 22 years? Check.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

I am fine with using 12-team leagues as the basis for figuring out which round... but I'm not convinced the average BP reader plays in 12-team mixed leagues. Kudos for still going fairly deep - I would argue most people would keep reading if you went even further down, though I'm not sure how good the NFBC data is when you get lower.

Jan 12, 2016 6:50 AM on Catchers
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

Takes me back to the "too fast OR too slow to be a left fielder" argument from Bill James. Which of course I can't find on the internet, but it was something like Throw + Run = CF Run - Throw = LF Throw - Run = RF

Jan 11, 2016 7:59 AM on Scouting for Converts
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 4

I think it's unfair to call the Rays and A's tanking... they're just sitting out the top end of the FA market because they're poor. Or, "poor" if you prefer. The Pirates aren't exactly shopping in that market either - you don't think they look significantly better with <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/player_search.php?search_name=Chris+Davis">Chris Davis</a></span> instead of <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=46195">John Jaso</a></span>? I think it's interesting that teams who have already lost their 1st round pick (Giants and Tigers) seem to be more deterred by the luxury tax than the picks, given that they would now lose a 3rd rounder for signing another player. (Tigers 1st was protected, I think) It's possible that the real mistake the MLBPA made (among many) was allowing the luxury tax to compound itself so severely.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

For your matrix, I suspect THROW belongs ahead of RUN for right fielders. An interesting thing to think about in the "SP to <span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=RP" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('RP'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">RP</span></a>" conversion process: a guy whose pitches are 7-4-3 is probably more likely to be useful as a reliever, even if those pitches never develop further, than a guy who is 5-5-4-4. At least in terms of making a high-leverage reliever. Of course sometimes you get a 7-6-5 pitcher who still has to be a reliever because of durability (Kimbrel comes to mind).

Jan 11, 2016 7:22 AM on Scouting for Converts
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 2

Baseball Writers' Association of America or, I guess... Base Ball Writers Association of America

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 2

Really good article. Let's focus on the positive. That and the fact that <a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/author/jay_jaffe">Jay Jaffe</a> doesn't have a vote. Because, seriously?

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Will Cishek even get drafted ahead of Benoit? I suspect a lot of people have so little faith in Cishek that the setup guy goes before the anointed closer. Assuming Aroldis is named closer and not suspended too long, how many of these guys get drafted before Miller and Betances? How fantasy owners handle the Yankee bullpen will be fascinating - Miller and Betances are almost too good to buy as handcuffs. In an AL only league, I can see Chapman going $25 and Miller/Betances $10-$12 each. No one owner can realistically get all 3 of them, just because you'd be spending $45-$50 to nail down maybe 50 saves.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

BERSMR is correct - incentives can only be awards or playing time.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

This is a really good review - I definitely missed a lot of these articles but I'm excited to read them. Thanks for putting this together.

Dec 31, 2015 5:17 AM on Touring the Local Sites
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: -1

The Yankees haven't given their fans a lot to cheer for this winter. Spending like a small-market team and bringing in a controversial reliever isn't what George would have done. Whether what George would have done would have been correct is a different question altogether.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 4

I can't help but enjoy the irony of this post following an article about voting with your entertainment dollars if you don't like something.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 2

If Heyward opts out, the Cubs clear a 40% profit. Of course they lose him for the next 5 years. But are they making 40% on the next 5 years? Probably not. So what can they do with that money? Can they give Harper the same deal structure, clear 40% on him, and see him leave in 3 years?

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Having said that, I think there's some value in avoiding the lesser Cubs (Hammel, Hendricks... and I'm not sure about Lackey) given the presence of Joe Maddon and their cavalcade of multi-inning relievers (Warren, Cahill, T Wood, Richard). I might also look askance at the Red Sox with their uber-bullpen of Kimbrel/Koji/Smith/Tazawa and wonder if they'll have a quicker hook on the non-Price starters.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

I'd still back #TheLegend even though it is increasingly likely he'll be doing it as a right fielder

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

I did see a <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=45472">Brendan Ryan</a></span> comp thrown on Holder. Maybe that's more accurate. But both Holder and Henry were basketball players that nobody expected to go in the 1st round...

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

<span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=105436">Kyle Holder</a></span>... any hope? Or CJ Henry 2.0?

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

The Pirates are still rumored to be shopping Melancon. Definitely worth watching if you need holds from Watson or Caminero.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 2

This is a really good idea, and I hope people don't get too bogged down in the minutiae of where everyone ranks. (Pirates beating out the Nats and Cards?) If the Pirates really wanted to make a splash, how about <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/player_search.php?search_name=Chris+Davis">Chris Davis</a></span>? If the Nats want to go big, move Harper to CF for a year and go after <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=51985">Justin Upton</a></span>.

Dec 18, 2015 10:37 AM on The Best Position To Buy
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 4

<span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=106527">Ryan Mountcastle</a></span>, Grey Fenter, <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=105435">Lazaro Leyva</a></span> and Chance Cisco is the dream first round in a "potential Game of Thones nicknames" draft.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

This probably borders on #hottake and not a worthy comment for the level of discourse we usually see here at BP, but... Are we sure the current Yankee ownership is in the good category?

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: -1

So he'll be frustrating but hit a grand slam in the World Series and win over most fans, then <a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/author/sahadev_sharma">Sahadev Sharma</a> will refer to it as the 184 million dollar grand slam ,and all will be well.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Seems strange that it's not more predictable YoY. I guess it's because of <span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=BABIP" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('BABIP'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">BABIP</span></a>, since <span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=BB" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('BB'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">BB</span></a>% is generally pretty stable. Might be better to focus on guys with good BB% and hope the BABIP gods are friendly.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Really interesting stuff. But doesn't it seem inaccurate to measure some players' contributions by WAR and others by WPA? I mean, both are closed systems (I think), so you could measure everyone by WPA. But then <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=66018">Bryce Harper</a></span> is worth 6.25 wins, compared to 9.5 WAR, and barely "outwins" <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=52231">Mark Melancon</a></span>, at 5.19 WPA.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

My guess is <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/player_search.php?search_name=David+Hernandez">David Hernandez</a></span> closes for the Phillies?

Dec 16, 2015 8:33 AM on Games of December 14-15
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 3

In case you are like me and wondering why <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/player_search.php?search_name=Jesus+Montero">Jesus Montero</a></span> didn't make the very sad U25 list...he's too old. He may also be too bad, but he's definitely too old.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 4

Great recap. Always enjoy reading your articles. Happy holidays!

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Dear Miguel: history has its eyes on you

Dec 14, 2015 8:47 AM on Sano's Strikeouts
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Jesus, Flo Rida has been with us for 8 years?

Dec 11, 2015 2:25 PM on Games of December 9-10
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

Good point. Not sure the Braves are still the BRAVES in terms of pitching evaluation, but that is 2 black marks in Miller's ledger.

Dec 10, 2015 9:39 AM on The Shelby Shocker
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 4

Phil Bickford Future Tools: 70 fastball, 50 slider, 70 hair

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Well, the Bravos de Margarita started someone named <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=60777">Edgar Duran</a></span> at SS last night. 24-year old SS in the Phillies org. Never been mentioned on BP or Fangraphs. But I suppose it's possible that he's a good glove, no hit guy. Which would make him a better defensive SS than Flores.

Dec 04, 2015 8:03 AM on Games of December 2-3
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

Are you assuming that <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=57065">Jimmy Paredes</a></span> is the full-time DH in Baltimore? Otherwise they should have plenty of room for both Trumbo and Davis. Davis could also play RF for a year if they want to get all 3 of them in the lineup. He wasn't atrocious there last year. (OK, B-ref says -14 DRS per year. So maybe a little atrocious)

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

In 2014, Trout hit exclusively 2nd. In 2015, he split his time evenly between 2nd and 3rd. I can't tell on B-Ref, but was his performance hitting 3rd in 2015 markedly different than his performance hitting 2nd with 2 outs?

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

I'm pretty sure I remember this being a discussion or a column last year. Trout himself is worth a lot, but he's not that cheap any more. All 30 of the Yankees' top 30? Maybe (Severino isn't eligible, and neither is Bird)

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Bah. Go the full 80. It's great.

Nov 24, 2015 12:57 PM on Dread Hired Roberts
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

That's exactly what I was thinking... but I'm not 100% sure if it's right. I agree that fans are likely to show up in 2017 no matter what. But in order for fans to come out in 2018, don't they sort of need to be competent in 2017? Have they torn it down too much to win 80 games in 2017? Not that many fans show up to see prospect lists play.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 11

The Phillies now have AJ Achter, <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=59584">Aaron Altherr</a></span> and Alex Asher on their 40-man. Is Alex Anthopolous destined to be their new team president?

Nov 23, 2015 6:22 AM on 40 Pounces to Freedom
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 2

Really enjoyed this article

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

That kind of stood out to me. Trout was 11-for-18 on steal attempts. Donaldson was 6-for-6. That likely has a lot to do with it. But it's amazing to think that, regardless of defense and offense, Donaldson might have been more valuable on the bases.

Nov 20, 2015 10:08 AM on Overlooking Trout
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

Some good points indeed. In a vacuum I like this deal for the Angels, but aren't they a win now team? It does seem strange that they're upgrading a position that was already filled for 2016 when they have so many openings.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

The Pirates have been trying to focus on this, sort of following the model of the Golden State Warriors. The main strategy seems to be more rest for their everyday players, and not letting them play more than X days in a row.

Nov 13, 2015 8:46 AM on Innovation
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Love this. Such a fun article. You could probably mix that Brendan Ryan GIF in with 10 real no-name pitchers and I'd bet most people couldn't pick him out. That really does look like a real pitching motion.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Really enjoyed this article. This is something I struggle with constantly IRL. Information isn't the problem. Information design is the problem.

Nov 12, 2015 7:22 AM on Part 2: Implementation
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

First, let me just say that I love maps as a data visualization tool. Rarely works for baseball, but bravo! Second, what does the typical hiring pool look like at Wall Street these days? Are they still fishing in the same pool or have they moved on? Is MLB just lagging Wall Street by 30 years?

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 3

I like Owings, but 552 <span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=PA" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('PA'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">PA</span></a> of .227/.264/.322 says that <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=60931">Chris Owings</a></span> was more of an impediment to his future playing time than <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=45430">Aaron Hill</a></span>.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 8

Agreed. Really well-written article. Hell of a debut.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

So let's make the change move in opposite directions to home-field advantage. Interleague game (including world series, I suppose) in NL park: Use the DH Interleague game in AL park: No DH

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

That team on the other side of the city went with an offense-first approach on the other side of second base and managed to make it work. It's all about what else you can do.

Nov 02, 2015 1:48 PM on No Defense
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Not pictured 1. Jerry Seinfeld 2. 200 people waiting on line for Shake Shack, even though it's the #(&#$ World Series and they spent $1900 on their tickets

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Park factors make all his stats look better (RC+, <span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=TAv" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('TAv'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">TAv</span></a>, <span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=OPS" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('OPS'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">OPS</span></a>+) but don't help fantasy players. Also, his runs scored and RBIs (and even <span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=AVG" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('AVG'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">AVG</span></a>) pretty much suck for a guy who was a top 10-25 hitter by adjusted numbers.

Oct 29, 2015 12:38 PM on Lucas Duda
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Well, a .352 <span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=OBP" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('OBP'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">OBP</span></a> ranks 12th among first basemen, and the .486 <span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=SLG" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('SLG'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">SLG</span></a> ranks him 8th at 1B. B-Ref gives him an <span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=OPS" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('OPS'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">OPS</span></a>+ of 132 and has a park factor of 95 for Citi Field. BP has an even stronger park adjustment for Citi Field giving Duda an overall park factor of 89. I am 99% sure <span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=TAv" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('TAv'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">TAv</span></a> is park adjusted. According to BP's sortable stats, Duda had the 11th best TAv among ALL players with 500 <span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=PA" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('PA'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">PA</span></a>.

Oct 29, 2015 9:08 AM on Lucas Duda
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Someone, probably Bill James, said "If they're trying to give you an out, just take the damn thing." (Maybe it was <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=29369">Casey Stengel</a></span>, but I'm leaning towards James) The Mets didn't do that last night and it burned them.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Esky Magic. It's a real thing.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

Fair to say that the error <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/player_search.php?search_name=Gary+Sanchez">Gary Sanchez</a></span> made is more noteworthy than the <span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=HR" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('HR'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">HR</span></a> at this point?

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

Obligatory Latroy Hawkins Fan Club link: http://espn.go.com/blog/spring-training/post/_/id/1976/latroy-hawkins-and-family Love this guy

Oct 26, 2015 9:20 AM on An Ode to LaTroy
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 2

Owing to the Yankees' love of giving plaques to players of questionable relevance (sorry, <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=193">Tino Martinez</a></span>)... there will now be monuments IN the outfield dedicated to <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=17136">Charlie Hayes</a></span>, <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=16806">Scott Brosius</a></span>, <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=1609">Shane Spencer</a></span>, <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=509">Graeme Lloyd</a></span>, <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=1169">Jeff Nelson</a></span>, and <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/player_search.php?search_name=Mike+Stanton">Mike Stanton</a></span>.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Love this. Great job highlighting a moment that was somehow meaningful in an otherwise blah game. Also, I love that Esky Magic has produced the classic "<span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=OBP" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('OBP'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">OBP</span></a> lower than <span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=AVG" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('AVG'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">AVG</span></a>" triple-slash line. How does one hit .600/.579/.867 if not by magic?

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

I have to say, I appreciated the references. Maybe not all BP readers would, but I do.

Oct 20, 2015 2:23 PM on Say You'll Remember Me
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Tigers and Dodgers! Hey, I actually remembered!

Oct 20, 2015 2:05 PM on Say You'll Remember Me
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

Yeah, what ever happened to <a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/column/raw_projection/">Raw Projection</a>?

Oct 19, 2015 8:09 AM on Games of October 16-18
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 2

The good old days, when men were men, <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/player_search.php?search_name=David+Wright">David Wright</a></span> was the healthy one, and the Mets were big spenders.

Oct 19, 2015 8:03 AM on Sandy's the Man
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Wouldn't you be able to test this in the regular season? Post-season <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/player_search.php?search_name=David+Price">David Price</a></span> isn't THAT different than regular season David Price, is he? Which batters hit best against Price in the regular season? Do you see unusual success from bad ball hitters?

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

Really interesting article. (Of course, as someone who owns a cheap Heston in a keeper league, I wish the news was better)

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 2

This is great, but you missed a key point. Right before Microevent no. 1, Ned Yost TOOK SAL PEREZ OUT OF A GAME. (That's how Gore got in there, as a pinch runner) This caused a singularity and all subsequent weirdness. You can't technically calculate the second-by-second win probability because you can't divide by zero.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Beltre... wow. I mean, he couldn't even walk. But he could still hit and field. I don't know how he does it.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
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Not pictured: video of <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=47202">Lorenzo Cain</a></span>'s home run that traveled approximately 90 Altuves, or <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/player_search.php?search_name=Chris+Carter">Chris Carter</a></span>'s home run that traveled approximately 150 Altuves.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Whither <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=31384">Dan Haren</a></span>? 32.2 <span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=IP" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('IP'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">IP</span></a>, 24 K, 7 <span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=BB" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('BB'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">BB</span></a>, 2.20 <span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=ERA" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('ERA'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">ERA</span></a> in his last 6 starts. Granted, the opposition wasn't great, but he did throw 7 scoreless against the Cards in there. Seems like he's outpitched Hammel down the stretch.

 
jfranco77
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3 years in, Greinke has given the Dodgers 602 innings of a 156 <span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=ERA" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('ERA'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">ERA</span></a>+ for $70mil. A tidy 51-15 record and over 17 bWAR. And he's likely to opt out. Now granted if they re-sign him, his next deal won't work out this well. But I don't think anyone saw this last one working out this well, either.

 
jfranco77
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Pirates going with RF Polanco 3B Harrison CF Cutch LF Marte C Cervelli 2B Walker SS Jordy 1B <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=45471">Sean Rodriguez</a></span> Wait, Sean Rodriguez? Apparently Hurdle wants defense. And he's hoping for the opportunity to bring Pedro off the bench against a righty pitcher who just came in and can't be taken out.

Oct 07, 2015 12:24 PM on Cubs vs. Pirates
 
jfranco77
(64578)
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I'd bet that Joe Maddon tries to get Berry into the game in the 4th or 5th to let him run against Cole, who is terrible at preventing stolen bases. Not sure if that changes the projected lineup.

Oct 07, 2015 8:40 AM on Cubs vs. Pirates
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 3

Didn't you guys say yesterday that Houston's bullpen was terrible?

 
jfranco77
(64578)
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Let me add my congrats. To win with a pitching staff that looked like that coming out of auction is a great accomplishment.

Oct 06, 2015 5:23 AM on Tout Wars NL
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Mets/Pirates LCS. Searage vs. Warthen. Let's do this.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

If it was me I'd keep him over Bird.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

I replaced Almora with Vogelbach in my 15-teamer and felt kind of meh about it. Perhaps the best thing about Almora is that you can easily mistype his name and come up with Alomar.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Most frustrating, <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/player_search.php?search_name=Cody+Allen">Cody Allen</a></span> needs at least an honorable mention.

Oct 01, 2015 7:40 AM on 2015 Wrap-Up Awards
 
jfranco77
(64578)
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Also, I'm not sure if it happened in this case, but in situations like the Greinke game, sometimes Draftkings has already set opposing hitter prices based on Greinke. So you can get a nice boost by getting a bunch of cheap D-Backs against <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=56292">Carlos Frias</a></span>.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
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Hard <span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=G" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('G'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">G</span></a>. None of that Jif stuff. What level does this league compare to in terms of overall competition? On par with Low-A? Or worse than that?

 
jfranco77
(64578)
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And <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=60728">Robbie Ross</a></span> who is apparently now closing for the Red Sox.

Sep 16, 2015 8:11 AM on Week 24
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Sadly the deal with Ahman Green turned out to be nothing mysterious. http://www.foxsports.com/wisconsin/story/green-explains-how-he-trained-with-cespedes-071912 It was a lot more fun when we thought Cespedes just randomly decided to mention Ahman Green, a guy who he had never met.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

So is this because Reuven got fired or because it's Rosh Hashanah? Or both? Either way it's great.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Carrasco vs KC and vs CHW? I can't think of anyone I have less of a clue about. Home he has a .349 <span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=BABIP" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('BABIP'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">BABIP</span></a> and an <span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=ERA" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('ERA'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">ERA</span></a> of 5, but a 5.2 K/BB. Road he has a 2.73 ERA and a .264 BABIP with a 5 K/BB.

Sep 14, 2015 9:06 AM on Week 24
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Did you guys discontinue the daily BP game? That was fun. Would be a shame to lose it.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
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I would imagine the Dodgers might work Bolsinger into a quasi 6-man rotation even if they don't boot Latos. They don't have a lot left to play for.

Sep 09, 2015 10:19 AM on Week 23
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

What is the league average <span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=DRA" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('DRA'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">DRA</span></a>? Or replacement level? Keuchel has 200.2 <span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=IP" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('IP'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">IP</span></a>, Price has 196.1 IP and Gray has 193.2. If Keuchel finishes with 15 more IP than Gray, it's possible that he still 'prevented' more runs, right?

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Byrd, Blanco and Aoki are their current top 3. I don't imagine Blanco loses too much time to <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=52567">Justin Maxwell</a></span> just because Blanco is the best CF of the 4.

Aug 21, 2015 2:32 PM on Week 21
 
jfranco77
(64578)
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Avoid Iwakuma? Can't win 'em all :)

Aug 12, 2015 6:56 PM on An Arm and a Leg
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

AJ Ramos hasn't been good lately and the Marlins are a dumpster fire. Is he bad enough to be in the discussion with guys like Tazawa, Romo, <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/player_search.php?search_name=Fernando+Rodriguez">Fernando Rodriguez</a></span>?

Aug 10, 2015 7:14 PM on Week 20
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Mets are just too cheap to keep buying <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/player_search.php?search_name=Alex+Torres">Alex Torres</a></span> his fancy hats.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 2

If they threw in Leake too, and Cueto was arb-eligible for 2016, then that would be equivalent.

Jul 27, 2015 12:24 PM on The Dayton Hammer
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 3

Shame that Finnegan and Cingrani are both left-handed. Would have been an interesting experiment to try them as a tandem where they each throw 4 innings.

Jul 27, 2015 8:40 AM on The Dayton Hammer
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Really good article. A couple things stand out. He definitely seems to be getting himself in a better position to throw on those slow dribblers in front of him. Last year he seemed to approach them pretty badly. Also, good god the Mets allow a lot of slow dribblers to get through the infield and into right field!

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Wow, you walked right into that one... because he sucks! :)

Jul 26, 2015 10:53 AM on Week 16
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Does anyone else not see this in their iTunes feed?

Jul 26, 2015 9:25 AM on Ep. 62: FAABFEST
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Given their emphasis on shifting and positioning, I suspect the Pirates are better equipped to handle the Kang/Ramirez duo of doom on the left side.

Jul 24, 2015 9:54 AM on A Full Circle Aramis
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

Here's the thing with the Blue Jays, though. Who is starting that play-in game with the Astros? It's not at home so it can't be <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=66556">Drew Hutchison</a></span>. A miracle comeback for <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=70371">Marcus Stroman</a></span>? <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=1526">Mark Buehrle</a></span> against a lineup stacked with righty power bats in Minute Maid? Dickey and his 4.70 <span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=ERA" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('ERA'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">ERA</span></a>? If you really believe they're "locked in" to the wild card, then maybe no team can improve their chances of getting past the wild card more than the Blue Jays do by acquiring Cueto.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

I swear this episode is nowhere to be seen in my iTunes feed. Am I the only one?

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

Country Breakfast may eat lefty, but he bats righty

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Also, lots of people refuse to trade with the first place team, whether its logical or not.

Jul 17, 2015 9:23 AM on The Obstacles of a Lead
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 3

I mean, shouldn't it be 10%? GoryMath :)

Jul 15, 2015 7:39 AM on Bryce Harper Goes Boom
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 2

I really like this. I like how different kinds of charts explain different hitters. Nice work.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 2

<span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=102514">Jake Bauers</a></span> beat the pitchers into submission, then demanded to know where they kept the secret nacho recipes.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

No mention of the incredibly epic Saturday and Sunday games between the Pirates and the Cardinals?

Jul 13, 2015 9:39 AM on July 13, 2015
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

Ok, <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=47360">Wade Davis</a></span> is really, really good... but not 32 baserunners in 100 innings good. [Note... he is good enough that I still had to double-check, and that's saying something]

Jul 10, 2015 8:56 AM on Week 14
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

There comes a point in a guy's development where you don't care about giving him everyday ABs... he's a bust and you just want to get something from him. And even if you just call him up as a bench player or short-side platoon guy, at least that's something. Perhaps the Ms have reached that point with Montero.

Jul 10, 2015 6:39 AM on 13th Edition, 2015
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Do you prefer Ishikawa or <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=37587">Dan Johnson</a></span>?

Jul 09, 2015 7:54 AM on Week 14
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

This might be the toughest stacking day. <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=67864">Kyle Ryan</a></span>! <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=45503">Chad Billingsley</a></span>! Whatever a <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=60202">Tyler Cravy</a></span> is. <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=46026">Felix Doubront</a></span>... <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=46026">FELIX DOUBRONT</a></span>! <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=65949">Dallas Beeler</a></span>! <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=100289">Tim Cooney</a></span>!

Jul 07, 2015 12:40 PM on Macho Man Manny Machado
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Man I'd love to see Wong face off against <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=100289">Tim Cooney</a></span>, but they're teammates. I think Arrieta/Cooney is the game you're looking for.

Jul 07, 2015 12:31 PM on Macho Man Manny Machado
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

<span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=1608">Alfonso Soriano</a></span>? Anderson probably doesn't have his raw, and certainly won't have his in-game power. <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=354">Marquis Grissom</a></span>?

Jul 07, 2015 12:29 PM on Games of July 3-6, 2015
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Mentioned this in the TA for <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=48674">Clayton Richard</a></span>... but I wonder if the appearance of treating him well will help the Pirates with future minor league FAs down the road. Or if there are other intangible considerations that come into play. That said, my favorite theory is that the Pirates thought he would be bad for the Cubs.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

I really like AJ Burnett against the Padres righties tonight, but the weather doesn't look great here in Pittsburgh.

Jul 06, 2015 12:40 PM on Bridled Horse
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 2

Check your list of potential University of Nebraska quarterbacks for 2020... I think he's in there.

Jul 06, 2015 12:22 PM on Just Missed The Cut
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

How far off the list is <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=68062">Jorge Alfaro</a></span> given his injury situation?

Jul 06, 2015 9:08 AM on Midseason Update
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

I was really surprised that the Pirates were willing to give Richard to a division rival (who they are competing with for a playoff spot). I wonder if the appearance of treating him well will help them with future minor league FAs down the road.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

I think in this case, FB is fastball. I wish the <span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=BABIP" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('BABIP'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">BABIP</span></a> would improve, but I don't think Kike Hernandez or <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=70635">Corey Seager</a></span> replacing Rollins at SS will help. Nor am I that optimistic about Olivera replacing Turner at 3B.

Jul 06, 2015 8:42 AM on Brett Anderson
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Any ideas on <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=52691">Jake Arrieta</a></span>? He's starting Tuesday and would be in line to start Sunday, but he wouldn't be able to go to the all-star game if he did. On the other hand the Cubs have a double-header on Tuesday and may not want to mess things up more by skipping him Sunday.

Jul 06, 2015 6:11 AM on Week 14
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Or Gallo can play LF. The Phillies' long-term outfield situation isn't great... <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=66013">Odubel Herrera</a></span> and hey, where did we put <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=31664">Grady Sizemore</a></span>'s phone number?

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Saying bad things about Tapia? #RIPWilson

Jul 01, 2015 1:07 PM on July 1, 2015
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Man I really want to go to Scranton and see <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=68603">Aaron Judge</a></span> play CF.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

I can't see the Pirates giving Gorkys too many starts, but you never know. He'll certainly see time as a defensive replacement/pinch runner (their bench is painfully slow unless Polanco is on it). Most likely when Polanco loses time, you'll see Kang/Mercer/Walker/Pedro in the infield, and Marte/Cutch/Harrison in the outfield.

Jul 01, 2015 8:44 AM on Week 13
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Good stuff. Thanks for doing this!

Jul 01, 2015 8:34 AM on How We Got Here
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

Well now I'm just depressed.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

While I like <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=58905">Jeurys Familia</a></span>, the Mets' schedule over the next month is pretty brutal, so if you want him, you might want to try to buy low in a couple weeks.

Jun 30, 2015 8:11 AM on Week 14
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Interesting stuff. Their growth mirrors the Pirates over the last 5 years, except the Pirates have probably been a little better. They've gone from one of the cheapest prices in baseball to a more expensive team that still ranks as one of the cheapest in baseball. I blame the Yankees.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

If you're looking for suggestions on who to do next... how about <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=59145">Marcell Ozuna</a></span>? 'sup wit that dude?

Jun 30, 2015 6:09 AM on Jorge Soler
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Last night's BP league featured <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=65895">Jimmy Nelson</a></span> with an 80% ownership rate. Wow.

Jun 30, 2015 6:08 AM on Turn On the Green Light
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

I like the new format

Jun 29, 2015 8:37 PM on Turn On the Green Light
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

I like it. Any list with Ichiro on top is a good list in my book.

Jun 29, 2015 6:47 AM on Yahtzee!
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

Man, I would love to see <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=47454">Brett Gardner</a></span> bunt against the shift. He can bunt relatively well and he can fly. He could bunt a triple. C'mon, Angels, make this happen!

Jun 29, 2015 6:41 AM on June 29, 2015
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 2

Also, wreak havoc, not wreck havoc, if we're being particular :)

Jun 26, 2015 10:14 AM on The World Roster
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

thirded!

Jun 26, 2015 6:11 AM on June 26, 2015
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

Pitching in ATL/NL East is enough of a differentiator for me to take ManBan, since honestly I think they're pretty similar. Neither is a lock to be in the rotation next year, both have lots ways they could end up there, and I think their stuff in a vacuum is pretty similar.

Jun 25, 2015 11:36 AM on 11th Edition, 2015
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

<span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=70354">Ken Giles</a></span>, and someone in Oakland... <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=56759">Evan Scribner</a></span>? <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=68404">Drew Pomeranz</a></span>? Not exactly exciting options. People will say <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/player_search.php?search_name=Will+Smith">Will Smith</a></span> or <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=50094">Jeremy Jeffress</a></span> or someone in MIL, but don't forget K-Rod has another year on his contract.

Jun 25, 2015 9:03 AM on 11th Edition, 2015
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 5

Have you seen him outrun those Koopas? Dude has legit wheels.

Jun 25, 2015 5:56 AM on Your High-A All Stars
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Yeah, I enjoy this format. Thanks!

Jun 24, 2015 10:50 AM on June 24, 2015
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

If you were starting a dynasty team from scratch... Trout, or both Correa and Springer? I... I think the answer might not actually be Trout.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

I believe last night was <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=49775">Dellin Betances</a></span>' first loss of his career.

Jun 24, 2015 6:18 AM on June 24, 2015
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Link for the BP Private League doesn't work... is there no league today?

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Here's another theory on why throwing over causes more attempts. Is it possible that pitchers only use one "deterrent" at a time? They can either throw over + use their regular motion, or they can not throw over + slide step. But they rarely throw over + slide step. They do one thing and say "OK, I've got this covered now." No way to know if this is actually the case but it seems like I've seen it happen a few times.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Is that a budget thing? Or a 'their governor is refusing to be rational because of politics' thing?

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 2

<span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=45386">Mike Aviles</a></span> at SS, Moustakas at 2B, Mikael Franco at 3B, Miggy at 1B... Montero catching, Trout, Brantley, Taylor in the outfield. I'm not even sure if any other names can field a team. Matts maybe?

Jun 23, 2015 1:38 PM on June 23, 2015
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 2

Does that include Miguel? I'd have to guess it's the best of all the lineups. They have both Trout and Miggy.

Jun 23, 2015 11:15 AM on June 23, 2015
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

Just hand out vouchers to people when they leave the stadium. Only the people who stuck it out until the bitter end get the compensation. If you left early, too bad so sad. You could even be smart/evil and make the compensation $10 in free food at a future game, or $10 off a future game.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

Yesterday I was listening to <a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/column/raw_projection/">Raw Projection</a> and they were talking about how they'd want to watch the Chattanooga team if they had to watch one team all year, because they have <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/player_search.php?search_name=Miguel+Sano">Miguel Sano</a></span> and <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=100574">Jose Berrios</a></span>. And I was thinking to myself, don't forget Adam Brett Walker! Sure enough, they mentioned Walker shortly thereafter. Anyway, the point is, I spend way too much time listening to and reading BP, and a lot of other sites too. Enough that I can name 3 players on the Twins AA team. And I had never even heard of this <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=68741">Cody Anderson</a></span> dude. But his story is amazing. Apparently he spent too much time chopping wood and it made him bad at baseball. He quit, and here he is. http://m.mlb.com/news/article/132279184/indians-cody-anderson-leans-on-changeup

Jun 23, 2015 6:33 AM on Week 12
 
jfranco77
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Comment rating: 1

<span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=1598">Mike Mussina</a></span> (61.1 <span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=PWARP" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('PWARP'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">PWARP</span></a>, I assume that is <span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=DRA" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('DRA'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">DRA</span></a> PWARP now, but 82.7 bWAR) seems to have the opposite problem and I have no idea why. Tough park and tough division throughout his career just like Morris.

 
jfranco77
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Can we talk about how weird it is that <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=66006">Jake Marisnick</a></span> is on this list at all?

Jun 19, 2015 7:15 AM on Mr. Burns Runs Afoul
 
jfranco77
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Let me ask a general BP DFS question - when we play the "beat the expert" league, who is officially the expert? Is it always Doug? I'm always curious about that. Right now I see Bret, Craij, <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=100733">Matt Collins</a></span> and Doug.

Jun 18, 2015 1:52 PM on K's or Death
 
jfranco77
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I don't know, I think most people had Bauer higher than a 3.

 
jfranco77
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Damn. The Professor pretty much nailed both of these guys.

 
jfranco77
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1. Figure out what they like. Have they ever dumped before? What did they get in return when they did? What kind of players do they usually trade for? 2. Give them examples of other teams successful rebuilding and how it works. Sell them on the process.

 
jfranco77
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Not just possible, but likely. I suspect one of the outcomes of this will be everyone learning exactly which punishments are allowed and which are not.

 
jfranco77
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yeah, it definitely should have gone to the other guys with potential for 7 hit, 5 power, 8 speed and 8 glove.

Jun 16, 2015 7:53 AM on Byron Buxton
 
jfranco77
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Honestly, they probably are. But the damn Cardinals #devilmagic keeps them winning anyway.

Jun 16, 2015 7:14 AM on June 15, 2015
 
jfranco77
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Well, <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=37052">Matt Holliday</a></span>'s ouchie might make Piscotty look better this week!

Jun 09, 2015 9:13 AM on Week 10
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

You missed the most important what to watch for, like, ever... http://www.baseballessential.com/news/2015/03/25/predicting-the-end-of-the-best-bryce-harper-fun-fact/ <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=66018">Bryce Harper</a></span> vs. <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=70840">Jacob Lindgren</a></span> could happen tonight.

Jun 09, 2015 9:08 AM on June 9, 2015
 
jfranco77
(64578)
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Correa, all day. Mostly Real shortstop + Definitely Real bat.

Jun 08, 2015 9:03 AM on Carlos Correa
 
jfranco77
(64578)
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That would be cool. Assign each one of the BP writers to a team, have them make a board, and get a ton of articles. Sounds like great fun, and not at all a challenge to edit and manage!

Jun 08, 2015 6:38 AM on 2015 MLB Mock Draft
 
jfranco77
(64578)
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Can we just add "anyone who has home starts against MIL and PHI" to the auto-start section? :)

Jun 05, 2015 10:53 AM on Week 10
 
jfranco77
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I, for one, welcome our new Robin Hood-themed overlords.

Jun 04, 2015 7:44 AM on Midwest League Hitters
 
jfranco77
(64578)
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Up arrows for Tomas and Lamb too, I guess? Peralta could still get squeezed occasionally if Tomas becomes an outfielder, but I agree that it's still an improved situation for all the outfielders.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
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Reds baseball. Feel the excitement!

Jun 03, 2015 1:40 PM on Week Nine
 
jfranco77
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1. Emphasis on framing has helped add more ways for a catcher to contribute defensively. <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/player_search.php?search_name=Mike+Piazza">Mike Piazza</a></span> is the exception (btw, probably a very good framer) but in the old days, it wasn't framing that kept you behind the plate, it was throwing. Maybe there's more overlap between framing/hitting than there was between throwing/hitting. So more guys can stay catchers. Lucroy and Posey? Not great throwers. (Note - checked the stats, and Posey is better than I thought) 2. The defensive penalty is compounded by the defensive adjustment in WAR. You basically have to be a 5 win hitter to generate 2 WAR, if you lose 2 for position adjustment and another with your glove. Not only are you taking up an easy defensive position but you're bad at it in the process!

 
jfranco77
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I know Christian Betancourt had TJ but does that automatically make him not the catcher of the future in ATL? Also I would argue the Pirates *still* need a real shortstop. Hansen won't stick at the 6. Maybe Tucker will but I'm not sure. Kang isn't a real defensive shortstop either.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

Who's filling in for <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=656">Marlon Byrd</a></span> in Cincy? Anyone interesting going to get ABs?

Jun 03, 2015 6:37 AM on Week Nine
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 2

Great writeup. Love the Alcatraz stuff. And of course, love Cutch and Cole. They don't get enough publicity. Plunder the lox!

Jun 02, 2015 10:21 AM on All of the Allens
 
jfranco77
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His velo chart is still bad. But it's getting a little less bad. http://www.fangraphs.com/pitchfxo.aspx?playerid=4264&position=P&pitch=<span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=FC" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('FC'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">FC</span></a> His cutter was in the 92 MPH range almost all of 2014. It was around 89 to start the season, got down to almost 87, went back up to 89 and his last 2 outings were basically 90. His curve (KC) was 80-83 last year, down to about 78-80 earlier in the year, and consistently 80 for his last few outings. I'm still very worried but if you're buying pretty low, there's a chance he turns out OK.

Jun 02, 2015 8:57 AM on 10th Edition 2015
 
jfranco77
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<span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=52231">Mark Melancon</a></span> had an <span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=ERA" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('ERA'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">ERA</span></a> of 0.71 in May (good), but 5 Ks in 12.2 innings (bad).

Jun 02, 2015 7:25 AM on 10th Edition 2015
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

The way the Phillies offense looks right now (and probably for the short-term future, at least), if you keep showing up at CBP, I like your odds of seeing a no hitter.

Jun 02, 2015 7:19 AM on Week Nine
 
jfranco77
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That would be 14.3 K:<span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=BB" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('BB'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">BB</span></a> for Pineda. Not 14:3. Little punctuation makes a big difference.

Jun 01, 2015 2:19 PM on Sleepless in Seattle
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 2

This is taken from Fangraphs: Clutch measures how well a player performed in high leverage situations. It’s calculated as such: Clutch = (WPA / pLI) – WPA/LI The Twins lead MLB in "clutch" with a score of 2.88. Only 1 other team is above 2.0 (KC)

Jun 01, 2015 12:04 PM on OMG Twinsies
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

<span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/player_search.php?search_name=Jose+De+Leon">Jose De Leon</a></span>: TINSTAANPP? (there is no such thing as a non prospect pitcher)

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 6

Don't knock yourselves... that was at least a 55 question you asked Chavez. Maybe even a 60.

Jun 01, 2015 8:17 AM on What Are Your Thoughts?
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 3

So, do you think the Indians' starters are in the GM's office EVERY DAY begging for <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=70399">Francisco Lindor</a></span> to be called up? Or just a couple times a week?

Jun 01, 2015 8:11 AM on Carlos Carrasco
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 5

I didn't even know <a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/author/jason_parks">Jason Parks</a> moved to an AL East team. #TheLegend

 
jfranco77
(64578)
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Love the KDKA tidbit. Overall a very enjoyable writeup. <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=60759">Adam Warren</a></span> is the Yankees' other Tarheel. For some reason they have a LOT of college pitchers from relatively well known schools. Or maybe it just seems that way: Warren/Miller (UNC), <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/player_search.php?search_name=David+Carpenter">David Carpenter</a></span> (WVU), <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/player_search.php?search_name=Justin+Wilson">Justin Wilson</a></span> (Fresno St), and Capuano (Duke)

May 28, 2015 9:34 AM on Topsy-Turvy Central
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Having a penalty which isn't a permanent ban from baseball is tantamount to an invitation to cheating, isn't it? Don't do the crime if you can't do the time. Of course, if you're willing to do the time, then go ahead and do the crime.

May 28, 2015 8:32 AM on Rubbing Not-Really-Mud
 
jfranco77
(64578)
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I believe it's still true, and you've gotta bet on <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=101992">Julio Urias</a></span>. Harper is even younger than Thor.

May 27, 2015 9:29 AM on Bryant vs. Harper
 
jfranco77
(64578)
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I am loving this series. That photo of the High Desert stadium is hilarious. Have fun!

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

Can we use the Wayne Gretzky rule and rank <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=100631">Byron Buxton</a></span>'s power (probably about #10 on the list) and Byron Buxton's speed (probably about #6 on the list) separately? That makes this list a little less bad.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
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I don't think we can answer this without answering an even more fundamental question - what IS sabermetrics? I would argue that it did start with Bill James because I see the consumption of advanced stats and thinking BY FANS as the key component of sabermetrics. Yes, some of that fan thinking may have eventually worked its way into front offices where it wasn't there before... maybe. I tend to think the development of MLB front office thinking was a little more linear than "holy crap, we shouldn't use RBIs!" and that makes it a lot harder to draw a line in the sand if you're thinking of it from the front office perspective.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
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Congrats on the new addition!!!

May 27, 2015 5:26 AM on The Age-Defying Hunter
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

Has Strasburg's release point gone up? Haven't checked Brooks but it sounds like he's gone full Brewer, throwing straight over the top and missing up and down instead of side to side. Calling <a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/author/doug_thorburn">Doug Thorburn</a>!

 
jfranco77
(64578)
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Also I think a few BP articles have referenced him as <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/player_search.php?search_name=Pete+O%27Brien">Pete O'Brien</a></span>, thus breaking the fancy auto-linking algorithm. I've definitely seen a lot of mentions for him, going all the way back to March when the D-Backs kept insisting he was going to be their starting catcher.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Is this the league where they spent like $40 on <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=17096">Jason Grilli</a></span> early in the season? Vaguely remember that discussion from the podcast.

May 26, 2015 10:50 AM on Week Eight
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

But if I'm reading things right, he's hitting .195 against lefties. Granted, it's a line of 195/411/439, but still... 3 of his 8 hits are HRs which is nice (4 of his 27 hits were <span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=HR" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('HR'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">HR</span></a> RvL last year) but is that HR/FB% of 50 percent sustainable? What happens when he faces more lefties?

 
jfranco77
(64578)
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The upper half kind of reminds me of <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=353">Shawn Green</a></span>. Maybe it's just the skinny lefty with quick hands in a Dodger uniform. Went back and watched Shawn Green and he had a little toe tap, nothing like Joc's lower half. http://wn.com/shawn_green if you're interested.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 2

I love this stuff but c'mon, no pictures of the lake or the crazy hill? :)

May 26, 2015 6:29 AM on Day 2: Taco the Town
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Do you think Mesoraco goes back to catching any time soon? <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=59592">Tucker Barnhart</a></span> is the only remotely usable FA in my NL league, and I suspect he'd lose his value if Mesoraco started catching again.

May 22, 2015 9:41 AM on Week Seven
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

Plus, you know, <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=46630">Tony Sipp</a></span> and <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=51032">Will Harris</a></span> :)

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Yes, better for me too. Thanks

May 20, 2015 1:01 PM on As Predicted!
 
jfranco77
(64578)
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I think the lobby link above might be wrong - goes to MLB $300K SWING FOR THE FENCES [TURN $3 INTO $100,000!] and not the BP league. (Maybe?)

May 20, 2015 1:00 PM on The Life of Bryce
 
jfranco77
(64578)
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Me too. Glad it's not just me. Unless it's just us ;)

May 20, 2015 7:33 AM on As Predicted!
 
jfranco77
(64578)
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Is this a case of the cutter messing up his other pitches? I know "they" say that can happen sometimes, but I don't think I've ever seen it proven.

May 20, 2015 4:58 AM on Shark Tank
 
jfranco77
(64578)
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Good job finishing 7th yesterday ;)

 
jfranco77
(64578)
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Man, I know Stanton stole the show by hitting the ball out of Dodger Stadium, but that home run by Trumbo would have gotten similar attention on a lot of other nights. That ball was crushed.

May 13, 2015 7:56 AM on Hello Noah
 
jfranco77
(64578)
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So what do they do? Hope Hanley gets better? If Napoli continues to be awful in the field and at the plate, do they dare make Papi a semi-regular 1B and give Hanley some DH time?

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 2

Bret. Imaginary Bret. I need more coffee. And an edit button.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
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Only if they bring a picture of Ben on a stick to play the role of imaginary Ben

 
jfranco77
(64578)
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I would question whether there's any signal in all that noise... a pitcher who is at 80 pitches the 2nd time through the order likely has some bigger problems than hitters getting a 2nd look at him.

May 13, 2015 5:42 AM on Are You Over 18?
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

I'm not sure yet if I'm going to start him, but I'm excited for the AJ Burnett revenge game @PHI

May 12, 2015 11:54 AM on Hammer of Thor
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 2

Remember last year when <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=57478">Mike Moustakas</a></span> kept making bad contact? His K rate wasn't bad, despite having terrible swings most of the time, because he could make weak contact instead of striking out. It looks like the entire Red Sox team has replicated that approach. Take it with a mountain of salt, but the Red Sox have te highest percentage of "soft" contact according to Fangraphs this year. And they're 25th in "hard" contact.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
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Happy to help, and FWIW, I agree with you. I think the fact that they replaced Lambo with Lombardozzi means they really view "Serpico" as more of a PH and backup OF/1B than 2B/SS.

May 08, 2015 5:05 PM on Week Five
 
jfranco77
(64578)
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For Maness, probably yes. I'm always hesitant to bet on MRs with a couple good months of performance. They can be just as volatile as a low-level SP. I'd happily broom Marquis. I really want to believe that the new pitch will fix him but I just can't get into it. Garza's SwStr is down a little and his margin for error was always so thin anyway... I want to like him, but I could probably pull the trigger on dumping him.

May 08, 2015 1:56 PM on Week Five
 
jfranco77
(64578)
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So, one of CC's many issues has been HRs. The Yankees are looking surprisingly good right now and @<span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=TB" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('TB'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">TB</span></a> and @KC are nice parks for a <span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=HR" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('HR'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">HR</span></a> prone guy. I'm not saying I want any part of CC... just wondering, if not now, will there ever be a time when he's startable?

May 08, 2015 9:59 AM on Week Six
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

The Pirates DL'd <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=56566">Andrew Lambo</a></span> and called up <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/player_search.php?search_name=Steve+Lombardozzi">Steve Lombardozzi</a></span>, so if you need a Pirates utility infielder and S-Rod and Kang are already owned...

May 08, 2015 9:36 AM on Week Five
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 2

I just want to say that I really enjoy these articles and find them very helpful.

May 07, 2015 1:53 PM on Demanding Supply
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

Do <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=101614">Michael Conforto</a></span> and <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=1466">Michael Cuddyer</a></span> seem fairly similar in name and skills to anyone else?

May 07, 2015 9:32 AM on May 7, 2015
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

Imagine building a team around CarGo and Cutch. CarGo's pull% is down (40.8 last year, 31.3 this year) with the difference going up the middiel. His Hard Hit is way down (34.6% last year, 23.9% this year). SSS all, but his <span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=BABIP" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('BABIP'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">BABIP</span></a> and K.SwStr numbers don't look that different than last year. And last year he sucked.

May 07, 2015 9:27 AM on Changed Expectations
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

FWIW, "an executive told CBSSports.com Baseball Insider Jon Heyman last week that Lucroy is likely "untouchable"." http://fantasynews.cbssports.com/fantasybaseball/update/25174736/report-brewers-are-not-willing-to-trade-catcher-jonathan-lucroy

May 07, 2015 8:06 AM on A Chance In Counsell
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 4

But we were promised Cardinals Devil Magic (tm)!

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

Maybe they should swap him for Dom Brown :)

May 06, 2015 5:55 AM on Eddie Rosario
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

No <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=58768">Pat Venditte</a></span>? He's still kicking around the A's system

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Isn't it possible that this is a situation where Bayesian decision making (ie, starting with a "known" and updating only if the evidence suggests you should) is better? Or if you want a less scientific answer, isn't it possible that they just do it this way because the NFL does it this way?

 
jfranco77
(64578)
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And let's not forget, the Cards already put <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=56948">Jordan Walden</a></span> on the DL - biceps soreness after pitching in 12 of their first 21 games.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Really interesting breakdown. He hit 98 in the 2nd inning and the pitch Dozier crushed was only 92. Is that a typical in-start dropoff for Sale? 6 MPH seems like a lot.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

FWIW, I saw Hinojosa last night and he was basically all fastballs with one godawful changeup. He was only 90-92 but seemed to have a lot of deception.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

This is an interesting format and I really enjoy your writeups.

May 04, 2015 7:55 AM on The Dawn of Month Two
 
jfranco77
(64578)
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Is Rasmus just sitting against lefties so the Astros can play someone else? It's a shame if that's the case because the Astros have 3 of them this week (Detwiler, Wandy and <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=56742">Hector Santiago</a></span>). Those are 3 lefties are about as bad as 3 lefties can be, but if he isn't in the lineup, he can't capitalize.

May 04, 2015 7:38 AM on Week Five
 
jfranco77
(64578)
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I'd be curious to know how far away from Rizzo you would find Joey Votto

 
jfranco77
(64578)
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I'm curious as well, but honestly a lot of it depends on how the Nats' offense looks this weekend. That @WAS start can be anywhere from a good to a bad matchup depending on whether they continue remembering how to hit.

May 01, 2015 8:51 AM on Week Five
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: -1

That Dozier <span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=HR" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('HR'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">HR</span></a> wasn't exactly a moonshot. Maybe the LF (Melky?) should have moved a little bit. Not that he would have caught it, but it didn't look like a no-doubter to me.

May 01, 2015 8:20 AM on Sold!
 
jfranco77
(64578)
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I hope you're right. I love watching him play. I'm encouraged that he hit a few balls hard this week. I'm just really worried about the knee.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 2

Are lefties hitting lefties better? Or facing less of them?

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

I have to assume it's just a <span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=1-day" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('1-day'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">1-day</span></a> move to get Whitley on the roster, and they'll call someone up tomorrow (Refsnyder? Pirela? <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=57009">Nick Noonan</a></span>?)

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

While Jordan Pacheco *seems* like an emergency-level catcher, he is actually the backup, because LOLdbacks. I think Cliff Pennington is the actual #3 at the moment.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 3

I think you're right, but dear lord do I wish it was A-Rod

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: -2

I am really glad for Hamilton. Hopefully this provides the environment he needs to get his life together. But I am really worried about all the precedents Rob Manfred allowed this to set. The next time the Dodgers want to take on 90% of a bad contract and give literally nothing in return, how can Manfred say no? The next time a player wants to rework his contract in order to facilitate a trade, how can Manfred say no? The Players Union will surely complain, but they can't do anything about it. How long can the "this is only for drug addicts who need to escape a terrible situation" caveat apply?

Apr 28, 2015 8:14 AM on Hamilton Returns
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 4

Well, Sam, maybe you can't math. But <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=80275">Scott Boras</a></span>? That guy can math.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

<span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=48037">Adam Lind</a></span> has a team option for 2016 and then his contract is up. And presumably they should see if anyone will give them anything for Aramis. Unfortunately for the Brewers, they're going to need to build back up to a high peak to catch the Cubs and Pirates and Cardinals.

Apr 24, 2015 10:00 AM on Of Signals and Sausages
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

I think it's the walk rate and the lack of power. <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=56615">Ben Revere</a></span> doesn't walk that much. Most guys who walk are in the power groups. Also, even though he's fast, he doesn't run as much as a <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=54187">Leonys Martin</a></span> type. Last year he was <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=47493">Dexter Fowler</a></span> with a few less HRs.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

His command at AAA has been horrific this year. Love the guy and his story, but for now he's way behind Watson and Caminero, maybe even behind Hughes and Liz.

Apr 24, 2015 6:28 AM on Third Edition, 2015
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

<span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=51434">Adam Ottavino</a></span> is having a triceps issue and <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=55512">John Axford</a></span> got a save chance yesterday. If you really like playing with fire... <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=55520">Pedro Baez</a></span> also got a save chance after Mattingly burned through <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=40962">Joel Peralta</a></span> and <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/player_search.php?search_name=Chris+Hatcher">Chris Hatcher</a></span> earlier in the game.

Apr 24, 2015 6:10 AM on Week Three
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 2

Is this supposed to be blank?

Apr 22, 2015 8:35 AM on Wednesday, April 22
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 2

I'll split the difference. I like having an occasional city-specific article show up in the main feed. I wouldn't want all of them, and I wouldn't want none of them.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: -2

Glad to see my boo <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=31384">Dan Haren</a></span> getting some love. The Rotowire guys were harshing him as a DFS matchup on this morning's podcast. Granted, Philly isn't a great place to pitch...

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Any thoughts on what this does to Alcantara for the rest of the year?

Apr 21, 2015 9:17 AM on Addison Russell
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

So let's say the Cubs are willing to go $8, $11, $14, and $16 million, then 25, and call him up on Opening Day if he signs. That gets us to the $63.75 million you listed above. But Bryant's alternative isn't really $10, $14, $16, and $18 and then $30. It's really 10 (super 2), 14/16/18 (3 regular arb years) and then 20 (extra year of team control). That's 78mil, discounted 5% for a number of 74.1. Because the Cubs aren't calling him up to make him a free agent in year 7 if he doesn't sign. 74.1 is a lot closer than 85.5. Of course, the flip side of that is that the Cubs can't explicitly put delaying his call-up on the table.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

<span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=57013">Derek Norris</a></span> vL in Coors?

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Interesting stuff as always. Love the <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/player_search.php?search_name=Brandon+Wood">Brandon Wood</a></span> throwback. Attention <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=76409">Sam Miller</a></span>> please recruit Brandon Wood for the Stompers.

Apr 20, 2015 8:51 AM on Mike Moustakas
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

IIRC, you lose your 1st round pick next year if you go more than 10% over your allotment. So there's a pretty strong disincentive. Stronger than the 2-year ban on international free agents >300k if you go over that limit? Well, nobody has blown through their 1st round amateur pick yet, and lots of teams have blown through their IFA cap. Now what would happen if the Dodgers did go 50% over their amateur allotment this year and then signed a bunch of free agents with qualifying offers? Would they not be allowed to sign QO players? Would they lose the pick in a subsequent year? Would they just lose a lower pick as punishment? I actually don't know the answer to this one.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

<span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/player_search.php?search_name=Erasmo+Ramirez">Erasmo Ramirez</a></span> isn't even on the Mariners any more. They appear to be starting JA Happ? Who I actually kind of like as a lefty (neutralizing Choo and Fielder) in Safeco

Apr 17, 2015 10:50 AM on Rookie Distractions
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

And of course that should say... <span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=RP" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('RP'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">RP</span></a>, Nats.

Apr 17, 2015 7:47 AM on Week Two
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Hey thanks for the shoutout! This week I'll give you another one that I'm less sure about. <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=56039">Rafael Martin</a></span> (SP, Nats) - anything there? <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=45529">Gio Gonzalez</a></span> calls him the Mexican Assassin.

Apr 17, 2015 7:45 AM on Week Two
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 2

Casinos (and presumably DFS sites) can only survive for so long when the sharks immediately devour any guppies that swim by. Sure, the sharks will adjust to these new changes eventually, but at least DK is changing things up to give newcomers a shot at winning and wanting to stick around.

Apr 16, 2015 1:33 PM on The Price of Context
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

Really good piece. One thing that's important to note is that you usually CAN'T scout a changeup by watching the hitters' reaction - especially in the minors. Minor league hitters can be fooled badly by terrible changeups.

Apr 16, 2015 8:31 AM on Scouting the Changeup
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 2

I wonder if <a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/author/matthew_trueblood">Matthew Trueblood</a> is regretting un-giving up on the Diamondbacks yet? The Blue Jays are starting <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=70093">Kevin Pillar</a></span> on purpose while they keep <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=40216">Dioner Navarro</a></span> on the bench. The D-Backs are starting Tuffy Gosewich on purpose and being handcuffed by a <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=16616">Gerald Laird</a></span> injury. This is turning into the party where everyone knows 2 people are going to hook up and those 2 people just refuse to do it. Is Dave Stewart Ross or Rachel?

Apr 16, 2015 7:36 AM on Say Yas
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Craig ranked Plawecki #13 and Ben not at all - discuss.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 5

I would think that losing <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=31602">Jeff Mathis</a></span> would tend to increase a team's playoff chances...

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

I am with you in my worry about <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=65957">Gerrit Cole</a></span>. One thing you might also want to mention occasionally is the temperature. Offense goes up a lot when the weather is warm. For some reason, and let me make it abundantly clear that I'm not complaining, it's sunny and almost 80 degrees here in Pittsburgh today. All the other afternoon games appear to be in the 50s. Might be worth adding a Tiger or two to your lineup if you're really worried about Cole today.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Fantrax lists Carrasco as only pitching once and House pitching Sunday. Is Carrasco going Sunday instead?

Apr 13, 2015 9:25 AM on Week Two
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Can teams go back and make the Commissioner do things differently? The Dodgers finished with the worst record in baseball in 1992, but the leagues alternated picks in the amateur draft, and the AL/Mariners got the first pick in 1993. They took a young shortstop named Alex Rodgriguez.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 8

Ruben Amaro Jr's first contract as GM expired after the 2011 season. Sometime in 2011 (I think), the Phillies renewed his contract. Just saying...

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 5

Isn't the Yankees site going to be a site where every article is about how overrated Boston prospects and players are?

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

has <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=66018">Bryce Harper</a></span> faced a pitcher older than him yet?

Apr 09, 2015 5:17 AM on Forever Young
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 2

These are the kinds of moves you can make when you are paying Betts and Bogaerts $500k each.

Apr 08, 2015 8:51 AM on Buy High 'Cello
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

But those that do were generally discarded by the Pirates ;)

Apr 08, 2015 8:44 AM on A Shift in Colorado
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Cubs/Cards was postponed, FYI

Apr 07, 2015 2:03 PM on Run for Cover
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

<span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=52416">Hector Noesi</a></span>. I want to believe but I don’t. That sums up my feelings too. I think he's somewhat fixed but the <span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=HR" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('HR'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">HR</span></a> issues are going to kill him in The Cell.

Apr 07, 2015 6:09 AM on Week One
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

80-24 is only 56, so my math isn't great, but still, that's more than a <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=45446">Nick Markakis</a></span> they just unloaded.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Exactly. If this was the Rockies or the D-Backs making this move, we'd just assume they were dumb. When it's the O's, it gives me pause and makes me wonder if they 1) see his future in the 'pen or 2) think he can fix his issues there.

Apr 06, 2015 8:36 AM on Kevin Gausman
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

So the Padres are paying approximately $66 million for Kimbrel (and the carcass of BJ Upton, so basically Kimbrel) over the next 3 years? When they just demoted Quack and Maurer to make room on the 25-man roster? And they gave up <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=70497">Matt Wisler</a></span> for the right to do this? Forgive me if I'm reading this wrong but I don't see a good analysis of the money. They sent out 24mil and took back 80mil right?

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

Let's not forget, their real organizational depth at SP is "guy #1 who <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=869">Mickey Callaway</a></span> fixes from the scrap heap" and "guy #2 who Mickey Callaway fixes from the scrap heap"

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

The Orioles usually aren't dumb when it comes to using their 25-man roster. Which makes me wonder if Ubaldo to the rotation was a strong suggestion from the front office, although the front office is also pretty smart most of the time. Very strange move.

Apr 06, 2015 6:34 AM on Kevin Gausman
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

<span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=17096">Jason Grilli</a></span> should be a strong add in NL-only leagues. Maybe even speculate on <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/player_search.php?search_name=Jim+Johnson">Jim Johnson</a></span> (ugh) or <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/player_search.php?search_name=Juan+Jaime">Juan Jaime</a></span>. <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=51195">Arquimedes Caminero</a></span> made the Pirates bullpen and might also have deep NL appeal.

Apr 06, 2015 6:30 AM on Week One
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

I mean, given the holes all over their lineup at this exact moment, the answer appears to be no. Not many teams make it through the season with 5 starters. Also their bullpen is kind of a mess and they might actually want Roark back there to stabilize things.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Another thing to note about the IFAs is that it kind of ties into the job security point. They can sign 16-year olds and actually feel confident that they'll be around to reap the rewards.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Remember when Colin McHugh was a terrible pitcher and a punchline? Ah, the Mets.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

This is a great series. But you really should have posted this one first, since it actually explains what everyone is doing. The 2 posted yesterday didn't have that explanation.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Another possible subject could have been the Braves' disdain for manipulating service time. They're more than happy to call up Simmons or Heyward or Freeman or Teheran when they're super young and have them hit free agency at 27. (OR they can always extend them) But maybe that subject has been done to death already.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

The Andrus extension did seem really strange at the time. I can still hear <a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/author/jason_parks">Jason Parks</a> talking about <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=66922">Jordan Akins</a></span>, and that makes me think about Parks talking about Profar, and that makes me a little sad. Come back soon, Jurickson!

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

I'd probably take <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=1449">Fernando Rodney</a></span> over that Francisco Rodney guy, personally ;)

Mar 31, 2015 9:00 AM on Week One
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

La Stella and Olt, I think? With some Alcantara sprinkled in.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

If they could only find a way to hit on a couple of those toolsy guys to combine with their high floor guys.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Vote for Pedro! He's got a perfect swing for PNC Park and if the move to 1B helps him focus more on hitting, I can definitely see 35 homers.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

And just like Chris Carminucci, you have to look REALLY hard to find anything the D-Backs front office does well.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

But, but, but, then what would they do with the rotting carcass of <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=45379">Kendrys Morales</a></span>, who, let's not forget, has a 2-year contract.?

Mar 27, 2015 6:58 AM on Steals and Saves
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Very similar to poker. Most players are more conservative playing live, even if they are Mr. All-in whenever they play online.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

I like <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=48789">Jordan Schafer</a></span> who probably delivers the same value as Gose and costs even less.

Mar 26, 2015 11:20 AM on Endgame Picks
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

How about DIMondbacks?

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Personally I'm moving him down below Count Chocula this year.

Mar 25, 2015 7:02 AM on Coco Crisp
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

<span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=100301">Micah Johnson</a></span> is already 24. The White Sox are built to win. I can understand wanting to control <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=68520">Kris Bryant</a></span>'s age 30 season. I am less sure I understand a maniacal need to control Micah Johnson's age 31 season.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Wasn't Cespedes the first big-name Cuban hitter? He was also signed by a "small market" team that's thought to be pretty smart. I don't think Kang is another Cespedes but it's an interesting parallel. The Dodgers and Red Sox are willing to let other teams figure out if it's profitable before jumping in.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

You can see some of the fallout from the Giolito pick in the Jays taking <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=105425">Jeff Hoffman</a></span> (TJ surgery) #9 last year. I bet Rizzo secretly expected him to fall into their laps like Giolito did.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Worth noting that the Tigers have noticeably some of the pieces they got in trade (Anibal, Fister, Scherzer). Somehow finding undervalued or underperforming major leaguers seems to be a Dombrowski skill. (One I assume he was counting on with Robbie Ray/Ian Krol or something, in the Fister II deal)

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

The Nats are a weird situation. They're expected to win 95-100 games, so they must be good. But it's not like they have a great offense. A lot of the "95-100 win" magic doesn't actually help their starting pitchers. Strasburg doesn't benefit from the fact that the other 4 guys are aces too. In reality, Strasburg has the same likelihood of winning 20 as "insert pitcher on 79-win team who is surrounded by 4 awful pitchers and a good offense." I don't know who that is... <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=31714">Jorge De La Rosa</a></span> maybe? Porcello? Tanaka with a functioning UCL?

Mar 23, 2015 7:18 AM on Wins and Strikeouts
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

I agree with this. For all the money it would have cost to get him, his actual salaries would have been the same as any rookie. That's the kind of cheap production the Yankees need. And yes they would have had to pay the 100% tax ... but not the 40% luxury tax they are already paying everyone else. Let's not forget, the Yankees already paid a lot of taxes with their J2 signings, AND already lost their ability to sign expensive Latin American players next year in the process. I can't imagine the Yankees don't understand this from a technical perspective, but I agree that they just don't GET it.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

I would love to know how <span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=PECOTA" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('PECOTA'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">PECOTA</span></a> figures out guys like these. It's got Abreu compared to a 5th year <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=16631">Mark Teixeira</a></span> 2008 and a 9th year <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/player_search.php?search_name=Miguel+Cabrera">Miguel Cabrera</a></span> 2011. PECOTA probably sees a guy destroy the league at age 27 and just says "huh?"

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Like! So not a single one of these guys is overvalued? Does that mean 2nd year players are a market inefficiency? (Though I personally think Yordano at SP39 is a little overvalued)

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

I've seen lots of places in AZ with Fat Tire on tap. That'll do just fine.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

True, but... they can replace Upton "for free" with Renfroe, and Kennedy with Wisler. They need their prospects to hit, but assuming they do, they at least have some capability to replace a lot of that production.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

As a follow-up, apparently Wieters is having elbow tendinitis and is back to NOT catching. http://www.baltimoresun.com/sports/orioles/blog/bal-one-day-after-catching-return-orioles-catcher-matt-wieters-shut-down-with-elbow-tendinitis-20150318-story.html

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Well, even though it wouldn't be ideal defensively, Girardi could move Headley to 1B and play A-Rod at 3B against lefties.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Presumably Trumbo would play RF, and Inciarte and Peralta would both be relegated to the bench

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Really good article. I would have liked to see all the charts use tOPS or OPS+ though... just because I suspect that the OPS chart for every count looks a lot like that "after 0-1 count" chart.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

To this day, I can't even think about the HMYIM finale without getting angry. (It's been almost a year) As a Yankee fan I have a feeling that articles about Moncada will be eliciting similar reactions for a long time.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

This is a really interesting article. It also makes me wonder what I was thinking when I drafted a farm team that contains all 5 of Alfaro, Almora, Mondesi, Williams and Tim Anderson.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

What do you do when you have Mike Trout dreams on a Michael Cuddyer budget? I would have gone with "a Mike Carp" budget ;)

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Awesome! Thank you very much!

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

Can we get a follow-up looking at all the teams? Pretty please? Just some kind of ranking from 1-30 of their 90% FRA minus their 10% FRA?

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 4

Well, technically this is an odd year, so the cactus will just be prickly and bad this year. But next year it will morph into the second coming of Rogers Hornsby.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 2

Here is the entire internet. Please give it to Russell Carleton as he just won it.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

And suddenly the Blue Jays wish they had signed Young or Correia.

Mar 10, 2015 12:30 PM on Young at Heart
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

What's Matt Harrison up to these days? I think he had some kind of scary spinal surgery last season. Any chance he comes back?

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 55

I thought you were going to say it was Clayton Kershaw

Mar 09, 2015 8:15 AM on BP's New Owners
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 6

Carl Hanratty: Tell me this, Barry Allen, Secret Service. How did you know I wouldn't look in your wallet? Frank Abagnale, Jr.: The same reason the Yankees always win. Nobody can keep their eyes off the pinstripes. Carl Hanratty: The Yankees win because they have Mickey Mantle.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

Nope... no celebration >>> that stupid arrow thing.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

You can't comp Keone Kela to Daniel Moskos. They don't throw with the same hand! That's like comping a pizza to a sandwich!

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Allen Robertson and Dancin with Melancon Second Tier Looks Good

Mar 02, 2015 1:41 PM on Relief Pitcher
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 2

Wait, so I should draft Chad Fox?

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

How in god's name does Wade Davis only go for $3 in an AL-only league? Wow. Really not a fan of your catchers but I like a lot of your buys (Snider, Paxton, Davis, Iwakuma, Freese)

Mar 02, 2015 12:26 PM on CBS AL-Only
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

I like any of the 2nd tier guys (David Robertson, Mark Melancon, Cody Allen) at their relative prices.

Mar 02, 2015 10:43 AM on Relief Pitchers
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

I mean... unless you want to go with Derek Norris, I'm not sure the Padres have a better option for the leadoff spot.

Mar 02, 2015 10:36 AM on You Can't Predict Padres
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 3

More likely to produce hilarious GIFs: Wil Myers in CF or Carlos Quentin at 1B? I love the San Diego Softballers.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 3

Well, it's a lot easier on the ego to send Shane Greene and/or Alfredo Simon to the bullpen during the playoffs, so maybe that's their plan* *Assuming their plan doesn't interfere with actually making the playoffs

Feb 25, 2015 5:57 AM on What the Heck, Tigers?
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

PECOTA is evolving rapidly!

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Scherzer, Strasburg, Zimm, Gio, Fister ... and then Roark. So yes, everyone assumes he is.

 
jfranco77
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I think the most common pitching change would be leagues that don't count Ks. I know Henderson Alvarez would also do well there. Maybe Porcello and Kyle Gibson too?

Feb 20, 2015 7:39 AM on Starting Pitchers
 
jfranco77
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Samardzija had a K/9 of 8.0 in the AL last year (8.6 in the NL). Shields was at 7.1 in the AL. If you give Shields the 0.6 K/9 that Samardzija lost, then strikeouts are a virtual tie (K/9 would be 8.0 - 7.7) especially given Shields' edge in innings. That said, I like Samardjzia slightly better in a vacuum just because that SD outfield really scares me.

 
jfranco77
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Comment rating: 2

I love this article. This kind of stuff is so fun. But why the hate on Aaron Boone? B-R lists him as 6'2 and 190. I always thought he was pretty rangy at 3B. B-R has him listed as the 44th highest 3B ever in terms of RF/9.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
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Really interesting stuff. I think the White Sox fans' exuberance is higher than expected because PECOTA hates the White Sox (see other article posted today) and their fans probably have more reason to be optimistic than you would project.

 
jfranco77
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I think a 5.32 ERA is way too high for that spot in the rotation. If Noesi is really that bad he'll be replaced once the Super 2 deadline passes. If he's not then maybe they take it slower with Rodon.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 9

I love Doubleheader day. My one thing would be changing the start of World Series games to something like 5 or 6pm. Kids need a chance to watch more than an inning or two. Maybe roll it out to other rounds too but I'd have to think about that. And if I had any time left after that I'd look into creating a Skills Competition during All-Star week.

Feb 18, 2015 6:07 AM on Commissioner for a Day
 
jfranco77
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So there *ARE* 125 outfielders better than Jose Tabata!

Feb 17, 2015 9:58 AM on Top 125 Outfielders
 
jfranco77
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Definitely interesting. But presumably he's easier to figure out if he only has 1 approach?

 
jfranco77
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Or maybe Yasmany Tomas?

Feb 15, 2015 7:48 PM on Outfielders
 
jfranco77
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Comment rating: -1

There seems to be a theme here, though I'm not sure if it totally follows for the Cubs. Team is bad... gets a lot of SP prospects from high picks and trades. A lot of them fail as starters... but all of a sudden, voilà - great bullpen!

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 14

You Omitted A Name Many Ordinary Norteamericanos Care Amazingly Deeply About

 
jfranco77
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Obviously you should have expected the team with the most durable 2B in baseball to sign Weeks ;)

 
jfranco77
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Careful there.... maybe a mini "who Justin Upton really is" but you don't want people thinking he's a mini "who we still think Justin Upton is." You should put steals at the top of the infographic so that when a player's chart looks like Rusney Castillo's chart it's because their shape matches their chart.

Feb 12, 2015 6:14 AM on Outfield
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

Love the Tomas graphic. Can we at least agree that his chart isn't likely to feature a lot of steals?

Feb 11, 2015 6:50 AM on Outfield
 
jfranco77
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I love Pollock. I would take him easily. He might be the best candidate to go Brantley. I do agree that Rios should run a lot in KC but I'm still taking AJ.

 
jfranco77
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10. He gets booed less than Stephen Drew. (They're not saying Boo... they're saying Drew!)

 
jfranco77
(64578)
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Didn't Russell Martin want to play SS for Team Canada in the last WBC? Or actually play there for them? Hamels for Martin... make it happen, Ruben!

 
jfranco77
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You mean 44% of offensive value? Or that the average team in a 12-team mixed had $114 in value from their outfield?

Feb 09, 2015 10:26 AM on Outfield
 
jfranco77
(64578)
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Sahadev has a really good podcast voice!

 
jfranco77
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FYI, Taillon was 19th last year, not N/A (at least according to his scouting report)

 
jfranco77
(64578)
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Coming next week... who is the Danielle Steele of MLB? [In all seriousness, great article, and you need to read the book]

 
jfranco77
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Really interesting stuff. How do you account for age? Meaning "this guy is seeing more strikes because he's old" versus "this guy is seeing more strikes because he's injured" ?

 
jfranco77
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It's also possible the Cubs have a little more money to play with now that Yoan Moncada won't be available after July 2. They might have been saving up in case they got a shot to sign him.

 
jfranco77
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When the choices appeared to be Hamels at 5/110 or Shields at 5/110, there was an argument to be made for trading prospects for Hamels instead of overpaying for Shields. At 3/60 or whatever Shields ends up getting, that argument is less convincing.

 
jfranco77
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If not for Mike Trout, you could probably pencil the 2017 Angels in for the next edition of this article

 
jfranco77
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If you're scoring it like boxing, most of Lindor's wins are 10-9 (maybe he gets a 10-8 for time to impact) but Anderson's SB, HR and upside wins could be 10-8 or even 10-7. Judges give this one to Anderson even with the possibility that he ends up at 2B/CF.

 
jfranco77
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I think Kang goes more than $5 even with the uncertainty. In the slow mock I'm doing, it went Rollins/Segura/Peralta, then Kang, then Owings/Simmons/Crawford.

 
jfranco77
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If his price comes down to the range where Shields + losing a 1st round pick is more attractive than paying prospects + 4/96 or 5/110 for Hamels, then I'd expect the Padres to start getting interested.

 
jfranco77
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Assuming the pattern holds... he will play a key role at 2B in the Giants 2018 title, and also in their miserable 2019 season.

Feb 05, 2015 5:53 AM on Shortstop
 
jfranco77
(64578)
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Wait you forgot Baez... I mean Moncanda... I mean Kang! Where does Kang fit? *Don't blame me, I voted for Kodos

Feb 04, 2015 7:37 AM on Shortstop
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 3

Great article as always. Really glad to hear things are going well and you're back on your feet!

 
jfranco77
(64578)
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Man, they really, really hate Domonic Brown, don't they?

 
jfranco77
(64578)
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Love this stuff. I could watch that Marichal delivery all day.

Feb 03, 2015 7:37 AM on Grading the Funk
 
jfranco77
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Interestingly, the South Siders and North Siders have several positions that make for interesting battles this year: 1B Rizzo vs Abreu CF Fowler vs Eaton UT Alcantara vs Bonifacio PECOTA even makes a case for a RF battle being interesting (Garcia vs Soler)

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 5

How much shifting do the A's do? I would suspect it's a lot. We've now seen 3 teams with pretty smart GMs assemble middle infields without a lot of range at the 6-spot. OAK - Zobrist and Semien TB - Cabrera and Franklin PIT - Walker and Mercer/Kang I wonder if the need to have a top-flight SS is diminishing or if it's just a response to the lack of good shortstops.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
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Perhaps you're thinking of Earl Weaver, who I would definitely say is very well regarded

 
jfranco77
(64578)
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Nope... the Dodgers already gave the money to the Marlins. It wasn't "10mil to pay Dan Haren" it was just "here's a check for 10mil which you COULD use to pay Dan Haren"

Jan 30, 2015 6:32 AM on Eight Final Moves
 
jfranco77
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Pour one out for the Professor who's probably trying to figure out how to get these guys to Chicago

 
jfranco77
(64578)
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Great article... lots of fun. The Bogaerts/Hosmer comp is like a fine wine - it's great, and has so many subtle flavors. Early hype. Disappointment. Roller coaster expectations. Fantasy sleeperdom. Part of a great farm system. I expect it will just keep getting better with age.

Jan 28, 2015 6:09 AM on Favorite PECOTA Comps
 
jfranco77
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Should we assume Josh Donaldson's bid price is hiding under either his 2014 bid or production? Or did Craij spread his Josh Donaldson shtick over here?

Jan 27, 2015 10:01 AM on Third Base
 
jfranco77
(64578)
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Two-star value play: shtick Doesn't have the upside of Kris Bryant's eyes, but at least it's consistent.

Jan 27, 2015 9:58 AM on Third Base
 
jfranco77
(64578)
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You're right... I remember that now. Good call!

 
jfranco77
(64578)
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Casey Kotchman gave the Angels 5.3 WAR, was traded to the Braves for Mark Teixeira, who gave the Angels 3.7 WAR (in 54 games) and then the Angels got some guy named Trout for the Teixeira comp pick (27.8 WAR so far). Maybe Casey Kotchman will pass Boddicker some day.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
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I think a fun made up stat would be Team Hitter Ks * Team Winning Percentage. What team has the all time highest score?

 
jfranco77
(64578)
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I think Ichiro just likes baseball and isn't ready to quit. Or maybe he's curious about South Beach. Or he wants to watch Giancarlo Stanton up close. Or he really likes Martin Prado. Either way, I'll be rooting for the Fish a little bit this year just because of Ichiro.

Jan 26, 2015 9:13 AM on Miami Ich
 
jfranco77
(64578)
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Woof, that's an ugly end of the list. I think you missed Cubs Beer Vendor #6 who should be in the high 40s.

Jan 22, 2015 11:42 AM on Top 50 Second Basemen
 
jfranco77
(64578)
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Completely agree. I'd love to see a list of players that look good and bad for 2015 by this method.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
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21. Austin Hedges: good baseball prospect, bad fantasy prospect.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
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What if you used something like (actual win total - PECOTA's pre-season projected win total)?

 
jfranco77
(64578)
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Man I would happily take Dozier over any of those other Tier-2 guys, AVG be damned.

Jan 21, 2015 8:57 AM on Second Base
 
jfranco77
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After listening to the podcast (FFF) and the guys talk about how Rendon is a top-10ish pick overall for them... isn't that a 5-star player? How many players are in the 5 star group? I would have guessed about 20.

Jan 21, 2015 8:27 AM on Second Base
 
jfranco77
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I don't think it's completely crazy. What if you could buy Addison Russell? What would you pay? Well, some team is probably going to pay 80-100mil for Yoan Moncanda (40-50mil plus a 100% tax) who's pretty similar. I'm not saying the Cubs would trade Russell anyway, but if you're willing to pay 100mil for him, then you can see this deal as spending 100mil to get Russell and 100mil to get Scherzer. Or course you're really trading 2 years of Strasburg and 200mil for Russell and Scherzer, but Strasburg didn't have a rotation spot anyway.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
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Sardinas probably platoons with Scooter while also getting looks at SS and 3B. I believe Aramis Ramirez is gone after this year? An empty average guy isn't ideal at 3B, but if he comes with a good glove and you're short on other options, he could be interesting.

Jan 20, 2015 7:27 AM on The Rangers Get Durable
 
jfranco77
(64578)
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Wow, that would be awesome. Of course I have no idea how you would do it. I guess just assign a dollar value at each decile.

Jan 20, 2015 6:08 AM on Projecting Uncertainty
 
jfranco77
(64578)
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It would depend a lot on who's going to be there at 1.09 but given that you keep 25 players I'd say nobody that exciting. Especially with Max going to WSH, I'd hang onto him. I like Soler but I don't love him that much.

 
jfranco77
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Some of the fantasy implications depend on league size. In a shallower league (say a 12-team mixed), maybe the high-variance player (Javier Baez?) is an asset only if they reach their 80% projection. But the low-variance player (hello Mark Buehrle) really has no path to relevance.

Jan 19, 2015 5:48 AM on Projecting Uncertainty
 
jfranco77
(64578)
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Napoli had his sleep apnea fixed this off-season. I think I'd go Napoli, Ike, any other sentient being I could find, Singleton.

Jan 19, 2015 5:37 AM on Ike Davis
 
jfranco77
(64578)
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Poor Ike Davis is so far below the keeper line that he doesn't even get listed in "Below the Keeper Line?"

Jan 16, 2015 12:46 PM on First Basemen
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 3

Well, even if that's true, you don't see other GMs going on the record (even anonymously) to criticize Brian Sabean or Brian Cashman or (name your team's GM). So there might be a little bit of fire behind that smoke.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
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Definitely an interesting take. A little contrived but overall it works. I have a feeling it will take some time to be appreciated (does that make it The River?) No shame in being the 2nd best writer who combines sports and Springsteen (nobody is touching Posnanski). My favorite/most enjoyable albums are not that different from John Carter, though I will say that BtR makes the cut, and The River, Darkness and BitUSA are all very close to the top as well. Dark Side Abbey Road Joshua Tree Born to Run

 
jfranco77
(64578)
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Go back and read the 1B valuation article. Loney was at something like 9 bucks mixed/19 bucks AL last year. And Duda was the 53rd ranked 1B in 2013. If that's their floors, Duda's is clearly lower.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

Well Gaby is going to put up some great numbers this year. Your league counts Japanese stats, right?

Jan 15, 2015 9:18 AM on First Basemen
 
jfranco77
(64578)
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What kind of OBP does Lindor project for? I would think a smart, heady guy would be able to do something like .290 average and .360 OBP, but he sounds a little hacktastic in his writeup.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
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Can you get more than 1 ticket for a regular season game? If you could get 2 or 4 tickets the next time the Yankees come to town, you could put them up on Stubhub and recoup a lot of the money you paid for the ticket.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
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Something tells me your only league PFM dollar values are a little off. VMart $16.38 for 641 AB, 87r 32hr 103rbi 3sb .335 Hosmer $15.87 for 547 AB, 54r 9hr 58rbi 4sb .270

Jan 14, 2015 7:32 AM on First Basemen
 
jfranco77
(64578)
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I watched the Beltran-at-1B game and I still don't understand why they didn't put Ichiro there. I also don't understand the Yankees' season-long refusal to have a real backup 1B, but I really think Ichiro could play 1B. I know he's short but he's bendy!

 
jfranco77
(64578)
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I'd take Rizzo and I am not sure it's as close as you have it. But I can see your arguments for why it's close. One other thing about the runs category, Rizzo probably has a full grade or better speed advantage, which might come into play a little bit.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 3

So Courtney Hawkins doesn't get a "3" hit tool from this prospect team? :)

 
jfranco77
(64578)
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Even if A-Rod goes away, the Yankee OF is Gardner (can hit lefties), Ellsbury (can hit lefties), Beltran (switch hitter) and Chris Young (lefty masher). So I think it's safe to say Jones won't see many lefties.

Jan 12, 2015 1:54 PM on First Basemen
 
jfranco77
(64578)
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Is Carlos Santana still going to try to fake it at 3B or will he be an "import" next year? Same with Wilin Rosario at 1B?

Jan 12, 2015 6:58 AM on First Base
 
jfranco77
(64578)
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And he might have another one (Twins drafted Nick Gordon last summer). And yeah, The Girl Who Loved Tom Gordon... it's a good book.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
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What happened to Delgado in 2009? In 2008 he played 159 games and hit 38 HR for the Mets. In 2009 he only played 26 games but posted a 142 OPS+. He finished with 473 career HR. I know 500 HR doesn't mean what it used to, but it seems like he could have gotten there.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
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So the D-Backs wanted Thor for Didi and settled for Robbie Ray instead?

 
jfranco77
(64578)
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Is Vazquez really a noticeably worse hitter than Hedges?

Jan 08, 2015 9:52 AM on The Top 50 Catchers
 
jfranco77
(64578)
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That's awesome if true.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
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Good stuff. If Zack Greinke doesn't opt out of his Dodgers contract, he's got a bit of Biggio to Kershaw's Bagwell. Or maybe Bumgarner and Cain eventually get there.

Jan 07, 2015 8:32 AM on An Astro for the Ages
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 7

This is good stuff. I like remembering these players a lot more than arguing about steroids.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 2

Owners are incentivized to try risky things because odds are they'll be around for multiple anomalies (good and bad). GM's, on the other hand...

Jan 06, 2015 11:42 AM on Fortune Favors The Bold
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: -1

379 ABs, 11 HR, 40-something runs. And he's probably not hitting .290 again. On the other hand, maybe he stays healthy in TOR, gets some time at DH, and hits near the top of a loaded lineup. I do think there's a danger of people forgetting that the Jays paid 82mil partly because of all the things he does that doesn't help fantasy players.

Jan 06, 2015 7:47 AM on Catchers
 
jfranco77
(64578)
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I'm unconvinced that Gary Sanchez sticks... but I guess for dynasty purposes it's worth the risk. How about Kyle Schwarber? Can he eventually be an Evan Gattis, 20 games at C and 100 games in the OF kind of guy?

Jan 05, 2015 5:48 AM on Catchers
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 2

Best wishes! I hope everything goes well!

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

I don't think logic dictates very many of the Rockies moves. Just sayin.

Jan 05, 2015 5:01 AM on Haren Not Feeling Fish
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

Such good stuff. This should really be called "Austin Hedges and some other stuff you might want to think about... but mostly for the love of god, Austin Hedges"

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 2

They'd give your vote to LeBatard.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
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Fun fact: Anthopolous isn't sure which Francisco Rodriguez he actually wants?

 
jfranco77
(64578)
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Jay could be a risk for playing time with Heyward sliding to CF and Grichuk/Piscotty could play RF. To me Peralta seems about as WYSIWYG as it gets. I know I've seen a lot of worry about Wainwright's elbow from other folks (maybe even on BP?) - but it doesn't sound like you're concerned at all.

Dec 29, 2014 6:55 AM on St. Louis Cardinals
 
jfranco77
(64578)
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Maybe the Tigers lack of interest in extending Price and the lack of an apparent market for Max Scherzer will combine to send Max back to Detroit.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
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Awesome story. Especially around the holidays.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Pirates reportedly win posting for Korean shortstop Jung-ho Kang. Not sure how fantasy-worthy this is or isn't.

Dec 22, 2014 12:28 PM on Pittsburgh Pirates
 
jfranco77
(64578)
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Great velo, potential double-plus change, funky crossfire delivery and command issues? Sign Eddie Butler up for the 2019 Rays right now!

 
jfranco77
(64578)
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Oh how I wish an uncanny knowledge of Springsteen lyrics was actually a requirement to be a GM.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
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Did AJ Burnett actually get his sports hernia fixed in the off-season? I'm assuming he did but can't remember seeing anything about it.

Dec 22, 2014 6:24 AM on Pittsburgh Pirates
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

I'm just going to close my eyes and be surprised when the Padres announce their opening day catcher. Tracking it is too much work.

Dec 19, 2014 12:16 PM on Catchin' Relief
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

A righty who gets lefties out with a changeup? Wasn't that Joel Peralta? Guess the Rays really have a type.

Dec 17, 2014 5:30 AM on Angels Happy Re: Joyce
 
jfranco77
(64578)
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It seems to me like it might matter more in the playoffs. Teams are more likely to have good LOOGYs or other good lefties, and managers can use them more often. Overall, really interesting stuff. It makes sense if you think about it - the guy who is just flat better is going to be better in all those situations where it's not obvious (2nd AB against an average RH SP, etc) so even if it seems painful to have them neutralized once in a while, that's really just selective memory.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
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I love the graphics. Great work. Question about Jordan Lyles - his curveball dropped and broke a lot less. He played for HOU in 2013 and for COL in 2014. Is some of that change Coors-related? My recollection is that Coors isn't great for curveballs.

Dec 16, 2014 10:39 AM on Curveballs and Changes
 
jfranco77
(64578)
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Well for what it's worth, they lost out on Duke and Robertson but they did steal Neshek away from the Pirates. He was "Seconds Away" from signing with them. http://hardballtalk.nbcsports.com/2014/12/10/pat-neshek-was-seconds-away-from-signing-with-pirates/

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Regarding Sanchez... The Yankees do need some depth at 1B, and it wouldn't be the first time that a team successfully platooned McCann with an offense-first catcher/hitter. But does this mean that there are at least some scouts who think Sanchez can catch well enough to fake it as a backup?

 
jfranco77
(64578)
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I really like this deal for the Yankees. Ryan could be somewhat competent against lefties if they platoon Gregorius. That said, I'd be careful about regressing Gregorius' BABIP too far. Guys who get beat by hard stuff and hit a lot of fly balls aren't exactly BABIP monsters.

Dec 08, 2014 5:07 AM on Replacing a Legend
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 7

They swapped out 1 year of a guy you want for 4 years (Heyward) for 4 years of a guy you want for 1 year (Markakis) and 4 years of a guy I have no idea how long you want him for (Miller)

 
jfranco77
(64578)
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If I had a roster that looked like the Dodgers, I would certainly want a good defensive outfielder who was also a good pinch hitter. Those are pretty few and far between. And if I was the Dodgers and money wasn't really an object, I'd probably be happy to have Chris Heisey as my 5th outfielder. (Of course, Puig, Kemp, Crawford, Ethier, Joc and SVS is already 6 guys, so who knows?)

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0
 
jfranco77
(64578)
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Man that Jesse Winker swing is sweet. But I see what you mean about the legs. A little Jason Heyward-y?

Dec 01, 2014 10:26 AM on NL Central
 
jfranco77
(64578)
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+1000 for the Taylor Swift quote

Nov 30, 2014 5:37 PM on Baltimore Orioles
 
jfranco77
(64578)
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Really good breakdown. Thanks!

Nov 24, 2014 11:19 AM on National League
 
jfranco77
(64578)
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It does seem surprising. If they really thought they could fix him, but wanted to have him cheap if they were right, why not do 1 with a team option for a second?

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

Agreed. They seem set on moving Rendon to 3B and opening up a hole at 2B (unless they trade for a shortstop like Castro and move Desmond to 2B??)

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: -1

It works great if Stephenson is Yordano Ventura and Lorenzen/Howard are Holland/Herrera. It works less well if the 3 of them are Holland/Herrera/Crow or Herrera/Crow/Hoechevar.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

I would imagine. Most dynasty leagues are only drafting 2014 picks and guys who came from out of nowhere in the preceding season.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Where does Roberto Baldoquin fit? Prospect who needs 3 years in the minors? Guy who could be up at mid-season?

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

What a great story. And now I'm a Jaye Chapman fan for life. (Unless you steer him to Boston!)

 
jfranco77
(64578)
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I want to listen to 45 minutes of Sam and Ben dissecting the wording people use for their tweets and other English language nuance.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 3

Just figure out what's undervalued and go get it. Walks! Hmmm... not any more. Defense! Hmmmm.... maybe. Pitch framing! Hmmmm.... maybe not. Bunting?

Nov 17, 2014 12:00 PM on How To Win
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 3

Top 10 Talents 25 And Under (born 4/1/89 or later) Giancarlo Stanton Jose Fernandez Christian Yelich Marcell Ozuna Nathan Eovaldi Henderson Alvarez Andrew Heaney Tyler Kolek I know they don't have a lot of cash (less now), and I know that prospects flame out. But I find it hard to believe that that list of players isn't 15th or better in terms of their chances to win the world series in the next 5 years.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
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Now the question is, will he be able to adjust again when he starts seeing a lot more breaking balls?

 
jfranco77
(64578)
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Future Pirate, I'd suspect. Hot mess, throws sinkers, probably fixable. Ray Searage has a type.

Nov 13, 2014 11:42 AM on Justin Masterson
 
jfranco77
(64578)
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More likely to happen again - Kluber being a top 5-10 pitcher or Brantley being a top 20-25 hitter?

Nov 12, 2014 2:19 PM on Cleveland Indians
 
jfranco77
(64578)
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If "Team X" had just signed a free agent with a qualifying offer, meaning their odds of signing another QO player were higher than average, *and* Team X had a great young pitching prospect at Triple-A, *and* a deep farm system they could leverage to fill holes via promotion or trade, *and* a lot of rumored fixes to their one hole on offense (shortstop), you'd like Team X at 25:1. Unfortunately Team X is the Mets, and they can only win the World Series when they run into the rare fan base that's more tortured than them (the 69 Cubs, who I know they didn't play in the WS, but they sure tortured them, and the 86 Red Sox). So unless they can beat the Cubs and Nats in the playoffs and then I guess the Indians in the World Series....

 
jfranco77
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What does a graph of starter IP/G look like for this time frame? I suspect that teams are starting to prioritize relief pitching a little more, and this is related to declining starter IP/G. Not sure if one causes the other but I suspect there is a correlation. I think teams are a little more able to see the value in relief pitching and are more likely to let their borderline SPs go into the bullpen. (For example, Wade Davis, Dellin Betances this year. Even Aaron Sanchez, for a while.) In the past, maybe those guys just stay in the minors trying to become starters until they're 28. Or maybe something systemic is causing the "failing" starting pitchers to be more of the "pair of 7 pitches but nothing else" category as opposed to the "whole bunch of 45 pitches" category. Maybe that's player development. Teams are getting *something* out of those 1st round picks even if it isn't a starter.

Nov 11, 2014 10:45 AM on It's Not a Phase
 
jfranco77
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Kind of surprised to see Conger traded for so little. I think the teams that miss out on Russell Martin are going to wish they had gotten in on the bidding. (OK, maybe just the Pirates, since the Dodgers can always go back to AJ Ellis and the Cubs can always go back to Wellington Castillo)

Nov 07, 2014 10:02 AM on The Congering
 
jfranco77
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That qualifying offer was the best thing that's happened to the Mets in years. Probably.

Nov 06, 2014 9:58 AM on Michael Cuddyer
 
jfranco77
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I'm guessing the Yankees would rather pay him 3/35 or 4/40 or something with a lower AAV, but they wanted to keep the QO in their back pocket in case he wasn't interested in that.

Nov 05, 2014 10:51 AM on David Robertson
 
jfranco77
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A "bigger, better, supercharged Juan Samuel for a new generation" sounds perfect to me. Probably the most enjoyable right-handed swing I've ever seen. In 2002 I was at his last game of the season, and he had 39 HR and 41 SB. Rooted so hard for him to homer and make the 40/40 club, but it wasn't meant to be. In 2004 he was traded for A-Rod (and, given a choice between Joaquin Arias and Robinson Cano as the throw-in, the Rangers took Arias). A year later he was traded for Brad Wilkerson.

 
jfranco77
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Diaz sounds a little Carlos Ruiz-y.

Nov 04, 2014 10:10 AM on Fall Stars Game Recap
 
jfranco77
(64578)
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So Dale Sveum got canned largely because Rizzo and Castro regressed. They got fixed on Renteria's watch, and...

 
jfranco77
(64578)
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Yes more NL teams should sign DHs in case they make it to the World Series

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: -2

Pirates/Giants game needs to be #32. Or lower. Maybe a group of 6 year olds playing tee-ball could be #32 and the Pirates/Giants game could be #33.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
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Look at the Yankees, hitting home runs deep into October! Just like 1998 all over again! Oh. The AFL.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
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Jeremy Giambi, for his incredible ability to not slide!

 
jfranco77
(64578)
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I have to think if Ventura struggles early, Yost will be looking to his game 4 starter and planning to bring Shields back on short rest for game 4.

 
jfranco77
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This is one of the best articles I've ever read on BP. Amazing work.

 
jfranco77
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Their forearms and hands are finely tuned from hoisting mountains of BBQ... which also helps to raise their high-five game.

 
jfranco77
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The Rangers hope that Bannister/Mike Maddux will be as good a pairing as Hurdle and Ray Searage.

Oct 20, 2014 5:59 AM on Silverman's Kohn Job
 
jfranco77
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A couple more things to think about. Though it's not the case for Iwakuma, I would think catchers are less likely to call, and/or pitchers are less likely to throw, pitches in the dirt with RISP. Or at least with runners on 3rd. Don't want the ball getting to the backstop. Interestingly, though, Iwakuma throws MORE splitters with RISP and I would think that's a riskier pitch. (I believe it's actually true that catchers call more fastballs with runners on first.... I know we all *think* it's true. But that's not a main consideration.) Second, catcher tendencies in general. If both Iwakuma and Felix do something, maybe it's Mike Zunino who wants a vastly different approach with runners on. I don't know if there's enough data for backup catchers to compare, but it's worth considering.

 
jfranco77
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Saw this on twitter and couldn't stop laughing #BuntForRedOctober

 
jfranco77
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What are the odds that he goes full Brantley, or even half Brantley, next year? Seems vaguely similar.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
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Chapman Betances Benoit

 
jfranco77
(64578)
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The real #1: Derek Jeter signs a 7-day contract with KC and hits a world-series winning home run into the fountains at The K. (After ignoring the bunt sign from Ned Yost, of course.) Then makes out with Lorde and/or George Brett during the post-game celebration.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1
 
jfranco77
(64578)
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Doug Fister isn't left handed. Gio Gonzalez, on the other hand... Unless Doug Fister is really the Dread Pirate Roberts, in which case, kudos.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

Really interesting article. Thanks!

Oct 02, 2014 9:46 AM on In Love With Lohse
 
jfranco77
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D-Backs fans are hoping Stewart can even come close to a 100 GM+

Sep 30, 2014 10:31 AM on The Draw of Averages
 
jfranco77
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Awful, awful weekend by the Pirates. Axford and Bobby LaFramboise get to blow the game on Saturday while Melancon watches. They give up a game-winning hit to Johnny freaking Cueto on Sunday... Cole couldn't bunt Chris Stewart over to 3rd in the 5th inning on Sunday... honestly I'm not sure why Cole even started on Sunday in the first place.

Sep 29, 2014 7:33 AM on September 29, 2014
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 3

I am with Dave (literally as I am also in Pittsburgh) ... I don't think we should be so quick to dismiss the verticality issue. A sub or hoagie is sometimes (usually?) served with the 2 sides of the roll parallel to the ground. Isn't it? Put another way, it would be a hell of a lot easier to eat a hoagie that way. Whereas a hot dog would be more difficult to eat that way. If this is your hot dog: - 0 - You'll be very messy. Hot dogs should be like this: |0| On the other hand I eat my chicken parm or Italian hoagie like this - 0 -

 
jfranco77
(64578)
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I think NatsReviewCharlie is on the right track, but what if I eat a turkey sandwich on a round roll from the bakery that I had to slice myself?

 
jfranco77
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I'd probably take both Ray Searage and Rene Gayo over Neal Huntington. Not that Neal hasn't done a good job... but unless you think finding another Searage and another Gayo is a unique, repeatable skill, I might not rank him quite that high.

Sep 26, 2014 9:16 AM on Buxton or Beane?
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 4

Everyone remembers who the Tigers gave up to get Doyle Alexander in 1987. Pretty good fella by the name of John Smoltz. A lot less people remember that Alexander went 9-0, 1.53 in 88 innings for the Tigers. Who won the AL East. It's not like they got nothing in return.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

I would be saving Pat Venditte as one of my 5 prospects, because you never know when it will be useful to have someone ambidextrous around.

Sep 16, 2014 11:37 AM on Week 25
 
jfranco77
(64578)
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Jose Tabata doesn't really need to be able to play CF for the Pirates. Their 3 starting outfielders can all play it better than he can. I don't know if that helps or hurts his value, to be honest. They can stick a guy like Lambo in a corner rather than asking Tabata to fake it in center.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
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One word about Locke: I haven't checked his splits but the Braves and Brewers are both very right-handed and might not be great matchups even if they're scuffling.

Sep 11, 2014 3:28 AM on Week 24
 
jfranco77
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Where does Ike Davis' trade to the Pirates fall on that line? Is it possible that Pirate hitters in general are pitched further away from the zone? Anecdotally, it seems like a lot of them get pitched inside, and I wonder if it's more of a team tendency reflected here.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 3

What if I told you there was a pitcher who is 11-7 with a 3.31 ERA in 165 innings? Pretty solid, considering that pitcher was 9-12 with a 5.71 ERA last year? That pitcher was so bad last year that he had to "settle" for 1yr/5mil, and fans of the team who signed him thought it was an overpay. Ladies and gentlemen, Edinson Volquez.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 6

I lava (volcano term) this writeup

Sep 03, 2014 10:04 AM on Dalton Pompey
 
jfranco77
(64578)
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What if I told you there was a major league baseball franchise that hasn't won the World Series in over 100 years? Isn't that the one you would assume Jason Parks went to work for? It just seems fitting.

Aug 28, 2014 9:56 AM on Pain Don't Hurt
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 5

Bravo!

 
jfranco77
(64578)
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Chris Young is approximately 1.28 Altuves tall (82/64)

 
jfranco77
(64578)
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I guess it's also an arrow up for David Peralta, who no longer needs to fear the return of AJ Pollock?

 
jfranco77
(64578)
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#Mort

 
jfranco77
(64578)
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Isn't this just a prisoner's dilemma? Or maybe the opposite where everyone is better off not cooperating? If I'm Billy Beane and I think my team is 10% better at developing players than my competition, am I going to lose my advantage if I invest this 5mil and everyone else does too? Now on the flip side if I'm Brian Cashman and I'm pretty sure I'm 10% WORSE than everyone else, maybe I should do it. Then again, maybe that takes away my advantage of being able to spend in free agency.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 3

Notice in your chart above that the number of starters used hasn't really changed. It's just the number of relievers. More pitchers are being used, period, and the guys making up the gap are the relievers.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
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Here's an interesting one.... Miguel Cabrera. He hasn't really been MIGGY this year. He's on pace for .309-29-129-99r (ZIPS updated full season projection).

Jul 15, 2014 6:20 AM on Howie Kendrick
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 5

Sweet. I can't wait to collect on my +10000 bet that Ben Lindbergh would leave before Ryan Parker.

Jul 11, 2014 6:27 AM on Forever Changes
 
jfranco77
(64578)
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Gabriel Lino - is that the guy that Kevin Goldstein used to like way back in the Up and In days? #futureAstro

Jul 10, 2014 7:28 AM on July 10, 2014
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

Arrrrrrrrrrrismendy Alcantarrrrrrrrrrrrrra needs to play for the Pirates.

Jul 09, 2014 12:42 PM on Arismendy Alcantara
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Mets traded Lenny Dykstra and Roger McDowell to the Phillies for Juan Samuel. Lenny and Roger were 12-year old me's favorite players and I never forgave the Mets for what they did. Samuel was the first of the new wave of Mets that wrecked them in NYC for 10 years (see also Bobby Bonilla, Vince Coleman, etc)

 
jfranco77
(64578)
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Will the Red Sox consider moving Trey Ball back to outfield if he keeps struggling?

 
jfranco77
(64578)
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Another factor to consider is your skill in finding diamonds in the rough. It's easier to live without your high picks if you can score a guy like Tapia in the 3rd round.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Great article. Am I remembering right that McHugh had the crazy curve with the Mets, but didn't have anything else and didn't really know what to do with it?

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 2

I love this series. I would love to see some more back and forth or maybe a companion piece on the flip side - what would Friedman ask the Yankees for? Is there a deal that he would take? Also can't decide which is worse, the Pirates putting both Glasnow and Kingham in the deal or the Rays rejecting it :)

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

This is true. I have a "Be Royal" souvenir cup on my desk to prove it. It used to be filled with delicious Boulevard Pale Ale, but alas, now it's just water.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

Brendan Ryan or an out of position Yangervis Solarte. Those are the alternatives to Jeter. This one isn't on Girardi, it's on Cashman.

Jun 25, 2014 9:56 AM on Five Hours and Counting
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Cole just came back. Locke and Cumpton appear to be fine. Morton is not awful. That only leaves 1 spot for Liriano (hurt), Volquez (usually bad), Worley (probably quad-A but I guess you never know) and Kingham. I wouldn't bet on them burning enough pitchers to get to Kingham.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Do the Mariners really have to wait till DJ Peterson gets to the majors to screw him up? Can't they do it in the minors?

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

Well I thought this would help but it really doesn't. http://www.higheredinfo.org/dbrowser/?year=2004&level=nation&mode=data&state=0&submeasure=63 College-Going Rates of High School Graduates - Directly from High School Highest states: NY (ok, makes sense), SD (what?), SC, ND (what?), MN. CT and MA are pretty high but VT and NH really aren't.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

If you're the Pirates GM, having seen Dilson Hererra and Alen Hanson and maybe even Jordy Mercer come through the system without ever developing a legit shortstop, you might lean towards Crawford. Shortstops can be hard to find. Great piece.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Are we sure that injuries are a thing that "just happens" to the Padres? Does their training staff deserve some blame? Their player development plans? It could all just be random chance but you're probably talking 2 or 3 standard deviations from the norm.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

How about Michael Brantley for next week? Is he the real deal?

Jun 23, 2014 10:31 AM on Billy Butler
 
jfranco77
(64578)
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He hasn't been quite the same this year but you could also look at Day-dro (Pedro Alvarez) against Edwin Jackson (405 game in Wrigley)

Jun 20, 2014 6:32 AM on Latent Latos
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 7

I love this. Such #sparkle

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Someone should have transcribed the live draft :)

Jun 19, 2014 7:52 AM on Ep. 20: Mediocrity
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 5

Would love to see a corresponding list of guys who are hitting lately but whose overall numbers are masked by trainwreck Aprils.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

McGuire was the later pick though, right? In a perfect world I'd take Heaney/McGuire over Meadows/McGuire.

Jun 17, 2014 6:47 AM on Whom Would We Pick Now?
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 7

Jorge Flores is 1.016 Altuves tall

Jun 16, 2014 10:30 AM on June 16, 2014
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

In a 12-teamer I have to think Gentry is going to hurt you more in R/RBI/HR then he will help you in steals. So I would not do that. Either punt, or trade for Billy Hamilton or Dee Gordon.

Jun 13, 2014 11:26 AM on Straight Chasing
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 5

If Sam Miller had written this piece it would have been "move the mound 2 feet to the left" or something like that. This way was good too, though.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Not sure what the Cubs are doing with Schwarber. I know you can't draft based on what you have on your team already, but he's a college bat who seems like a 1B, and they have Rizzo locked up long term. Would they try Schwarber at C in the minors to see if he can make it?

Jun 06, 2014 7:21 AM on Fantasy Outlook
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

So Aiken's *present* pitches are 6-6-5? Meaning he could probably handle himself in the majors as a 17 year old? Wow.

Jun 05, 2014 12:13 PM on June 5, 2014
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Yes, I would say goodbye to Timmah for him.

Jun 05, 2014 8:16 AM on Eddie Butler
 
jfranco77
(64578)
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Was the well intentioned Cuba/LBJ theorist Dom DeLillo? :)

Jun 05, 2014 7:34 AM on Day Nine: Frisco
 
jfranco77
(64578)
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Another thing you can do to push the top teams to sell is to trade with the teams below them. If 1-2 appear to be set, maybe give some assets to the 3rd place team and try to shake things loose.

Jun 05, 2014 6:48 AM on Keeper League Purgatory
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: -1

In this scenario there is no way the fantasy Pirates should pass up AJ Reed. That park would love him. Unless you believe Ike Davis will be blocking him for the next 6 years.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Love, love, love this article. My daughter is 4 and has been to a handful of games. We usually sit where you sat - those are my favorite seats too - but for my birthday we got seats close to home plate. (How close? Jim Leyland was in the row behind us) Maybe a coincidence but she made it through 7 innings without any additional stimulation (snacks, walking around the park, etc).

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

So much win. Great stuff!

May 28, 2014 5:11 AM on Day One: Lynchburg
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

I wish that worked... just takes me to the podcast app when I try to download it. And it doesn't show up in the podcast app. But it does show up in the store!

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

What's the deal with the NL? Their value is significantly higher than the AL. Is it just because they used to have 16 teams so there was more available on the FA list prior to 2013?

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

And he was just placed on the 7-day concussion DL.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Still not in iTunes feed (at least for me). Anyone have any luck?

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

But who are the other 3/0/0/0/0/3 guys? Help those of us with terrible research skills!

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

Isn't there a little bit of bias built in? Teams are more likely to give their first rounder some time in the majors to justify their investment to the fans. I don't know how to account for that but I suspect it is there somewhere.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 8

Enjoyable article. Also I am totally down for fantasy diplomacy. Maybe we can combine the two? Shutdown 2 reactors for Giancarlo and a 1st round pick?

May 23, 2014 6:27 AM on Fantasy Gets Impersonal
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

If Turner is somehow there for the Pirates you may get to see Neal Huntington dancing in the streets.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

Since the Rockies are hitting about .550 as a team at home this year, could pitchers just be working away from all of their hitters a little more?

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Is it me or did Hamilton look safe on that play of the day? Still a heck of an effort by Cabrera to make it close.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 5

C'mon. Andrew McCutchen needs to be on this list. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=l8ifhB5aR9k https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EjbRh56WG9E https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HLVxMtzByrI http://mlbfancave.mlb.com/assets/images/custom/RiskyBusiness_V2_1y4x085d.gif Plunder the lox!!!

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

I love this. Hamilruns is my new favorite stat.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 2

Dear Matthew Kory, my 4-year old is a Yankee fan and has the same problem. Ridiculous, I say.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 2

I like wait-off. I was going with a "walk-on" because they were all in the dugout, and then they all came back onto the field. But wait-off might be better.

May 07, 2014 11:52 AM on Kershaw Comes Back
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

So, is Coghlan better or worse than Ryan Kalish?

May 07, 2014 6:37 AM on Week Five
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Also quite a big disagreement on Swihart. Is this just #CraigLovesCatchers or something else?

May 06, 2014 11:00 AM on AL East U25 Lists
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Is there anything to the Astros letting Folty go deep? Getting ready for a callup? Or just one of those games?

May 06, 2014 8:31 AM on Games of Monday, May 5
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

And Ernesto Frieri got a save last night. Seems like he's back.

May 06, 2014 6:33 AM on Week Six
 
jfranco77
(64578)
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Mostly unrelated to the AL/NL games but do you think Lawrie at 2B could become a regular thing? It's not like the Jays' 2B options are good.

May 05, 2014 9:39 AM on Week Six
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Their team has 8 wins (.333 winning percentage) and they have generated 2 saves. At that pace they will win 54 games and generate 13 or 14 saves as a team. It has to get better than that right?

Apr 29, 2014 12:21 PM on Week Five
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

If I didn't think sliders were going to eat Big Fern's elbow I might be inclined to take him over Harper too. Even with that concern I am still very tempted.

Apr 29, 2014 11:59 AM on NL East U25 Lists
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Are the Cubs ever going to GET a save chance? That's the $64,000 question.

Apr 29, 2014 7:32 AM on Week Five
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

I also don't think Grichuk is going to get regular ABs, so why deny Tavares the opportunity to get them at AAA?

Apr 28, 2014 12:37 PM on Games of April 25-27
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 2

That's awesome... congrats to Ben! And also to James Santelli, if he happens to come by here and read it... I loved that piece. And I suppose to Noah Woodward, whose piece I just added to my queue.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Presumably Davidson comes up to play 3B at some point, and then they have Semien and Beckham for 2B. That's a lot of moving parts before you get to Johnson.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

I wish I could start Santana in my AL league!

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

Is there anything to the growing separation between his SL and CH velocities? Especially in light of the increased horizontal movement in his CH?

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 3

My vote is Walden. When Carpenter got the save the other day, Walden had pitched a bunch of days in a row. Walden is more closer-y and Fredi is pretty traditional.

Apr 22, 2014 10:00 AM on Week Four
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Because if you spend 50-60 percent of your money on offense, your offense will be terrible, and because pitching is so volatile, yours probably won't be any better than someone who spent 30% of their budget on it. Is that about right?

Apr 21, 2014 6:41 AM on Why 70/30?
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

If the union really cares about all its members wouldn't it be worth it to raise the minimum salary to like 700k and eliminate super 2? I honestly don't know but it's worth considering.

Apr 18, 2014 6:43 AM on Super Twoing
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 4

I think we need more My Cousin Vinny references.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

I'm not Mike but I'd go Milone McAllister -- Keuchel Oberholzer Cosart Johnson Don't believe in CY, or Gibson's K/BB, and your guess at which Astro can keep it up is as good as mine.

Apr 17, 2014 2:04 PM on Week Three
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Luckily the A's are just like the Borg and Jesse Chavez slid into his spot without anyone noticing.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 2

Better question, Jack Bauer or Trevor Bauer?

Apr 16, 2014 9:14 AM on Week Two
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

Man, I don't think I'd take Wandy @CIN even if the 2nd start was against a little league team. But then again, the Reds' only competent hitters are lefties. Caveat emptor I suppose.

Apr 11, 2014 6:50 AM on Week Three
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Excellent point. When the picture of Hanley that accompanies the article was captioned "If Hanley hits free agency, he'll hope the cost of a win continues to climb." I was hoping that this was the reason why. He's precisely the kind of guy who could get the elite player bump.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Like Pat Folz, I wonder if there's something deeper at work here. Namely, the guy is already pitching like crap to get into the situation in the first place. What if you compare the expected results for when a pitcher comes in and allows a runner to get to 2nd base and then doesn't issue an intentional walk, with situations where he does?

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

No Day-Dro against Samardjzia? :) I do like the Upton pick quite a bit.

Mar 31, 2014 7:46 AM on Opening Day Lineup
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Love the pitching. How does the fact that almost everyone else took Billy Hamilton change your approach to steals? If Hamilton tanks, you're golden, but if he doesn't, then you're probably behind all those Hamilton teams even with Altuve and Trout and Cabrera in tow.

Mar 31, 2014 7:43 AM on Yes, I Paid for Trout
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 12

Unpossible. Tigers would never trade Don Kelly.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 2

So far I like this team the best out of all of them.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Isn't part of the benefit of stars and scrubs the fact that new "scrubs" emerge through free agency, and you can churn some of those $1 guys. S&S is an interesting approach here since you don't have that option.

Mar 28, 2014 8:02 AM on Stars and Scrubs
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

The D-Backs added Bronson Arroyo who can actually hit a little (6 career HR) so I'll definitely take the pitchers over Campana.

 
jfranco77
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The only thing that surprises me about PECOTA giving the Cards 88 wins is that PECOTA seems to hate the rest of the contenders (Reds 81, Pirates 79) so where did those wins go? I guess that's what happens when you give the Brewers 80 (maybe, I guess) and the Cubs 73 (probably not gonna happen).

 
jfranco77
(64578)
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Guzman does have a really pretty swing. I have to say, so does Beras, even though it isn't really directed at the ball. But man does he fill out a uniform.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
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But who would you have picked if Cutch and Goldy went 3-4?

Mar 19, 2014 10:56 AM on Picking Fifth
 
jfranco77
(64578)
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This was so fantastic. I think Kerry Wood's curveball might be my favorite pitch ever.

Mar 19, 2014 8:27 AM on Kerry Wood's 20-K Game
 
jfranco77
(64578)
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I'd be curious if the Braves would offer him a QO. He might be more tempted to accept it this time around.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
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Is there some way to make UPSIDE more readable? I have a hard time looking at Mike Trout and knowing that his 'upside' in 2016 is 86.2 WARP. (Really, it's 20 players, so 86.2/20 is about 4. But not all of those 20 players because some of them were negative. Except maybe in Trout's case they weren't.)

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 4

Do park effects include things like reaction time? Does an outfielder get a better jump in his home park? Do players really have better reaction times when a pitcher on the mound "works fast" or is that just speculation?

 
jfranco77
(64578)
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I had to go find video of the Bryant homer. Very nice. http://m.mlb.com/video/topic/26271672/v31404685/chclaa-bryant-goes-deep-in-the-seventh-for-two-runs/?query=bryant

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

Simply the best. The Johan one was my favorite. Followed closely by McCann.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
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Is it possible to do another weighting by prospect rank? In other words, having your #1 and #2 prospect very close to the majors should be worth more than having your #9 and #10 guys close to the majors. With Bradley and Owings I would rank the D-Backs as having one of the MOST impactful farms this year.

 
jfranco77
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Good stuff. I like Heaney a lot.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
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I'd be very surprised if they sent Rendon back down. I could see them using guys at different positions depending on the opponent, but I'm not sure if Williams will be that flexible. (Zimmerman at 1B, Rendon at 3B against lefties)

Feb 21, 2014 1:07 PM on Washington Nationals
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

Brandon Inge once added 10 wins with his makeup alone, according to folklore.

Feb 21, 2014 7:46 AM on Best Speed/Makeup
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Is Jurickson Profar considered a major leaguer and thus not eligible for best minor league makeup?

Feb 20, 2014 10:15 AM on Best Speed/Makeup
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

They lose that too. Which is way more painful than losing the pick itself.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 2

The excerpt of the Bill James "What Ever Happened to the Hall of Fame" that you can read here is a perfect match to your Ubaldo/Garza example, with Don Drysdale and Milt Pappas. http://www.barnesandnoble.com/w/whatever-happened-to-the-hall-of-fame-bill-james/1100626481?ean=9780684800882 I will paste one small snippet: In this study, which does replicate real-life conditions better than the others, the incremental value of the Pappas/Sutton type-pitcher is 180 pennants in 10,000 years; the incremental value of the Drysdale/Carlton type is 203 pennants. The advantage decreases, but it doesn't go away. So it is very clearly true, based on these studies, that big years mean something. The historic bias in favor of pitchers who have big seasons appears to be justified — and Pappas' argument that he should be treated equally with Drysdale, because his record is almost the same, should be rejected.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 3

Oscar, Grichuk *and* Piscotty in 2014? Are you projecting a horrific bus accident for the Cards' current outfield?

Feb 19, 2014 8:24 AM on Outfield Prospects
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Always a tough job, and not one that I envy, but man Starling Marte seems low. And so does Jose Bautista.

Feb 19, 2014 7:56 AM on Outfielders
 
jfranco77
(64578)
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I like it. But did you really draft Trevor Plouffe on purpose?

Feb 18, 2014 7:19 AM on BP's Mixed LABR Draft
 
jfranco77
(64578)
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AJ Burnett will make this rotation look a lot better :)

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

Is Caleb Thielbar purposely omitted?

Feb 17, 2014 12:06 PM on September 14-20
 
jfranco77
(64578)
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Decision goes slightly in Levine's favor, and then commentor 'palehose' comes flying over the top rope and takes out both competitors.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: -1

#KGwasright #RIPKG

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 3

I'd love to see this in a word cloud. Honus Wagner. Range. Defense. Honus Wagner. Range. Luke Appling. Honus Wagner. Range. Range. Range.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: -1

Does PECOTA care that Willis and Leake can both hit?

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Totally agree with you on Alex Cobb. Dude should be way higher. Him and Gerrit Cole.

Feb 10, 2014 6:52 AM on Recap and Analysis
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

For all the emphasis the Pirates place on fastball command in their minor league development, is it strange that Taillon and Glasnow still struggle with it?

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

I 3> Gerrit Cole. Easy top-15 SP upside this year. Buy!

Feb 05, 2014 11:39 AM on Pittsburgh Pirates
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Didn't I read that they were going to stick Cozart in the 2 hole? Hamilton and Cozart hitting 1-2 is really going to murder Votto's RBI chances if it happens.

Feb 03, 2014 1:25 PM on Cincinnati Reds
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

I agree, if they do bring back Drew, I would expect most of the time they'll use Drew/Bogaerts vR and Bogaerts/Middlebrooks vL

Feb 03, 2014 1:23 PM on Shortstops
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

Overall Future Potential: 5; reliever (middle) Realistic Role: 5; late-innings reliever (setup) So David Goforth is expected to exceed his OFP? Setup > Middle, right? I think maybe a typo, but maybe not.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Can we define "better" ? Only because Tanaka might have a FIP better than his ERA. Or worse. Or have a worse xFIP than Latos but throw more innings. WARP, I guess?

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Is there any chance Dozier is for real? 18hr-14sb with an average that won't kill you is a pretty sweet season if he can repeat it.

Jan 28, 2014 6:40 AM on Second Basemen
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

So, Neil Walker, then?

Jan 27, 2014 9:18 AM on Second Basemen
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 2

Most surprising to me is Sano, I thought he might have been top 5, surely top 10. The other big surprise is Ventura, I knew he had helium, but 12... wow. Great job as always.

Jan 27, 2014 8:12 AM on Top 101 Prospects
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 2

The 'Saddest Trade Suggestion' section is a brilliant addition.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Just have to say that this is excellent. Love this kind of content.

Jan 23, 2014 1:29 PM on Rounds 1-2
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

Any updates on iTunes progress?

Jan 22, 2014 7:14 AM on Catchers
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

Edinson Volquez, I guess, because Pirates.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Is it possible for the Ms to do a sign-and-trade with Morales? I can't remember if that's legal under the CBA or not.

Dec 19, 2013 11:02 AM on Who Likes Ike?
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Forget about how far you get from the *bottom* of the org rankings before someone says no, how far from the *top* do you have to get? Cubs and Twins are saying no. We've only seen most of the AL, but are any of those teams turning down their top 5 guys for Trout? Maybe the Orioles, with Gausman/Bundy. Texas wouldn't trade their whole system but maybe their top 5? Same for the Jays. The Pirates? Would they trade Taillon/Polanco/Kingham/Glasnow for Trout? The Cards are probably saying no, I think... Oscar, Wong, Carlos Martinez, Marco Gonzalez. Maybe they don't say no. Boston might say no... Boegarts, JBJ, Henry Owens, Swihart, Webster or Cecchini.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: -1

How about the Dodgers trade Puig, Corey Seager and Adrian Gonzalez for Trout, Hamilton, Pujols.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

OK, that worked for me. Go into the iTunes store and it should be there, and then when it's downloaded it shows up as 12/31/2000. Perfect #slack

Dec 17, 2013 6:29 AM on Episode 23
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Yeah I can't find it in ITunes either

Dec 17, 2013 4:36 AM on Episode 23
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

#sparkle

Dec 06, 2013 5:08 AM on Rip Van Wilson
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

This is really interesting stuff. Is there a plan to track this league-wide?

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 2

Really interesting stuff. Thanks for sharing!

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 4

I really like #4

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

True but it seems like they might do it anyway

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Even if you don't believe the defensive metrics, teams have shown time and time again that they can win with a subpar defensive shortstop when the guy can hit. Derek Jeter and Hanley Ramirez are the most immediate examples.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

It gives them a lot of flexibility. I really like this construction, assuming Matheny can manage the egos. Craig and Bourjos are kind of injury prone, Adams isn't great against lefties, Jay isn't really good enough to play CF every day, Taveras might not be quite ready, so they can mix and match.

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

Is it just me or do the Rockies always seem to have more of these 2B/3B utility guys than any other team?

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

You don't think the Cards will play Matt Adams at 1B and Allen Craig in RF?

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 2

Congrats guys! I really thought it would have been the White Sox that hired Mort...

Nov 22, 2013 5:24 AM on A Commencement of Sorts
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 1

Is it fair to comp Rosario to Daniel Murphy?

 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0

The Minnesota Twins... because whenever you have a chance to get 3 catchers into your everyday lineup, you have to take it!

Nov 18, 2013 7:37 AM on Minnesota Twins
 
jfranco77
(64578)
Comment rating: 0