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apaterson
47 comments | 45 total rating | 0.96 average rating
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Baseball Prospectus http://bbp.cx/i/63615
apaterson
(63615)
Comment rating: 1

Just FYI, it's pronounced "Devin" Travis, not de-VON.

Apr 28, 2017 12:27 PM on Ep. 86: Are You Mau Now?
 
apaterson
(63615)
Comment rating: 1

Minor point, you listed all the Dodgers execs except for the one who just won Executive of the Year.

 
apaterson
(63615)
Comment rating: -6

It's kinda of odd that 5x5 seems to be the baseline for a site like BP, which is so erudite. I play in many, many leagues, and none of them are 5x5. 5x5 is for casual baseball fans in shallow redraft leagues, and that's not really your core readership.

 
apaterson
(63615)
Comment rating: -4

Do I play in a league that has wRC+? No. Do I play in a league that uses <span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=HR" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('HR'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">HR</span></a>, <span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=SB" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('SB'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">SB</span></a>, <span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=H" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('H'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">H</span></a>, <span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=OBP" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('OBP'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">OBP</span></a>, and <span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=SLG" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('SLG'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">SLG</span></a>? Yes. And wRC+ is all those things boiled down into one metric.

 
apaterson
(63615)
Comment rating: 1

Does <span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=PECOTA" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('PECOTA'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">PECOTA</span></a> know that Hahn announced he was going to stop throwing his slider completely due to ongoing arm problems? It will be hard for him to break out without his best offspeed pitch. --- RotoWire News: Hahn will scrap the slider from his pitch arsenal this season, <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=75283">John Hickey</a></span> of the Bay Area News Group reports. "We tried some things and I think it was the slider causing problems. At the very least, I know it wasn't helping my arm, so I'm going to go without it and incorporate the changeup more," said Hahn on Sunday. (2/21/2016)

 
apaterson
(63615)
Comment rating: -1

It's hard to understand how you could conclude that Polanco is the better asset going forward when he's yet to even have a league average offensive season (94 wRC+ in 2015, 92 overall), while Yelich has been 17% better that average over a larger sample (117 wRC+ three consecutive years), despite being the same age. Even if this is who Yelich is going forward, with no growth, Polanco needs to make some serious strides to catch up. Especially in <span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=OBP" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('OBP'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">OBP</span></a> formats, popular among the intelligent readers of this site, Yelich is ahead by a good distance.

 
apaterson
(63615)
Comment rating: 8

Thanks, and good luck ranking <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=45495">Ben Zobrist</a></span>.

Jan 21, 2016 9:45 AM on Top 50 First Basemen
 
apaterson
(63615)
Comment rating: 2

Nope. <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/player_search.php?search_name=Miguel+Cabrera">Miguel Cabrera</a></span> had 3B eligibility last year despite playing only 10 games there in 2014. Same with Gattis' C eligibility, same with Bautista CF eligibility.

Jan 21, 2016 9:39 AM on Top 50 First Basemen
 
apaterson
(63615)
Comment rating: 1

The Yahoo standard is 10 games or 5 games started. Yahoo is the most popular fantasy site, and that's the default setting.

Jan 21, 2016 9:32 AM on Top 50 First Basemen
 
apaterson
(63615)
Comment rating: 2

Ok... but your premise is that you omit Davis from this list because he has substantially more value at OF. Even though I reject that premise, it should be applied equally to Gattis, who definitely has OF eligibility.

Jan 21, 2016 9:32 AM on Top 50 First Basemen
 
apaterson
(63615)
Comment rating: 1

<span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=67758">Evan Gattis</a></span> doesn't have 1B eligibility. He didn't play a single game there this year.

Jan 21, 2016 8:54 AM on Top 50 First Basemen
 
apaterson
(63615)
Comment rating: 3

Did <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/player_search.php?search_name=Chris+Davis">Chris Davis</a></span> die or something?

Jan 21, 2016 7:14 AM on Top 50 First Basemen
 
apaterson
(63615)
Comment rating: 0

<span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/player_search.php?search_name=John+McDonald">John McDonald</a></span> played 1,100 games with a very similar skill set.

 
apaterson
(63615)
Comment rating: 2

It really is that simple. The American media is trying to make a mountain out of a molehill. In fact, it was Price, knowing the Jays had no lefties in the pen, who offered to pitch in relief whenever necessary. Price even told Gibbons he wanted to START game 3 on short rest. Price is a gamer, he has absolutely no issue with how he's been used; it's simply a media narrative.

 
apaterson
(63615)
Comment rating: 11

Straight up, that <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/player_search.php?search_name=Nick+Williams">Nick Williams</a></span> quote is from <a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/author/jason_parks">Jason Parks</a>. Don't deny it.

Aug 05, 2015 8:05 AM on August 5, 2015
 
apaterson
(63615)
Comment rating: 0

Jose Fernandez #20 in a 3 year outlook is pretty insane. He should be in the 2nd tier behind Kershaw.

 
apaterson
(63615)
Comment rating: 0

Miggy actually played 10 games at 3B last year, and started 8, so he'll retain 3B eligibility in Yahoo leagues.

Jan 26, 2015 6:28 AM on Third Base
 
apaterson
(63615)
Comment rating: 1

One final point, Gattis never had a K rate above 18.2% in the minors, so there's really no reason to think he's a 25% guy going forward.

Jan 15, 2015 8:34 AM on Astros Get Evan
 
apaterson
(63615)
Comment rating: 0

For the 625 PAs preceding Gattis' back injury, his K rate was 21.4%, while the league average catcher was 21.2% this year.

Jan 15, 2015 8:32 AM on Astros Get Evan
 
apaterson
(63615)
Comment rating: 1

More to that point, Gattis' K rate spiked in the 2nd half up to 27%, probably in no small part due to a lingering back injury. Perhaps that high strikeout, high power archetype fits the narrative of the article, but that's really not who Gattis has been for the bulk of his MLB career.

Jan 15, 2015 8:27 AM on Astros Get Evan
 
apaterson
(63615)
Comment rating: 2

Since when is 22.7% an exorbitant K rate? News to me. I really don't understand why Gattis is being labelled as a high strikeout guy when he strikes out considerably less than Mike Trout and Stanton, for example. A league average K rate is around 20%, so while Gattis may be slightly above average in that regard, he's by no means comparable to a heavy whiffer like Trumbo.

Jan 15, 2015 8:23 AM on Astros Get Evan
 
apaterson
(63615)
Comment rating: 3

I would disagree that Gattis is a deep league only play, and that he strikes out a ton. His career K rate is 22%, which is pretty much league average. He also placed Top 5 in HR and wOBA despite only playing 108 games. Outside of Posey, Lucroy, and Mesoraco, there's really no C that touches his upside, and it's pretty likely that' he'll pace all C's in HR and SLG if he plays a full season. If he gets traded to an AL team, even better.

Dec 15, 2014 11:39 AM on Atlanta Braves
 
apaterson
(63615)
Comment rating: 0

If only wRC+ was an option in Yahoo leagues! I kid of course, but I'm using it as a proxy for his overall offensive contributions, including SB, AVG, OBP, and SLG, which are common categories. Most projections have Segura somewhere in the range of .275/.320/.400 with 30-35 SBs, which is more in the Everth Cabrera tier than the tier of Desmond and Reyes, et al. I should preface this by saying that I own neither player, but if I were to take the temperature of my dynasty leagues, I doubt any Taveras owners would trade him for Segura. I think there is perhaps more skepticism of Segura and his 2013 1st half (driven by a .350 BABIP) than there is of Taveras, in the long term. I will agree with you that Taveras holds minimal fantasy value for 2014, however.

Apr 15, 2014 8:50 AM on NL Central U25 Lists
 
apaterson
(63615)
Comment rating: 0

Those empty batting averages came with pedestrian overall offensive contributions though, judging by his 97 & 89 wRC+ in those months, respectively (which includes his contributions on the basepaths). The wRC+ fell off precipitously in the 2nd half, however, down to 57, which is basically Dee Gordon territory. I won't deny that Segura, for his brief career, has been an above average offensive shortstop (career 98 wRC+ compared to about 85 for league avg), but I would take Taveras' batting title ceiling over that player any day. I can understand your skepticism and need for OT to prove it at the highest level though, to each their own.

Apr 15, 2014 8:32 AM on NL Central U25 Lists
 
apaterson
(63615)
Comment rating: 0

Segura over Taveras? Yikes. Segura hasn't hit at all since last May.

Apr 15, 2014 8:12 AM on NL Central U25 Lists
 
apaterson
(63615)
Comment rating: 0

If this is from a fantasy perspective, then Choo should be listed as a CF. He'll have eligibility in all fantasy leagues this year.

Feb 21, 2014 6:57 AM on Outfielders
 
apaterson
(63615)
Comment rating: 0

Sidney Crosby http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IDMxebBNvjU

 
apaterson
(63615)
Comment rating: 2

I'm pretty surprised Evan Gattis didn't make the list. He's got a full-time job now and will probably land in the Top 3 Cs for power numbers. He's hit at every level and the K rate seems manageable. You can expect around 25 HR and a wRC+ north of 110 if he gets 120 games, and he's got OF eligbility for some added flexibility. From a late round flier in redraft leagues, that's a significant profit from a position with a dearth of offensive contributors. I'd take him over everyone on this list behind Mauer, McCann, and Santana. A Mike Napoli type career path could be in the cards.

Jan 13, 2014 8:53 AM on Catchers
 
apaterson
(63615)
Comment rating: 1

"Cargo is perhaps the most underrated fantasy star we have right now and is a borderline first rounder in 16-team leagues." Really? Seems to me he's a slam-dunk 1st rounder with Top 5 upside if he plays a full season.

Jan 08, 2014 8:21 AM on Colorado Rockies
 
apaterson
(63615)
Comment rating: 0

Even if you factor in regression for Carpenter (and I think we all do to varying extents), it's worth noting that his .381 wOBA (147 wRC+!) was better than any season Pedroia has posted in his career. By wRC+, Steamer favours Carpenter next year by a considerable margin (131 to 116 for Pedroia). Everyone talks about Carp's OBP and R, but the dude also led baseball in doubles this year with a hefty 55, so there's more power here than the HR column indicates. He's a line drive machine and a very good bet to hit .300 more years than not.

 
apaterson
(63615)
Comment rating: 2

No. 3 fantasy 2B behind Cano and Pedroia? There's a pretty strong case for Matt Carpenter and Kipnis ahead of Pedroia, especially in dynasty leagues.

 
apaterson
(63615)
Comment rating: -5

Does [redacted] get to wear a fedora in his new role? RIP.

Nov 05, 2013 6:24 AM on Correa vs. Springer
 
apaterson
(63615)
Comment rating: -4

You must be new here to not be familiar with the extended Austin Hedges circle jerk.

Jul 03, 2013 8:09 AM on Wednesday, July 3
 
apaterson
(63615)
Comment rating: 2

Step aside, Allen Ginsberg.

Jun 06, 2013 1:15 PM on Buxton-ing (a Poem)
 
apaterson
(63615)
Comment rating: 0

I'm pretty pissed that the Jays front office declined this. Toronto has one of the largest online presences and there is strong demand for a BP event here. Rest assured, we appreciate your continued efforts to make an event happen here and we won't take this lying down.

Apr 26, 2013 8:50 AM on Ballpark Events List
 
apaterson
(63615)
Comment rating: 0

Can you clarify how a 100+ MPH fastball is a "near elite offering"? It seems to me that that's beyond elite, a true 80 grade velo. Does it lack movement? Or does this tie back into his command?

Apr 24, 2013 7:38 AM on Bruce Rondon
 
apaterson
(63615)
Comment rating: 0

How bout some love for Tony Cingrani? 6 1/3 scoreless IP, 7 K, 1 BB. 21:2 K/BB thru 12.1 scoreless innings so far. This guy has video game numbers over the last year.

 
apaterson
(63615)
Comment rating: 3

This is awesome! This is exactly the kind of content that subscribers want, hope to see it often throughout the year.

 
apaterson
(63615)
Comment rating: 1

Do you think Arencibia + Nolin would be enough?

 
apaterson
(63615)
Comment rating: 1

No love (hate) for Ricky Romero?

 
apaterson
(63615)
Comment rating: 1

Love this format, great work B.A.

Sep 05, 2012 12:31 PM on Games of September 4
 
apaterson
(63615)
Comment rating: 8

Definitely did a great job! Very extensive report Brad, thanks.

Sep 04, 2012 10:54 AM on Games of September 3
 
apaterson
(63615)
Comment rating: 0

Jumping the gun a bit calling Baez a 3B, aren't we?

Sep 04, 2012 10:45 AM on Games of September 3
 
apaterson
(63615)
Comment rating: 4

*Brick Tamland voice* You're not Kevin...

Sep 04, 2012 10:44 AM on Games of September 3
 
apaterson
(63615)
Comment rating: 0

Great article, love the premise. Will be really interesting to look back next year and see how many you nailed. On an unrelated note, will there be a Mid-Season Top 101 coming out?

 
apaterson
(63615)
Comment rating: 0

Much obliged, sir.

Mar 27, 2012 10:13 AM on AL East Prospect Preview
 
apaterson
(63615)
Comment rating: 0

Who is Drew Hutchinson?