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If it makes you feel any better, I have BOTH Harris and Sipp on my deep league AL Only!
It's one reason I like playing in deep leagues, the FA pool is so limited it necessitates patience. Sure I have been frustrated with <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=1358">Carlos Beltran</a></span> in my 12 team AL only, but when the best FA option is <span class="playerdef"><a href="http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=51936">Shane Robinson</a></span> there is not a whole lot you can do. I can't imagine playing 10 or 12 team mixed when the FA pool is so deep and you have so many viable options on the fringe. Combine that with daily transactions? I'd drive myself crazy.
Monday timing makes the list all but moot for my purposes as well.
I must be missing something... if you had the money why didn't you just draft Lester and Zimmerman during the active portion of your draft? It's great that you got them anyway, but I am not sure I understand why you let them hang out there.
The scouting report link for Allen Webster takes you to the apple homepage. I am trying to figure out the secret message in that.
Thanks! Wow... Kirk Gibson never made an All-Star team. That one suprised me.
Who is the best player never to make an All Star game?
I'm not sure why you set a minimum of All Star appearances. If there is someone out there with 60 WARP and 0 or 1 All-Star appearances wouldn't that be even more interesting to know?
I think they would have traded Young either way. He is barely playable at all at this stage.
Probably a moot issue... If you don't have enough PAs to qualify for batting title there is no way you are going to lead in both HR and RBI.
Looks like a great collection of talent and I look forward to seeing what is delivered. For what's its worth, I loved the "under 25" rankings and hope that will continue to be part of the package.
Is there any way to tell what the weighting is between preseason PECOTA and current year results in the projected winning %?
The other benefit to trading Youkilis, however,is payroll flexibility for this year. The Sox are up against the luxury tax threshold and have stated publicly they do not want to exceed it. Clearing the decks of $8m in 2012 payroll would give them a lot more flexibility to take on contracts at the deadline.
I am in two 12 team AL only leagues. One has no bench/unlimited DL/minors and the other has 10 bench/DL/minor league slots. Between the two (not that that they are the only choices) I like the second because I like at least a few bench spots to hide struggling pitchers and capping the total at 10 limits the overall roster size.
Re: Trout could it partially be small sample bias? Have the Angels faced more fastball pitchers?
I also think it's the nature of the tweet. It's quite possible the GM was considering the value of the property considering age/contract, etc., but this didn't fit into the soundbite.
An ump called the infield fly rule in my son's little league game this past weekend. The poor ten year old who hit the ball burst in to tears... "But what did I do wrong?!".
No Trevor Plouffe anywhere on here? He should get more OF playing time than Luke Hughes.
I disagree. The opinion that hiring a manager with almost no managerial experience is a bad idea is a valid one. I don't necessarily agree with it (the impact of a manager is overrated, and baseball tactics aren't rocket science) but I can't ridicule someone for thinking its a bad idea.
How does a park boost strikeouts? Have these factors proven to be consistent over time?
I am sufficiently interested in 25-50.
TWIQ is also one of my favorite things to read on BP. It's a bad reason to subscribe though, since you don't need to be a subscriber to read it!
I was suprised to see the W% for the Case start at .455. I would have guessed it would be higher. I wonder what it is for 6 1/3 IP and 3 ER. Wherever the line is that gets you above .500, that is how I would define a quality start.
Interesting, but myself I don't know how much value I would put into ESPN or Yahoo ADPs. A ton of auto drafting goes on in their leagues, where the predetermined lists are largely based on last year's ranking, hence Gregg/Aardmsa ranking much higher than Uehara/League. In a remotely competitive league that is not going to happen.
I could not articulate what I didn't like about the column until I read this. I am not a prude. I am not a religious conservative. I am a long time subscriber, and this just doesn't fit with my idea of BP at all, and it can't help but make me wonder about the direction of the site. Christina, Kevin, and Jay are my favorite writers by far, and I would pay my subscription for their work alone. I suppose this doesn't make sense, because I know I don't have to click on anything I don't want to read, but to me an article like this lessens the experience.
Me too. I admit Ernie isn't great, but for a play-by-play guy these days, you almost have to settle for "not infuriating", ala Buck and Brenneman. And though Darling and Smoltz can get caught up in all of the typical baseball purest dogma (my favorite last night was the notion that losing game one was "good" for the Rangers because now they are mentally tougher), they aren't too bad. I was pleasently suprised that Darling admitted that despite Nolan Ryan's emphasis in his pitchers going longer into games (which has been mentioned and praised approximately 3,000 times during the playoffs) the Rangers actually led the AL in bullpen innings this year.
Oh... and have to mention that CK is the best. Just fantastic articles throughout the entire playoffs.
of course, we wouldn't have the balls in play data, would we? duh!
Matt, have you ever looked at Ted Williams .406 season and determined how "lucky" he was? What was his E-BABIP? Seems like an interesting article in there somewhere.
I wouldn't be suprised if he ends up in Boston, plays first base for a year, and then shifts to DH after Papi leaves next year.
Not that the timing of the games should matter to their overall chances, but its particulary brutal for the Sox down the stretch. Their last 10 games include 3 @ NYY, 4 @ CHW, and 3 v NYY. TB finishes up with 3 v SEA, 3 v BAL, and 4 @ KC. Even if they manage to catch TB with 10 games to go, its going to be tough to stick with them.
So, are you basically saying Feldman and Harden are unrosterable? If you are not going to start them vs. OAK and KC when would you ever start them?
Not sure what others think, but using ESPN data as a baromoter for what is avilable is of no use to me. They must typically be super shallow mixed leagues by the data you share. Granted, I play 12 team AL only, which is super deep by most standards, but I would have to guess that most fantasy players that are into it enough to subscribe to BP are in deeper leagues than would be reflected by ESPN.
These updates are great. You know what would be cool (at least to me)? Set up a standard stat report that pulls in year to date stats for the top 101 daily so there would be one quick place to track their progress. Have no idea hard that is, but it would be cool.
Are there going to be any more updates to PFM? Some of us still have upcoming drafts!
"If you don't live in New York or Boston, there's even a chance you're paying less for tickets now than you were two years ago."
Retail prices may not have dropped in NY or Boston, but I am definitely seeing more reasonable prices for Sox tickets on Stub Hub that I have the past few years. I just purchased four infield grandstand tickets for a game in late April for face value, something I have never been able to do in the past.
Either the Red Sox average is wrong or the total is wrong.
I know. I guess I wasn't clear, but what I meant to say is that when rosters are final, if they could then be posted, that would be helpful. I don't know if BP is considering posting a final list or not.
"Hall is an acceptable MIF option in a deep NL-only league"
Perhaps he is a better option in an NL only league since he can't kill your batting average when his stats wouldn't count, but I presume you meant AL only league. I would try very hard not to roster him either way.
It would also be really helpful (at least to me and my fantasy league) if you post the final actual opening day rosters for each league. It seems to be impossible to find them all in one place now, and some old school leagues like mine still use final opening day rosters as the bible for auction eligibility.
Apprently, neither do you.
Joe... how can you be surprised? One of your favorite rants is that virtually anything can happen in a short series.
Agreed. The diution aregument does not makes sense. The notion that average revenue is higher is intriguing, but you could also argue that with the Yankees in the AL outspending the rest of the league by leaps and bounds, most years the rest of the AL is playing for 3 playoff spots.
I have also heard the argument (here on BP?) that the Red Sox/Yankee rivalry amd the success of the two franchises over the last decade has just raised the bar in the AL. You have to do more to get to the postseason and be competitive with these teams. The bar has been lower in the NL so teams have not had to extend themselves as far to get a shot.
Wow, could Heyward's aganet pile a little more pressure on him?
Yeah, that's a little harsh. I don't agree with the point of view, but it seems silly to hide the post.
That would be presuming he makes the majors quickly. He's only 19, he might not get there for years.
I think that is a great way of looking at it. The Cone trade may have been more damaging, but the Dye trade was just plain... well... stupider.
Sheesh. Get over yourself.
I also enjoyed reading it, but the whole thing felt like an intro. I kept waiting for the meat of the article to start and all of a sudden it was over.
Its just immensely stupid that Girardi could not find a day off for a guy coming off major hip surgery. Mind boggling.
Uh oh, another New York centic article. Let the East Coast bias whining begin!
I liked the article and gave it a thumbs up as I definitely want to see Tim stick around but I am suprised that Win% was not considered for this first pass. I imagine that it has less correlation in the minors as it does in the majors, but would love to see the data.
Yeah, I heard Jamey Carroll referrd to as a professional hitter the other day. Egad! If he's a professional hitter I don't want one!
Very classy. Good Luck Byron!
agreed. Never understood the pricing difference there.
Never heard of PSLs? NFL teams have been sticking it to their fans for years. The Yankees aren't doing anything different. They just over shot the mark a bit.
And while Red Sox management have done a great job with Fenway, its not like they haven't increased ticket prices at every opportunity. I was a partial season ticket holder back when I was a poor grad student, now I make a good living and I can hardly afford to go to more than 1 game a year.
This is the Joe that makes me gag.
I was at that game where Clemens hit Shelby. I remember Shelby charging the mound, bat in hand, and Jon Marzano tackling him from behind.
I have to agree. I am a huge BP fan and long-time subscriber. I have never complained about the site before and thought the firestorm over the PECOTA cards was way overblown. This seems like a very odd resolution, however.
Will... if you were doing a fantasy auction over the next few days how much would you discount Mauer based on what you know right now?
That's exactly what I was thinking.
meh. given the cost of going to the park (tickets, parking, etc.) in most markets, I don\'t think whether I pay $10 or $20 in gas is that big of a factor.
What do gas prices have to do with it? Look at holiday spending, people are scared and hoarding discretionary income. I know I am personally managing money carefully given the tenuous nature of my employment, and am much less likely to go to as many games this year as I did last year.
To the Red Sox and Yankees, that probably just means the scalpers get less money for the tickets, but for some teams it could very well mean a drop in attendence.
I am a Sox fan and I can imagine that posts like Baseball God\'s are tough for small market fans to stomach. The Sox spend more than the majority of the league and we have little to compain about. The system is definitely tilted in our favor.
It does bother me though, when I hear people say the Sox are the same as the Yankees. The Sox may be on a very different playing field than the Rays, Royals, etc., but the Yanks are clearly operating at a entirely different level. Last year the Yank\'s payroll was something like $70M greater than Boston\'s payroll.
In addition to Holliday the A\'s also get the draft pick compensation they will receive if he leaves as a free agent. One year of Holliday plus two picks in 2010 is probably worth the package the A\'s gave up.
That said, I don\'t love it for the A\'s, and agree completely with Joe\'s assessment from the Rockies\' side.
Thank you Tuck! I couldn\'t believe I was reading all the kudos without anyone disagreeing. Like you, at one point I just had to scroll down. I thought the analysis was spot on, though.
This article could not really actually be written by Joe Sheehan. The \"the Phillies cannot win the World Series unless they win tonight\'s game\" line is so counter to anything he has ever written about the predictability of baseball games it just looks absurd.
FWIW, I think the excerpt of Jed Hoyer\'s quote regarding Curt Schllling was poorly edited. If you read the article, Hoyer is really complementing Schiling regarding how he represented himself in the negotiations and on how his main focus was winning (and how he held up his end of the bargain). Reading the quote without the additional context, its easy to construe it as if Hoyer thought Schilling was a dupe, when that is not at all the case.