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ObviouslyRob
72 comments | 73 total rating | 1.01 average rating
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Baseball Prospectus http://bbp.cx/i/40974
ObviouslyRob
(40974)
Comment rating: 0

He might be a "player to be named later" like de la Rosa.

Aug 25, 2012 9:55 AM on L.A. Consequential
 
ObviouslyRob
(40974)
Comment rating: 0

I'm 29 and my only issue (die-hard Cards fan) with the most recent World Series was that the Boston transit system shut down before I was finished watching game 6 and had to take a cab. But even then my gripe's with the MBTA, not MLB.

 
ObviouslyRob
(40974)
Comment rating: 1

Really wonderful piece. Thank you!

May 20, 2012 11:54 AM on Farewell to a Phenom
 
ObviouslyRob
(40974)
Comment rating: 0

I was just honored to be there to witness it. We were trying to calculate, on the fly, what his ERA would be before it was posted on the scoreboard, "Price Is Right" style.

Apr 19, 2012 9:13 AM on Doing Lines
 
ObviouslyRob
(40974)
Comment rating: 12

You have a reading level to match your attitude.

 
ObviouslyRob
(40974)
Comment rating: 0

All right, finally got around to finishing this. Of all qualifying Hall of Famers (some were eliminated due to incomplete strike-out data, these players were uniformly 19th-century players), five, including Carter, had BA/BABIP differentials of within .004: Gary Carter, Earl Averill, Joe Sewell, Jackie Robinson, and Frank Robinson. Sewell ended up with the closest figure, having a BABIP .000268998 points higher than his batting average. Jackie Robinson had a BABIP .00085009 points lower than his batting average. Not sure what this indicates, but it was fun finding out!

 
ObviouslyRob
(40974)
Comment rating: 1

Did anyone else notice that his traditional batting average and BABIP are the same figure? To the calculators! I took it out to six digits BA: .262451 BABIP: .261965 Still, that's remarkably close (and probably means nothing.) What I wonder is, which hall of famer has the closest BABIP/BA combination? Don't have the time now, but check back later.

 
ObviouslyRob
(40974)
Comment rating: 0

Could interleague play be a factor for suppressing DH numbers? I notice it peaked before interleague play was established then returned back to its pre-peak levels.

 
ObviouslyRob
(40974)
Comment rating: 0

Amnesiac over OK Computer? Psssh.

 
ObviouslyRob
(40974)
Comment rating: 6

Starlin Castro should have been out of the running early on for, at the very least, not being very gentlemanly. Even if he's innocent of assault, a gentleman would never have taken an intoxicated woman home, but rather escorted her back to her own.

 
ObviouslyRob
(40974)
Comment rating: 3

This is a really wonderful article. Thank you for giving such a vivid and beautiful profile of the team and the city. I'd love to see write-ups like these for some of the other minor league team/city combinations.

 
ObviouslyRob
(40974)
Comment rating: 2

It's like the Mets are in a competition to see just how repulsive they can become.

Feb 07, 2012 9:53 AM on Tuesday, February 7
 
ObviouslyRob
(40974)
Comment rating: 1

And Red Sox fans' legs are getting tired of dancing on the grave of that deal that almost was.

 
ObviouslyRob
(40974)
Comment rating: 0

I really liked him as a Cardinals and was holding out some vague hope that he'd get some of those Pujols dollars that got suddenly freed up. Maybe in 2013!

 
ObviouslyRob
(40974)
Comment rating: 0

Fantastic article, one of the best I've read here for some time. Excellent work!

Jan 25, 2012 9:58 AM on Ramirez and Rameau
 
ObviouslyRob
(40974)
Comment rating: 1

Is DH'ing Cabrera a little more frequently such an outlandish idea, though? When you have a glove as superlative as Pena's, I don't think it is.

Jan 18, 2012 9:18 AM on Wednesday, January 18
 
ObviouslyRob
(40974)
Comment rating: 0

Ah, but the Red Sox will be shedding the salaries of both Ortiz and Matsuzaka. Fielder as a DH is something we all expect will happen eventually anyway.

Dec 29, 2011 7:44 AM on Tuesday, December 27
 
ObviouslyRob
(40974)
Comment rating: 3

I'll always remember Mueller for his showing July 24 against the Rangers in 2003: he became the only player in history to hit a grand slam from each side of the plate. In consecutive at bats, no less!

 
ObviouslyRob
(40974)
Comment rating: 0

As a Sox fan, I wouldn't mind seeing him in red!

Dec 06, 2011 9:30 AM on Tuesday, December 6
 
ObviouslyRob
(40974)
Comment rating: 0

Small quibble, the Red Sox traded Mike Cameron to the Marlins in July for cash. He was subsequently dropped in September.

Nov 10, 2011 10:19 AM on Beltran's Next Stop
 
ObviouslyRob
(40974)
Comment rating: 0

I've noticed that a lot of people -- here and elsewhere -- are forgetting the Phillies in 08 and 09 or forgetting the Red Sox in 04 and 07 (in terms of shortest number of years between WS appearances) in favor of the 98-00 Yankees.

 
ObviouslyRob
(40974)
Comment rating: 1

You should know that tiles don't exist in a vacuum. As it is played, ARQUIMEDEZ would score 165 (that's with MED already on the board and with A on the triple-word) and at the minimum, 84 again with MED already on the board next to a double-word near the middle. Assuming each play was a bingo, of course. A 165-point play is pretty awesome, though!

 
ObviouslyRob
(40974)
Comment rating: 9

Might as well throw my hat in the ring. The Cardinals/Phillies series is shaping up to be a great one and we haven't heard peep about it.

 
ObviouslyRob
(40974)
Comment rating: 1

Really well written. Are subscribers allowed to vote writers in? Is there a BBPSA?

Sep 15, 2011 10:55 AM on Ghosts of MVPs Past
 
ObviouslyRob
(40974)
Comment rating: 0

Are we going to get a year-end list of best, average slowest, and average quickest?

 
ObviouslyRob
(40974)
Comment rating: 1

Great news about Westmoreland! I know that he's stated he's anxious to try and get back on track.

Aug 19, 2011 9:16 AM on Pain in the Neck
 
ObviouslyRob
(40974)
Comment rating: 0

It wasn't particularly clutch, but I'll always remember being there to witness Daniel Nava's first hit for the Red Sox, a grand slam on 6/12/10 that put the Sox up for good over the Phillies.

Jul 28, 2011 9:52 AM on The Best First Hits
 
ObviouslyRob
(40974)
Comment rating: 0

Too rich! This turned out to be a great article! http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=7446

Jul 12, 2011 9:54 AM on Surprise, Surprise
 
ObviouslyRob
(40974)
Comment rating: 0

OK.

Jul 08, 2011 9:50 AM on Albert Already?
 
ObviouslyRob
(40974)
Comment rating: 0

Sometimes, though, you'll get great outcomes by forcing the pitcher to throw. I don't recall the precise game, but I remember seeing Miguel Cabrera hit a double off the third intentional walk.

Jun 02, 2011 9:39 AM on Walk of Life
 
ObviouslyRob
(40974)
Comment rating: 1

As for me, I am delighted that BP is covering this. Isn't sharing fun!

May 23, 2011 9:37 AM on Trot Times for May 21
 
ObviouslyRob
(40974)
Comment rating: 1

Everything I like about BP!

 
ObviouslyRob
(40974)
Comment rating: 2

Love including the list of the trots at the end of the article!

Apr 28, 2011 9:54 AM on Trot Times for April 26
 
ObviouslyRob
(40974)
Comment rating: 2

Is this yelled in the same manner as, "KHAAAAAAN!"?

 
ObviouslyRob
(40974)
Comment rating: 1

Some outs' mothers are bigger than other outs' mothers.

 
ObviouslyRob
(40974)
Comment rating: 3

Thought there might have been an "inappropriate" section here. No love for Dick Pole?

Mar 08, 2011 10:39 AM on What's In A Name?
 
ObviouslyRob
(40974)
Comment rating: 4
 
ObviouslyRob
(40974)
Comment rating: 0

That is a brilliant cryptoquip. From the key to the quote, completely, completely apposite.

Jan 28, 2011 9:54 AM on National BPuzzle Day
 
ObviouslyRob
(40974)
Comment rating: 0

They will be -- dare I say it? -- the ballot years of the pitcher.

 
ObviouslyRob
(40974)
Comment rating: 0

This Sox fan also wants efficiency. I and my friends were cautiously optimistic about last season's efforts -- and I recall that many in the Boston media were as well -- and we remained that way for some time. Scutaro was an obvious defensive upgrade if not as significant as advertised, for example. The injuries were catastrophic and Lackey was a major disappointment, but I really liked the saviness of the moves Theo made last offseason. That said, these recent moves have me circling Truck Day on all my calendars.

 
ObviouslyRob
(40974)
Comment rating: 0

Here here!

Nov 24, 2010 8:35 AM on New York Yankees
 
ObviouslyRob
(40974)
Comment rating: 0

I like this idea of spreading the interleague schedule across the season instead of just during July (I know, it leaks at the ends... ew). If expansion were to happen it'd have to be two teams, but I think the time to have done that was before Oklahoma City got a NBA team. Oklahoma City and Las Vegas I think would have been the two best options.

Nov 04, 2010 11:18 AM on Four and No More
 
ObviouslyRob
(40974)
Comment rating: 7

Just my $.02, but I'm a really big fan of how Christina writes. I think her articles often benefit from increased verbosity.

Nov 04, 2010 9:45 AM on Four and No More
 
ObviouslyRob
(40974)
Comment rating: 1

I think it's a little unfair to say Tazawa didn't help his case as he missed the season with Tommy John surgery. His personal influence on his case was neutral.

Sep 30, 2010 3:20 PM on Top 11 Review: AL East
 
ObviouslyRob
(40974)
Comment rating: 0

As a Boston resident, I've noticed that the media, in a bizarre turn of events, have been laying off Ellsbury; the bulk of the animus towards him has been coming largely from fans and blogs rather than print. Bordering on conspiracy theory I know, but maybe it's an influence.

Sep 30, 2010 3:15 PM on Boston Red Sox
 
ObviouslyRob
(40974)
Comment rating: 0

Even as a Red Sox fan I agree with this. There's really no reason to have the Rays in this division, at minimum 1000 miles away from their closest division-mate. I say this with no sour grapes (I'm actually not terribly disappointed in this season; I'd been bracing myself for disaster since my favorite player broke his foot on a foul.) The league needs a serious reshuffling if there is to be parity, perhaps even all of baseball. NL talent dilution, for example.

 
ObviouslyRob
(40974)
Comment rating: 0

I would think that for that kind of ability anything less than a few years' worth of data would be inconclusive.

 
ObviouslyRob
(40974)
Comment rating: 0

I wonder if Lester will then benefit in the CY race for the same reason Francona has been benefiting in the MOY race: in that, without him (them) the Red Sox would have been rendered irrelevant in July rather than even today maintaining a hair's breadth-thin possibility of playing beyond Sunday.

Sep 28, 2010 2:46 PM on Racing for the Cy
 
ObviouslyRob
(40974)
Comment rating: 0

Whoops, that should be Taylor Teagarden.

Sep 21, 2010 2:41 PM on A Strain is a Tear
 
ObviouslyRob
(40974)
Comment rating: 0

I would put Longoria in that category, and to lesser extents, Ovechkin, Kevin Durant, and Adrian Peterson. Of course, the point is that the over-hyped busts quickly exceed a handful in baseball alone (we'll go ahead and start with Matsuzaka, then add Alex Gordon, Joba Chamberlain, Tyler Teagarden...)

Sep 21, 2010 2:41 PM on A Strain is a Tear
 
ObviouslyRob
(40974)
Comment rating: 0

I know the age and other numbers are off, but this reminds me of the sort of anecdotal assessment 5'9" Dustin Pedroia received throughout his MiLB career. Granted, Pedroia has always showed much more power, but he didn't display near the BB ability Crumbliss seems to have. Sure, the biggest difference is that Pedroia had 128 PAs in his age 20 season when he his high-A and never looked back, it just struck me how similar some of those scouting quotes are to what I heard when Pedroia was making his rise, especially when he took a step backward after being promoted to AAA.

Sep 21, 2010 1:53 PM on Fun To Watch
 
ObviouslyRob
(40974)
Comment rating: 0

He may not be a "lock" but only once since 2004 has he finished with fewer than 40, and that was when he hit 38 last year. It's not a longshot for him to hit nine more this season.

Aug 27, 2010 3:10 PM on He Who Shall be Crowned
 
ObviouslyRob
(40974)
Comment rating: 0

Not as big a gap as he thinks. Say, 6 games?

 
ObviouslyRob
(40974)
Comment rating: 1

Whole season have never unexpectedly, suddenly ended, but individual seasons end all of the time. Take Jake Peavy, for example.

Jul 08, 2010 3:01 PM on The K/BB Ratio
 
ObviouslyRob
(40974)
Comment rating: 0

I'd be fine with that: he's represented by Boras.

Jun 21, 2010 2:50 PM on The Way They Drew It Up
 
ObviouslyRob
(40974)
Comment rating: 0

"somebody was born to lose his job to Stephen Strasburg..." That's an interesting take and move on the part of the Nats. Interesting in terms of: what other guaranteed superstars made their way to the roster on the heels of a similar move? Was Ray Lankford destined to play minimal time for the Cardinals in 01 while Pujols waited for McGwire to retire?

Jun 04, 2010 8:07 AM on Grab Bag
 
ObviouslyRob
(40974)
Comment rating: 1

Shame to hear about Zavada. Who is there to fill the now-glaring great mustache vacuum?

May 24, 2010 3:26 PM on Monday Update
 
ObviouslyRob
(40974)
Comment rating: 0

I know the strategies just fine, but this article was quite helpful in reminding me it was About That Time. Goof proposed Wells for Sizemore and, uh, got accepted. That's selling high! Thanks for the reminder!

 
ObviouslyRob
(40974)
Comment rating: 0

If the Pirates move, it'll make an even four of the original eight in the same city, four moved. I like the balance! The shame would be losing that absolutely stunning park. But as far as baseball in Pittsburgh is concerned? Well, looking at the past 17 seasons, it's been lost for a while.

 
ObviouslyRob
(40974)
Comment rating: 0

Damn, beat me to it!

 
ObviouslyRob
(40974)
Comment rating: 0

There's an analogue to the Steve Martin rule in pop music. It seems that around 1984 or 1985, Larry Mullen, Jr., the drummer for U2, simply stopped aging. I think he may have recently started to slowly, slowly age again, but that was more than 20 years where he looked essentially unaged, year in, year out.

 
ObviouslyRob
(40974)
Comment rating: 0

By the looks of how adversely Bradley's chemistry will affect the Mariners, arcee here may actually be making his/her debut as the next BP writer.

Feb 18, 2010 4:16 PM on AL West
 
ObviouslyRob
(40974)
Comment rating: 5

In fact, I was a little stunned to see that as a reason. I wonder what PECOTA projects for Bradley's CHEM score? Does that figure into his EQA or just the team's?

Feb 18, 2010 4:13 PM on AL West
 
ObviouslyRob
(40974)
Comment rating: 0

Little question, you here have Ted Williams listed as having 9789 PAs, but B-R lists him as having 9791. Can you explain the discrepancy?

Feb 16, 2010 6:14 PM on The Big Hurt
 
ObviouslyRob
(40974)
Comment rating: 0

I\'m glad I\'m not the only Sox fan that saw, \"Sentimentality Run Amok,\" and thought \"hm, wonder what this is,\" instead of, \"STEVEN GOLDMAN HATES THE SOX!\"

 
ObviouslyRob
(40974)
Comment rating: 0

I\'ve always noticed on the wikipedia page for my birthday, November 3, was Bob Feller. That\'s a pretty good guy to build around, so I was delighted to see that 11/3 has a pretty great rotation, perhaps an all-time caliber rotation. The rest of the team however... C Clyde Southwick (the only catcher I could find, had 12 AB in 4 games for the 1911 Browns) 1 Fred Richards (mysteriously, the only viable 1B I could find. Played 10 games in 51 with a 91 OPS) 2 Larry Kopf (Originally called himself Fred Brady. Played nine partial seasons and in his one full season for the 1917 Reds OPS\'d 94) 3 Spider Jorgensen (There wasn\'t a lot of talent for the other side either. I chose this guy because his name is Spider. He did OPS 129 in 90 AB for the Dodgers in 48, but never had a full season after his rookie appearance the year before.) S Bob Fisher (two full seasons out of seven, but OPS\'d 136 in half-time in 1918 for the Cardinals) L Phil Geier (only full season was his last, OPS\'d 88) C Larry Herndon (one of the few full-time players in the lineup or bench, OPS\'d 103 in 14 seasons, best year was with the 1983 Tigers, OPS\'ing 129 and driving in 92) R Dwight Evans (AS, extremely borderline HOFer) IF Jonathan Herrera (Young\'un currently with the Rockies. 2008 was his rookie year, though he\'s still elligible for rookie status in 09. Was 15/17 in SB in AAA with a .367 OBP -- 1/2, .277 in his 61 ML ABs) IF Ike Rockenfield (Posted 94 OPS in closest approximation to full season -- 322 AB) OF Homer Summa (Best year was with Cleveland, OPS\'ing 108 in 525 ABs in 1923) OF Earl Robinson (Extreme part timer. OPS\'d 119 in 222 ABs for the Orioles in 1961.) S1 Bob Feller (HF, one of the top-ten pitchers of all time, in my opinion. Finished 2nd in the 1940 MVP to Hank Greenberg\'s 41 HR season. Two other top 3 MVP finishes) S2 Bob Welch (AS, 1990 AL CY. Had a 136 ERA+ in 83 for the Dodgers finishing 8th in the NL CY -- John Denny won that year going 19-6 with a 152 ERA+ for the NL champion Phillies) S3 Ken Holtzman (AS. Had an ERA+ of 132 for the Cubs in 1970 over 287.2 IP.) S4 Harry Staley (ERA+ of 138 in 1891) S5 Gentleman Jim McCormick (Semi-legendary pitcher from Scotland. Was one of the last to win 40 games, which he did between the Spiders and the Outlaw Reds in 1884 which he did over 569 IP with a 134 ERA+) CL Armando Benitez (AS, finished 28 in 2004 NL MVP with 47 saves and a 317 ERA+) RP Paul Quantrill (AS, had a 1.94 ERA for the 1997 Blue Jays in his first year in the bullpen.) RP Anastacio Martinez (Ok, he\'s on here because he was a member of the 04 Red Sox) RP Walter Clarkson (ERA+ of 127 over 151.1 in 1906) Mgr Johnny Keane? (won WS w/ STL, 64) Not quite 25 guys, in favor of not putting in a bunch of people like the ones that fill my lineup. But I think with that pitching rotation and that backend of the bullpen, my squad would do just fine!

Jan 07, 2009 8:12 PM on July 30, 2001
 
ObviouslyRob
(40974)
Comment rating: -2

tl;dr

 
ObviouslyRob
(40974)
Comment rating: 1

Speaking as a Red Sox fan, I still can\'t get my head around how people like Rice over Evans (though I do like both, even if Rice\'s JAWS puts him pretty well short (although once WARP3 revisions come out, I\'ll have to look again!(one more parenthesis))). I wonder if there\'d be any question of Dewey\'s elligibility if he had actually crossed the 500 mark on that silly counting stat.

 
ObviouslyRob
(40974)
Comment rating: 1

I think it might be a little bit of \"rose-colored glasses\" hoping for the majority of that list to come back. It\'s not clear what to expect from Cano year to year, Matsui is obviously now an injury risk and all signs point to Jeter\'s and Posada\'s decline. Plus that outfield is a mess, offensively and defensively. Yankees need offense and defense, something they could have done quite easily with a different single-player move.

Dec 10, 2008 3:48 PM on CC... Chooose Me!
 
ObviouslyRob
(40974)
Comment rating: 1

Didn\'t some other team from the NLE win the World Series this year? I mean, it was a while ago so I can\'t be sure, but I feel like that\'s probably the case.

Dec 09, 2008 6:40 PM on K-Rod to the Rescue
 
ObviouslyRob
(40974)
Comment rating: 0

While I do agree -- this is cheaper than or similarly priced to any other specialist magazine subscription -- I do think that there could stand to be a few more advances. Sortable player stats, for example, and, yes, expanded fielding data. Now, I\'m saying that for the price we pay we DESERVE these things, just that it\'d be nice.

 
ObviouslyRob
(40974)
Comment rating: 1

I\'m a pretty rabid Sox fan, but can I go ahead and say both sides were wrong in fairly glaring ways? I don\'t feel like choosing sides; I love the team and the FO, and I have been a fan of Manny since he got here. I\'d much rather be glad that Manny\'s successful -- that I\'m still able to watch one of the best hitters ever -- as well as be happy for the Sox being in their current position. I don\'t need to take sides.

Oct 09, 2008 9:07 PM on May 28-June 3