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More video game discussion! Perhaps a "what are you playing" add-on to the goofy stuff, Kevin?
I'm not sure what to think of your several references to the Pirates spending a lot of money on the draft and international free agents. That would after all, contradict what we know is all true, that the Pirates ownership is greedy and evil and pockets that revenue sharing money to buy more ivory back scratchers.
2009 - man, Vlad was not too good, I guess he's cooked
1st half 2010 - Vlad's back!
2nd half 2010 - man, Vlad was not too good, I guess he's cooked
The moral of the story is that none of these are significant enough samples to judge on their own, and it appears people are breaking down his numbers along these time frames.
I needed some time to get caught up anyway, take your time!
He was not, ESPN had an article relating to his involvement in the original affair that said he was watching the game in LaGuardia.
Alright, in that case was in he organized baseball prior to that, and if so why did he leave?
Zach is supposed to be a guy who's more dialed into numbers, right? I'd be interested if that means he'd be open to taking a big picture look at the team and seeing that they may be on to something soon. Who knows, maybe he'll buy into the infamous "Process".
Goldstein has mentioned that Myers may be moved to right field.
Where was Wilhelmsen up until now?
That's pretty low and not befitting of a BP writer.
Fantasy is pretty far removed from actual baseball. There's little difference between batting average instead of on base percentage, they're both arbitray ways of helping to define which players will have value.
No in fact it probably was a coincidence.
Your writing has singlehandedly switched me from being on the fence about renewing my subscription to a definite renew. Anything you are willing to about is fine, as long as there's as much of it as possible.
I almost cannot believe Shawn Hill is still pitching in the majors. Next you'll be telling me Mark Prior is making a comeback!
Neil Walker is walking in about 5% of his plate appearances while striking out in about 20%, so I don't thinke he's now "willing to take a pitch".
This is a "players are emotionless robots" analysis, but seems like they'd dump Jose Lopez, move Figgins back to 3rd, and put Ackley at 2nd.
WATG: Dillon Gee of the Bisons.
Hey, anonymous scout describing Andres Torres... we don't know why he's good either. That's why we're asking you!
Half empty, that's Braden Looper. Half full and it's Joe Blanton.
Octavio Dotel has two numbers listed for his SIERA.
Plussing the FAQ idea.
Kevin, could you maybe write an article about an international signee who is now in the majors and his trajectory from sigining to his current place? That would help me put guys like Ynoa and Sano in perspective.
Yes I agree, we should discuss the Jays' new hitting coach.
Red Sox fans may need to watch that episode of the Simpsons.
"It's just a little airborne, it's still good, it's still good!"
Your brief mention of Bo Jackson got me wondering if anyone has taken a look back at Bo Jackson's baseball career? I've personally never had the ability to separate the modern-day legend from what kind of player he was or could have been. Have you or someone else written something to this effect?
Re: Michael Brantley, Cleveland's affiliate is Columbus.
Oh I was hoping you'd ask about his LASIK operation. Otherwise a good interview.
I'm not sure of Chapman's experience in this regard, but... it was very, very cold and damp last night in downtown Buffalo. Like, mid 30's by the the 3rd inning. Chapman seemed fairly uncomfortable, getting "bees in the bat" on one of his hats and wearing a jacket while running the bases.
Not to say he shouldn't be able to handle the weather, but might this have been the first time he's had to deal with cold that extreme during a game?
I agree with the one thought that wringing our hands over precisely how much money Ryan Howard makes isn't that important, but is that what anyone actually is wondering?
The issue just comes back to the money spent here that didn't go to Cliff Lee, and can't be tabbed for Jayson Werth, two men who could offer a hell of a lot more than Howard will.
Have you tried the Baseball Mogul franchise, and if so could you compare/contrast the two, even briefly? I've only played the Mogul series up until now.
The Rockies have had one of those "nice problems" of too many outfielders for a while now anyway. Missing Hawpe for a bit will sting but they'll more than get by.
It takes a normally non-sensical form of reasoning and tries to apply a process to it. How is that not BP?
In each of the cases mentioned, Fernando Rodney and Ryan Franklin went on to be very successful initially and cement their closer status. So let's see if Feliz struggles at all out of the gate and see where that goes.
Kenny Lofton's Wikipedia page has been updated to mention he's signed a minor league contract with the Brewers. I have not heard anything else about it, and the only Google results seem to have Wikipedia as their source. Christina I was wondering if you'd heard any rumblings at all about this.
You seem overly optimistic about his power, but in general I would agree with your assessment.
That Travis Snider ranking is based on him exceeding his listed projection by a fair deal? Otherwise he seems to have moderate power with subpar average and speed.
Yeah that Kelly Johnson projection seems extremely optimistic... it's Justin Upton's slash line minus 30 slugging percentage points.
I'm not sure about you Christina, but every time I read Jacque Jones's segments in Fantasyland I feel some pity for him.
It seems especially out of place since the rest of the article mentions how great Philly is at keeping their players healthy. It's interesting to consider the cost of medical care - I hadn't really considered it before - but the way it's presented makes it seem like no team is doing a good enough job!
Chad Billingisley had a leg injury during last year's offseason. Though he was ready for the season, that may have had an effect on his opportunity to get in shape... any word on how this offseason has gone?
I'd describe it as pennywise and poundfoolish in this situation.
Can you add team names for the GM lists over the first two thirds? I know current GMs but not the ones from the start of the decade.
In regards to up the middle talent, McCann, Escobar, and Heyward/Schafer aren't enough? Or just strictly in terms of the prospect level.
The trade that brought Ian Snell and Jack Wilson to Seattle doesn't seem so great right now, nor does Morrow for League.
Can you give us an approximate idea of how bad the Jays farm system was BEFORE the Halladay trade?
I can't believe I renewed my subscription yesterday. Weak. Sauce.
Yeah this seems like a fine use for the ignore feature.
Since it will be a few weeks before you get to discuss, where would Brett Wallace have fallen on this list?
Maybe those people should have been judged, but we can't really do anything about that can we?
I'm not sure how you measure these incidents either, but I don't think you can dismiss it out of hand. Alomar's behavior demonstrated incredibly poor sportsmanship and his comments were tasteless.
It's not news that he hit in Texas. His presumed replacement in Chicago, Marlon Byrd, also hit in Texas. Gary Matthews Jr. also hit... in Texas!
I don't understand.
It's not just about the role they performed, but also the ability to produce. The fact that they could afford to have Pettitte around when it was possible they did not need him at all is remarkable: as it was, he did need to step in and produced capably.
Investing in a year of Pettitte was absolutely a savvy move and one that paid off handsomely. But there are very, very few teams that can have such a talented player as a contingency. Look at even who the Red Sox were using: Junichi Tazawa and Paul Byrd down the stretch. How about the Angels? Matt Palmer and Darren Oliver.
I thought it funny that initially was unclear what Andy Pettitte's role for the Yankees would be during last year's Hot Stove season: funny in that he ended up being a staff anchor after three pitchers notionally in front of him on the depth chart flamed out. It's nice to have money to keep a luxury contingency like him around.
Cody Ross, aka the Marlins loss is another team's gain.
The most entertaining thing about the Bisons last season was Star Wars night and the lightsaber duel. Oh, the lightsaber duel.
Man, I guess Dave Dombrowski can't get enough of being the center of attention at the meetings.
Prospects are at their best, ordinarily, before they hit the majors. The half glass full mentality here shouldn't overcome the fact that Gonzalez is, right now, one of the five best first basemen in the league. He would be regarded as a much better player than he is if he did not play in San Diego.
You mention Polanco's value will be down from moving to 3B, but
1. Won't he be eligible at 2B, and
2. Hasn't 3B recently become a relatively shallow position?
As far as 2Bs from this year go, I had both Johnson and Weeks from the draft for 2B and MI... eventually got Pedorierrr at the All-Star Break and waiver bait for the other position.
When I read about the trade I could not believe that the Twins were willing to admit they made a mistake with Punto, and I guess my first instinct was right.
Thanks to this article series, I now know John Lackey would be a good fit for half the teams in the majors. Go ESPN!
It's a luxury tax, not a cap.
Also, the same 4-5 teams dominate because the playoffs are so long, not in spite of it.
Can you imagine the reaction if Larry Bowa had blogged about his belief?
Cole Hamels is the same pitcher he always was.
When Cardinals players ask Mark for advice, I hope he replies, "Do you want to know the terrifying truth, or do you want to see me sock a few dingers?"
What a Whopper of a food metaphor. I'm feeling Lipton Brisker after reading that.
Yes ESPN, Matt Holliday and Jason Bay are clones of each other...
Dan Duquette = Dave Dombrowski
I think the unspoken point here is who cares? The last man or two on the bench is so rarely relevant anyway. Strictly speaking the lineup construction could probably be better, but there is basically no consequence.
I did like the article though, it's still an interesting angle to talk about.
Thanks Internet Nanny for making sure Joe's feelings weren't hurt too badly. We all promise to play nicer in the future, lest we get another stinging reply such as this one.
The Nats have a tendency to rise up in their spoiler role. The Mets will attest to this.
Thank you for not using the phrase "dangerous in a short series".
I think we can stop referring to teams as "dangerous in a short series". That's true of the Royals.
I can't imagine the Pirates competing for 2015. By then they'll have sorted through the current options and seen all their prospects mature. They'll also have the benefit of several more high-end draft pick. The WORST thing that could happen to them is if the team ascends to mediocrity too quickly.
It would not have been fatal, but former NFL player Kevin Everett was saved from paralysis by quick trainer's work.
Prescribed by a doctor.
Joe, no mention of Luis Castillo in your high OBP/no power section?
Vizcaino was acquried in a trade.
1. Stephen Strasburg probably has signed a "loss of talent" insurance policy with Lloyds of London, and is probably set for life even if both his arms were to fall off tomorrow. Maybe not $15 million set, but probably-retiring-very-young set.
2. An ad hominem attack on Zimmerman for not having improved is ridiculous.
3. An ad hominem attack on a newspaper writer for making as much money as he does is even moreso.
Would it be fair to say now that the Blue Jays have swapped philosophical positions within the AL East with the Orioles?
Previously, the Blue Jays were young and improving, but with noticable holes in their lineup. With deft movements to fill in the gaps and continued improvement of the youngsters couple with smartly holding onto the best ones long-term, they have been able to challenge for the division.
Previously, the Orioles were stocked exclusively with mediocre veterans counting time until their next paycheck. While there were a handful of youngsters that offered some hope (mostly just Markakis?), financial commitments to too many medicore players had sapped any chance at competition.
Written in this (convenient) context, I see them as having flip-flopped now.
If the Rios money is put into extending Rod Barajas and Marco Scutaro... the streets aren't the only thing in Toronto that will stink.
It is really, really depressing to watch Bisons games this year. Boy oh boy do I miss Cleveland.
I just wonder how long it is before Mike Lamb or Willy Mo Pena get a call-up.
I'm not sure of the merit of a holding pattern. The Sox and Yanks will always be trying to contend so you can't really hope to wait them out, nor compete with their player acquisition.
That and a valkyrie dual-wielding swords, riding a puma. PUMA PRIDE PUMA PRIDE PUMA PRIDE
Since they probably can't match him in talent, those 10 players could attempt to work on their eccentricity. Maybe someday soon we'll hear, "No Grady don't like that call", or Curtis Granderson shake hands with people in his dugout on his home run trot.
As a plus, once they stop overpaying for mediocre players they can use their limited funds to try and acquire more suitable free agents. Ideally, backups that may not command full price but would be willing to come to Pittsburgh for the wide open position battles that will ensue.
Would it make you feel better if I said your current pitching staff is pretty bad anyway?
That's part of the problem, actually, as of the ones with value they have no-trade clauses (Oswalt) or terrible contracts (Lee).
Brandon Phillips: oversight, or not part of the Reds' future?
It's not the worst idea ever to keep them around on the cheap. The money they'd get would be too much but you have to have SOMEBODY out there, so it might as well be players people may pay to see. Saving a few mil and getting some Angel Berroa type out there would not be helpful, I don't think.
He means that he's having the worst year in his Angels tenure, offering even less offense and, in a new twist, no good defense.
Howard's just lucky he gets to pick a right handed pitcher for the Derby, right? That or he'd need a platoon mate to enter for him.
So wait, exhibiting a willingness to admit mistakes makes you LESS likely to admit to them going forward?
Any new information about Jake Peavy, or still in a holding pattern?
Maybe they can trade him for that St Louis shortstop they were trying to convert into a third basemen.
So with Alex Gordon coming back, would that shuttle Mark Teahen back to the bench despite his relative success? Or would they try to move him to another corner?
Take a look at his BABIP and strand rates. He's been insanely lucky.
I'm hoping that Aaron Hill doesn't get squeezed due to Roy Halladay's likely inclusion and the notion that there can only be one Blue Jay worthy of All-Star enshrinement at a time.
I had to suffer through the collective disappointment of Young, Johnson, and Hardy: luckily they only cost me about $25 total. Russell Martin on the other hand...
What about greenies?
I don't have my Bill James Gold Mine here, but there were some signs Atkins was already declining, which didn't surprise many. I don't think people anticipated the bottom would fall out like this though.
Surprising - That'd have to be from a game last year between the Jays and the Yankees. At this time the Jays had been particularly hard-hit with position player injuries: Wells, Rios, Hill, and Rolen were all out. The lineup they trotted out that day included Joe Inglett in center and Kevin Mench in right. The 2-3-4 hitters? David Eckstein (at DH!), Lyle Overbay, and Rod Barajas. Surprisingly, Good AJ Burnett showed up and K'd ten, Marco Scutaro homered, and the Jays won.
For guilty pleasures, it used to be Kevin Youkilis back when he had no power, but I also enjoy me a Tim Wakefield start.
More interesting than the articles were the comments left by the judges.
I'm thinking about UZR here, because I admittedly don't know how Dewan measures it, but... is Howard helped at all by All-World 2B Chase Utley gobbling up grounders next to him in these stats?
Awesome McKickAss .286 8 hr 30 rbi
Captain Puppykicker .266 3 hr 13 rbi
The top line is Bengie Molina, bottom one is Brian McCann. These are the stats most people will look at.
I think it's more of a "why not" thing.
Not everything has to be argued with stats, and in particular arguments involving batting average are often best left unsaid.
Except for Cristian Guzman: that guy rocks.
I think that MAY have been what he was driving at, particularly because Zaun was in the Mitchell Report.
I was kind of wondering this too.
You could've triedk "Pie in the Skee-ay"
Doubt that. Only being down Manny isn't enough to get the D'Backs in it.
Bengie Molina's on base percentage is lower than his batting average? I'd believe it.
It's just by records, so I don't think he's saying that.
His projection is, shall we say, a bit bullish.
For the Braves, the decision to run Jordan Schafer out there now provides a bit of variance if he hits the ground running, and worst case they can fall back on Blanco. That and getting absolutely anything from Frenchy leaves room for hope.
Good points here. Joe may be underestimating how scarce free talent can get once the season kicks in. I'm not sure why they didn't pursue the gaggle of other OFs that were out there earlier though.
The number of people willing to take a bullet for the staff when there is perhaps a legitimate question about the site is staggering.
Is there any reason this article appeared on ESPN so much earlier than here? I'd noticed this with some articles by a difference of a few minutes, but when we're getting into a difference of hours that doesn't seem terribly fair to your native subscribers.
He's um, not a suspect in the case?
I think more should be done to separate that from the Japanese team's own storyline. They beat both Cuba and South Korea in addition to the US, that's saying something.
I can't believe the "US hasn't trained enough and that's why the lost" story is gaining legs. That's pretty insulting to the competitors, especially Japan.
In this case, Burrell has no ranking whatsoever. As far as treating it at as a starting point, that's how I use Yahoo and other free sources. I was hoping for something more substantial here.
Seems fair. I'll rank the players myself and not pay BP to do it next time.
It also seems like, in the wake of HOF flops by Tim Raines and Blyleven - both stat-head - approved - that searching for a narrative is helpful in considering the player's chances with the committee.
Another way you can tell they don't take it seriously is Matt Lindstrom's bush-league antics.
A lot of it for the NFL is 1.) The salaries reported are exaggerated because 2.) most teams backload the contracts and cut the guy when he gets old/expensive/injured. As far as I know the only guaranteed money in the NFL player\'s salary is in the signing bonus.
That\'s overstating it, last year they had the best 25 man roster in the NL. That depth didn\'t translate well to a best of five series unfortunately.
Wasn\'t it Jered Weaver who ripped up his finger on a splinter?
The people are angry about the quality of service are more tactless and not very wrong. The only thing worse than having this problem to begin with has been the people jumping to the defense of the staff when people have legitimate complaints.
I\'m not concerned about the PECOTA cards and I\'m looking forward to Puck Prospectus.
This is a valid concern, but seems similar to the \"what if he is using steroids concern\". Pretty difficult to know.
I\'m ecstatic. Hopefully you\'ll unveil some stats that can help me judge the value of a player besides the basic ones we have available in the sports section.
Checking from 2001-2005 to get an idea of what guys are selected with the picks, it\'s hands down David Wright for that period. Decent shot He\'s just plain the best. Here are other noteworthy players I picked out, with the 2005 players mostly speculation based on their prospect or major-league ready status.
2002 (aka MONEYBALL!!!)
J.P. Howell (not to confused with 2001 supplemental pick J.P Howell, apparently)
Ivan Dejesus Jr
I hope the Nationals can take a whiff of that PECOTA and allow Manny Acta to keep his job.
Yeah I can\'t see A-Rod having that same amount of anonymity unless he had spent a large portion of his career in Baltimore too.
That Mark Buerhrle retirement murmur is amazing. I guess in terms of financial security for him and his loved ones, he\'s set, but the additional $50 mil he could command as a free agent would mean a much nicer lifestyle too.
Seems likely that if Jones does try to make a push he\'ll miss.
What does the \"KR\" by Chris Ray mean?
He gets to see Rangers and Mariners pitchers, that should be a plus.
Is Josh Fields too old or not good?
Rice\'s numbers are substantially better at home than away. You don\'t think the short porch in right gives him a leg up though?
We really need another strike to get him back into the blogosphere.
Too bad. For those not aware, Chris played a big part in his hometown team winning the Little League World Series in 1989, including pitching a complete game in the finals.
Is the NHL player Chris Drury?
Buffalo, NY. Duff\'s for true buffalo-style wings. Not for me personally, but I know many people who swear by them, and it\'s a frequent stop for families visiting students at the nearby college. Charlie the Butcher\'s is also great for prime rib sandwiches and beef on weck, though they are branching out to supermarket chains for distribution.
These improvements only serve to make the Yankees as good as their competition for 08. I would imagine Tex and C.C. allow them to draw even, while A.J. maybe puts them over the top, making the generous assumption he makes his starts. The Rays and Sox have still yet to make moves though, and there remain numerous players on the market that, if signed, would help them regain their edge. As the days roll on toward March and the numbers come down, I would imagine both of these teams is in line for quality players at drastically reduced prices.