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Yes, a discount on all of the games you have little interest in watching, and Blacking Out the ones you want to actually see. Thanks again, MLB.com, for being so out of touch.
How is Jarrod Parker not first on this list?!
This is my favorite post on BP in many months. And a great example of what makes Baseball such an incredibly great game.
"Fewer ground balls also means fewer double plays: Oakland had the second-lowest number of them." - I think this matters more than you stated.
Wow, quite the exaggeration on that "homer" that was robbed. It's hard to tell if that ball would have even hit the wall on a fly, much less be over the wall.
I keep thinking how can he not be an upgrade over Young? Young has so far had five bad months...why play him for another?
MLB teams out of contention should give this a try in the latter half of the year...why not experiment when you have nothing to lose?
1) The A's Beloit Snappers have sort have been doing this this year with Michael Ynoa/Dakota Bacus/RandomFinisher.
2) I think pitching in the Minor Leagues is ripe for change. How do you develop the non-starters effectively, when they pitch so few innings? Answer: You can't and aren't doing so.
It seems to makes MUCH more sense to pitch 8 guys 4 innings each in a 4-man rotation, with the remaining pitchers as fill in and late relief. Or, as you suggest, going with 9 guys 3 innings each every 3 days.
3) In the majors, the alternating of Right/Lefty pitchers every 3 innings would have to be a significant positive advantage. How much of course is the question. (And, as you implied, teams with low budgets could spend their money more effectively.)
Thanks for the article, Russell!
The A's have another, Antonio Lamas: http://www.milb.com/milb/stats/stats.jsp?sid=milb&t=p_pbp&pid=538079
It's always seemed to me that calls at second base are the most erroneous in baseball. (A lot of "in the neighborhood" calls.) Why can't they improve there?
Sam - great article - thanks!
Scouting report: "Angels fan growing up" - which could be interpreted a lot of ways, but the one Fox meant, "Was an Angels fan when he was young" qualifies as trivia, not "scouting." Did Tim McCarver repeat it on air as well, in his Intellectual Voice?
The in-game scouting reports on mlb.com are awful, too.
The A's are strongest at home at night against righties. (Well, if this year's stats are meaningful.)
Hmmm...if we're relying on PECOTA to predict this playoff game, um, has the formula been updated? I thought PECOTA decided the A's were eliminated back in July. (tease, tease)
Thanks for writing this post.
I disagree. If you're choosing an MVP from the A's, to me it's clearly Josh Reddick.
Team X "were 13 games back of the Rangers, and our playoff odds measured their chances of winning the AL West at ... zero." - doesn't this tell you that your formula needs some work?
And, how about some analysis on the Orioles and A's? Such as...
For the Orioles, tremendous fortune in 1-run games, and especially, extra-inning games.
For the A's, it's been very good pitching combined with unexpectedly great home run hitting. (The A's, post-All-Star, lead the majors in home runs. Did they even hit a home run in 2011?)
...Winning teams often have key players having Career Years. For the A's, it's a Career Rookie Crop of Non-A-Level Prospects.
I would be up for a decent book on the Rookies of the 2012 A's.
I remain curious to see if the A's will use Sean Doolittle as a pinch-hitter; hasn't happened yet.
I just want balls/strikes called electronically now.
My understanding is that winning close games is mostly luck. Winning by 3+ is mostly skill.
It would be cool to see the MLB standings for just games decided by 3+ runs.
Russell - Thanks for the analysis and the results doesn't surprise me at all.
(Now if you could also kill off those Scout.com msgs on MLB.com gamecasts, I'd be extra grateful.)
Hey, this is excellent!
But contraction would be smart; it's going to have to happen as baseball as a 21st century sport is doomed.
(It's just too slow.)
(***Sales of baseball sporting goods to youth is in a death spiral*** (unlike other sports) due to the slow pace of the game - what kid wants to stand around for 2-3 hrs just to get to bat once every 40 minutes?)
If only the A's org had a great fielding instructor or TWO. :(
Ah, this is cool article on Straily today: http://www.milb.com/news/article.jsp?ymd=20120727&content_id=35679412&fext=.jsp&vkey=news_milb&tcid=tw_share
I see you're not hot on Dan Straily, despite his great performance in the PCL. Are you seeing flaws?
Now if only this rule was applied more than once in our lifetime.
"Randall Munroe, the artist behind xkcd," - "Artist"? Seriously? You mean, "Illustrator and Writer" and occasional Statistician, right? :)
"and with his pitch count being monitored..." - is this true? I would think that Bauer would be the extremely rare exception - that he would be allowed high pitch counts...with his regimen and all.
When is he going to get new contact lenses? Mannnnnnnnnnnnnn!
Seriously, how can this not be a vision-issue?
Second excellent start in a row by Bruce Billings - does he have the makeup to be a 3rd or 4th starter?
Tommy Milone isn't a power pitcher; why does he need extra oomph on his fastball today, rather than the excellent way he's been pitching?
I thought Sean Murphy's (A's, Low A Burlington) performance was quite good yesterday: 7 IP, 4 H, 0 R, 0 BB, 13 K
"an email arrived from two friends of mine. They’re both Philadelphia Phillies."
Who edited this?
"ONE email "from" two friends" (an impossibility, practically)
who both PLAY for the Phillies?
Seriously?! That's HOW you wrote it!!!
Thanks for the update on Bauer and the look at Bostick.
Coco Crisp is available. (Subtle hint.)
Actually, the A's plan is to field four outfielders next year, and just three in the infield. This will be known as BillyBallWin. (A couple of college teams have been doing this very successfully. Also, one of the centerfielder's plays shallow, on the side lacking the normal infielder. Somehow it works!)
Coco Crisp in Left Centerfield and Yoenis Cespedes in Right Centerfield.
What about Max Perlman? Didn't he make the highest jump of any player drafted in 2011? Too little data?
As an A's fan, I'm quite unhappy with the resigning of Crisp. I would be less unhappy if they batted him at the bottom of the order.
I think this is a really poor move on the A's part. I would rather see a random Sacramento OF than Crisp in the A's outfield.
Nah, Kevin has to do 15 Top A's Prospects now.
It continues to amaze me that not one team has the courage to go without a "closer". To just use in relief whichever the best pitcher to bring in at the time is; not save anyone for the ninth inning.
It continues to amaze me. It continues to amaze me. It continues to amaze me.
A's Jose Macias, RHP, Low A Burlington: 6IP, 1H, 0BB, 6K, 0ER last night. Just 1 hit in last 3 starts.
Past six starts: 36IP, 8H (!), 7BB, 29K, 6ER - 1.5 ERA.
I feel Chris Carter couldn't haven been more badly handled this year by the A's. 1) Bring in free agents so he has no place to play. 2) Make him play an unfamiliar position in AAA, as he has "no place to play." 3) Bring him up and have him play once/twice in first 14 days. 4) Don't give him a fair chance to succeed.
I might, might understand this if the A's were overloaded with great power hitters, but they have no power hitters; they're desperate for power hitters. This just seems like gross mismanagement.
I bet Andre Ethier can relate.
I'd like to see what Jermaine Mitchell could do in place of Coco Crisp (and his painful .293 leadoff OBP). Sort of kills me that the A's CFs in AAA and AA are just killing the ball and yet neither is given a chance; what exactly does Beane have to lose?
Perhaps I'm the only one, but I do not find Mock Draft articles interesting. I'd much rather read more articles about the draft RESULTS. Mock, shmock!
My vote is cast!
"The Giants and Rangers more than triple the over/under in an outcome no one could have predicted."
"2009 IBA NL Rookie of the Year" = How can you not call this a tie? Less than 1% difference? What's the error rate for this sample size?
It's a tie!
Two words: Bobby Crosby. bwawawawawa!
Hey, around the week before the regular season starts, a round-up of iPhone apps for viewing scores/box scores would be great.
Personally, I'm not that interested in audio...I just don't have the time to listen. (I have time to view numbers/letters.)