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Any strand rate comparisons? It seems like that might be something that could correlate with maturity and mental discipline to a certain extent, helping with things like control and potentially velocity when able to focus on the task at hand instead of worrying about whatever it is that gets Zambrano riled up.
Just a thought.
I was with you until you suggested that the Cubs trade Marlon Byrd for Bronson Arroyo so that Tyler Colvin or Fukudome could play CF for a year. Why in the world would that be better than keeping Byrd and signing a 5th starter? Bronson Arroyo is an innings eater, sure, but his non defense related numbers are pedestrian. The only ticket to a playoff caliber rotation is having Carlos Zambrano be at least the 2007-2009 version of himself, which is pretty darn close to what the 2010 version of himself has looked like, despite the criminally insane yo-yo-ing of an impatient manager verging on senility.
Is there any consideration for the value of managing Strasburg's pitch counts and PAP? In AAA, if Strasburg throws more than 30 pitches in an inning, they can go ahead and pull him mid PA. They can justify pulling him after 4 innings if he's thrown 100 pitches already, even if he hasn't given up a run yet. They can be equally more rigid or less rigid in how they manage his innings and pitches. A lot of these super phenom top pitching specs don't work out largely because they are rushed to the majors extremely quickly and get hurt. It is rarely the case that the talent evaluation is simply wrong - most guys are really good when they are healthy. I'd just think the Nationals might want to monitor innings and pitches in the minors all year long or close to all year long rather than call him just because you know he can get MLB hitters out.
Hey, I don't mean to be a nag, but I was wondering on what the ETA was for your version of measuring individual defense?
I have to disagree with two points here. The big one is that you are way overvaluing the impact that a non-halladay type player is going to add to a team in just 2 months. You're not going to get 2 full wins out of Nick Johnson by himself. You're not going to get 2 full wins out of Scott Rolen. Even with the replacement level offense you're getting out of the positions they would replace, Johnson isn't a 6 WARP player, nor are any of the players you suggested, including Adam Dunn. At most, you're looking at maybe 3 wins combined from a Dunn/Johnson coup over the 60+ games you'd get them in your starting lineup. And that's the best case.
The second problem is that you really believe you can get 4 wins in 2 months on a good but not great prospect and a throw-in. This isn't the 1990's and early 2000's where Billy Beane could just fleece people. Dave Littlefield and Steve Phillips aren't GM's anymore. Look at what the Cardinals gave up for Matt Holliday - and he is NOT 4 wins over who he is replacing over the next guy. Come on.
Who cares if it makes you hit more home runs?