CSS Button No Image Css3Menu.com
New! Search comments:
(NOTE: Relevance, Author, and Article are not applicable for comment searches)
Duplantier was touching 97 this spring, but has seemed to sit closer to 93 in games this spring. Does that mesh with what you've heard?
Craig, your list of maladies is more depressing than <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=101114">Damian Defrank</a></span>'s command.
I don't like fantasy articles very often, but this was really fun to read! You guys were very thoughtful and did a great job of explaining the process without bludgeoning it to death. Congratulations!
Re: Tapia, it's so interesting that he chases so much. It's one thing to have the ability to hit everything as he does, but it's another to learn when to use those skills and when not to. It's the propensity to swing and make contact that's gotten him recognition, but that same propensity will begin to hurt him moving up the ladder of development. Can he make adjustments without losing what made him special in the first place? That's always intriguing to observe...
The related content brought me to, unsurprisingly, Woj. Thanks for that. Also, let him pitch.
Great stuff, Jeff! I love the big questions, this is what's so intriguing about prospect evaluation. The writing was superb as well. Can't wait for more!
I was really frustrated with Arizona's approach. Day one was fine, but day two was a missed opportunity. With a system that's thin on impact potential and there being a couple opportunities to increase it, they instead backed away from risk entirely. I understand the need to get players with high floors, but there's virtually no ceiling to be found in day two. If they fail to sign Rodriguez, this draft looks particularly ugly.
Props on the D-backs line.
Hey Jeff, thanks for the update!
I'm curious of your take on Drury potentially seeing time at second base next season. From everything I've read, it seems almost impossible but I'd love your take on it. I believe he DH'd last night, but do you have any other experience with him.
One other question: how would you compare O'Brien's athleticism to that of Mark Trumbo? Is it similar? We know how things are looking with Trumbo in LF; does O'Brien have more or less chance to play the OF than him? He's obviously not going to play first in Arizona.
I know the "I don't know" answer is unsavory, but it's kind of what we're left with. That said, we do have some clues and it appears he's willing to defy convention if he thinks it'll improve the team. Where we at Inside the 'Zona are concerned is whether or not he'll be open to increased analytics, and it sounds like he's open to it so long as it doesn't overwhelm the manager with in-game data/decision making. I don't love that stance, but compared to Towers, it's definitely a move in the right direction.
This is Jeff (@outfieldgrass24) from the original conversation. I'd say that we just don't have enough to know from TLR yet, and that said, my hopes aren't especially high. I will say this, he's at least taken his time to evaluate the entire organization, gathering data and evidence along the way, before making decisions. I can appreciate the approach, at least. The rest? Well, we'll wait and see, but I don't see him jumping up the list into Beane/Friedman territory, especially if he can't get behind the analytics and shore up the organization's deficiency in that area.
Hard to believe Archie Bradley dodged this list. Not good at all, especially considering the expectations. This was supposed to be the season he made his MLB debut. Instead, he spent it walking batters in AA after getting injured in Reno. That wasn't part of the plan.
The Addison Reed thing is so reminiscent of the problems they've had in the last few years. Fly ball pitchers who can get the K's but surrender the homers have plagued the D-backs' bullpen, particularly the back end. When does the organization go away from that pitcher type? Hopefully sooner rather than later, because the few leads Arizona has are never safe.
Every time I read one of these, I count my lucky stars that you aren't a hitting instructor for a major league team yet. I'll just keep enjoying them until you get "the call." Well F'ing done, Ryan!
This was simply fantastic! Two guys whose opinions I really respect, giving a logical, evidence-based debate on two of the best players in the game in recent memory. Well done, guys! I really hope we get a chance to revisit this, say, same time next year?
Glad I'm not the only one who was permanently converted after reading "Baseball Between the Numbers." As always, thanks for the analysis!
I completely agree. KT has aired most of his feeling over public airwaves (as has owner Ken Kendrick) and it's killed the value of their trade-able commodities. When everyone knows that the GM is trying to ditch a guy ASAP, it significantly lowers that GM's bargaining power. He's revealed his hand already. The whole thing is pretty unprofessional.
KT has been just that, a man without a plan. He's borrowed from the future countless times and has preferred a specific "type" of player as opposed to productive ones. It's a sad situation because, as Zach mentioned, things looked pretty rosy for a while before the trades have eventually caught up to him. While I try to steer clear of revisionism as much as possible, a rotation of Skaggs, Bradley, Corbin, Bauer and Miley was right in their laps. All they had to do was, well, nothing.
It also shows a lack of understanding, because as we know, pitchers are fickle, fragile beings and a good general idea is to have plenty of decent ones on your staff. Arizona didn't ge the memo, perhaps. Corbin's injury is brutal for the team, but it's modern baseball; someone was going to get hurt for an extended period of time and the guy who throws a ton of sliders was a decent candidate for it. For them to play this off as "unexpected" is a disservice to their fan base who should expect smarter baseball.
For what it's worth, I chronicled Towers last week (http://insidethezona.com/2014/04/diamondbacks/) and hit on a lot of these same themes. Hopefully he'll be gone soon and the Diamondbacks can get on with a better brand of baseball than the one they've got.
I'm surprised Brandon McCarthy wasn't noted as a "riser" given that his sinker is up two miles per hour this spring compared to the pitch's average velocity in 2013. Is this due to his 2012 and 2013 data, which dropped the predicted 2014 velocity? If so, I'm curious how 2012 performance is weighted compared to current 2014 performance and which set of data is more telling going forward.
Excellent work and thanks for sharing!
Are the Diamondbacks not capable of fixing pitchers or simply not willing? Mr. Towers, are you reading Mr. Thorburn's work?
Austin, I appreciate the Diamondbacks coverage. We don't get a ton of it as the system is more decent than good. I'd heard that Drury was playing well defensively at third but according to your report, perhaps he's just sure-handed with the routine plays. I saw Westbrook in the AZL last fall and walked away really impressed with him, but like you mentioned, there's not a ton of room for him to grow physically. Munoz is intriguing if he can put it all together, Velasquez is likely a glove-only player long term and I've never been enamored with Trahan. This is excellent and I'll be looking for more D-backs stuff throughout the season. Thanks!
Trahan was moved in the late winter/early spring, in February I think. The idea was to take some of the load off of him defensively with hopes that he'll take step forward at the plate.
This was a blast!
The dinger was more a function of good hitting from Van Slyke than a mistake by Miley. He was limited to few pitches since he was on a funky schedule thanks to the Corbin injury or we could have seen 6+ IP from him.
Perhaps "solid" doesn't sit well with you, but considering his 8 K's in 5 IP is his highest K/IP ratio of his career and that he made the start somewhat unexpectedly when Corbin went down with little time to adjust his schedule, and that the two-run homer that beat him was fair by two feet and over the fence by a smaller margin, one could choose a worse word than "solid."
I totally agree Nick. I've thought a lot about how he profiles at the next level and he's interesting. Not the ideal size for a corner outfielder, some tweaks needed, could be Nick Markakis-ish with a little more pop (maybe)? Hoping for the best for him as he's been a good kid and great ambassador of the program in his time at OSU.
As an Oregon State alum and big Beaver Baseball fan, I was thrilled to see Conforto highlighted. I've long been a little concerned about his swing path and I think you nailed it. He's raked each year for a highly competitive team in a highly competitive conference, but he'll almost have to level out the swing some at the next level. He's got an arm that can play in right field, but I think his range will ultimately limit him to left. Still, he's a very good athlete and has great bloodlines (dad played college football and mother was an olympian, I think). The best part of his game is not just his power, but his eye at the plate. He seems to go up with a plan and as a college player, that's something that's a necessity if he's going to go in the first round.
Thanks for the highlight and Go Beavs!
Wow, I appreciate the creativity even though the thought of the D-backs trading Goldy makes my stomach turn!
Josh, another great piece! I think your journey is fascinating, especially as you formed relationships with some guys early on that have played such a big part in the modern baseball world.
I do have one question for you, which perhaps you've already covered: how to you go about procuring clients? I understand that you're scouting for the for the next breakout, but you can't be the only one. How do you make that pitch to a potential client, both high school, college and MLB players?
The Diamondbacks don't need Bronson Arroyo. They have a solid rotation already with impact arms on the way. The only conceivable argument that can be made is that he can push Randall Delgado to the bullpen, and Delgado can then fill in the rotation if/when Brandon McCarthy and others get hurt. That's not much of an upgrade, especially considering that Archie Bradley will be up right around the All Star Break.
They were looking for a "#1 Starter" because they're already solid throughout the rotation. Needless to say, Arroyo's not a #1 (or #2, or #3 for that matter) and he's simply not an upgrade over what they have. This isn't a team looking for a bulk of mediocre innings, this is a team with expectations to compete for the division. Of course, whether they do or not is another story.
Not Jason, but I'm guessing he's a year away. Given the way The Professor loves these kinds of prospects, and for good reason, he'll be on here sooner rather than later.
Sad and lonely? Pickling from the inside out? Jason, you'll always have us!
On second that, that's probably even less appealing than it sounds. Carry on.
Thanks for the follow up list!
Nice points, RJ. I think people need to remember articles like this when pitchers hit a rough patch. A lot of times, these things can be fixed and we can't just say that some guy is 'garbage' because they've had a tough time of late. A deeper analysis often reveals problems with mechanics, release points, changes in repertoire or something similar that has a chance to be ironed out.
I have to echo the two comments above, this series has been extremely informative, intriguing and entertaining. Thanks Doug!
Epic work, Mr. Parks. Epic. For those that reside in the twittersphere, this should make all the sense in the world. Nice to know the Professor can drop some #sparkle with the pen when he wants to.