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Why is Kuroda's salary listed as $7.3 million when he signed for $35.3 million?
Is anyone else concerned that the average team is now four games over .500?
I'd like to see the original tables fixed with the correct xFIP numbers
Yes, it should. Right now, the team RS/RA allowed totals are quite high, average of 812 per team. That's far higher than what we've observed the past few seasons, and also higher than one would expect given the team OBP/SLG forecasts. I think the run environment is too high on the team standings page. Given a normal 1.08 multiplier, the average team is allowing 770 runs, which looks much more reasonable.
Currently that ratio is 1.14 for the league as a whole, so the Yankees number is not that far off the league average.
Has anyone ever studied the correlation in third-order overperformance by the same team in consecutive years? How about first half/second half splits or something similar? Obviously this isn't perfect since player personnel will change, but the coaching staff and most of the roster should stay consistent.
I think two things are clear for any large sample of pitchers:
- For the same group, the standard deviation of ERA will be substantially higher than the standard deviation of FIP when their repsective averages are 4.60 and 4.65
- The standard deviation of a group of pitchers with a 3.34 collective ERA will be lower than that of a group with a 4.60 collective ERA
Am I missing anything? I don't think we can conclude anything by comparing the standard deviations here.
The Dominican Republic made the semifinals in 2006.