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...i guess it's actually his brow that furrows.
Sam, One of the hidden downsides of your departure: I won't get to see you on MLB TV during the spring speculation season causing Bryan Kenny's forehead to furrow when you offer an opinion that has zero varnish applied (I don't think I've ever seen an ESPN writer on their panels). Good luck with your new gig. I hope they continue to let you write smart.
Agree, that's not how I read it. I read a spin-free presentation of the ups and downs and ins and outs.
As a guy who's owned him for three years in my two keeper leagues, I'm watching with deep worry as Buxton slips lower and lower on these types of lists. Is he my <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/player_search.php?search_name=Brandon+Wood">Brandon Wood</a></span>?
Very nice. Please sir, may I have some more?
Edison Volquez vs. <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=66155">Williams Perez</a></span>?
Thanks, much appreciated.
Jeff, A request for your consideration. Is it possible to include the pitcher's pitch count in his pitching line? This would help us discern his efficiency and/or his organization's efforts to restrict his workload. Thanks for considering.
all too often the people in the stands are looking at their phones and all over the place. it's beautiful to watch everyone's head fixed on Gallo and see their heads swivel to follow the ball, with more than a few letting their jaws start to drop.
Good stuff for those of us in large roster, Only leagues.
also interested in iTunes access
The discussion points to the need to have pitcher's wingspans listed as one of their stats.
the amount of movement in Baez's head is, shall I say, not good.
My opinion is TJ surgery is a much, much bigger problem for a catcher than a pitcher. The C makes a throw back for every one he receives, has to make quick, hard throws for pickoffs and steal attempts by exploding into the movement rather than a graduated move into a throwing motion, while having no day of rest between most of his starts. Wieters future is at 1B.
I harbor little suspicion that the Royals saw some need to jettison Myers since they received top value in return...value that ended up coming through in line with their stated objective of moving to the next competitive level while citing Shields as key to their ability to do so. As for why the Rays now moved him, I guess it's reasonable to speculate.
I'm another one who enjoys FtLotG. What other baseball movie will your girlfriend/wife gladly sit down as watch with you? Costner threw all of his own pitches and I recall reading that one day that required him to throw ~ 175 pitches. That alone moves it off the Worst Nine list.
those who didn't know need to become Effectively Wild listeners.
brilliant! simply brilliant! I may have missed this, but what event triggers the next These Are a Few of My Favorite Things baseball draft? Don't tell me it will be episode 1,000.
An echoing Nooooooo!
why so coy? Where did Ben go? During that in my life when I was a news man, we were expected to recap the details of the event being discussed. It would have taken just a quick statement about when/where Ben was going or a reference to when/where it was announced. Sometimes we can't read or tap in to BP every day (admittedly a rare circumstance) but it does happen.
I'm surprised to see Myers rated below viciedo, Arcia and Tabata. What gives?
Ya'll just seem to get better all the time. This is why when I'm old, retired and eating cat food, BP will be the last fantasy BB resource I jettison in favor of one more can of kibbles.
Having been under the impression that MLB teams were not allowed to trade draft choices, can you explain why this trade can happen or point to any past article about the CBA that may have discussed this development? Thanks.
I wish my 12-team league let Ventura and Nova last 20+ rounds.
Has there been any kind of official pronouncement by Illich that the pizza dough is running out? If so, that explains a lot. Maybe he's decided to take it with him even though it would be less compact than a WS ring?
Statistical probabilities aside, just spend a season watching Ryan come up to the plate and you'll likely become willing to go back to Derek. Been there, done that...It's painful. I guess the big difference would be that in the Mariners' light hitting lineup, Ryan's plate appearances were more salt in the wounds. The same number of PAs with the Yankees would mean a break in the action rather than a continuance of the inaction. Ryan does do a mean Robert DeNiro, though.
When you live in rural Oregon and your in-market teams include the Mariners, Giants and A's....325 to 480 miles away...it's absurd. Not in those metro areas broadcast market. If this were applied to the Atlantic seaboard, about a third of the teams would be in-market.
Keep hearing the talking heads saying the qualifying offer system needs to be revamped. I disagree and concur that the players/agents who are extended one need to take a more realistic look at their situation. You must have agents blowing smoke up the skirts of guys who are coming off their first healthy/strong season in several years, and getting them to believe they're a shoo-in for a nice multi-year contract. Taking another year to prove you still have it/are PED free/are healthy for $14 million ain't such a dumb play...especially, as it was pointed out, for a couple of guys, this is the most money they've seen at one time in their career.
OK, I've checked several times,and will offer my wobbly proofreading skills disclaimer, but....Markakis?
Dying is easy, comedy (satire) is hard.
Case in point, references comparing his situation's to Todd Helton's and Ryan Theriot's (Ryan Theriot!!!!). And criticizing him for leaving the team without an SS to succeed him? Ben, Puhleeze!!
Please cite the public reporting of his refusal. From my recollection Rodriquez proactively offered to make the position switch. Jeter didn't argue....is that the same thing as refusing?
I agree. Ben's comparisons between 2014 and 1951 don't hold up. It's an entirely different world. The communications/media world does not sleep. With his approach, Jeter has said what he wants to say, has framed the message, and now as he goes forth and faces each city's media/pundits/opiners for the first time he circles his messaging back to his original statement; keeps it short and classy and miniizes the opportunities to wheedle and pry to get "an exclusive" or cover "breaking news." This will all die down for the bulk of the summer then pick up steam again in September as the big day approaches. If that concides with a pennant chase, playoff wins and World Series we can all embrace the term ad nauseam together. It is only because of our overexposed society's focus on Jeter and his ability to handle the situation well that some resent him. This is a very difficult world to be a "star" especially in a city like New York and no one handles it better than Jeter.
What's franklin's dominent/power side. Trying to incorporate ballpark factor here. I like this 3-year tiered approach.
If you're building a list of Ps to be featured in a revisiting of this feature, please consider Mel Stottlemyer...one of my favorites, but not quite an HOFer.
I like McCann's facing off against the showboats. Increasing amounts of new school BS are not fun to watch. We get enough of that "I am the greatest" crap in the sports world. Class rocks.
Are the complete lists available?
The Tiggers are tiltling their model toward more speed, defense and athleticism. Better middle infield defense must have factored heavily into the decision to keep Porcello over Fister.
I believe there's disproportionate debate over whether the royals moves make them a playoff team from a sabermetrician perspective. Last years move and this one have been crucial to creating a "contender culture" for the team, the fans, and prospective free agents. On that final note, they better get another SP or Ventura and Zimmerman need to come through.
Face it, we are in a pitching era. The pendulum has swung and it will do so again.
Perhaps we will see fewer "infield hits" like Urrutia's last night.
Pleeze suh, may I have some more? This was delicious. I hope this kind of coverage become a staple. Thanks, Ben.
Anyone else being made nervous by Bumgarner lately? Recent pattern: kill it through 6-7 innings, then collapse. Sometimes on his own, sometimes with teammates assistance.
Be thankful for the trades you don't make. A couple of weeks back I floated an offer of G. Stanton (high draft choice cost in 2014) and Alex wood for Kuroda. I'm in contention for league lead; the other guy is out of it. Got nervous, withdrew the offer within 36 hours, and soon after Hayward went down and Giancarlo became essential. Kuroda's recent performance allows me to wake each morning, put my thumbs in my armpits, look in the mirror and say, "who's the smartest owner in fantasy baseball history? Why you are, you handsome devil!"
The buck stops at the top. It's Moreno's fault ultimately. He behaves like Steinbrenner did in the eighties (Buhner for phelps). Star struck by names and ruled overwhelmingly by emotional perceptions. he needs a GM who is smart with a forceful personality. Scioscia is wrong for a rebuild at this time. They need a Bo Porter or jack Mckeon type for the transition. The Vernon wells acquisition was criminally stupid and was Dipoto's crossing of the Delaware moment -- in reverse, that is.
Color me Alex wood curious, too.
Where can I find the mid season updated top 50 prospect list?
When I read about guys like this, I wonder what the book was on Pedroia.
Positives behind letting pitchers hit: the least tedious out when a game is dragging on relentlessly; on a related note, they speed up the game; when my team is being shutdown big time, I can cling to the feeble hope that the opposing P's time on the base paths will tire him out and my team will get back in the game; the best time to beat everyone to the restrooms when the P is in position to be the third out; outside of walk offs and moon shots of biblical proportions, no HR is as much fun as a P's HR; cool seeing the team jacket on the field when he's running the bases.
CPAs have funny bones? ;-)
Quite arguable whether 1995 is recent memory. Just sayin'.
"....wants his new contract to rhyme" = best chuckle of the day, so far.
I believe the royals strategy doesn't envision a World Series appearance --- yet. I perceived the Shields trade and the other moves as motivated by the need to build a winning culture by ending a losing one. As they show progress --- sniffing and perhaps even catching a playoff berth --- their young guys benefit emotionally and they boost their ability to attract higher quality pitching during the next few years because many a quality pitcher would be enamored with playing with that lineup. I definitely see an effort to build a contender within the next two to three years with 2013 very much viewed as a major step in the right direction.
That's news, not nerd.
Which, of course means that you have him on your FBB team(s) and/or you are an angels fan. Since I am a member if the former group, I share your enthusiasm for mike trout nerd saturation.
The discussion of supporting player happiness veered into "spoiling" territory, which certainly is a valid concern. However, providing a welcoming and supportive environment would be critical to some players. There is likely a baseline level of support that should be provided to all players, combined with skillful understanding of which individual players/families need more. The benefits cited when working with a multi-cultural player population is especially valid when considering Hispanic or Asian baseball players.
Thanks for showing some of us old guys that what dad thinks matters.
sorry to be ignorant, but who's the retired 50-year old OF pulling down the bucks? anyone?
I find Chris Davis's honorable mention intriguing. Any chance of an elaboration, since he struggled for so many years?
An insurance policy has to be factored into assessing the M's risk. I have to assume the team cannot eliminate all of its financial risk, but there must be significant mitigation through insurance against a Webb-like ending.
Such options will only begin to be discussed after more than one player, within a reasonably close timeframe, is killed or suffers a permanent greviously serious injury.
Let's all keep pulling for a trade out of Detroit!
I play in an AL-only league w/ten teams. We are allowed to keep 2 NLers from season to season. If a guy is traded from league to league mid-season, he stays on your roster and becomes an off-season decision. Those holdover NLers are tradeable between seasons as long as they haven't fallen off one of your league teams' rosters and the team gaining him in trade has room for an NLer. Once your league team drops the NLer, he can't be part of your league unless he moves back to the AL.
Dear baseball gods, please send Justin to the AL!
No player on my long-term-keeper fantasy roster is causing me more anxiety than Porcello this year. I have faith that he'll eventually develop into a quality #3 starter and am willing to let him go with the assumption that I'll be able to buy him back at a reasonable price during our auction. He shows flashes of high quality and I am willing to attribute his struggles to continued development. He's 24 and healthy as a horse.
I'm interested if other posters have POVs on Porcello that might help me better gauge his market value.
Thanks RJ, really appreciate the write-up. How bout a similar review of Chris Tillman?
What about Soriano's supposed strong preference to be THE closer and not the setup guy? Admittedly, I've never seen him quoted on this and am basing this on what I believe has been reported. If true, will there be a disruption to team love, peace and understanding?
What is the likelihood of any of these wallflowers sitting out the dance completely until after the amateur draft?
Let me attempt to explain my original statement. I see “group think” and “confirmation bias” as being strongly related.
I didn’t mean to imply that an actual overt movement to opine and express in a collective fashion took place. Rather, when members of any organization/club/ company are involved in a common pursuit on an ongoing basis, there’s a real human tendency to solidify around points of view – not absolutely, but certainly around core thoughts or principles. Otherwise, the people wouldn’t be a true part of that internal community. So, did the BP writers “conspire” to present a united front on their votes? Certainly not. But, they did fall into a pattern driven by one of their core unifying characteristics – sabermetric analysis. By this I mean, a strong preference (orthodoxy?) for judgement based on the statistical over the instinctual/gut/emotional.
As a fan who values both sides of the coin – and frankly see extremely valid arguments on both sides of the black-and-white debate over this year’s HOF/PED debacle – I value exercising judgment that honors both hemispheres of thought. (I do have the best all-time win-loss record in the eight-year old fantasy league that I participate in, so I know something, right? ;-)
I guess what I’m trying to say is, with 33 ballots cast, I would have expected a higher percentage of doubters when it came to Bonds and Clemens specifically. 90+% support levels shows a lower level of diversity of thought than I would expect from a group of lovers of the game.
I am not out to prove I am right, I am merely attempting to more clearly express myself.
PS – this whole string of comments and debate points has been very cool. Perfect example of why I love BP!
Results show significant levels of sabermetrician group think.
At what point is the draft choice penalty vacated? Ex: if the players sits out the year, or signs after a certain point, does the draft choice compensation no longer apply?
At the risk of asking a stupid question, am I correct in assuming that multi-word answers contain no spaces between the words?
I believe Mitch Williams did a great job putting on some pounds and jumping as the emergency relief host on The Knife Show. Will Cashner also be making an appearance?
We all have guys in our fantasy leagues who work for win-wins and guys who try to fleece us. We all know who we prefer to deal with. I'd like to think the quoted exec is speaking to how he prefers to operate and who he prefers to deal with. ...and hopefully represents the value that's most prevalent.
Another of Kotchman's qualifications....his liner knocked out Pettitte for months, which along with Morrow's strained oblique pretty much mediocre-ized my fantasy team's pitching staff.
Fun stuff, one and all.
Comerica is a hitter's park?
68. McLain vs. gibson w/ Micky lolich picking up McLain who faltered fabulously.
You guys really ought to consider having a "linkable story of the day" feature. I could then forward tasty nuggets like this to my cheap friends who are missing out on the best baseball site in the world. Their appetite would frequently become whetted and they might ultimately subscribe. Hmmm, wait a minute. BP is a great strategic advantage in my FBB leagues, so....never mind.
Nunez seemed to be the only yank swinging aggressively in combination with reasonably well timed pitch recognition.
Wow! Hard to say define my more dominant emotional response -- dismay at your departure or fascination at the Astro's approach. Thanks for your great insights. BP has some very big shoes to fill!
On behalf of visual learners everywhere, thanks! Articles/presentations like this are making me a more knowledgeable fan and a dominant force in my fantasy leagues -- Well, okay, a continually competitive presence.
More Herman Cain:
"Aawwwww --- shucky-youki!!!!!"
Along this line, what went wrong with the underestimation, I.e. melky Cabrera?
Giambi failed to fall on a ball 18 inches to his right.....LOL
I vote not funny -
super slow mo makes most miscues look funny
He's not running away, he's stumbling
Ever been hit in the face? I t is quite a shock for the first seconds
I wouldn't have the balls to simply stand in there, how could I be arrogant enough to laugh at someone who can and suffers an "embarrassment" due the laws of physics.
That's my vote and I'm stickin to it.
One potential problem is, he's hitting far better when catching than when DHing.
Hard to avoid with this year's stutter step "opening day!"
Ad revenues dampen the need to bump up subscription rates. I've seen complaints about writers leaving with accompanying concerns of a brain drain. If the business has to bring in more revenues in order to compete in today's über competitive information world, so be it.
No Trevor Bauer because you expect him to be called up?
Yanks would never go for that. Ramirez for Belt, could happen.
How will teams be affected when they don't / can't sign their pick? Also, will you be writing how the draft choice compensation to teams losing free agents is different under this agreement?
I certainly don't have the complete answer, but believe the depth of the loyalty to begin with is the cornerstone. That, in turn, is rooted in the fan's age when the loyalty was established and the experience that shaped it in the first place.
I became a Yankee fan at age 15 when living in NJ and previously believing baseball was boring -- a value shaped by my older brother's opinions, who I naturally wanted to emulate. In the summer of 68 I was "trapped" at my family's vacation spot.....a farm in eastern Pennsylvania. With "nothing to do" but watch TV. I was limited to watching the Yanks on WPIX in grainy black & white. I became entranced with the game's nuances and complexities. Watching the woeful Horace Clark, joe peritoneal, faded Micky Mantle, and fabulous Mel Stottlemyer sweep four from the eventual champion Tigers --- a series I believe included Rocky Colavito coming in from the bullpen in what was a Tiger rout, and getting the win after a Yankee comeback. The yanks came in fifth following a tenth place finish the previous year. It was the kind of emotional embedding that can only be experienced, not created.
BTW, not a Mets hater, just mildly interested in their success. 1969 was delicious, however..
A little love for the Jay Buhner for Ken Phelps deal, please. Bad enough to be memorialized on Sienfeld.
I still believe it's bush league to go for the catcher and not the plate. What would be the outcome if the catcher opted not to catch the ball and instead decked the runner? The runner would be called safe due to obstruction and the catcher would be criticized for focusing on the opposing player and not the action, i.e. tagging the runner.
"In no small part because of the way the industry handled the matter and the media responded to it, we will never know how much of an impact it had, leaving us with this mess."
Should read: "...and the media participated in it..."
Good stuff, love the feature. Some are very thought provoking in their simplicity.
I believe BABIP is the most overvalued stat used in analysis. The continued references to "luck" when discussing players' BABIP or pitchers' BABIP-against drive me crazy.
The inference is the batter is just swinging away, hoping to make contact and the ball goes where it goes. The truly good hitter is hitting the ball where he is trying to, the truly good pitcher is making the batter hit a pitch he can't control. Maybe a pitcher has a high BABIP against because he sucks and his pitches are easier for the batter to hit where he'd like to.
I find recurring hamstring injuries to be a frustration. Are players identified as prone to such injuries through flexibility testing at any point, or do teams/players just go by history? Is there not a way to a) identify preemptively a player's tendency to have this kind of injury and b) regardless of the answer to "a" are some training staffs better at developing the stretching regimens that can help a player avoid hamstring pulls?
Yankee ownership, i.e. the Steinbrenners, are acting just like the rest of the U.S. economic/political system prior to our current crash. They are spending outrageous amounts of money and The Stadium and its players assuming that the revenues will be there. It should be quite revealing to see what ticket sales and sponsorships are like this year. After all, Wall St. is in NYC and thousands of immediate and secondary jobs have been lost. I predict the beginning of the end of the Steinbrenner era due to the family\'s underestimation of the economic fallout of the recession and its spending levels which don\'t reflect what\'s going on in the real world outside of baseball.
Buying into these taxpayer-subsidy-dependent schemes sponsored by supposedly market loving, free enterprise Republican owners is just taking us all for suckers....hit us up to make it happen, then make us pay handsomely to use the product we helped pay for. PS I am a lifelong Yankee fan.