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Well done. I never met the man but feel like I knew him after reading this.
I know it's a stretch but his profile isn't that far from what <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=59307">Paul Goldschmidt</a></span> carried on his way to MLB. Granted, no one should expect a 5 tool guy here but there are similarities.
Though they were from pre-BP era, <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=20143">Al Chambers</a></span> and <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/player_search.php?search_name=Tito+Nanni">Tito Nanni</a></span> set a standard for first round busts the Mariners are still trying to shake. Junior and A-Rod were exceptions. <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/player_search.php?search_name=Ryan+Anderson">Ryan Anderson</a></span>, Hultzen, and Ackley were just resetting unfortunate norms. The franchise log of first rounders tells a sad tale. So far.
<span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=101384">Josh Hader</a></span> must be a "just missed", especially with current Brewers rotation. Also, thanks for the list, I particularly
liked the comparisons of players with similar qualities (the C's and 1B/DH, for example).
A wonderful piece of writing, Patrick. Thank you. I don't suppose there's a market for my 1977 Mariners press book ?
Even if there was, would I sell ? Probably not, for the same
reasons you list.
The Padres seem serious about Bethancourt as a reliever. I, too, would like to see a pitching projection for him. Thanks.
I'm catching the thread here of "a vast wasteland".
Pittsburgh had an impressive roster of walk fearing individuals. Manny was extreme but <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=27020">Al Oliver</a></span>, Stennett, Hernandez, even Clemente were not far behind. The only prolific walker was Stargell. This tendency only increased when <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=18435">Matty Alou</a></span> was added to the mix a little later.
There were walks to be had, of course, during the era. What teams led in <span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=BB" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('BB'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">BB</span></a>'s and where did it get them ?
Well said. Yes, there is a imaginary personal attachment at play here. It's a bond that is continually reinforced by a home team looking to sell tickets, jerseys, etc. You've got to believe your team is the chosen one and those who wear the colors share your values and views. I'm not sure there is a solution but recognition of what is involved helps.
How close was A-Rod's walk year to making the list ? His
welcome back to Seattle was remarkably like Heyward's return, never mind the immediate results.
Would Salty's hot streak put him on the AL list if you were
drafting this week? His ownership must be below 50%.
<span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=101992">Julio Urias</a></span> ? Or is he considered to be past his prospect status by 2017 ?
Thanks for getting this completed. As always, there are
some thought provoking rankings in here. Sad to see a couple of my keeper choices below the line but, of course, the choices for anyone must be viewed in team context. Sometimes all you need is someone to hold down a position or pile up a bunch of average-ish innings. (Spoken as a
proud <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=65801">Kyle Gibson</a></span> and <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=47736">Chase Headley</a></span> owner).
I'm looking forward to your thoughts on standard league on new x-overs. There doesn't appear to be any consensus at this point, especially in the AL.
Thanks for the opinion. A small dilemma as I have Reyes & Desmond on a team with JP Crawford & Torres in the wings. Maybe it's time to cut loose on both and give <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=67083">Robbie Ray</a></span> the last ticket on the keeper bus instead.
<span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=45945">Ian Desmond</a></span> ? I assume he still goes ahead of Reyes.
<span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=70613">Joey Gallo</a></span> ? Am I being optimistic in thinking you see him as an OF ?
One small typo--Tapia listed as a SS. I like the sort by means of signing. Just from curiosity what might that sort look like from 10 years ago, what's the trend line ? Thanks.
I'd move the keeper line above #8 in the NL and AL. Is A-Rod really keepable or Lind with his horrible platoon split ? I can make a case for Pujols, Tex, and Kendry for raw power but are they really that far removed from a Trumbo or Cron save for a few walks ?,
...and I meant the previous comment to be taken as no more than (10) total keeper C's in all of MLB, the AL being especially bleak.
Yes, glad you are back. I have a pet theory that C is the MOST punt-able position in SS in that since defense doesn't come into play that much (especially in an erea of declininbg <span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=SB" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('SB'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">SB</span></a>'s) as long as you have non-AAA bodies to fill the <span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=AB" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('AB'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">AB</span></a>'s you can survive. Honestly, are their more than 10 really keeper worthy catchers in a standard 10 team league ?
A slight oops on the Capps profile. He SHOULD never have left Seattle, another Z-Man legacy gift to us all, and it must have been too painful to put Marlins next to his name.
You've got the Texas logo next to Lowe instead of Detroit.
Where would <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=70300">Adam Conley</a></span> rank if he was still rookie eligible ? Is he likely at his ceiling already or is there more in the tank ?
After the Williams fiasco, this may turn out to be a great hire. Having a manager who actually appears to appreciate their contributions could get them to the next level. With the Mets great year it's easy to forget how good the Nats core is.
Is Tapia to the point of going backwards in Rockies Top 10 with McMahon, Story, and others having positive 2015 results ? Thanks.
Thanks, I appreciate the updates. They are kind of a first pitch (almost said kickoff) for the 2016 season and keep the info flow going before the winter projections start rolling out.
Parks sounds like a prophet here with the comment on fortitude. That's not a knock on Sanchez as Stroman
is exceptional. Sanchez can mature with experience.
Will Paps agree to go the White House if the Nats win the Series ? Maybe he'll ask to bring Ted Nugent with him. I think the KC model is what Rizzo is trying to follow with Storen as the <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=47360">Wade Davis</a></span> substitute, at least that's the selling point.
<span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=56806">Steven Souza</a></span>, Jr. on June 15 had 5 <span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=PA" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('PA'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">PA</span></a>'s, 5 <span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=BB" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('BB'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">BB</span></a>'s, and 0 runs or <span class="statdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/glossary/index.php?search=RBI" onmouseover="doTooltip(event, jpfl_getStat('RBI'))" onmouseout="hideTip()">RBI</span></a>. Did we see a first in Yahtzee history ?
<span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=59626">Patrick Corbin</a></span> is also close to a return. Thoughts ? Thanks.
There seems to be a split within your industry on Kevin Newman with some placing him as #2 talent in draft. Could
you elaborate on your "boring & safe" comment ? D.J. has turned out to be valuable, after all. Thanks.
A similar group of perceived underachievers in Seattle could
be the likely landing spot for Bud. He is a Northwest native
so you can bet the fan base would be enthused. McClendon has done nothing to warrant the boot but the GM may feel the need to "do something big" to cover their own trail.
Seeing Houston & Texas in front of them with a fresh generation of home grown talent may provoke the panic button.
Personally, I like having some BP Cubs, Ynnkees, and Red Sox content on the main BP page. I have 10 minutes, on average, on weekdays to read BP content and don't have time to regularly check the team specific sites. Plus, even if I'm not a fan of the 3 teams they always seem to be up to something interesting. They are not static.
Jordy Merecer ?
With public league cutdown dates on 2/13 & 2/16 what is plan to provide recommendations for SP's & OF's by then ? It would be nice to get those as another input for the decision making process. Thanks !
Jean Segura (4.2) & Ruben Tejada (4.0) were pretty shocking
especially with less than glowing descriptions of their outlook.
I'll be interested to see where A-Cab fits in with the SS
group but maybe I overrate the multi position guys.
Do the same comments regarding 3B fielding go for C.Davis
(21 games at 3B) as Santana ? I'm thinking 2.53 which was E-5's rating in days of yore.
The content seems to be missing.
I would like to see video of Baez vs. Fiers with (4) K's racked up in (17) pitches. A teachable moment perhaps.
I've got one add....Drew Pomeranz, healthy and putting up decent starts in AAA. Maybe his "time out" will prove helpful.
Well done, that's a topic I hadn't thought of from a real
life angle. I do have one suggestion for a future article
or at least sidebar : what is it like to be DFA'd ? Do
players immediately leave or just hang around town until there is resolution ? What would that be like ?
Great work. Nothing like a good stoplight chart to start
your morning. One quick fix--the button bars need to be switched as the orange "pitchers" tab is above the hitters matrix and vice versa.
From : Jack Z.
To: Andrew Friedman
I've got a secret weapon : a Seahawks Welcome Wagon with Richard Sherman and Pete Carroll to drive him around town, show him all the cool family friendly spots, and then a trip to the top of the Space Needle on a sunny day. It can't miss. So, to answer the question, you bet !
From : Jack Z.
To; Andrew Friedman
What, you're not taking my calls ? After all we've been through, swapping stories on how to fill seats in a midsize market with a football crazy fan base ?
Here's an offer you shouldn't refuse. Nick Franklin, Chris Taylor, Jesus Montero, Brandon Maurer, and Stephen Pryor. You get a couple of those versatile infield types who can play anywhere, a couple of young arms who could benefit from a fresh approach, and, of course, the coup d'état...a chance to skewer the Yankees when Jesus breaks out. I was only kidding when I said he couldn't catch. You've got a Molina there to show him the ropes, right ? And, if you act now, I'll add in Morrison (a chance to stick it to Miami) or Smoak (please). I'm keeping my desk clear waiting for your call.
One change needed as McAlister hit the DL on Thursday PM. A
very readable article and the Wes Helms comment made me laugh. Kendrick provides glimpses of something better but
he just can't sustain it though he tries his best. There is an every man quality there which reminds us, once again, these guys are human.
Great information and well written but I agree the one statement does stand out. Is that in the vein of "typical lanky Swede" or "standard squat Scot" ? It seems like a harmless generalization to me but maybe there was a better way.
Did you get credit for a pitcher's batting stats ? I'm thinking of Bum's grand slamFriday night. That would also
increase value of Greinke, Leake, and Gallardo, for example.
Every little bit helps.
It is a provocative line of thought that could, and should, forward the conversation on chemistry. Hopefully it doesn't get twisted to meet other agendas. The assumption that similarity breeds harmony & chemistry could have merit but I, too, would like some quantification based on previous results.
"the most Mets thing ever" = good one, especially after previous Mejia fiasco under eerily similar circumstances.
Thank you thank you BP, it is much appreciated on this most stressful of days for AL SS owners.
Lewis Thorpe listed as OF should be SP.
Yes, the tools graph is tremendously creative, and useful.
The color coding showing the relative strength of each
component on the prospect assembly was icing on the cake.
Doumit is in Atl. Thanks for the cold shots of reality on some of these. Catching may be on it's way to relief pitcher status as a fungible commodity.
I was interested to see Middlebrooks ahead of Cecchini Which do you think stays long term in Boston, if either ?
Thanks, Mike. It is a sensitive issue for the thousands who have their lives impacted by impaired or reckless drivers each year.
My addendum on Puig is while we have no right to hate him for on field decorum his off field behaviors are endangering innocent lives. His next stint of community service needs to include a visit to some disabled victims of reckless driving crashes.
Tell the Yanks it's a deal if they throw in the tarpaulins and send in a crew for the assembly.
I suspect you mas be thinking of E.Rosario instead of Arcia with the 2B reference.
Chris Perez with a Cardinals logo ? It could be prophetic but I'm not sure how they feel about a Prodigal or is that
Wayward Son ?
This is brilliant stuff. I'd always wanted to see something that addressed and quantified some of the "old scout's tales". Thanks for answering a few questions and posing a few more I hadn't thought of.
Thanks fpr the follow ups, Bret. Yes, I feel almost nostalgic now looking back at the Erasmo mirage, as irritating as it proved at the time. The end game guys can make or break a team if you get unexpected positive, or negative, value from them. I look forward to the 2014 edition, I'll be taking note again.
Now THAT's funny.
Re : Eric Wedge add on...he should get extra antiquity points for anti-sabremetrics rant blaming stat geeks for Dustin Ackley's performance. Way to take responsbility, and being a real motivator by implying Dustin is an airhead.
Jeff Zimmerman carried the comment this week on his site it may be a "long time" before Erasmo resurfaces. It's an ominous silence that rings loudly, or has that proverb been taken ?
Or Ronny Cedeno, who goes from getting cut by the Cardinals to a starting MLB job overnight. And should put up some decent results that will have other teams nosing around
the 'Stros with prospects in hand later this summer.
A most welcome move and a great add for BP.
I wasn't planning on watching any WBC until I read this. Thank you for an interesting perspective that has caused me to rethink the bigger picture. Another angle on this : with declining levels of youth baseball particpation in America the talent pool for MLB must be harvested from somewhere. It makes absolute sense for the baseball industry to prime the pump and encourage youth baseball in large population centers around the globe to fill some of the void left by what will likely be lower levels of US players during the next few decades.
Yes, it is. Luhnow just needs to step away and check the sandbox again at the end of the day. An intervention from Pat Gillick may be in order or is he no longer advising ?
Maybe the fact others have interest in D.Brown will increase his status in Ruben's mind. Right now it appears
to be a "dog in a manger" scenario, i.e., I don't want it but you can't have it.
I've got two more candidates for this series in Jedd Gyorko and Matt Carpenter. Each have added a relatively late career position switch to the exisiting challenge of achieving MLB playing time. Willing to give odds on either or both ? Thanks.
I'm seeing all players for my public AL league, not just the available. Did something change from last year or did I forget to do something ? Thanks.
Thanks, Rob. Many Scoresheet players, like myself, appreciate this very much. I look forward to this year's Sean Doolittle, and other hidden gems amidst the mine field of supplemental drafts.
What consistently strikes me, and I'm not picking on the Twins' beat writer, is how rose colored the glasses are in the second segments after a much more clinical approach from the BP writers. Maybe it's just the nature of the relationship between newspaers and a team with all the advertising revevues involved and the need to put the best face on things in an effort to help boost gate receipts.
Then why didn't Chtis Young pass muster after he came back too soon after running into OF wall ? Is it because he used up sick leave time instead of taking a vacation day while he was on the DL ?
Thanks, Sam. Although I will say as a Phils fan who still has his Richie Allen model glove from Little League this is a trying time. What's next ? Marlon Byrd ? An Eric Byrnes comeback ? Ruben shows up to bail Elijah Dukes out of the slammer ?
Thanks, R.J., for going deeper on the Delmon signing and giving it perspective instead of the obvious response. I suspect we'll know rather rapidly how this will turn out if Delmon shows up in Clearwater minus some of the weight he's carried the last two years. If he's not serious about salvaging his career the write off will be minimal.
Then there is Russell Branyan who, within the space of 12 months, spent time on the DL for : 1) running into furniture in a darkened hotel room while trying to answer the phone, and 2) falling off a chair during his child's birthday party at a neighborhood pizza parlor. Extra point for repeat offenders ?
I wonder what Marlins TV adverts to drum up season ticket sales will look like ? Imagine the possibilities.
There could be a letters of understanding written easily enough to amend the CBA. Maybe the union agreement on added HGH testing, or a similar concession, paves the way for that to happen.
Sorry, but what happens in a vote for who gets a plaque dedicated to them in a museum is not a tragedy.
Well, if you're an M's fan it beats hearing J.Upton, Ethier, and Stanton rumors all within a 24 hour cycle only to sign Mike Jacobs.
You should probably be working on the Yuni highlights package for later this week. It could prove equally rewarding.
Winter league results are available, for example, if not actual games. It would also have been nice for a AFL game of the week. I do agree the replay games are always fun, especially when they let them run uncut with commercial
endorsements left in.
Shouldn't Erasmo Ramirez rate a mention somewhere ? Fastball velocity was up last year and he posted good MLB numbers with a promising changeup.
Harold yesterday proposed the Mariners trade Felix to the Dodgers for Gordon, Harang, Capuano, Ethier, and a "couple of prospects" because they need to "make something happen".
I agree, the high percentage of reruns is hard to bear, there are currently only (4) hours of fresh content a day during the week, and that includes Intentional Talk.
Thanks, I needed that. I think I'll go listen to "The End of the Rainbow" by Richard & Linda Thompson.
Thanks for the article. It's a good concept to group these
guys together and check their pulse from time to time.
The right handed Colby Rasmus ?
Did any of the stats survive ? Did any of the members make their way back to organized ball ? I'd forgotten all about the league, so I guess I'd be a perfect fan for them.
Cody Ross is not a lefty bat. He throws left, however.
Congratulations to BP for these two worthy additions. I am familiar with MLBDC and have always found their roster projections to be timely, and entertaining. And adding another left hander to the staff is always a good thing.
Thanks, Jason, I like your attention to detail in your descriptions and the point about Panik at 2B is a good one.
I like the new format, after adjustment on my part, and recognize the amount of information packed into each profile. On your ETA's (recognizing it is an "estimate", after all), one quick question. Are they based at all on the MLB depth chart of the parent team ? Or is it on a "ML ready is MLB ready" basis ? There is no right or wrong way, of course, I just wondering how you appraoch the topic. Thanks.
Yes, you do get an "attaboy" for the 3 stars, especially E-5, a recommendation I used to win a flag. What is the time frame for the release of next year's ratings ? I'm curious to see where Murphy will fit in next year's version.
Now, that's entertainment. Yeah, I can see the M's and Bay
as a match made in baseball heaven, he's a regional native and fits the profile better than the flashy types. Although Swisher would adapt just fine.
I do appreciate the primer on terminology, and I do think it helps to periodically, like every few months, republish them for newer readers.
Thanks, it's good to get a mix of AFL plus the other leagues. Any results for Mike Olt yet ?
Dice K in pinstripes ? I like the image, it's a good one for the mind's eye. Also. the idea of Swisher in RF and Cody Ross in LF, and clubhouse, trading bat flip techniques.
Thanks for the detailed Hultzen analysis. Of the 6 components on the report card which is the easiest to correct, in your opinion ? I would think repeatability is correctable in and of itself unless some physical factor, such as the closed stride you refer to, gets in the way.
Tell me it really wasn't Bronson Arroyo as Steve Nebraska in THE SCOUT. Have Brendan Fraser and Arroyo ever been seen in the same room ?
It may a little early but how about....nominees for Best Comeback Player of 2013. Thanks.
Kenley Jansen status ?
Until the Safeco issue is addressed "impact bats" is a moot
point. I'm not saying Smoak and Ackley's failings are entirely stadium related but they have each made public comments on the topic. The mere fact they are even commenting on the possibilty is a red flag. The hitting stats on the road tell you some raw talent is there.
I would think the Twins refusal to adjust a failed model in the face of overwhelming proof must be the most frustrating part for fans. They have seen both Baltimore & Seattle pass them by in the last year on their own journeys out of the bottomless pit. It's not Lake Woebegon that's in Minnesota, it's really Lake Placid. They are 10 years behind the times and losing ground every day.
I'd like to see a similar analysis of Ichiro.
I'm not sure that Bud beating up non-attending TB fans is the answer. Was that a threat ? And 3 years for a committee to report out on the A's move ? Show some leadership.
Good speculation on Bonilla's injury. We are dealing with teenagers here, anything can happen.
Hank Blalock anyone ? He wasn't that bad in his cameo at Tampa Bay last year.
Thanks for sharing the story. It does provide some much needed perspective.
Thanks for the breakdown. I suspected the TJS incidents were "up" but the rest of the story had escaped me.
Wait, wait, I've got an answer for the Tigers 2B dilemma : convert Castellanos to 2B, and promote him by the 4th of July. Or shortstop. At 6-4 he'd be Ripken-esque. Seriously I hope they just let the kid develop at his own pace and don't tinker too much.
Thank you for providing new insight into a situation I'd taken for granted since 1986.
Thanks for Jamie Allen mention. Don't forget M's also gave AB's to Dave Edler, also a 3B from Yakima who played with
Allen on Yakima Beetles, who won a mid 70's American Legion champiosnhip.
I speculate the unfathomable infatution with Yuni may have been the catalyst for Rany's breaking point.
I think that last was was an "outie" as opposed to an "innie". It was taught to him by Eddie from King & his
Court. Yu is still working on the "upshoot", he may save that for Yankee Stadium.
One variable that hasn't been addrssed : renegotiation
demands from the player when their performance exceeds
market compensation standards at the back end of their agreement.
Very good article. I'd like to hear more. It's kind of like tracing who made the first rock and roll record. A Jay Alves feature is in order.
Where did the rest of the pitchers go ?
I also like the approach, kind of like red/yellow/green stoplight charts. I'd like to see a sample one for positional players like, say, catchers ? (It's probably already in work).
Reluctantly I have slowly switched sides on the DH issue as
well. The real culprit for less strategic moves in late game situations for positional players is the advent of 12 man pitching staffs which took away 2 bench players per team. A standardized rule between the leagues makes a lot of sense for 2013, as you point out. I will miss the Micah Owings at bats but a DH in all MLB games is the way to go.
"Thank you for the days" indeed. What a wonderful choice for a sendoff song. I will miss your musical intelligence.
Who else will unearth references to John Cale ?
Lindisfarne was generally pegged as another Fairport Convention rather than Beatles but I get the point, and
Well done, Jay. I'm thinking we are at a transition point between a generation of older 3B who linger (A-Rod, Blake, Chipper, Polanco, etc) and a wave of new talent that is a year or two away (Arenado, Gyorko, Olt, Rendon, etc) or just getting started (Moustakas, Chisenhall, Lawrie, etc.). I would expect a "return to normalcy" over the next 3 to 4 years.
Brilliant stuff, Matt. The kicker could be Roy starts the wild card playoff game at Fenway. But in what uniform ?
Thanks for taking on the Cespedes question up front. The other remaining obvious question : where would Yu Darvish
fit on this list if he were eligible ? Top 5 ?
Henderson Alvarez gets no respect. What is the primary cause of the 5.50 forecast ?
Wait a second, didn't I see Hollyfield zooming up the charts on the latest Top 500 Prospects list ? With a bullet.
How do I get to the new Depth Charts ? Is there a link ?
It looks like a couple people have gotten to them. Thanks.
How about "Major Leagues" on Terror Twilight ? That is a gem of a little song, very Exile-era Stones-ish ballad and perfect for scanning BP at early hours of the morning. And thanks for the Bobby Malkmus reference.
Thank you Steven for an insightful article into the larger issue which transcends the immediate baseball concerns. I had forgot the Padres' initial reaction to Wiggins' relapse. Hopefully our reactions as a community of fans in 2012 are different now that so much more information is available on the nature of addictions.
Other than A-Rod's original 10 year with Texas which long term contracts HAVE worked out well ? I'm just curious, some
teams must have gotten good dollar value from their investments. I'm calling 6 years or more long term, just to pick a number.
Lance Lynn in St. Louis ? Or is he a rotation candidate ?
Good article, and perspective. I'll toss out (2) more low budget options from the Oakland logjam at 1B/DH : Brandon Allen and the Kila Monster. Although neither is fully proven they may be a fit with the short porch in RF.
I disagree with the stated position on Bonds. In my opinion Barry Bonds made a mockery of the game and was openly contemptuous to it and, by extension, it's fans. The same goes for Roger Clemens.
Good article and great discussion, thanks everyone. Is there
any statistical indication that age actually improves save rate, at least until physical decline sets in ? Here's one sample : Ramon Ramirez was 1 for 11 in scatttered save chances in first 4 years, 7 for 8 since then. Matt Thornton was 9 for 29 before going 8 for 10 in 2010.
Brilliant stuff. Is there room for Samuel Jackson as Dave Parker in the cast list ?
Well done, a timely reminder in the wake of recent trade trends. The Fitzgerald reference is appreciated.
How is it possible for what seemed like the oldest team in MLB, in more ways than one, to get even older in the off season ? Did I really read that Livian Hernandez is also under consideration ? Honestly, I do feel badly for Twins fans, you must be a hardy group.
Thanks, Kevin, that's a good approach in trying to place Yu in context. We keep hearing Dice-K horror stories when Kuroda might be a much better comparison.
One factor with Kubel...he IS a better insurance policy at 1B than Overbay in case Goldschmidt doesn't develop as expected.
I've got to ask : did you have access to the new Scoresheet fielding ratings for 2012 before drafting ? Thanks for running this article.
I will be interested how Braun handles his first public statement. Anyone can slip and fall, it's how you get back up that counts. Angry ? Defiant ? Humble ? Ashamed ? A mix of any or all of the above ? It's not like he is a Manny with repeat violations. He has a chance to turn this around, no matter how bad it is.
This is wonderful writing and strikes a "too true" chord for someone who lived in corporate culture for nearly three decades.
Does this make the Marlins, like the commercial, the Most
Interesting Team in MLB ?
I"m thinking last year's Napoli/Wells fiasco made a number of GM's extremely risk averse. No one wants to be on the losing end of the next big swap.
Just thinking about what the new park dimensions will do TO Stanton, LoMo, potential FA signings, etc....
Late to my kudo but I think of Martin Sheen lying underneath the rotating fan on a sweltering day with the Doors drifting into the soundtrack mix.
Re Kotsay : what was Brad Hawpe's salary ? Teams are spending their hard earned cash on the carnival ring toss,
the first stop for marks on many midways.
The Twins haven't hit bottom yet, I fear, in that their isn't recognition of the need to change. Otherwise, as you
point out, they wouldn't return to a past that put them
where they are today. They remind me most of later era Mariners under Bavasi, but with the added burden of not having a decent stock of nearly ready for prime time minor leaguers. They still have to go through their denial stage, the one that insisted publicly this spring that Maurer is a full time catcher because we paid him big bucks and that's his job. Even casual TV fans could see Joe hurt all year.
Amazing review, KG, forget the actual player. Out of curiosity, who played CF on the team when Martin was in the same lineup ?
Msybe tonight we'll get the side of fries to go with that
burger basket. This article is a keeper, Jay, well done,
What is the all time college team in terms of MLB career WORP ? I've got to think the "70 and '71 USC teams are close with S.Busby, J.Barr, Smalley, Kingman, S.Kemp, etc., plus Marvin Cobb who went on to NFL.
What helps me here is the reminder of the trends in S.O. rate and WHIP, both going in the wrong direction. That
sobers me up. But wait...there's the hook of transitioning to a GB pitcher and "if it wasn't for those 4 starts".
He's a mystery. A coin flip may be the final solution for "to keep" or "not to keep".
Colin's first paragraph still stands. Washington looks woefully out of his league in more ways than one. LaRussa would make an excellent Strato manager while Ron just waits for his dice to heat up.
I like Jim Bowden's ideas for 2B and 3B. Even the Pedro suggestion has possible merit. It all depends on the cost
to acquire the assets he's mentioned, doesn't it ?
I would think the Cubs would have seen the contract ring on his left finger and asked some questions before making a proposal.
It's like they are Scoresheet managers with hooks set at 3.0. With a deep enough bullpen you can do this is simulation, why not MLB ?
I'll throw out a request for that eternal mystery Ricky
Nolasco, also Chad Billingsley. Thanks for tackling Baker,
he is another of the "on the bubble" types.
Who were the other (6) MLB players with Achilles injuries ?
What I'm going after is...has anyone really come back ? I don't want to sound gloomy but I remember Bill White in his playing days at a similar age with the Phillies. I hope things go differently for Ryan.
Well done, Kevin. I think fantasy players owning A's pitchers are the only people who like the Coliseum.
Well played. It really was an evening to remind us of what MLB can be.
A future for Eric Thames ? I would guess Snider might draw
interest from Seattle (he's a local product) among others.
I fear Smoak may not be much more than what he is so far.
We have this feeling he will suddenly blossom but that hope has surrounded Chris Davis for years, just to name one. And Davis DID have an impressive rookie year at least.
On the whole though I think Z-Man is on the right track by at least trying out his assortment of OF's/1B's to see what
sticks. Ichiro is the obvious aging elephant in the room.
Just consider the alternative to Johnny G learning his trade in MLB = more Getz or similar ilk.
So...who's the Grey Wizard ? Joe, Cashman, or a Steinbrenner ? This is excellent.
Please say it ain't so, Joe/Jay, on Loney. It's an obvious mirage. Kenley Jansen also provides hope but he's had two
weird medical episodes himslf this year. I still haven't figured out what Mattingly was thinking when he hands Jansen the closer role and the first chance is at Houston where he leaves him in to suffer through a 42 pitch 9th inning, then predictably ends up on the DL with a sore arm within a week.
Thanks for the link to query on Tejada. He doesn't have Willie's speed, of course, but another name on list did
seem a good comparison at same age : Jose Oquendo. The
Mets would probably be OK with that as a floor.
It would be fitting if the final AL West standings end up reflecting the difference in WARP between Napoli and Wells.
Re: Tejada's 11% walk rate for a 21 year old. Any comparable players, especially one with so few XBH ?
The insight on the Soriano signing was appreciated. I knew there HAD to be more to the story.
What did Slowey do to incur the Wrath of Smith anyway ?
Well Dunn. Actually a very reasonable alternative to the dilemma of what to do with Adam. Yes, some at bats it looks like he is "out" before he shuffles downcast to the plate.
Well done, in a grimly fascinating manner.
Well done, thanks. Although they don't directly fall into this category I do want to give a brief nod to : 1) Arthur Lee Maye, AKA the "Other Lee Maye", the greatest singing ball player ever. He maintained dual careers, singing his way in Los Angeles R & B groups to pay the bills in the winter. 2) Bob Dylan's brief but classic rendition of "Take Me Out to the Ballgame" in his THEME TIME radio shw on baseball songs. And, double thanks, for no "Center Field".
The dime store psychology on this is LaRussa's own career as an over achiever who is hardest on those with tools not
being fully deployed. Tony was a Descalso type in his day.
One small hidden bonus of Fister is he works fast on the mound, not a fidget machine or time waster, he keeps people in the game. Watching Cliff Lee last year may have rubbed off in that regard. And I doubt if you ever see him getting in on field arguments with his cacher like Penny the other day with Martinez.
Excellent insight. I had never heard the description before that Davis was too hard on himself. That makes his slumps more understandable (and harder to shake). If Baltimore just gives him 200 AB's the rest of the way we'll all have a better read on the guy.
I've got to ask....if Adam would be 4th worst and Deer 1st,
who are #2 and 3 ? The fact is you've got to be a pretty good player to get so many AB's with that level of performance in a single season. A rookie wouldn't be allowed that much room for failure.
On the flip side last night....David Perez, 5 batters faced
with 3 walks, 2 HBP, and a WP, removed with no one out in 1st inning.
Well done. One other possibility : Brandon Belt waits in Fresno while SF ogles Beltran.
Regarding Joe Ferguson, I was fortunate enough to see 1970 and '71 versions of Spokane Indians which included Joe, Cey,
Alexander, Lopes, Buckner, Garvey, Paciorek, Yeager, Rusell,
Von Joshua, etc. Two quick memories : the unquestioned shining star was Bobby Valentine who was not just fast and
a line drive machine but had a natural leadership ability. On a pure athletic basis, Bill Russell was probably the greatest. There was little doubt he could have played any position on the field quite competently. Yeager and Ferguson also got the chance to capture Charlie Hough's knucklers on those teams. Lasorda was the ideal manager for this collection.
Then, three more plunks yesterday in Boston. Popi must have been picking up those bad, bad vibrations. Good article and appreciate some balance on A-Rod. As a Mariner fan, these are just two more that got away, even if they were for entirely different reasons. A funny commercial might help A-Rod's PR.
Marcus Thames ? Oops.
I love the division names. I do think expansion to 32 teams
is the real solution, you definitely have a point there.
Yes, but there is Ryan Lavarnway waiting in BoSox wings. He's at least worth a "maybe".
I thought for a second your transition from Seattle to Texas would lead to Chris Davis. Seattle does NOT need another declining left fielder even if Rivera's attitude is
at a non-Bradley level.
Anything on Tanner Scheppers ? I saw he is making relief appearances in AA. He seems like a feasible internal option for Texas. What do you think ?
It was left center, roughly equal distance between foul line
and dead center. I was there and it was crushed, a long gone ball in the old Kingdome. The stadium impacts both teams, of course, and the M's are doing well in taking advantage of what they have.
Amen to the comments on size of the ballpark. I was at Saturday night M's/Phils game and Smoak crashed a double off the 385 mark in left center that would have been gone anywhere else. It's not just the dimensions but also prevailing winds in the batter's faces and a dampness in the atmosphere. It was 57 degrees at game time but most of the crowd was bundled like it was a September football game.
The M's seem to be making the right moves, trying out the potpourri of young outfielders to see if one of them sticks is far better than the Bradley/Langerhaus/Cust train to nowhere.
How about a Ryan Lavarnway update ? Why can't he be in Boston for 2012 ?
Good to have you back. I hope we get another Scoresheet update before too long.
If Super 2 existed in the 50's Al Kaline would not have won his batting title. Nor would we have seen the debut seasons of Vida, Doc, or the Bird when they were at their early best. Mark me down as one of the frustrated fans, of the Mariner variety waiting for Ackley to arrive.
Sadly the SAporting News now is to baseball what Rolling Stone is to music, i.e., lifestyle and target marketing rather than mundane information. There was a time, of course, when it was called the Bible. I recall scanning their weekly class C & D league batting and pitching stats when no one else was there to publish them. Not to mention AAA box scores.
Bass is the guy who plunked Lawrie two weeks ago, by the way. Nothing nefarious, it just got away.
Jack Z is jacking around Ackley's service time to save some cash while KC brings up Hosmer, Moustakas, Duffy...it may make business sense today but I dare say it will be remembered down the road. Would Ackley be inclined to offer a future "in house discount" to Seattle (not knowing who his agent is) ? Despite all this, the M's really are putting
together a very efficent pitching staff and stay close to
.500 all year.
I wish I would have had this as a Little Leaguer when I was
convinced changing from submariner, to over the top, to 3/4, then to a sidearmer from pitch to pitch was the way to go. The truth was I couldn't get the ball over the plate consistently from any arm angle.
You know at this point he's acting like the obnoxious beer
league slow pitch softball slugger who laughs in your face
when he hits it out and slams the bat against the water
cooler when makes an out. His physical abilities are just ahead of his emotional growth. MLB needs his talent, let's
hope he gets things under control.
Cousins and his family in the Bay Area are receving death threats. Is that what Sabean really wants ? He should know better after the tragic fan beating in LA. MLB needs to step in. I assume his comments do not reflect the position of the Giants franchise.
I agree with the comment above. One quick question....the league average ERA, was that AL, NL, or MLB ? It would be nice to see a breakdown between the two leagues.
Does that make Swisher a dirty ballplayer for the collision with Nishioka ? Same broken fibula result. There was a recent Tigers game covered on MLB network where the runner
completed upended Avila who was straddling the plate and
gave the runner room to score. The runner slid for his legs instead to topple the catcher without going for the plate. The MLB analyst (I think it was Harold Reynolds) applauded
the slide, saying in effect your job as a runner is to separate the catcher from the ball. I was amazed Avila wasn't damaged as both of his legs were uprooted by the slide but he luckily was in a position to take the hit and let his legs give way to the runner's momentum, his feet weren't planted like Posey's and unable to go anywhere.
That is the mindset that will have to be altered.
Out of curiosity....is it just an unwritten rule that minor
league pitchers wouldn't buzz the tower of a guy who tries
the stare down ? Granted, urging counter-confronational solutions with 18 to 20 year olds may be opening Pandora's box. Would the "lesson" even sink in at this point with Harper ?
The "break up the chemistry" also applies to Chisenhall, right ?
Or Seattle would be OK, too.
Well done article. I suspect Mickey Mantle would be heavy
on the pre-30 value scale and that Pete Rose would be fairly heavy for post-30 ? Correct ? Thanks.
Good overview of the bullpen but....what about the other
component in any pen ? The guys with the big glove and who get to chase the ball to the screen. Anything on the horizon catching wise for KC ?
You may have addressed this previously but....oblique injuries ? Were they just announced as something other than
oblique injuries in previous years or is this really a
"breakout season" for them ?
It's all projection and perfection until the first curve ball buckles the knees. The new car has no dings until it leaves the lot. Etc, etc. Actually, it is exciting to see the new guy get his chance and I'd love for KC to achieve
success this way. Somewhere, there is a spot for K-K in MLB.
I would think Oakland, Seattle, and TB are possibilities.
Quick, M's, A's, and Ray's GM's get on the phone for K-K,
an upgrade to current options is the on way to Omaha.
Or was that Edgar Allan Buchanan ? Come on Uncle Joe, give the Berk some reality check. My theory is this has been the annual crazy hot month Berkman gets every year carried over from 2010 when he didn't have one. Maybe there will be another at tail end of 2011. Good article, and good hitter who's been a little under appreciated.
"A False Spring" by Pat Jordan, still stands as best written look from the inside out on what a minor leaguer goes through. It would help a GM understand the other side
of the labor issue.
Your own "Child's Christmas in Wales".
Only the Pirates bench the week's .294 hitter for Wood and keep Cedeno intact and afloat. Could Pedro have a new platoon pal ?
How about Eric Thames ?
"Select Team to Activate" dropdown menu ? I couldn't find it on the page. Where is it ? Thanks
If not Desmond Jennings, where is Barndon Guyer in TB ? Can
Branyan be far behind the arrival of Casey ? TB (and Sea) should be relegated to a lower league like in English soccer or everyday American recreational leagues. I know there are economic considerations but this is absurd. How can you write off a season in week 2 and expect more than 10 to 15K to attend a game ?
No way on HOF for Manny. Or Barry. No matter what the home
town jury decides. They just got greedy. They had the race won without getting the "boost".
Bradley is playing hard for Seattle, running everything out and just seems happy to be on the field. He's still not quite 33 even if it seems he's been around forever.
Ryan Lavarnway is a phone call away from Fenway. There are plenty of defensive specialists available for the late innings.
Good stuff to have just before draft weekend.
Another comparison worth looking into : Fat Freddie Fitzsimmons for Brooklyn who was very effective on a limited schedule 1938-1941 and was in Colon's age range
if not weight.
Tanner Scheppers goes to AAA to start so he can return to ML as a reliever later ? Really ?
5th starter with Cook sidelined ? Mr. Rogers, I presume ?
It's unfortunate Seattle and Cleveland are basically telling their fans we will not put the best lineup on the field on opening day due to our concerns on future contract status of Ackley and Chisenhall. What kind of a message is
that ? Sure, it's managing the franchise for the long term but meanwhile fans are being asked to buy tickets today.
One more suggestion....Seattle infield puzzle. Ryan, Jack Wilson, Josh Wilson, Kennedy, Ackley, Figgins, etc. Who is odd man out ?
Speaking of Cleveland, did you already cover 3B situation with a host of applicants in pursuit of one job ?