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Your work, Doug, is worth the price of subscription.
Thank you for this look into a side of professional baseball I rarely thought about in the past. It provided an excellent, informed look (and a bunch of cool tests and places to look at as a teacher, too).
Is that an Evolution joke in the title? Appreciated.
This is excellent reading.
This remains excellent. Your articles alone are worth the subscription fee.
I gifted myself a month of BP this Christmas because I wanted to read your stuff. You do a wonderful job. Thank you.
Great read. I love that the analysis had the visual and strong, well-interpreted data to go alongside it.
Acquired ??-? P.T. BNL from the Los Angeles Dodgers for RHP Joe Blanton. [8/4]
Signed out of North America in the 20th or 21st century, the appropriately-aged P.T. BNL is one of those players whose greatest strength might be his lack of identity and definition. He might have a good idea at the plate or a quick bat; he could use all fields and project as a sub-.400 hitter in the big leagues. He may have gap power now, and there could potentially be scouts believing that those skills will turn into solid average power down the road if he fills out or slims down, with 0-60 home run potential. He could be a good athlete or an average runner, demonstrate revealing platoon splits, or be an easy plus defender with a strong arm. Really, we can’t forget that he might feature a solid change-up that could play up with his command, or that he might possess a good feel for a breaking ball that bodes well for his development. He might be raw, but, for all we know, he might look really good in a uniform.
Keep in mind, I could soon hear from sources in the Dodgers’ organization that they really hate to part with this guy, and, assuming he is a pitcher, that if he were to be a pitcher and then not work out on the mound, there would always be a chance he could convert to another position, where he may have had some success in high school, college, or an appropriate Latin country’s winter or fall league. That’s the brilliance of it: we don’t know. Even if he’s a bit on the small side or a little unathletic, which would hurt his projection if he was, he could look like he should be a solid-average everyday fielder or fourth starter or fan-favorite grinder if his development stays on track, although his relative age and size might one day cause him to move off his position for a suitably adjacent position slightly down the defensive spectrum or move to the bullpen.
I have already been asked numerous times on Twitter about when P.T. BNL might see time on the Phillies’ roster, but, realize, there are a lot of factors that go into a move like that, including the position he plays, his age, his assigned level, his health, his attitude, his native country and language, his VISA situation, and the Phillies’ overall roster health. All I will say is this: if the players at his position in the level above him allow for a move, the Phillies may look to promote him. And, yes, you could point to his potentially awesome, middling, or atrocious stats in rookie ball (if he played there), but those stats are all but meaningless—especially if he is particularly old or young for the level, or repeating it. –Kevin Goldstein
First time I saw this rule invoked was June 30, 2000. Eric Cammack entered for the Mets down 5-1 and gave up 3 ER in one inning. The Mets then scored 10. Armando Benitez finished for an apparent save of an 11-8 game. This would have been Cammack's first (and only) big league win--but the scorer deemed him ineffective and awarded the win to Benitez, instead of the save. It was bizarre--if memory serves, Cammack had been given the lineup card from his first win...only to learn on the radio that he didn't get it.
Boxscore is here: http://www.baseball-reference.com/boxes/NYN/NYN200006300.shtml
As always, amazing read.
But answer this: did you call
Chris Davis's win?
Wow, this is fantastic reading. Thanks.
I feel like I must have been overvaluing Bailey mentally. Seems like quite a low return although, I realize that someone does have to start in the outfield next March.
Little League and Cal Ripken youth baseball account for the vast majority of organized leagues, and both do use May 1. PONY, probably the next biggest, uses it as well.
I think I enjoy reading this not just because it's fun but because it takes me back to the old "Going, Going, Gone!" homerun list that they'd run at the end of Baseball Tonight. I still remember watching Baseball Tonight for the first time when I was in second grade (-ish) and getting hooked as a baseball fan forever.
Plus, I love that it answers the questions I ask in my head like, "Wait...was that Bogusevic's first career homer?"
Thank you, Larry!
First time I've listened to one, and I'm only getting to hear about half, but, in response to trying to figure out the Taiwanese player from the Dodgers' system, would it be Chin-Feng Chen?
This was fun.
Loved the Sergio Romo analysis.
Grant Green, SS, Athletics (Double-A Midland): 1-for-4, HR (2), 4 R, 5 RBI, 2 BB, K
Is that line right for Green? That's a wacky box score line.
Fantastic read. This was a fresh take on prospects, filled with deep, valuable information, and is an awesome addition to what Kevin Goldstein provides. Keep up the great work!
Can we make this mandatory reading for all BBWAA writers with Hall of Fame votes?
Good article with an interesting, unique premise.
Isn't Aumont right-handed?
Even though I am a huge fan of The Prestige, I think that I would put Inception ahead simply because Inception was an original story of Nolan's, whereas The Prestige was a novel by Christopher Priest first. Even though Nolan added to and improved on that novel beautifully (much of it addition by omission), it wasn't an entirely original work like Memento and Inception; thus, I would place Memento and Inception both above The Prestige and The Dark Knight (which also built on already-existing characters).
Agree completely on #7. I love watching and following the roster machinations necessary for double-headers.
Pixie cup or Dixie cup?
Without putting down Marc's article at all (I liked it), I actually have enjoyed reading the discussion in the first fourteen comments here just as much. Good stuff.
I really enjoyed this. I will definitely read any further research.
Just as a note on Casey Weathers, he didn't pitch in high school or college, but he did pitch as an 18-year-old amateur here in Elk Grove. In fact, he was so dominant despite that limited experience that he tossed a one-hit shutout in the state 18U Babe Ruth tournament before entering JuCo.
This was fantastic. Thanks.
"Kevin Appier, Pat Hentgen, and David Segui all received a token vote from some writer, perhaps as a favor for past considerations"
I disagree on the first count. After reading Rany Jayzerli's piece about Appier, I see no reason why a vote for Kevin Appier is necessarily a favor. He was more than qualified as a player to receive one vote out of 539 for the Hall of Fame.
I love reading these articles every year. Thanks!
While it might make for a cute little section of writing, I have to call the un-sourced, over-simplified two-paragraph section "No Pitcher Left Behind" irresponsible writing. The reason, as you say at the end, you can't separate Redmond's influence on the Twins' pitchers from those pitchers themselves is the same reason why HLM is a dead end for educational policy "experts." Class-by-class achievement is inherently small sample size, and, when measuring by poorly designed standardized testing produced by companies working for profit and looking at the performance of students that are themselves the product of a system that influences them by over-many variables (not simply the teacher of their subject in that year), the information received is inconclusive and, often, misleading.
Kennedy makes it a three-way trade. He moved from the Yankees to the Tigers and then moved on to the D-Backs. Since no player went from the D-Backs to the Yankees, this is a three-way trade.
Agreed, although I wrote the name of Erik Hiljus (with a k) in my RiverCats scorebook enough to recognize it was misspelled.
That certainly would have been a consideration, but as Grushenko comments below, neither was on the 40-man roster. I imagine Kilby could be a Rule V draft candidate come December, if the A's do not roster him in September or the early off-season.
My question is why Jay Marshall and not Brad Kilby if we're dipping into the RiverCats' lefty well? Maybe I'm blinded by the interest in seeing Kilby become the first grad of my high school reach the majors, but Marshall's K/9 is half of Kilby's, they are but six days apart in age, and, by most accounts, Kilby is the better pitcher! Marshall has slightly better numbers against lefties, but why carry Craig Breslow AND Jay Marshall? I don't think the A's are in position requiring strict platoon advantages as carrying both would.
Even more impressive.
I recall being impressed by Heyward's left-handed single vs. a left-handed pitcher in the second inning. Having never seen him play before, he certainly looks the part of sooner-than-later star.
Not a ton of information to go with this, but here\'s April 27th. The starting lineup and rotations are solid, but the bullpen is a stretch, with Chad Zerbe (from the Giants) probably the closer...yeah, yikes.
C Tony Eusebio
1B Willie Upshaw
2B Rogers Hornsby (Hall of Fame)
SS Pedro Feliz (24 games here)
3B Frank Catalanatto
LF Pat Lennon
CF Hy Myers
RF Enos Slaughter (Hall of Fame)
BENCH Brian J. Giles (MIF)
BENCH Joey Gathright (OF)
BENCH Jim Eppard (OF/1B)
BENCH George Archie (CIF)
BENCH Bob Williams (C) (Feliz is the emergency guy)
SP Chris Carpenter
SP Runelvys Hernandez
SP Allen Sothoron
SP Charlie Chech
SP George Winter
RP Chad Zerbe (LHP)
RP Bob McDonald
RP Orber Moreno
RP Steve Connelly
RP Bob Ayrault
RP John Whitehead
RP Benj Sampson (LHP)
Sorry for not including more info for some of the obscure names.
I would love to see more coverage of college baseball. Otherwise, I\'m not picky: I read everything that gets posted.
\"It borders on disgusting gimmickery in my opinion and should be more of an embarrassment than a celebration.\"
A little harsh, maybe? I agree though that Nippon Prospectus is not the place for more on her story.
\"...the Pads were under no compunction to add Antonelli or LeBlanc to the 40-man, not now or over the winter; as 2006 picks, they weren\'t going to have to be added until after the 2009 season under the new CBA...\"
What exactly was the change to the CBA? It sounds like, from what you wrote, that there\'s now an additional year built in before mandatory 40-man-rostering or Rule V exposure?
The thing that really bothered me when this story broke was the idea that Eric Hosmer would be collateral damage as Scott Boras aimed his axe to further fell the tree that is the Amateur Draft. How awful would it be for him to miss out on the ASU scholarship AND have to re-enter next year\'s draft, missing out on a huge chunk of time in a system? But, if we discount that possibility as unlikely, there\'s little risk here for Hosmer, because the minor season is nearly over anyway, so he\'s not missing many games there, and he isn\'t at the appropriate minor league level to sneak into the AFL, right? So the issue really boils down to what the status of his contract is going into the future.
Will, thanks for the info. I probably fell into the Rumor Mill trap more than I ought to have.
Didn\'t Clayton Richard throw an inning of relief Saturday? If so, is he on the hill again today? Also, I have to say that the other 29 MLB teams missed the boat on Roy Oswalt; if he was even remotely available, teams ought to have tried to pry him loose after his fairly slow start. Gotta say, too, I\'m excited about the introduction of comments to BP; I love following the intelligent threads over at Football Outsiders.