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I'm just thinking of how they handled Smoral and Brentz recently, and how it sort of bit them in the ass promoting Labourt and Tirado to full season ball last year (not that the assignment was necessarily wrong, just that it clearly did not work out as hoped).
I agree that it's very possible he gets to Michigan at the end of the season for a cup of coffee, but I'm seeing a 50-60 inning season max with most of that coming in Bluefield and/or Vancouver.
Do you guys really think Sean Reid Foley plays in Lansing this season? The last few years the Blue Jays have really moved the young arms slow, usually a couple years in short season, particularly when the first year is so brief.
The sign of a GM with his butt on the line: all the top starting pitcher prospects have their development stunted so they can work out of the big league bullpen.
Plus, Stroman gets extra points for making it /move/.
I fondly remember that 2006 BJ Ryan season. Was the most dominant stretch of relief pitching I've ever personally witnessed. Unfortunately he blew out his arm almost immediately after and was never the same :(
You have a 70 OFP, 65 OFP, and six more 60 OFP's in ten names.
Obviously not all are going to reach their ceiling, but damn dude, if that's not star power to you, what is?
Jesus Christ I love me some Addison Russell.
A 6 foot tall Dominican pitcher who ISN'T already labelled a reliever? Didn't Parks teach you guys anything!?
I kid, I kid.
Cecil features a fastball and knuckle curve almost exclusively so it's not overly surprising that he's not dominant against lefties.
It feels like he has a somewhat slow delivery where he hides the ball well, so perhaps John Gibbons thought the deception would give him an advantage against lefties? As you said, the statistics show that's not necessarily the case.
Regardless, he's been worth 2.4 WARP over the past two seasons, and his curveball is at least a 70-grade pitch. I'm not seeing any scenario in which the Blue Jays acquire a more effective reliever with a better out pitch than Cecil, so I feel confident in saying he'll be closing on Opening Day. The only situation in which he might not would be if the organization was dumb enough to keep Sanchez in the bullpen as opposed to starting him in Triple-A (or in the Majors if the opportunity presents itself).
Toronto's current relief depth chart looks very bad, and considering how tight the money apparently is and the plethora of holes at more important positions (2B, CF, LF), it's doubtful a whole lot of cash gets thrown at that problem.
With that being said, I think Brett Cecil is the very early favorite to inherit the closer role in 2015, and given the outstanding strikeout rates you mentioned above, he could be a sneaky good one.
Damn you R.A. Dickey. Damn you. #mort
I would strongly wager it was CespedesFamilyBBQ
Those Elniery Garcia eyebrows tho
The top 10 under 25 is depressing and I'm not even a Phillies fan.
More depressing is that this is the first year I'm no longer eligible :(
I think the assumption that a "poor" fielder has 50 speed is a huge oversight. MLB "average" speed isn't the average at all, realistically most players are 30-40 runners.
Anthony Gose, an 80 runner and elite fielder, covers a lot more ground than Melky Cabrera, a poor fielder, and the difference is significantly more than 8 feet on a 4 second fly ball.
Making positive contributions to a major league team as a 22 year old is a developmental win in my eyes, and barring a lapse into insanity by the decision makers (admittedly always a possibility in Toronto), those contributions don't preclude him from reaching his ultimate ceiling of an above average major league starter.
I never saw Sanchez pitch in New Hampshire or Buffalo, but what I've seen from him in Toronto is certainly more positive than many reports. He still has his moments where he'll walk a guy on four straight fastballs that all run high and away, but the overall body of work has looked to me like someone with at least a passable command profile.
For a long time there have been "sack" questions following Sanchez around, and the combination of his inning/situation usage and the subsequent results leads me to believe that there's been mental development there. He's risen to the occasion and has handled the best hitters on the planet, often times with relative ease.
While I agree most would rather see this success coming in the rotation, I find it borderline unfathomable that you consider a pitcher who began the season as a 21 year old in Double-A with well documented control concerns who will finish the season dominating the late innings of a major league bullpen a "disappointment".
I think most would applaud 2014 as a developmental win for Sanchez, and absolutely a step in the right direction in terms of fulfilling his overall potential. It's unfair to expect every young pitcher to explode into the Show and have immediate success in the rotation like Marcus Stroman has enjoyed. That should be the exception, not the standard.
Since we have some very talented people in this corner of the interweb, I wonder how difficult it would be for a .9er to take some of Jason's most memorable quotes (along with "Fuuuuck" and "Jeesussss") and create a Jason Parks soundboard.
A few years down the road, in the kitchen of a quaint palatial estate in Arizona...
Wife: "Babe, I really think we should start think about starting a family. Maybe adoption?"
Jason: "You know what, I couldn't agree more. I know this sixteen year old Dominican named Adalberto..."
RIP Professor Texas
"The thing I'd steal is the 80-grade way that he delivers the word “fuck." Parks says the word like it was created specifically for him, and sometimes I think it actually was."
This is so god damn true. I've been trying to copy him for years but my east coast Canadian accent just doesn't let it happen. :(
Now Jason too :(((
RIP Juan Deli
I miss you already, Jason.
Also on August 15th, Daniel Norris in his second Triple-A start as a 21 year old:
5.2 IP, 3 H, 1 ER, 0 BB, 13 K
Thought it deserved mention.
And still have the 7th highest odds, somehow
I'm thinking the July 19th New Hampshire/Portland game was a scout haven.
I wrote about this over the winter at a Blue Jays website, but isn't it possible Sanchez is purposefully overthrowing the changeup in order to induce ground balls?
In the incredible study done by Harry Pavildis on changeups, he noted that large gaps between fastball velocity and changeup velocity tend to result in swings and misses, while narrower gaps tend to result in ground balls.
If Sanchez' fastball and curveball are as good as advertised at generating swings and misses, then there's little reason for Sanchez to throw his #3 pitch, the changeup, seeking a whiff in 0-2 or 1-2 counts. Seems like he'd be far more likely to throw it 2-1 or 2-2, when he's trying to get the pitch in the zone and induce contact.
Agreed. His July numbers (.292/.361/.477 with 7 XBH, 5 SB, and a 7/11 BB/K ratio in 17 games) are basically dead on with what most realistically expect of Pompey.
Similar to the "... and Bryant/Gallo homered." line you often add to the end, I think we're rapidly approaching "... and Mark Appel got shelled." every fifth day. What a mess.
Number 8 would kill #HugWatch, though. :(
The poor wages are bad, but the fact these organizations worth hundreds of millions of dollars make these kids buy their own gloves/bats/cleats is downright embarassing.
Only saw one person mention it last night and haven't been able to check this morning, but I read Roberto Osuna was going back on the disabled list. Have you heard anything similar, Chris?
Don't think anyone actually calls him Joey Bautista. His nickname is Joey Bats. Or Joseph Bats when you're being formal.
Perhaps some rust with Norris after such a long delay between starts?
For some reason he pitched on 8 days rest last night.
Grandal, Eaton, and Pomeranz are showing their drafted teams despite being traded, and it definitely makes more sense.
I thought the Dodgers offer was good, but that the Pirates offer was head and shoulders better than the rest.
As a Blue Jays fan I'm obviously a homer in favor of Norris, but I think both prospects are very deserving of the top 50. Big fan of Berrios.
Sean Reid Foley signing for slot makes that pick even better.
Also, Aaron Sanchez pitched his ass off yesterday.
6.2 IP, 4 H, 1 ER, 1 BB, 7 K. Threw 60 of 92 pitches for strikes (a good ratio for him), and induced 10 ground ball outs against just 2 fly outs.
Quite possibly the best start of his pro career. Here's hoping someone on the BP prospect team was in attendance!
Alberto Tirado was demoted to Vancouver over the weekend. He was young for the MWL but that's still not a great look. He's the second young upside arm (following Labourt much earlier) to be demoted off Lansing's roster.
The Blue Jays are going for the sweep of the big bad Tigers (in Detroit, no less!) after sweeping the division leading A's last month. A little love, my dude!
You're like a Greek myth right now.
Angel Villalona comp to Juan Francisco?
D-No such filth.
Further to that point: Andy Burns in the 11th round of 2011 received a 250,000 dollar signing bonus. That's the most money this front office has ever given to a college position player in their 4 drafts. I just don't see how Zimmer would even be in consideration for Toronto.
The Blue Jays have been roughly 75% high school for high round picks since Alex Anthopoulos took over, and you have them taking two low-upside college players at 9 and 11.
Are you hearing things no one else is?
In 2011, the Texas Rangers had a historically healthy rotation.
C.J. Wilson (34), Colby Lewis (32), Derek Holland (32), Matt Harrison (30), and Alexi Ogando (29) each made 29+ starts. The only other two pitchers to start a game were David Bush (3) and Scott Feldman (2).
If I remember that season correctly, in mid-May the Rangers still had the same 25 man roster they opened the season with.
The same team can be both incredibly lucky and seemingly cursed in such a short span of time. Such is life and the law of averages.
Which state are those cities in?
I've heard Dalton is a big fan of Bastille.
Any extra thoughts on Alberto Tirado? Every five nights he's posting a line like the one he did last night.
For the season (26.2 IP), he's striking out roughly a batter per inning (9.45 K/9) but also walking roughly a batter per inning (8.77 BB/9).
He's only 19 in the Midwest League and had less than 100 pro innings entering the season, so ups and downs are to be expected, but I'm curious if there's been any progression or regression in the stuff and mechanics that you've heard of.
For Jimenez to profile as a legitimate starter behind the plate, how much further does his offensive game need to progress? I realize he'll always be a defense-first catcher, just curious how much of a hinderance you believe his bat currently is overall. 40 hit/30 power present?
Jeff, just wanna say you do an excellent job with the MLU. Your work is appreciated.
To your point about Navarro looking a lot better when a pitcher is locating better:
The article is about Buehrle, but in each of the GIFs, Navarro is just a statue behind the plate. Barely any movement whatsoever.
There's no excuse for the #1 gaff by Navarro, that was some ugly framing.
But the #4 is on the pitcher and the umpire. Morrow threw the fastball when Navarro called a slider down, that's why he flipped the glove and started to go down in anticipation. Then as a double whammy, it doesn't matter where the pitch goes, if the catcher doesn't catch it the umpire almost universally calls ball for some reason.
If Holmes and Toussaint are both off the board when Toronto picks at nine, my excitement will deflate faster than the Hindenburg. :(
Among the shortstop prospects Carlos Correa continues to be my based god.
This is borderline orgasmic.
Last line, best line.
Stroman racked up those 10 K's in 6 innings with just 80 pitches, too.
Of note, regarding:
"Unless Stroman, who has not recorded a seventh-inning out in any of his five minor-league assignments to date, can offer the Blue Jays more length, replacing McGowan with the Duke product might not make any difference."
Stroman has been on a bit of a pitch count in the minor leagues. I believe his limit was 80 last night and he still made it through six. If he was allowed to go 100 I think he'd have completed seven innings, easy.
Dalton Pompey is at least a 60-grade baseball name, too.
If you would like to prove yourself as a scout and start submitting first hand reports from the northeast, I'm sure Jason would love to have you.
It's been said many times that the reports come from where the scouts are. Kind of hard for Jason or Chris or Mark to write a ten-pack blurb about a guy that plays a thousand miles from them.
Three reports in two weeks from the Professor about Mr. Tapia. Francisco might be getting a little jealous... #scorn
Not a major prospect, but 21 year old Dwight Smith Jr. (a lefty, no less) took Cole Hamels deep twice while the Phillies ace was rehabbing with High-A Clearwater last night. His first two XBH of the year.
And Jason Parks sleeper Daniel Norris had a nice season debut for Dunedin: 5 IP, 5 H, 1 ER, 0 BB, 5 K
C.J. Wittman's comments on the Twitter had an entire nation "saluting".
Sanchez was absolutely dirty on Saturday. The three strikeouts all came in the ninth to lock down a 2-0 win. I know "It's Spring Training", but it happened in front of a booming 50,000 fans in Montreal, and each strikeout came on a different pitch. My pants tightened.
Wish you could've seen some more action directed at Lugo. Feels like the presumption has long been that he'll move of short sooner rather than later, would love to know if trained eyes saw any improvements.
It's obviously on a much, much smaller scale and far less traumatic, but I hit three pitchers with line drives in my softball league last season. The fear of injuring another person was so engrained in my head that every time I stepped to the plate I was purposefully opening my front shoulder super early in an attempt to pull the ball down the left field line as opposed to crushing it up the middle or to left-center.
And these were body shot line drives that caused only bruising and "walk it off" injuries. I can't even fathom how it would feel to hit someone in the head and see them stretchered off.
Okay, yeah, I want this.
I weeped for the Stro-show last night :(
Aaron Sanchez on Sunday: 4 IP, 5 H, 0 ER, 1 BB, 3 K, 7-0 GO/AO.
For never pitching above High-A, the kid's having a great spring.
Drew Hutchison is all but locked in as the #4 and rightfully so. The #5 will likely come down to a mud wrestling contest between Todd Redmond, Esmil Rogers, and the incumbent J.A. Happ, with the other two as the #6 and #7 options. Not sure how that changes your groupings but up north we're not particularly enthused about any of those three dudes right now.
Wasn't in an official Grapefruit League game as the split squad was facing the Canadian Junior Team, but
Aaron Sanchez: 4 IP, 2 H, 0 ER, 0 BB, 7 K, 4/0 GO/AO
We can also garner information on the impact of caffeine on baseball players and how much of an effect the crash has as the game progresses.
Lets say Brett Lawrie drinks two Red Bulls before the game, and then only water or gatorade from that point on. How does his first inning reacton time differ from his eighth inning reaction time? Is the decline in reaction time linear or exponential? When would be the optimal inning for Brett to have another Red Bull? THESE ARE THE QUESTIONS THAT NEED ANSWERING
"...so many students from countries that don’t have major league teams—there were students from India, China, Canada, Nigeria, etc. all in the room."
Ouch, man. Ouch.
Nick Gordon going to the Blue Jays at 9 or 11 would be a great outcome for me.
Rathman, you had my attention, but now you have my interest.
With Stroman, Sanchez, Tirado, Norris, Nolin, DeJong, Castro, Hollon, Labourt, Smoral et al., the Blue Jays say hello.
Jason, I'm at work, stop it!
Working in the Blue Jays favor (at least at the minor league level) is that even though they're likely to graduate three of their top 10 in Stroman, Nolin, and Jimenez, they have two picks in the top 11 in what is supposed to be a very strong draft in June. Of course the rub is that they do actually have to sign them, but those two likely high-upside selections combining with the possible growth of guys like Sanchez, Tirado, Nay, DeJong, Castro, et al, leaves a rather bright picture heading into next season.
The timing is pretty good, too, as the Blue Jays only have one guaranteed contract on the books for 2016 with Jose Reyes. There should be ample opportunity for prospects should they develop as hoped.
Are there any plans to have some kind of "300 by the numbers" article? Not with the tools bubbles you had in the top 101 or anything like that, but I'd be curious about the position, age, and origin (i.e. draft versus international signing) breakdown.
Probably the best major league roster and the highest upside minor league arm. I've got franchise envy.
Also I'm a big, big fan of A.J. Cole. As an outsider I've never understood why he's been tossed around a few times before even turning 22, but I really like the upside. Fastball command is so important. I suspect he'll be traded again before long, however, as behind Strasburg, Gonzalez, Zimmermann, Fister, and Giolito, all of whom (I believe) are under contract through at least the end of 2015 season, I don't really see a spot for him on a healthy Nationals team. Here's hoping the _______ (insert favorite team here) pick him up!
Not sure I'd ever compare a prospect to John Olerud. You're talking about a career .300 hitter with a .400 on-base and an 11% strikeout rate. He hit .363 and .354 in two seasons, was .300+ in another two, and .284+ in another six. I know batting average is a weak stat, but that's a special hitter.
Up in Toronto we referred to Overbay as a poor man's Johnny O, which is why I thought it was the more reasonable comparison for Smith.
Reading the description of Dominic Smith I had flashes of a young Lyle Overbay. Smooth, easy swing from the left side, line drive hitter who muscled 15-20 bombs over the fence every year but most of the power came as doubles, good arm (he could turn 3-6-3 DP's like a champ), and an acceptable glove for a first baseman.
But hey, at least we have R.A. Dickey, right? /kurtcobain
I'm firmly of the belief that at least part of the cause for the glacial pace of Sanchez' delivery is fatigue. In 2012 he was finished at the end of August, in 2013 he was still pitching two months later.
I suspect there will be a bit more bounce in his step this March -- and he's been invited to big league camp so hopefully we'll be able to see him pitch.
The Marlins could do nothing and have a 2015 rotation of Jose Fernandez, Andrew Heaney, Henderson Alvarez, Nathan Eovaldi, and Jacob Turner.
In the NL. In that park. Infront of that athletic defense. Alvarez and Eovaldi would likely be in Arb Yr. 1, and Turner would be playing on a cheap option. Combined they'll probably make under 9 million pretty easily. Shitting on the Marlins is fun, but damn that's brilliance right there.
"The large and in charge righty" made me spit my dream on my desk.
Guessing 8 of the top 10 (Buxton, Bogaerts, Tavares, Baez, Lindor, Walker, Bradley, Gausman) will graduate. Any early guesses on the players who will jump up and join Correa and Russell in the top 10?
My guess: Giolito, Gray, Bryant, Hedges, Stephenson, Frazier, Alfaro, and Carlos Rodon.
Anything unreasonable there?
My wild guess: Dan Norris
There is no doubt in my mind that their pulling out of the BP event is the reason our season nosedived. We'll never have another winning season until they amend their mistake.
When will the Houston Astros event with special guest Kevin Goldstein be announced?
Shipley going 15th overall in the draft looks silly now. In twelve months it's probably going to look downright ludicrous.
In terms of performance he absolutely deserved to be up in September, but the organization SNAFU'd Sean Nolin's arbitration/free agency clock in May by adding him to the 40 man for one start and then immediately optioning him after he got shelled. Entering an offseason where change is obviously in order, the front office was understandably hesitant to lock Stroman into a 40 man roster spot before it's absolutely necessary. He can be a non-roster invitee in the spring, and if he pitches the way we all expect him to, they then have the ability to add him to the roster and move forward with him as the 5th starter.
He had Syndergaard higher on the midseason top 50 and mentioned in his last chat that Syndergaard is probably in the discussion for top 10 in the game, so I think it's clearly big Noah.
By most first-hand accounts he's not long for shortstop, and his incredibly aggressive approach got him into trouble after a mid-season promotion to Vancouver. He's probably returning there next summer and will get his full-season assignment in 2015 (playing third base would be my guess). Definitely a prospect to watch but his stock takes a hit off shortstop and the system is just too deep with toolsy prospects in the lower levels for him to garner a mention for the top 10 (or 13 if you include On the Rise).
But I'm guessing you were hoping from a response from the Professor so I'll just hang up and listen.
Sanchez was #24 on the midseason Top 50, and while I doubt he'll climb much, given his strong AFL I can't imagine he'll fall too far, either. With Stroman ranking above him in the system, it's probably a fair bet that they're both in the 20-30 range. Just my guess, though.
Will we be seeing one of the awesome "Behind the Scenes Discussion" articles about Stroman vs Sanchez? Jason's name is on the article so it's his flag in the ground, but I'm guessing there was support for Sanchez being number one and I'd love to see how things shook out.
Chris, one minor point: Sanchez threw 109.2 innings this season between Dunedin and the AFL.
All in all, awesome list and well worth the wait. And the prospects on the rise section is just as drool worthy as the top 10, Nay and Castro in particular for me.
Question about Barreto though; if his hit tool could end up as plus (as you say in his strengths), is there a reason his tools only say 5 potential hit? Is that a typo or are you guys just not confident he'll reach that level?
This front office watched Miguel Cabrera play third base for two years. I haven't seen Castellanos' actions, but I can't imagine he's a downgrade defensively.
Why can't we have Francisco Lindor?
*disdainfully kicks dirt*
Nothing but the best of luck to Jason and Mort. I always enjoyed reading their work even though I swear Zach derived pleasure from reminding Blue Jays fans what a permanent black mark on our organization trading Noah Syndergaard will be. Not that I disagree with him. Ugh.
However what worries me is that if two of the Professor's top lieutenants (or TA's if you will) have been snatched up by teams, how much longer are we going to be able to enjoy Jason's charms and fancies? Back in the Up & In days he always said his dream job was to work for an organization, and at this point it's hard to think he hasn't received some type of a proposition. It may only be a matter of time before he's offered a position he just can't say no to, and that gives me a case of the sads.
This comment is #dry
Holy effin crap, wow. Was completely unaware of Lewis Thorpe, but he's definitely a name I'll be following now.
Also, while reading the Kohl Stewart report, my mind kept flashing to a young Brandon Morrow. Similar stature, similar repetoire (huge fastball/slider, in-progress curveball/changeup), iffy secondary command, and Type 1 diabetes to boot. Is there any merit to this comp or is it just my imagination?
He's the definition of replacement level on the field but god damn I love Muni Kawasaki
Syndergaard fiddled around with a slider while with Lansing in 2012, so should he decide to implement it into his regular arsenal he at least has some groundwork to work from.
Franklin Barreto lit up the GCL but stumbled a bit upon his promotion to Bluefield, but as a 17 year old I'm guessing not only is that acceptable it's expected.
With that being said, is Barreto the type of player you could see the Blue Jays pushing to full season ball with Lansing next April (should he have a strong instructs this fall and look good in minor league camp next spring) or is the more conservative short season Bluefield/Vancouver assignment in 2014 the better route since he is still so young?
Richard Urena is really intriguing. Chris King had good things to say about him when Urena reached the Gulf Coast League towards the end of the season.
I've never really understood the proven closer thing, and as a Blue Jays fan, watching BJ Ryan explode after one season with four expensive years still on his deal, I hope the team never spends big on relief talent again.
They've built a pretty solid bullpen this year in much of the same way as the A's, albeit with a little more salary expenditure.
Janssen (failed starter), Cecil (failed starter), Delabar (acquired from SEA for AAAA outfielder), Loup (mid-round pick), Santos (acquired from CHW for non-prospect, converted shortstop), Neil Wagner and Juan Perez (minor league free agents), Dustin McGowan (converted from starter because of injuries).
I think the only major league free agent in the bullpen is ol' Darren Oliver.
"Future impact bat at top of the order", "occasional all-star."
Someone hold me.
Brett Lawrie is an absolute treasure to watch defensively. If the Blue Jays are to contend in 2014 he'll need to continue to grow into the well-rounded player everyone thought and hoped he would be.
Thanks for writing these Zach, always enjoy reading them in the morning.
It's sort of ridiculous how quickly Correa and Buxton have delivered on their draft status. Highschool players going 1-2 in a draft is pretty rare, but they've come as advertised and then a whole lot more. As an outsider looking in, I have #rig envy.
Great article as always. Really enjoyed the information on Hollon. Good to see the stuff is still there despite the previous arm issues. Hope they're a thing of the past, but the effort in his delivery does give me some pause.
You could read me bedtime stories.
Settle down there.
I have this feeling that Pillar's hit and power grades were pasted into the wrong boxes.
What kind of elite makeup was Carlos Correa wearing? I'm looking for something that might improve my baseball ability but I'm not sure if Covergirl or Maybelline would be better.
One of the biggest changes for Cecil is that he spent the offseason following a weighted-ball training routine that his teammate and fellow out-of-nowhere strikeout extraordinaire Steve Delabar brought into the spotlight. It greatly strengthened his shoulder and has added a ton of zip to the fastball/sinker. One of the founders of the program has since been hired by the Blue Jays organization.
The curveball is just a thing of beauty though.
Not sure if it was a late addition or something that you missed, but he has Haren 11th going to the Red Sox.
Well you certainly didn't skimp out on your first daily recap, nice work.
That last paragraph gave me a raging erection.
Holy crap man, congratulations first and foremost. It's really going to suck to lose your content, and the podcast, but what I'll miss most (if I read the above correctly, which was difficult with tears streaming down my face) will be your tweets. You've answered a countless number of my questions about baseball, passed along excellent articles from writers I wasn't aware of (you got me reading Sam Miller, which is pretty awesome), and shared with the world the phenomena that are #weirdbaseball and #weirdneighbors.
I wish you all the luck in the world with your new job, and hope that one day I can catch my dreams as you have.
The Tao of Stieb wrote an article a couple of days before he got called up saying how if the Blue Jays weren't going to use Snider, they should trade him, as he deserved better than this organization. While I will always wish the team had given him at least the rest of this season to figure things out, I'd much rather see him in Pittsburgh's colors than in Las Vegas'. It had got to the point of cruelty, and when you care so much about a player, it hurts to see them abused like he was. I hope he rediscovers some of the potential that made him a top 10 prospect in all of baseball, even if it's not for the blue and white.
He has definitely had problems with the breaking ball. The biggest concern for me has been, as you mentioned, even when he makes contact the ball isn't going very far. The "show bunt then pull back and swing" he's started to do certainly isn't going to help his numbers in that regard.
I wish him all the success in Pittsburgh but it stills tears at my heartstrings that we traded him for a reliever. That's so anti-Anthopolous.
In order of blame for what happened, first and foremost it's JP Ricciardi for promoting him to show off for the fanbase in an attempt to save his job. "Look at what I got you! The farm is just fine! My drafts are producing!" Second, and just behind Ricciardi, is Cito Gaston, whose policy of LOLROOKIES damned Snider right from the start. He barely got in the lineup -- when he did it was almost always the 9 hole, and if he didn't get 2 or 3 hits in his game, he was on the bench for another couple days afterwards. Speaking of Snider's maturity and character, despite all that crap, on "Cito Gaston Appreciation Night", he was the only one to wear a fake mustache the entire game in his honor. Third on the blame list is Alex Anthopolous, for not seeing the mistake of his predecessor and giving Snider a fair opportunity. He dicked him around just as much, handing the left field job to Eric-freaking-Thames.
Yes, I'm bitter, and I likely will continue to be for a long, long time.
The reason you take Tate 3rd overall is the same reason the Royals took Bubba Starling 5th overall and the Twins took Byron Buxton 2nd overall. If your coach staffs can develop him, you have an absolute monster. The risk is obviously high and things don't always work out, but when you have a chance to insert a Justin Upton type player into your organization, you do it.
If you don't want to get nailed, don't straddle the base line.
Really awesome Jason, I enjoyed the read.
I will push the Travis Snider meatwagon a second time.
At least north of the border, Travis Snider seems to fit the bill of the type of player you're talking about.
From the point until he was drafted until late 2010, Blue Jays fans wanted/hoped/expected for him to transform into the middle of the order, MVP-calibre slugger we were promised. At this point, however, most of us would be very happy if he could simply be an above average regular in left field.
I've heard "line drive swing" on DJ Davis a lot, but what exactly does that mean in terms of power potential? Obviously his legs will create an abundance of doubles and triples if he simply make outfielders move sideways, but can he be a 10-15 HR guy, or is he more of a single-digits HR guy?
I was under the impression 22 was protected as well: https://twitter.com/jimcallisBA/status/201767844952817664
Would love for the Blue Jays to go big at 17 with McCullers (or Giolito, or Seager) even if it means the #22 pick isn't particularly exciting.
Cold weather can make it extremely difficult for veterans to get tight spin on a curveball, even more so for someone like Syndergaard who is still figuring it out. I'd way a lot longer than 12 innings to call it a 30 pitch, especially since by numerous reports he was dazzling hitters in his three games previous. 5 of his 6 strikeouts in his matchup against Bradley were by way of the curveball, and people who watched the game said it looked really good.
I have no idea why I was excited to read an article that tore apart our top prospects. But I was. And now I'm sad.
The inconsistency and lack of track record always made me a bit nervous about d'Arnaud, but people like Keith Law naming him a top 10 prospect in baseball eased my concerns a bit. Now I'm not sure what to think. Arencibia looking completely lost at the plate this season (it's early, but his K rate is literally 48%) is only making things worse.
I am glad to see you sort of had to reach with issues with Marisnick, Nicolino, and Syndergaard. I'm pretty confident that all three will have very good years (and futures). On the point for Syndergaard's changeup, I've read/heard two separate interviews in which he stated he felt his changeup was his second best pitch, ahead of his curveball. It sounds like a bit of a silly question, but I'm serious -- who is a more reliable source on stuff, a scout or the pitcher himself?
I'm a little bit shocked that you have Marisnick as the favorite to overtake d'Arnaud as the system's top prospect. d'Arnaud is already a top-20 prospect in baseball, and is about to hit the launching pad that is Las Vegas for 5+ months. I know prospect analysts try to avoid using statistics for rankings, but an 1.100 OPS with 30+ home runs might be hard to look past. By putting Marisnick as the favorite for 2013 #1, you're almost implying he could be a top 10-15 prospect in baseball, which is both scary and very exciting.
Just find a tape recorder, put it on top of the fridge or next to the BBQ, and just leave it on record.
Up and In episode 86.
I think you're too cool for us to be friends, so I might have to revert to idol workship.
Sort of puts into perspective how amazingly team friendly some of the deals given to young players like Evan Longoria (9/44 with options) and Ryan Braun (8/45) turn out to be. Obviously it's different as the team is accounting for pre-arb and arb years instead of straight free agent years, but teams definitely love locking up franchise level young talent.