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Just FYI, it's pronounced "Devin" Travis, not de-VON.
Minor point, you listed all the Dodgers execs except for the one who just won Executive of the Year.
It's kinda of odd that 5x5 seems to be the baseline for a site like BP, which is so erudite. I play in many, many leagues, and none of them are 5x5. 5x5 is for casual baseball fans in shallow redraft leagues, and that's not really your core readership.
Do I play in a league that has wRC+? No. Do I play in a league that uses <span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=HR" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('HR'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">HR</span></a>, <span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=SB" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('SB'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">SB</span></a>, <span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=H" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('H'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">H</span></a>, <span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=OBP" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('OBP'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">OBP</span></a>, and <span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=SLG" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('SLG'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">SLG</span></a>? Yes. And wRC+ is all those things boiled down into one metric.
Does <span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=PECOTA" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('PECOTA'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">PECOTA</span></a> know that Hahn announced he was going to stop throwing his slider completely due to ongoing arm problems? It will be hard for him to break out without his best offspeed pitch.
RotoWire News: Hahn will scrap the slider from his pitch arsenal this season, <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=75283">John Hickey</a></span> of the Bay Area News Group reports. "We tried some things and I think it was the slider causing problems. At the very least, I know it wasn't helping my arm, so I'm going to go without it and incorporate the changeup more," said Hahn on Sunday. (2/21/2016)
It's hard to understand how you could conclude that Polanco is the better asset going forward when he's yet to even have a league average offensive season (94 wRC+ in 2015, 92 overall), while Yelich has been 17% better that average over a larger sample (117 wRC+ three consecutive years), despite being the same age. Even if this is who Yelich is going forward, with no growth, Polanco needs to make some serious strides to catch up. Especially in <span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=OBP" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('OBP'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">OBP</span></a> formats, popular among the intelligent readers of this site, Yelich is ahead by a good distance.
Thanks, and good luck ranking <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=45495">Ben Zobrist</a></span>.
Nope. <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/player_search.php?search_name=Miguel+Cabrera">Miguel Cabrera</a></span> had 3B eligibility last year despite playing only 10 games there in 2014. Same with Gattis' C eligibility, same with Bautista CF eligibility.
The Yahoo standard is 10 games or 5 games started. Yahoo is the most popular fantasy site, and that's the default setting.
Ok... but your premise is that you omit Davis from this list because he has substantially more value at OF. Even though I reject that premise, it should be applied equally to Gattis, who definitely has OF eligibility.
<span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=67758">Evan Gattis</a></span> doesn't have 1B eligibility. He didn't play a single game there this year.
Did <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/player_search.php?search_name=Chris+Davis">Chris Davis</a></span> die or something?
<span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/player_search.php?search_name=John+McDonald">John McDonald</a></span> played 1,100 games with a very similar skill set.
It really is that simple. The American media is trying to make a mountain out of a molehill. In fact, it was Price, knowing the Jays had no lefties in the pen, who offered to pitch in relief whenever necessary. Price even told Gibbons he wanted to START game 3 on short rest. Price is a gamer, he has absolutely no issue with how he's been used; it's simply a media narrative.
Straight up, that <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/player_search.php?search_name=Nick+Williams">Nick Williams</a></span> quote is from <a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/author/jason_parks">Jason Parks</a>. Don't deny it.
Jose Fernandez #20 in a 3 year outlook is pretty insane. He should be in the 2nd tier behind Kershaw.
Miggy actually played 10 games at 3B last year, and started 8, so he'll retain 3B eligibility in Yahoo leagues.
One final point, Gattis never had a K rate above 18.2% in the minors, so there's really no reason to think he's a 25% guy going forward.
For the 625 PAs preceding Gattis' back injury, his K rate was 21.4%, while the league average catcher was 21.2% this year.
More to that point, Gattis' K rate spiked in the 2nd half up to 27%, probably in no small part due to a lingering back injury. Perhaps that high strikeout, high power archetype fits the narrative of the article, but that's really not who Gattis has been for the bulk of his MLB career.
Since when is 22.7% an exorbitant K rate? News to me. I really don't understand why Gattis is being labelled as a high strikeout guy when he strikes out considerably less than Mike Trout and Stanton, for example. A league average K rate is around 20%, so while Gattis may be slightly above average in that regard, he's by no means comparable to a heavy whiffer like Trumbo.
I would disagree that Gattis is a deep league only play, and that he strikes out a ton. His career K rate is 22%, which is pretty much league average. He also placed Top 5 in HR and wOBA despite only playing 108 games. Outside of Posey, Lucroy, and Mesoraco, there's really no C that touches his upside, and it's pretty likely that' he'll pace all C's in HR and SLG if he plays a full season. If he gets traded to an AL team, even better.
If only wRC+ was an option in Yahoo leagues! I kid of course, but I'm using it as a proxy for his overall offensive contributions, including SB, AVG, OBP, and SLG, which are common categories. Most projections have Segura somewhere in the range of .275/.320/.400 with 30-35 SBs, which is more in the Everth Cabrera tier than the tier of Desmond and Reyes, et al.
I should preface this by saying that I own neither player, but if I were to take the temperature of my dynasty leagues, I doubt any Taveras owners would trade him for Segura. I think there is perhaps more skepticism of Segura and his 2013 1st half (driven by a .350 BABIP) than there is of Taveras, in the long term.
I will agree with you that Taveras holds minimal fantasy value for 2014, however.
Those empty batting averages came with pedestrian overall offensive contributions though, judging by his 97 & 89 wRC+ in those months, respectively (which includes his contributions on the basepaths). The wRC+ fell off precipitously in the 2nd half, however, down to 57, which is basically Dee Gordon territory.
I won't deny that Segura, for his brief career, has been an above average offensive shortstop (career 98 wRC+ compared to about 85 for league avg), but I would take Taveras' batting title ceiling over that player any day.
I can understand your skepticism and need for OT to prove it at the highest level though, to each their own.
Segura over Taveras? Yikes. Segura hasn't hit at all since last May.
If this is from a fantasy perspective, then Choo should be listed as a CF. He'll have eligibility in all fantasy leagues this year.
I'm pretty surprised Evan Gattis didn't make the list. He's got a full-time job now and will probably land in the Top 3 Cs for power numbers. He's hit at every level and the K rate seems manageable. You can expect around 25 HR and a wRC+ north of 110 if he gets 120 games, and he's got OF eligbility for some added flexibility. From a late round flier in redraft leagues, that's a significant profit from a position with a dearth of offensive contributors. I'd take him over everyone on this list behind Mauer, McCann, and Santana. A Mike Napoli type career path could be in the cards.
"Cargo is perhaps the most underrated fantasy star we have right now and is a borderline first rounder in 16-team leagues."
Really? Seems to me he's a slam-dunk 1st rounder with Top 5 upside if he plays a full season.
Even if you factor in regression for Carpenter (and I think we all do to varying extents), it's worth noting that his .381 wOBA (147 wRC+!) was better than any season Pedroia has posted in his career. By wRC+, Steamer favours Carpenter next year by a considerable margin (131 to 116 for Pedroia). Everyone talks about Carp's OBP and R, but the dude also led baseball in doubles this year with a hefty 55, so there's more power here than the HR column indicates. He's a line drive machine and a very good bet to hit .300 more years than not.
No. 3 fantasy 2B behind Cano and Pedroia? There's a pretty strong case for Matt Carpenter and Kipnis ahead of Pedroia, especially in dynasty leagues.
Does [redacted] get to wear a fedora in his new role? RIP.
You must be new here to not be familiar with the extended Austin Hedges circle jerk.
Step aside, Allen Ginsberg.
I'm pretty pissed that the Jays front office declined this. Toronto has one of the largest online presences and there is strong demand for a BP event here. Rest assured, we appreciate your continued efforts to make an event happen here and we won't take this lying down.
Can you clarify how a 100+ MPH fastball is a "near elite offering"? It seems to me that that's beyond elite, a true 80 grade velo. Does it lack movement? Or does this tie back into his command?
How bout some love for Tony Cingrani?
6 1/3 scoreless IP, 7 K, 1 BB. 21:2 K/BB thru 12.1 scoreless innings so far. This guy has video game numbers over the last year.
This is awesome! This is exactly the kind of content that subscribers want, hope to see it often throughout the year.
Do you think Arencibia + Nolin would be enough?
No love (hate) for Ricky Romero?
Love this format, great work B.A.
Definitely did a great job! Very extensive report Brad, thanks.
Jumping the gun a bit calling Baez a 3B, aren't we?
*Brick Tamland voice*
You're not Kevin...
Great article, love the premise. Will be really interesting to look back next year and see how many you nailed.
On an unrelated note, will there be a Mid-Season Top 101 coming out?
Much obliged, sir.
Who is Drew Hutchinson?