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oskinner
56 comments | 35 total rating | 0.62 average rating
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Baseball Prospectus http://bbp.cx/i/50030
oskinner
(50030)
Comment rating: 2

Way cool step forward by BP, guys.....

Mar 12, 2014 6:07 AM on The Science of Swinging
 
oskinner
(50030)
Comment rating: 0
 
oskinner
(50030)
Comment rating: 1

Thank you for the willingness to share your journey, Eric....I think your dad will be quite proud despite your trepidations....good luck!

 
oskinner
(50030)
Comment rating: 0

CBS generally have none and ESPN has just one....Yahoo is the one who gets it right, as usual, with the two.....

 
oskinner
(50030)
Comment rating: 3

I am impressed Max....you are a great addition to BP....

 
oskinner
(50030)
Comment rating: 0

Since when does the fence for known stolen goods go scot-free?

Feb 24, 2012 2:33 PM on Friday, February 24
 
oskinner
(50030)
Comment rating: 1

If MLB can't find the leaks, two at least, then fire everyone in the chain and construct a confidential process that complies with what was collectively bargained with the MLBPA and signed off on by MLB!

Feb 24, 2012 2:19 PM on Friday, February 24
 
oskinner
(50030)
Comment rating: 0

Selig did not rule on the Theo comp issue....the two teams worked that out on their own, even though they had sent briefs to Selig on the issue.....

 
oskinner
(50030)
Comment rating: 1

I second that emotion......

Feb 11, 2012 8:21 AM on Neighborly Baseball
 
oskinner
(50030)
Comment rating: 0

I think you meant,"...in 2011, Lowe actually posted his LOWEST FIP of the three year period..."

 
oskinner
(50030)
Comment rating: 1

K-Rod actually gets a $4 mil buyout on his 2012 option....the Brewers gave him (with the work of K-Rod's "new" agent, Scott Boros) an extra $1/2 mil "hush money" to drop his vesting option and convert the 2012 club option to a mutual option....that eliminated any fears the Brewers may of had in some grievance being filed about him not closing out games...and allowed Boros to collect the commission on the buyout, rather than K-Rod's former agent...but, it did not seem to stop K-Rod from mouthing off just the same.....

Nov 02, 2011 10:37 AM on Weighing the Options
 
oskinner
(50030)
Comment rating: 0

I'm sure you meant "Kinsler--barely--stole second base", as Furcal was still wearing a glove and holding the ball....

 
oskinner
(50030)
Comment rating: 1

The pairing of Tony La Russa and "allegations" simply is an indicator (not proof) that he is alive and behaving normally......

 
oskinner
(50030)
Comment rating: 0

Why does Clayton Kershaw appear twice in the PECOTA ERA list?

Jul 11, 2011 8:18 AM on Pitching Dominance
 
oskinner
(50030)
Comment rating: 0

I second that emotion...the combination of readability and technicality is awesome.....

Mar 30, 2011 2:17 PM on Disabled on Opening Day
 
oskinner
(50030)
Comment rating: 0

That seems to fit, given that Morgan was a former hockey player too!

Mar 27, 2011 12:57 PM on The Brewers Add Morgan
 
oskinner
(50030)
Comment rating: 1

On Friday, Doug Melvin had no interest given the Nats' asking price. On Saturday, the demand dropped to an A-ball player and cash, and the deal was done, avoiding the Nats having to part ways with Mister Personality! Brandon Boggs was told last night that he would not make the club and, given he was out of options,would be waived, leaving Jeremy Reed as the fifth OF.

Mar 27, 2011 12:55 PM on The Brewers Add Morgan
 
oskinner
(50030)
Comment rating: 0

What will happen to Davis' BABIP on the carpet in Canada?

 
oskinner
(50030)
Comment rating: 2

I love this alternative analysis.....it's significant, but seldom written about!

 
oskinner
(50030)
Comment rating: 1

As usual, Jeff, you seem to find overlooked areas on which to shed some light....that 2011 class earning 10-5 status generates so many intriguing questions (beyond the "For Sale Cheap" sign on Carlos lee), particularly for Fonzie and Big Z if the Cubs are out of it early.....nice foreshadowing of some in-season storylines! Your final paragraph brings up a point for future articles.....what are the MLB pension benefits? I've heard marginal players express concern about accruing the necessary days of service time for their pension....like Bob Scanlan.....but I don't really know the details or the dollars???

 
oskinner
(50030)
Comment rating: 0

Interesting historical context wrt non-LOOGY relievers....and an intriguing writing style, as well!

 
oskinner
(50030)
Comment rating: 0

Stern or starboard, I doubt that he has two WHIPs.....another correctable error!

Jan 12, 2011 1:31 PM on Starting Pitchers
 
oskinner
(50030)
Comment rating: 0

Which Kelly did the A's trade to Texas for Moscoso. Ryan or Shawn?

Jan 11, 2011 12:23 PM on Bartlett's Price Quote
 
oskinner
(50030)
Comment rating: 2

I don't think Adam LaRoche will ever qualify at 3b, but he does share a common father with someone who is, in theory at least, a free-agent 3b, little brother Andy.....

Jan 07, 2011 1:08 PM on Signing Adrian Beltre
 
oskinner
(50030)
Comment rating: 0

I second many of Poptarts sentiments....John, your strengths are delivering the "newsy tidbits, rumors and gossip" from a knowledgeable perspective.....there's no need to try to outdo KG or Matt.....

Jan 01, 2011 5:06 PM on How About Some Ideas?
 
oskinner
(50030)
Comment rating: 0

I second than thank you.....a hustler any fan can like!

Dec 27, 2010 4:43 PM on Will Rhymes
 
oskinner
(50030)
Comment rating: 1

I guess I keep forgetting how much Jr actually left on the table....thanks for the details and update, Jeff.

 
oskinner
(50030)
Comment rating: 0

If he were called up on May 23rd to start, and stay with the big league club, he would accrue about 134 days of MLB service time in 2010.....the range for Super-2s has been 123 to 140 days, so the Nats would be running a major risk here....ask the Twins how much they enjoyed paying Justin Morneau an extra $6+ mil by not letting him go represent Canada in the Athens Olympics and becoming a Super-2 instead.....or worse, ask the Mariners why A-Rod left for free agency after only 5 years and 65 games for Seattle, due to their "safe" management of his MLB service time.....

May 03, 2010 2:14 PM on Friday Update
 
oskinner
(50030)
Comment rating: 0

It was their Metrodome lease that made them small-market, not the metro area....

Apr 28, 2010 8:44 PM on Wednesday Update
 
oskinner
(50030)
Comment rating: 0

"Levine retaliated by questioning what the Brewers were doing with their revenue-sharing money, a system funded primarily by the Yankees paying a luxury tax on their high payrolls." NO PART of the luxury tax (Competitive Balance Tax) is shared with the Brewers or any other team.....per Article XXIII, Section H, of the current Collective Bargaining Agreement, the first $2.5 mil is held in reserve by MLB and the balance is split 75% to fund benefits for MLB players under the MLBPA Benefits Plan and 25% contributed to the Industry Growth Fund operated jointly by the clubs and players to promote the growth of baseball in North America and throughout the world.....I guess playing with George's money doesn't make you smart or competent!

Apr 11, 2010 7:37 AM on Friday Update
 
oskinner
(50030)
Comment rating: 0

Questions about the Super Two tiebreaker....Fontenot with 260 MLB PA's in '07 would clearly seem to top Jones who had only 71 MLB PA's in '07, as both spent all of '08 in the bigs....however, Owings was called up in April, 2007 and pitched 152+IPs in '07, while Fontenot was not called up until 5-15-07 and had some MLB time in '06 as well....this would seem to indicate that Owings should have "won" the tiebreaker....did, by chance, one of the 2-game "rehab" stints that Owings had in 2008, and also 2009, count as a valid "option" and cost him big-time?

Apr 01, 2010 8:57 AM on The Renewables
 
oskinner
(50030)
Comment rating: 0

"...quiet confidence and belief in belonging..." Sure sounds better than Vanilla Ice....

 
oskinner
(50030)
Comment rating: 0

Having watched him at AAA Indy, I'm also quite interested in that "sort of a conversational scouting report."

 
oskinner
(50030)
Comment rating: 0

Thanks for the explanation Jeff.....

Mar 11, 2010 2:47 PM on AL East
 
oskinner
(50030)
Comment rating: 0

"since Nathan took over the job at the start of the 2009 season" I'm sure you mean 2004, his age 29 season, after coming from the Giants in one of the most lopsided trades in recorded history..... Joe Nathan, Francisco Liriano and Boof Bonser for one season of a non-tendered A.J. Pierzynski (.246 EQA)....ouch!

Mar 10, 2010 4:58 PM on Mid-Week Update
 
oskinner
(50030)
Comment rating: 0

It won't be Mike Rivera he'll be talking to since he was non-tendered and signed a minor-league contract with the Yankees....and with Cervelli now out with a concussion, he's got another job as a backup...

Mar 06, 2010 11:57 PM on Jonathan Lucroy
 
oskinner
(50030)
Comment rating: 0

I believe it was on a check swing, at this this last time.

Mar 06, 2010 12:38 PM on Milwaukee Brewers
 
oskinner
(50030)
Comment rating: 0

Adam Dunn also rocks in most 6X6 leagues, whether you add OBP, SLG or OPS....

Mar 02, 2010 1:46 PM on Left Fielder Rankings
 
oskinner
(50030)
Comment rating: 0

Morgan's 24 bags was just in his less than half season with Washington, having already swiped another 18 with P'burgh!

Mar 02, 2010 1:42 PM on Left Fielder Rankings
 
oskinner
(50030)
Comment rating: 3

Yep...Joe was a little prone to hyperbole when tweaked...remember his 2004: "The Red Sox essentially gave their playoff spot to the Cubs" line in the Nomar trade post-mortem?

 
oskinner
(50030)
Comment rating: 0

That's basically all he is going to have to do....

 
oskinner
(50030)
Comment rating: 0

Your game theory suggestion is valid, but not in a non-linear binary situation like an MLB arbitration hearing.....

 
oskinner
(50030)
Comment rating: 0

If you think Lincecum has an 80% chance of prevailing, there is no way he should settle for less than #12 mil (his $13 mil less 20% of the $5 mil difference between the two)

 
oskinner
(50030)
Comment rating: 1

Lincecum's agents did an excellent job of elemental game theory, whether by luck or by design we may never know.....if you think the Giants are going low, then you also go lower than you might otherwise, increasing the likelihood your number is the "more reasonable" and carries the day.....if you think the Giants are going to minimize their risk by submitting a higher number than they might otherwise, then you also go high on the chance the arbitrator will pick your number, knowing your downside is limited.....as the A's Mike Norris is reported to have said after losing in salary arbitration: "No problem, I was either going to wake up rich or richer."

Feb 02, 2010 12:29 PM on Arbitration Negotiations
 
oskinner
(50030)
Comment rating: -1

Took a look at your boy Smizik's comments, and the best I can respond is to reprint the comments by Charlie at Bucs Dugout posted yesterday.....enough said! "Matt Bandi eviscerates Bob Smizik's latest bit of nonsense. I'll do the Post-Gazette a favor by not linking to Smizik, who makes the paper look worse with every word he writes, but I will say this. The comment section on Smizik's blog often features a guy named "Mark in Dallas," who also often posts here. Mark provides "facts" and "context" and "coherent arguments," which a guy like Smizik must find really annoying, and so this time when Mark spoke up, Smizik actually accused him of being some sort of sock-puppet employee of the team. I'm sure Mark can take it, but that's the sort of really slimy thing I hope I never did back when I was just an angry message-board commenter and an angry writer of a blog nobody read. A writer at a major paper really should be above using that paper's website for that sort of thing."

Jan 29, 2010 6:14 PM on Mid-Week Update
 
oskinner
(50030)
Comment rating: 1

Are you disputing my facts, or just restating your dislike for Bob Nutting?

Jan 27, 2010 8:13 PM on Mid-Week Update
 
oskinner
(50030)
Comment rating: 3

Do people not realize how far back the Pirates really were just two years ago? Go ask John to reprint his article from a couple years ago about Pirates' prospect Clayton Hamilton and just how broken the systems in this organization were? This is a franchise that basically had to be ripped up and started over again from scratch! It is not one where spending the same extra $10-11 mil on fourth-tier free agents for the MLB payroll makes any sense. The MLBPA targeting the Pirates is going to be a joke, except to its now hostile fan base, despite the team having turned a profit the past six seasons. Rather than use revenue sharing to pay down debt, the Pirates have actually added modestly to their $100 mil debt over the past two years since Coonelly and Huntington took over. Since 2007, they have increased their budget for the draft by $8.3 mil and upped the budget for international signings by $1.87 mil. In that same span the team has nearly doubled its domestic scouting staff (14 to 25) and increased its international scouting staff (19 to 33). At the same time, revenue sharing has helped finance $11 mil of baseball capital improvements (cash outlays that aren't deductible against operating profit): including $5.4 mil for their first-ever Dominican academy; equipment and facilities upgrades at PNC Park and Pirate City, such as the installation of ProBatter video pitch simulators; the $3 mil purchase and move to Bradenton of the Hi-A Florida State League's Sarasota franchise; and renovations to Pirate City, some of which were paid for by the city of Bradenton.

Jan 27, 2010 1:49 PM on Mid-Week Update
 
oskinner
(50030)
Comment rating: 1

In the second paragraph under Catchers, it should be 2008 when Astros backstops hit a lowly .201/.281/.289, marking 2009 as a veritable breakout season! So true, so true that bad baseball makes for good copy.....I love it!

Jan 26, 2010 10:57 AM on Vortices of Suck
 
oskinner
(50030)
Comment rating: 1

Although our teams of interest may differ, it indeed would be great to know someone on "my" team was mentioned by Will, or whomever, where I can go straight to the poop first thing!

Jan 25, 2010 2:06 PM on Juice
 
oskinner
(50030)
Comment rating: 0

I second Tuck's point about highlighting in greater depth the players you were right or wrong about....and what we might learn from those case-studies. Seeing someone beat themselves up is not enjoyable!

 
oskinner
(50030)
Comment rating: 2

Once again, John, your column highlights my weekend expectations....particularly Rumors and Rumblings! The MLBPA targeting the Pirates is going to be a hard nut to crack despite the team having turned a profit the past six seasons. Rather than use revenue sharing to pay down debt, the Pirates have actually added modestly to their $100 mil debt over the past two years since Coonelly and Huntington took over. Since 2007, they have increased their budget for the draft by $8.3 mil and upped the budget for international signings by $1.87 mil. In that same span the team has nearly doubled its domestic scouting staff (14 to 25) and increased its international scouting staff (19 to 33). At the same time, revenue sharing has helped finance $11 mil of baseball capital improvements (cash outlays that aren't deductible against operating profit): including $5.4 mil for their first-ever Dominican academy; equipment and facilities upgrades at PNC Park and Pirate City, such as the installation of ProBatter video pitch simulators; the $3 mil purchase and move to Bradenton of the Hi-A Florida State League's Sarasota franchise; and renovations to Pirate City, some of which were paid for by the city of Bradenton. John, do you recall your article a couple years ago about Pirates' prospect Clayton Hamilton and just how broken the systems in this organization were? A franchise that basically had to be ripped up and started over again from scratch is not one where spending the same extra $10-11 mil on fourth-tier free agents for the MLB payroll makes any sense. So let the MLBPA file a grievance if they wish!

Jan 17, 2010 9:36 PM on Weekend Update
 
oskinner
(50030)
Comment rating: 6

As Kevin mentioned in the article, one of the Cubs problems is contract construction with so many no-trade clauses. Not mentioned by Kevin, but also a problem, is that much of their 2012 and 1013 commitments other than Soriano are PLAYER options (Dempster's $14 mil in 2012 and Zambranno's vesting option of $19.25 mil in 2013, as well as the strange case of Aramis Ramirez: a 2011 $14.6mil player option and a $16 mil 2012 CLUB option that HE can void by giving up the $2 mil buyout)! So the Cubs are left with big payroll commitments if the player tanks or is hurt (insert Dempster) and nothing but draft choices if the player does well and bolts for free agency (hasn't Ramirez already done this to the Cubs before?). By contrast, the Cardinals are looking at CLUB options on Carpenter ($15 mil in 2012), Molina ($7 mil in 2012), and Wainwright ($9 mil in 2012 and $12 mil in 2013)! Throw in whatever you want for Pujols post-2011, but would anyone rather have their payroll going to productive players rather than to the Carlos Silvas of the world?

 
oskinner
(50030)
Comment rating: 2

Glad to see Jeff on board and making more use out of his data; I'm so used to having to flip back and forth between the two sites, this should be a major win-win! Thanks Kevin for getting the ball rolling!

 
oskinner
(50030)
Comment rating: 0

Kevin, you might want to correct Derek Holland's position in your Top 10 Under 25 list....nice list with six five-star 25 and Unders for a system that's "down just a tad"!

Jan 10, 2010 10:58 AM on Rangers Top 11 Prospects
 
oskinner
(50030)
Comment rating: 0

For the record, Mark DeFelice, stalwart of the Italian team in the WBC, is not left-handed.

Dec 13, 2009 11:16 AM on Winter Meeting Wrap-Up
 
oskinner
(50030)
Comment rating: -1

Option #1 gives one the price point choice....so that makes it #1.....